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    11

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

    2012

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    22

    Contents

    Advantage India

    Market overview and trends

    Growth drivers

    Success stories: Airtel, Vodafone

    Opportunities

    Useful information

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

    2012

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    33

    Telecommunications

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org ADVANTAGE INDIA

    Advantage India

    Advantage

    India

    India is the second-largesttelecommunications market in theworld with 951.3 millionsubscribers as of March 2012

    With 70 per cent of population

    staying in rural areas, the ruralmarket will be a key growthdriver in coming years

    By end-2012, total telecomoutreach in the nations ruralmarkets is expected to beclose to 40 per cent

    India is expected to feature

    among the top 10 broadbandmarkets by 2013

    The country has a strongtelecommunication infrastructure

    In telecommunication ratings, Indiaranks ahead of peers in the Westand Asia

    The government has been proactive inits efforts to transform India into a

    global telecommunication hub;prudent regulatory support has alsohelped

    National Telecom Policy 2012 proposesunified licensing, full MNP and freeroaming

    Number of

    subscribers:

    1.2 billion

    2016E

    Number of

    subscribers:

    951.3 million

    2012*

    Source:BMI (Business Monitor international) Report, Aranca Research

    Notes: * figure are till March 2012; MNP- Mobile Number Portability; E Estimates (2016E estimates for 2016)

    Strong demand Attractive opportunities

    High ratings Policy support

    AUGUST

    2012

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    44

    Contents

    Advantage India

    Market overview and trends

    Growth drivers

    Success stories: Airtel, Vodafone

    Opportunities

    Useful information

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

    2012

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    55For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    The telecom market is split into threesegments

    Telecom

    Comprises establishments operating and maintaining switching andtransmission facilities to provide direct communications via airwaves

    Mobile (wireless)

    Fixed line (wireline)

    Internet services

    Consists of companies that operate and maintain switching andtransmission facilities to provide direct communications throughlandlines, microwave or a combination of landlines and satellite link-ups

    Includes internet service providers (ISPs) that offer broadband internet

    connections through consumer and corporate channels

    Source:Aranca Research

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

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    66For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    Telecom revenues have been surgingahead

    MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Indian telecom sectors revenue grew by 7 per cent to

    USD56.5 billion in FY11

    Wireless and wireline revenue amounted to USD35.8

    billion with a CAGR of 13.1 per cent over FY07-11;

    revenues from the telecom equipment segment stoodat USD23.4 billion in FY11

    During 2012, India emerged as the worlds second

    largest telecommunication market and has the third

    highest number of internet users in the world

    Wireless and wireline revenues in USD billion

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca Research

    Notes: CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate

    Telecommunications

    21.9

    26.9

    31.732.9

    35.8

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

    AUGUST

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    1.7

    2.22.5

    3.2

    3.6

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    CAGR: 20.6%

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Internet access revenues stood at USD3.6 billion in

    2010, thereby clocking an impressive CAGR of 20.6 per

    cent over 2006-10

    Revenues are forecasted to increase to USD5.9 billion

    by 2015

    Internet access revenues in USD billion

    Source:Datamonitor, Aranca Research

    Telecommunications

    Impressive rise in internet revenues

    AUGUST

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    Mobile teledensity growth continues

    MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    The mobile segments teledensity surged 5.5x from

    13.5 per cent in 2006 to 74.2 per cent in 2011

    GSM services continue to dominate the wireless

    market with an 87.9 per cent share (2011); CDMA

    accounts for the remaining 12.1 per cent

    Mobile (wireless) segments teledensity

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca Research

    Notes: Teledensity The number of telephone lines for every 100 people in a country,

    GSM- Global System for Mobile Communications,

    CDMA-Code division multiple access

    Telecommunications

    74.2%

    63.2%

    44.7%

    30.0%

    20.4%

    13.5%

    0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0%

    2011

    2010

    2009

    2008

    2007

    2006

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    99For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Dur ing 2011, Fixed lines teledensity reached 2.7 per

    cent due to wide usability of wireless segment

    During FY12, BSNL continued to lead the segment

    with a 69.8 per cent share (in the total fixed line

    market)

    Fixed line segments teledensity

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India,

    Aranca Research

    Notes: BSNL- Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited

    Telecommunications

    Fixed line market is dominated by BSNL

    2.7%

    3.0%

    3.2%

    3.3%

    3.4%

    3.6%

    0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0%

    2011

    2010

    2009

    2008

    2007

    2006

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    1010For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    Strong growth in mobile subscriptions

    MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    By March 2012, mobile subscriptions stood at 919.2

    million; over 2006-11, subscriptions had recorded an

    astounding CAGR of 43.0 per cent

    The current urban wireless teledensity is 162.82 and

    rural teledensity is 38.33

    Mobile (wireless services) subscriptions (in million)

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca Research

    Note: 2012* - the figure for 2012 is till March 2012

    Telecommunications

    149.6233.6

    346.9

    525.1

    752.2

    893.8 919.2

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*

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    1111For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Internet subscriber figures went up to 22.4 million in

    2011 from 8.6 million in 2006, a CAGR of 21.1 per cent

    Top 10 Internet Service Providers (ISPs) together hold

    95.0 per cent of total internet subscriber base; state

    owned BSNL is the market leader with 55.0 per centof market share

    By 2016, internet subscriptions are expected to rise to

    215.0 million, with a penetration rate of 16.2 per cent

    Internet subscriptions (in million)

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Business Monitor

    International, Aranca Research

    Notes: CAGR Compound annual growth rate;

    BSNL Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd

    Telecommunications

    Number of internet subscribers are alsogoing up at a fast pace

    8.6

    10.4

    12.9

    15.2

    18.7

    22.4

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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    1212For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Fixed line revenues increased at a CAGR of 5.6 per

    cent to USD8.2 billion over 2005-09

    The market is forecasted to accelerate at a CAGR of

    7.2 per cent over 2009-14 (to USD11.6 billion by the

    end of 2014)

    Fixed line revenues (in USD billion)

    Source:Datamonitor, Aranca Research

    Telecommunications

    Fixed line revenues are growing steadily

    6.6

    7.1

    7.5

    7.98.2

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

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    1313For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    BSNL is the market leader with a share of 69.8 per

    cent; MTNL comes second (10.8 per cent share)

    BSNL, MTNL and Bharti together account for over 90

    per cent of the total fixed line market

    Fixed line market share (FY12)

    Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca Research

    Note: MTNL-Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited,

    BSNL-Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited'

    Telecommunications

    BSNL is the market leader in the fixedline segment

    69.8%

    10.8%

    10.2%

    4.5%4.0% 0.6%

    BSNL

    MTNL

    Bharti

    Tata

    Reliance

    HFCL

    Vodafone

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    1414For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Broadband subscription increased at an impressive

    CAGR of 46.1 per cent during 200611

    Growth is set to pick up pace even further; the market

    is set to post a CAGR of 72.1 per cent during 201115,

    with subscriptions increasing to 117.6 million by end-2015

    Broadband subscriptions (in million)

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca Research

    Note: 2012* - the figures for 2012 are as of March 2012

    Telecommunications

    Strong growth in broadband drivesinternet access revenues

    2.1

    3.1

    5.5

    7.8

    10.9

    13.414.0

    0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.0

    12.0

    14.0

    16.0

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*

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    1515For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Of the total broadband subscriptions in the country:

    BSNL topped with 64.6 per cent of total

    broadband market share

    Bharti Airtel followed at the second place with 9.9per cent of total broadband market share

    Market break-up by broadband subscriptions (FY12)

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca ResearchNotes: BSNL Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd;

    MTNL Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd

    Telecommunications

    BSNL has the major share in broadbandsubscriptions, followed by Bharti Airtel

    64.6%9.9%

    7.6%

    18.0%

    BSNL

    Bharti

    MTNL

    Others

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    1616For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Key companies in the market

    Telecommunications

    Company Ownership Presence

    Mahanagar TelephoneNigam Ltd (MTNL)

    Government (56.3 per cent)Fixed line and mobile telephony (in Delhi

    and Mumbai), data and internet

    Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd(BSNL)

    Government (100 per cent)

    Fixed line and mobile telephony (GSM

    outside Delhi and Mumbai), data and

    internet in 22 circles

    Reliance communicationsADAG Group (approximately

    67.9 per cent)Mobile (CDMA) and Broadband

    Bharti Airtel Bharti Group(45.7), Pastel Ltd(15.57 per cent), LIC India

    (4.3 per cent)

    Broadband and mobile (GSM) in 22 circles

    Vodafone Essar

    Vodafone (74 per cent),

    Telecom Investment India (19.5per cent)

    Broadband and mobile (GSM) in 22 circles

    Source: Companies websites, Aranca Research

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    1717For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org MARKET OVERVIEW AND TRENDS

    Notable trends in the Indian telecomsector

    Telecommunications

    Green telecom

    The green telecom concept aims at reducing the carbon footprint of the telecom

    industr y through reduced energy consumption

    TRAI initiated a consultation process in May 2010, requesting inputs from firms

    across the telecom value chain to provide recommendations on green telecoms

    framework and implementation

    Expansion to rural

    markets

    There are over 62,443 uncovered villages in India; these would be provided with

    village telephone facility with subsidy support from the governments UniversalService Obligation Fund (thereby increasing rural teledensity)

    By 2012, the rural subscriber base accounted for 39.2 per cent of total subscriber

    base, thereby fuelling the sectors growth

    Emergence of BWA

    technologies

    BWA technologies such as WiMAX have been among the most significant recent

    developments in wireless communication

    WiMAX is likely to attract around 8 to 10 million subscribers and account for

    around USD11.5 billion in 2012

    Outsourcing non-core

    activities

    As part of the recent outsourcing trend, operators have outsourced functions like

    network maintenance, IT operations and customer service

    Source: Aranca Research

    Note: BWA Broadband Wireless Access, TRAI Telecom Regulatory Authority of India

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    1818

    Contents

    Advantage India

    Market overview and trends

    Growth drivers

    Success stories: Airtel, Vodafone

    Opportunities

    Useful information

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

    2012

    AUGUST

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    1919For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Sector benefits from rising incomes,growing young population

    Strong

    government

    support

    Inviting Resulting in

    Growing demand Policy supportIncreasing

    investments

    Rising incomesReduction in the

    license feeRising FDI

    Growing young

    population

    Relaxed

    FDI Norms

    Lucrative M&A

    opportunities

    Increasing MOU

    Encourages firms

    to expand to rural

    areas

    Telecommunications

    Notes: FDI Foreign direct investment; MOU Minutes of use per month and per subscriber; M&A Mergers and acquisitions

    AUGUST

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    2020For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    Rising incomes fuel demand for telecomservices

    GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Rising incomes has been a key determinant of

    demand growth in the telecommunication sector in

    India

    Per-capita income in the country rose at a CAGR of

    11.5 per cent over 2001-11 (to USD1388.8)

    Strong income growth is set to continue in future as

    well; IMF forecasts point to a CAGR of 8.2 per cent

    over 2011-17 (to USD2225.9)

    Rising Per capita Income

    Source: IMF, Aranca Research

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011E 2013F 2015F 2017F

    Per capita income, USD, LHS Annual growth rate, RHS

    AUGUST

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    2121For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Rising incomes and growing ruralmarket fuel form the key demand drivers

    The emergence of an affluent middle class is

    triggering demand for the mobile and internet

    segments

    A young and growing population is aiding this trend

    (especially demand for smart phones)

    Indian residents shifting from low to high incomegroups

    Source:McKinsey Quarterly, Aranca Research

    Strivers: annual

    income

    INR500,000-

    1,000,000

    Seekers:

    annual income

    INR200,000-

    500,000

    Deprived

    annual income

    INR1,000,000

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

    million

    households

    Strivers Seekers DeprivedAspirers Globals

    AUGUST

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    2222For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Increasing internet revenues andsubscriptions (1/2)

    The MVAS industry is expected to reach USD5.8

    billion by 2013 from USD3.3 billion in 2011

    The share of non-voice revenues, which currently

    stand at around 10 per cent of telecom operators

    revenues, is estimated to rise to over 30 per cent inthe next five to seven years

    MVAS revenues in USD billion

    Source:Deloitte, Aranca Research

    Notes: CAGR Compound annual growth rate;

    MVAS Mobile Value-added services

    2.02.5

    3.3

    4.5

    5.8

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E

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    2323For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Increasing internet revenues andsubscriptions (2/2)

    Minutes of usage of dial-up internet access increased

    to 411 in 2010 from 205 in 2006, a CAGR of 19 per centInternet - dial up access MOU (per month per subscriber)

    Source:Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, Aranca Research

    Notes: MOU Minutes of use

    205.0 210.0 222.0

    324.0

    411.0

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    AUGUST

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    2424For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    India has a distinct competitiveadvantage over peers

    In terms of telecom ratings, India competes primarily with China, Indonesia and Philippines

    In terms of country risk, India has an edge over Indonesia, Philippines, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Laos, Cambodia,

    Thailand, Vietnam and Sri Lanka

    Telecom

    Industry

    Rewards

    Country

    rewards

    Telecom industry

    risks

    Country

    risk

    Telecom

    Rating

    India 65.0 32.1 60 58.1 55.1

    China 63.3 35.0 70 67.9 58

    Indonesia 62.5 45.0 60 57.7 57.1

    Philippines 52.5 46.7 60 51 52

    Pakistan 57.5 42 60 38.4 51.2

    Bangladesh 50 36.7 60 46.8 47.8Laos 36 39 50 33.5 43.2

    Cambodia 46.8 38.3 50 33.5 43.2

    Thailand 50 32.7 60 57.7 48.4

    Vietnam 42.5 33.3 60 46.9 43.5

    Sri Lanka 36 30 50 49.7 38.7

    Source: BMI, Aranca Research, Note: explanation of the indicators given under appendix

    AUGUST

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    2525For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Strong policy support is crucial to thesectors development (1/2)

    Reduction in license

    fees

    The Government of India plans to cut license fees up to 33 per cent for operators

    that cover services for over 95 per cent of the residential areas in a calling circle

    The issuance of several international and national long-distance licenses has

    created opportunities and attracted new companies into the market

    Abolishment ofroaming charges

    During May 2012, the Union Cabinet declared to abolish roaming charges andallow mobile number portability even outside designated circles (without having to

    pay extra charges)

    Relaxed

    FDI norms

    FDI of up to 74 per cent is allowed in basic and cellular, unified access,

    national/international long distance, and V-Sat services as well as public mobile

    radio trucked services

    FDI of up to 100 per cent is permitted for infrastructure providers offering dark

    fibre, electronic mail and voice mail

    Allowed the use of

    WiMAX

    In August 2008, the DoT allowed operators to use WiMAX networks as an

    alternative to cable and DSL to offer voice services

    This would enable faster delivery of wireless broadband services

    Notes: FDI Foreign direct investment; TRAI Telecom Regulatory Authority of India; DoT Department of Telecommunication;

    WiMAX Worldwide interoperability for microwave access telecommunications. VoIP- Voice over Internet Protocol.

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    2626For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Strong policy support is crucial to thesectors development (2/2)

    Set up internet

    connections

    The Department of Information Technology intends to set up over 1 mill ion

    internet-enabled common service centres across India as per the National e-

    Governance Plan

    Expansion to rural

    areas

    The USOF identified 5,000 villages, and is in the process of developing a scheme to

    connect through wireless broadband

    It also intends to provide 888,832 broadband connections in rural areas by 2014

    The USOF also has plans to strengthen the OFC network in rural and remote

    areas

    Financial support The USOF is expected to extend financial support to operators providing service

    in rural areas and encourage active infrastructure sharing among the operators

    Notes: USOF Universal Service Obligation Fund; OFC Optical fibre cable

    Enhanced spectrum

    limit

    An increase in the prescribed limit on spectrum from 6.2MHz to 2x8 MHz (paired

    spectrum) for GSM technology in all areas other than Delhi and Mumbai where it

    will be 2x10MHz (paired spectrum)

    Telecom players can however obtain additional frequency; there will be an auction

    of spectrum subject to the limits prescribed for merger of licenses

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    2727For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    National Telecom Policy - 2012

    Broadband for all witha minimum download

    speed of 2Mbps

    Liberalisation ofspectrum, and

    convergence of network,services and devices

    Unified licensing,delinking of spectrum

    from license, online real-time submission and

    processing

    Aims at a One Nation-One license regime withno roaming charges and

    nation wide numberportability

    Increase ruralteledensity from 39 to

    70 per cent by 2017, and100 per cent by 2020 National Telecom

    Policy - 2012

    AUGUST

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    2828For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Foreign investments flowingin (1/2)

    Cumulative FDI inflows into the telecom sector over

    April 2000 Feb 2012 amounted to USD12.6 billion

    During this period, FDI into the sector accounted for

    an 8 per cent share of total FDI inflows into the

    country

    FDI inflows into telecommunication (USD million)

    Source:Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion,

    Aranca Research

    Note: FY12* -Figures are from April 2011 to February 2012

    Notes: FDI Foreign direct investment

    478

    1261

    2558 2554

    1665

    1995

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12*

    AUGUST

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    2929For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH DRIVERS

    Telecommunications

    Foreign investments flowingin (2/2)

    In 2010, the telecom sectors M&A deal value stood at

    USD14.6 billion (29.4 per cent of the total M&A deal

    value)

    Source: Thomson Banker, Deal Tracker, Aranca Research

    Notes: M&A Merger and acquisition

    Merger and Acquisition deals (2010 to 2012)

    Target Acquirer

    Acquisitio

    n price

    (USD

    million)

    Division

    acquired

    Qualcomm India Pvt

    Ltd

    Bharti Airtel Ltd

    (2012)

    165 Broadband

    wireless access

    Zains African

    operations

    Bharti Airtel Ltd

    (2010)11 Entire business

    Radiacion

    Kavveri Telecom

    Products Ltd

    (2011)

    27.5 Telecom unit

    Kavveri Telecom

    Products Ltd

    Investor Group

    (2010)9.9 -

    Tata AutoComp

    Mobility

    TrimbleNavigation Ltd

    (2010)

    5.1 -

    Eduexel Infotainment

    Ltd

    Discovery

    Infoways Ltd

    (2010)

    0.9 -

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    3030

    Contents

    Advantage India

    Market overview and trends

    Growth drivers

    Success stories: Airtel, Vodafone

    Opportunities

    Useful information

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

    2012

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    3131For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SUCCESS STORIES: AIRTEL, VODAFONE

    Bharti Airtel: An inspiring success story (1/2)

    Telecommunications

    Set up in 1995, Bharti Airtel is Indias largest mobile operator with presence in all of Indias 22 circles

    It is the countrys leading mobile operator with a customer base of more than 0.3 billion (as of March 2012)

    In 2010, Bharti established a major outsourcing

    relationship with IBM, which gave IBM full control and

    ownership ofBhartis IT infrastructure and associated

    processes

    Bhartis revenues increased from USD3.8 billion inFY07 to USD14.9 billion in FY12, a CAGR of 31.4 per

    cent

    Revenues (in USD billion)

    Source:Company Annual report, Aranca Research

    3.8

    5.6

    7.88.7

    12.4

    14.9

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

    2012

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    3232For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SUCCESS STORIES: AIRTEL, VODAFONE

    Bharti Airtel: An inspiring success story (2/2)

    Telecommunications

    Bharti has over 251.6 million subscribers, out of which

    mobile service subscription accounts for 95.8 per cent

    (FY12)

    The total subscriber base has grown at a CAGR of

    45.2 per cent to 251.6 million from 37.1 million overFY07-12

    Mobile subscribers (in million)

    Source:Company Annual Report 2012, Aranca Research

    37.162.0

    94.5

    131.3

    211.9

    241.2

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    200.0

    250.0

    300.0

    FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

    2012

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    3333For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SUCCESS STORIES: AIRTEL, VODAFONE

    Vodafone :Indias third-largest mobileoperator (1/2)

    Telecommunications

    Set up in 1994, it is Indias leading mobile operator with more than 150.5 million customers as of March 2012

    In February 2007, Vodafone unveiled a high-growth

    five-year strategy for India to offer low-cost handsets

    and wireless connectivity to the countrys rural areas

    In August 2008, Vodafone introduced Apples iPhone

    to the Indian market

    Vodafone's revenues from India grew at a CAGR of

    27.4 per cent over FY07-12; revenues stood at USD6.7

    billion in FY12

    Revenues (in USD billion)

    Source:Media news ,Aranca Research

    2.0

    3.3

    4.2

    4.8

    5.6

    6.7

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

    2012

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    3434For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SUCCESS STORIES: AIRTEL, VODAFONE

    Vodafone :Indias third-largest mobileoperator (2/2)

    Telecommunications

    Vodafones customer subscription grew at a CAGR of

    38.7 per cent over 2007-11 (to 150.5 million)

    Vodafone Group plans to invest heavily in the

    establishment of a fibre-optic network in India

    Vodafone plans to invest USD400-500 million by 2015

    to purchase 3G equipment

    Number of subscriptions (in million)

    Source:BMI Report, Aranca Research

    Note: 2012*- figures are as of February 2012

    39.9

    60.9

    91.4

    124.3

    147.7 150.5

    0.0

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    100.0

    120.0

    140.0

    160.0

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*

    2012

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    3535

    Contents

    Advantage India

    Market overview and trends

    Growth drivers

    Success stories: Airtel, Vodafone

    Opportunities

    Useful information

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

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    3636For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org OPPORTUNITIES

    Opportunities (1/2)

    The number of wireless

    subscribers is expected toreach approximately 1

    billion by 2014

    Of the total subscribers,

    around 572 million are

    likely to be from urban

    areas and the rest would

    be rural subscribers (468million)

    The ru ral teledensity is

    expected to reach 70percent by 2017 from the

    current 39.2 per cent

    Rural telecom users are

    set to account for over 60

    per cent of the handsets

    market (by volume) by

    2012

    The Internet penetration is

    expected to grow steadilyand is expected to be

    bolstered by government

    policy

    The current broadband

    penetration rate is 1.5 per

    cent and is likely to be 9.4

    per cent by 2015

    The country is expected to

    feature among the top 10

    broadband markets by 2013

    Increasing mobile subscribers Untapped rural marketsRising internet

    penetration

    Telecommunications

    Source:Press information bureau, Government of India ,Aranca Research

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    3737For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org OPPORTUNITIES

    Opportunities (2/2)

    Telecom infrastructu re is

    expected to increase at aCAGR of 20 per cent

    during 200815 to reach

    571,000 towers in 2015

    TRAI has made several

    recommendations for the

    development of telecom

    infrastructure includingtax benefits and

    recognising telecom

    infrastructure as essential

    infrastructure

    The Indian Mobile Value-

    Added Services (MVAS)industry is expected to

    reach USD5.8 billion by

    2013, from USD2.0 billion

    in 2009

    The Indian cloud

    computing market is

    expected to grow at aCAGR of 76 per cent over

    the period till 2012 (to

    USD15-18 billion)

    The production of electronic

    and related equipmenttouched USD19.8 billion in

    FY12

    It is anticipated to reach

    USD52.0 billion by 2020

    NTP 2012 is likely to fuel

    further growth with its

    Broad for all schemes and

    policies to increase rural

    penetration

    Development of telecom

    infrastructureGrowth in MVAS and Cloud

    computing

    Telecom equipment market

    Telecommunications

    Source:Press information bureau ,Government of India ,Aranca Research

    Notes: VAS: Value-added services, NTP- National Telecom Policy

    2012

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    3838

    Contents

    Advantage India

    Market overview and trends

    Growth drivers

    Success stories: Airtel, Vodafone

    Opportunities

    Useful information

    For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    TelecommunicationsAUGUST

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    3939For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org USEFUL INFORMATION

    Industry Associations

    Telecommunications

    Association Of Unified Telecom Serv ice Providers Of India (AUSPI)B-601, Gauri Sadan 5, Hailey Road, New Delhi 110 001, India

    Tel: 91 11 23358585

    Fax: 91 11 23327397

    Website: http://www.auspi.in/

    Association Of Competitive Telecom Operators (ACTO)601, Nirmal Tower, 26, Barakhamba Road, Connaught Place, New Delhi 110 001, IndiaTel.: 91 11 43565353 / 43575353

    Fax: 91 11 43515353

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Website: www.acto.in

    Internet & Mobile Association Of India (IAMAI)F-36, Basement, East of Kailash, New Delhi 110 065, India

    Tel: 91 11 46570328

    E-mail: [email protected]: w ww.iww w.iamai.in

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    4040For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    Appendix

    BMI telecoms business environment ratings Industry rewards: it considers Average revenue per users, number of subscribers, subscriber growth, and number

    of operators

    Country rewards: it considers urban/rural split, age range, GDP per capita, USD

    Industry risks: it considers regulatory independence

    Country risk: it rates the country on short-term external risk, policy continuity, legal framework corruption

    Telecom ratings: overall rating of the above indicators

    USEFUL INFORMATION

    Telecommunications 2012

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    4141For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    Glossary (1/2)

    BWA: Broadband wireless access CAGR : Compound annual growth rate DoT: Department of Telecommunication FDI: Foreign direct investment FTTH: Fibre to the home FY: Indian financial year (April to March) IMF: International Monetary Fund INR: Indian Rupee IPTV Internet protocol television M&A: Mergers and acquisitions MoU: Minutes of use per month and per subscriber MPEG: Moving Picture Experts Group

    USEFUL INFORMATION

    Telecommunications 2012

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    4242For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org

    Glossary (2/2)

    OFC: Optical fibre cable TRAI: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India USOF: Universal Service Obligation Fund USD: US Dollar

    Conversion rate used: USD1 = INR48, HKD1 = USD0.128, GBP1 = USD1.854

    VAS: Value-added services WiMAX: Worldwide Interoperability for microwave access telecommunications Wherever applicable, numbers have been rounded off to the nearest whole number

    USEFUL INFORMATION

    Telecommunications 2012

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    Telecommunications 2012