team3_2012
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
1/20
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
2/20
Overview
2 reservoirs (Convection Center, Santa Monica)
Convection Center reservoir to be developed
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
3/20
Objective
DETERMINE:
Cumulative oil production
Cumulative gas production
GOR and pressure depletion
Optimum number of wells
Total Revenue and rate of return
MAKE MONEY!!!!
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
4/20
4 Scenarios Investigated
Case 0: No secondary recovery
Case 1: Returning 50% of produced gas from beginning
Case 2: Returning 50% of produced gas after reservoir pressure declinesto 1000 psia
Case 3: Returning all of produced gas into the reservoir
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
5/20
Assumptions
1. Gas-Oil Contact remains constant and the gas resulting from gas-capexpansion diffuses throughout the oil column.
2. Injection wells are to be considered separate from production wells;however producing wells can be converted to gas injection if needed.
3. The reservoir will be blown-down to recover the gas upon completion
of the primary recovery.4. Rig constrain Maximum of 4 wells can be drilled at one time
5. Drilling time is averaging about 30 days.
6. The gas is separated from the oil at surface separator pressure of 400psig.
7. The estimated cost of gas compression is $1/Mscf. (includes facilities)8. Non-Darcy effects for gas injection are negligible.
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
6/20
Volumetrics
Reservoir with gas cap
Volume based on frustum of pyramid
Calculated with
Area of the reservoir 2400 acres
Area of Oil-Gas Contact 600 acres
Area of Top of Gas Cap 300 acres
Average Thickness 55 ft in the oil zone
5 ft in the gas cap
Volume occupied by oil 77,000 ft-acresVolume occupied by gas 7,000 ft-acres
=31+2+ 12
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
7/20
Reservoir with gas cap
To calculate Oil-In-Place
To calculate Gas-In-Place
To calculate m
Reservoir Volume
Initial Oil in Place (N) 83.304 MMSTB
Initial Gas in Place (G) 26,041.82 MMSCF
m 0.5104
=
7758 1
= 43,560 1
=
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
8/20
Excel
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
9/20
Designing Excel Macro Steps
Step 1: Set Initial conditions (which is at bubble point at Pb =
1,580 psia )
Step 2: Material balance equation
= + + 1
12
0
+
12
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
10/20
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
11/20
Production Model
Limitations
Number of years = 10 Economic limit = 5 STB/day
Minimum Spacing = 10 acres
Maximum Allowable Rate per well = 300 STB/day
Modeled Production based on Hyperbolic Decline model
D = 0.61 year-1
b = 0.8
=
11 1
= 1 + 1
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
12/20
Forecasting
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
13/20
Cumulative Production against time
Npvs. t
Gpvs. t
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
14/20
Graph of Pressure decline & GOR
GOR vs. t
P vs. t
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
15/20
Summary of production and NPV (after-tax)
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
16/20
Results: Optimum number of wells &Recovery Factor
Optimum number of wells
Recovery Factor
Case # Case Well #
0 No gas injection 89
1 50% gas injection at all P 112
2 50% gas injection below 1,000 psia 99
3 100% gas injection 164
Case # Case Recovery Factor
0 No gas injection 26.71%1 50% gas injection at all P 31.08%
2 50% gas injection below 1,000 psia 28.23%
3 100% gas injection 40.82%
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
17/20
NPV
ROR
Results: NPV and ROR comparisons
Case # Case
no stimulation stimulation
0 No gas injection 110.83 69.72
1 50% gas injection at all P 277.91 226.82
2 50% gas injection below 1,000 psia 165.03 119.52
3 100% gas injection 569.94 497.30
NPV ($ Million)
Case # Case
no stimulation stimulation
0 No gas injection 2.28% 1.41%1 50% gas injection at all P 5.34% 4.28%
2 50% gas injection below 1,000 psia 3.32% 2.36%
3 100% gas injection 9.72% 8.33%
ROR
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
18/20
Results: Payback Time
Case # Case
no stimulation stimulation
0 No gas injection 7.93 8.63
1 50% gas injection at all P 6.34 6.85
2 50% gas injection below 1,000 psia 7.29 7.91
3 100% gas injection 5.13 5.55
Payback time (years)
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
19/20
Conclusions and Recommendations
Based on the assumptions made, our management recommend Scenario 3
(which is to inject all the produced gas back to the reservoir). Why?
1. Shortest payback time
2. Highest NPV at 10 years
3. Highest Rate Of Return (ROR)
4. Highest Recovery Factor
Number ofwells: 164
NPV = $569.94Million
No Stimulation
NPV = $497.3 Million
Stimulation
-
8/13/2019 TEAM3_2012
20/20
Any Questions?
THANK YOU!!!!!