tcia winter conf - strategic thinking / planning

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TCIA WMC 2011 Achieving Business Excellence While at a beautiful Caribbean resort… in the middle of winter… at 9 am… the morning after the Super Bowl!!!

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TCIA Winter Management Conference opening Keynote by John Spence on Strategic Thinking / Strategic Planning

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Achieving Business Excellence

While at a beautiful Caribbean resort… in the middle of winter… at 9 am… the morning after the Super Bowl!!!

Page 2: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Most people are so busy working IN

their business that they do not take any time to work ON their business.

Page 3: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

…chaos brings opportunity

For those that are prepared…

Page 4: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Learning Objectives:

• Understand what it takes to be an effective “Strategic Thinker.”

• Discuss common mistakes in writing strategic business plans.

• Look at all of the major elements of creating a robust strategic business plan.

• Identify guidelines on how often to review your strategy, adjust and change or be flexible.

• Provide each participant with numerous tools, ideas and skills to apply when creating a detailed and realistic strategic business plan.

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TCIA WMC 2011

Do NOT freak out!

• I have a ton to cover and I will go pretty fast.• Please take notes and ask questions.• I am happy to answer any of your questions, offer

advice and recommend books at any time.

The slides and a full strategic planning workbook are already posted at:

www.SlideShare.net/johnspence

Page 6: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Page 7: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

For the past 21 years…

Page 8: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

What does this mean to me?

How can I use this idea?

What can I do right away?

I am NOT a guru…

Page 9: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Most people think of:S.W.O.T.

Competitive PositioningCustomer Intimacy / CRM

Industry trendsGlobal trends

Regulatory / Political IssuesM.E.C.E.KRA’s

Strategic ThrustsCorporate Objectives

SMART GoalsMBO

2

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TCIA WMC 2011

2

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TCIA WMC 2011

What strategy is not…• More, better, faster is not a strategy.• Effectiveness and efficiency are

necessary… but not sufficient.• Superb execution of fundamental

business processes… is expected.• Being extremely good at what you are

supposed to be good at… gets you no extra credit at all.

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TCIA WMC 2011

“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication” Leonardo da Vinci

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TCIA WMC 2011Do you have a clearly focused and well-communicated strategy for success?

Effective Strategy =

Valued Differentiation x Execution

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TCIA WMC 2011

Key Point: Strategy is INTERNAL

as well as EXTERNAL

Page 15: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Five Foundations of Effective Strategic Thinking

Business Acumen

Personal Experience

Pattern Recognition

Strategic Insight

Disciplined Execution 2

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TCIA WMC 2011

The Four – I’s

• Ignorance

• Inflexibility

• Indifference

• Inconsistency2

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TCIA WMC 2011

How to avoid the Four I’s

• Aggressive external market focus.

• Aggressive customer focus.

• Keep the “Main Things” the main things.

• Bullish on knowledge sharing and learning.

• Passion and commitment at all levels.

• Foster a healthy paranoia.

• Revel in change.2

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TCIA WMC 2011

From the CEO of a little 182 billion dollar company…

“Look, what is strategy but resource allocation?

When you strip away all the noise, that’s what it

comes down to. Strategy means making clear-cut

choices about how to compete. You cannot be

everything to everybody, no matter what the size your

business or how deep its pockets. You have to figure

out what to say “NO” to.”Jeffrey Immelt

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TCIA WMC 2011

To get the most from our session together…

It is absolutely critical that you be brutally honest with yourself today.

3

So let's get started with

a little self-test…

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TCIA WMC 2011

A short diatribe before we get to the business models…

• I don’t like benchmarking.• I think copying other businesses is stupid!• Typically, by the time people start benchmarking a

company five years has past since they initiated their strategies.

• There is no way to guarantee that what worked for them will work for you…

• But what I absolutely can guarantee is… you will not come up with any innovative, effective or remarkable strategies completely on your own. You must look around you to find good ideas… then take those ideas and make them better as you apply them to your specific challenges and opportunities.

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TCIA WMC 2011

Charlie Trotter’s 4

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TCIA WMC 2011

Lessons from seven top CEOs

• Have an outside-in perspective

• Be deeply passionate about your job

• Understand the importance of culture

• Create or adapt next generation products, processes and solutions

• Implement the best ideas regardless of origin

4

From: What the Best CEOs Know by Krames

Dell, Welch, Gerstner, Grove, Gates, Kelleher, Walton = 696 B

1-10

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TCIA WMC 2011

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The Toyota Way• Challenging Vision

– We form a long-term vision, meeting challenges with courage and creativity to realize our dreams.

• Kaizen– We improve our business operations continuously, always driving for

innovation and evolution.

• Genchi Genbutsu– We go to the source to find the facts to make correct decisions, build

consensus, and achieve our goals at our best speed.

• Respect, Challenge and Help your People and Suppliers– We respect others, make every effort to understand each other, take

responsibility and do our best to build mutual trust.

• Teamwork– We stimulate personal and professional growth, share the opportunities

of development, and maximize individual and team performance.

5

1-10

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TCIA WMC 2011

In-depth study of 25 top companies renowned for building winning corporate cultures…

• GE• Dell• Wal-Mart• Toyota• Nordstrom• Starbucks

• Southwest Airlines• IBM• P&G• Whole Foods• Ritz Carlton• Intel

The pattern of six common traits for all of these firms…

From Results Rule by Randy Pennington

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TCIA WMC 2011

They understand that: Results Rule!

1. Tell themselves the truth and value candor and honesty.

2. Pursue the best over the easiest in every situation.

3. Leverage the power of partnerships both internally and externally.

4. Focus the energy to make the main things the main thing.

5. Show the courage of accountability.

6. Learn, grow and improve every single day.

From Results Rule by Randy Pennington

51-10

Page 27: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011Is Your Company Up To Speed?

Fast Company June 2003

Pages 6 - 7

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TCIA WMC 2011

Good to Great:1,483 to 11400 – 700%15+ years

8

Page 29: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Twice weekly surveys for five years of 2,000+ senior managers and executives at:

• IBM• GE• Morgan Stanley• Merck• 3M• Microsoft• CIGNA• Heineken• MasterCard

• Fidelity• Motorola• Ikon• American Express• Progressive• Bank of America• AT&T• SAP• Borders 8

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TCIA WMC 2011

Keys to effective management…

• Communicate clearly

• Force the hard decisions

• Focus on results

• Remain flexible to change

• Prove your value to the customer

• Force collaboration

• Rigorous but not ruthless

8

1 - 10

From: Think Big – Act Small by Jennings

Page 31: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

The Evergreen Project

10 year study of 160 top companies

40 distinct industries

200 management practices

Winners, climbers, tumblers, losers

Winners had an average Total Return to Shareholders of 945%... The

Losers only averaged a TRS of 62%

From: What (really) Works by Joyce, Nohria, Roberson 9

Page 32: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

The Four Primary Practices:1. A sharply focused, clearly communicated and

well-understood strategy for growth.

2. Flawless operational execution that consistently delivers the value proposition.

3. A performance-oriented culture that does not tolerate mediocrity.

4. A fast, flexible, flat organization that reduces bureaucracy and simplifies work.

From: What (really) Works by Joyce, Nohria, Roberson

9

Page 33: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

The Secondary Management Practices:

• Talent = find and keep the best people.

• Key leaders show commitment and enthusiasm for the business.

• Embrace strategic innovation.

• Master the power of partnerships.

From: What (really) Works by Joyce, Nohria, Roberson

Score yourself on the 1–10 scale for all eight practices on page 9

Page 34: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Individual Workshop• Go back and look at all of your audits.• Where were your low scores, where were your high

scores – what is the pattern?• Look over your notes – what were the key themes?

What are the most important ideas?• Answers all the questions on pages 10 – 12.• Put in as much detail as possible.• Be very honest with yourself.• Think in terms of Actions and Outcomes.

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TCIA WMC 2011

Thinking to Planning

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TCIA WMC 2011

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TCIA WMC 2011

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Page 38: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

What Business Planning is Not !• Business planning does not attempt to make

future decisions.

• Business planning is not forecasting.

• Business planning is not an attempt to blueprint the future.

• Business planning is not necessarily the preparation of massive plans and reports.

• Business planning is not an effort to replace good management judgment.

17

Page 39: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Why Planning Pays OffAsks & answers questions of importance.

Simulates the future.

Forces the setting of objectives.

Gives a framework for decisions.

Develops performance measurements.

Improves communications.

18

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TCIA WMC 2011

NITB

Page 41: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

The Key: a VERY honest and thorough SWOT analysis

Workshop24 - 27

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TCIA WMC 2011

83%

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TCIA WMC 2011

What makes a winning strategy?

Unique Coherent Deliverable Evolving

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Page 44: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Common Problems• Putting It Off• Idea inflation• Diluted priorities• Vague goals• No execution plan!!!

Page 45: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

The Organizational Framework for Effective Execution

WHO WHAT HOW

Cross-FunctionalTeams

Senior Leadership

Departments

Adapted from: Six Disciplines Execution Revolution

Individuals

Planning RetreatQuarterly Workshops

GoalsTracking

Dashboard

Status ReportsStatus Meetings

Workshops

Status ReportsRegular Meetings

Coaching

IndividualsTactical PlansAction ItemsTo-do Lists

NITB

Page 46: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Review of the plan?

• Twice yearly Strategic Planning Retreat – 1 to 2 days

• Monthly “quick check” meetings 2 – 3 hours

• Weekly Senior team alignment review – 1 hour or less

• Carry plan to every strategic meeting

Page 47: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Assessing the Strategic Situation

Simplicity Complexity

Certainty Uncertainty

Knowing Forecasting

Proactive Adaptive

Strategic Planning

Scenario Planning

Page 48: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Scenario Planning…Scenario Planning…

Is a process that stimulates imaginative and creative thinking to better prepare an organization by rehearsing for the future to avoid surprises and break

through the illusion of certainty.

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Page 49: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

The Harvard Scenario Planning

Model:

• Key Focal Issue

• Driving Forces

• Critical Uncertainties

• Scenario Framework

• Scenarios

• Narratives

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Page 50: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Critical Uncertainties

• BEGIN with the top two most relevant uncertainties that impact your scenario.

36

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TCIA WMC 2011

Example: Boat Company

Critical Uncertainties:

Gas Prices / Recession 36

Page 52: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Scenario Framework: 2 Critical Uncertainties / 4 Scenarios

Short

Short

Long

Long

How long will gas prices stay high in US?

How long willthe US

recession last? Hold on -stay domestic -slow production

Invest in electric engine

R&D

Close factories

Focus on international

business-move production offshore

36

Page 53: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Possible Scenarios1. Short / Short = Hold on

2. Short / Long = New engines

3. Long / Short = Close factories

4. Long / Long = Go international

Now for each you would create a Narrative Story… and remember, there may be multiple critical uncertainties that generate multiple scenarios!

Page 54: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

• Probability

• Impact

• Trigger Points

Then for each scenario…

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TCIA WMC 2011

10 – 15 %

Page 56: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

What Inhibits Execution?National Survey of 4,000 Senior Executives

4. Inability to work together (21%)

3. Company culture (23%)

2. Economic climate (29%)

1. Holding onto the past / unwillingness to CHANGE (35%)

Page 57: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011Where are we going + how will we behave on the way?

FocusDifferentiation“No”

Stakeholders + guiding collation

Vision + ValuesStrategyPlansGoals ObjectivesTactics / Actions

Procedures / ProtocolsRepeatable Process

Clear / consistent / relentless All available channels

Training +time / money /

supplies / people

Measure / TrackCommunicate

Transparency Renewal

Praise + Celebration and

Eliminate Mediocrity

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TCIA WMC 2011

Disciplined Execution Clear Vision

Detailed Strategy

Guiding Coalition

Alignment

Systems

Communication

Support

Adjust

Reward / Punish

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1 - 10

Page 59: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

Summary of Key Ideas• Major elements: thinking, planning, execution, review

• Strategic thinking = study + experience + pattern recognition

• Strategy = bold bets on resource allocation.

• What you say “No” to is a big part of strategy.

• Planning is a process.

• Analysis is critical – but it is not strategy.

• More, better, faster is not a strategy.

• This is not blueprinting the future.

• Keep it simple, focused and extremely well communicated.

• A plan for execution MUST be part of the Strategic Plan.

• Alignment + support + measurement + tracking + reward / punishment

• Contingency planning = probability & impact / trigger points

Page 60: TCIA Winter Conf - Strategic Thinking / Planning

TCIA WMC 2011

If you have any questions at all please do not hesitate to send a note or call. My email address is: [email protected]

My twitter address is: @awesomelysimple

Also, you might find value in the ideas I share in my blog. You can sign up for it at:

www.blog.johnspence.com

Lastly, these slides have already been uploaded to:

www.slideshare.net/johnspence