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Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decisions. This report should be read in conjunction with important disclosure information, including an attestation under Regulation Analyst Certification, found at the end of this report or at the following site: http://www.piperjaffray.com/researchdisclosures.

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Page 1: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project

Spring 2017

Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decisions. This report should be read in conjunction with important disclosure information, including an attestation under Regulation Analyst Certification, found at the end of this report or at the following site: http://www.piperjaffray.com/researchdisclosures.

Page 2: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

DISCLOSURES Disclosures for universe of: Sam Kemp, Stan Meyers, Nicole Miller Regan, Erinn Murphy, Mike Olson 1. I or a household member has a financial interest in the securities of the following companies: none 2. I or a household member is an officer, director, or advisory board member of the following companies: none 3. I have received compensation within the past 12 months from the following companies: none 4. Piper Jaffray or its affiliates beneficially own 1% or more of any class of common equities of the following companies: PBPB 5. Piper Jaffray has received compensation for investment banking services from or has had a client relationship with the following companies within the past 12 months: Kemp: GDDY, SHOP; Meyers: AMC; Miller Regan: BOJA, TACO 6. Piper Jaffray expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from the following companies in the next 3 months: Meyers: AMC; Miller Regan: BOJA 7. Within the past 12 months Piper Jaffray was a managing underwriter of a public offering of, or dealer manager of a tender offer for, the securities of the following companies: Kemp: GDDY, SHOP; Meyers: AMC; Miller Regan: BOJA 8. Piper Jaffray has received compensation for non-investment banking services from or has had a client relationship with the following companies within the past 12 months: Miller Regan: BBRG, DFRG, PLKI, SBUX, SONC, TACO; Murphy: CROX, SHOO 9. Piper Jaffray makes a market in the securities of the following companies, and will buy and sell the securities of these companies on a principal basis: Kemp: ETSY, FD, GDDY, GRPN, IAC, LOGM, WEB, YELP; Meyers: CBS, DIS, ENT, IMAX, NCMI, P, RGC, SIRI, VIAB; AKAM, ATVI, CHGG, CTRP, DLB, EA, EXPE, GLUU, GME, KING, NFLX, OUTR, PCLN, ROVI, TIVO, TRIP, TTWO, ZNGA; Miller Regan: BBRG, BJRI, BOJA, CAKE, CMG, DFRG, DNKN, DRI, EAT, FOGO, FRGI, HABT, MCD, NDLS, PBPB, PLKI, PNRA, QSR, RUTH, SBUX, SONC, TACO, ZOES; Murphy: COH, CROX, DECK, FINL, FIT, FL, FOSL, GCO, GIII, GPRO, JCP, JWN, KORS, KSS, NKE, PVH, SHOO, SQBG, UAA, WWW;;Olson: AAPL, AKAM, AMZN, ATVI, DLB, EA, EBAY, EXPE, MELI, NFLX, PCLN, TIVO, TRIP, TTWO, ZNGA 10. Piper Jaffray usually provides bids and offers for the securities of the following companies and will, from time to time, buy and sell the securities of these companies on a principal basis: Kemp: GOOG, MTCH, SHOP, SNAP; Meyers: AMC, AMCX, CKEC, LGF/A; Murphy: ADS GR, RL, VFC

Page 3: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

Investment Risks

Risks to achievement of investment objectives include, but are not limited to, the following:

• Reliance on key top management

• Changing consumer preferences

• Changes in input costs and raw materials

• Markdown risks

• Product flow and inventory disruptions

• Competition

• Lack of pricing power

• Deleveraging of fixed expenses

• Foreign exchange rate risk

• General macroeconomic uncertainty

Page 4: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

Global Fashion & Lifestyle Brands

Media & Devices

Questions & Answers

Appendix

Restaurants

Page 5: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

5 | Taking Stock With Teens

Survey is executed in partnership with DECA The source for all charts/tables within this report is Piper Jaffray.

National survey of teens measuring: • Spending Patterns • Channel Preferences • Product Trends & Cycles

16.0 Average Age

39% Part-Time Employed

1,400 teens Classroom visits and electronic

surveys

$100,000 Household income

Represents top 20% of

U.S. household units

4,100 teens Classroom visits and electronic

surveys

$55,000 Household income

Aligns more closely

with U.S. median

UPPER-INCOME GROUP

AVERAGE-INCOME GROUP

5,500 Responses

33rd Semi-Annual Proprietary Teen Research Project

Page 6: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

6 | Taking Stock With Teens

Top Handbag Brands

1 Michael Kors 33%

2 Kate Spade 19%

3 Coach 9%

4 Longchamp 5%

5 Louis Vuitton 5%

Top Footwear Brands

1 Nike 52%

2 Vans 9%

3 adidas 8%

4 Converse 6%

5 Steve Madden 2%

Top Clothing Brands

1 Nike 31%

2 American Eagle 10%

3 Forever 21 5%

4 lululemon 3%

5 adidasH&M

3%3%

Executive Summary

• Overall teen spending moved down 2.4% Y/Y; parent contribution to teen spend is at 63%, down from average 68% • Within the wallet, food & video games are multi-year share gainers; fashion moderates as % share of wallet • Food makes up 24% of teen budgets today eclipsing clothing of 19% • Starbucks is the only public brand to maintain double-digit mindshare, it was tied this survey cycle with Chick-fil-A at

12% preference • 24% of teen shop specialty today, down 300 bps Y/Y; pure-play e-com up 300 bps to 17% (new survey peak) • Teens’ favorite website is Amazon at 43% share—up 200 bps Y/Y • Snapchat and Instagram remain teens’ favorite platforms, but Facebook surprisingly held onto its teen engagement

despite heavy competition for teen attention • 81% of teens expect their next phone to be an iPhone, which was up from 79% in Fall 2016 and, more importantly, the

highest we’ve seen ever in the survey • Fashion lacks significant product cycle outside of athletic; athletic preferences continue to inch higher • Brand perspective: the fastest growing brand in our survey is adidas; Patagonia surprised to upside • Brands losing share/relevance: Under Armour, Michael Kors, The North Face, Ralph Lauren, Vineyard Vines • For console video games, the percent of teens who plan to digitally download >50% of games has increased to 45%

for Spring 2017 from 37% in Fall 2015

Page 7: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

Global Fashion & Lifestyle Brands Clothing, Shoes, Accessories & Connected Devices

36% of Teen Spending

Page 8: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

8 | Taking Stock With Teens

Total Teen Spending Is Down Slightly

Total teen spending is down 2.4% Y/Y; spending on fashion is consistent with a decline of 2.2% Y/Y

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Page 9: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

9 | Taking Stock With Teens

Basic Needs25%

Selfie Budget28%

Social Budget

47%

Basic Needs15%

Selfie Budget48%

Social Budget

37%

43%

36%

All Upper-Income Teens

What Is In A Teen’s Wallet Today?

21% Selfie Budget

Clothing, Accessories, Personal Care, &

Shoes

Basic Needs Electronics, Cars,

& Other

Social Budget Food, Video Games,

Music, Movies, Events, & Books

Female

Male

Page 10: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

10 | Taking Stock With Teens

Upper-Income Teen’s Wallet

Top Spending Categories For Teens

Male’s Wallet Share

1 Food 24%

2 Clothing 16%

3 Video Games 12%

Female’s Wallet Share

1 Clothing 25%

2 Food 23%

3Personal Care/ Accessories 16%

Page 11: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

11 | Taking Stock With Teens

Shopping Channel Preferences Indexing Online

TIME SPENT IN SHOPPING CHANNELS (UPPER-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016 Fall 2016 Spring 2017 Peak Specialty 27% 27% 27% 26% 27% 27% 26% 24% 47%Major Chain / Dept Store 18% 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 17% 16% 33%Off-Price 12% 10% 13% 13% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12%Discount 12% 13% 14% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 17%Outlet 14% 13% 13% 12% 13% 12% 15% 14% 16%Mail order 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7%Online Only eTailers 10% 13% 11% 13% 14% 14% 15% 17% 17%

45%

41%

17%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Fall2013

Spring2014

Fall2014

Spring2015

Fall2015

Spring2016

Fall2016

Spring2017

Onl

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aile

rs

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re /

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ialty

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Dept Store / Specialty Retailer Online Only eTailers

Page 12: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

12 | Taking Stock With Teens

Amazon As Top Website For Teens Upper-Income Teens

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Amazon 38% 1 Amazon 41% 1 Amazon 40% 1 Amazon 43%2 Nike 8% 2 Nike 5% 2 Nike 8% 2 Nike 5%3 eBay 4% 3 Forever 21 5% 3 American Eagle 4% 3 American Eagle 5%4 Forever 21 3% 4 eBay 3% 4 eBay 3% 4 Forever 21 3%5 Urban Outfitters 3% 5 American Eagle 3% 5 Forever 21 2% 5 eBay 2%6 American Eagle 2% Victoria's Secret 3% 6 Urban Outfitters 2% 6 Urban Outfitters 2%7 Eastbay 2% 7 Urban Outfitters 3% 7 Nordstrom 1% 7 Victoria's Secret 2%8 Victoria's Secret 2% 8 Eastbay 2% 8 Victoria's Secret 1% 8 lululemon 1%9 Nordstrom 2% 9 Dick's Sporting Goods 1% 9 Hollister 1% PacSun 1%10 PacSun 1% 10 PacSun 1% PacSun 1% 10 Zumiez 1%

From 2014 to 2016, we estimate AMZN’s Softlines Dollars Grew From $12.4B to $21.7B; 56% of the overall industry growth

56%

27%

16% 12%

7%

(4%)

(13%)

Amazon Off-Price FastFashion

Discounters Athletic Specialty DepartmentStores

Contribution To North American Softlines Growth (CY14-CY16E)

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13 | Taking Stock With Teens

Athletic Is A Multi-Year Trend; Not A Cycle Favorite Apparel Brand, Upper-Income Teens

• Nike remains the No. 1 apparel brand with 31% share—up from 21% last year

• Lululemon now the No. 4 preferred apparel brand at 3% share vs. 1% last year

• Adidas tied for No. 5 at 3% share—vs. No. 10 at 2% share last year

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 27% 1 Nike 21% 1 Nike 29% 1 Nike 31%2 Forever 21 7% 2 American Eagle 8% 2 American Eagle 9% 2 American Eagle 10%3 American Eagle 6% 3 Forever 21 7% 3 Forever 21 5% 3 Forever 21 5%4 Ralph Lauren 5% 4 Ralph Lauren 6% 4 Ralph Lauren 4% 4 lululemon 3%5 Urban Outfitters 3% 5 Hollister 4% 5 Urban Outfitters 3% 5 Adidas 3%6 PacSun 2% 6 PacSun 3% 6 H&M 3% H&M 3%7 Free People 2% 7 Urban Outfitters 3% 7 PacSun 2% 7 Hollister 2%8 H&M 2% Victoria's Secret 3% 8 Adidas 2% 8 Urban Outfitters 2%9 Vineyard Vines 2% 9 H&M 3% 9 Vineyard Vines 2% Vans 2%10 Nordstrom 2% 10 Adidas 2% 10 Victoria's Secret 2% 10 PacSun 2%

Ralph Lauren 2%

Page 14: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

14 | Taking Stock With Teens

Athletic Is A Multi-Year Trend; Not A Cycle Favorite Apparel Brand, Upper-Income Teens

41% of teen names an athletic apparel brand as their preferred apparel brand (unaided)

Page 15: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

15 | Taking Stock With Teens

Athletic Is A Multi-Year Trend; Not A Cycle Favorite Footwear Brand, Upper-Income Teens

• Over 50% of teens favor Nike; all-time survey high

• Adidas is now the No. 3 brand at 8% share vs. the No. 4 brand at 4% share

• Converse & Vans saw slight contraction in share year-over-year, led by men’s

• Steve Madden rounds out the top five

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 50% 1 Nike 48% 1 Nike 51% 1 Nike 52%2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 10% 2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 9%3 Converse 7% 3 Converse 7% 3 Converse 7% 3 Adidas 8%4 Sperry 4% 4 Adidas 4% 4 Adidas 6% 4 Converse 6%5 Steve Madden 3% 5 Sperry 3% 5 Steve Madden 2% 5 Steve Madden 3%6 DSW 3% 6 DSW 3% 6 Sperry 2% 6 Sperry 2%7 Adidas 2% 7 Steve Madden 3% 7 DSW 2% 7 DSW 2%8 Foot Locker 1% 8 Foot Locker 2% 8 Birkenstock 2% 8 Foot Locker 1%9 Birkenstock 1% 9 UGG 1% 9 Foot Locker 1% 9 Birkenstock 1%

Nordstrom 1% 10 TOMS 1% 10 Nordstrom 1% 10 Payless ShoeSource 1%UGG 1%

Page 16: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

16 | Taking Stock With Teens

Athletic Is A Multi-Year Trend; Not A Cycle Favorite Footwear Brand, Upper-Income Males

Page 17: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

17 | Taking Stock With Teens

Athletic Is A Multi-Year Trend; Not A Cycle Favorite Footwear Brand, Upper-Income Females

Page 18: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

18 | Taking Stock With Teens

adidas Share Hits Ten-Year High For Males Favorite Footwear Brand, Upper-Income Males

Page 19: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

19 | Taking Stock With Teens

adidas Share Pushes Past Peak Among Females Favorite Footwear Brand, Upper-Income Females

Page 20: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

20 | Taking Stock With Teens

Patagonia On The Rise--Or Shall We Say Pata“Gucci”

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 72% 1 Nike 71% 1 Nike 71% 1 Nike 69%2 lululemon 7% 2 Adidas 7% 2 lululemon 7% 2 Adidas 8%3 Under Armour 6% 3 Under Armour 5% 3 Adidas 7% 3 lululemon 7%4 Adidas 4% 4 lululemon 5% 4 Under Armour 6% 4 Under Armour 7%5 The North Face 1% 5 The North Face 1% 5 Athleta 1% 5 Patagonia 1%

The North Face 1%

Brands Teens Are Starting To Wear (Upper-Income Males)

Preferred Athletic Apparel Brand—Patagonia Hits Top Five

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 13% 1 Nike 11% 1 Nike 13% 1 Adidas 10%2 Ralph Lauren 11% 2 Ralph Lauren 10% 2 Ralph Lauren 10% 2 Nike 9%3 Adidas 6% 3 Adidas 7% 3 Adidas 8% 3 Ralph Lauren 6%4 Vineyard Vines 6% 4 American Eagle 4% 4 American Eagle 5% 4 American Eagle 5%5 Under Armour 4% 5 Vineyard Vines 3% 5 Vineyard Vines 5% 5 Under Armour 4%6 American Eagle 4% 6 Under Armour 3% 6 Under Armour 5% 6 Patagonia 3%7 Vans 3% 7 Vans 3% 7 Vans 3% 7 Vans 3%8 H&M 2% 8 Hollister 2% 8 H&M 2% 8 lululemon 2%9 Tommy Hilfiger 2% 9 New Balance 2% 9 lululemon 2% 9 Gucci 2%10 RVCA 2% 10 Four Brands Tied 2% 10 Hollister 2% 10 Vineyard Vines 2%

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21 | Taking Stock With Teens

Teens Talk Trends – Casual & Athletic For Males Top Fashion Trends Right Now, Upper-Income Males

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike/Jordans 18% 1 Nike/Jordans 20% 1 Nike/Jordans 19% 1 Nike / Jordans 18%2 Preppy 8% 2 Jogger Pants 12% 2 Jogger Pants 8% 2 Jogger Pants 8%

Ralph Lauren 8% 3 Ralph Lauren 6% 3 Vineyard Vines 7% 3 Athletic Wear 6%4 Vineyard Vines 8% 4 Preppy 6% 4 Athletic Wear 6% 4 Khakis / Chinos 5%5 Jogger Pants 7% 5 Athletic Wear 5% 5 Khakis/Chinos 6% 5 Adidas 4%6 Boat Shoes 5% 6 Hair / Man Buns 5% 6 Preppy 6% 6 lululemon 4%

Khakis/Chinos 5% Khakis/Chinos 5% 7 Ralph Lauren 4% 7 Ripped Jeans 3%8 Athletic Wear 4% 8 Vineyard Vines 4% 8 Tall Socks 4% 8 Preppy 3%9 Tall Socks 4% 9 Boat Shoes 3% 9 Boat Shoes 3% 9 Jeans 3%10 Shoes 3% 10 Tall Socks 2% 10 Adidas 2% 10 Timberland 2%

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22 | Taking Stock With Teens

Teens Talk Trends – The 90s For Females Top Fashion Trends Right Now, Upper-Income Females

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Leggings/lululemon 24% 1 Leggings/lululemon 23% 1 Leggings/lululemon 25% 1 Leggings / lululemon 25%2 Nike / Jordans 5% 2 Victoria's Secret 7% 2 Birkenstock 6% 2 Chokers 11%3 Birkenstock 5% 3 Converse 6% 3 Victoria's Secret 5% 3 Converse 5%4 Converse 4% 4 Nike / Jordans 6% 4 Converse 4% 4 Victoria's Secret 4%5 Victoria's Secret 4% 5 Boots 3% 5 Ripped Jeans 4% 5 Adidas 4%6 Crop Tops 3% 6 Crop Tops 3% 6 Jeans 3% 6 Ripped Jeans 4%7 Short Shorts 2% 7 Athletic Wear 2% 7 Adidas 3% 7 Jeans 3%8 Rompers 2% 8 Jeans 2% 8 Bralettes 3% 8 Boots 3%

Vineyard Vines 2% 9 Michael Kors 2% 9 Nike / Jordans 3% 9 Nike / Jordans 2%10 Dresses 2% 10 Adidas 2% 10 Chokers 3% 10 UGG 2%

Page 23: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

23 | Taking Stock With Teens

Brands Teens No Longer Wear… Upper-Income Males

Upper-Income Females

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Gap 13% 1 Gap 13% 1 Adidas 10% 1 Under Armour 11%2 Adidas 10% 2 Adidas 9% 2 Gap 10% 2 Gap 10%3 Abercrombie & Fitch 8% 3 Abercrombie & Fitch 7% 3 Under Armour 7% 3 Adidas 9%4 Under Armour 6% 4 Nike 7% 4 Nike 6% 4 Nike 7%5 Nike 5% 5 Under Armour 6% 5 Reebok 6% 5 Reebok 6%6 Aeropostale 4% 6 Hollister 5% 6 Skechers 5% 6 Aeropostale 6%7 Hollister 4% 7 Reebok 5% 7 Puma 5% 7 Puma 4%8 Reebok 4% 8 Aeropostale 4% 8 Abercrombie & Fitch 4% 8 American Eagle 4%9 Skechers 4% 9 American Eagle 4% 9 Hollister 4% 9 Hollister 4%10 Ralph Lauren 3% 10 Skechers 3% 10 Aeropostale 3% 10 Skechers 3%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Aeropostale 22% 1 Aeropostale 26% 1 Justice 29% 1 Aeropostale 26%2 Justice 20% 2 Justice 20% 2 Aeropostale 17% 2 Justice 21%3 Abercrombie & Fitch 18% 3 Abercrombie & Fitch 12% 3 Abercrombie & Fitch 12% 3 Hollister 10%4 Hollister 8% 4 Hollister 9% 4 Hollister 9% 4 Abercrombie & Fitch 9%5 Gap 7% 5 Gap 5% 5 Gap 4% 5 American Eagle 3%6 Old Navy 2% 6 Old Navy 3% 6 Forever 21 3% 6 Forever 21 3%7 American Eagle 2% 7 Forever 21 2% 7 American Eagle 1% 7 Old Navy 2%8 Forever 21 2% 8 American Eagle 2% Old Navy 1% 8 Gap 2%9 dELiA*s 2% 9 Nike 2% 9 H&M 1% 9 Adidas 2%10 Target 1% 10 Target 1% Ralph Lauren 1% 10 Nike 1%

Victoria's Secret 1%

Page 24: Taking Stock With Teens - Piper Sandler · Taking Stock With Teens A Collaborative Consumer Insights Project Spring 2017 . Piper Jaffray does and seeks to do business with companies

24 | Taking Stock With Teens

Handbag Brand Preferences Upper-Income Females

Average-Income Females

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Michael Kors 31% 1 Michael Kors 38% 1 Michael Kors 34% 1 Michael Kors 33%2 Kate Spade 15% 2 Kate Spade 16% 2 Kate Spade 19% 2 Kate Spade 19%3 Coach 10% 3 Coach 12% 3 Coach 10% 3 Coach 9%4 Louis Vuitton 6% 4 Louis Vuitton 4% 4 Louis Vuitton 5% 4 Longchamp 5%5 Vera Bradley 5% 5 Gucci 4% 5 Longchamp 3% 5 Louis Vuitton 5%6 Tory Burch 4% 6 Chanel 3% Vera Bradley 3% 6 Gucci 4%7 Gucci 3% 7 Tory Burch 3% 7 Chanel 2% 7 Tory Burch 3%8 Longchamp 3% 8 Longchamp 2% 8 Gucci 2% 8 Vera Bradley 2%9 Chanel 2% 9 Vera Bradley 2% 9 Tory Burch 2% 9 Target 2%10 Marc Jacobs 2% 10 Fossil 2% 10 Fossil 1% 10 Chanel 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Michael Kors 44% 1 Michael Kors 49% 1 Michael Kors 44% 1 Michael Kors 40%2 Coach 15% 2 Coach 12% 2 Coach 13% 2 Coach 14%3 Kate Spade 6% 3 Kate Spade 8% 3 Kate Spade 10% 3 Kate Spade 12%4 Vera Bradley 5% 4 Vera Bradley 4% 4 Vera Bradley 5% 4 Vera Bradley 4%5 Louis Vuitton 3% 5 Louis Vuitton 3% 5 Gucci 3% 5 Louis Vuitton 3%6 Gucci 2% 6 Fossil 2% 6 Louis Vuitton 3% 6 Gucci 3%7 Chanel 2% 7 Gucci 2% 7 Chanel 2% 7 Target 2%8 Fossil 1% 8 Chanel 2% 8 Fossil 1% 8 Tory Burch 2%9 Steve Madden 1% 9 Tory Burch 1% Target 1% 9 Chanel 2%10 Target 1% 10 Steve Madden 1% 10 Betsey Johnson 1% 10 Guess 1%

Guess 1%

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25 | Taking Stock With Teens

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Spring2015

Fall 2015 Spring2016

Fall 2016 Spring2017

Intent to Buy a Watch in Next 6 Months(Upper-Income, Females)

Watch Brands Upper-Income Teens

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Rolex 34% 1 Rolex 29% 1 Rolex 37% 1 Rolex 37%2 Michael Kors 19% 2 Michael Kors 22% 2 Michael Kors 17% 2 Michael Kors 15%3 Casio 7% 3 Fossil 8% 3 Apple 5% 3 Fossil 8%4 Fossil 5% 4 Casio 6% Casio 5% 4 Apple 6%5 Apple 5% 5 Apple 5% 5 Fossil 5% 5 Casio 4%6 Nike 4% 6 Nixon 3% 6 Nixon 3% 6 Nixon 2%7 Nixon 4% 7 Nike 3% 7 Nike 2% 7 Gucci 2%8 Gucci 2% 8 Invicta 1% 8 Timex 2% 8 Nike 2%9 Timex 2% 9 Kate Spade 1% 9 Fitbit 1% 9 Citizen 2%

10 Swatch 1% 10 Citizen 1% 10 Gucci 1% 10 Garmin 1%Gucci 1% Kate Spade 1%

MVMT 1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Spring2015

Fall 2015 Spring2016

Fall 2016 Spring2017

Intent to Buy a Smart Watch in Next 6 Months(Upper-Income, All Teens)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Spring2015

Fall 2015 Spring2016

Fall 2016 Spring2017

Intent to Buy a Fitness Band In Next 6 Months (Upper-Income, All Teens)

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26 | Taking Stock With Teens

Connected Devices Favorite Fitness Band – All Teens

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 23% 1 Fitbit 21% 1 Fitbit 22% 1 Fitbit 24%2 Under Armour 20% 2 Nike 17% 2 Nike 17% 2 Apple 17%3 Fitbit 12% 3 Under Armour 17% 3 Under Armour 14% 3 Under Armour 15%4 Apple 11% 4 Apple 11% 4 Apple 14% 4 Nike 14%5 Samsung 5% 5 Samsung 4% 5 Samsung 5% 5 Samsung 4%6 Sworkit 4% 6 Sworkit 4% 6 Sworkit 3% 6 Sworkit 2%7 RunKeeper 2% 7 Lose It! 2% 7 Runkeeper 2% 7 Runkeeper 2%8 PumpUp 2% 8 Runkeeper 2% 8 Sleep Cycle 1% 8 Garmin 1%9 Fitness Pro 2% 9 Sleep Cycle 1% 9 Garmin 1% 9 Lose It! 1%10 7 Minute Workout 1% 10 PumpUp 1% 10 Lose It! 1% Sleep Cycle 1%

Favorite Fitness App - All Teens

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Fitbit 53% 1 Fitbit 72% 1 Fitbit 71% 1 Fitbit 71%2 Nike 24% 2 Nike 12% 2 Nike 13% 2 Apple 10%3 Apple 7% 3 Apple 6% 3 Apple 6% 3 Nike 9%4 Garmin 5% 4 Garmin 3% 4 Garmin 3% 4 Garmin 4%5 Jawbone 5% 5 Jawbone 3% 5 Jawbone 3% 5 Jawbone 1%

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Restaurants Food

24% of Teen Spending

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28 | Taking Stock With Teens

FOOD VS. CLOTHING SPEND

Restaurant Spending Trends Restaurants have steadily grown in importance within the broader teen wallet. During the most recent survey, restaurants represented 24% of overall spending for upper-income teens. In addition to increasing share of the overall budget restaurant spending continues to outpace spending on clothing.

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29 | Taking Stock With Teens

PREFERENCE FOR LIMITED SERVICE BRANDS

Restaurant Spending Trends In addition to increasing both absolute and relative dollars at restaurants teens are showing an increasing preference for limited service restaurants relative to full service brands. This is the continuation of a longer-term trend we have observed going back to Spring 2009, at least, when teen brand preferences were primarily focused around full service brands.

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30 | Taking Stock With Teens

Restaurant Spending Trends In the current “Pay For Performance” stage of the cycle we view a brand’s recipe for success as equal parts human capital, brand equity, prudent growth, and capitalizing on strategic opportunities. Over time, this should lend itself to self-funded development, consistency in earnings/cash flow, and/or excess capital to deploy back to shareholders via share repurchase and/or dividends.

PREFERRED BRANDS (UPPER INCOME)

PREFERRED BRANDS (AVERAGE INCOME)

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Media & Devices Music, Video Games, Mobile & Entertainment

26% of Teen Spending

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32 | Taking Stock With Teens

A Pause in Social Trends Platform engagement changes vs. Fall 2016 are limited, including paused declines at FB. Snapchat continues to be teens' favorite platform, both in terms of use and preference. Relative to Street perspectives, we believe that this data is most positive for FB as it conflicts with the belief that Snapchat is causing continual declines in usage.

Which social platform do you use at least once per month?Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016 Fall 2016 Spring 2017

Snapchat 68% 74% 75% 80% 81%Instagram 73% 76% 74% 79% 79%Twitter 57% 58% 58% 56% 56%Facebook 47% 56% 60% 52% 51%Pinterest 25% 25% 27% 25% 25%Google+ 14% 24% 23% 22% 19%

What is your favorite social platform?Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016 Fall 2016 Spring 2017

Snapchat 11% 17% 24% 35% 39%Instagram 29% 29% 23% 24% 23%Twitter 21% 18% 16% 13% 11%Facebook 12% 13% 15% 13% 11%Pinterest 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%Google+ 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

14 15 16 17 18

% u

sing

Pla

tform

Age

Strong, Early Adoption of Snapchat & Instagram Facebook Twitter Snapchat Instagram

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33 | Taking Stock With Teens

FB Declines Pause; Instagram = Solid Despite investor concern over Snapchat taking share, Facebook adoption is stable across most age cohorts. Instagram’s strength remains strong and the slightly stronger adoption among the youngest cohorts illustrates long-term staying power.

0%

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14 15 16 17 18 Total

% In

dica

ting

Use

in P

ast M

onth

Age of Respondent

Facebook Engagement Stabile

Spring-15 Fall-15 Spring-16 Fall-16 Spring-17

0%

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14 15 16 17 18 Total

%In

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in P

ast M

onth

Age of Respondent

Instagram Engagement Remains Strong Spring-15 Fall-15 Spring-16 Fall-16 Spring-17

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34 | Taking Stock With Teens

Clear Instagram Monetization Opportunity We asked teens “What is the best way for a retailer/brand to communicate with you about new products or promotions?” They told us that Instagram is their preferred channel – well ahead of FB, Twitter and Snapchat. This illustrates the monetization potential within Instagram; Snapchat is also set for solid monetization.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Facebook TV/Radio Website Ads Twitter Snapchat Email Instagram

Brands/Retailers: Teens Want to Hear From you on Instagram! % Indicating the best way to communicate new products/promotions

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35 | Taking Stock With Teens

Snap Continues Winning Teens Snapchat is not seeing any negative impacts from the recent use case diversification at FB, Messenger and Instagram. 81% of teens report using Snapchat and 79% indicate it as a top 3 network, both suggesting continued momentum. 0%

10%

20%

30%

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100%

14 15 16 17 18 Total

%In

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Use

in P

ast M

onth

Age of Respondent

Snapchat Continues to Gain Traction Across Ages Spring-15 Fall-15 Spring-16 Fall-16 Spring-17

0%

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90%

Spring-15 Fall-15 Spring-16 Fall-16 Spring-17

Snapchat Takes Slight Lead in Teen Preference % Including Network in Top 3 Platform

Facebook Twitter Instagram Snapchat

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36 | Taking Stock With Teens

PREFERRED WEBSITES (UPPER-INCOME)

Amazon Mindshare Gains Continue Amazon mindshare gains continue, driven by female and male respondents. eBay mindshare ticked down 150bps (69% of mindshare), indicating relative weakness in the brand. Concentration of mindshare remains high, with 66% of preferred website responses (unaided) among the top 10 platforms Walmart has 0.04% of mindshare, Target has 0.34%; limited threat

PREFERRED WEBSITES BY GENDER (UPPER-INCOME)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Amazon 38% 1 Amazon 41% 1 Amazon 40% 1 Amazon 43%2 Nike 8% 2 Nike 5% 2 Nike 8% 2 Nike 5%3 eBay 4% 3 Forever 21 5% 3 American Eagle 4% 3 American Eagle 5%4 Forever 21 3% 4 eBay 3% 4 eBay 3% 4 Forever 21 3%5 Urban Outfitters 3% 5 American Eagle 3% 5 Forever 21 2% 5 eBay 2%6 American Eagle 2% Victoria's Secret 3% 6 Urban Outfitters 2% 6 Urban Outfitters 2%7 Eastbay 2% 7 Urban Outfitters 3% 7 Nordstrom 1% 7 Victoria's Secret 2%8 Victoria's Secret 2% 8 Eastbay 2% 8 Victoria's Secret 1% 8 lululemon 1%9 Nordstrom 2% 9 Dick's Sporting Goods 1% 9 Hollister 1% PacSun 1%

10 PacSun 1% 10 PacSun 1% PacSun 1% 10 Zumiez 1%

FemalesRank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %

1 Amazon 28% 1 Amazon 29% 1 Amazon 27% 1 Amazon 30%2 Forever 21 9% 2 Forever 21 11% 2 American Eagle 8% 2 American Eagle 11%3 Urban Outfitters 6% 3 Victoria's Secret 6% 3 Forever 21 6% 3 Forever 21 7%4 American Eagle 5% 4 American Eagle 5% 4 Urban Outfitters 5% 4 Urban Outfitters 5%5 Victoria's Secret 4% 5 Urban Outfitters 5% 5 Victoria's Secret 3% 5 Victoria's Secret 5%6 Nordstrom 4% 6 Nike 2% 6 Nordstrom 3% 6 Lululemon 3%7 Brandy Melville 3% Sephora 2% 7 Brandy Melville 3% 7 Fashion Nova 2%8 Hollister 3% 8 Hollister 2% 8 Hollister 2% 8 Hollister 2%9 Free People 3% lululemon 2% 9 Etsy 2% Nordstrom 2%

10 Nike 2% 10 PacSun 2% 10 Free People 2% 10 Tobi 2%

MalesRank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %

1 Amazon 45% 1 Amazon 50% 1 Amazon 48% 1 Amazon 51%2 Nike 12% 2 Nike 7% 2 Nike 12% 2 Nike 8%3 eBay 6% 3 eBay 5% 3 eBay 5% 3 eBay 3%4 Eastbay 3% 4 Eastbay 3% 4 Vineyard Vines 1% 4 PacSun 2%5 Dick's Sporting Goods 2% 5 Dick's Sporting Goods 2% 5 Zumiez 1% Zumiez 2%6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Eastbay 1% 6 adidas 1%7 PacSun 1% 7 Zumiez 2% 7 adidas 1% Foot Locker 1%8 Vineyard Vines 1% 8 Supreme 1% PacSun 1% 8 Eastbay 1%9 Ralph Lauren 1% 9 Ralph Lauren 1% 9 Foot Locker 1% H&M 1%

10 Tilly's 1% 10 Three Sites Tied 1% 10 Ralph Lauren 1% 10 Aliexpress 1%Supreme 1% Dick's Sporting Goods 1%

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37 | Taking Stock With Teens

Profile of Prime Adoption Prime adoption has increased across all income brackets in each of the past six surveys. Our survey suggests 69M households have Prime memberships in the U.S.; while a staggering number, our non-teen surveys suggest similar levels. 63% of new Prime members are coming from the top 2 quintiles of household income.

0%

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$21K-$41K $41K-$68K $68K-$112K $112K+

Amazon Prime Penetration by Household Income Fall 2014Spring 2015Fall 2015Spring 2016Fall 2016Spring 2017

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Spring2013

Fall 2013 Spring2014

Fall 2014 Spring2015

Fall 2015 Spring2016

Fall 2016 Spring2017

Prime Members by Income Quintile (000s) $112K+$68K-$112K$41K-$68K$21K-$41K$0K-$21K

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38 | Taking Stock With Teens

Teen iPhone Ownership Up Nicely iPhone ownership of 76% is highest rating ever with upside remaining–81% of teens say next phone will be an iPhone. Apple Watch interest remains modest with 13% of teens planning on buying an Apple Watch in the next 6 months vs. 11% in Spring 2016.

0%

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4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Spring-14 Spring-15 Spring-16 Spring-17

Apple Watch Intention

Own A Smartwatch

Plan to buy Apple Watch

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39 | Taking Stock With Teens

DO YOU ALREADY OWN OR EXPECT YOUR HOUSEHOLD TO BUY THE PS4 OR XBOX ONE IN THE NEXT TWO YEARS?

Console Video Game Takeaways 75% of respondents anticipate buying a current gen console or already own one, compared to 76% in Fall 2016. New console ownership up to 58% vs. 54% in fall.

52%49%

65%

41%

33% 34%

26%37%

39%

Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015

Do you expect your household to buy the PS4 or Xbox One in the next two years?

Anticipate purchase Already own one

52% 49%

65%

41%33% 34%

26%22%

17%

26%37%

39% 52%54%

58%

Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016 Fall 2016 Spring 2017

Sales of Current Gen Consoles Outpacing Prior Cycle*Anticipate purchase Already own one

PS4 and Xbox One Launched Nov. 2013

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40 | Taking Stock With Teens

HOW MUCH ARE TEENS SPENDING ANNUALLY ON VIDEO GAMES?

Console Video Game Takeaways Expected spend by male teens on video games is up 12% for Spring 2017, while total spend (male and female) is up 4% to $198, after declining 11% the prior year. Average video game spend by teens over the past 12 years is $158 Only food (24%) and clothing (16%) exceed male teen spending on video games (12%).

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$0

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Sprin

g 20

11

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2011

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g 20

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2012

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g 20

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g 20

14

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g 20

15

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2015

Sprin

g 20

16

Fall

2016

Sprin

g 20

17

Video Game Spend (Male+Female) Video Game Spend Allocation (Male)

$198 - Expected Video Game Spend in 201712% - Budget Spent On Video Games in 2017

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41 | Taking Stock With Teens

DO YOU PLAY GAMES ON YOUR MOBILE PHONE OR TABLET?

Teen Mobile Game Trends 73% play games on smartphone or tablet, compared with 77% in the fall. 28% of teens who play mobile games spend money in game (vs. 24% in the fall).

WHEN PLAYING GAMES ON YOUR MOBILE DEVICE, DO YOU BUY VIRTUAL GOODS LIKE ENERGY, COINS OR EXTRA LEVELS?

% of Students

Spring 2013

% of Students Fall 2013

% of Students

Spring 2014

% of Students Fall 2014

% of Students

Spring 2015

% of Students Fall 2015

% of Students

Spring 2016

% of Students Fall 2016

% of Students

Spring 2017

Yes 83% 81% 85% 80% 81% 79% 81% 77% 73%

No 17% 19% 15% 20% 19% 21% 19% 23% 27%

% of Students

Spring 2013

% of Students Fall 2013

% of Students

Spring 2014

% of Students Fall 2014

% of Students

Spring 2015

% of Students Fall 2015

% of Students

Spring 2016

% of Students Fall 2016

% of Students

Spring 2017

Yes 16% 18% 18% 22% 21% 24% 26% 24% 28%

No 84% 82% 82% 78% 79% 76% 74% 76% 72%

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42 | Taking Stock With Teens

Video and Music Trends

Netflix and YouTube continue to dominate teens’ video consumption as Cable TV (23%) continues to lose share.

TEEN DAILY VIDEO CONSUMPTION

TEEN MUSIC CONSUMPTION ACROSS PLATFORMS

On-demand music services like Spotify continue to gain market share among teens (increased to 38% from 34%), as more traditional platforms and Pandora continue to lose share.

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43 | Taking Stock With Teens

• Our survey points to another solid 12 months for the disney studio • Disney films dominated the most anticipated list with beauty and the beast, star wars, guardians of the galaxy 2 grabbing

the #2, #3 and #4 spots.

DIS Well Positioned Over The Next 12 Months

MOST ANTICIPATED FILMS IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS

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44 | Taking Stock With Teens

Analyst: Erinn Murphy ADS-GR (+): MINDSHARE ACCELERATION ACROSS GENDERS & CATEGORIES LIKELY FUELS MARKET SHARE GAINS

Adidas footwear mindshare doubled Y/Y from 4% to 8% across both income levels, while rising to the No. 1 spot for new brands worn by males (dethroning Nike, which held to spot since Fall 2014).

NKE (=/+): CONTINUING TO BENEFIT FROM ONGOING CATEGORY STRENGTH, BUT ADIDAS IS CLOSING THE GAP

Athletic brands were 41% of favorite teen apparel brands vs. 26% last Spring and 35% last Fall, driven in part by continued Nike mindshare gains in apparel. However, aggregate Nike footwear mindshare moderated slightly both sequentially and Y/Y.

UAA (-): ADIDAS’ RESURGENCE APPEARS TO BE CROWDING OUT MINDSHARE POTENTIAL FOR UNDER ARMOUR

Despite significant SKU expansion and reported category growth, male footwear mindshare has remained ~1% across both income groups in our past four surveys. Male apparel mindshare has flattened in recent surveys and the brand is still not registering with females In fact, not a single upper income female voted for Under Armour apparel in Spring 2017.

VFC (=/-): SOLID TRENDS FOR VANS TEMPERED BY GROWING COMPETITIVE PRESSURE ON THE NORTH FACE

Vans mindshare remains fairly steady and is trending in the right direction in apparel. However, Patagonia ranked No. 6 as a new brand worn by males outranked The North Face among upper-income athletic brands for the first time ever.

RL (-): PRIMARY VICTIM OF CONTINUED MIGRATION TO ATHLETIC FALLS TO MULTI-YEAR MINDSHARE LOWS

Apparel mindshare among upper-income males was 4% (lowest reading since recession) – down from 10% last Spring and 6% last Fall.

FOSL (-): KORS MODERATING, WHILE FASHION WATCH PURCHASE INTENT MIGRATES LOWER

Michael Kors (23% of FOSL revenue) watch mindshare declined to 15% mindshare from 22% last Spring and 17% last Fall. Traditional watch purchase intent (over the next six months) fell to 14% from 26% last Spring and 18% last Fall.

THE SPRING 2017 TEEN SURVEY RESULTS WERE INCREMENTALLY NEGATIVE FOR KORS, FOSL, VINEYARD VINES (PRIVATE). RESULTS WERE POSITIVE FOR KATE (NON-COVERED), LULU (NON-COVERED), PATAGONIA (PRIVATE).

Stock Highlights: Global Lifestyle and Fashion Brands

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45 | Taking Stock With Teens

Analyst: Nicole Miller Regan

Stock Highlights: Restaurants

SBUX (=/+): REMAINS MOST PREFERRED BRAND AMONG AVERAGE INCOME TEENS

Starbucks maintains its position as the most preferred brand among average income teens across all geographies. Starbucks shares the position as most preferred brand among upper income teens although Chick-fil-A was technically able to edge Starbucks out for the No. 1 spot.

We remain confident in our long-term thesis based around proven global brand equity and an accelerating asset-light growth model – both of which generate strong cash flow in support of continued reinvestment into the business and an ongoing commitment to capital allocation.

CMG (=/+): SURVEY SUGGESTS EVIDENCE OF MODEST BRAND IMPROVEMENT

Chipotle slipped to the third most preferred brand among upper income teens and tied for the position of third most preferred brand among average income teens (vs. tied for number four in Fall 2016 survey). Although subtle, we note the relative improvement and believe that the sequential move could suggest that trends are broadly mirroring the brand’s efforts to drive traffic and awareness.

At the cuisine level, the company remained the overwhelmingly most preferred brand within the Hispanic cuisine category with the results being at relatively similar preference (or % mindshare) sequentially among both upper and average income teens but still below prior year periods.

We reiterate our bull positioning grounded by when (not if) improvement occurs, the company has the ability to leverage strong unit-level economics, a healthy long-term unit growth pipeline, and its human capital investments.

MCD (=): SURVEY RESULTS HIGHLIGHT ONGOING COMPETITIVE INTRUSION AMONG AVERAGE INCOME TEENS

McDonald’s showed steady mind share levels among upper income teens however survey results highlight continued competitive intrusion from Chick-fil-A (specifically among average income teens). McDonald’s brand results remain generally strong (in the top three range among average income teens) while Chick-Fil-A continues to move higher.

McDonald’s lead as the most preferred hamburger brand was maintained in the latest survey cycle. That said, we note that brand preference remains below peak levels seen in prior survey periods and also saw strong moves from Five Guys and Red Robin. We believe operational, culinary and technology initiatives position McDonald’s for continued improvement over the next several years.

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46 | Taking Stock With Teens

Analyst: Sam Kemp FB (+): ENGAGEMENT DECLINES STABILIZE; INSTAGRAM HOLDING ITS OWN AGAINST SNAPCHAT

Teens showed little change in the rate of engagement and the relative level of preference for core Facebook: 52% of teens report using Facebook in the past month and 33% indicate Facebook as a top 3 social network – both essentially unchanged. We see this as a relative positive for FB given the increased competition from both Snapchat and its own Instagram unit. We believe that teens are continuing to carve out separate use cases for Facebook, Instagram and Snapchat that, in the near-term, provide enough differentiation to not take time spent from one another.

Instagram held its own in our Spring 2017 survey – 79% of teens report using Instagram within the past month and 76% indicate it is one of their top 3 favorite networks. While Snapchat is teens’ favorite platform, we believe Instagram’s core use case differs significantly from Snapchat’s and creates a defensive moat. Moreover, Instagram has recently rolled out Snapchat-like features that have the potential to reverse the tide of preference at Snapchat.

Importantly, Instagram is teens’ most favored channel to hear about new products and promotions from retailers, which we use as a proxy for brand/ad friendliness; 54% of teens indicated Instagram is one of the best channels to reach them, above FB at 24%, Twitter at 35%, Snapchat at 42% and even email at 53%. We believe this is a bullish sign for the potential for higher ad load, click-through, and conversion rates on Instagram ads.

SNAP (=): SNAPCHAT REMAINS THE KING, BUT STAYING SIDELINED ON COMPETITIVE THREATS

Snapchat remains the king of teens’ social lives, with 81% indicating use in the past month (vs. 80% in Fall 2016) and 79% naming it as a top three social platform (vs. 76%). Teens are clearly engaged with Snapchat’s unique approach to social (narrow network, direct messaging), and we believe this provides near-term support to Snapchat daily active user (DAU) growth in Q1’17. We are remaining Neutral on SNAP as we believe shares have priced in an extraordinarily strong monetization and solid user ramp, but the potential for headwinds from diversifying use cases at Facebook, Messenger and Instagram is significant.

Stock Highlights: Internet

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Orange bag
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47 | Taking Stock With Teens

Analyst: Mike Olson AMZN (+): SURVEY SHOWS INCREASED MINDSHARE & INCREASING PRIME ADOPTION

Amazon gained 200bps of teen mindshare y/y at 43% mindshare in the U.S. Prime adoption continues to be strong; survey implies ~69M U.S. households have Prime.

EBAY (=): MODEST DECLINE IN MINDSHARE

eBay mindshare dipped modestly to 2.4% from 3.5% from our Fall-16 survey, which is in line with our view of the challenges in shifting brand perception for an entrenched online offering, such as this. We remain Neutral as EBAY’s current valuation (9x ’18E EBITDA) fairly represents the company’s growth opportunity, in our view.

AAPL (+): TEENS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IPHONE OWNERSHIP

Apple continued to grow smartphone share among teens with 76% of teens owning an iPhone vs 74% in Fall-16. We view the survey as a positive data point on iPhone 7 demand and excitement around the upcoming launch of the 10th anniversary iPhone (iPhone X).

ATVI(+), EA(+), TTWO(+): SOLID UPTAKE OF CURRENT GEN CONSOLES, EXPECTED SPEND ON VIDEO GAMES MOVES HIGHER

Video game publishers (ATVI, EA, TTWO) will be beneficiaries of a strong uptake of next-gen consoles with 75% of respondents expecting to buy a PS4 or Xbox One within the next two years or already owning one (essentially unchanged from 76% in Fall-16). We also note that the proportion of respondents who plan to digitally download 50% or more titles on consoles has increased to 45% for Spring-17 from 37% in Fall-15, when we first included the question in our survey.

ZNGA (=): SURVEY POINTS TO DECLINES IN MOBILE GAME INTEREST, BUT INCREASED WILLINGNESS TO SPEND

Mobile gaming interest declined for the second consecutive survey from all-time highs recorded in Spring 2016. However, willingness to spend in-game rebounded to an all-time high. While we view mobile game interest as a slight negative for ZNGA (Neutral), we note that our results echo a trend of declining DAUs offset by increased ARPU cited by mobile game publishers.

Stock Highlights: Consumer Technology & ecommerce

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48 | Taking Stock With Teens

Analyst: Stan Meyers DIS (+): SURVEY POINTS TO ANOTHER SOLID 12-MONTH RUN FOR THE DISNEY STUDIO

• Our survey points to another solid 12 months for the Disney Studio.

• Disney films dominated the most anticipated list with Beauty and the Beast, Star Wars, Guardians of the Galaxy 2 grabbing the #2, #3 and #4 spots.

LGF (+): LIONSGATE WELL-POSITIONED AMID CONTINUED VIDEO CONSUMPTION FRAGMENTATION • Viewership among teens continues to fragment creating more demand for content across traditional and emerging platforms.

• Netflix and YouTube continue to dominate teens’ video consumption as Cable TV continues to lose share to 23%.

• These trends bode well for Lionsgate, which produces high quality long-form content across all platforms.

P (-): TEENS CONTINUE TO PIVOT AWAY FROM PANDORA AND INTO ON-DEMAND MUSIC SERVICES • Pandora continues to lose teen mindshare as the go-to music platform, as they shift to on-demand platforms such as Spotify and

Apple Music.

• Teens spent 14% of their time listening to Pandora – down from 15% in the fall. Other on-demand services like Spotify jumped to 38% from 34% in the fall and 27% a year ago.

• We believe this trend is already built into the stock and see a great entry point ahead of its on-demand product launch.

Stock Highlights: Media and Entertainment

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49 | Taking Stock With Teens

SPEAKER COVERAGE

Erinn Murphy Global Fashion & Lifestyle Brands

Nicole Miller Regan Restaurants

Sam Kemp Internet

Michael Olson Online Content

Stan Meyers Media & Entertainment

Questions & Answers

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Appendix

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51 | Taking Stock With Teens

West, 10%

Midwest, 28%

Northeast, 11%

South, 49%

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45%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

View

s O

n Th

e Ec

onom

y

Getting Better Staying the Same Getting Worse

Project Framework & Key Demographics ALL TEENS

Fall 2013 Spring 2014

Fall 2014 Spring 2015

Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Fall 2016 Spring 2017

Teens Surveyed 8,650 7,500 7,200 6,200 9,400 6,500 10,000 5,500Gender - Female 47% 47% 47% 49% 44% 44% 45% 45%Gender - Male 53% 53% 53% 51% 56% 56% 55% 55%Average Age 16.2 16.4 16.0 16.3 16.0 16.5 16.0 16.4Percentage Of Teens Part-Time Employe 35% 33% 35% 35% 36% 39% 34% 39%Average Household Income $67,000 $63,000 $73,000 $67,000 $68,000 $62,500 $68,800 $66,100

UPPER-INCOME TEEN SURVEYFall 2013 Spring

2014Fall 2014 Spring

2015Fall 2015 Spring

2016Fall 2016 Spring

2017Teens Surveyed - Upper Income 2,400 1,300 2,200 1,400 2,700 1,300 2,800 1,400Gender - Female 44% 43% 46% 46% 41% 46% 41% 42%Gender - Male 56% 57% 54% 54% 59% 54% 59% 58%Average Age 16.1 16.2 16.1 16.2 15.9 16.5 15.8 16.4Percentage Of Teens Part-Time Employe 34% 33% 36% 36% 33% 40% 31% 39%Average Household Income $105,000 $103,000 $109,000 $104,000 $107,000 $101,000 $109,000 $100,000

AVERAGE-INCOME TEEN SURVEYFall 2013 Spring

2014Fall 2014 Spring

2015Fall 2015 Spring

2016Fall 2016 Spring

2017Teens Surveyed - Average Income 6,250 6,200 5,000 4,800 6,700 5,200 7,200 4,100Gender - Female 49% 48% 48% 49% 45% 44% 46% 46%Gender - Male 51% 52% 52% 51% 55% 56% 54% 54%Average Age 16.2 16.4 16.0 16.4 16.1 16.4 16.0 16.4Percentage Of Teens Part-Time Employe 35% 33% 35% 34% 37% 39% 36% 39%Average Household Income $53,000 $55,000 $56,000 $56,000 $52,000 $53,000 $53,000 $55,000

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Spending by Category by Income Demographic SPENDING BY CATEGORY (UPPER-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

SPENDING BY CATEGORY (AVERAGE-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

Spending by Category - All Teens Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016 Fall 2016 Spring 2017Video Games / Systems 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 8%Music / Movies (DVD/CD) 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%Electronics / Gadgets 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7%Clothing 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 21% 19%Accessories / Personal Care / Cosmetics 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9%Shoes 9% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% 8%Food 20% 21% 20% 23% 22% 22% 23% 24%Concerts / Movies / Sporting Events 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6%Car 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 9% 6% 9%Books / Magazines 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%Furniture / Room Accessories 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%Other 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4%Total Fashion (Clothing, Access & Footwear) 39% 38% 39% 36% 38% 38% 38% 36%

Spending by Category - All Teens Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016 Fall 2016 Spring 2017Video Games / Systems 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8%Music / Movies (DVD/CD) 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5%Electronics / Gadgets 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7%Clothing 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 18% 20% 19%Accessories / Personal Care / Cosmetics 11% 11% 10% 11% 10% 11% 11% 10%Shoes 10% 10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9%Food 16% 18% 17% 21% 19% 20% 21% 22%Concerts / Movies / Sporting Events 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4%Car 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 8% 9%Books / Magazines 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%Furniture / Room Accessories 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%Other 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4%Total Fashion (Clothing, Access & Footwear) 42% 41% 40% 40% 39% 38% 40% 39%

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Top Fashion Trends Right Now TOP FASHION TRENDS RIGHT NOW (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

TOP FASHION TRENDS RIGHT NOW (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike/Jordans 18% 1 Nike/Jordans 20% 1 Nike/Jordans 19% 1 Nike / Jordans 18%2 Preppy 8% 2 Jogger Pants 12% 2 Jogger Pants 8% 2 Jogger Pants 8%

Ralph Lauren 8% 3 Ralph Lauren 6% 3 Vineyard Vines 7% 3 Athletic Wear 6%4 Vineyard Vines 8% 4 Preppy 6% 4 Athletic Wear 6% 4 Khakis / Chinos 5%5 Jogger Pants 7% 5 Athletic Wear 5% 5 Khakis/Chinos 6% 5 Adidas 4%6 Boat Shoes 5% 6 Hair / Man Buns 5% 6 Preppy 6% 6 Leggings / lululemon 4%

Khakis/Chinos 5% Khakis/Chinos 5% 7 Ralph Lauren 4% 7 Ripped Jeans 3%8 Athletic Wear 4% 8 Vineyard Vines 4% 8 Tall Socks 4% 8 Preppy 3%9 Tall Socks 4% 9 Boat Shoes 3% 9 Boat Shoes 3% 9 Jeans 3%

10 Shoes 3% 10 Tall Socks 2% 10 Adidas 2% 10 Timberland 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Leggings/lululemon 24% 1 Leggings/lululemon 23% 1 Leggings/lululemon 25% 1 Leggings / lululemon 25%2 Nike 5% 2 Victoria's Secret 7% 2 Birkenstock 6% 2 Chokers 11%3 Birkenstock 5% 3 Converse 6% 3 Victoria's Secret 5% 3 Converse 5%4 Converse 4% 4 Nike 6% 4 Converse 4% 4 Victoria's Secret 4%5 Victoria's Secret 4% 5 Boots 3% 5 Ripped Jeans 4% 5 Adidas 4%6 Crop Tops 3% 6 Crop Tops 3% 6 Jeans 3% 6 Ripped Jeans 4%7 Short Shorts 2% 7 Athletic Wear 2% 7 Adidas 3% 7 Jeans 3%8 Rompers 2% 8 Jeans 2% 8 Bralettes 3% 8 Boots 3%

Vineyard Vines 2% 9 Michael Kors 2% 9 Nike 3% 9 Nike / Jordans 2%10 Dresses 2% 10 Adidas 2% 10 Chokers 3% 10 UGG Australia 2%

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Uptrending Brands BRANDS STARTING TO WEAR (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

BRANDS STARTING TO WEAR (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 13% 1 Nike 11% 1 Nike 13% 1 Adidas 10%2 Ralph Lauren 11% 2 Ralph Lauren 10% 2 Ralph Lauren 10% 2 Nike 9%3 Adidas 6% 3 Adidas 7% 3 Adidas 8% 3 Ralph Lauren 6%4 Vineyard Vines 6% 4 American Eagle 4% 4 American Eagle 5% 4 American Eagle 5%5 Under Armour 4% 5 Vineyard Vines 3% 5 Vineyard Vines 5% 5 Under Armour 4%6 American Eagle 4% 6 Under Armour 3% 6 Under Armour 5% 6 Patagonia 3%7 Vans 3% 7 Vans 3% 7 Vans 3% 7 Vans 3%8 H&M 2% 8 Hollister 2% 8 H&M 2% 8 lululemon 2%9 Tommy Hilfiger 2% 9 New Balance 2% 9 Lululemon 2% 9 Gucci 2%

10 RVCA 2% 10 Four Brands Tied 2% 10 Hollister 2% 10 Vineyard Vines 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Free People 7% 1 American Eagle 7% 1 American Eagle 9% 1 American Eagle 7%2 Brandy Melville 5% 2 Nike 6% 2 Urban Outfitters 5% 2 Urban Outfitters 6%3 lululemon 5% 3 Forever 21 5% 3 Free People 5% 3 Nike 6%4 Forever 21 4% 4 H&M 4% Nike 5% 4 Forever 21 5%5 American Eagle 4% 5 Victoria's Secret 4% 5 lululemon 4% 5 Adidas 4%6 PacSun 4% 6 Express 4% 6 Victoria's Secret 4% lululemon 4%7 Victoria's Secret 4% 7 Adidas 3% 7 Adidas 4% 7 Victoria's Secret 4%8 Urban Outfitters 3% Free People 3% 8 PacSun 4% 8 H&M 4%9 Nike 3% Hollister 3% 9 Forever 21 4% 9 PacSun 3%

10 H&M 3% lululemon 3% 10 Brandy Melville 3% 10 Free People 3%

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Downtrending Brands BRANDS NO LONGER WORN (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

BRANDS NO LONGER WORN (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Gap 13% 1 Gap 13% 1 Adidas 10% 1 Under Armour 11%2 Adidas 10% 2 Adidas 9% 2 Gap 10% 2 Gap 10%3 Abercrombie & Fitch 8% 3 Abercrombie & Fitch 7% 3 Under Armour 7% 3 Adidas 9%4 Under Armour 6% 4 Nike 7% 4 Nike 6% 4 Nike 7%5 Nike 5% 5 Under Armour 6% 5 Reebok 6% 5 Reebok 6%6 Aeropostale 4% 6 Hollister 5% 6 Skechers 5% 6 Aeropostale 6%7 Hollister 4% 7 Reebok 5% 7 Puma 5% 7 Puma 4%8 Reebok 4% 8 Aeropostale 4% 8 Abercrombie & Fitch 4% 8 American Eagle 4%9 Skechers 4% 9 American Eagle 4% 9 Hollister 4% 9 Hollister 4%

10 Ralph Lauren 3% 10 Skechers 3% 10 Aeropostale 3% 10 Skechers 3%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Aeropostale 22% 1 Aeropostale 26% 1 Justice 29% 1 Aeropostale 26%2 Justice 20% 2 Justice 20% 2 Aeropostale 17% 2 Justice 21%3 Abercrombie & Fitch 18% 3 Abercrombie & Fitch 12% 3 Abercrombie & Fitch 12% 3 Hollister 10%4 Hollister 8% 4 Hollister 9% 4 Hollister 9% 4 Abercrombie & Fitch 9%5 Gap 7% 5 Gap 5% 5 Gap 4% 5 American Eagle 3%6 Old Navy 2% 6 Old Navy 3% 6 Forever 21 3% 6 Forever 21 3%7 American Eagle 2% 7 Forever 21 2% 7 American Eagle 1% 7 Old Navy 2%8 Forever 21 2% 8 American Eagle 2% Old Navy 1% 8 Gap 2%9 dELiA*s 2% 9 Nike 2% 9 H&M 1% 9 Adidas 2%

10 Target 1% 10 Target 1% Ralph Lauren 1% 10 Nike 1%Victoria's Secret 1%

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Top Clothing Brands Among Upper-Income PREFERRED CLOTHING BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED CLOTHING BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED CLOTHING BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 27% 1 Nike 21% 1 Nike 29% 1 Nike 31%2 Forever 21 7% 2 American Eagle 8% 2 American Eagle 9% 2 American Eagle 10%3 American Eagle 6% 3 Forever 21 7% 3 Forever 21 5% 3 Forever 21 5%4 Ralph Lauren 5% 4 Ralph Lauren 6% 4 Ralph Lauren 4% 4 lululemon 3%5 Urban Outfitters 3% 5 Hollister 4% 5 Urban Outfitters 3% 5 H&M 3%6 PacSun 2% 6 PacSun 3% 6 H&M 3% Adidas 3%7 Free People 2% 7 Urban Outfitters 3% 7 PacSun 2% 7 Hollister 2%8 H&M 2% Victoria's Secret 3% 8 Adidas 2% 8 Urban Outfitters 2%9 Vineyard Vines 2% 9 H&M 3% 9 Vineyard Vines 2% Vans 2%

10 Nordstrom 2% 10 Adidas 2% 10 Victoria's Secret 2% 10 PacSun 2%Ralph Lauren 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 42% 1 Nike 33% 1 Nike 44% 1 Nike 47%2 Ralph Lauren 8% 2 Ralph Lauren 10% 2 Ralph Lauren 6% 2 Adidas 4%3 American Eagle 4% 3 American Eagle 5% 3 American Eagle 4% 3 American Eagle 4%4 Vineyard Vines 3% 4 Adidas 3% 4 Adidas 3% 4 Ralph Lauren 4%5 Adidas 2% 5 PacSun 3% 5 Vineyard Vines 3% 5 Vans 3%6 H&M 2% 6 Hollister 2% 6 H&M 3% 6 Under Armour 3%7 PacSun 2% 7 Abercrombie & Fitch 2% 7 Vans 2% 7 H&M 2%8 Abercrombie & Fitch 2% 8 Vans 2% 8 Under Armour 2% Supreme 2%9 Kohl's 1% 9 Supreme 2% 9 PacSun 1% 9 Hollister 2%

10 Hollister 1% 10 Vineyard Vines 2% Hollister 1% 10 Vineyard Vines 2%Vans 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Forever 21 15% 1 Forever 21 14% 1 American Eagle 17% 1 American Eagle 18%2 American Eagle 10% 2 American Eagle 11% 2 Forever 21 11% 2 Forever 21 11%3 Urban Outfitters 7% 3 Nike 7% 3 Nike 7% 3 Nike 8%4 Nike 6% 4 Victoria's Secret 6% 4 Urban Outfitters 7% 4 lululemon 6%5 Free People 6% 5 Urban Outfitters 5% 5 Victoria's Secret 5% 5 Urban Outfitters 5%6 Nordstrom 4% 6 Hollister 5% 6 H&M 3% 6 Victoria's Secret 5%7 Victoria's Secret 4% 7 PacSun 4% 7 PacSun 3% 7 H&M 4%8 PacSun 4% 8 H&M 4% 8 lululemon 3% 8 Hollister 4%9 lululemon 3% 9 Nordstrom 3% 9 Brandy Melville 3% PacSun 4%

10 Hollister 3% 10 Charlotte Russe 2% 10 Free People 3% 10 Free People 2%Nordstrom 3%

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Top Clothing Brands Among Average-Income PREFERRED CLOTHING BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED CLOTHING BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED CLOTHING BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 21% 1 Nike 23% 1 Nike 27% 1 Nike 27%2 American Eagle 8% 2 American Eagle 9% 2 American Eagle 8% 2 American Eagle 10%3 Forever 21 6% 3 Forever 21 5% 3 Forever 21 6% 3 Forever 21 5%4 Ralph Lauren 5% 4 Ralph Lauren 5% 4 Ralph Lauren 5% 4 Ralph Lauren 4%5 Hollister 4% 5 Victoria's Secret 4% 5 Hollister 3% 5 Victoria's Secret 4%6 Victoria's Secret 4% 6 Hollister 4% 6 Victoria's Secret 3% 6 Hollister 3%7 PacSun 2% 7 H&M 2% 7 H&M 3% 7 H&M 3%8 H&M 2% 8 Under Armour 2% 8 Adidas 2% 8 Adidas 3%9 Hot Topic 2% 9 PacSun 2% 9 rue21 2% 9 PacSun 3%

10 Aeropostale 2% 10 Aeropostale 2% 10 PacSun 2% 10 rue21 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 33% 1 Nike 34% 1 Nike 40% 1 Nike 40%2 Ralph Lauren 8% 2 Ralph Lauren 8% 2 Ralph Lauren 7% 2 Ralph Lauren 6%3 American Eagle 7% 3 American Eagle 7% 3 American Eagle 5% 3 American Eagle 5%4 Hollister 3% 4 Under Armour 3% 4 Adidas 3% 4 Adidas 5%5 Under Armour 3% 5 Hollister 3% 5 Hollister 3% 5 Hollister 3%6 PacSun 2% 6 PacSun 2% 6 Under Armour 3% 6 H&M 3%7 Adidas 2% 7 H&M 2% 7 H&M 2% 7 PacSun 2%8 Vans 2% 8 Adidas 2% 8 Vans 2% Under Armour 2%9 Levi's 2% 9 Aeropostale 2% 9 PacSun 2% 9 Vans 2%

10 H&M 2% 10 Vans 2% 10 Levi's 2% 10 Supreme 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Forever 21 12% 1 Forever 21 11% 1 American Eagle 12% 1 American Eagle 15%2 American Eagle 10% 2 American Eagle 11% 2 Forever 21 12% 2 Forever 21 11%3 Victoria's Secret 8% 3 Nike 10% 3 Nike 12% 3 Nike 11%4 Nike 7% 4 Victoria's Secret 10% 4 Victoria's Secret 7% 4 Victoria's Secret 8%5 Hollister 6% 5 Hollister 4% 5 rue21 4% 5 Hollister 4%6 PacSun 3% 6 rue21 3% 6 Hollister 4% 6 rue21 4%7 rue21 3% 7 H&M 2% 7 H&M 3% 7 H&M 3%8 H&M 3% 8 Hot Topic 2% 8 PacSun 3% 8 PacSun 3%9 Hot Topic 3% 9 Charlotte Russe 2% 9 Hot Topic 2% 9 lululemon 3%

10 Aeropostale 2% 10 Aeropostale 2% Ralph Lauren 2% 10 Hot Topic 2%

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Top Footwear Brands Among Upper-Income PREFERRED FOOTWEAR BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED FOOTWEAR BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED FOOTWEAR BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 50% 1 Nike 48% 1 Nike 51% 1 Nike 52%2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 10% 2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 9%3 Converse 7% 3 Converse 7% 3 Converse 7% 3 Adidas 8%4 Sperry 4% 4 Adidas 4% 4 Adidas 6% 4 Converse 6%5 Steve Madden 3% 5 Sperry 3% 5 Steve Madden 2% 5 Steve Madden 3%6 DSW 3% 6 DSW 3% 6 Sperry 2% 6 Sperry 2%7 Adidas 2% 7 Steve Madden 3% 7 DSW 2% 7 DSW 2%8 Foot Locker 1% 8 Foot Locker 2% 8 Birkenstock 2% 8 Foot Locker 1%9 Birkenstock 1% 9 UGG 1% 9 Foot Locker 1% 9 Birkenstock 1%

Nordstrom 1% 10 TOMS 1% 10 Nordstrom 1% 10 Payless ShoeSource 1%UGG 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 28% 1 Nike 32% 1 Nike 30% 1 Nike 33%2 Converse 12% 2 Converse 14% 2 Converse 15% 2 Converse 14%3 Vans 10% 3 Vans 9% 3 Vans 7% 3 Vans 9%4 Steve Madden 8% 4 DSW 7% 4 Steve Madden 5% 4 Adidas 7%5 DSW 7% 5 Steve Madden 5% 5 Adidas 5% 5 Steve Madden 6%6 Birkenstock 3% 6 Adidas 3% 6 DSW 5% 6 DSW 5%7 Nordstrom 3% 7 UGG 3% 7 Birkenstock 4% 7 Birkenstock 2%8 Tory Burch 3% 8 Sperry 2% 8 Nordstrom 2% 8 UGG 2%9 UGG 2% 9 TOMS 2% 9 UGG 2% 9 Payless ShoeSource 2%

10 Sperry 2% 10 Foot Locker 2% 10 Michael Kors 1% 10 Nordstrom 2%Payless ShoeSource 2% Sperry 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 66% 1 Nike 63% 1 Nike 66% 1 Nike 67%2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 10% 2 Vans 11% 2 Vans 9%3 Sperry 5% 3 Adidas 6% 3 Adidas 6% 3 Adidas 8%4 Adidas 3% 4 Sperry 4% 4 Sperry 3% 4 Sperry Top-Sider 3%5 Converse 2% 5 Converse 2% 5 Foot Locker 2% 5 Foot Locker 1%6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Converse 2% 6 Converse 1%7 New Balance 1% 7 Asics 1% 7 Under Armour 1% New Balance 1%8 Ralph Lauren 1% 8 Champs Sports 1% 8 ASICS 1% 8 Under Armour 1%9 Under Armour 1% 9 Clarks 1% New Balance 1% 9 Skechers 1%

10 Champs Sports 0% 10 Under Armour 0% 10 Finish Line 0% 10 Ralph Lauren 0%Puma 0% New Balance 0%

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Top Footwear Brands Among Average-Income PREFERRED FOOTWEAR BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED FOOTWEAR BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED FOOTWEAR BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 51% 1 Nike 54% 1 Nike 53% 1 Nike 50%2 Vans 10% 2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 9%3 Converse 6% 3 Converse 6% 3 Converse 7% 3 Adidas 8%4 Sperry 3% 4 Adidas 4% 4 Adidas 5% 4 Converse 6%5 Adidas 2% 5 Sperry 2% 5 Foot Locker 3% 5 Foot Locker 2%6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Sperry 2% 6 Sperry 2%7 Steve Madden 1% 7 Steve Madden 1% 7 Birkenstock 2% 7 Steve Madden 1%8 Payless ShoeSource 1% 8 DSW 1% 8 Steve Madden 1% 8 Birkenstock 1%9 DSW 1% 9 Under Armour 1% 9 Payless ShoeSource 1% DSW 1%

10 Birkenstock 1% 10 Journeys 1% 10 Under Armour 1% 10 Under Armour 1%Payless ShoeSource 1%UGG 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 35% 1 Nike 41% 1 Nike 38% 1 Nike 37%2 Converse 12% 2 Converse 11% 2 Converse 12% 2 Converse 12%3 Vans 11% 3 Vans 8% 3 Vans 9% 3 Vans 11%4 Steve Madden 3% 4 Steve Madden 3% 4 Adidas 4% 4 Adidas 6%5 Sperry 2% 5 Adidas 3% 5 Birkenstock 3% 5 Steve Madden 3%6 DSW 2% 6 DSW 2% 6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Birkenstock 2%7 Payless ShoeSource 2% 7 UGG 2% 7 Steve Madden 2% DSW 2%8 Birkenstock 2% 8 Payless ShoeSource 2% 8 Sperry 2% Foot Locker 2%9 Journeys 2% 9 Birkenstock 2% 9 Payless ShoeSource 2% 9 Journeys 1%

10 UGG 2% 10 Foot Locker 2% 10 DSW 1% 10 Sperry 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 65% 1 Nike 65% 1 Nike 65% 1 Nike 61%2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 9% 2 Vans 9% 2 Adidas 9%3 Adidas 4% 3 Adidas 4% 3 Adidas 6% 3 Vans 8%4 Sperry 3% 4 Converse 2% 4 Foot Locker 3% 4 Sperry 3%5 Converse 2% 5 Sperry 2% 5 Sperry 2% 5 Foot Locker 2%6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Foot Locker 2% 6 Converse 2% 6 Converse 2%7 Ralph Lauren 1% 7 Under Armour 1% 7 Under Armour 1% 7 Under Armour 1%8 Under Armour 1% 8 Ariat 1% 8 New Balance 1% 8 New Balance 1%9 Ariat 1% 9 ASICS 1% 9 ASICS 1% 9 Ariat 1%

10 DC Shoes 1% 10 Ralph Lauren 1% 10 Ralph Lauren 1% Ralph Lauren 1%Skechers 1%

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Top Athletic Clothing Brands Among Upper-Income

PREFERRED ATHLETIC CLOTHING BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC CLOTHING BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC CLOTHING BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 72% 1 Nike 71% 1 Nike 71% 1 Nike 69%2 lululemon 7% 2 Adidas 7% 2 lululemon 7% 2 Adidas 8%3 Under Armour 6% 3 Under Armour 5% 3 Adidas 7% 3 lululemon 7%4 Adidas 4% 4 lululemon 5% 4 Under Armour 6% 4 Under Armour 7%5 The North Face 1% 5 The North Face 1% 5 Athleta 1% 5 Patagonia 1%

The North Face 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 67% 1 Nike 69% 1 Nike 65% 1 Nike 65%2 lululemon 15% 2 lululemon 9% 2 lululemon 15% 2 lululemon 14%3 Under Armour 5% 3 Adidas 5% 3 Adidas 7% 3 Adidas 9%4 Adidas 3% 4 Under Armour 4% 4 Under Armour 4% 4 Under Armour 3%5 The North Face 1% 5 Athleta 2% 5 Athleta 1% 5 Fabletics 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 75% 1 Nike 73% 1 Nike 76% 1 Nike 71%2 Under Armour 6% 2 Adidas 8% 2 Under Armour 7% 2 Under Armour 10%3 Adidas 5% 3 Under Armour 7% 3 Adidas 7% 3 Adidas 6%4 Bauer 1% 4 The North Face 2% 4 lululemon 1% 4 lululemon 2%5 The North Face 1% 5 Bauer 1% 5 Columbia 1% 5 Bauer 1%

Patagonia 1%

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Top Athletic Clothing Brands Among Average-Income PREFERRED ATHLETIC CLOTHING BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC CLOTHING BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC CLOTHING BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 70% 1 Nike 69% 1 Nike 72% 1 Nike 69%2 Under Armour 10% 2 Under Armour 10% 2 Under Armour 9% 2 Adidas 9%3 Adidas 5% 3 Adidas 5% 3 Adidas 7% 3 Under Armour 8%4 lululemon 2% 4 lululemon 2% 4 lululemon 2% 4 lululemon 3%5 The North Face 1% 5 The North Face 1% 5 Victoria's Secret 1% 5 The North Face 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 72% 1 Nike 70% 1 Nike 73% 1 Nike 70%2 Under Armour 8% 2 Under Armour 9% 2 Under Armour 7% 2 Adidas 8%3 lululemon 4% 3 Adidas 4% 3 Adidas 6% 3 lululemon 6%4 Adidas 4% 4 lululemon 4% 4 lululemon 5% 4 Under Armour 6%5 The North Face 1% 5 Victoria's Secret 1% 5 Victoria's Secret 1% 5 The North Face 1%

Victoria's Secret 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 69% 1 Nike 68% 1 Nike 71% 1 Nike 69%2 Under Armour 11% 2 Under Armour 12% 2 Under Armour 11% 2 Under Armour 10%3 Adidas 6% 3 Adidas 6% 3 Adidas 8% 3 Adidas 10%4 The North Face 1% 4 The North Face 1% 4 Columbia 1% 4 lululemon 1%5 Mossy Oak 0% 5 Columbia 0% The North Face 1% 5 The North Face 1%

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Top Athletic Footwear Brands Among Upper-Income PREFERRED ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR BRANDS (UPPER-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 83% 1 Nike 81% 1 Nike 83% 1 Nike 80%2 Adidas 4% 2 Adidas 6% 2 Adidas 7% 2 Adidas 8%3 ASICS 2% 3 ASICS 2% 3 ASICS 2% 3 New Balance 2%4 New Balance 2% 4 New Balance 1% New Balance 2% 4 ASICS 2%5 Under Armour 1% 5 Under Armour 1% 5 Under Armour 1% Under Armour 2%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 87% 1 Nike 85% 1 Nike 86% 1 Nike 82%2 Adidas 3% 2 Adidas 4% 2 Adidas 5% 2 Adidas 8%3 ASICS 2% 3 ASICS 2% 3 ASICS 2% 3 ASICS 3%4 Mizuno 1% 4 Brooks 1% 4 New Balance 1% 4 New Balance 1%5 New Balance 1% 5 Mizuno 1% 5 Brooks 1% 5 Brooks 1%

Saucony 1%Under Armour 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 80% 1 Nike 78% 1 Nike 80% 1 Nike 78%2 Adidas 6% 2 Adidas 8% 2 Adidas 8% 2 Adidas 8%3 New Balance 2% 3 New Balance 2% 3 New Balance 2% 3 Under Armour 2%4 Under Armour 2% 4 Under Armour 2% 4 Under Armour 2% 4 New Balance 2%5 ASICS 2% 5 ASICS 1% 5 ASICS 1% 5 ASICS 1%

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Top Athletic Footwear Brands Among Average-Income

PREFERRED ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, ALL TEENS)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, MALES)

PREFERRED ATHLETIC FOOTWEAR BRANDS (AVERAGE-INCOME, FEMALES)

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 81% 1 Nike 80% 1 Nike 82% 1 Nike 80%2 Adidas 4% 2 Adidas 5% 2 Adidas 6% 2 Adidas 8%3 Under Armour 3% 3 Under Armour 3% 3 Under Armour 2% 3 Under Armour 2%4 ASICS 2% 4 ASICS 1% 4 ASICS 1% 4 New Balance 2%5 New Balance 1% 5 New Balance 1% 5 New Balance 1% 5 ASICS 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 84% 1 Nike 84% 1 Nike 86% 1 Nike 83%2 Adidas 3% 2 Adidas 4% 2 Adidas 5% 2 Adidas 7%3 ASICS 2% 3 Under Armour 1% 3 ASICS 1% 3 Under Armour 1%4 Under Armour 1% 4 ASICS 1% 4 Under Armour 1% 4 ASICS 1%5 Mizuno 1% 5 Mizuno 1% 5 Brooks 1% 5 New Balance 1%

Rank Fall 2015 % Rank Spring 2016 % Rank Fall 2016 % Rank Spring 2017 %1 Nike 78% 1 Nike 77% 1 Nike 78% 1 Nike 77%2 Adidas 6% 2 Adidas 6% 2 Adidas 8% 2 Adidas 10%3 Under Armour 4% 3 Under Armour 3% 3 Under Armour 3% 3 Under Armour 3%4 ASICS 1% 4 New Balance 1% 4 New Balance 2% 4 New Balance 2%5 New Balance 1% 5 ASICS 1% 5 ASICS 1% 5 ASICS 1%

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Erinn Murphy Managing Director Sr. Research Analyst

Global Fashion & Lifestyle Brands

Nicole Miller Regan Managing Director Sr. Research Analyst

Restaurants

Sam Kemp Vice President Sr. Research Analyst

Internet

Stan Meyers Vice President Research Analyst

Media & Entertainment

Meet Our Senior Analyst Team

Mike Olson Managing Director Sr. Research Analyst

Online Content

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Analyst Certification – Sam Kemp, Stan Meyers, Nicole Miller Regan, Erinn Murphy, Mike Olson, Senior Research Analysts: The views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company and the subject security. In addition, no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this report.

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