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All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 1 Tackling Immediate Challenges November 10 th 2008 Analyst meeting

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Page 1: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 1

Tackling Immediate Challenges

November 10th 2008Analyst meeting

Page 2: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 2

Major issues

Business environment and Price keeping

OutlookBenefit from newly installed boilersOptimization of paper production

Overseas allinace projectsYuen Foong Yu Paper Mfg. (YFY)SCG Paper

Securing wood fiber resource

Summary

Page 3: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 3

0

50

100

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200

250

300

350

400

450

Mar.

Apr.

Oct

Apr.

Oct

Apr.

Oct

Apr.

Oct

Apr.

Oct

FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008

Wood chip ONP OMG OCC NBSK Dubai crude oil Coal

Entering corrective phase

but still Remining higher levelsPrices of raw materials and fuels

(Price at Mar.2004 = 100)Prices of raw materials and fuels

(Price at Mar.2004 = 100)

Business environment and Price keeping

Page 4: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 4

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Mar.

Apr.

Oct.

Apr.

Oct.

Apr.

Oct.

Apr.

FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008

A2 coated

A3 coated

Bitoko

Printing A

Sales price (3-mo MVA)Sales price (3-mo MVA)

Aggressively raising price since 2006

Successful 2008 to follow 2007

Not enough to recover cost increases

Business environment and Price keeping

(Average price during Jan-Mar. 2005 =100)

Page 5: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 5

-6.7

-8.8

-8.3

-29.1

-30.9

-49.9

-61.0

-179.2

-83.5

95.7 69.2

32.3

9.7

-200

-180

-160

-140

-120

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

-

Inputcost Price

Inputcost Price

Inputcost Price

Inputcost Price

Inputcost Price

Inputcost Price

FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008   Total(billion yen)

Progress of passing on cost risesProgress of passing on cost rises

Trace of cost/price impacts on OP

Business environment and Price keeping

Page 6: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 6

Coated paper imports(12-mo sum)

Coated paper imports(12-mo sum)(000 t)

On-going downward trend

0

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300

400

500

600

700

Mar

.A

pr.

Oct

.

Apr

.

Oct

.

Apr

.

Oct

.

Apr

.

Oct

.

Apr

.

FY2004 Fy2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008

Total

CM

CWF

Business environment and Price keeping

Page 7: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 7

0

40

80

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160

200

240

Apr.

Oct

.

Apr.

Oct

.

Apr.

Oct

.

Apr.

Oct

.

Apr.

FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Domestic shipment

Inventory

Inventory shipment ratio

Major 4 grades = A2 coated, A3 coated, Bitoko, Printing A

Inventory(000 t)

I/S ratio(month)Inventory of 4 major gradesInventory of 4 major grades Bring right balance by the year end

Business environment and Price keeping

Page 8: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 8

Business environment and Price keeping

Most urgent: Reduce distributor inventory!Significant curtailment for major grades

during Oct.-Dec.

Grade YoYA2 coated -50 ktA3 coated -70 ktBitoko -20 ktPrinting A -some ktTotal -140 kt

Proactive adjustment continues in Jan.-Mar. accordingly to demand

Price keeping as Top priority

Page 9: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 9

Outlook

Demand: Unclear — Need to look closely at economic situation

Input cost: Unclear — Chemicals price still rising

Cost cuts: Do our best to achieve targets despite the large

curtailment

Ensuring contribution from new boilers

Optimizing paper production

Page 10: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 10

runn

ing

New boiler schedule

1H 5.1

2H 4.2

Total 9.3

FY2008Estimated benefit

(yen billion)

Outlook — New boiler contribution

260New energyIwakuniⅡNPIStudying

6.95170BiomassAsahikawaNPISep 2008

NDB 11.2114260CoalOtakeMay 2009

82.17362004-2009Total

5.343105Pulverized coalGotsuNPCSep 2008

9.056280New energyShiraoiNPIAug 2008

5.975180CoalAkitaNDBApr 2008

6.793180New energyYoshinagaNDBApr 2008

10.186180BiomassIwakuniNPIFeb 2008

11.587230New energyIwanumaNPIJan 2008

6.4103230BiomassFujiNPIOct 2007

5.355180BiomassIshinomakiNPIOct 2006

3.919105BiomassNakosoNPISep 2004

¥ billion000klt/h

InvestmentHeavy oil reductionSteam flow

FuelMillCo.Operationstart

Page 11: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 11

Employees at the 3 sites

Relocated in

the Group Quited Total

228 121 349 employees

Sep. 30 Ceased paper production at 3 sitesNPI: Closed Fushiki mill

NPI: Ceased paper production at Komatsushima mill

NDB:Closed Waki works

ref. in the presentation at the analyst meeting on Oct. 29 2007:Regular employees 220 + On-lone 130 = 350 => treated as “Regular”

Outlook — Optimization of paper production

Page 12: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 12

•Variable costs -Y0.1bnProduction efficiency + Y3.8 bnOutput reduction - Y3.9 bn

•Fixed costs +Y3.8 bnDepreciation + Y1.6 bnCapex impact - Y0.4 bnMaintenance,GA etc. + Y2.6 bn

•Labor costs +Y1.9 bn

+Y3.7bn

Cost benefit+Y5.6 bn

Expecting benefit of planned levelRealizing gradually from this 2H

Original Plan

Outlook — Optimization of paper production

Extraordinaryloss

FY07 -Y9.8 bnFY08 -Y3.1bn

Page 13: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 13

Yuen Foong Yu Paper Mfg. (Taiwan)Biggest in Taiwan

P&PB production: 1.9 million ton/year

Strong foothold in Greater China region

MOU signed: Nov. 21, 2007

Agreedment on PB business: Oct. 23, 2008

Invest in YFY’s PB business

Strengthen foundation and expand

Overseas alliance projects — YFY

Page 14: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 14

Production sites Paper Mfg.

PRCYangzhou Hsinwu Chengkung

Box plant

Tianjin Qingdao Kunshan Nanjin Suzhou Jaixin Shanghai Fuzhou Xiamen Dong guan Guangzhou Zhongshan

Don Nai Binh Tan Long An Taoyuan Chunan Changhua KaohsiungTaiwan

PRC

Vietnam

Taiwan

Packaging businessPaper mfg. 3 sitesBox plant 19 sites

Overseas alliance projects — YFY

HQ

Taiwan

Page 15: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 15

SCG Paper (Thailand)Paper business arm under Siam Cement Group

Biggest in Thailand

P&PB production: 2.7 million ton/year

Leading company in the ASEAN region

MOU signed: Feb. 2008 Businesses of SCG

FY2007

Net salesBt267.7bn

Committees designing plans to materialize the alliance

New businessesTechnical cooperationSales cooperation

Overseas alliance projects — SCG Paper

Paper

ChemicalsCement

Buildingmaterials

Distribution etc.

Page 16: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 16

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Today Expandable

TreeFarm- Expanding overseas afforestation

166 kha at the end of FY2007Targeting >200 kha by 2015Expand >300 kha in the long run

South AfricaFSC

12Kha(Acacia etc.)

AustraliaAFS

78Kha(Eucalyptus)

ChilieCertforChile

14Kha(Eucalyptus)

BrasilFSC

Under an evaluation

62Kha+70Kha

(Eucalyptus)

S.Africa

Brasil

Australia

Chilie

(千ha)

Expanding plantation area166kha➜239kha

Self sufficiency20% → 40%

Today Expandable

Securing fiber resource from the long-term perspective

Securing wood fiber resource

Page 17: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 17

Summary

Long term management policy

Price keepingSqueeze W/H stock

Tighter cash controlSqueeze inventory assetCarefully screen investment plans

Visions unchangedTake steady steps to expand

overseas businesses

Urgent issues

Page 18: Tackling Immediate Challenges...Sep 2008 NPI Asahikawa Biomass 170 5 6.9 May 2009 NDB Otake Coal 260 114 11.2 2004-2009Total 736 82.1 Sep 2008 NPC Gotsu Pulverized coal 105 43 5.3

All Rights Reserved. Copyright (C) 2008 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. 18

Disclaimer

Forward looking statementAny statements in this presentation document, other than those of historical fact, are forward-

looking statements which are based on management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of information currently available, and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these forecasts.

Financial information Financial information presented in this presentation material is prepared based on the

Japanese Accounting Standard, if for no additional statements specifying the calculating method.

Copyright statementAll rights reserved. Copyright © 2007 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. Unauthorized use or reproduction of this material in part or in whole is strictly prohibited