tackling immediate challenges...sep 2008 npi asahikawa biomass 170 5 6.9 may 2009 ndb otake coal 260...
TRANSCRIPT
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Tackling Immediate Challenges
November 10th 2008Analyst meeting
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Major issues
Business environment and Price keeping
OutlookBenefit from newly installed boilersOptimization of paper production
Overseas allinace projectsYuen Foong Yu Paper Mfg. (YFY)SCG Paper
Securing wood fiber resource
Summary
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0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Mar.
Apr.
Oct
Apr.
Oct
Apr.
Oct
Apr.
Oct
Apr.
Oct
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008
Wood chip ONP OMG OCC NBSK Dubai crude oil Coal
Entering corrective phase
but still Remining higher levelsPrices of raw materials and fuels
(Price at Mar.2004 = 100)Prices of raw materials and fuels
(Price at Mar.2004 = 100)
Business environment and Price keeping
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80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
Mar.
Apr.
Oct.
Apr.
Oct.
Apr.
Oct.
Apr.
FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008
A2 coated
A3 coated
Bitoko
Printing A
Sales price (3-mo MVA)Sales price (3-mo MVA)
Aggressively raising price since 2006
Successful 2008 to follow 2007
Not enough to recover cost increases
Business environment and Price keeping
(Average price during Jan-Mar. 2005 =100)
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-6.7
-8.8
-8.3
-29.1
-30.9
-49.9
-61.0
-179.2
-83.5
95.7 69.2
32.3
9.7
-200
-180
-160
-140
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
-
Inputcost Price
Inputcost Price
Inputcost Price
Inputcost Price
Inputcost Price
Inputcost Price
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Total(billion yen)
Progress of passing on cost risesProgress of passing on cost rises
Trace of cost/price impacts on OP
Business environment and Price keeping
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Coated paper imports(12-mo sum)
Coated paper imports(12-mo sum)(000 t)
On-going downward trend
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Mar
.A
pr.
Oct
.
Apr
.
Oct
.
Apr
.
Oct
.
Apr
.
Oct
.
Apr
.
FY2004 Fy2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008
Total
CM
CWF
Business environment and Price keeping
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0
40
80
120
160
200
240
Apr.
Oct
.
Apr.
Oct
.
Apr.
Oct
.
Apr.
Oct
.
Apr.
FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
Domestic shipment
Inventory
Inventory shipment ratio
Major 4 grades = A2 coated, A3 coated, Bitoko, Printing A
Inventory(000 t)
I/S ratio(month)Inventory of 4 major gradesInventory of 4 major grades Bring right balance by the year end
Business environment and Price keeping
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Business environment and Price keeping
Most urgent: Reduce distributor inventory!Significant curtailment for major grades
during Oct.-Dec.
Grade YoYA2 coated -50 ktA3 coated -70 ktBitoko -20 ktPrinting A -some ktTotal -140 kt
Proactive adjustment continues in Jan.-Mar. accordingly to demand
Price keeping as Top priority
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Outlook
Demand: Unclear — Need to look closely at economic situation
Input cost: Unclear — Chemicals price still rising
Cost cuts: Do our best to achieve targets despite the large
curtailment
Ensuring contribution from new boilers
Optimizing paper production
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runn
ing
New boiler schedule
1H 5.1
2H 4.2
Total 9.3
FY2008Estimated benefit
(yen billion)
Outlook — New boiler contribution
260New energyIwakuniⅡNPIStudying
6.95170BiomassAsahikawaNPISep 2008
NDB 11.2114260CoalOtakeMay 2009
82.17362004-2009Total
5.343105Pulverized coalGotsuNPCSep 2008
9.056280New energyShiraoiNPIAug 2008
5.975180CoalAkitaNDBApr 2008
6.793180New energyYoshinagaNDBApr 2008
10.186180BiomassIwakuniNPIFeb 2008
11.587230New energyIwanumaNPIJan 2008
6.4103230BiomassFujiNPIOct 2007
5.355180BiomassIshinomakiNPIOct 2006
3.919105BiomassNakosoNPISep 2004
¥ billion000klt/h
InvestmentHeavy oil reductionSteam flow
FuelMillCo.Operationstart
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Employees at the 3 sites
Relocated in
the Group Quited Total
228 121 349 employees
Sep. 30 Ceased paper production at 3 sitesNPI: Closed Fushiki mill
NPI: Ceased paper production at Komatsushima mill
NDB:Closed Waki works
ref. in the presentation at the analyst meeting on Oct. 29 2007:Regular employees 220 + On-lone 130 = 350 => treated as “Regular”
Outlook — Optimization of paper production
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•Variable costs -Y0.1bnProduction efficiency + Y3.8 bnOutput reduction - Y3.9 bn
•Fixed costs +Y3.8 bnDepreciation + Y1.6 bnCapex impact - Y0.4 bnMaintenance,GA etc. + Y2.6 bn
•Labor costs +Y1.9 bn
+
+Y3.7bn
Cost benefit+Y5.6 bn
Expecting benefit of planned levelRealizing gradually from this 2H
Original Plan
Outlook — Optimization of paper production
Extraordinaryloss
FY07 -Y9.8 bnFY08 -Y3.1bn
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Yuen Foong Yu Paper Mfg. (Taiwan)Biggest in Taiwan
P&PB production: 1.9 million ton/year
Strong foothold in Greater China region
MOU signed: Nov. 21, 2007
Agreedment on PB business: Oct. 23, 2008
Invest in YFY’s PB business
Strengthen foundation and expand
Overseas alliance projects — YFY
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Production sites Paper Mfg.
PRCYangzhou Hsinwu Chengkung
Box plant
Tianjin Qingdao Kunshan Nanjin Suzhou Jaixin Shanghai Fuzhou Xiamen Dong guan Guangzhou Zhongshan
Don Nai Binh Tan Long An Taoyuan Chunan Changhua KaohsiungTaiwan
PRC
Vietnam
Taiwan
Packaging businessPaper mfg. 3 sitesBox plant 19 sites
Overseas alliance projects — YFY
HQ
Taiwan
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SCG Paper (Thailand)Paper business arm under Siam Cement Group
Biggest in Thailand
P&PB production: 2.7 million ton/year
Leading company in the ASEAN region
MOU signed: Feb. 2008 Businesses of SCG
FY2007
Net salesBt267.7bn
Committees designing plans to materialize the alliance
New businessesTechnical cooperationSales cooperation
Overseas alliance projects — SCG Paper
Paper
ChemicalsCement
Buildingmaterials
Distribution etc.
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0
50
100
150
200
250
Today Expandable
TreeFarm- Expanding overseas afforestation
166 kha at the end of FY2007Targeting >200 kha by 2015Expand >300 kha in the long run
South AfricaFSC
12Kha(Acacia etc.)
AustraliaAFS
78Kha(Eucalyptus)
ChilieCertforChile
14Kha(Eucalyptus)
BrasilFSC
Under an evaluation
62Kha+70Kha
(Eucalyptus)
S.Africa
Brasil
Australia
Chilie
(千ha)
Expanding plantation area166kha➜239kha
Self sufficiency20% → 40%
Today Expandable
Securing fiber resource from the long-term perspective
Securing wood fiber resource
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Summary
Long term management policy
Price keepingSqueeze W/H stock
Tighter cash controlSqueeze inventory assetCarefully screen investment plans
Visions unchangedTake steady steps to expand
overseas businesses
Urgent issues
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Disclaimer
Forward looking statementAny statements in this presentation document, other than those of historical fact, are forward-
looking statements which are based on management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of information currently available, and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these forecasts.
Financial information Financial information presented in this presentation material is prepared based on the
Japanese Accounting Standard, if for no additional statements specifying the calculating method.
Copyright statementAll rights reserved. Copyright © 2007 Nippon Paper Group, Inc. Unauthorized use or reproduction of this material in part or in whole is strictly prohibited