swatch group: seizing the opportunities from the new ... group: seizing the opportunities from the...
TRANSCRIPT
Swatch Group: Seizing the opportunities from the new
smartwatch marketPresenting to CEO Mr. Nick Hayek
May 2016
Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf:
Louisa Schuessler, Ursula Hilgers, Johannes Gerlach, Hannes Kurz
DuesseldorfConsultingMandate
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 2
How to respond to new competitors producing smartwatches especially to the Apple Watch
DuesseldorfConsultingRecommendation
Enter the smartwatch market with a highly technological product in all price segments.
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 3
DuesseldorfConsultingAgenda
1. The development of the smartwatch market
2. The Swatch Group
3. Entering the smartwatch market?
4. Implementation of the Smart Swatch• R & D• Product• Distribution
5. Outlook
6. Wrap-up
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 4
DuesseldorfConsultingThe Swatch Group’s revenues are mostly generated from the luxury segment
95%
5%
Luxury segment Others
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 5
You need to offer an alternative for the luxury segment instead of the Apple WATCH
• 18 watch brands • 36,000
employees• 50 countries
27%
73%
Prefer Apple watch Prefer traditional watches
DuesseldorfConsultingDevelopment of Swatch Group’s net sales and net income
6764
77968456 8709 8451
1276 1608 19281416 1119
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
In m
n CH
F
Net Sales Net Income
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 6
Well development of net sales and financial situation
CAGR: 5.7%• Equity ratio: 84.7%• Balance sheet total: CHF 13,270mn• Employees: 35,783
DuesseldorfConsulting
6764
77968456 8709 8451
1276 1608 19281416 1119
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
In m
n CH
F
Net Sales Net Income
Development of Swatch Group’s net sales and net income
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 7
Tackle the decreasing net sales and net income in the currently changing market environment
CAGR: -3.0%• Equity ratio: 84.7%• Balance sheet total: CHF 13,270mn• Employees: 35,783
CAGR: -11.1%
DuesseldorfConsulting
The smartwatch market is increasing by an average of 49.14% where the Apple WATCH is the dominant player in the advanced smartness sector
30.32%
50.40%
66.71%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
Market growth for smartwatches
2015 2016 2017
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 8
You need to improve your technological smartness in order to compete with Apple
Luxury
Mass market
Low Advanced Smartness
Apple WATCH EDITION$10,000 - $17,000
Apple WATCH HERMES$1,100 - $1,500
Apple WATCH$549 - $1,099
Apple WATCH SPORT$299 - $349
Swatch Touch Zero One$130
TISSOT$1,100
DuesseldorfConsulting
The target group of watches can be divided into “Traditionals” and “Technology Lovers”
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 9
You need to assess which target groups will be addressed by your product
High
Low
Low Advanced Smartness
Price segment
“Technology Lovers”“Traditionals”
Customer needs for smartwatches:• Touch navigation • Mail, calendar, messages• Multimedia• Waterproof
DuesseldorfConsultingKey issues
Assess the importance of technological
development for the Swatch Group Ltd.
Determine future market positioning
Tackle the decreasing
financial performance
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 10
DuesseldorfConsultingShould Swatch Group Ltd. enter the market of smartwatches?
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 11
AlternativeCriteria
Enter the market of smartwatches
Staying in the traditional Swiss watch market
Growth opportunity
Customer needs
Existing competition
Brand heritage
DuesseldorfConsultingShould Swatch Group Ltd. enter the market of smartwatches?
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 12
AlternativeCriteria
Enter the market of smartwatches
Staying in the traditional Swiss watch market
Growth opportunity
Customer needs
Existing competition
Brand heritage
DuesseldorfConsultingWhich customer group should be targeted?
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 13
AlternativeCriteria
Technology lovers Traditionals
Growth opportunity
Customer needs
Existing competition
Brand heritage
DuesseldorfConsultingWhich customer group should be targeted?
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 14
AlternativeCriteria
Technology lovers Traditionals
Growth opportunity
Customer needs
Existing competition
Brand heritage
The “Smart Swatch”
DuesseldorfConsultingThe implementation of the Smart Swatch
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 16
R & D Product Distribution
DuesseldorfConsultingThe implementation of the Smart Swatch
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 17
R & D Product Distribution
DuesseldorfConsultingThe development of Smart Swatch for Technology lovers with a partner
Criteria for partner
• Experience• Reputation• Lead time
Contract
• Production• R&D• Long term• Banning own smartwatch
Department
• 50 people• Coordination • Swatch heritage• Competencies
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 18
Create the Smart Swatch with an advanced technology and build up the necessary competencies in house in the long term
DuesseldorfConsulting
Further development of the Smart Swatch to eliminate the need for a second device and increase the battery life
Universities
• Stanford• Oxford• ETH Zurich
Start-ups
• Competitions
R&D
• Innovation Center• Increased
expenditures
Marketing agency
• Conjoint analysis• Cluster analysis
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 19
Meet the increasing customer needs and survive the upcoming competition
DuesseldorfConsultingThe implementation of the Smart Swatch
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 20
R & D Product Distribution
DuesseldorfConsultingThe price ranges and design of your Smart Swatch
Smart Swatch I
• $250• Sportive band
Smart Swatch II
• $500• Black / brown leather band
Smart Swatch III
• $3000• Yellow gold wrist band
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 21
Serve all price segments with different wristband
Customization• Size of screen • Removable wristband• Name and picture engraving
• Round face of watch• Swiss craftsmanship frame
DuesseldorfConsultingThe multiple advanced functions of the Smart Swatch
Organizer
• Mails, messaging• Calls • Calendar• …
Health
• Activity tracking• Nutrition• Medical information
Technology
• High battery power• Waterproof (IPX7)• Inductive charging
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 22
Meet the increasing customer needs for a digital solution for life
DuesseldorfConsultingThe implementation of the Smart Swatch
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 23
R & D Product Distribution
DuesseldorfConsulting
Online shop
• Video tutorials• Live chat• Schedule appointment
in the nearby store
Own Swatch stores Retailer
Distribution via three channels
• Training of Swatch sales team
• Online Smart Swatch configurator
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 24
• Special sales areas in each stores for customers to test connectivity of Smart Swatch with their own devices
• Online tutorials for end customer sales staff (product information and connectivity)
• Support by Swatch sales team• Standard models in each store • In store configurator (same as online)• Catalogue for offline configuration
DuesseldorfConsultingImplementation plan and associated costs
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 25
2016 2017 2018 2018 2019 2020 Costs
Analysis of potential partners 800000
Negotiation with partners 200000
Build up the Smart Swatch Department with 50 employees 10000000
Market Research and developmen of app (marketing agency) 6000000
Development of configurator 500000
Education of sales persons 3000000
Shop arrangements 2000000
Building up in-house knowledge 15000000
Launch of Smart Swatch X
Total costs of implementation: CHF 37.5mn
DuesseldorfConsultingFinancing concept and financial outlook
• Take out a loan of CHF 40mn
• Duration: 10 years, interest rate 2.5%
• Yearly interest payments: CHF 1.0mn
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 26
Investments will be profitable in 2022
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Net income 5 5.5 8 15 25 40
Accumulated 5 10.5 18.5 33.5 58.5 98.5
Break Even X
DuesseldorfConsultingThe Smart Swatch will compete directly with the Apple WATCH
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 27
With the slightly lower price you will be able to gain market share
Luxury
Mass market
Low Advanced Smartness
Apple WATCH EDITION$10,000 - $17,000
Apple WATCH HERMES$1,100 - $1,500
Apple WATCH$549 - $1,099
Apple WATCH SPORT$299 - $349
Swatch Touch Zero One$130
Smart Swatch $3000
TISSOT$1,100
Smart Swatch $500
Smart Swatch $250
DuesseldorfConsultingOur expectation for your company in 2020
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 28
Continuous market research would identify changing customer expectations
Luxury
Mass market
Low Advanced Smartness
Smart Swatch $3000
Smart Swatch $500
Smart Swatch $250
Swatch Touch Zero One$130
TISSOT$1,100
Products• Smart Watch • Traditional watches
Markets• Global presence as you
already sell watches worldwide
Customers• Technology lovers• Traditionals
DuesseldorfConsultingRisk and contingency
1. Appreciation of Swiss Franc as during the financial and European sovereign debt crisis Hedge currency risks on financial markets
2. Failing to meet customer expectations and “smartness” of Smart Swatch Increase marketing as well as R&D efforts
3. Dependence on cooperation partner contractual penalty and build up in-house knowledge management in the long term
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 29
1
3
2
Probability
Impact
DuesseldorfConsultingWrap-up
Assess the importance of technological development for the Swatch Group Ltd.
Tackle the decreasing financial performance
Determine future market positioning
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 30
Enter the smartwatch market with a highly technological product in all price segments.
DuesseldorfConsultingWrap-up
Assess the importance of technological development for the Swatch Group Ltd.
Tackle the decreasing financial performance
Determine future market positioning
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 31
Enter the smartwatch market with a highly technological product in all price segments.
DuesseldorfConsultingWrap-up
Assess the importance of technological development for the Swatch Group Ltd.
Tackle the decreasing financial performance
Determine future market positioning
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 32
Enter the smartwatch market with a highly technological product in all price segments.
DuesseldorfConsultingWrap-up
Assess the importance of technological development for the Swatch Group Ltd.
Tackle the decreasing financial performance
Determine future market positioning
May 2016 Heinrich Heine University Duesseldorf 33
Enter the smartwatch market with a highly technological product in all price segments.
Thank you.