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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOAL POWER (ELECTRICITY) DEPARTMENT GOVERNMENT OF ASSAM GOAL -7: ENSURE ACCESS TO AFFORDABLE, RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE AND MODERN ENERGY FOR ALL

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SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOAL

POWER (ELECTRICITY) DEPARTMENT

GOVERNMENT OF ASSAM

GOAL -7: ENSURE ACCESS TO AFFORDABLE, RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE

AND MODERN ENERGY FOR ALL

Starting point for Goal 7can be

established on this basis

Vision: Ensure Access to Affordable, Reliable, Sustainable and Modern Energy for All by 2030

Mission:

Electrification of all households and ensuring availability of quality power for all

Increase State Conventional electricity generation capacity to 1202.2 MW by end of 2030

Increase the contribution of Renewable Energy in the total energy mix of the state to 9.04% (807 MW) by end of 2023 & 10.5 % (963 MW) by end of 2030.

Reduce AT&C losses below 15% by end of 2023 & 8% by end of 2030

Expansion of transmission network to handle peak power to the tune of 4000 MW by end of 2023 & 5600 MW by end of 2030

To promote all matters concerning energy conservation and energy efficiency pertaining to use of electricity

Three Goals & Five Success Indicators:

Goals

Success Indicator

2016 2019 2023 2030

7.1 By 2030, ensure universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services

Proportion of households having electricity as the primary source of lighting

60.8% 100% 100% 100%

7.2 By 2030, increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix

Proportion of renewable energy to the total energy generation in the year

0.58% 8.05% 9.04% 10.5%

7.3 By 2030, double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency

Reduction of AT&C losses in transmission & distribution system to energy produced

23% 17% 15% 8%

Rate of improvement in energy intensity measured in terms of GDP (kWh/Rs.)

0.005 0.013 0.018 0.018

Transmission availability factor 99.78% 99.83% 99.86% 99.86%

Existing Power Scenario of Assam

Existing Power Scenario of Assam – 2016:

2016 Projected

Value for

Achieving

SDG - 2030

Projected

value based

on BAU 2030

Gap to be fulfilled

for achieving

SDG

Households Electrification Level (%) 60.8% 100% 100% • 39.2 % on 2016

• 0% on 2030

Electricity Demand (MU) 9309 (CEA Load

Balance 2016)

35571

Electricity Supply (MU) 5037 (Projected) 16939

Peak Load Demand (MW) 1560 (CEA Load

Balance 2016)

4986

State Generation Plant (MW) 384.7 5059.3 2164.9 2894.4

Central Sector Allocation Plant (MW) 864.7 - 2419.7

Total Generation Plant (State +

Central Sector Allocation)

1249.4 4584.6

Plant Size required to meet Peak

Load Demand (MW)

2196 7479 4584.6 2894.4

Share of Renewable Energy (%) in

terms of installation

1.16% 21%

Share of Renewable Energy (%) in

terms of Generation

0.58% 10.46%

AT&C Losses 23% 8% - 15%

Electrification Scenario

Percentage of households electrification

The existing schemes for electrification are

DDUGJY for rural electrification

R – APDRP (Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program) for urban electrification

DDG (Decentralized Distributed Generation) Program for rural & remote areas where network connectivity through grid line is not feasible

As per census of India 2011, households electrification level of Assam was 37%. As on 2016, about 29.3 lakh rural households being electrified under DDUGJY and achieving the households electrification level upto 60.8%.

To achieve the national target of 100% households electrification by 2019, there is still a GAP of 39.2% covering about 26 lakhs households that do not have access to electricity.

HouseholdsElectrified

(Lakh)

% ofHouseholdsElectrified

Gap (%) HHunelectrified

41

60.8% 39.2%

26

Households Electrification Scenario 2016 in Assam

Series1

Census

2011

2016-17

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Percentage ofelectrified %

37% 60.8% 75% 85% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

% o

f El

ectr

ific

atio

n

Percentage of HH electrified

Households Electrification Scenario – Assam

. In 2016, the households electrification level of Assam is 60.8%. To achieve the National Target, there is still a GAP of 39.2% covering 26 Lakh households that do not have access to electricity.

Households Urban Households Rural Households

67

11

56

60.8% 100% 44%

41

11

29 26

0

26

Households Electrification Scenarion in Assam by 2016

Total HH % Electrified Electrified Unelectrified

Totalunelectrified

HH

On - Gridareas

OFF Gridareas

26.2 25.1

1.1

Un- electrified 26 Lakh households pattern in Assam by 2016

i) About 1.1 Lakhs rural households are situated in

remote and flood effected areas where construction

of conventional grid line is not possible.

Electrification through Decentralized Solar

Application like Micro/Mini Grid Solar Power Plant,

Standalone Solar Home Lighting Systems, Solar

Lantern Charging station is the only possible

solutions in these areas.

ii) Out of 1.1 Lakh rural households, electrification for

45.6 thousand households has already been started

through decentralized solar application like Micro

Grid Solar power plant & standalone solar home

lighting system under DDG Program of REC.

iii) About 25.1 Lakh rural households would be

electrified through conventional grid line system

under DDUGJY scheme of REC by end of 2020.

FY -2011

FY -2016

FY -2017

FY-2018

Fy-2019

FY-2020

FY-2023

FY-2030

Total HH 63 67 70 71 72 73 78 87

HH Electrified 23 41 52 60 72 73 78 87

0102030405060708090

100

No

s. o

f h

ou

seh

old

s

Proposed Electrification Scenario

Strategy for Electrification

Existing Challenges for Households Electrification in Assam • 25.1 Lakhs rural households yet to be electrified

through convectional grid line systems by end of

2019

• Most of the remote un-electrified villages in Assam

are situated in hilly areas, Riverine Island (Char

areas), dense forest & flood effected areas. About

1.1 Lakhs rural households yet to be electrified

through decentralized solar applications by end of

2019

• APDCL projected that about 24 Lakhs newly

constructed households to be electrified by end of

2030.

• Inadequate supply of requisite quantity of electricity

in remote areas due to increase of habitations

Strategy for Households Electrification • Providing infrastructure for electrification including

intensification for supply of electricity in all areas of

Assam where construction of large scale grid

connection is possible.

• Implement of all ongoing rural electrification projects

including intensification by end of 2019 – 2022

• Identifying niche areas for application of Renewable

Energy Technologies and reducing consumption of

diesel and evolving suitable mechanism for off –

grid deployments.

• Adopting government policies & programmes to

provide lighting facilities to all off – grid areas where

construction of conventional grid line is not possible

2011 2016 2030

312 328 385

63 67 87

Population Pattern Scenario Assam (Lakh)

Population Households

Electricity Demand Scenario – Assam

.

• As per Planning Commission of India, Annual Report 2012-13, the energy demand pattern of Assam in terms of sale of energy is:

- Residential – 36%

- Commercial – 15%

- Industrial – 34%

- Agricultural – 1% &

- Other – 14%

• In 2030, the projected energy demand scenario is as follows:

- Residential – 58%

-Commercial – 8%

- Industrial – 26%

- Agricultural – 5%

- Cooking – 1%

- Telecom – 2%

Residential 36%

Commercial 15%

Industrial 34%

Agricultural 1% Other

14%

Electricity Demand Scenario Assam 2012

Residential 58%

Commercial 8%

Industrial 26%

Agricultural 5%

Cooking 1%

Telecom 2%

Electricity Demand Scenario Assam - 2030

Electricity Demand Scenario – Assam

.

• As per Planning Commission of India,

Annual Report 2012-13, the electricity

demand in terms of sale of energy in

Assam is 4695 MU & 2030, it is projected

that the energy demand would increase

upto 35571 MU by end of 2030 at CAGR

value 9.2%.

• As per CEA load balance report 2016,

the actual energy demand is 9309 MU. If

CAGR value of 9.2% is considered, then

the projected energy demand in 2030 is

31917 MU.

• Per Capita consumption of electricity

increases from 151 to 924 by end of 2030

FY -2016

FY -2017

FY-2018 Fy-2019FY-

2020FY-2023

FY-2030

BAU 9309 10165 11101 12122 13237 17237 31917

SDG 12084 13373 14663 16076 17625 21164 35571

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

MU

Energy Demand Scenario in Assam 2030

Residential 58%

Commercial 8%

Industrial 26%

Agricultural 5%

Cooking 1%

Telecom 2%

Electricity Demand Scenario Assam - 2030 2012 2016 2030

151 368

924

Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario

Per Capital Electricity Consumption

Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario – Assam

.

• As per Planning Commission of India, Annual Report 2012-13, the per capita electricity consumption in Assam is 151.

• In 2030, it is projected that the per capita electricity consumption would increase up to 924

2012 2016 2030

151

368

924

Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario

Per Capital Electricity Consumption

2012 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

151

368 403 436 472 510 551 559 591 625 660 698 713 753 795

924

Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario

Per Capital Electricity Consumption

Electricity Demand - Supply Scenario – Assam

. In 2030, the projected Electricity Demand is 35571 MU and the projected supply scenario is 16939 MU. There is still a demand supply gap is 18632 MU

FY -201

6

FY -201

7

FY-201

8

Fy-201

9

FY-202

0

FY-202

3

FY-203

0

Demand (MU) 12084133731466316076176252116435571

Supply (MU) 5037 6757 1159312042122951667516939

05000

10000150002000025000300003500040000

MU

Electricity Demand Supply Scenario Assam -2030

FY -201

6

FY -201

7

FY-201

8

Fy-201

9

FY-202

0

FY-202

3

FY-203

0

Demand Supply Gap(MU)

7048 6617 3070 4034 5330 4489 18632

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

MU

Electricity Demand Supply Gap in Assam - 2030

• Economic growth, increasing prosperity and urbanization, rise in per capita consumption, and spread of energy access are the factors likely to substantially increase the total demand for electricity. Thus there is an emerging energy supply – demand imbalance.

• The State generating power stations including central sector allocations plant like gas, coal, hydro & renewable energy generation based power projects of various proposed projects are presently in various stage of development. If the proposed generating station will install in time, still there is Gap of about 18632 MU by end of 2030.

Strategy to Meet Electricity Demand Supply Gap

Existing Challenges to Meet Electricity Demand in Assam • Insecurity in electricity supply due to high

dependence on electricity imports

• Low private sector investment in electricity

generation

• Coal block linkage & inadequate supply of gas.

• Inadequate supply of requisite quantity of electricity

in remote areas due to increase of habitations

• Lack of business models for development of

renewable energy power generation projects

• Lack of policy to govern the procurement of viable

renewable energy technologies

Strategy for to Meet Electricity Demand in Assam • Increase local hydropower capacity.

• Install coal-fired thermal plant

• Increase install capacity of Gas based thermal

power plant

• Strengthen implementation of facilitation

mechanisms to attract private sector investment in

electricity generation

• Providing infrastructure for electrification including

intensification

• Explore new business models & strengthen

implementation mechanism to attract private sector

investment in Renewable Energy Sector

• Develop policy and regulatory framework for energy

efficiency

Generation Scenario State Generation Plant of Assam - 2016

The present installed capacity of coal, gas &

hydro based power State generating plant is

391.3 MW with

- 70.7 % gas based;

- 0% coal based &

-25.6 % hydro based.

- 3% Large Solar

- 0.8% Small Hydro

- 1.7% Rooftop Solar (By end of 2016)

The State is importing power from central

sector allocation quantum generation from

NEEPCO, NHPC, NTPC etc. for most of the time

of the year. The present importing power from

Central Sector plant is 864.7 MW.

The present total generation plant of the State

is 1256 MW including State Generation & Central

Sector Allocation Plant.

Gas Coal Hydro LageScaleSolar

SmallHydro

RooftopSolar

Total

276.7

0.0

100.0

5.0 3.0 6.6

391.3

State Generation Plant of Assam 2016

Gas Coal Hydro Total

186.7 291.0

387.0

864.7

Central Sector Allocation Plant in 2016

463.4 291.0

487.0

5.0 3.0 6.6

1256.0 State + CSA Plant

Generation Target

. In 2030, it is projected that the cumulative install capacity of the plant in the State would be 4585 MW considering both state generating plant & central sector allocation plant.

i) The State Generation & the central sector plants under various projects are in different stages of development. If the proposed generating projects are commissioned in time, about 4585 MW power likely to be installed & allocated to Assam by end of 2030.

ii) The cumulative installed capacity of the state by end of 2030 is 4585 MW with

- 19% gas based - 26% coal based - 34% hydro based - 13% utility scale solar power plant - 2% Small hydro based plant - 6% Rooftop Solar

Gas Coal Hydro Lage ScaleSolar

Small Hydro Rooftop Solar Total

463 291 487 5 3 7

1256 869 1198 1555 613

98 253

4585

Projected Generation Scenario of Assam by 2030

FY - 2016 FY - 2030

Gas 19%

Coal 26% Hydro

34%

Lage Scale Solar 13%

Small Hydro 2% Rooftop

Solar 6%

% of Plant Generation Scenario Assam - 2030

Strategy to Meet Generation GAP

Generation GAP • Low private sector investment in electricity

generation.

• Coal block linkage & inadequate supply of gas.

• Lack of business models for development of

renewable energy power generation projects

• Lack of policy to govern the procurement of viable

renewable energy technologies

• Absence of Single Window Mechanism for approval

for renewable energy projects

• To meet the demand – supply gap, still there is a

gap of 2895 MW by end of 2030.

Strategy for to Generation GAP • Increase local hydropower capacity.

• Install coal-fired thermal plant

• Increase install capacity of Gas based thermal

power plant

• Strengthen implementation of facilitation

mechanisms to attract private sector investment in

electricity generation

• Explore new business models & strengthen

implementation mechanism to attract private sector

investment in Renewable Energy Sector

• Complete of all ongoing & proposed generation

plants

FY -201

6

FY -201

7

FY-201

8

Fy-201

9

FY-202

0

FY-202

3

FY-203

0

Plant size required(MW)

2196 2651 3063 3410 3794 4367 7479

Projected PlantSize (MW)

1256 1722 3114 3285 3404 4429 4585

010002000300040005000600070008000

Pla

nt

Size

(M

W)

Gap for Generation Plant in Assam by 2030

FY -2016

FY -2017

FY-2018

Fy-2019

FY-2020

FY-2023

FY-2030

GAP (MW) 940 929 -51 125 390 -62 2895

-5000

500100015002000250030003500

Pla

nt

Size

(M

W)

Generation Gap in Assam - 2030

Renewable Energy Generation Scenario

. The present install capacity of Renewable Energy Generation plant is 8 MW with 5 MW Large Scale Solar Plant & 3 MW Small Hydro Plant.

i) Different renewable energy plants are various state of development. If this proposed generating projects are commissioned in time, about 963 MW renewable energy power likely to be installed by end of 2030.

ii) The cumulative installed capacity of the state by end of 2030 is 963 MW with

- 612.5 MW of Utility Scale Solar Power Plant

- 97.5 MW of Small Hydro Power Plant - 253 MW of Rooftop Solar Power Plant iii) The Share of Renewable Energy in total

energy generation would increase 0.58% to 10.5% by end of 2030

Large Scale Solar Small Hydro Distributed Solar PV Total

5.0 3.0 6.6 14.6

612.5

97.5 252.7

962.7 Projected Renewable Energy Generation (MW) Scenario - Assam 2030

FY -2016 FY- 2030

FY - 2016 FY -2017 FY-2018 Fy-2019 FY- 2020 FY-2023 FY- 2030

0.58%

5.72% 4.49%

8.05% 9.04% 9.04%

10.46%

Share of Renewable Energy in total energy mix by 2030

Strategy to Meet Renewable Energy Generation GAP

Existing Challenges to increase

Renewable Energy Generation Plant

• Lack of business models for development of

renewable energy power generation projects

• Lack of policy to govern the procurement of viable

renewable energy technologies

• High initial investment cost of electricity generation

from renewable energy

• Lack of available land bank for the development of

Renewable Energy power generation plant

• Absence of Single Window Mechanism for approval

for renewable energy projects

• Lack of Renewable Energy Data base

Strategy to increase Renewable Energy Generation Plants

• Adoption of appropriate state level policy &

regulatory framework for growth of renewable

energy generation plants in Assam

• Development of land bank for promotion of large

scale solar power plant

• Develop & implement Single Window Mechanism

for approval of renewable energy projects.

• Collaboration with specialized technical institutions

of MNRE like SECI, C- WET and NISE for potential

estimation, resource assessment for Renewable

Energy Technology in formulating long term energy

planning.

• Adopting government policies to promote rooftop

solar power plants

Reduction of AT&C losses

Improvement of Energy Intensity

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

AT&C 36.77% 35.37% 38.33% 32.30% 29.99%

T&D 28.06% 24.21% 29.08% 26.69% 23.41%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2023

AT&C Losses % 25% 23% 21% 19% 17% 15%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Projected AT&C Losses by 2023

AT&C losses is basically the difference between energy input and energy for which revenue is realized after accounting for collection efficiency The main reason for losses are theft, meter problems, transmission losses etc. R-APDRP is a central scheme to financed IT & electrical infrastructure strengthening project. The main aim of the scheme is to reduced AT&C losses 15% in projected areas. It is proposed to reduce AT&C losses 15% by implementing R-APDRP program in all major urban areas of Assam

Methodological challenges in defining and measuring energy efficiency as defined in SE4ALL Global Tracking frame work reported that energy intensity (typically measured as energy consumed per dollar of gross domestic product, GDP) has traditionally been used as a proxy for energy efficiency when making international comparisons. It is proposed to improve the energy intensity from 0.005 to 0.018 at fixed GDP of 2014-15 (92432 Cr.)

0.000

0.002

0.004

0.006

0.008

0.010

0.012

0.014

0.016

0.018

0.020

Energy Intensity

Energy Intensity

Target Value & Strategy

Target Value

Projected

Unit 2016 2030

Per Capita

consumption

of electricity

kWh 250 (2011) Annual

Report 2013-14,

Planning

Commission, India

368 924

Electricity

Demand

MU 9309 (2016 ) CEA

Load Balance 2016

12084 35571

Peak Load MW 1560 (2016) CEA

Load Balance 2016

- 4986

Required

Plant size

MW 2196 (2016)

projected value

2196 7479

Strategy for 2017-23

Encourage & facilitate to attract private investment in

electricity generation

Enhancement of conventional electricity generation

capacity by developing the key prioritized accelerated

solutions and take initiative for removal of barrier for

strengthening the existing as well as proposed coal,

gas & hydro based power generating plant

Infrastructure development for network connectivity

through conventional grid for all feasible areas

Reduction of AT&C losses below 15% by 2023 by

implementing R-APDRP program

Expanding transmission network & 4000 MW load

handling capacity by AEGCL transmission network

Adoption of appropriate state policy & regulatory

framework for growth of renewable energy in Assam

Development of land bank for promotion of large

scale solar power plant

Identifying niche areas for application of RE

technologies and reducing consumption of fossil fuel

& evolving suitable mechanism for off grid

deployments

Collaboration with specialized technical institutions of

MNRE like SECI, C-WET and NISE for potential

estimation, resource assessment for RE technologies

and integration of technology in formulating long term

energy planning

Plant Capacity (Cumulative

value) MW

2016 2023 2030

State Generation

(Gas, Hydro, Coal)

376.7 1202.2 1202.2

Renewable Energy Generation 14.6 807.21 962.71

Central Sector Plant 864.7 2419.7 2419.7

Total 1256 4429 4585

3 – Year Action Plan (2017-19)

Electrification

Infrastructure development for network connectivity through conventional grid for all feasible areas covering about 26 Lakhs rural households

Completion of all ongoing projects for rural electrification under DDUGJY – RE scheme

Completion of ongoing activity for the electrification of 199 nos. of remote villages covering 38386 nos. of remote households through Micro Grid Solar Power Plant under DDG program

Completion of ongoing activity for the electrification of 305 nos. of remote villages covering 7174 nos. of rural households through Standalone Solar Home Lighting systems under DDG program

Installation of 51 thousand nos. of Solar Home Lighting systems to the inhabitants of hilly, riverine, dense forest & flood prone areas where network connectivity through conventional grid line is not possible.

Generation Implement Namrup Replacement Gas based Power

Plant – 100 MW

Implement Lawka Replacement Gas based Power Plant – 70 MW

Explore new possibilities to attract private sector investment for coal, gas & hydro based power generation plants

Removing bottleneck of fuel linkage issues i.e., coal block linkage, continuous gas supply

Implement large scale solar power plant – 271.5 MW

Implement Rooftop Solar Power Plant – 100 MW

Implement Small Hydro Power Plant – 94.5 MW

Develop & notify state solar policy

Develop & implement single window mechanism for approval of renewable energy projects

Identify & develop land bank for large scale solar power plant

Assessment of wind potential at 100 m height & develop GIS map – 9 Nos. of locations

Estimate total solar potential & develop GIS mapped – Entire State

Estimate rooftop solar potential in Assam & develop cloud based open source Web – GIS tool in important towns – 5 Nos. of towns

3 – Year Action Plan (2017-19)

Transmission & Distribution

Expansion of transmission line - 1260 ckm

Expansion of Transformation capacity (by introducing new substation and augmentation of existing substation) – 6841 MVA

Implement of all ongoing activity for the electrical infrastructure development under IPDS scheme

- 62 Nos. of R – APDRP towns

- 26 Nos. of Non R – APDRP towns

Energy Efficiency

Conduct stakeholder consultations to develop, adopt and implement policy and regulatory framework for energy efficiency

Organize public education and awareness campaigns on the advantages and benefits of efficient use of energy

Promote installation of efficient lighting in all new social housing projects of government

Facilitate development of financing schemes to cover upfront cost of energy efficient lighting products

Financial Layout

Sl. Activities Unit Target Value (Capacity addition)

Financial Layout (Rs. In Crore)

Project Cost

Grant GOI

Grant GOA

Loan End user Private Investment

1 Generation (Gas, Coal & Hydro)

MW 980 8539.07 - - 8539.07 - -

2 Access to Electricity to all

No 10.5 Lakhs Under Deposit Scheme

3 Increase share of renewable energy

MW 793.105 6531.3 1326.2 638.61 166.25 606.513 2896

4 Expanding transmission network

ckm & MVA

3041 ckm 12512 MVA

10610.8 8488.63 2122.16 - - -

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