sustainable development goal
TRANSCRIPT
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOAL
POWER (ELECTRICITY) DEPARTMENT
GOVERNMENT OF ASSAM
GOAL -7: ENSURE ACCESS TO AFFORDABLE, RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE
AND MODERN ENERGY FOR ALL
Starting point for Goal 7can be
established on this basis
Vision: Ensure Access to Affordable, Reliable, Sustainable and Modern Energy for All by 2030
Mission:
Electrification of all households and ensuring availability of quality power for all
Increase State Conventional electricity generation capacity to 1202.2 MW by end of 2030
Increase the contribution of Renewable Energy in the total energy mix of the state to 9.04% (807 MW) by end of 2023 & 10.5 % (963 MW) by end of 2030.
Reduce AT&C losses below 15% by end of 2023 & 8% by end of 2030
Expansion of transmission network to handle peak power to the tune of 4000 MW by end of 2023 & 5600 MW by end of 2030
To promote all matters concerning energy conservation and energy efficiency pertaining to use of electricity
Three Goals & Five Success Indicators:
Goals
Success Indicator
2016 2019 2023 2030
7.1 By 2030, ensure universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services
Proportion of households having electricity as the primary source of lighting
60.8% 100% 100% 100%
7.2 By 2030, increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix
Proportion of renewable energy to the total energy generation in the year
0.58% 8.05% 9.04% 10.5%
7.3 By 2030, double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency
Reduction of AT&C losses in transmission & distribution system to energy produced
23% 17% 15% 8%
Rate of improvement in energy intensity measured in terms of GDP (kWh/Rs.)
0.005 0.013 0.018 0.018
Transmission availability factor 99.78% 99.83% 99.86% 99.86%
Existing Power Scenario of Assam
Existing Power Scenario of Assam – 2016:
2016 Projected
Value for
Achieving
SDG - 2030
Projected
value based
on BAU 2030
Gap to be fulfilled
for achieving
SDG
Households Electrification Level (%) 60.8% 100% 100% • 39.2 % on 2016
• 0% on 2030
Electricity Demand (MU) 9309 (CEA Load
Balance 2016)
35571
Electricity Supply (MU) 5037 (Projected) 16939
Peak Load Demand (MW) 1560 (CEA Load
Balance 2016)
4986
State Generation Plant (MW) 384.7 5059.3 2164.9 2894.4
Central Sector Allocation Plant (MW) 864.7 - 2419.7
Total Generation Plant (State +
Central Sector Allocation)
1249.4 4584.6
Plant Size required to meet Peak
Load Demand (MW)
2196 7479 4584.6 2894.4
Share of Renewable Energy (%) in
terms of installation
1.16% 21%
Share of Renewable Energy (%) in
terms of Generation
0.58% 10.46%
AT&C Losses 23% 8% - 15%
Electrification Scenario
Percentage of households electrification
The existing schemes for electrification are
DDUGJY for rural electrification
R – APDRP (Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program) for urban electrification
DDG (Decentralized Distributed Generation) Program for rural & remote areas where network connectivity through grid line is not feasible
As per census of India 2011, households electrification level of Assam was 37%. As on 2016, about 29.3 lakh rural households being electrified under DDUGJY and achieving the households electrification level upto 60.8%.
To achieve the national target of 100% households electrification by 2019, there is still a GAP of 39.2% covering about 26 lakhs households that do not have access to electricity.
HouseholdsElectrified
(Lakh)
% ofHouseholdsElectrified
Gap (%) HHunelectrified
41
60.8% 39.2%
26
Households Electrification Scenario 2016 in Assam
Series1
Census
2011
2016-17
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Percentage ofelectrified %
37% 60.8% 75% 85% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
% o
f El
ectr
ific
atio
n
Percentage of HH electrified
Households Electrification Scenario – Assam
. In 2016, the households electrification level of Assam is 60.8%. To achieve the National Target, there is still a GAP of 39.2% covering 26 Lakh households that do not have access to electricity.
Households Urban Households Rural Households
67
11
56
60.8% 100% 44%
41
11
29 26
0
26
Households Electrification Scenarion in Assam by 2016
Total HH % Electrified Electrified Unelectrified
Totalunelectrified
HH
On - Gridareas
OFF Gridareas
26.2 25.1
1.1
Un- electrified 26 Lakh households pattern in Assam by 2016
i) About 1.1 Lakhs rural households are situated in
remote and flood effected areas where construction
of conventional grid line is not possible.
Electrification through Decentralized Solar
Application like Micro/Mini Grid Solar Power Plant,
Standalone Solar Home Lighting Systems, Solar
Lantern Charging station is the only possible
solutions in these areas.
ii) Out of 1.1 Lakh rural households, electrification for
45.6 thousand households has already been started
through decentralized solar application like Micro
Grid Solar power plant & standalone solar home
lighting system under DDG Program of REC.
iii) About 25.1 Lakh rural households would be
electrified through conventional grid line system
under DDUGJY scheme of REC by end of 2020.
FY -2011
FY -2016
FY -2017
FY-2018
Fy-2019
FY-2020
FY-2023
FY-2030
Total HH 63 67 70 71 72 73 78 87
HH Electrified 23 41 52 60 72 73 78 87
0102030405060708090
100
No
s. o
f h
ou
seh
old
s
Proposed Electrification Scenario
Strategy for Electrification
Existing Challenges for Households Electrification in Assam • 25.1 Lakhs rural households yet to be electrified
through convectional grid line systems by end of
2019
• Most of the remote un-electrified villages in Assam
are situated in hilly areas, Riverine Island (Char
areas), dense forest & flood effected areas. About
1.1 Lakhs rural households yet to be electrified
through decentralized solar applications by end of
2019
• APDCL projected that about 24 Lakhs newly
constructed households to be electrified by end of
2030.
• Inadequate supply of requisite quantity of electricity
in remote areas due to increase of habitations
Strategy for Households Electrification • Providing infrastructure for electrification including
intensification for supply of electricity in all areas of
Assam where construction of large scale grid
connection is possible.
• Implement of all ongoing rural electrification projects
including intensification by end of 2019 – 2022
• Identifying niche areas for application of Renewable
Energy Technologies and reducing consumption of
diesel and evolving suitable mechanism for off –
grid deployments.
• Adopting government policies & programmes to
provide lighting facilities to all off – grid areas where
construction of conventional grid line is not possible
2011 2016 2030
312 328 385
63 67 87
Population Pattern Scenario Assam (Lakh)
Population Households
Electricity Demand Scenario – Assam
.
• As per Planning Commission of India, Annual Report 2012-13, the energy demand pattern of Assam in terms of sale of energy is:
- Residential – 36%
- Commercial – 15%
- Industrial – 34%
- Agricultural – 1% &
- Other – 14%
• In 2030, the projected energy demand scenario is as follows:
- Residential – 58%
-Commercial – 8%
- Industrial – 26%
- Agricultural – 5%
- Cooking – 1%
- Telecom – 2%
Residential 36%
Commercial 15%
Industrial 34%
Agricultural 1% Other
14%
Electricity Demand Scenario Assam 2012
Residential 58%
Commercial 8%
Industrial 26%
Agricultural 5%
Cooking 1%
Telecom 2%
Electricity Demand Scenario Assam - 2030
Electricity Demand Scenario – Assam
.
• As per Planning Commission of India,
Annual Report 2012-13, the electricity
demand in terms of sale of energy in
Assam is 4695 MU & 2030, it is projected
that the energy demand would increase
upto 35571 MU by end of 2030 at CAGR
value 9.2%.
• As per CEA load balance report 2016,
the actual energy demand is 9309 MU. If
CAGR value of 9.2% is considered, then
the projected energy demand in 2030 is
31917 MU.
• Per Capita consumption of electricity
increases from 151 to 924 by end of 2030
FY -2016
FY -2017
FY-2018 Fy-2019FY-
2020FY-2023
FY-2030
BAU 9309 10165 11101 12122 13237 17237 31917
SDG 12084 13373 14663 16076 17625 21164 35571
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
MU
Energy Demand Scenario in Assam 2030
Residential 58%
Commercial 8%
Industrial 26%
Agricultural 5%
Cooking 1%
Telecom 2%
Electricity Demand Scenario Assam - 2030 2012 2016 2030
151 368
924
Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario
Per Capital Electricity Consumption
Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario – Assam
.
• As per Planning Commission of India, Annual Report 2012-13, the per capita electricity consumption in Assam is 151.
• In 2030, it is projected that the per capita electricity consumption would increase up to 924
2012 2016 2030
151
368
924
Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario
Per Capital Electricity Consumption
2012 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
151
368 403 436 472 510 551 559 591 625 660 698 713 753 795
924
Per Capita Electricity Consumption Scenario
Per Capital Electricity Consumption
Electricity Demand - Supply Scenario – Assam
. In 2030, the projected Electricity Demand is 35571 MU and the projected supply scenario is 16939 MU. There is still a demand supply gap is 18632 MU
FY -201
6
FY -201
7
FY-201
8
Fy-201
9
FY-202
0
FY-202
3
FY-203
0
Demand (MU) 12084133731466316076176252116435571
Supply (MU) 5037 6757 1159312042122951667516939
05000
10000150002000025000300003500040000
MU
Electricity Demand Supply Scenario Assam -2030
FY -201
6
FY -201
7
FY-201
8
Fy-201
9
FY-202
0
FY-202
3
FY-203
0
Demand Supply Gap(MU)
7048 6617 3070 4034 5330 4489 18632
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
MU
Electricity Demand Supply Gap in Assam - 2030
• Economic growth, increasing prosperity and urbanization, rise in per capita consumption, and spread of energy access are the factors likely to substantially increase the total demand for electricity. Thus there is an emerging energy supply – demand imbalance.
• The State generating power stations including central sector allocations plant like gas, coal, hydro & renewable energy generation based power projects of various proposed projects are presently in various stage of development. If the proposed generating station will install in time, still there is Gap of about 18632 MU by end of 2030.
Strategy to Meet Electricity Demand Supply Gap
Existing Challenges to Meet Electricity Demand in Assam • Insecurity in electricity supply due to high
dependence on electricity imports
• Low private sector investment in electricity
generation
• Coal block linkage & inadequate supply of gas.
• Inadequate supply of requisite quantity of electricity
in remote areas due to increase of habitations
• Lack of business models for development of
renewable energy power generation projects
• Lack of policy to govern the procurement of viable
renewable energy technologies
Strategy for to Meet Electricity Demand in Assam • Increase local hydropower capacity.
• Install coal-fired thermal plant
• Increase install capacity of Gas based thermal
power plant
• Strengthen implementation of facilitation
mechanisms to attract private sector investment in
electricity generation
• Providing infrastructure for electrification including
intensification
• Explore new business models & strengthen
implementation mechanism to attract private sector
investment in Renewable Energy Sector
• Develop policy and regulatory framework for energy
efficiency
Generation Scenario State Generation Plant of Assam - 2016
The present installed capacity of coal, gas &
hydro based power State generating plant is
391.3 MW with
- 70.7 % gas based;
- 0% coal based &
-25.6 % hydro based.
- 3% Large Solar
- 0.8% Small Hydro
- 1.7% Rooftop Solar (By end of 2016)
The State is importing power from central
sector allocation quantum generation from
NEEPCO, NHPC, NTPC etc. for most of the time
of the year. The present importing power from
Central Sector plant is 864.7 MW.
The present total generation plant of the State
is 1256 MW including State Generation & Central
Sector Allocation Plant.
Gas Coal Hydro LageScaleSolar
SmallHydro
RooftopSolar
Total
276.7
0.0
100.0
5.0 3.0 6.6
391.3
State Generation Plant of Assam 2016
Gas Coal Hydro Total
186.7 291.0
387.0
864.7
Central Sector Allocation Plant in 2016
463.4 291.0
487.0
5.0 3.0 6.6
1256.0 State + CSA Plant
Generation Target
. In 2030, it is projected that the cumulative install capacity of the plant in the State would be 4585 MW considering both state generating plant & central sector allocation plant.
i) The State Generation & the central sector plants under various projects are in different stages of development. If the proposed generating projects are commissioned in time, about 4585 MW power likely to be installed & allocated to Assam by end of 2030.
ii) The cumulative installed capacity of the state by end of 2030 is 4585 MW with
- 19% gas based - 26% coal based - 34% hydro based - 13% utility scale solar power plant - 2% Small hydro based plant - 6% Rooftop Solar
Gas Coal Hydro Lage ScaleSolar
Small Hydro Rooftop Solar Total
463 291 487 5 3 7
1256 869 1198 1555 613
98 253
4585
Projected Generation Scenario of Assam by 2030
FY - 2016 FY - 2030
Gas 19%
Coal 26% Hydro
34%
Lage Scale Solar 13%
Small Hydro 2% Rooftop
Solar 6%
% of Plant Generation Scenario Assam - 2030
Strategy to Meet Generation GAP
Generation GAP • Low private sector investment in electricity
generation.
• Coal block linkage & inadequate supply of gas.
• Lack of business models for development of
renewable energy power generation projects
• Lack of policy to govern the procurement of viable
renewable energy technologies
• Absence of Single Window Mechanism for approval
for renewable energy projects
• To meet the demand – supply gap, still there is a
gap of 2895 MW by end of 2030.
Strategy for to Generation GAP • Increase local hydropower capacity.
• Install coal-fired thermal plant
• Increase install capacity of Gas based thermal
power plant
• Strengthen implementation of facilitation
mechanisms to attract private sector investment in
electricity generation
• Explore new business models & strengthen
implementation mechanism to attract private sector
investment in Renewable Energy Sector
• Complete of all ongoing & proposed generation
plants
FY -201
6
FY -201
7
FY-201
8
Fy-201
9
FY-202
0
FY-202
3
FY-203
0
Plant size required(MW)
2196 2651 3063 3410 3794 4367 7479
Projected PlantSize (MW)
1256 1722 3114 3285 3404 4429 4585
010002000300040005000600070008000
Pla
nt
Size
(M
W)
Gap for Generation Plant in Assam by 2030
FY -2016
FY -2017
FY-2018
Fy-2019
FY-2020
FY-2023
FY-2030
GAP (MW) 940 929 -51 125 390 -62 2895
-5000
500100015002000250030003500
Pla
nt
Size
(M
W)
Generation Gap in Assam - 2030
Renewable Energy Generation Scenario
. The present install capacity of Renewable Energy Generation plant is 8 MW with 5 MW Large Scale Solar Plant & 3 MW Small Hydro Plant.
i) Different renewable energy plants are various state of development. If this proposed generating projects are commissioned in time, about 963 MW renewable energy power likely to be installed by end of 2030.
ii) The cumulative installed capacity of the state by end of 2030 is 963 MW with
- 612.5 MW of Utility Scale Solar Power Plant
- 97.5 MW of Small Hydro Power Plant - 253 MW of Rooftop Solar Power Plant iii) The Share of Renewable Energy in total
energy generation would increase 0.58% to 10.5% by end of 2030
Large Scale Solar Small Hydro Distributed Solar PV Total
5.0 3.0 6.6 14.6
612.5
97.5 252.7
962.7 Projected Renewable Energy Generation (MW) Scenario - Assam 2030
FY -2016 FY- 2030
FY - 2016 FY -2017 FY-2018 Fy-2019 FY- 2020 FY-2023 FY- 2030
0.58%
5.72% 4.49%
8.05% 9.04% 9.04%
10.46%
Share of Renewable Energy in total energy mix by 2030
Strategy to Meet Renewable Energy Generation GAP
Existing Challenges to increase
Renewable Energy Generation Plant
• Lack of business models for development of
renewable energy power generation projects
• Lack of policy to govern the procurement of viable
renewable energy technologies
• High initial investment cost of electricity generation
from renewable energy
• Lack of available land bank for the development of
Renewable Energy power generation plant
• Absence of Single Window Mechanism for approval
for renewable energy projects
• Lack of Renewable Energy Data base
Strategy to increase Renewable Energy Generation Plants
• Adoption of appropriate state level policy &
regulatory framework for growth of renewable
energy generation plants in Assam
• Development of land bank for promotion of large
scale solar power plant
• Develop & implement Single Window Mechanism
for approval of renewable energy projects.
• Collaboration with specialized technical institutions
of MNRE like SECI, C- WET and NISE for potential
estimation, resource assessment for Renewable
Energy Technology in formulating long term energy
planning.
• Adopting government policies to promote rooftop
solar power plants
Reduction of AT&C losses
Improvement of Energy Intensity
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
AT&C 36.77% 35.37% 38.33% 32.30% 29.99%
T&D 28.06% 24.21% 29.08% 26.69% 23.41%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2023
AT&C Losses % 25% 23% 21% 19% 17% 15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Projected AT&C Losses by 2023
AT&C losses is basically the difference between energy input and energy for which revenue is realized after accounting for collection efficiency The main reason for losses are theft, meter problems, transmission losses etc. R-APDRP is a central scheme to financed IT & electrical infrastructure strengthening project. The main aim of the scheme is to reduced AT&C losses 15% in projected areas. It is proposed to reduce AT&C losses 15% by implementing R-APDRP program in all major urban areas of Assam
Methodological challenges in defining and measuring energy efficiency as defined in SE4ALL Global Tracking frame work reported that energy intensity (typically measured as energy consumed per dollar of gross domestic product, GDP) has traditionally been used as a proxy for energy efficiency when making international comparisons. It is proposed to improve the energy intensity from 0.005 to 0.018 at fixed GDP of 2014-15 (92432 Cr.)
0.000
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.010
0.012
0.014
0.016
0.018
0.020
Energy Intensity
Energy Intensity
Target Value & Strategy
Target Value
Projected
Unit 2016 2030
Per Capita
consumption
of electricity
kWh 250 (2011) Annual
Report 2013-14,
Planning
Commission, India
368 924
Electricity
Demand
MU 9309 (2016 ) CEA
Load Balance 2016
12084 35571
Peak Load MW 1560 (2016) CEA
Load Balance 2016
- 4986
Required
Plant size
MW 2196 (2016)
projected value
2196 7479
Strategy for 2017-23
Encourage & facilitate to attract private investment in
electricity generation
Enhancement of conventional electricity generation
capacity by developing the key prioritized accelerated
solutions and take initiative for removal of barrier for
strengthening the existing as well as proposed coal,
gas & hydro based power generating plant
Infrastructure development for network connectivity
through conventional grid for all feasible areas
Reduction of AT&C losses below 15% by 2023 by
implementing R-APDRP program
Expanding transmission network & 4000 MW load
handling capacity by AEGCL transmission network
Adoption of appropriate state policy & regulatory
framework for growth of renewable energy in Assam
Development of land bank for promotion of large
scale solar power plant
Identifying niche areas for application of RE
technologies and reducing consumption of fossil fuel
& evolving suitable mechanism for off grid
deployments
Collaboration with specialized technical institutions of
MNRE like SECI, C-WET and NISE for potential
estimation, resource assessment for RE technologies
and integration of technology in formulating long term
energy planning
Plant Capacity (Cumulative
value) MW
2016 2023 2030
State Generation
(Gas, Hydro, Coal)
376.7 1202.2 1202.2
Renewable Energy Generation 14.6 807.21 962.71
Central Sector Plant 864.7 2419.7 2419.7
Total 1256 4429 4585
3 – Year Action Plan (2017-19)
Electrification
Infrastructure development for network connectivity through conventional grid for all feasible areas covering about 26 Lakhs rural households
Completion of all ongoing projects for rural electrification under DDUGJY – RE scheme
Completion of ongoing activity for the electrification of 199 nos. of remote villages covering 38386 nos. of remote households through Micro Grid Solar Power Plant under DDG program
Completion of ongoing activity for the electrification of 305 nos. of remote villages covering 7174 nos. of rural households through Standalone Solar Home Lighting systems under DDG program
Installation of 51 thousand nos. of Solar Home Lighting systems to the inhabitants of hilly, riverine, dense forest & flood prone areas where network connectivity through conventional grid line is not possible.
Generation Implement Namrup Replacement Gas based Power
Plant – 100 MW
Implement Lawka Replacement Gas based Power Plant – 70 MW
Explore new possibilities to attract private sector investment for coal, gas & hydro based power generation plants
Removing bottleneck of fuel linkage issues i.e., coal block linkage, continuous gas supply
Implement large scale solar power plant – 271.5 MW
Implement Rooftop Solar Power Plant – 100 MW
Implement Small Hydro Power Plant – 94.5 MW
Develop & notify state solar policy
Develop & implement single window mechanism for approval of renewable energy projects
Identify & develop land bank for large scale solar power plant
Assessment of wind potential at 100 m height & develop GIS map – 9 Nos. of locations
Estimate total solar potential & develop GIS mapped – Entire State
Estimate rooftop solar potential in Assam & develop cloud based open source Web – GIS tool in important towns – 5 Nos. of towns
3 – Year Action Plan (2017-19)
Transmission & Distribution
Expansion of transmission line - 1260 ckm
Expansion of Transformation capacity (by introducing new substation and augmentation of existing substation) – 6841 MVA
Implement of all ongoing activity for the electrical infrastructure development under IPDS scheme
- 62 Nos. of R – APDRP towns
- 26 Nos. of Non R – APDRP towns
Energy Efficiency
Conduct stakeholder consultations to develop, adopt and implement policy and regulatory framework for energy efficiency
Organize public education and awareness campaigns on the advantages and benefits of efficient use of energy
Promote installation of efficient lighting in all new social housing projects of government
Facilitate development of financing schemes to cover upfront cost of energy efficient lighting products
Financial Layout
Sl. Activities Unit Target Value (Capacity addition)
Financial Layout (Rs. In Crore)
Project Cost
Grant GOI
Grant GOA
Loan End user Private Investment
1 Generation (Gas, Coal & Hydro)
MW 980 8539.07 - - 8539.07 - -
2 Access to Electricity to all
No 10.5 Lakhs Under Deposit Scheme
3 Increase share of renewable energy
MW 793.105 6531.3 1326.2 638.61 166.25 606.513 2896
4 Expanding transmission network
ckm & MVA
3041 ckm 12512 MVA
10610.8 8488.63 2122.16 - - -