supply side policy sfls online

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Keep trade deficits low, but Supply Side Policies

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Page 1: Supply side policy SFLS online

Keep trade deficits low, but no percentage number as a guide

Supply Side Policies

Page 2: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

The fiscal policies so far have been about shifting the AD curve to control the economy.

Page 3: Supply side policy SFLS online

Price level

GDP

AD

SRAS

PE

LRAS

YN

AD/AS Model

So we have been looking at policies

to control with graph…

Page 4: Supply side policy SFLS online

Why the AD Curve Slopes DownwardP

Y

AD

P1

Y1

P2

Y2 Y1

Y = C + I + G + (X – M)

and it’s all about controlling this demand side…

Page 5: Supply side policy SFLS online

Aggregate Demand

AD/AS ModelTotal spending in an economy in a given time period.

Y = C + I + G + (X – M)

Y = C + I + G + NX

or

Ceteris Paribus:• When the P level rises, the Q of

real GDP demanded decreases.• When the P level falls, the Q of

real GDP demanded increases.

with this wonderful equation.

Page 6: Supply side policy SFLS online

Price level

GDP

SRAS

PE

LRAS

YN

AD/AS Model

What about the other curves of LRAS and SRAS?

Page 7: Supply side policy SFLS online

Fiscal policy and government intervention

as we know it today started in the great

depression of the 1930’s by Keynes.

Page 8: Supply side policy SFLS online

A Bar 酒吧 in 1974

Supply side policies as we know it today started in a

bar in 1974

Page 9: Supply side policy SFLS online

A Bar 酒吧 in 1974 3 men are drinking and

chatting and 1 of the man draws a graph on a

napkin

Page 10: Supply side policy SFLS online
Page 11: Supply side policy SFLS online

This graphs shows that that when governments tax the

people it can expect different amounts of

revenue at different points.

Page 12: Supply side policy SFLS online

At 0% tax rates they collect 0 revenue

Page 13: Supply side policy SFLS online

At 100% tax rates they collect 0 revenue

Page 14: Supply side policy SFLS online

Taxing more means more revenue on the front side of

the graph

Page 15: Supply side policy SFLS online

Taxing too much means less revenue on the backside of the

graph

Page 16: Supply side policy SFLS online

A Bar 酒吧 in 1974 These conservative men end up working for this

president…

Page 17: Supply side policy SFLS online

Ronald ReaganPresident 1981-1989

Page 18: Supply side policy SFLS online

Ronald ReaganPresident 1981-1989

And change the ideas of what fiscal policy can be

about

Page 19: Supply side policy SFLS online

Trickle down Economics

Ronald ReaganPresident 1981-1989

涓滴经济学an economic system in which the poorest gradually benefit as a result of the increasing wealth of the richest.

Page 20: Supply side policy SFLS online
Page 21: Supply side policy SFLS online

These policies are about making the government

smaller and increasing AS instead.

Page 22: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

We looked at Fiscal Policy for the AD Side

Now for the policies of AS

Page 23: Supply side policy SFLS online

Supply-side polices

Aggregate Supply Theories

Increase AS and LRAS by providing incentives for businesses to encourage more productivity and shift the AS curves outward.

Page 24: Supply side policy SFLS online

- considers how to improve the productive capacity of the economy.

Aggregate Supply Theories

- typically are Microeconomic policies aimed at making markets and industries operate more efficiently.

- it tends to be associated with Monetarist and free market economics ideas.

Supply-side polices

Page 25: Supply side policy SFLS online

Types of Supply-side Policy

Page 26: Supply side policy SFLS online

- idea is that lower taxes (income and corporation) increase the incentives for people to work harder, leading to more output.

Reducing income taxes

Types of Supply-side Policy

Page 27: Supply side policy SFLS online

Proportional Taxes

Poor Rich Average

A tax whose average rate is constant at all income levels.

pay10%

pay10%

pay10%

Page 28: Supply side policy SFLS online

Proportional Taxes

Poor Rich Average

A tax whose average rate is constant at all income levels.

pay10%

pay10%

pay10%

Remember the question, “What is fair? Rules or Results?”

Supply-side people often think “Flat Taxes” is considered fair.

Page 29: Supply side policy SFLS online

- reducing barriers to entry in order to make the market more competitive and giving control of business to business not government.

Reducing income taxes

Types of Supply-side Policy

Deregulation & Privatization

Page 30: Supply side policy SFLS online
Page 31: Supply side policy SFLS online

Im some ways with business it’s kind of the same. Let business do

business!

Page 32: Supply side policy SFLS online

Reducing income taxes

Types of Supply-side Policy

Deregulation & Privatization

- give an incentive to get back to work by taking away help!

Reducing welfare benefits

Page 33: Supply side policy SFLS online

Reducing income taxes

Types of Supply-side Policy

Deregulation & Privatization

- give an incentive to get back to work by taking away help!

Reducing welfare benefits

The Poverty trap idea.

Page 34: Supply side policy SFLS online

Reducing income taxes

Types of Supply-side Policy

Deregulation & Privatization Reducing welfare benefits

- Take power away from Trade Unions and better education and mobility for workers.

More flexible labor markets

Page 35: Supply side policy SFLS online

Workers may come together to fight for their

rights and for better wages. Supply-siders think this just

makes it more expensive for businesses and stops innovation, so often try to prevent trade unions from

having much power.

Page 36: Supply side policy SFLS online

Goals and Benefits of Supply-side Policy

Page 37: Supply side policy SFLS online

Macro Economic Goals1.) Full employment

About 5% unemployment2.) Stability (Prices)

3.) Economic growth

4.) Balance of Payments Equilibrium

About 2% inflation

About 3% growth (7% in China)

Keep trade deficits low, but no percentage number as a guide

Page 38: Supply side policy SFLS online

Macro Economic Goals1.) Full employment

About 5% unemployment2.) Stability (Prices)

3.) Economic growth

4.) Balance of Payments Equilibrium

About 2% inflation

About 3% growth (7% in China)

Keep trade deficits low, but no percentage number as a guide

It’s all the same goals, this is just another way to think to achieve to these goals.

Page 39: Supply side policy SFLS online

Benefits of Supply-side Policy - more jobs created

Page 40: Supply side policy SFLS online

Benefits of Supply-side Policy - more jobs created- reduces inflation - more productivity and

lower costs mean lower prices.

Page 41: Supply side policy SFLS online

Price level

GDP

AD

SRAS

PE

LRAS

YN

AD/AS Model

If increase AS = increase

Economy and lower prices!!!

SRAS1

Page 42: Supply side policy SFLS online

Benefits of Supply-side Policy - more jobs created- reduces inflation - more economic growth

Page 43: Supply side policy SFLS online

Benefits of Supply-side Policy - more jobs created- reduces inflation - more economic growth - increase trade balances - products more

competitive so can sell more.

Page 44: Supply side policy SFLS online

Benefits of Supply-side Policy - more jobs created- reduces inflation - more economic growth - increase trade balances - products more

competitive so sell more.

1.) Full employment - about 5% unemployment2.) Stability (Prices) 3.) Economic growth

- about 2% inflation- about 3% growth (7% in China)

4.) Balance of Payments Equilibrium

Page 45: Supply side policy SFLS online

Problems of Supply-side Policy

Page 46: Supply side policy SFLS online

Problems of Supply-side Policy - Increases Inequality 涓滴经济学 - the rich get richer,

and the poor relatively poorer

= 垃圾学说

Page 47: Supply side policy SFLS online

These kind of policies often have led to increasing

It can be said to be true that the poor are NOT getting poorer, that the

poor are still better off now then they

were before

Page 48: Supply side policy SFLS online

It can be said to be true that the poor are NOT getting poorer, that the

poor are still better off now then they

were before…

Page 49: Supply side policy SFLS online

It can be said to be true that the poor are NOT getting poorer, that the

poor are still better off now then they

were before…

However these policies have often

made this gap between rich and

poorer, much larger.

Page 50: Supply side policy SFLS online

Problems of Supply-side Policy - Increases Inequality - still need AD growth涓滴经济学

= 无用如果没有加 AD

Page 51: Supply side policy SFLS online

Problems of Supply-side Policy - Increases Inequality - still need AD growth- Time lags - takes a long time to see

the results.

Page 52: Supply side policy SFLS online

Problems of Supply-side Policy - Increases Inequality - still need AD growth- Time lags- can be very costly to implement

- for example education programs are not free.

Page 53: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

Resources to do Fiscal Policy

Also Supply Side policies…

Page 54: Supply side policy SFLS online

- annual expenditures and tax receipts of the government. 支出和税收

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy AD = C + I + G +

(X – M) Fiscal Budget

Even with supply-side policies, still need to maintain a budget

Page 55: Supply side policy SFLS online

- annual expenditures and tax receipts of the government. 支出和税收

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy AD = C + I + G +

(X – M) Fiscal Budget

- if expenditures exceeds tax receipts. Budget Deficit 支出 税收>

Page 56: Supply side policy SFLS online
Page 57: Supply side policy SFLS online

Actually under Reagan the deficit became much worse then

before!

Page 58: Supply side policy SFLS online

- annual expenditures and tax receipts of the government. 支出和税收

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy AD = C + I + G +

(X – M) Fiscal Budget

- if expenditures exceeds tax receipts. Budget Deficit 支出 税收>- if tax receipts exceeds expenditures. Budget Surplus 支出税收>

Page 59: Supply side policy SFLS online

- annual expenditures and tax receipts of the government. 支出和税收

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy AD = C + I + G +

(X – M) Fiscal Budget

- if expenditures exceeds tax receipts. Budget Deficit 支出 税收>- if tax receipts exceeds expenditures. Budget Surplus 支出税收>

- if tax receipts equals expenditures. Balanced Budget

支出税收=

Page 60: Supply side policy SFLS online

Fiscal Policy AD = C + I + G +

(X – M) Fiscal BudgetBudget Deficit vs. Budget Surplus

The government borrows to finance a budget deficit and repays its debt when it has a budget surplus.

政府借到预算赤字融资。政府偿还其债务时,有预算盈余。The amount of debt outstanding that arises from past budget deficits is called national debt.旧债从过去的预算赤字总额被称为国家债务。

Page 61: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

Fiscal Policy

Budget Deficit Problem:

Page 62: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

Budget Deficit Problem:

Crowding out: - Government spending and borrowing that may fail to increase AD and hurts 排挤 private investment.

When the government has to borrow, it needs to borrow from the private sector. This could be private individuals, pension funds or investment trusts. It is argued that if the private sector buy government securities this will crowd out 排挤 private sector investment.

Page 63: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

Budget Deficit Problem:

Crowding out:

- Typically this deals with the increase of interest rates due to attempting to sell more bonds to finance debt

When the government has to borrow, it needs to borrow from the private sector. This could be private individuals, pension funds or investment trusts. It is argued that if the private sector buy government securities this will crowd out 排挤 private sector investment.

- Government spending and borrowing that may fail to increase AD and hurts 排挤 private investment.

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Page 65: Supply side policy SFLS online

AD = C + I + G + (X – M)

Budget Deficit Problem:

Long term debt: - Borrowed money has to be paid back with interest over time meaning to total costs will be higher.

Crowding out:

- Future budgets will have less discretionary spending ability due to having to pay back old loans

Page 66: Supply side policy SFLS online

Thank is all for nowThank you