super prime lettings insight summer 2017 · 2017-07-06 · super prime lettings insight summer 2017...

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Activity in the London super-prime (£5,000 per week-plus) lettings market has continued to strengthen at the start of 2017. There were 42 super prime tenancies agreed in the first four months of the year, up from a figure of 33 in the same period in 2016, LonRes data shows. In the year to April, there were 122 tenancies agreed, which was one fewer than the previous 12-month period. Demand at this price point remains resilient due to the impact of higher rates of stamp duty and uncertainty over the short-term prospects for price growth in the sales market. Tax changes in recent years included a stamp duty hike for £1 million-plus properties in December 2014, though this cost is increasingly reflected in asking prices, which has stabilised sales volumes. In the two years following the December 2014 stamp duty rise, there were 231 super-prime lettings deals, which represented a 9.5% increase on the preceding two-year period. In a sign of strengthening demand in the highest price brackets, there were 30 tenancies agreed above £10,000 per week in year to March 2017, which compares to 20 in the previous year. “A wider mood of uncertainty has picked up following the snap general election and the start of Brexit talks,” said Tom Smith, Knight Frank’s head of super prime lettings. “At this price point, there are tenants who are able to rent in the short-term and buy when they sense that a greater degree of stability has returned.” “One reason the number of tenancies agreed is not higher is due to limited stock availability,” added Tom, who said Knight Frank had agreed four tenancies above £20,000 per week between February and June. “It is less of an issue for tenants wanting a family house in, say, north London but large lateral space in prime central London is at somewhat of a premium.” Flats represented 36% of the overall super prime lettings market in the year to April 2017, which was down from 41% in the preceding year. Indeed, across the whole market landlords can achieve notable premiums if they are able to respond to high levels of demand by revamping existing stock to the right standard, said Knight Frank regional partner David Mumby. “If a landlord is able to reconfigure their existing space and fit-out the property to the right kind of high specification, it can be the difference between £3,000 and £6,000 per week,” he said. Super prime lettings demand remains strong but securing the right property in central areas can be a challenge, as Tom Smith tells Tom Bill Super Prime Lettings Team The Knight Frank Super Prime Lettings team provides a bespoke service to clients with property interests of £5,000-plus per week in prime central London. Led by Tom Smith, the team consists of 12 local specialists with over 130 years of collective experience and has a dominant market share in London. In the year to March 2017, it completed more than twice as many super prime lettings as its two nearest competitors combined, LonRes data shows. The team members are based in Belgravia, Belsize Park, Chelsea, Hampstead, Hyde Park, Kensington, Knightsbridge, Marylebone, Mayfair, Notting Hill, South Kensington and St John’s Wood. Knight Frank’s global real estate network gives the team access to London’s most exclusive properties on and off the market. Tom Smith Head of Super Prime Lettings [email protected] +44 20 7881 7730 Upper Grosvenor Street, Mayfair, £27,500/week Eaton Square, Belgravia, £20,000/week Recent super prime lets SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017 FIGURE 1 Super prime lettings volumes and rental values 0 10 20 30 40 50 Q1-2014 Q2-2014 Q3-2014 Q4-2014 Q1-2015 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 £12,500 £20,000 £22,500 £28,000 £16,800 £15,000 £18,500 £45,000 £30,000 £35,000 £45,000 £13,500 £20,000 £6,000 £8,000 £10,000 Total Transactions Average rent Maximum rent Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes

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Page 1: SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017 · 2017-07-06 · SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Knightsbridge Kensington St Johns Wood

Activity in the London super-prime (£5,000 per week-plus) lettings market has continued to strengthen at the start of 2017. There were 42 super prime tenancies agreed in the first four months of the year, up from a figure of 33 in the same period in 2016, LonRes data shows. In the year to April, there were 122 tenancies agreed, which was one fewer than the previous 12-month period.

Demand at this price point remains resilient due to the impact of higher rates of stamp duty and uncertainty over the short-term prospects for price growth in the sales market. Tax changes in recent years included a stamp duty hike for £1 million-plus properties in December 2014, though this cost is increasingly reflected in asking prices, which has stabilised sales volumes.

In the two years following the December 2014 stamp duty rise, there were 231 super-prime lettings deals, which represented a 9.5% increase on the preceding two-year period.

In a sign of strengthening demand in the highest price brackets, there were 30 tenancies agreed above £10,000 per week in year to March 2017, which compares to 20 in the previous year.

“A wider mood of uncertainty has picked up following the snap general election and the start of Brexit talks,” said Tom Smith, Knight Frank’s head of super prime lettings. “At this price point, there are tenants who are able to rent in the short-term and buy when they sense that a greater degree of stability has returned.”

“One reason the number of tenancies agreed is not higher is due to limited stock availability,” added Tom, who said Knight Frank had agreed four tenancies above £20,000 per week between February and June. “It is less of an issue for tenants wanting a family house in, say, north London but large lateral space in prime central London is at somewhat of a premium.”

Flats represented 36% of the overall super prime lettings market in the year to April 2017, which was down from 41% in the preceding year.

Indeed, across the whole market landlords can achieve notable premiums if they are able to respond to high levels of demand by revamping existing stock to the right standard, said Knight Frank regional partner David Mumby. “If a landlord is able to reconfigure their existing space and fit-out the property to the right kind of high specification, it can be the difference between £3,000 and £6,000 per week,” he said.

Super prime lettings demand remains strong but securing the right property in central areas can be a challenge, as Tom Smith tells Tom Bill

Super Prime Lettings Team The Knight Frank Super Prime Lettings team provides a bespoke service to clients with property interests of £5,000-plus per week in prime central London. Led by Tom Smith, the team consists of 12 local specialists with over 130 years of collective experience and has a dominant market share in London. In the year to March 2017, it completed more than twice as many super prime lettings as its two nearest competitors combined, LonRes data shows. The team members are based in Belgravia, Belsize Park, Chelsea, Hampstead, Hyde Park, Kensington, Knightsbridge, Marylebone, Mayfair, Notting Hill, South Kensington and St John’s Wood. Knight Frank’s global real estate network gives the team access to London’s most exclusive properties on and off the market.

Tom Smith Head of Super Prime Lettings [email protected] +44 20 7881 7730

Upper Grosvenor Street, Mayfair, £27,500/week

Eaton Square, Belgravia, £20,000/week

Recent super prime lets

SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017

FIGURE 1 Super prime lettings volumes and rental values

0

10

20

30

40

50

Q1-

2014

Q2-

2014

Q3-

2014

Q4-

2014

Q1-

2015

Q2-

2015

Q3-

2015

Q4-

2015

Q1-

2016

Q2-

2016

Q3-

2016

Q4-

2016

Q1-

2017

£12,500

£20,000£22,500 £28,000

£16,800

£15,000£18,500

£45,000

£30,000

£35,000£45,000

£13,500

£20,000

£6,000

£8,000

£10,000

Total Transactions Average rent Maximum rent

Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes

Page 2: SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017 · 2017-07-06 · SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Knightsbridge Kensington St Johns Wood

Hampstead Heath

Hampstead

St John's Wood

MayfairNotting Hill

Belgravia

Knightsbridge

South Kensington

Chelsea

Fulham

Regent's Park

Hyde Park

Battersea Park

Holland Park

Hampstead

St John's Wood

MaryleboneMarylebone

Notting Hill

Belgravia

Knightsbridge

South Kensington

Chelsea

Fulham

Mayfair

SUPER PRIME LETTINGS INSIGHT SUMMER 2017

RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Knightsbridge

Kensington

St Johns Wood

Mayfair

Belgravia

Chelsea

Notting Hill

Hampstead

Belsize Park

South Kensington

Richmond

Marylebone

Bayswater

Riverside

Fulham

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Jan-

16

Mar

-16

May

-16

Jul-1

6 Se

p-16

No

v-16

Ja

n-17

M

ar-1

7 M

ay-1

7

Year to April 16 Year to April 17

Postcodes W WC SW E SE NW

N/A / Sub-£1,000 £1,000 to £2,500 £2,500 to £5,000 £5,000 to £10,000 £10.000-plus

FIGURE 3 Super prime lettings market share Tenancies agreed by area

FIGURE 2 Highest achieved weekly rental value 12 months to April 2017

FIGURE 4 London super prime stock levels New lettings properties placed on the market

Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes

Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes

Source: Knight Frank Research / LonRes

RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH Tom Bill Head of London Residential Research +44 20 7861 1492 [email protected]

PRESS OFFICE Harry Turner +44 20 3861 6974 [email protected]

Important Notice © Knight Frank LLP 2017 - This report is published for general information only and not to be relied upon in any way. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and projections presented in this report, no responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank LLP for any loss or damage resultant from any use of, reliance on or reference to the contents of this document. As a general report, this material does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank LLP in relation to particular properties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole or in part is not allowed without prior written approval of Knight Frank LLP to the form and content within which it appears. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.