student loan debt...2016/04/27  · student loan debt by the numbers 71% of ba degree seniors have...

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SCOTT GILES PRESIDENT/CEO VSAC 4/27/2016 Student Loan Debt 1

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Page 1: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

S C O T T G I L E S

P R E S I D E N T / C E O V S A C

4 / 2 7 / 2 0 1 6

Student Loan Debt1

Page 2: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Education, Income & UnemploymentSource: Federal Reserve

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Page 3: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Cost of college has once again outpaced income since 2000Source: Federal Reserve

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Page 4: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Distribution of DebtSource: Federal Reserve

2012 2014

39% of borrowers have lessthan $10,000

67% of borrowers haveless than $25,000

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Page 5: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Student loan debt by the numbers

71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% inVermont

Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Average debt of seniors across nation is $28,950

Note: data analysis reports average rather than median whichmay allow high balance borrowers to distort analysis.

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Page 6: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Macro factors contributing to increased national student loandebt

Inadequate career, education, and financial aid counseling

Undergraduate enrollment grew by 37% between 2000 and 2010 Dipped in 2010 and is beginning to rise again Public institutions leading the way

Students are staying in college longer (6 years versus 4 years)

More students are attending graduate school This will change as the economy improves

Tuition outpacing income

Above market interest rates

Complexity of loan repayment options and poor repayment counseling Inappropriate use of forbearances leads to higher balances

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Page 7: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Feds Profit on Student LoansNet margin of 14%

Source: Congressional Budget Office

Earning 9.3% onUnsub Loans

Earning 19.18% onGraduate Unsub Loans

Earning 18.9% on GradPLUS Loans

Earning 35.6% onParent PLUS Loans

Losing .4% on SubLoans

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Page 8: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

History of bad interest rate bets for studentsVT delegation opposed 2013 rate deal

2.32%

6.80%

3.86%

4.29%

5.75%

3.12%

7.90%

6.41%

6.85%

8.30%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

Pre-2006 2006 2013 2015 CBO 2018

Stafford

Grad

PLUS

Variablew/8.25%

cap

PermanentFixed

In 2013 moved to a new fixed rate loan but allowedthe rate for new loans to float each year with caps

of 8.25/9.5/10.5%

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Page 9: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Federal student loan default rates spiked after federalgovernment took over federal student loan servicing

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Page 10: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

What does the national data tell us about who is more likely

to default?

Students who dropout and do not graduate These students fail to obtain the benefit of a degree Have smaller balances— most defaulted loans are between $5,000 and $10,000—median is $8,900

Students who attend for-profit schools

Students who attend two-year institutions of all kinds CCV stands out as an exception for doing an excellent job counseling to minimize debt and for working with their

students

Students who attend open enrollment institutions

Students attending minority-serving institutions

Borrowers who cannot be located because of inaccurate paperwork and/or failure to updatecontact information

Borrowers who do not receive proper loan counseling after separation from school 11 different and complicated payment programs Income-based repayment options must be renewed annually Most borrowers fail to renew on time

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Page 11: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Some of the ways we help…can actually hurt…11

State and federal loans provide payment relief during times ofeconomic hardship Interest generally accrues Temporary relief can lead to higher debt

Ability to extend your payments to maximize cash flow cansignificantly increase debt

Income-based repayment options work against those who succeed

Delinquent borrowers sometimes use these entitlements to manageproblems with their non-student loan debt

Focused comprehensive counseling is the key

Page 12: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

What steps are needed to support these students?

Improve graduation and retention rates

Increase funding for need-based grant aid and funding for UVM andVSC

Reduce student loan interest rates With your help and the state treasurer we will offer an alternative for parents

Permit borrowers to refinance their existing loans at current marketrates

With your help and the delegation’s help we continue to seek permission from Treasury to offerlower-cost refinance loans

Eliminate the taxability of loan forgiveness

Reform federal loan servicing The Department of Education’s desire for the lowest possible cost is incompatible with public’s

desire for personalized repayment counseling.

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Page 13: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Federal student loan repayment optionsAssuming VT entry-level Teaching salary of $35,541 (source: NEA, 2013)

If college graduate has…Fed

$30,000Fed

$57,500Fed

$150,000Private$13,500

Private$30,000

What would monthly payment be under…

Standard Repayment (10 years) $308 $591 $1,540$111

(15 years)$246

(15 years)

Extended Repayment (25 years) $164 $313 $816 N/A N/A

Revised Pay As You Earn (20 years) $60 $60 $60 N/A N/A

What would total cost be under…

Standard Repayment $36,943 $70,788 $184,716 $19,787 $44,036

Extended Repayment $48,769 $93,787 $244,784 N/A N/A

Revised Pay As You Earn $52,340 $59,912** $59,912** N/A N/A

* Assumes loan forgiveness at year 20 Average used-car payment: $359

**Remaining balance would be forgiven Source: Experian (2014, Qtr 4)

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Page 14: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Steps VSAC is taking to try to mitigate federal policy

Using tax-exempt financing to offer low-cost supplementalloans for students

Offering Vermont parents a lower cost alternative to theFederal PLUS loan

Working with the delegation to secure permission from U.S.Treasury to offer a way for families to refinance theireducation loans

Offering comprehensive education loan counseling to all ofour borrowers when they stop-out or when they graduate This counseling provides guidance on how to manage all of their

education debt—federal, VSAC, and other commercial loans

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Page 15: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Appendix15

Page 16: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

NFP servicers are more successful working with federal education loanborrowers than 4 national servicers

87.80%

72.09%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

NFP TIVAs

Series1

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Page 17: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Gap between published and net price is growing wider

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

$50,000

Source: College Board

Published, private4-year TFRB

Price of private 4-yearTFRB after aid

Published, public 4-yearTFRB

Price of public 4-yearTFRB after aid

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Page 18: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Federal and state student loans differ from other forms ofconsumer debt

Students and parents have option of making nopayments during time that they are in school

Federal and state loans allow up to three years of reducedor non-payment due to economic

Federal and state loans are discharged in the case of thedeath of the borrower and/or in cases of total,permanent, disability

Federal loans have complicated repayment options withloan forgiveness

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Page 19: Student Loan Debt...2016/04/27  · Student loan debt by the numbers 71% of BA degree seniors have student loan debt—69% in Vermont Average debt of seniors in Vermont is $29,060

Graduation rates drive defaults and debt levels

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

1996 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

4 Year Grad Rate

5 Year Grad Rate

6 Year Grad Rate

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