student accommodation a strategic investment philip hillman frics higher education team
TRANSCRIPT
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Student accommodation
A strategic investment
Philip Hillman FRICS
Higher Education Team
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UK Full Time Student Accommodation - completed schemes as at September 2007
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
Shared Houses (730,499)
University Maintained Property (323,235)
Parental/Guardian home (255,765)
Commercial Halls (123,536)
Source: HESA/King Sturge Research 2007
Total Number of Full Time Students in Higher Education: 1,433,035
51%
22%
18%
9%
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£6.5 billion
£13.75 billion
£202 billion
Overall Value of the Student Accommodation Sector as at September 2007
All Other Property Sectors (estimated IPD Capital Values)
University Owned Student Accommodation
Privately Owned Student Accommodation
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Driving demand for student beds…
Increasing numbers participating in HE
Overseas student market
Increasing proportion of postgraduates
Higher student expectations
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As an investment class…
Strong rental growth
High occupancy
Lack of quality product available
Non cyclical nature of the asset
City centre or campus locations
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The evolving market…
A sector in its own right
Not residential, not commercial
Private sector developer / operator / investors
Sufficient transactions to benchmark values…
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MOORFIELD PORTFOLIO
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BASE PORTFOLIO
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University of Birmingham
Three halls of residence 903 student bed spaces £47 million Liberty Living
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University of Birmingham
Refurbishment works 2007
£3k per bed
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University of Manchester
Two halls of residence
Manchester conference centre and hotel
Sold July 2007
£51 million
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KX200
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MX100
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A market that is still evolving…
Credit crunch – ‘prime’ narrows, ‘secondary’ widens
Greater variation in room types
‘Standard’ product not suitable for all locations
Direct let in strong demand locations, lease or nominations in locations, where direct let not viable
Little in the way of private sector affordable offering
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The next phase…
Private sector provincial developments will be more scarce
Private sector focussing on London market
320,000+ beds in the HE sector – more than 2.5x what the private sector has built!
The redevelopment of the HE residential estate
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The HE residential estate
Often in prime, on-campus locations
Universities can make schemes work that the private sector couldn’t – unique marketing & allocation position
However much ageing stock – functional & economic obsolescence
Banks often keen to lend, but FD doesn’t always want to increase loans on balance sheet. HEFCE involvement.
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Refurbish or redevelop?
Economic / functional life of the building?
Value as is v site value (with additional density)
The student experience – how is that quantified?
Cosmetic refurb v comprehensive refurb’
Retain as affordable offering or create premium product?
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DIY or 3rd Party involvement?
Banks keen to lend at competitive long term rates
Opportunity to make a development profit in return for development risk
To reduce risk, consider pre-sale of completed scheme or to review ownership & financing options on completion of development
University operation & control ?
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3rd Party involvement
Risk transfer – development, occupancy and operational costs
Capital receipt
Nomination agreement – initial rents, rental growth, who does what, how are the beds marketed
A long term partner - 30 to 50 years!
How do/will the students perceive it?
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3rd Party Deal structures
35 – 50 year ground lease
Creation of LLP or charity vehicle
Vehicle can allow university equity participation
Phased redevelopment
Off balance sheet issues
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City University, London
Five halls of residence 978 beds
Redevelopment potential 1000 + beds
Marketing late 2007
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City University, Finsbury and Heyworth
3 halls 462 beds non en suite University sports centre Current rents £92.47 - £99.54
per week, 37 weeks Significant development
potential
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University of Exeter, Lawfrowda
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Looking ahead…
HE residential estate attracting worldwide interest
Balance of capital receipt / student experience
DIY has been successfully achieved by HE bodies. Banks keen to lend and valuable assets can be created.
Others will prefer to transfer risk to 3rd party
Status quo will rarely be an option.