structure of strategic assessment extract from safer communities programme – “strategic...

STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT FOR THE SCOTTISH BORDERS (June 2011 V7) Table of Contents Page Foreword 2

Where does the Strategic Assessment fit into our work? 3

Summary of key findings 4

1.0 Introduction 5

2.0 Methodology 6

3.0 Area Profile 8

4.0 Scottish Borders and the Scottish Index of Multiple

Deprivation (SIMD) 9

5.0 Summary of Findings and Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats Analysis (SWOT)

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6.0 Detailed Presentation of Data and Analysis 16

7.0 Recommendations 133

8.0 References 134

Contact details for Strategic Assessment: Sarah Glendinning Business Consultancy Unit Scottish Borders Council [email protected] Tel: 01835 826542

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mailto:[email protected]

FOREWORD Extract from Safer Communities Programme Strategic Assessment Guidance for Senior Managers

Local Authorities have a key role in leading our communities in the implementation of single outcome agreements (SOA), within community safety and community planning frameworks. Now more than ever SOA partners need to underpin their actions and outcomes with good understanding and clear evidence. Effective partnership working requires commitment from all partners, and the resources necessary to do the job. It is essential that partnership working is intelligence led, supported by a strong culture of continuous improvement across services focused on achieving positive outcomes for communities. Public agencies are operating at a time of significant challenges in fast changing economic circumstances and financial pressures, with an even greater emphasis on improvement, efficiency and the effective use of resources.

Robust information about local issues, properly shared and analysed, is needed to drive performance monitoring, reporting, political scrutiny and decision making. I would therefore encourage all partnerships to adopt the Strategic Assessment approach described within this document. Strategic Assessments will enable you to focus on the right actions, to improve in the right areas, to address the right challenges, and ultimately to provide the best possible services for our local communities.

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WHERE DOES THE STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT FIT IN TO OUR WORK? A Strategic Assessments is an effective way of presenting information about an area. It provides key decision makers with analysed data about key trends, comparisons with national averages etc, and therefore allows decisions on public sector resources to be based on intelligence. In the Scottish Borders, the Strategic Assessment is a key part of the Inform phase of planning our work and is one of a number of sources of information that helps decisions on prioritisation to be taken objectively.

Strategic Assessment

1. INFORM: use a variety of sources toinform decisions:

Audit / Inspection feedback Draft elected member manifestos Household Survey Legislation/Government Consultation

Strategic Assessment

Self Assessment (PSIF)

2. SPECIFY: set priorities based on intelligence and available budgets: Single Outcome Agreement (SOA) Council Priorities document Local Indicators and targets

1.INFORM

2.SPECIFY

3.DELIVER

4.REPORT&REVIEW

3. DELIVER: take priorities and drive them into our business: Integrated business and financial plans Partner business plans Performance Review & Development

(personal plans)

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4. REPORT & REVIEW: demonstrate the impact of our actions: SOA reporting Public performance reporting (including

web-based reporting) Monthly performance reporting

SUMMARY OF KEY FINDINGS

Based on this Strategic Assessment, the Scottish Borders has a number of key strengths that should be nurtured and built upon: We are within one hour of three major cities and airports, beneficial

from a commuting, inward investment and tourism perspective; Higher than average educational attainment, with attainment in Years 5

and 6 showing very positive upward trends and a widening gap with the national average;

A high percentage of business start ups and, more importantly,

higher than average three-year survival rates. Combined with a high % of 16 + who are self employed, this indicates a strong entrepreneurial workforce;

A high quality natural and built environment, providing a unique

backdrop to our rich history and heritage; Falling crime, youth offending and anti-social behaviour rates,

combined with feelings of safety amongst residents. However, the key issues that we must tackle with our partners are: An increasing elderly population and decreasing proportion of

working-age, creating a huge resources time-bomb from a social welfare, social care and health perspective;

We are one of the most access-deprived areas in Scotland, combined

with patchy mobile and broadband coverage, and limited public transport. Improving digital and telecommunications infrastructure through next generation access has to be a priority to address economic and social issues;

Smoking in pregnancy is a particular health issue for Scottish Borders,

with obvious early years implications; Low earnings are a persistent problem due to the nature of jobs (low tech

/ low productivity / low value businesses) and contribute to the out migration of young people (16-29)

The potential of renewable energy is still to be exploited, for economic

and social benefit.

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1.0 Introduction

1.1 The last 12 months have seen unprecedented changes in economic conditions, impacting severely on public sector expenditure. The impacts for the public sector have been articulated in the Independent Budget Review, published in July 2010, the Comprehensive Spending Review, October 2010, and the Scottish Budget Statement, November 2010. Severe cuts are now being prepared for across the public sector and it is acknowledged that there are now a number of demands, objectives and agendas competing for a finite, and in many cases reducing, amount of public sector resources and attention.

1.2 The aim of undertaking a Strategic Assessment is to help set

community planning priorities for public sector partners in the Scottish Borders for the coming year. This methodology is used by Police Forces to inform Control Strategies and is now being used by Community Safety Partnerships to set their priorities.

1.3 This is the first time a Strategic Assessment has been prepared for

the Scottish Borders as a whole, for use by the Community Planning Partnership. It has been compiled as objectively as possible, using an intelligence led approach, with carefully considered analysis of the issues affecting the Scottish Borders at the present time, with trend analysis where available. It will form the basis of the Borders Single Outcome Agreement (SOA) and demonstrate to the Scottish Government and communities that there is a clear rationale behind the prioritisation of outcomes in the SOA. This is a key principle of both Community Planning and Best Value and should underpin all public sector strategies, plans and programmes.

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2.0 Methodology

2.1 A large number of sources were used to compile this Strategic Assessment, and a set of references are included, in tables, at the end of the document. It is recognised that there are gaps in the intelligence, which makes assessment of certain areas particularly difficult. It is also acknowledged that the data in this report is informed by a large number of information resources and as such is impacted on by the quality, availability and timeliness of data.

2.2 In the first instance, environmental scanning was undertaken, using

the PESTELOM framework (Political, Environmental, Social, Technological, Economic, Legal/Legislative, Organisational and Media). This considered the factors in the macro-environment that will affect the decisions of managers within the public sector and consequently communities. This set the scene for the work and was drawn upon during the data collection and analysis. The full risk assessment is not presented as part of the main body of work but can be accessed as an appendix if required.

2.3 The data collection and analysis was then undertaken under each

of the 15 national outcomes in the Scottish Governments National Performance Framework. Data relevant to each outcome has been collected and analysed, and a traffic light system has been used to highlight risk in terms of data (e.g. if the trend is positive and we compare favourably to the national average, then a green light would be used). Where data relates to more than one outcome, it is repeated.

2.4 As well as presenting the data that relates to each outcome,

National Drivers and the Local Policy Framework has been examined.

2.5 Based on the data collection and analysis, a Summary of the

Borders Situation has been pulled to the top of each outcome. Each outcome has a front cover sheet (see below) which pulls together the above information for each outcome, and then the data analysis is presented behind this cover sheet.

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Example Outcome N Outcome ational4. ur young people are successful learners, confident individuals, effective contributors, and responsible citizens

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Summary of Borders Situation

Attainment in the Scottish Borders has, and continues to, compares favourably to the Scottish average. However, the percentage of S4 pupils attaining at a basic level has now fallen below the Scottish average and showed a significant downward trend between 2006 and 2007, a period when the Scottish average remained steady

Attainment in years 5 and 6 remain above the Scottish average, with S5 attainment showing a very positive upward trend and a widening gap with the national average

Young people are generally satisfied with life in the Borders, and feel safe

The Scottish Borders has a consistently higher % of young people claiming JSA compared to Scotland and the numbers have increased significantly between 2008 and 2009.

Overview National

rs Getting It Right For Every Child (GIRFEC) Development of Curriculum for Excellence Early Years Framework LTS National Guidance - Pre-Birth to three Equally Well United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Children Children (Scotland) Act

Drive

LocaPolicFram

VOMO, Wired Youth Work Strategy Youth Work Futures Project Positive Destinations 16+

l y ework

Children and Young Peoples Planning Partnership o Scottish Borders Children and Young Peoples Services

Plan 2009-2012 Youth Participation Strategy (Involve: the participation of children

and young people in the Scottish Borders), April 2009 o Participation structure to support strategy- HYPPE, Youth

Chex, Scottish Borders Young Peoples Survey, YOB,

Scottish Borders Young Carers Strategy Curriculum for Excellence Attainment and Achievement Scottish Borders Child and Young Persons Mental Health

Strategy Scottish Borders Early Years Strategy Corporate Parenting Looked After and Accommodated Children

Key data and analysis 1. Attainment 2. Exclusions 3. Involvement 4. Perceptions (including safety) 5. School Leaver Destinations 6. Young people claiming Job Seekers Allowance (JSA)

2.6 The Summaries of the Borders Situation have then been used to

prepare a SWOT analysis, presented in Section 5.0, under three main themes: Economic, Social, Environmental. This SWOT can help to focus prioritisation for Scottish Borders Council and Community Planning Partners. Outcome 15 has not been included

in the SWOT as it is very focussed on organisational issues within SBC.

2.7 The Scottish Borders Councils approach to Risk Management was

used to assess the factors that may affect the achievement of the 15 national outcomes. Whilst this proved an interesting piece of work, the risks associated with the achievement of the 15 national outcomes were vast and varied and beyond the scope of the small team undertaking this work. A risk register was compiled for each of the theme (Economic, Social, Environmental) and is available should services wish to use it as a starting point for assessing risk.

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The Scottish Borders area is 4,732 km2 (1,827 square miles); located in the South East of Scotland. It has Edinburgh and the Lothians to the North, Northumberland to the South and Dumfries and Galloway to the West. It is a rural local authority with only two towns, Galashiels and Hawick, with more than 10,000 people. In June 2008 the General Register Office for Scotland (GROS) estimated that there were 112,430 people in the Scottish Borders. The Borders has a low population density as shown by the graph below. The population density for all of Scotland is 66.65 people per KM2, compared to 24 people per KM2 in Borders, one-third of the density for Scotland (Borders is the 7th most rural local authority in Scotland). This has an implication on the costs of providing services in more rural environments, especially compared to the city environments like Glasgow, Edinburgh and Dundee. Scottish Borders Councils total service net expenditure is as the Scottish average, yet satisfaction rates for council services are higher than the Scottish average.

3.0 Area Profile

Population Density 2009 (People per Km2)

3353

2397

1811

1151

695

651

600

572

513

513

500

400

318

274

228

175

153

143

95 91 51 41 39 39 28 23 20 15 13 9 9240

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

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The Population Density for Scotland was 66.65 people per Km2 based on 2009 Mid-

Year Estimates by GRO(S)

4.0 Scottish Borders and the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation

(SIMD) The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) 2009 identifies small area concentrations of multiple deprivation in Scotland. The SIMD uses data zones as the geographic areas. There area 6,505 data zones in Scotland, 130 of which are in the Scottish Borders. Each data zone is ranked relative to each other where the most deprived data zone is ranked 1 and the least deprived data zone is ranked 6,505. It is important to note that The SIMD cannot be used to determine 'how much' more deprived one data zone is than another e.g. it is not possible to say that data zone X, ranked 50, is twice as deprived as data zone Y, ranked 100.1 The 2009 SIMD combines 38 indicators across 7 domains. The overall index is a weighted sum of the seven domain scores: income (28%), employment (28%), health (14%), education (14%), geographic access (9%), crime (5%) and housing (2%). The table to the right shows the number of data zones in the Scottish Borders that are within each of the Scottish deciles (groups of 10%). 75% of the Scottish Borders data zones are within the 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th decile; indicating less widespread multiple deprivation when compared to other Scottish data zones. However, there are areas within the Scottish Borders that do experience deprivation. This means that the figures used in the Strategic Assessment represent the total Scottish Borders and may not reflect local variations or circumstances. The table below lists the 21 data zones in the Scottish Borders that account for the 15% most deprived of the areas 130 data zones. The population in these data zones account for 14.5% of the population. The five most deprived data zones in the Scottish Borders are also within the 15% most deprived in Scotland.

Scottish Deciles

SBC Data zones in Decile

% of Data zones in Decile

1 2 1.5%2 4 3.1%3 4 3.1%4 11 8.5%5 23 17.7%6 18 13.8%7 33 25.4%8 24 18.5%9 7 5.4%

10 4 3.1%Total 130 100.0%

Data Zone Data Zone Name SIMD Rank

: 2009

SIMD Decile :

2009

Total Population

: 2009

S01005425 Galashiels - Kenilworth Ave Langlee* 372 1 923

S01005382 Hawick - Central Burnfoot* 410 1 736S01005378 Hawick - South Burnfoot* 670 2 708S01005381 Hawick - West Burnfoot* 733 2 613S01005426 Galashiels - Langlee Dr * 824 2 695 1 Scottish Executive SIMD http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/SIMD/BackgroundMethodology

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S01005380 Hawick - East Burnfoot 1224 2 632S01005400 Selkirk - Bannerfield 1311 3 932S01005369 Hawick - Drumlanrig/ Wellogate 1397 3 857S01005427 Galashiels - Huddersfield 1872 3 706S01005429 Galashiels - Old Town 1933 3 640S01005367 Hawick - The Motte 1961 4 831S01005368 Hawick - Crumhaugh 1980 4 663S01005373 Hawick - Princes St / Wilton 2011 4 735S01005431 Galashiels - Balmoral Rd 2015 4 722S01005487 Eyemouth - Seafront/ harbour 2079 4 720S01005416 Kelso - Poynder Park 2144 4 884S01005488 Eyemouth - Haymons Cove 2150 4 751S01005485 Eyemouth - Gunsgreen 2193 4 810S01005428 Galashiels - Hawthorn Rd 2197 4 1033S01005486 Eyemouth - South Central 2460 4 853S01005433 Galashiels - Thistle St 2515 4 864* Also in the 15% most deprived areas within Scotland The map on the following page shows the 130 data zones in the Scottish Borders by their SIMD decile ranking within the Scottish context.

5.0 Summary of findings (SWOT- Economic, Social, Environmental)

5.1 From the detailed analysis that follows in Section 6, three SWOT analyses have been prepared under the following headings: Economic Social Environmental

It is anticipated that each of these analyses is used when establishing both community planning and Scottish Borders Council priorities; Economic STRENGTHS The Borders enjoys acceptable travel times

to three major airports and three major ports providing good connectivity for business travel, tourism and logistics.

The Borders has a higher percentage of its working age population in work than Scotland.

The workforce in the Borders performs well in terms of qualifications when compared to national rates. It has reduced the gap to national rates on NVQ4+ attainment levels and has consistently outperformed on trade apprenticeships.

Attainment in the Scottish Borders has, and continues to, compare favourably to the Scottish average.

Attainment in years 5 and 6 remain above the Scottish average, with S5 attainment showing a very positive upward trend and a widening gap with the national average.

WEAKNESSES Digital connectivity is poor in the Borders

and will require public sector intervention to compensate for market failure.

The Borders road network and the public transport network both require attention to improve the attractiveness of the area to potential investors, as well as safety.

Floor space rates are competitive with local neighbours. However, connectivity and service provision is not consistent across sites and is likely to be a more significant factor than price for businesses considering re-locating.

The Borders lags behind Scotland both on job density and weekly earnings levels, especially amongst those that work in the Borders (as opposed to commuting out of the Borders).

The Borders has a net outflow of commuters.

The business structure continues to adversely affect productivity and GVA per employee is less than 80% of the Scottish level.

Continued support for town centres and retailers is essential if retail vacancy rates are to be reduced and services maintained.

OPPORTUNITIES Tourism in the Borders is a key sector of

the economy both for the number of jobs it sustains and the income it generates. Self serviced accommodation is increasing in popularity whilst the other types are decreasing.

The Borders has a high percentage of business start ups and more importantly outperforms the national rate of three year

THREATS The Borders population is growing but

there will be a proportional decrease in the working age population from 62.5% to 54.1% between 2006 and 2031.

Increases in acquisitive crime is much in line with trends in previous recession-hit times and is likely to increase further as budget cuts hit and further job losses occur.

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survival rate. The high percentage of 16+ who are self employed indicates a strong entrepreneurial workforce.

Agriculture, forestry and fishing continue to be wealth generators.

Median house prices are generally stronger than average but have been affected by the recession.

Net immigration from elsewhere in Scotland/ UK is healthy but there are signs that more overseas migrants are leaving than arriving.

Scottish Borders is an important destination for both the UK tourist market and overseas market but the industry is more seasonal than elsewhere in Scotland.

Scottish Borders has a good number of high quality visitor attractions, particularly facilities for off-road cycling, ancient monuments, country houses, gardens, designed landscapes.

Scottish Borders has a heritage of well-loved cultural and sporting activities which involves more of the community than average.

The Scottish Borders has a consistently higher % of young people claiming JSA compared to Scotland and the numbers have increased significantly between 2008 and 2009.

Social STRENGTHS Young people are generally satisfied with

life in the Borders, and feel safe. Scottish Borders appears to be seen as an

attractive place for civil partnerships. People with disabilities in Scottish Borders

are more likely to receive the financial support and employment opportunities they need to allow them to live a normal working life than on Scottish average, although there is room for improvement.

Youth Offending in Scottish Borders has decreased by 39% in the last five years.

People in the Borders are generally satisfied with the Borders as a place to live.

Downward trends in Anti-social behaviour are encouraging.

WEAKNESSES Our low wage economy means that 44% of

children live in low income households. The attainment of Looked After and

Accommodated Children is still well below the attainment level for all school leavers.

Information gaps surrounding gender based violence has been highlighted as an issue with under-reporting on domestic violence estimated at as much as 63% and no information being available on other types of gender based violence.

Little inroads are being made in achieving national targets for fatal and seriously injured road casualties.

Accessibility of key services (retail and recreational) is highly dependent on car ownership.

Scottish Borders continues to be a safe place to live with overall crime at a relatively low level but there are pockets of concern at residential level.

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OPPORTUNITIES The Borders has a strong and well

supported voluntary and community sector (but this could be adversely affected by reducing public sector budgets, and is already being affected by reduced private sector funding).

Scottish Borders communities enjoy strong neighbourhoods but there are concerns about increasing levels of dissatisfaction at a local level.

THREATS Low birth weight, smoking at booking, and

a rising rate of 13-15yr old pregnancy are of particular concern to child health.

Rates of increase of childhood obesity are of concern, as are the rates of improvement in dental health.

The number of children on the Child Protection Register has increased by 27% combined with a slight rise in neglect and sexual crimes against children.

There has been a significant increase in the numbers of children witnessing Domestic Abuse (but increased report and improved service provision should contribute to long term improvements- increased awareness raising and service provision have seen domestic abuse rates increase).

Scottish Borders has an increasing number and proportion of elderly people.

Life expectancy remains very good, but some health indications show that this may be changing, in part due to an increasing middle-age population.

There is some indication that lifestyles in the Borders are increasingly contributing to ill-health, especially in relation to alcohol.

Male suicide rates are of concern, being above the Scottish average and showing fluctuations.

The sexual health of young people in the Borders is showing worrying trends but is being addressed by service provision.

Deprivation is showing signs of increasing, as is dependency on benefits and free school meals.

Reported incidents of hate-crime are low but increasing.

Homelessness rates are low but there are signs that more couples and families are losing their homes due to their economic or financial circumstances than the Scottish average.

Although the numbers are very low, numbers on the child protection register, number of child neglect offences and numbers of sexual crimes against children have all seen a slight increase.

Bogus callers continue to be a problem with a rise of 24% since 2008. Vulnerable, elderly residents are often the targets and are also at high risk of becoming repeat victims.

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Environmental STRENGTHS Vandalism rates are significantly below the

national average. Scottish Borders is well-represented with

Gardens and Designed Landscapes but somewhat under-represented in terms of land area of other SNH natural heritage sites.

The Tweed catchment has good or excellent water quality and habitats (but there is a lack of information regarding future management of the increasing pressures on the river system).

Scottish Borders has better air quality than Scottish average.

Wildlife crime remains relatively low in Scottish Borders.

Scottish Borders has a higher standard of cleanliness than the Scottish average and this is improving.

Recycling rates are high and have risen year on year.

The total amount of waste going to landfill has reduced.

Energy consumption (domestic & business) is around the Scottish average.

WEAKNESSES Borders industry & employment has not

yet benefited greatly from wind farms. Although there is a higher level of

satisfaction with the Local Authority and other public services in Scottish Borders than elsewhere, key concerns are evident, particularly with public transport.

OPPORTUNITIES The Borders produces more green energy

through wind farms than is consumed and substantially more wind farms are planned.

Schools are working towards eco Schools Green Flag awards.

THREATS Borders has a higher % of Category A

listed buildings on the Buildings at Risk Register than in Scotland as a whole, placing a burden on the Council.

Visits and Use of Museums is improving but is still below the Scottish average.

Scottish Borders communities enjoy strong neighbourhoods but there are concerns about increasing levels of dissatisfaction at a local level.

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6.0 Detailed Presentation of Data and Analysis National Outcome Page 1. We live in a Scotland that is the most attractive place to do business in Europe

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2. We realise our full economic potential with more and better employment opportunities for our people

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3. We are better educated, more skilled and more successful, renowned for our research and innovation

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04. Our young people are successful learners, confident individuals, effective contributors and responsible citizens

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05. Our children have the best start in life and are ready to succeed

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06. We live longer, healthier lives 56 07. We have tackled the significant inequalities in Scottish society

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08. We have improved the life chances for young people and families at risk

79

09. We live our lives safe from crime, disorder and danger

84

10. We live in well-designed, sustainable places where we are able to access amenities and services we need

91

11. We have strong, resilient and supportive communities where people take responsibility for their own actions and how they affect others

99

12. We value and enjoy our built and natural environment and protect and enhance it for future generations

103

13. We take pride in a strong, fair and inclusive national identity

108

14. We reduce the local and global environmental impact of our consumption and production

114

15. Our public services are high quality, continually improving, efficient and responsive to local people's needs

119

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National Outcome 1. We live in a Scotland that is the most attractive place to do business in Europe Summary of Borders Situation

Digital connectivity is poor in the Borders and will require public sector intervention to compensate for market failure.

The Borders road network and the public transport network both require attention to improve the attractiveness of the area to potential investors, as well as safety.

The Borders enjoys acceptable travel times to three major airports and three major ports providing good connectivity for business travel, tourism and logistics.

Floor space rates are competitive with local neighbours. However, connectivity and service provision is not consistent across sites and is likely to be a more significant factor than price for businesses considering re-locating.

Tourism in the Borders is a key sector of the economy both for the number of jobs it sustains and the income it generates. Self serviced accommodation is increasing in popularity whilst the other types are decreasing.

Overview National Drivers

Economic Downturn and slow recovery Scottish Government Economic Strategy Reductions in central government capital spending Waverley Railway (Scotland) Act 2006 Reducing European funding SESPlan (Strategic Development Plan for Edinburgh and South

East of Scotland) Local Policy Framework

South of Scotland Competitiveness Strategy Local Economic Strategy Business Relocation- PED Inward Investment Project SBC Road Asset Maintenance Plan SBC Capital Programme and other public sector capital spend

Key data and analysis 1. Roads 2. Public transport 3. Road accidents 4. Broadband 5. Mobile coverage 6. Links to airports 7. Links to ports 8. Commercial and industrial floor space and rental/rateable value 9. Serviced land 10. Housing market prices 11. Visitor numbers 12. Occupancy rates 13. Visitor spend ()

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1. ROADS There is a Statutory Performance Indicator that measures the proportion of the road network that should be considered for maintenance treatment. The table below shows that Scottish Borders Council has been slightly higher than the Scottish average for the last 3 years, in terms of proportion of roads requiring maintenance, but our ranking within the 32 local authorities has improved. Overall percentage of road network that should be considered for maintenance treatment SBC Result SBC Rank Scottish Average 2007/2008 40.90% 22 37.40% 2008/2009 37.20% 20 34.20% 2009/2010 38.10% 19 36.70%

Of the 38.1% in 2009/10, 6.6% (195 Km) of the roads in our network fall into the Red category (roads requiring immediate investigation for maintenance works) with a further 31.5% (926 Km) in the Amber category (roads requiring regular monitoring for possible maintenance works).The estimated cost of undertaking all the backlog of carriageway works on the Red category only is 23.4 million. However, an initial assessment of maintenance requirements (using a cost prediction analysis spreadsheet) has identified an annual investment requirement of 4.3 million of renewals work (not including reactive patching) in order to maintain current condition or steady state i.e. a road condition indicator of 38.1%. 2. PUBLIC TRANSPORT With no rail network in the Borders, there is reliance on bus travel for those who have to use public transport. The 2007/8 Scottish Household Survey showed that only 57% of people in the Borders are satisfied with public transport against a national average satisfaction rate of 71%. Satisfaction rates amongst bus users in the Borders rose from 45% in 2008/09 to 53% in 2009/10, according to the Scottish Borders Household Survey. 3. ROAD ACCIDENTS Since 2005 there has been a 19% reduction in the number of accidents and a 21% reduction in casualties. This is slightly above the reductions recorded for Scotland. It should be noted that while this is encouraging, numbers have fluctuated considerably year on year. Casualty figures for the first six months of 2010/2011 suggest that the number of fatal/seriously injured casualties will rise by around 13.5%. When reflecting average figures over a five-year period, in 2009 there has been an increase of 3% against a national reduction of 10%, according to the Road Casualties Scotland Report 2009.

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ccidents in the calendar year 2010, followed by the A68 ith 70 and the A702 with 69. In the east of the region, the A1 saw a total of 28

0 .

It should also be noted that the national targets for fatal and seriously injured casualties and child casualties for 2010 have not been met. The long-term trend suggests that Scottish Borders is one of the few areas in Scotland making little progress towards achieving national road safety targets. Locally, the A7 showed the highest number of awaccidents during 2 10 4. BROADBAND Based on Ofcom's 2010 Communications Market report and corroborated by SBC's own household survey data, broadband uptake within households is bethe national average at only 60%. The figure masks a spread of between 80%uptake amongst younger and working ag

low

e sectors of the population and less an 20% in older age groups. Importantly, part of the overall below-average

erally and articularly for mobile broadband, and lower use of online government and health

of re of the population (only 25%

f Borders population live in settlements of 10,000 people or more, 20% of le s than 100 people).

thuptake is due to involuntary exclusion. The Ofcom report also points to higher dependence in rural Scotland on BT landlines for connectivity, lower uptake of mobile phones genpservice information, online banking, and social networking. A UK wide analysis undertaken for UK Dept of Culture, Media and Sport by Analysis-Mason in January 2010 highlights the risk of exclusion from SuperfastBroadband ( as defined at 2 Megabytes / second) for Scottish Borders. The analysis concluded that there would be a need for public sector intervention to deliver a consistent fast, next generation access service across the region, and that it is unlikely that the market will respond given the low demand in termspopulation and households and the dispersed natuoBorders live in areas with s 5. MOBILE COVERAGE 3G coverage maps by mobile operators (H3G, O2, Orange, T-Mobile and Vodafone), prepared in January 2009, show the areas where the mobile operators are assessed as meeting a minimum coverage threshold, set by

throughout the region, with the reas in the central Borders at s/3g_rollout/

Oe

fcom. From these maps, coverage is poorxception of a few small a

http://stakeholders.ofcom.org.uk/consult ion

6 . LINKS TO AIRPORTS

ime taDrive t ble from the Borders to local Airports

Glasgow Edinburgc

ernatioh New astle

Int nal Town Dis * Duration** Dis e* Duration** Dis e* Duration** tance tanc tancGalashiels 84 1hr 45 39 1hr 67 1hr 40 Hawick 102 2hrs 15 56 1hr 30 56 1hr 25

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1hr 30 27 45mins 86 2hrs 10 Peebles 72Eyemouth 104 2hrs 58 1hr 15 72 1hr 30 Source: Google maps

*Distances are measured in miles and are approximate

**Durations are estimated journey times required

Airport ghts toDestinations - Direct fli key cities

Glasgow Edin rghNew stle

International buca

Toronto New York Dubai Berlin Paris London Genenva Rome Vienna Copenhagen Barcalona Brussels Milan

7. LINKS TO PORTS

me ta loDrive ti ble from the Borders to cal Ports Lei ge osth Gran mouth R yth Town D D Distance* Duration** istance* Duration** istance* Duration** Galashiels 1 1hr 17min 36.5m hr 5min 56.5m 1hr 20min 47.3m Hawick 52.6m 1hr 27min 73.7m 1hr 50min 64.5m 1hr 45min Peebles 28.5m 51min 44.8m 1hr 5min 35.5m 1hr Eyemouth 48.7m 1hr 5min 75.5m 1hr 54min 66.3m 1hr 30min Source: Google maps

*Distances are measured in miles and are approximate

**Durations are estimated journey times required

8. COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL FLOOR SPACE AND RENTAL/RATEABLE VALUE From the data below, the Borders is competitively priced compared to its neighbouring competitors for commercial and industrial floor space.

RIME OFFICE R AT 0 Rental L l /sq.ft /sq.m/

ster ham 2

P ENTS AS MAR 201 eve /yr yr Manche 27 326 Birming 7.5 332

Bristol 26 313 Leeds 26 313 Newcastle

ardiff 21 253

ata is sourc & Wake e Marketbeat Q2 2010 N OVERVIEW OF THE UK PROPERTY MARKET

B .50-10.50-1

based n offices r their control

sourced from Neil Hastie, SBC Estates

RIME RETAIL R AT 0

Rental l /sq.ft /sq.m/

ster

ardiff 220 1228

ata is sourc Cus man & Wak arket eat Q2 2010 MAR ET

7-30**

RIME INDUSTRIA AS AT M Rental Level /sq.ft/yr /sq.m/yr

ster

5 5.2

ardiff 5.5 60

22 265 C Edinburgh 27 326 Glasgow 26 313 All D ed from Cushman fi ldA S 9 3.50* *sourced from SE, only an indicative rate o unde SB 6-12** **

P ENTS AS MAR 201 Leve /yr yr Manche 265 1599 Birmingham 275 1535 Bristol 160 965 Leeds 250 1508 Newcastle 270 1507 C Edinburgh 190 1576 Glasgow 250 2074 All D ed from h efield M bAN OVERVIEW OF THE UK PROPERTY K SB **sourced from Neil Hastie, SBC Estates

P L RENTS AR 2010 Manche 5.5 66 Birmingham 6 72 Bristol 7 84 Leeds .25 63 Newcastle 5 63 C Edinburgh 7.5 90 Glasgow 6 72

21

All Data is sourced man & Wakefield Ma t Q2 2010 N OVERVIEW OF THE UK PROPERTY MARKET

B .40-4.30*

based on offices u er their control

50**

from Cush rketbeaA S 3 *sourced from SE, only an indicative rate nd SB 3.50 - 4.**sourced from Neil Hastie, SBC Estates

9. SERVICED LAND A report by Ryden on business space provision within the Borders (Ryden, 2008established a lack of high quality immediately available employment sites in th

) e

rincipal Borders towns and particularly in the Central Hub. The report also

tor.

tions

re a consequence of the conclusions reached in the Ryden report on the limited w employment land in

edburgh, Kelso an rtly, k is

2008 2010 Change

pfound that market conditions make it difficult for the private sector to deliver therequired product which leads to a heavier involvement by the public sec The recently approved Local Plan Amendment has had a beneficial impact in allocating new employment land in most of the main, and some minor, settlements and active progress is being made to deliver developer readyserviced plots at some of these locations in the near future. These allocaachoice and availability that is apparent, however, neJ d, sho Hawic helping to reverse this shortfall. Established Allocated and Protected Employment Land Scottish Borders 78.9ha 116.7ha 41% (lan eral in s/o i

ty of lished Lan pply categ by Housing Market Are ediate der

tructionears nd 5 tal

d for gen dustry/busines ffice/storage and d stribution) Availabili Estab d Su

Unorised

1-5 Ya

HMA ImmCons

Beyoyears

To

Northern 3.13 0 1.76 0 4.89 Central 6.82 1.11 52.33 24.27 84.53 Berwickshire 5.07 0.04 17.36 4.28 26.75 Scottish

orders 15.02 1.15 71.45 28.55 11

B6.17

Availab ategorised by Housing Market Area

nd

s, 5.31ha are fully

le beyond 5 years, the majority of the sites are serviced, with 10.31ha partially or not serviced.

ility of Established Land Supply c

Of the 15.02ha immediately available sites, 8.24 ha are fully services a6.78ha are partially serviced. Of the 71.45ha available sites in one to five yearserviced, 14.53ha are partially services and 51.79ha are not serviced. Of the 28.55ha land availab

22

23

tr ction, 0.46ha is fully serviced and 0.69ha Of the 1.15ha land under cons uis partially or not serviced.

10. HOUSING MARKET PRICES The data below illustrates the monthly movements within the Borders housing market. Annual rates are better for long term trend analysis as they smooth out both seasonality and large sale volatility. However the number of transactions ompleting is a good indicator of an economys general health and in this regard e can see that the Borders has improved significantly from the lows of Jan until

cwnow. Local Authority Residential Property Data - Monthly update ros.gov.uk Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Volume Scottish Borders 96 100 Absolute

102 127 101 155 151 138 128

6 54 -4 -13 -1053 -7

5 5,429 5,702 7,106 7, 6,521

1,230 273 910 -134 -68929 5 15 -2 -10

Change 4 2 25 -22 25% Change

5,03

4

-20 -3 -9

7,210 Scotland Absolute

4,199 6,196 344

Change % Change

-836 -17

4949

2383

erage

167,469 ,969 169,298 158,780 188, 176,821 178,535

- 5,019 -2,671 -1,839 29,7 -11,715 1,714% Change -6 10 -2 -5 -1 19 -6 1

151,539 0 156,491 163, 3 159,035

-6,600 7,401 5,391 6, -8,248-4 5 4 2 -5

AvScottish

Borders Absolute Change

156,950 171

10,519 1

160,619

-8,679

536

56

,456 1 144,138Scotland 149

Absolute

50,738 151,10 347 167,28

3,936 Change 1,282 -439 856% Change 1 0 4

Total value

16,077,031 15,6 40,839 21,500,855 24,610,879 28,468, 24,401,246 22,852,456

- ,818 3,960,016 8,388,335 3,858, -4,067,683 -1,548,790% Change -2 12 23 -25 52 16 -14 -6

7 3 864,075,426 936,216,484 1,112,024,804 1,199,624,014 1,206,113,540 1,037,067,146

Scottish Borders 95,021 17,5 16,222,544 929Absolute Change 382,010 1,845 -5,278,311 050

Scotland 752,510,058 632,947,417 782,52 ,73Absolute Change

-119,562,641 149,580,316 81,547,693 72,141,058 175,808,320 87,599,210 6,489,526 -169,046,394

% Change -16 24 10 8 19 8 1 -14

11. VISITOR NUMBERS

Both tourist numbers and day rates are moving in a positive direction which is a g sig for the B rent omic c mate may be attracting new customers who are looking at less expensive local holidays and coming to the r or the first e. Tourist Numbers Generated By: (thousands)

ood n orders. T rhe cu econ li

egion f tim

Accommodation 2009 % Change 2008 Serviced .27 .46 -9 375 341N ced 196.38 202.32 3 on-ServiSFR 137.43 135.86 -1 Day Visitors 1227.74 1272.41 4 TOTAL 1,936.82 1,952.05 1

Tourist Days Generate : (thous ) d By andsA dation 2008 2009 % Change ccommoServiced 684.57 611.40 -11 Non-Serviced 1333.05 1385.01 4 SFR 620.63 615.35 -1 Day Visitors 1227.74 1272.41 4 TOTAL 3,865.99 3,884.17 0 12. OCCUPANCY RATES Nationally, hotel occupancy has remained relatively constant but the Borders has e ienced a sig o er the sa period. xper nificant fall of 4% v me

JANUARY-DECEMBER OCCUPA Y BY LOCAL AREA NCHOTELS Annual

rea 0

0

1.6

s fallen by a very significant 5% and 8% for bed and room occupancy respectively since 2008. Nationally rates have remained relatively constant, with only small reductions.

A Bed Occupancy (%)

2008 2009 201 Scotland 48 49 Borders 44 40 Room Occupancy (%)

2008 2009 201 Scotland 64 64 Borders 58 52 Avg Length of Stay (Nights)

2008 2009 2010 Scotland 2.0 2.0 Borders 1.7

Guest house and B&B occupancy in the Borders ha

JANUARY-DECEMB OCAL REA ER OCCUPANCY BY L AGUEST H USE and O B&B Annual

Occupanc ) 008 2009 201

d orders 9

Occupa )

20 201 cotland 6 22 orders

ength of ghts)

20 201 d 2.1 1.9

1.9

Area Bed y (%2 0

ScotlanB

17 16 14

Room ncy (% 2008 09 0

S 2B 20 12

Avg L Stay (Ni

2008 09 0 ScotlanBorders 2.0

24

25

e is

increase. This may be due to the increasing popularity of short olidays with large groups of friends or family as a cheaper alternative to

Self catering accommodation in the Borders has had a reduction in the averaglength of stay but a 3% increase in occupancy rate. The average party size also on the htraditional holidays. JANUARY-DECEMBER OCC Y BY LOCAL ARUPANC EA SELF CATERING Annual Area Unit Occup )

008 2010 2

53

2008 2010 6.6 6.5 Avg Party

20 10 3.4 3.4

rs 2.9 3.0

ancy (% 2

land 52009

Scot 52 Borders

56

Avg Length of Stay (Days)

2009Scotland Borders

6.5 6.2

Size

2009 08 20

Scotland Borde

13. VISITOR SPEND () The figures below illustrate how significant tourism is to the Borderssome 168m puts it ahead of construction (1

. GVA of

y S t

59m/ 2007) in terms of GVA

or of Expenditure (s millions)

generated. Analysis b ec 2008 2009 % ChangeAccommodation -5 34.45 32.75Food and Drink -2 30.87 30.35 Recreation 12.38 12.46 1 Shopping 7.59 7.82 3 Transport 22.10 22.79 3 Indirect Expendi retu 0 42.10 42.30 VAT 18.79 18.58 -1 TOTAL 168.29 167.06 -1

Impact Generated by: (s millions) Economic Accommodatio % Change n 2008 2009 Serviced 58.02 51.26 -12 Non-Serviced 8 50.03 53.89 SFR 15.39 15.34 0 Day Visitors 44.84 46.57 4 TOTAL 168.29 167.06 -1

National Outcome 2. We realise u ter employment

o r full economic potential with more and bet opportunities for our people

Summary of Borders Situation

levels, especially amongst those that work

ers). The Borders has a higher percentage of its working age

population in work than Scotland. rders has a net outflow of commuters.

ulation is growing but there will be a s in the working age population from

to 54.1% between 2006 and 2031. ses in acquisitive crime is much in line with trends in

e and is likely to increase further th r job losses occur.

The Borders lags behind Scotland both on job density andweekly earningsin the Borders (as opposed to commuting out of the Bord

The Bo The Borders pop

proportional decrea e62.5%

Increaprevious recession-hit tim s

s udget cuts hit and fur ea bOverview National Economic Downturn and slow recovery. Drivers Scottish Government Economic Strateg . y

s vestment policies. cottish Enterprise, VisitScotland and Skills

a d.

Major bank in Future of S

Development Scotl n

Local olicy

Local Economic Strategy. PFramework Business Gateway.

South of Scotland Competitiveness Strategy. Key Tourism Infrastructure Projects.

Business Relocation- PED Inward Investment Project.

Scottish Borders Campus- Knowledge Transfer Hub and business links.

Partnership Action for Continuous Employment (PACE).

Key data and analysis 1. Working age demography 2. Employment rate (working age) 3. Unemployment 16+ 4. Claimant Count 5. Economic inactivity rate (working age) 6. Jobs density 7. Earnings workplace based (median FTE gross weekly) 8. Earnings residence based (median FTE gross weekly) 9. Commuting by place of residence and place of work 10. Acquisitive Crime rates

26

27

. WORKING AGE POPULATION

1It is expected that there will be proportionally fewer people economically ctive by 2031 and more people potentially needing support.

lthough the total population in the Borders has grown steadily over the last 10 ears and is predicted to grow further, the working age population has remained

han the Scottish average of 66% in

ng . The graph below compares the predicted age

istribution for Scotland and the Scottish Borders for Pre Working, Working, and Post Working age between 2006 and 2031. Between 2006 and 2031 the roportion of people in the Working group drops by 6.9% for Scotland, where

ti Borders.

a Ayat between 61% and 62% since 2001 (lower t2006). Despite the growing population, there will be a proportional decrease in the working age population from 62.5% to 54.1% between 2006 and 2031, accordito GRO(S) population projectionsd

pas it is an 8.4% drop for the Scot sh

Age Group Distribution Scotland vs. Scottish Borders (SB) 2006 and 2031

2. EMPLOYMENT RATE (WORKING AGE) The working age employment rate in the Borders has been higher than thatScotland in every year since 2004. Consistently around 80% of this populatiohave been in work, with a peak of 81.4% in 2007 and a low of 77.3% in 2009. Recent trends have reduced the size of this population from 55,800 p

of n

eople in 008 to 54,200 people in 2009.

2

18.0% 18.3% 16.0% 16.8%

65.6% 62.5% 58.7% 54.1%

16.4% 19.3% 25.3% 29.1%

60%

0%8

100%

40%

0%

20%

Scotland -2006 SB - 2006 Scotland - 2031 SB -2031

Pre-Working (0-15) Working (16-64) Post Working (65+)

28

Geographydence

2002004 2005 2006 2007(

ed) % Level % Level % Level % evel % evel % vel% 2,429,100 74.90% 2,450,500 6.00% 2, ,700 60% 2,5 900 7 0% 2,4

cottish rders

80.00%53,800

78.30%52,100

79.40%,000

.40%,500

60%800

7 0%00

8 2009

and over. Employment rates cover e (m 6-6 en ag .

levels by local authority, Scotland, 2004-2009

ResiBas L L Le

Scotland 74.60 75.70% 2,498,200 7 524 75. 29, 3.9 90,400

SBo 54

8155

80.55,

7.354,2

Notes:Employment levels cover those aged 16

Source: Annual Population Survey (Jan to Dec)

working ag en aged 1 4 and wom ed 16-59)

Table 1.1: Employment rates and

1. Levels rounded to the nearest hundred.2. Proportions are calculated on unrounded figures.

Totals may not equal the sum of individual parts due to rounding. See the concepts and definitions section of the publication for more detail on estimates.

3.4.

3. Proportions are calculated on unrounded fi4. Totals may not equal the sum of individual parts due to rounding.5. See the concepts and definitions section of the publication for more detail on estimates.

3. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 16+ According to the International Labour Organisation (ILO) model for unemployment rates the Borders outperforms the Scottish rate every yea2004. However, the impact of the economic downturn has been signi

r since ficant in the

orders - ILO unemployment has increased sharply from 3.6% in 2008, to 5.1% 2009.

Bin

Ta 1: Model based ILO unemployme otland, 2 4-2009 ble 2. nt rates and levels for people aged 16 or over by local authority, Sc 00

04 Jan - De 005 Jan -D 2006 Jan - ec 2007 Jan ec 2008 Jan -Dec 20 c 2 ec D -D Jan -Dec 2009Geography (Residence Based) % Level % evel % Level % Level Level L % % Level

Scotland 5.4% 136 5.3% 137,900 5.2% 138,000 4.7% 125,100 4.9%,400 130,400 7.0% 186,800Scottish Borders 3.2% 1,800 3.7% 2,000 3.8% 2,200 3.1% 1,800 3.6% 2,100 5.1% 2,900

So tion Survey (Jan-Durce: Annual Popula ec) * - Estimate is below reliability threshold (See A the pu or mornnex B of blication f e details).

Notes: 1. ended to show figures ary - D which sed o AugusThis table has been am for Janu ecember were relea n the 31st t 2010. 2. to the nearest hundred. Levels rounded

3. calculated on unrounded fig Proportions are ures. 4. qual the sum of individual p round Totals may not e arts due to ing.

5. ons section of tion fo tail on See the concepts and definiti the publica r more de estimates.

4. CLAIMANT COUNT

From 2004 until 2007 the Borders had a reducing annual claimant count rate

om 1.5% to 1.2%. This has however increased to 2.7% in 2009 and again tti

frdemonstrates the impact of the recession. This is slightly less than the Sco shrate over the same period, but still a significant increase.

29

aim tes and NS Cr rved [from ov

na otal claimants

Proportion of r pulati 6-64 es

ocal a / tary 2005 2006 20 2009

r % number % numb % number % number % number %

Scottish 1.5 1,011 1.5 1,002 1.5 815 1.2 1,388 2.0 1,914 2.7otlan 2.6 28 2 ,818 69,165 97,72 33,738 3.9

clO

ant count with raown Copyright Rese

proportionsNomis on 30 N ember 2010]

Sexitem

Tme T

otal

Rate esident po on aged 1 timates l uthority: countyuni 2004

numbe

07 2008

er

Borders 1,025 d 86,043Sc

83,6 .5 82 2.5 2.0 3 2.9 1

5. ECONOMIC INACTIVITY RATE (WORKING AGE) The economic inactivity rate for Scotland from 2004 to 2009 has remained relatively constant at around 20%. The Borders has had a more volatile rate ranging from a low of 16.2% in 2007 to a high of 18% back in 2005. 2009 has seen the rate start to rise again from a 2008 rate of 15.8% to 16.4%. Table 3.1: Economic inactivity rates and levels for working age people by local authority, Scotland, 2004-2009

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Geography (Residence Based) % Level % Level % Level % Level % Level % LevelScotland 21.1% 663,800 20.8% 658,500 20.0% 637,600 20.1% 644,300 20.3% 653,800 20.4% 656,100Scottish Borders

17.7% 11,400

18.0% 11,600

17.5%11,300

16.2%10,600

15.8%10,400

16.4% 10,900

Source: Annual Population Survey (Jan to Dec) Notes: 1. Levels rounded to the nearest hundred. 2. Proportions are calculated on unrounded figures. 3. Totals may not equal the sum of individual parts due to rounding. 4. See the concepts and definitions section of the publication for more detail on estimates.

6. JOBS DENSITY Job density in the Borders has been on the increase since 2006 to 2008. This indicates an increasing number of jobs available for those who are actively seeking work. Over the same period the Scottish level has remained flat. The Borders has a lower rate than the Scottish level indicating that there are more job opportunities out with the Borders. jobs density ONS Crown Copyright Reserved [from Nomis on 30 November 2010] item name Jobs density

local authority: county / unitary 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Scottish Borders 0.75 0.74 0.78 0.76 0.75 0.78 0.74 0.76 0.78Scotland 0.76 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.80

7. EARNINGS WORKPLACE BASED (MEDIAN FTE GROSS WEEKLY) The Borders lags behind Scotland and the rest of the UK for workplace based

Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) Analysis by Place of work by Local Authority

(i.e. jobs in the Borders) weekly pay. The gap between the Borders and Scotland has fluctuated over the period but is starting to move in the right direction, with the gap closing. These lower wages may be a reflection of the types of business and key employment sectors in the Borders (traditional sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, the public sector, trade businesses etc). GROSS - Median Wage - 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Description Median Median Median Median Median United Kingdom 443.6 457.6 479.1 488.5 498.8 Great Britain 444.8 459.3 479.1 489.9 500.4 England 449.8 463.6 483.9 495.0 504.5 Scotland 428.1 441.7 462.6 472.8 488.2 Scottish Borders 345.7 380.5 370.1 381.3 418.0

Scottish Borders as % of Scotland 81% 86% 80% 81% 86%

8. EARNINGS RESIDENCE BASED (MEDIAN FTE GROSS WEEKLY) The lag is not nearly as pronounced when looking at the residence based earning. This includes people who commute out of the Borders to jobs in other ocal Authority areas and reflects some of the higher value jobs that can be ccessed if people are willing and able to commute.

Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) Analysis by place of residence by Local Authority 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

La

Description Median Median Median Median Median United Kingdom 443.6 457.6 479.1 488.5 498.8 Great Britain 445.9 460.0 480.0 490.5 501.8 England 450.4 464.0 484.5 495.9 506.0 Scotland 427.9 440.9 462.9 471.2 486.9 Scottish Borders 385.4 423.4 449.9 437.4 460.0 Scottish Borders as % of Scotland 90% 96% 97% 93% 94%

30

31

. COMMUTING BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE AND PLACE OF WORK 9A significantly high level (average 81%) of the Borders workforce live and work in

e Borders. Some 7000-8000 residents commute out of the Borders area to their lace of work, which equates to about 14% of the working population. Since 2004 e Borders has been able to reduce the number of commuters leaving the area om 7,500 to 7,300 and at the same time increase the number of workers ommuting into the area from 2,100 to 3,200. This has improved the net inflow of orkers from -5,400 in 2004 to -4,100 in 2009.

thpthfrcw Table 1.11: Commuting patterns by local authority, Scotland, 2004-2009

2009 People living and working in Scotland

Live and work in the

council area

as % of resident

working age population

in employment

Live in the council area

but work outwith

as % of resident

working age population in employment

Work in the council area

but live outwith

Net "across Scotland" flow

INTO council area

as % of resident

working age population in employment Geography

(Residence Based) OUTFLOW INFLOW NET INFLOW

Resident working age

population in employment

Scotland 1,651,100 69.6% 642,100 27.4% - - - 2,381,700Scottish

Borders 41,400 81.4% 7,300 14.3% 3,200 -4,100 -8.0% 51,1002008

Scotland 1,68 ,700 1 69.5% 689,800 28.5% - - - 2,431,900Scottish

Borders 42,600 80.6% 7,300 13.8% 2,600 -4,700 -8.9% 53,1002007


Borders 43,500 81.7% 7,000 13.2% 1,300 -5,700 -10.7% 53,3002006


Borders 4 ,000 1 80.1% 7,900 15.4% 1,600 -6,300 -12.2% 51,5002005


Borders 4 ,400 0 80.7% 7,500 14.9% 2,300 -5,200 -10.3% 50,4002004

Scotland 1,65 ,100 1 70.5% 642,100 27.4% - - - 2,353,400Scottish

Borders 4 ,500 1 81.1% 7,500 14.7% 2,100 -5,400 -10.5% 51,400

Source: Annual Population Survey (Jan to Dec) * - Estimate is below re tyliabili threshold (See Annex B of the publication for more details). Notes: 1. Levels rounded to th are ne est thousand. 2. Proportions are calc ulated on unrounded figures. 3. Totals may not equal s the um of individual parts due to rounding. 4. See the concepts an find de itions section of the publication for more detail on estimates.

10. ACQUISI

TIVE CRIME In the three years to 2009-2010, overBorders has fallen

all acquisitive crime in Scottish by 7%, slightly behind the national figure of 8%.

he same period, the acquisitive crimes of shoplifting and hou re pectively. This is very much in exc in rease of 4% for shoplifting and a dec h t there is a distinct link itive crime in Scottish Borders with the e sho

However, in tsebreaking increased by 32% and 22% sess of the national picture, which saw an crease of 7% for housebreaking. Analysis has shown t a between drug/alcohol abuse and acquisne d for easy money for the former impacting on the latter, particularlyplifting.

In a d trends for the current year to date show

n acquisitive crime to 141 per 10,000 of population compared to 134 in 200 cu r upturn. The current economic climate is undoubtedly having an impact upon this increase, with o stuffs being targeted in shoplifting over the last few ds. Increases in acq p vious recession-hit times and is likely to increase further as budget cuts

articularly prevalent in Galashiels, with more than half of

ddition, looking forward, projecteincreases i

9-2010 with thefts from motor vehicles showing a parti la

analysis showing more fo d months, suggesting the desire to meet basic human neeuisitive crime is much in line with trends in re

hit and further job losses occur. Locally, shoplifting is pall shoplifting in the region occurring there. Of course, Galashiels is also theretail hub of the Borders and so the opportunity for shoplifting is also higher. The more rural areas of our community, are also an attractive target with thefts from isolated residential and business premises being targeted, particularly farmbuildings and targeting fuel, small plant/machinery and scrap metals.

32

Natio tc nal Ou ome3. We t u sk r s l, e

r our research and innovation are bet er ed cated, more illed and mo e succe sfu renown d

foSummary of Borders

The workforce in the Borders performs well in terms of qualifications when compared to national ra es

Situation t . It has reduced the

gap to national rates on NVQ4+ attainment levels and has consistently outperformed on trade apprenticeships.

The Borders has a high percentage of business start ups and more importantly outperforms the national rate of three year

rv . T high ta of a self edindicates a strong entrepreneurial workforce.

ss ur nue ly a p ivity ye s

Agriculture, forestry and fishing continue to be wealth generators.

su ival rate he percen ge 16+ who re employ

The busine struct e conti s to adverse ffect roduct and GVA per emplo e is less than 80% of the Scotti h level.

Overview National Scottish Government Economic Strategy Drivers Skills for Scotland Skills Strategy

Achieving our Full Potential framework Literacy Action Plan (launched Oct 2010) o nding Council Budget Reductions UK Coalition Governm licy on s ees rr r elle

Sc ttish Fuent Po tudent f

Cu iculum fo Exc nce Local

olicy o kill South of Scotland Competitiveness Strategy

Sc ttish Borders S s Priorities PFramework Curriculum for Excellence- local implementation

Scrutiny Vocational training report and follow up work Knowledge Transfer Hub/South of Scotland Business Solutions

Project Key data and analysis Skills/e on

1. om a ers it 4ducati

Econ ically ctive p ons w h NVQ 2. Economically a s witctive per ons h NVQ 3

3. Economically active persons with trade apprenticeships 4. Economically active persons with NVQ 2

5. Economically active persons with NVQ 1 6. Economically active persons with other qualifications

7. Economically active persons with no qualifications 8. at of eavers Destin ion school l

Enterp. s c r ind lo zrise

9 Busine s stru ture by b oad ustry and emp yment si e 10. VAT registrations 11. New Business accounts

12. Business demography births, deaths and survival rates 13. Proportion of 16+ who are self employed 14. Regional GVA NUTS3

33

34

SKILLS/EDUCATION Overall, the qualification rates of the Borders workforce compare favourably with national averages, although there is a lag behind the national average in terms of those with NVQ 3 or above, according to the ONS annual population survey the Borders is stronger in terms of the % of those with trade apprenticeships and the % of those with other qualifications (degree from overseas, professional qualifications etc). Given this trend, the proportion of 16+ who are self employed has consistently been between 5 and 7% higher that the Scottish average over the last 5 years. 1. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH NVQ 4+ Rates in the Scottish Borders are slightly below the Scottish average and have

gged for the last 5 years. However, we are now seeing a positive upward trend, line with a national upward trend.

Actual % Actual

(2008) % Actual

(2007) % Actual

(2006) % Actual

(2005) %

lain

(2009)

SB 20,700 36.5 19,100 33.5 17,300 30.9 16,800 30.9 18,300 34.3 Scot 1,003,300 38.3 977,800 37.5 959,500 36.9 928,000 35.8 873,200 34.3 2. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH NVQ 3 Rates in the Scottish Borders are slightly below the Scottish average and have lagged for the last 5 years. There is also a slight downward trend, against a relatively stable national average. Actual % Actual % Actual % Actual % Actual %

(2009) (2008) (2007) (2006) (2005) SB 7,600 13.4 8,500 14.9 8,700 15.6 9,000 16.5 7,800 14.6 Scot 415,200 15.8 419,000 16.1 408,900 15.7 409,000 15.8 411,400 16.1 3. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH TRADE APPRENTICESHIPS This has been consistently above the national average for the last 5 years but is ow showing a downward trend, in line with the national trend.

(2009) (2008) Actual (2007)

% Actual (2006)

% Actual (2005)

%

n

Actual % Actual %

SB 4,600 8.1 4,900 8.7 4,500 8.1 5,400 10.0 6,400 11.9 Scot 154,700 5.9 172,500 6.6 168,600 6.5 193,900 7.5 201,900 7.9 4. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH NVQ 2

ates are fairly consistent with the national average although there haR2

s been a n 2 an

up slightly. Actual

9) % Actual

(2008) % Act

(20% Actual

(2% Actual

(20%

% fall in the Borders betwee 008 d 2009, when the national average went

(200 ual

07) 006) 05)

35

SB 8,100 14.3 9,400 16.6 8,600 15.4 7,600 1 6,7 12.5 4.0 00 S ,800 13.7 358 1 3 1 34 13.5 cot 368,400 14.1 356 ,000 3.8 57,000 3.8 4,600

5. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH NVQ 1In 2009 rates were up, in line with the national average, closing a -2% gap frothe 2 previous years.

m

Actual (2009)

% Actual (2008)

% Actual (2007)

% Actual (2006)

% Actual (2005)

%

SB 5,400 9.4 4,300 7.6 4,400 7.9 5,100 9.4 5,600 10.5 Scot 250,700 9.6 250,600 9.6 258,000 9.9 263,300 10.2 272,800 10.7 6. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH OTHER QUALIFICATIONS Those with other qualifications has been significantly higher in the Scottish Borders over the last 3 years and rose dramatically between 2006 and 2007. Actual

(2009) % Actual

(2008) % Actual

(2007) % Actual

(2006) % Actual

(2005) %

SB 5,800 10.3 6,100 10.8 6,200 11.1 4,300 7.9 3,700 6.9 Scot 196,400 7.5 196,500 7.5 195,200 7.5 182,000 7.0 173,400 6.8 7. ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE PERSONS WITH NO QUALIFICATIONS For the last two years, this has been slightly below the national average.

Actual (2009)

% Actual (2008)

% Actual (2007)

% Actual (2006)

% Actual (2005)

%

SB 4,600 8.1 4,400 7.8 6,100 11.0 6,100 11.2 5,000 9.3 Scot 232,300 8.9 236,900 9.1 253,200 9.7 257,800 9.9 270,300 10.6 8. SCHOOL LEAVER DESTINATION A greater proportion of school leavers in the Scottish Borders tend to go to positive destinations. Borders College seems to have a positive influence on thenumber going on to Further Education.

36

School Leaver Destinations 2009/2010 - Scottish Borders Compared to Scotland

35.8%32.0%

2.5%

17.4%

0.6%

9.2%

1.8% 0.6%

35.7%

27.1%

5.2%

18.5%

0.3%

11.3%

1.3% 0.6%0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Higher Education FurtherEducation

Training Employment Voluntary Work UnemployedSeeking

Unemployed NotSeeking

Unknown

Scottish Borders Scotland

School Leaver Destination 2002/3 to 2009/10

1,1621,220

1,2871,323

1,249

1,388

1,1991,250

90.1% 87.0% 88.1% 87.9% 89.9% 87.0% 87.5% 88.3%

79.6% 79.9%84.2% 85.0% 86.4% 86.6% 85.6% 86.8%

50%

60%

70%

80%

1,300

1,350

0%2002

10%

20%

30%

40%

90%

100%

2003/4 2004/5 2008/9 2009/101,000

1,050

1,100

1,150

1,200

1,250

1,400

1,

/3 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8

450

SB -Total Leavers

Scottish Borders -Positive Designations ( ducation, Educatio Employment, Voluntary Work)Higher E Further n, Training,

Scottish Borders -Negative Destinations (Unemployed Seeking, Unemployed NOT Seeking, Not Known)

Scotland -Positive Designations (Higher Education, Further Education, Training, Employment ol, V untary Work)

Scotland -Negative Destinations (Unemployed Seeking, Unemployed NOT Seeking, Not Known)

ENTERPRISE 9. BUSINESS STRUCTURE From the table below, it can be seen that compared to Scotland, the Borders has a significantly higher proportion of employment in agriculture and fishing, and a slightly higher proportion in manufacturing, construction, distribution, hotels and restaurants. The Borders has seen a significant drop in employment in manufacturing from 2004, twice the average annual change for Scotland as a whole. It will be important to focus on more resilient sectors of the economy sectors that continue to perform in tough economic times such as agriculture, forestry and fishing and food & drink, creative industries, rather than more vulnerable activity in construction and other (mainly public) services. Tourism is also likely

37

ntribution to the economy of the Scottish to continue to make an important coBorders.

all in employment who work in: Borders Sc

average annual % change 2004-20102009-2010

% otland Borders Scotland:agriculture and fishing (SIC 2007) 6.9 1.8 7.9 5.3A

B,D,E:energy and water (SIC 2007) 1.4 3.3 3.8 0.7C:manufacturing (SIC 2007) 9.2 8.2 -10.2 -5.1F:construction (SIC 2007) 8.7 7.7 1.6 -1.5G,I:distribution, hotels and restaurants (SIC 2007) 20.1 19.5 1.6 -0.2H-J:transport and communications (SIC 2007) 5.1 7.2 1.2 -2.0

-N:banking, finance and insurance (SIC 2007) 12.8 14.6 3.3 2.4KO-Q:public admin. education and health (SIC 2007) 29.7 31.7 1.5 0.9R-U:other services (SIC 2007) 5.7 5.6 1.1 2.4G-Q:total services (SIC 2007) 73.4 78.7 1.3 0.7 Source: Annual Population Survey 10. VAT REGISTRATIONS The % change in the number of VAT registered businesses in the Borders was slightly higher in 2008 than the Scottish rate; however 2009 saw the rate drop c registration only provides part of the picture in the Borders (with many businesses operating below the VAT threshold).

Change in number of business Active 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

ompared to Scotland. VAT

UNITED KINGDOM 1.1% 1.1 0% % 3.3% 2. 0.7%GREAT BRITAIN 1.1% 1.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% ENGLAND 1.0% . 91.0% 3 3% 1. % 0.7% SCOTLAND 1.3% 1.1% 3% 4.1% 3. 1.3% Scottish Borders The 0.9% 0 .2% 9% .9% 3 3. -1.2%

11. NEW BUSINESS ACCOUNTS Since 2004/05, the percentage change in the number of new business bank accounts has been fairly consistent with S tland, the e ption 0 6/07 when the Borders seemed to be ahead of the downturn.

co with xce of 2 0

38

Percentage change in number of new business bank accounts

1.4

13

-3

-24

-18

2.8

107

-20 -21

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

0

5

10

15

Scottish Borders Scotland

2. BUSINESS DEMOGRAPHY BIRTHS, DEATHS AND SURVIVAL RATES 1

Between 2004 and 2008 the number of Active (see explanation below)

(V T he fir low shows the percentage

Bu e Scotland. Betwe mber of business d t2009. At the 2008 and 200 s th in the Scottish

businessesdecline for tchange in

A registered) increased in the Scottish Borders, but 2009 saw ast time in five years. The graph be

sin ss Births and Business Deaths for the Scottish Borders anden 2007 and 2008 there was a significant increase in the nu

ea hs, and this increased rate of business deaths continued for same time, the opposite was happening for Business Births, both9 aw a significant reduction in the number of Business Births bo Borders and in Scotland.

Percentage Change in Business Births and Deaths 2004 to 2009 (Scottish Borders Compared to Scotland)

3815 3850 3885 4010 4165 4115

12.5%

-12.3%

18.3%

-10.7%-10.0%

-4.8%

-11.7%

22.6% 23.1%

-18.7%

-25.0%

-20.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

2004 03600

0

3900

4000

4100

4200

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

30.0%

2 05 2006 2007 2008 2009

3700

380

Active Businesses Scottish Borders % Change in Business Births Scotland% Change in Business Births Scottish Borders % Change in Business Deaths Scotland% Change in Business Deaths Scottish Borders Source: ONS

39

3 year survival rates in the Borders have been ahead of the Scottish average rate for the last 3 a UK rise in survival rates. VAT 3 Year Su iv

ye rs, although have dipped slightly against a national and

rv al Rates (%) 2004 2005 2006UNITED KINGDOM 65.3 64.7 66.2GREAT BRITAIN 65.2 64.6 66.1ENGLAND 65.2 64.6 66.2SCOTLAND 64.3 64.0 65.7Scottish Borders T 68.1 70.4 67.6he

13. PROPORTION OF 16+ W OH ARE SELF EMPLOYED

e ge for the last 6 years, i

tes and the high proportion of economically active persons with trade

This has been significantly higher than the national av rah ch is unsurprising given the predominance of SMEs, relatively healthy start up w

raapprenticeships.

Table 1.3: Number of people in employment by employment type and local authority, Scotland, 2004-2009

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Geography (Residence Based)

% Level % Level % Level % Level % Level % Level

Scotland 10.2% 247,400 9.9% 243,300 10.6% 263,600 10.4% 263,400 10.6% 268,600 10.6% 264,600Scottish

Borders 16.3% 8,700 15.5% 8,100 14.0% 7,600 15.6% 8,700 16.3% 9,100 17.2% 9,300

Source: Annual Population Survey (Jan to Dec) Employment levels cover those aged 16 and over. Notes: 1. Levels rounded to the nearest hundred. 2. Proportions are calculated on unrounded figures. 3. Totals may not equal the sum of individual parts due to rounding. 4. See the concepts and definitions section of the publication for more detail on estimates.

14. REGIONAL GVA NUTS3

, less

of agriculture, forestry and fishing as a wealth generator is evident of G eve es higher than for Scotland as a whole.

conomic wth has en la ng behind both Scotland and the UK since 2000, a relativ less p uctive as measured by GVA/ employee.

pr ctivity 96% the UK level, but the Scottish Borders, at about of the Scottish level. Furthermore, productivity

in th ottish ders e been falling compared to increases at the cottish and UK levels.

The Scottish Borders accounts for a very small part of the Scottish economythan 2% of Scottish output in 2006, as measured by gross value added (GVA). In employment terms, it accounts for just over 2% of Scottish jobs and accounts for nearly a 3% share of Scotlands business base. In terms of wealth, distribution, transport and communications and business service activities account for 22% and 18% of output respectively. The

portanceimfrom its 7% s

hare VA, s n tim

E gro be ggiand it rem ins ely rodScottish odu was of 28,000 in 2006, is leslevels

s than 80%Bore Sc hav

S

Publication date: 09 Dec 2009 Next publication date: Dec 2010 Source: ONS

Total GVA (million) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008NUTS1 UK 1070951 1116648 1181141 1245735 1296332% change 5.5 4.3 5.8 5.5 4.1Scotland 83893 87948 93465 99114 103814% change 5.4 4.8 6.3 6.0 4.7NUTS3 Scottish Borders 1357 1428 1527 1318% change 5.6 3.0 5.2 6.9 Agriculture, forestry 93 75 79 112 and fishing Production 203 212 228 238 Construction 9 125 136 148 15Dco

istribution, transpommunication

rt and 301 305 314 328

Business services and finance 209 225 247 272 Other service activities 387 405 411 417

N

UTS = Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics

ns are: Active The starting point for demography is the concept of a ctive businesses year (t). These are defined as business at had e turno r emplo t at a me during the reference period.

fie ring active for different s.

ss th s prese year not exist in ye -2. Births are omparison of al activ ulatio s and id ing t present in the two previous ones.

Deaths onger present in the stment has been made

to the 2008 and 2009 deaths to allow ctiv he s a on bject to revision. Survival A business is deemed to have survived if having been a bi year t or having survived to year t; it is

rnover in any part 1

The ONS set the definition for business demography, the definitio

in a reference population of aes th ither ver o ymen ny ti

Births and deaths are then identi d by compa populations yearBirths A birth is identified as a busine

at wa

t, but did

ar t-1 or tnt in

identified by making clatest file, but not the

annu e pop n file entify hose

A death is defined as a business that was on the active file in year t, but was no lactive file in t+1 and t+2. In order to provide an early estimate of deaths, an adju

for rea ations. T se figure re provisi al and su

rth in

active in terms of employment and/or tu of t+

40

41

National Outcome 4. Our young people are successful learners, confident individuals, effective

d respon ble ci ns contributors, an si tizeSummary

f Borders Attainment in the Scottish Borders has, and continues to, compare

favourably to the Scottish average. ottish average, rd trend and a

widening ith ati ve Young people are gener satis with life in the Borders, and

h Bo rs ha consin A co ared cotla

increased significantly between 2008 and 2009.

oSituation Attainment in years 5 and 6 remain above the Sc

with S5 attainment showing a very positive upwa gap w the n onal a rage.

ally fiedfeel safe.

The Scottis rde s a istently higher % of young people claim g JS mp to S nd and the numbers have

Overview National Getting It Right For Every Child (GIRFEC)

lopment of Curriculum for Excellence

LTS National Guidance - Pre-Birth to three Equally Well United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Children

cotla ) Act

Drivers Deve Early Years Framework

Children (S ndLocal Policy

Children and Young Peoples Planno

Framework

ttish ders Children and Young Peoples Services

n 200 012 Youth Participation Strategy (Involve: the participation of children

and young people in the Scottish Borders), April 2009 trategy- HYPPE, Youth

C co or ou op rvey, YOB, VOMO, Wired

Youth Work Strategy Youth Work Futures Project stina s 16

Scottish Borders Young Carers Strategy cu for E llenc Attai nt an chievement

Scottish Borders Child a oun rson ental Health Strategy

Scottish Borders Early Years Strategy ccommodated Children

ing Partnership Sco BorPla 9-2

o Participation structure to support shex, S ttish B ders Y ng Pe les Su

Positive De tion +

Curri lum xce e nme d A nd Y g Pe s M

Corporate Parenting Looked After and AKey data and analysis 1. School Attainment 2. School Attendance 3. School Exclusions 4. Involvement 5. Perceptions (including ty)safe

6. School Leaver Destinations 7. Young people claiming Job Seekers Allowance (JSA)

1. SCHOOL ATTAINMENTOver the past 7 years, inme in the Scottish Borders has, and

re oura to the Scottish average. However, the a basic level has now fallen below the

e and sh d a s ificant downward trend between 2006 and 2007, a period when the Scottish average remained steady. Attainment in years

the Scottish average, with S5 attainment showing a very nal average.

he following detailed a inme igure ave b n pro ed by Scottish Borders Councils Education and Lifelong Learning Department. Comparisons are made

ities which have agreed to share data

primary ool

re 010 of 85% at or opriate levels. There has

010 in writing from a few years ago. However this has dipped in 2010.

with the 2010 figure at the comparator

2008 2009 2010

atta nt continues to, compapercentage of S4 pupils attaining at

fav bly

Scottish averag owe ign

5 and 6 remain abovepositive upward trend and a widening gap with the natio T tta nt f s h ee vid

with a consortium of author

Attainment in sch s

5-14 attainment levels in primary schools are slightly above the consortium verages. Reading figure ste wit ll u ua

above apprs are ady

been steady improvement over 2005 to h a ro p fig for 2

2 Attainment in mathematics remains steady average.

% % %

Reading 86 86 85

Writing 81 80 77

Maths 87 86 86

Attainment in second

over the 2008 2010 period in English nguage and mathematics. In 2008, Scottish Borders attainment levels were

average for reading, writing and mathematics. For , ere was a significant improvement over the

ls is also measured by aligning SQA courses with

ary school At S2, 5-14 levels improved overall laslightly above the consortiumboth English and mathematics thperiod in the proportion attaining above expected levels for the S2 stage. Attainment in secondary schoothe Scottish Credit and Qualifications Framework as detailed below SCQF Level Courses and Awards

7 Advanced Highers A-C

6 Highers A-C 5 Intermediate 2 at A-C and Standard Grade at Credit level 1 & 2

42

4 Intermediate 1 at A-C and Standard Grade Levels 3 & 4 3 Access 3 cluster and Standard Grade at Foundation Levels 5 & 6

BY END

OF

aw C l 5 b d of S4

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

S4:

5 or more ards at S QF Leve or better y the en

% % % % %

Scottish Borders Schools 38 39 39 40 42

Comparator authorities 36 35 36 37 37

National average 35 33 34 35 36

5 or more awards at SCQF Level 4 or better by the end of S4 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% % % % %




2009 2010

5 or more awards at SCQF Level 3 or better by the end of S4 2006 2007 2008

% % % % %

Scottish Borders Schools 90 92 88 90

92

91 91 91 92 93 Comparator authorities

National average 91

92

Maths award at SCQF or better by t of S4 2006 7 2008 20 2010

91 91 91

English and Level 3 he end 200 09

% % % % %


es 92 92 92 93 93 Comparator authoriti


43

BY THE END OF S5 5 or more awards at SCQF Level 6 or better by the end of S5

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% % % % %





% % % % %




1 or more awards at SCQF Level 6 or better by the end of S5

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% % % % %





2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% % % % %




BY THE END OF S6 l 7 or better b the end of S6

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1 or more awards at SCQF Leve y

% % % % %




44


% % % % %





07 2008 2009 2010 2006 20

% % % % %




2. SCHOOL ATTENDANCE Attendance rates at both primary and secondary school are consistently bove the national average a

In primary schools, pupil attendance was consistently above comparator anational averages over the three years to 2010, when the absence rate was only3.9%. In secondary schools, pupil attendance was consistently above comparator and

nd

009 national averages in the 2008 09

structure of strategic assessment extract from safer communities programme – “strategic...

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