strictly confidential 1 initial public offering management presentation february 6, 2010
TRANSCRIPT
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
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Initial Public Offering
Management Presentation
February 6, 2010
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Disclaimer
This Presentation (the “Presentation”) is prepared by the management of Al Tayyar Travel Group (the “Group” or “ATG”). By accepting the Presentation, the recipient agrees to keep confidential the information contained herein
This Presentation and the information contained herein may not be provided to persons other than the person to whomthis Presentation has been furnished and such person’s professional advisors who are directly concerned with suchperson’s decision
This Presentation may not be reproduced or redirected. The information presented in this Presentation has been compiled from various public and non-public sources that are believed to be reliable. Although best efforts have been made to provide accurate information, the management of ATG or any of ATG’s advisors, and shareholders cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy. Further, the changing conditions may render the presented information unreliable
The Management of Al Tayyar Travel Group (the “Management”) has based its financial projections on certain future assumptions. These assumptions are either derived from historical results or expectation of future conditions based on currently available information. Some or all of these assumptions may not be realised. If these assumptions are not realised, the financial results of the Company may be substantially different from the projections provided in this Presentation. The Company or any of its officers and shareholders cannot guarantee completeness or accuracy of the financial projections. The valuation is based on the financial projections and prevailing market conditions. Changes to the financial projections or the market conditions may also change the estimated fair market value
Disclaimer
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Advisors and Banks
Financial Advisor, Sole Bookrunner & Lead Underwriter
Receiving Banks Due Diligence Advisor
External AuditorMarket Consultant
Legal Counsel
الفهد حمد بن عبدالعزيز مكتبومستشارون محامون
Lead Manager & Co – Underwriter
Co – Underwriters
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Distribution
Retail Subscription Period
Key Offering Terms
Lead Manager and Co – Underwriter
Financial Advisor, Sole Bookrunner and Lead Underwriter
Issuer Al Tayyar Travel Group (“ATG” or the “Group”)
Initial Public Offering of 30% (24 MM) of ATG’s shares
SAR 45–50 (SAR 10 Par Value plus Premium of SAR 35–40)
SAR 1.08 Bn to SAR 1.20 Bn
Proceeds will be paid to the Selling Shareholders, and their remaining shares will be locked up for a period of six months from listing in Tadawul
Shares will be listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange (“Tadawul”)
(A) Institutional Tranche: up to 100% (24 MM shares) of the total offering size. In case of Retail Tranche oversubscription, Tranche (A) will be subject to a claw-back down to 50% of the total offering size (12 MM shares)
(B) Retail Tranche: up to 50% (12 MM shares) of total offering size
(22nd of February 2010 – 28th February 2010)
100,000 shares
Morgan Stanley Saudi Arabia
Al Rajhi Capital
Riyadh Capital
AlJazira Capital
Shares
Offer Price Range
Total Value Range of Shares Offered
Use of Proceeds
Listing
Minimum Subscription Amount for Institutional Bidders
Co – Underwriters
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Company Overview
Presenter: Dr. Nasser Al Tayyar, CEO
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Snapshot
One of the largest privately owned travel & tourist groups in KSA
Founded in 1979; headquartered in Riyadh
12 subsidiaries within the Kingdom
10 International subsidiaries
227 Branches in KSA, 7 International Branches in (Egypt, Sudan, UAE, Malaysia, Lebanon, Canadaand the USA)
1,156 Employees
2008 Revenue of SAR 2.77 Bn
2008 EBITDA of SAR 326 MM (12% EBITDA Margin)
2008 NI of SAR 279 MM (10% NI Margin)
Snapshot
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Highlights of ATG’s History
1979 1997 1998 2001 2004 2005 2008 2009 2010
Signed a 5-year contract with General Authority of Civil Aviation, whereby the Group will have exclusive presence in all 25 KSA airports
Formed as an individual Establishmentwith SAR 1 MMPaid-up Capital
Converted into a Saudi limited liability company known as Al Tayyar Travel Group Company Limited
Capital increasedto SAR 15 MM,by capitalising retained earnings
Capital increased to SAR 20 MM, through a cash injection from the partners
Capital increasedto SAR 150 MM,by capitalising retained earnings
Converted intoa Closed JointStock Company
Capital increasedto SAR 450 MM,by capitalising retained earnings
Capital increased to SAR 600 MM,by capitalising retained earnings
Capital increasedto SAR 800 MM,by transferring the 200 MM increase from retained earnings and statutory reserves
Founding Shareholders sold 1.2 MM shares representing 40%of the Group shares through a Private Placement
Capital increasedto SAR 100 MM,by transferring the80 MM increase from retained earnings and statutory reserves
IPO of 30% of ATG Group shares
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ATG’s Existing Ownership Base
Al Tayyar Investments & Real Estate Co.
33.3%
Others26.3%
Samama Group3.9%
Amwal Al Khaleej4.9%
Al Bilad Establishment for Economics and Commerce
6.9%Dr.Nasser Ageel Al Tayyar
28.6%
ATG is owned by a dedicated and reputable group of companies and individuals
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ATG’s Global Presence
Saudi Arabia
Al-Tayyar International Transportation AgencyCo. Ltd.
Al-Tayyar Holiday for Travel and Tourism Co. Ltd.
Al-Tayyar Travel Tourism and Cargo Co. Ltd.
National Travel and Tourism Bureau
Taqniah Tech Company Ltd. Al-Tayyar Insurance Broker
Co. Ltd. Quick Transporation
Co. Ltd. Al-Tayyar Real Estate and
Tourism DevelopmentCo. Ltd.
Last Minute ReservationsCo. Ltd.
Al-Tayyar Rent a Car Co. Ltd. Al Musafir Magazine Co. Ltd. Al Sarh Travel and Tourism
Co. Ltd.
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership 100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership 100% ownership 80% ownership
United Arab Emirates
Al-Tayyar Travel andTourism
100% ownership
Malaysia
Belantra Holidays 100% ownership
Sudan
Al-Tayyar InternationalCo. Ltd.
75% ownership
Lebanon
Lena Tours and Travel 75% ownership
Egypt
Al-Tayyar Tourism andTravel Group
Al-Tayyar for Tourist Transportation Company
Al-Tayyar LimousineCompany
New Al-Tayyar Limousine Company
Al-Tayyar Rent A Car Company
Al-Tayyar for Cargo and Custom Clearance
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
100% ownership
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Global Footprint of Investments
Yemen
Felix Airways 30% ownership
Felix Airways engaged in providing domestic and regional airline services in Yemen.
ATG acquired Felix Airways at USD 1.25 per share which is now being traded at USD 1.5 per share.
Islamic Corporation for Development of Private Sector (ICD) (An affiliate of Islamic Bank) owns 45%, Yemenia owns 25% and ATG owns 30%.
Felix Airways has commenced its commercial operation from October 2008. It covers the entire domestic networks and plans for regional operations.
Saudi Arabia
Al Wafeer Airways 8% ownership
Alwafeer Airways has been incorporated in 2008 in KSA with a capital of SAR 300 million and has started its commercial operations during October 2009. The Alwafeer Airways is engaged in providing Hajj and Umrah and chartering services within and outside KSA.
Saudi Arabian Airlines owns 40%, other prominent inv. own 52%
USA
Grand Travel & Tours 40% ownership
Grand Travel and Tours is engaged in providing: Travel and related services Logistic shipment by air and sea Worldwide hotel and resort reservations Worldwide car rentals
ATG has 40% ownership of Grand Travel and Tours.
60% owned by Individual American investors.
Kuwait
Al Shamil International 30% ownership
Al Shamel is engaged in: Travel and related services Worldwide hotel and resort reservations Worldwide car rentals
ATG has 30% share holding of Al Shamel valued at SAR 100 million.
Canada
Amro Travel 49% ownership
Amro Travel is engaged in: Travel and related services Worldwide hotel and resort reservations
ATG has 49% share holding of Amro Travel.
51% owned by Individual Canadian investors.
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Real Estate Investments
AlGourb Towers
Mekkah In 2007 Al Tayyar acquired 3.8% of Algourb
Towers in Mekkah for SAR 10 million
Taif
In 2008 the Group acquired for SAR 60 million, a furnished apartments building in Taif
Parcel Land
Riyadh During 2008, the Group purchased a parcel of
land for a total acquisition cost of SAR 409 million, to construct resorts, warehouses for cargo services and to meet the Group's future expansion plans
Olaya
Riyadh In 2008 the Group acquired for SAR 90 million, a
furnished apartments building in Olaya, Riyadh
Saudi Arabia
Almathar
Riyadh In 2008 the Group acquired for SAR 15 million, a
furnished apartments building in Almathar, Riyadh
Saudi Arabia
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Services Offered by ATG
Overview of Services Offered by the Group
Ticketing
GSA (GeneralSales Agent):
Saudi Arabian Airlines
Egypt Air
Oman Air
Etihad Airways
Air Arabia
BMI
Jazeera Airways
IATA (International Air Transport Association):
Authorised to sell tickets to airlines affiliated with the association
The Group has 86 Retail Branches registered
Tourism
Hotel Reservations
Holiday Packages
Cruises
Eurorail Travel
Health Spas and Medical Treatments
Educational Packages
Corporate Entertaining Packages
Conferencesand Events
Others
Chartered Flights
Information Technology
Insurance Brokerage Services
Visa Issuance Assistance
International License Issuance and Triptych Services
Training and Development Programs
Hotels and Furnished Apartments
Cargo
Air, Sea and Land Cargo:
Freight Forwarding
Cargo Storageand Warehousing
Custom Clearance
Heavy Plant Forwarding
Logistic Services
Freighter andVessel Chartering
Door to Door Services
Authorized Cargo Screener
Export and Import Services
Hajj & Umrah
Official Operating Agent:
Awarded the official license during year 2000 from the Ministry of Hajj (obtained the first license in the central and eastern region)
Provides Umrah services all year round
Transportation
Car Rental and Leasing:
Provides car rental services, focusing on long term leasing contracts, through its subsidiaries in KSA and Egypt
Fleet of 620 Carsin KSA
Exclusive agent of Holiday Autos
Corporate Transportation:
Provides car rental services through its subsidiaries in KSA and Egypt
Fleet of 405 Carsin Egypt
Major Corporate Clients (Vodafone, Juheina…)
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Overview of the Business and Performance of ATG
Presenter: Yousif Yousif, CFO
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Others 1%
Tourism 8%
Cargo &Shipping
3%
Ticketing 88%
1,7072,009
2,475
133 129 21442 37 618 5 21
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2006 2007 2008
In Million SAR
Ticketing Tourism Cargo & Shipping Others
2006–2008 CAGR:
Ticketing: 20%
Tourism: 27%
Cargo & Shipping: 20%
Others: 64%
Total: 26%
Revenue Mix
Source: ATG
ATG Historical Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Source: ATG
Total Growth 15.4%
Total Growth 27.1%
Breakdown of Revenue by Client Category 2008
Private Sector45%
Government Sector36%
VIP11%
Others5%
Travel Agencies3%
ATG Segmental Revenue Breakdown2008
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ATG Investment Thesis Investor Criteria
Large benefits from economies of scale Leading market share with no sizeable competitor While barriers to entry are low, significant competitive advantage is required to
achieve attractive returns on equity
3 Favourable Industry Structure
Comments Investor Criteria
Conservative Capital Structure Diversified Client Base
The leading travel company in Saudi Arabia Well positioned in terms of branch network and product offering Poised to expand into tourism asset ownership as an avenue to increase margins
from tourism business line
KSA has the largest population in the GCC Rapidly growing wealth raising demand for travel Rapidly developing transportation sector
ATG’s ability to develop long term relationships with large corporate andgovernment clients
4 Diversified, well established customer base
2 Domestic champion
1 Exposure to rapidly growing markets
5 Market Alliances with Key Players
Experienced senior management with average experience of more than 27 years
6 Long Serving, senior management team
ATG
Excellent growth record Proven ability to maintain and improve margins while growing Profitability continues to register at rates well above industry average
7 Impressive Growth Record
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Expanding Exposure to Rapidly Growing Markets
18
11
0
10
20
2004 2008
# of tourists (MM)
54
0
3
6
2004 2008
# of tourists (MM)
1
GCC Travel & Tourism Demand Saudi Travel & Tourism Demand
690
463
0
200
400
600
800
2006 2008
SAR Bn
CAGR 22.2% Demand based revenue for globat T&T is
estimated as SAR 27.5 Tn of economic activity for 2009 and forecasted to reach SAR 54.0 Tnby 2019
In the GCC, Saudi Arabia and UAE have the highest demand estimated at SAR 129.0 Bn and SAR 297.4 Bn respectively in 2009. These demand figures are expected to reach SAR 364.5 Bn for Saudi Arabia by 2019
Demand Outlook
Source: GRMC
Inbound Tourism to KSA Outbound Tourism from KSA
CAGR 12.4%
Saudi Arabia has witnessed a steady steep inthe number of tourists visiting the country from2004 to 2008
Outbound tourism from the Kingdom has grown steadily since 2004. This can be attributed to unstable international markets as well as increase in number of leisure and hospitality options in Saudi Arabia
Demand Outlook
Source: GRMC
SAR Bn
211
139
0
75
150
225
300
2006 2008
CAGR 23.2%
CAGR 2.7%
Source: GRMC
Source: GRMC
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Domestic Champion2
Source: GRMC as of July 2009
2006 2007 2008
Total Industry Size (1) (2)
(Bn SR) 10.25 12.25 14.38
ATG Revenue (Bn SAR) 1.89 2.18 2.77
ATG Market Share 18.4% 17.82% 19.27%
Increasing in historical market share with substantial opportunity for growth
Note1. Total Industry Size is estimated by GRMC in their Market study, by multiplying the yearly passenger traffic in the three main airports (Riyadh, Jeddah &
Dammam) with the average price of tickets2. Includes sales of Saudi Arabian Airlines
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Favorable Industry Structure
Although barriers to enter in the Travel & Tourism industry are low, new entrants find it difficultto achieve attractive returns and compete with the existing players
Successful players in this industry need to have significant economies of scale to compete and earn above average economics returns, this could be achieved through the following
Widespread Network (ATG has more than 227 branches in the Kingdom, 7 international branches, 122 IATA sites, 105 GSA’s and 12 Cargo sites)
Airport Presence (by the end of Q1 2010, ATG will have sales outlets in all the 25 airports of the Kingdom)
Large Customer Base (ATG maintains more than 3,200 accounts; consisting of Government Agencies,public and private corporations and high net worth individuals)
One of the key service sectors that the Government is focusing on, in its efforts to diversify their economic dependence on the oil sector
Established the Supreme Commission for Tourism in 2000 (currently known as Saudi Commission for Tourism and Antiquities) to stimulate the interest in tourism and promote its development
The government & private sector are embarking on Mega-Projects to promote development & diversification in different regions of the country will generate huge opportunities for employees, investments, logistics discretionary income and travel
3
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Diversified, Well Established Customer Base4
Key Large International Corporations
Key Government Corporations
Key Leading Travel Airlines
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Market Alliances With Key Players5
Source: ATG
ATG has secured fundamental strategic alliances
General Authority for Civil Aviation
In 2009, ATG Signed a five year contract, whereby the Groupwill have exclusive presence in all the Kingdom Airports
Saudi Arabian Airlines
A track record of more than 23 years as a GSA forSaudi Arabian Airlines
ATG is also the exclusive travel agent for Saudi Holidays
Ministry of Higher Education
The Group is providing all the travel related services to the Ministry of Higher Education through its branches and affiliates inside and outside KSA
ATG has built imbedded offices in the Ministry and it’s branches
Member of key international associations in Travel and Tourism:
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Long Serving, Senior Management Team 6
Founder of Al Tayyar Group Company
Previously worked in Citibank, Saudi Arabian Airlines and Cathay Pacific
Holds a Bachelors degree in Business Administrations from King Saud University, (1982), Masters Degree in Business Administrations from Al-Neelain University, Sudan (2000), PHD in Business Administration from Al-Neelain University, Sudan (2002)
Dr. Nasser A. Al-TayyarVice Chairman and CEO
ATG’s Chairman since 2005
Chairman and Board Member of several major companies and organisations in Saudi Arabia: such as Almarai, Arabian Shield Cooperative Insurance Co. and Al-Yamama Cement
Holds a Bachelors degree in Economics & Political Science from King Saud University, (1974)
HH Prince Sultan bin Mohammed bin SaudAl Kabeer Al SaudChairman
Ali Altigani AhmedGroup Vice President
Joined ATG in 2004 as VP of Financial & Administration Affairs
Previously worked in Sudan Airways as Regional Manager of Middle East and Central Europe
Obtained Bachelors degree and high diploma in Islamic Banking and Economics from University of Khartoum, Sudan (1984)
Yousif YousifCFO
Joined ATG in 2006 as Financial Controller
Previously worked in Verizon as Senior Auditor, USA
Holds a Bachelors degree in Accounting from University of Khartoum, Sudan (1982)
CPA since 2003
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AccountsReceivable26%
Fixed Assets12%
EquityInvestments12%
InvestmentProperties10%
Projects inProgress24%
Others13%
Cash3%
Breakdown of Assets 2008
Impressive Growth RecordMaintaining Conservative Capital Structure
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Breakdown of Net Sales
SAR MM
Description 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ticketing 1,359.9 1,706.6 2,008.8 2,475.5
Tourism 109.0 132.6 129.2 214.0
Cargo 37.6 42.3 37.4 61.1
Other 6.9 7.7 5.5 20.8
Total 1,513.4 1,889.2 2,180.9 2,771.4
1,743
771655482
2,1811,889
1,513
2,771
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
2005 2006 2007 2008
Total Assets Revenues
Total Assets and Revenue GrowthSAR MM
Source Company Reports Source Company Reports
Source Company Reports Source Company Reports
Long and Medium Term Debt26%
Due to Banks14%
Other Liabilites - Non Debt14%
Shareholders’Equity46%
Breakdown of Liabilities and Equity (1)
2008 Substantial asset and
revenue growth during the last three and a half years illustrate ATG’s ability to take advantage of its leading competitive position
ATG has managed to consistently grow while maintaining a conservative capital structure
Note1. Total liabilities and Equity for 2008 is SAR 1.7 Bn
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Source Company Reports Source Company Reports
Source Company Reports Source Company Reports
285
143
463
317
0
125
250
375
500
2005 2006 2007 2008
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Gross Margin Gross Profit
Gross Profit MarginSAR MM
65
1,5131,889
2,181
2,771
198 316159
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
2005 2006 2007 2008
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
Revenues EBIT EBIT Margin
EBIT MarginSAR MM
98
61
87
30
0
25
50
75
100
2005 2006 2007 2008
Selling and Marketing ExpensesSAR MM
7573
5344
0
25
50
75
100
2005 2006 2007 2008
General and Administrative ExpensesSAR MM
Despite its high growth,ATG has demonstratedits ability to control costs and improve its margins,in an escalating cost environment
Gross profit margin improved slightly from 15.1% at the end of 2006 to 16.7% in 2008
Sales and marketing expenses in 2007 were significantly below 2006 levels, but increased in 2008
EBIT margin has steadily improved from 2006 to 2008, increasing fromc. 8% to over 11%
General and administrative expenses were virtually unchanged in 2008, despite significant company growth
Impressive Growth Record (Cont’d) Strong Control over Expense Growth
7
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279
174140
56
0
100
200
300
400
2005 2006 2007 2008
11.11%
24.63% 24.46%22.22%
0%
8%
16%
24%
32%
2005 2006 2007 2008
ROAA
656
431
274204
0
200
400
600
800
2005 2006 2007 2008
Average Stockholders Equity SAR MM
40.47%42.56%51.20%
26.83%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2005 2006 2007 2008
ROAE
Net IncomeSAR MM
Substantial increase in net income between 2005 and 2008 provides strong evidence of the Company’s positive momentum
As a result, average stockholders equity has increased substantially between 2005 and 2008, as the company strengthened its capital base
Return ratios indicate that the company is earning returns on its assets and equity which are substantially above average travel companies in mature markets, especially in the current environment in Europe and North America
Impressive Growth Record (Cont’d)Increasing Profitability; Strengthening Capital Positions
7
CAGR = 71%CAGR = 48%
Source Company Reports Source Company Reports
Source Company Reports Source Company Reports
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Total Debt/ Total Book Capitalization%
Total Debt/ EBITDAx
The main reason behind the increase in leverage in 2008, is large increase in investments (SAR 915.1 million) as follows:
Acquiring 8 subsidiaries
Total investment ofSAR 102.0 million
Equity investments in4 companies
Total investment ofSAR 211.8 million
Investments in furnished suites & apartments
Total investment ofSAR 165.0 million
Purchase of parcel land in Riyadh for SAR 409 million
To construct resorts, warehouses for cargo services and to meet the Group's future expansion plans
Other investments
Purchased 7.6% of Al Wafeer Air forSAR 27.3 MM
If the Group did not make the above investments in 2008, it would have had a positive cash position of SAR 260.0 million
Impressive Growth Record (Cont’d)While Maintaining Low Leverage Ratios
7
Source Company Source Company
2.2x
0.4x0.5x
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
2006 2007 2008
19.4%
14.5%
47.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2006 2007 2008
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Valuation Considerations
Presenter: MSSA
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Valuation Approach for ATG
In the context of an Initial Public Offering, potential investors use comparable companies analysis as wellas the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model to form their views on the underlying value and sensitivity of key value drivers
Numerical / “mechanical” valuation needs to be complemented by qualitative judgement in order to achieve a reasonable valuation
High Low
Relevance for valuation:
Intrinsic Valuation Methodologies Market Valuation Methodologies
Discounted Free Cash Flows Model
Investors will establish a view on the Company’s consolidated cash flow profile over the next five years and possibly longer, depending on the available data
The company’s annual free cashflows that canbe utilised will be discounted at the company’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (“WACC”)to derive a Net Present Value (“NPV”)
Includes a view on long-term growth of returns (“g”)
The Terminal Value (“TV”) is based on the terminal growth rate and WACC, which are applied to a terminal cash flow at the end of the projection period in the financial model. This TV is then discounted at the WACC and added to the discounted free cash flows generated during the projection period to arrive at the company value
Valuation by applying multiples of listed international comparable companies to relevant base (earnings and EBITDA for travel industry)
Saudi comparable companies in retail sectorprovide an indication of the emerging markets premium as there are no direct comparables listedin the local market
Significant degree of judgment required depending on comparability of peer group
Comparable Companies Valuation
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Based on DCF Valuation and Comparable Companies
Valuation Summary
The DCF valuation includes two scenarios, one based on the Management Case, and one based on a Conservative Case
The domestic peers valuation provides a Saudi market based benchmark for ATG’s valuation range.However, it should be noted that there are no direct comparables on Tadawul which accurately reflect ATG’s business model. We have therefore selected comparables from the retail sector, which most closely match ATG’s business. That said, it should be kept in mind that ATG’s historical and anticipated net income growth surpasses that of the domestic comparables, and thus these values may underestimate ATG’s value
International peers valuation is comprised of businesses that are similar to ATG’s business, but trade at a valuation which should be significantly lower than ATG’s, due to their operating within a more competitive environment / structurally less attractive market, benefiting from significantly lower growth prospects, and operating in tax environments. This category should represent a floor valuation for ATG
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21.1%19.3%
1.5%
0.0%
6.0%
12.0%
18.0%
24.0%
30.0%
ATG Saudi Retail Comps Int. Comps
41.2%
1.9%
25.3%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
ATG Saudi Retail Comps Int. Comps
8.5%
21.0%
42.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
ATG Saudi Retail Comps Int. Comps
Leading Operating Performance
Note1. Saudi Retail comps consist of the following companies: Al Othaim Markets, Fawaz Al Hokair, and Aldrees Petroleum2. International comps consist of the following companies: TUI Travel, Thomas Cook, and Kuoni Reisen; TUI is excluded from NI CAGR peer group as net income
decreased during that period3. CAGR for International comps is based on 2009–2011
We have compared ATG to two comparable groups
Saudi Stock Exchange Retail Sector comparables
Internationally comparable companies
The Company’s net income has grown significantly more than that of both peer groups, which has translated into a higher return on equity
ATG’s revenue growth is in-line with Saudi Retailpeer group
Return On Equity – (2008)
Relative to Comparable Companies (1) (2)
Net Income CAGR – (2006–2008 (3))
Source: Company Financials
ATG Growth and Return Profile Revenue CAGR – (2006–2008 (3))
Source: Company Financials
Source: Company Financials
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Valuation Considerations
10.4x
13.4x
20.3x17.9x
0x
6x
12x
18x
24x
AldreesPetroleum
Al Othaim Al Hokair ATG
Proposed Valuation vs. Selected Retail CompsPrice to LTM Earnings
15.8x
13.6x 13.4x
11.3x 10.5x 10.4x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
AstraIndustrial
BCI Herfy Al MouwasatMedical
Alsorayai ATG
Proposed Valuation vs. Recent IPOs Price to LTM Earnings at IPO
16.0x
10.4x
5.0x
17.6x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
SSE Saudi RetailComps
ATG InternationalComps
Proposed Valuation vs. Indices (3)
Price to LTM Earnings
11.0x 10.8x8.8x
0x
5x
10x
15x
20x
ATG TUI Travel Thomas Cook
Proposed Valuation vs. International Comps (4)
Price to 2009 Earnings
Notes1. Saudi Retail comps consist of the following companies: Al Othaim Markets, Fawaz Al Hokair & Co., and Aldrees Petroleum2. International comps consists of the following companies: TUI Travel, Thomas Cook, and Kuoni Reisen3. ATG’s P/E is based on midrange price of SAR 47.24 per share; International Comps consists of the median 2008 PE4. We have disregarded the ’09E P/E ratio of the Kuoni of 31.4x as we considered it as an outlier
ATG’s proposed mid-point valuation of SAR 47.24,with consideration for its operational performancevis-à-vis the exhibited benchmarks is supported by
Discount to comparable Saudi Retail Comps and Tadawul on an LTM basis
Lower than previous IPOs valuation levels
Supported by net income growth and returnson capital
Relative to Comparable Companies (1) (2)
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Return to Shareholders
Presenter: Dr. Nasser Al Tayyar, CEO
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Return on Investment for Private Placement Shareholders
290
1,492
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
December-2004 Today
Total Return = 414%
CAGR= 39%
Private Placement
Note1. Number of shares adjusted for overall market par value split in 2006 form SAR 50 to SAR 10 (SAR242/5 = SAR 48.4)2. Adjusted for stock dividends since the private placement (290/32 = SAR 9.1)
In November 2004, the founding shareholders of Al Tayyar sold 40% of the Company through a private placement
SAR 9.1 per share (1) (2)
Market Value of the offering was SAR 290 MM (Total shares * 40% = 32 MM shares)
Allocation of shares was on 31 December 2004
At the lowest range of the IPO valuation (SAR 45), investors who participated in the private placement would have an absolute total return of 407% or a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 39%
SAR 45 per share
40% of the Group equals SAR 1,440 MM
Total dividends received by private placement shareholders is SAR 52 MM
The management of Al Tayyar believes it will continue to deliver strong growth to its shareholders
Return on Investment for Private Placement Shareholders
SAR MM
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Timeline and Subscription Process
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Indicative Transaction Timeline
Deadline for Submitting Institutional Bid Forms at (12:00 pm)
Books Open for Institutional Bidding at (8:00 am)
Data Room Access Open
Roadshow Presentation
8 Feb6 Feb 13 Feb 17 Feb
Sending Allocation Notification to Institutional Investors
Beginning of Fund Remittance by Institutional Investors
21 Feb 22 Feb
Deadline for Fund Remittance by Institutional Investors at 1:00 pm
Announcement of Allocation and Refund
28 Feb 07 March
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Institutional Offering Application Form
Important information required
Number of unit holders of each fund
Assets under management of each fund
Tadawul account number for each fund
Commercial Registration
Signature of Authorised Person
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Q&A