stock futures and options report for the week

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  • 8/14/2019 Stock Futures and Options Report for the Week

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    www.capitalvia.com

    Investors Confidence Shaken By Bloodbath !!08th February 2010 to 13th Feb 2010

    WEEKLYOPTION & DERIVATIVE REPORT

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    R E S E A R C H

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    Global Indices

    Weekly Report Derivatives08th February to 13th Feb 2010

    Derivative Wrap

    Key HighlightThe benchmark Sensex shed over 430 points at close following bearish trend across the globe on credit

    defaults in the Eurozone countries. The Nifty broke the psychological 4700 mark during the day, but

    managed to claw back above that level.

    The market breadth was pathetic; about 525 shares advanced while 2410 shares declined on the BSE.

    Nearly 211 shares remained unchanged. The BSE Midcap Index was down 2.6% and Smallcap down

    3.25%. Sugar and fertiliser stocks were the big losers.

    The 30-share BSE Sensex closed at 15,790.93, down 434.02 points or 2.68% and the 50-share NSE Nifty

    fell 2.61% or 126.70 points, to settle at 4,718.65, after seeing day's low of 4,692.35.

    Asian stocks fell for the third week on concern rising U.S. job losses and mounting debt in Europe,

    combined with China's steps to cool its economy, will drag on the global economic recovery.

    Asian currencies dropped for a fourth week, the longest run of losses since June, as concern that someEuropean nations will struggle to contain and finance budget deficits eroded demand for emerging-

    market assets

    GlobalMarketNews

    Spot Nifty

    Nifty Futures

    Bank Nifty Futures

    Current Close

    4708.25

    4718.65

    Weekly Change

    -139.90

    -163.04

    -2.86%

    -3.33%

    %Change

    8205.10 -364.9 -4.25%

    Dow Jones

    FTSE

    Current Close

    10012.23

    Weekly Change

    10.05 +0.10%

    %Change

    5060.92 -78.39 -1.53%

    CAC 4012.91 -1.06 -0.03%

    Nikkei 10057.09 -298.89 -2.89%

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    R E S E A R C H

    Emerging market equity funds lost $1.6 billion in weekly withdrawals, the biggest outflows in 24

    weeks, as earnings and Greece's debt woes raised concerns that the global recovery may falter, EPFR

    Global said.

    U.S. stocks rose, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average erasing a 167-point drop in the final hour of

    trading, on speculation the European Union may propose a solution for Greece's budget deficit. Oil,

    gold and copper rebounded, and the dollar pared its gain.

    Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said the U.S. economic recovery remains ontrack and that he expects job growth in coming months.

    Goldman Sachs Group Inc. gave Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein a $9 million all-

    stock bonus for 2009, about half the award granted by JPMorgan Chase & Co. to CEO Jamie Dimon,

    even as profit reached an all-time high and the shares doubled.

    The unemployment rate in the U.S. unexpectedly dropped to 9.7 percent in January and manufacturers

    added to payrolls for the first time in three years, which may provide a spark to revive the rest of the

    labor market.

    DBS Group Holdings Ltd., Southeast Asia's biggest bank, will focus on growing its operations in China

    and India without pursuing acquisitions as the lender seeks to reduce dependence on its Singapore

    home market.

    Derivative Wrap

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    Source: Bloomberg

    Weekly Report Derivatives08th February to 13th Feb 2010

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    R E S E A R C H

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    Option Strategy Corner

    Weekly Report Derivatives08th February to 13th Feb 2010

    INDEX PRICE

    4757.25 LONG CALLPREMIUM 144

    NIFTY (Lot Size / Expiry Date - 50 / February 25, 2010)

    Outlook : BULLISH

    STRIKE PRICE PREMIUMMAXIMUM

    PROFITSTOPLOSS

    BUY 4700 FEBCALL

    UNLIMITED 70

    PAY OFF TABLE

    ON EXPIRY NIFTY CLOSES AT

    4500

    4600

    4700

    4800

    4900

    5000

    5100

    Strategy : LONG CALL

    Risk: Limited to the premium. (Maximum loss if market expires at or below the option strike price).

    Reward: Unlimited

    Breakeven: Strike Price + Premium

    NET PAY OFF FROM CALL OPTION

    -144.00

    -144.00

    00.00

    -44.00

    56.00

    156.00

    256.00

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    R E S E A R C H

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    NIFTY HAS BROKEN VITAL SUPPORT BASE OF 4750 TO 4800 INTHIS WEEK.NOW WE COULD SEE THAT NIFTY COULD TRY TOTRADE IN THE RANGE OF 4700 TO 4800. NEXT SUPPORT FORNIFTY SEEMS TO BE AROUND THE LEVEL OF 4650. CLOSINGBELOW THAT LEVEL COULD TAKE IT THE NIFTY TILL 4500.WERECOMMEND THAT TRADERS SHOULD GO FOR SELL ON NIFTYAT HIGHER LEVEL, UNTIL IT CLOSE ABOVE THE LEVEL OF 4950,CLOSING ABOVE THIS MAY TAKE IT TO 5150 ALSO.

    TECHNICAL PICTURE

    Technical View

    Weekly Report Derivatives08th February to 13th Feb 2010

    Properties

    Support 1 4650

    4520

    4900

    5000

    Values

    Support 2

    Resistance 1

    Resistance 2

    Weekly Levels

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    R E S E A R C H

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    Index Futures and Index Options:

    Index futures saw a trading volume of Rs.19584.72 crores arising out of 856683 contracts and Index options saw 2161420contracts getting traded at a notional value of Rs.52392.90 crores. The total turnover of the Futures & Options segment of theExchange was around Rs.90464.62 crores.

    Instrument wise summary :

    Index Future

    Symbol

    NIFTY

    MINI NIFTY

    BANK NIFTY

    No of ContractsTraded

    85902

    737853

    Traded Quantity

    1718040

    36892650

    811.19

    17416.42

    Total Traded Value(RS. in CR.)

    Open Interest (Qty)as at End of Trading Hrs

    1736660

    33084850

    CN XIT

    32645 1632250 1341.67 1342450

    283 28300 15.43 43800

    Weekly Report Derivatives08th February to 13th Feb 2010

    Symbol

    NIFTY

    MINI NIFTY

    BANK NIFTY

    No of ContractsTraded

    958

    1003

    2159459

    Traded Quantity

    19160

    50150

    107972950

    9.45

    42.98

    52340.46

    Total Traded Value(RS. in CR.)

    Open Interest (Qty)as at End of Trading Hrs

    30160

    185100

    101746600

    Index Option

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    Disclaimer

    R E S E A R C H

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    The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do notaccept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact o r opinion. Users have th e right to choose the product/s that suits themthe most.

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    with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice.

    Analyst or any person related to CapitalVia might be holding positions in the stocks recommended.

    It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any viewsexpressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for.

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    Investment in Commodity has its own risks.We, however, do not vouch for

    the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any lossincurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from therecommendations above.

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    Weekly Report Derivatives08th February to 13th Feb 2010