stobart group...stobart energy has contracts to supply nearly 2 million tonnes of fuel to dedicated...
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Stobart Group
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Investor presentation
Stobart Group LimitedOctober 2020
Trading update – key points
Overall cash flows are trading within the range of management expectations. Stobart Group had £119m of undrawn bank facilities
available at 31 August 2020.
London Southend Airport benefits from uninterrupted activity through its global logistics operations. The
immediate priority is to manage costs to reflect demand.
Stobart Energy is protecting cash generation for the long-term and
has taken the strategic decision to ensure certainty of supply over the
winter period.
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TWO DIVISIONS
Stobart Group has two core operating divisions; Aviation
and Energy.
MONETISING STOBART ENERGY
Stobart Energy is a mature and cash generative biomass fuel supply business. Stobart Group intends to monetise it
in 18-24 months.
FOCUSED ON AVIATION
Stobart Group is focused on developing London Southend
Airport – London’s next big airport.
SELLING NON-CORE ASSETS
A portfolio of infrastructure assets and other investments will be sold within 36 months.
A focused strategyStobart Group
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Focusing on aviation
• Since 2014, Low Cost Carriers have added 9.2 million seats to the London market (+32%), or the equivalent of 41 daily aircraft (+27%).
• Low cost carriers are expected to recover faster than long haul and leisure travel is expected to recover faster than business travel.
• Low cost carriers will be focused on cost management.
London Southend Airport is focused on short haul low cost carrier flying with mainly leisure passengers and can offer airlines a capital efficient base of operation.
Why focus on London aviation?
City Population (2018)
London 14.3m
Paris 12.2m
Madrid 6.6m
Barcelona 5.5m
Berlin 5.3m
Ruhr 5.1m
Rome 4.4m
Milan 4.3m
Manchester 3.7m
Athens 3.6m
City Total visitors (2019)
Bangkok 22.8m
Paris 19.1m
London 19.1m
Dubai 15.9m
Singapore 14.7m
Kuala Lumpar 13.8m
New York 13.6m
Source: Eurostat Metropolitan Region 2018
Source: GDCI Global Report 2019
Source: CAA data
Source: Deloitte State of the Consumer Tracker
London is the most populated city in europe
As a result, London passenger traffic is forecasted to recover and maintain its continuous growth over the last 25+ years
UK customers have expressed an increased intent for international leisure flying since late May
London is one of the most visited places in the world
(m)
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2025202020152010200520001995
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
55+34–5418–3425 Jul11 Jul27 Jun13 Jun30 May16 May
c. 5ppt improvement in international Significant age effect
Domestic flights International flights Cruise
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Ingredients in place to develop London’s best airport
CATCHMENT AREA
London Southend Airport has a catchment area of 8m +
people across East London and the South East.
AIRLINE RELATIONSHIPS
London Southend Airport’s airlines include Ryanair and
Wizz Air.
PASSENGER EXPERIENCE
London’s best in class passenger experience with room to grow in the post-
COVID-19 world.
REVENUE SOURCES
Multiple sources of income including an owned train station, car parking, hotel and logistics operation.
AWARD WINNINGBEST LONDON AIRPORT(SIX TIMES)Which?
BEST AIRPORT IN THE UK UNDER 3M PASSENGERS(FOUR TIMES)AOA Awards
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90mins
90mins
M25
M25
M23
M25
M11
M1
M1
A1(M)
M40
M4
M3
M11
A127A12
A13
J29
Ipswich
Felixtowe
Harwich
Colchester
BishopStortford
Chelmsford
Tilbury
Sheerness
Canterbury
Ramsgate
Margate
Cambridge
NewmarketBury St.
Edmonds
Thretford
Diss
Wimbledon
Brighton
Watford
Enfield
Reading
Stratford
Bond St.
Liverpool St.
Luton
St. Pancras50mins
Stansted
Liverpool St.54mins
London Southend
Liverpool St.51mins
Heathrow
Paddington15mins
Gatwick
Victoria30mins
Significant demand from London and the South East
*Between Liverpool Street and Stratford.
catchment population.8.2M
direct train from Liverpool St.
Direct connections to eight tube lines*
51MINS
by road and only 30 mins to
the M25.90MINS
of passengers come from
London.
OVER60%
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Secured the investment to deliver enhanced passenger experience in a post-COVID-19 world
ENHANCED PASSENGER EXPERIENCE
1. Face masks
2. Bio shields
3. Automated bag drop
4. Next-gen security scanners
5. Click and collect outlets
6. Short queue departure gates
7. Extended departure terminal
Stobart Group has secured capital investment to develop an enhanced passenger experience for post-COVID-19 travel.
• It intends to expand the security area using existing unutilised space.
• It will ultimately establish a new low cost arrivals terminal freeing up further space for an extended retail space in the departure lounge.
• The airport can already offer 17m2 of space per passenger and has installed hand sanitizing stations every 20 paces.
SPACIOUS 17m2 of space per passenger
CLEANcontinues cleaning teams and hand sanitizer every 20 paces
FASTUK’s joint fastest security
queues to avoid bottlenecks
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4
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7New arrivals terminal
Giraffe STOP WHSmith
Costa
World Duty Free
Bourgee
Costa
The Navigator
Existing unused space
Reduce bottlenecks to maintain quick passenger flow.
Check in
Security
Departure gates
Departure gates
Route through terminal
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3
4
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Train station
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STRATEGIES ALIGNED
London Southend Airport aligns with airlines’ growth
strategies.
LOWER COST OF OPERATION
Airlines can generate similar yields to other London
airports but at a lower cost of operation.
Airline partnerships with Ryanair and Wizz Air
VALUABLE LONDON MARKET
The airport’s location expands the airlines’ catchment to almost
complete coverage of valuable London market.
SECURE LONDON SLOTS
The airport provides the best opportunity to secure London
slots as the UK recovers from the pandemic over the
coming years.
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Airport revenue sources
HOTEL
DROP OFF CAR PARK
LONG STAY CAR PARK
CAR PARKS
TRAIN STATION
TERMINAL F&B
NON AERO REVENUES
FUEL SALE
GROUND HANDLING
LOGISTICS OPERATION
JET CENTRE
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Stobart Aviation Services is focused on differentiating its service offering away from the large incumbents,
Swissport and Menzies.
It employs cost-plus model to provide the right services, at the right time at the right cost.
It currently serves five airports and has a number of important airline customers, and management believe
it is well placed to increase market share.
Expecting return on investment to be high and provide a strong shareholder return.
Stobart Aviation Services
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Monetising Stobart Energy
It has invested £25 million to establish six strategically located waste wood processing centres across the UK.
Stobart Energy has contracts to supply nearly 2 million tonnes of fuel to dedicated biomass plants on a base price per tonne basis. These provide mature de-risked RPI linked cash flows supported by ROCs to 2037.
These processing centres provide c100,000 tonnes of storage capacity and the ability to produce over 750,000
tonnes of biomass fuel.
Stobart Energy has a 350 strong cus-tomer base that supplies waste wood to these processing sites, and charges gate
fees to its suppliers.
Stobart Energy is the UK’s number one supplier of biomass fuel
It then processes that waste wood to generate c1.7MT of biomass fuel. This
fuel is supplied to dedicated biomass plants utilising its fleet of 135 vehicles.
These biomass plants use the fuel to generate renewable energy equivalent to the annual domestic electricity needs
of 2% of the UK population.
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Stobart Group intends to monetise the business within 18-24 months and utilise the proceeds to fund the next stage of growth at London Southend Airport.
...TO UK LOW CARBON ECONOMY
Stobart Energy reduced the UK’s CO2 emissions by about
480,000 tonnes in 2019.
STRATEGIC SIGNIFICANCE...
Stobart Energy processes around 20% of the UK’s annual waste wood
(1.2MT out of 5.6MT).
A UNIQUE OFFERING WITH HIGH BARRIERS TO ENTRY
A high margin business with reliable cash generation and limited CAPEX
requirements.
Significance to low carbon economy makes it attractive to infrastructure investors
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Infrastructure and investment portfolio
Disposing of non core assets within the next 36 months
STOBART BRAND
Sold for £10m.
EDDIE STOBART
11% of Eddie Stobart Logistics equity –
dispose at the right time.
STOBART AIR
Actively seeking a strategic partner.
STOBART RAIL & CIVILS
Sold to Bavaria Holdings.
CARLISLE LAKE DISTRICT AIRPORT
Reviewing development options.
WIDNES
Industrial and commercial
development land - to be disposed of within
36 months.
POLLINGTON
Industrial and commercial
development land - to be disposed of within
36 months.
MERSEY BIOENERGY PLANT
40% stake in energy plant - to be disposed of within 36 months.
RUNCORN
Port / Industrial and commercial
development land - to be disposed of within
36 months.
CHELFORD
Residential development land - to be disposed of within
36 months.
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Financial summary
Key performance indicators
202020192018
25.8
39.4
56.8
+44.1%
202020192018
5.84.9
8.6
+73.8%
202020192018
1.13
1.50
2.14
+43.1%
202020192018
4.974.33
3.17
+36.6%
202020192018
54.865.1
76.3
+17.2%
202020192018
12.1
19.2
24.2
+25.9%
202020192018
0.89
1.341.50
+11.5%
202020192018
0.9
1.4
1.7
+24.1%
202020192018
105.4
146.9170.2
+15.9%
202020192018
14.2
10.8
16.0
+48.2%
AVIATION ENERGY GROUP
Revenue(£m)
Underlying EBITDA(£m)
Revenue(£m)
Underlying EBITDA(£m)
Revenue(£m)
Passenger numbers at LSA(Million)
EBITDA per passenger(£)
Tonnes supplied(Million)
Contributed MW output(Million)
Underlying EBITDA(£m)
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Potential new airline partner agreements. Over next six months (and ongoing).
Sale of further infrastructure assets.
Increase in pax numbers to 2.5m and invest in airport expansion.
Key milestones
Increased waste wood supply.
Over next six months.
Confirmation of (positive) Summer flying schedule.
Three - six months.
Sale of Stobart Energy. 15 – 21 months’ time.
Increase in pax numbers to 3.25m.
2020 2021 2022 2023
Resolution/sale of Stobart Air.
Potential contract
extension with global logistics
customer.
Sale of infrastructure
assets – Widnes, Widnes land.
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Stobart Energy and all non-core assets to be monetised
within the next three years
Focused on developing London Southend Airport
Clear plan for growth over the next three years
Immediate focus is to actively engage with parties interested in acquiring the Group’s stake
in Stobart Air.
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Appendix
£m 2020
2019 Movement
Aviation 56.8 39.4 44.1%
Energy 76.3 65.1 17.2%
Two main operating divisions 133.1 104.5 27.4%
Rail & Civils 41.5 52.3 (20.8%)
Investments and Non-Strategic Infrastructure 4.9 4.9 1.3%
Central revenue and eliminations (9.3) (14.8) 37.2%
Revenue 170.2 146.9 15.9%
DIVISIONAL REVENUE SUMMARY ADJUSTED UNDERLYING EBITDA BY DIVISION
£m 2020 2019 Movement
Aviation 8.6 4.9 73.8%
Energy 24.2 19.2 25.9%
Two main operating divisions 32.8 24.1 35.7%
Rail & Civils (7.1) (4.8) (47.6%)
Investments and Non-Strategic Infrastructure (2.1) (0.6) (216.5%)
Central costs and eliminations (7.6) (7.9) 4.2%
Adjusted underlying EBITDA 16.0 10.8 48.2%
Revenue and adjusted underlying EBITDA performance
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Bridge from adjusted underlying EBITDA to loss after tax for 2020
Cash (£27.3m)
Non-cash (£138.3m)
1. LSA (£9.3m)
2. Energy (£9.2m)
3. CLDA (£0.6m)
New business andcontract set up
costs
Adjustedunderlying
EBITDA
Depreciation Net finance costincluding FX and
SWAPS
Impairment ofloan notes
Underlying lossbefore tax
Litigationand claims
Amortisation Impairments Non-underlyingshare of associatesand joint ventures
Tax Loss after tax
16.0
(22.7)
(7.2)
(9.3)
(9.2)
(0.6)
0.9
(1.9) (7.5)
(101.9)
(9.1) 8.4
(2.7)
(2.8)
(19.4)
(149.6)
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Net debt
NET DEBT MOVEMENT
Cash used indiscontinuedoperations
including cashdisposed ofon sale of subsidiary
28 Feb2019
01 Mar2019post
IFRS 16
New HPon assets
Operatingcash flow
Cashpurchaseof assets
Dividendspaid
Netinterest
paid
Investmentin and
loans tojoint
venture
Proceedsfrom thesale ofassets
29 Feb2020
OtherIFRS 16
83.1
161.3
235.5
78.2
19.8
16.2
14.6
11.1
7.25.4
4.8 2.5(7.4)
£m 2020
2019
RCF 74.8 57.6
Asset financing 42.4 40.0
Exchangeable bond 51.7 –
Cash (9.8) (14.4)
Net debt (excluding IFRS 16) 159.0 83.1
IFRS 16 obligations 76.4 –
Net debt 235.5 83.1
NET DEBT
Note: IFRS 16 leases transitioned on 1 March 2019 with an opening liability of £78m.
• Subsequent to year-end the RCF facility is now fully drawn at £80m.
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