statement on rating agencies connecticut
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7/28/2019 Statement on Rating Agencies Connecticut
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Contact:
Gian-Carl Casa (860) 478-1756 July 2,2013
Bond Ratings Retained By All Four Major Credit-Rating Agencies
OPM Secretary Ben Barnes today responded to actions taken in recent days by the state's four rating agencies in
anticipation of its upcoming issuance of $200 million of General Obligation Bonds.
Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Kroll affirmed their existing ratings of Aa3 (Moodys) and AA (S&P, Kroll), all with stable
outlooks. Fitch also retained their AA rating, but changed the outlook for the state's general obligation debt to
negative.
Barnes said, I am pleased to see that our double-A ratings have all been retained by the major rating agencies. Fitchs
concerns about our vulnerability to continued economic weakness are reasonable, but ultimately not so great as to
change our high-quality rating. They have affirmed that our revenue forecasts are reasonable, that our budget is
balanced, and that our bonds continue to be an extremely safe investment in line with our AA rating.
The state continues our commitment to responsibly addressing our significant long-term liabilities. Unfortunately, our
considerable economic strengths, including high incomes, high levels of education, strong property values and high
productivity, have been mitigated by the long, sluggish recovery from the national recession. While we have made
significant progress in addressing pension liabilities, have implemented GAAP, and have begun to make deposits into the
rainy day fund, a slower than expected recovery due in large part to inaction in Washington no doubt weighed heavily in
Fitch's decision to change the state's rating.
This administration's commitment to responsible financial management and gradual resolution of our long-term
liabilities remains strong. We look forward to the opportunity to incorporate the guidance and criticisms of all the rating
agencies in our policy recommendations in the coming year. I am optimistic that continued progress on economic
recovery, coupled with continued prudent management actions by the state, will lead to the prompt restoration of our
stable outlook."
The state's ratings remain in line with our neighboring states -- the same or slightly below New York , Massachusetts and
Rhode Island, and better than New Jersey. The slight variation among these states is principally driven by the funding
condition of and contributions to their respective pension plans. While Connecticut's plans remain significantly
underfunded, recently implemented changes in how we calculate annual payments will allow for significant progresstoward full funding over the coming years.
According to Fitch, Rating Outlooks indicate the direction a rating is likely to move over a one- to two-year period. They
reflect financial or other trends that have not yet reached the level that would trigger a rating action, but which may do
so if such trends continue. In this case, Fitch pointed to reduced fiscal flexibility at a time of lingering economic and
revenue uncertainty. There are currently 14 states and the District of Columbia that have been assigned a negative
outlook by one or more rating agencies.
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S T A T E OF C O N N E C T I C U T
OFFI CE OF POLI CY AND MANAGEMENT
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7/28/2019 Statement on Rating Agencies Connecticut
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Summary and Explanation of Rating Agency ActionsIn connection with the upcoming sale of general obligation bonds
July 2013
Ratings
All four rating agencies reaffirmed existing state ratings of general obligation bonds as follows:
1. Fitch AA2. Moodys Aa33. S&P AA4. Kroll AA
Outlook
As part of the ratings process, agencies also assign an outlook. Three of the four agencies reaffirmed their
existing outlook for the state:
1. Moodys Stable2. S&P Stable3. Kroll Stable
Fitch lowered their outlook from Stable to Negative. This change in outlook is not expected to increase the
states borrowing costs as this is not a downgrade to the states ratings . According to Fitchs own definition,
Rating Outlooks indicate the direction a rating is likely to move over a one- to two-year period. They reflect
financial or other trends that have not yet reached the level that would trigger a rating action, but which may
do so if such trends continue. Nonetheless, the state takes seriously changes in the outlook designation and
views them as an opportunity to incorporate any guidance and criticisms in developing policy
recommendations in the coming year.
OPM , 7/2/13