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TRANSCRIPT
STA2Q20 Analyst Presentation
Agenda
2. STA Business Highlights
1. Financial Performance
3. Natural Rubber Market Situation
2
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE1
3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Ja
n-1
9
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Ap
r-1
9
May
-19
Ju
n-1
9
Ju
l-19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oc
t-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Feb
-20
Mar-
20
Ap
r-20
May
-20
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
Au
g-2
0
Sep
-20
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
100
120
140
160
180
200
Ja
n-1
9
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Ap
r-19
May
-19
Ju
n-1
9
Ju
l-19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oc
t-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Feb
-20
Mar-
20
Ap
r-20
May
-20
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
Au
g-2
0
Sep
-20
RSS3
TSR20
SICO
M Pr
ice(U
S ce
nt :
Kg.)
SICOM – Oil PricesCr
ude O
il Pric
es(U
SD :
Bbl.)
ABBREVIATIONSRSS : Ribbed smoked sheet LTX: Concentrated LatexTSR : Technically specified rubber, which includes STR and SIR
139.4 (+10.0%)
63.9 (-6.1%)
151.3 (+8.6%)
69.0 (+7.9%)
134.7 (-11.0%)
61.9 (-10.4%)
137.0 (+1.7%)
63.0 (+1.9%) 50.7 (-19.6%)
133.5 (-2.5%) 110.8 (-17.0%)AVG. of TSR20
AVG. of Crude Oil 33.3 (-34.2%)
4
43.5 (+30.6%)
122.0 (+10.2%)
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
Ja
n-1
8
Feb
-18
Mar-
18
Ap
r-18
May
-18
Ju
n-1
8
Ju
l-18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oc
t-18
No
v-1
8
De
c-1
8
Ja
n-1
9
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Ap
r-19
May
-19
Ju
n-1
9
Ju
l-19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oc
t-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Feb
-20
Mar-
20
Ap
r-20
May
-20
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
Au
g-2
0
RSS3
FRESHLATEXCUP LUMP
Raw Material Prices in Thailand [Baht/Kg.]
Temporaily Structural Change in Raw Material Prices in Thailand
5Source: Rubber Authority of Thailand [RAOT], IRSG --Monthly Rubber Bulletin, July 2020
WinteringSeason
WinteringSeason
WinteringSeason
Physical Market Prices
Unit (US cent : Kg.) 2019 APR-20 MAY-20 JUN-20 %MoM
Bangkok, RSS 3 1.67 1.37 1.39 1.51 9%
Bangkok, TSR20 1.47 1.14 1.16 1.26 8%
Bangkok, LTX 1.15 0.99 1.05 1.16 10%
Malaysia, LTX 1.09 0.95 0.99 1.12 13% 30
35
40
45
50
55
1-Jul-20 6-Jul-20 11-Jul-20 16-Jul-20 21-Jul-20 26-Jul-20 31-Jul-20 5-Aug-20
RSS3
FRESHLATEX
CUPLUMP
29
30
31
32
33
Ja
n-1
9
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Ap
r-19
May
-19
Ju
n-1
9
Ju
l-19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oc
t-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Feb
-20
Mar-
20
Ap
r-20
May
-20
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
USD/THB
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
20
60
100
140
180
220
Ja
n-1
9
Feb
-19
Mar-
19
Ap
r-19
May
-19
Ju
n-1
9
Ju
l-19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oc
t-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Ja
n-2
0
Feb
-20
Mar-
20
Ap
r-20
May
-20
Ju
n-2
0
Ju
l-20
LTX BD-China ACN
Latex – Butadiene – Acrylonitrile - ForexCu
rrenc
y
ABBREVIATIONSLTX: Concentrated Latex BD: Butadiene ACN: Acrylonitrile
LTX
& BD
& A
CNPr
ice(U
S ce
nt :
Kg.)
31.44 (-3.7%)
112.7 (-1.6%)152.5 (-15.2%)112.7 (+14.7%)
31.45 (+0.02%)
104.6 (-7.2%))214.0 (+40.3%)128.4 (+14.0%)
118.6 (+13.5%)139.0 (-35.0%)111.6 (-13.1%)
30.60 (-2.7%) 30.28 (-1.0%)
101.0 (-14.9%)146.3 (-9.3%)105.0 (-5.9%)
83.9 (-8.9%)87.5 (-40.2%)100.8 (-4.0%)
31.2 (+2.9%)
AVG. of BD
ACN LTX
AVG. of USD/THB
31.9 (+1.5%)
64.8 (-22.7%)37.3 (-55.0%)105.9 (+5.1%)
6
Financial Highlight
*Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory and realized gains /(losses) from hedging activities**Reclassified according to TFRS 7-- Just only FX gains/ (losses) related to AP, AR, loans can be shown in this item***Reclassified according to TFRS related to financial instruments of currency and commodities
7
(Unit : THB million) 2Q20 2Q19 %YoY 1Q20 %QoQ 6M20 6M19 %YoY
Revenue 15,256 15,151 0.7% 17,481 -12.7% 32,737 30,022 9.0%
Sales volume (tons) 239,387 285,334 -16.1% 304,721 -21.4% 544,109 546,117 -0.4%
Avg. selling price (Baht per ton) 42,989 47,000 -8.5% 41,404 3.8% 43,964 44,076 -0.3%
Avg. selling price (USD per ton) 1,346 1,488 -9.6% 1,430 -5.9% 1,391 1,395 -0.3%
Gross profit 2,470 1,453 70.0% 2,466 0.2% 4,936 2,506 97.0%
Adj. gross profit** 2,433 1,313 85.3% 2,861 -15.0% 5,294 1,935 173.6%
SG&A (1,180) (1,120) 5.3% (1,258) -6.2% (2,437) (2,285) 6.7%
Gains (loss) on exchange rate, net** (31) 14 N/A (37) -15.8% (68) 145 -146.9%
Other gains (loss)* 225 96.9 132.4% (92) -343.9% 133 (386) -134.4%
Operating profit (loss) 1,526 552 176.5% 1,109 37.6% 2,635 118 2133%
Share of profit (loss) from investments in JV 22 36 -38.5% 99 -77.5% 122 74 65.6%
EBITDA 2,245 1,239 81.1% 1,871 20.0% 4,116 1,419 190.0%
EBIT 1,548 588 N/A 1,208 28.2% 2,756 192 1338.4%
Finance costs, net (174) (235) -26.2% (200) -13.4% (374) (463) -19.2%
Tax Income (expense) (85) (54) N/A (80) 5.9% (166) (44) 280.9%
Net profit 1,094 270 305.0% 854 28.0% 1,948 (358) N/A
GP margin 16.2% 9.6% 702.45 14.1% 208.86 15.1% 8.3% 673.08
Adj. GP margin* 15.9% 8.7% 1218.62 16.6% -67.15 16.2% 6.4% 972.66
Operating profit margin 10.0% 3.6% 925.87 6.3% 366.07 8.0% 0.4% 765.45
EBITDA margin 14.7% 8.2% 949.16 10.7% 401.41 12.6% 4.7% 784.44
Net profit margin 7.2% 1.8% 910.70 4.9% 228.29 5.9% -1.2% 714.12
4,546 6,277
7,414
9,403
13,692
2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 6M19 6M20
260,783 304,721
239,387 546,117
544,109
2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 6M19 6M20
Natural Rubber Products (tons)
Sales Volume
-8.2% -21.4%
8
-0.4%
Glove Products (million pieces)
+18.1% +63.1%
+45.6%
10%
10,386 11,607 9,082
19,760 20,690 1,561
1,302
959
3,176 2,261
310
720
250
1,134 970
2,885
3,837
4,954
5,929 8,791
9
14
11
22
25
15,151
17,481
15,256
30,022 32,737
2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 6M19 6M20
Others
Gloves
LTX
RSS
TSR
Sales Revenue – Higher contribution from GlovesSales Revenue by Product (THB million)
+0.7%-12.7%
TSR60%
RSS6%
LTX2%
Gloves33%
Sales Breakdown by Product
Sales Breakdown by Region
ABBREVIATIONSRSS : Ribbed smoked sheet LTX: Concentrated LatexTSR : Technically specified rubber, which includes STR and SIR
Domestic11%
China43%
Asia (Exculding China&Thailand)
26%
America10%
Europe8%
Others2%
15,256Mil.Baht
15,256Mil.Baht
9
+9.0%
33%
2%6%
60%
27%
3%7%
63%
20%
11%
66%
4%
22%
4%8%
66%
19%2%
69%
Gross Profit (THB million) – 6M20 Gross Profit (THB million) – 2Q20
Gross Profit - Historical high of GPM
10
1,453
970
1,379 2,466
2,470
9.6%
6.3%
9.3%
14.1%
16.2%
0.0%
4.0%
8.0%
12.0%
16.0%
20.0%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
Gross profit Gross profit margin (%)
2,506
4,936
8.3%
15.1%
0.0%
4.0%
8.0%
12.0%
16.0%
20.0%
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
6M19 6M20
Gross profit Gross profit margin (%)
552 352
185
1,109
1,526
36
22
37
99
22
588
374 222
1,208
3.9%
2.4%1.5%
6.9%
10.1%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
Share of profit (loss) from investments in associates & JV
EBIT margin (%)
1,548
EBIT (THB million) – 2Q20
EBIT – Keeping good momentum
EBIT
11
EBIT (THB million) – 6M20
118
2,635
73
122
0.6%
8.4%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
6M19 6M20
Share of profit (loss) from investments in associates & JV
Operating profit (loss)
EBIT margin (%)
192
2,756
EBIT
Net Profit – Continue to Break the New Record
12
Net Profit (THB million) – 2Q20 Net Profit (THB million) – 6M20
270 135 74
854
1,094
1.8%
0.9%0.5%
4.9%
7.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
Net profit (loss) Net profit margin (%)
(358)
1,948
-1.2%
5.9%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
6M19 6M20
Net profit (loss) Net profit margin (%)
Balance Sheet – Very Strong Financial Status
27,802 27,231
3,175 3,175
2,247 2,330
1,196 1,090 1,369 1,7051,689 2,008
13,494 8,998
4,978
4,705
2,382 16,533
31-Dec-19 30-Jun-20
Cash and cash equivalent
AR
Inventories
Other current assets
Other non-current assets
Investments
Rubber and Palm plantations
Goodwills
PPE
Asset (THB million)
58,331
Liability & Equity (THB million)
25,488
41,949
9,345
4,596
992
1,280
352
474
16,949
12,289 2,529
2,998
31-Dec-19 31-Mar-20
AP
ST-Debt
Other Current Liability
Other Non-Current Liability
LT-Debt
Equity
ROA ROE D/E Net Interest Bearing Debt/ Equity
6M20 6.18X 11.55X 0.62X 0.11X
67,773
FY19 -0.25X --0.57X 1.29X 1.20X
58,331
13
67,773
STA Business Highlights2
14
Infrastructure13%
Immature NR Area65%
Tapping Area20%
Approx.45,000 rai7,200 HA
Upstream Operations – Rubber Plantations
LampangSukothaiPichitPhitsanulokPetchaboonChiang RaiChiang MaiSakon NakhornUtaraditSakaeo
PhraeKalasinPhayaoNanSongkhlaSurat ThaniKrabiChumpornBungkan
Provinces in Thailand
19
Area of Rubber Plantations (2020F)
Estimated Mature Plantations
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
F
20
21
F
20
22
F
20
23
F
20
24
F
20
25
F
20
26
F
20
27
F
Production (tons) Tapping, trees (RHS)
Note: The green provinces are where our factories located in.
Note: Information as of 30 June 2020
Other Crops 2%
Increase number of tapping area from 4,400 rai in 2019 to 9,300 rai in 2020 [+193%]
~1,40
0 Ton
s
15
Technically Specified
Rubber [TSR]
Ribbed Smoked Sheet
[RSS]
Midstream Operations – NR Processing
processing facilities36 Production Capacity (mil. tons)
0.00
3.00
6.00
9.00
12.00
15.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
2007 2011 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F
Global NR Consumption (RHS)
Engineering capacity (LHS)
Sales volume (LHS)
24 processing facilitiesCapacity*: 2.10 mil. tons/annumTSR
RSS
LTX
5 processing facilitiesCapacity*: 0.21 mil. tons/annum
7 processing facilitiesCapacity*: 0.55 mil. tons/annum
Capacity*: 2.86 mil. tons/annum
Note: *Total engineering capacity
60%of total sales
revenue in 1Q20
6%of total sales
revenue in 1Q20
Concentrated Latex [LTX]
2%of total sales
revenue in 1Q20
16Note: Information as of 30 June 2020
Major Customers in Midstream Business
Global Brands
17
Strategy for Midstream Operations – NR Processing
Objective: To buy raw materials from rubber farmers and dealers in Thailand anywhere and anytime
No. of Members: > 4,500 rubber farmers & dealers in STA network
Launch mobile application “SRITRANG FRIENDS”
Enhance production efficiency
Acquire higher market share
Implement automation & censoring system in production process
Reduce energy consumption e.g. adapting production process to be shorter & smarter, using more biomass and reducing the use of LPG etc.
Keep our position as the reliable supplier for rubber users all over the world
Gain more market share among ambiguous market environment
market share~22%
of Thailand production in 2019
market share ~25-30% of Thailand production in 2020
STA
STA
18
STA ≠ Industry
33bn. pcs.installed
capacity per annum
Downstream Operations – Finished Products
13.7bn. pcs.
sold in 6M20
19.9bn. pcs.
sold in 2019
7%Global market share
in 2019
3locations of glove
factories in Thailand
19
STGT, is a Flagship Company of Sri Trang Group with 56% shares owned by STA
Established in 1989
STU
ABBREVIATIONSSTU : Sri Trang USASDME : Shi Dong Shanghai Medical Equipment
SDME
STGT
Our Gloves Products
- Heavy 6.2 g- Balance 4.8 g- Comfort 3.5 g- Comfort Plus 3.0 g- Sense 2.5 g
Examination/ Non-Examination Gloves
Latex
Powdered Powder-Free
Nitrile
Powder-Free
- Comfort 4.8 g - Balance 5.0 g- Premium 5.8 g
- Comfort 5.0 g - Balance Comfort 5.5 g- Balanced Plus 5.6 g - Balance 5.8 g- Premium 6.2 g
Product Range
Our Brands
20
Various distribution channels to reach all target customers
Exhibition
Selling Agent
Retail Business
Online
Sales Volume Breakdown by Region
Information as at 30 June 2020
Maintain our market share in developed markets & Aggressively expand to high growth countries
Sales Volumein 2Q20
+18.1% QoQ+63.1% YoY
7.4bn. pcs.
sold in 2Q20North
America15%
Africa4%
EU20%
South America
12%
MiddleEast5%
Oceania1%
Asia43%
11%
12%
8%
5%
21
Product Mix by Volume
67% 69%
33% 31%
FY19 6M20
Nitrile
Latex89% 88%
11% 12%
FY19 6M20
OBM
OEM
13.7bn.pcs.
sold in 6M20
Sales Volumein 6M20
+45.6% YoY
Accumulated 6M2020 sales data
150 148160
171 180194
210233
268
300
360
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F
Global Glove Market Outlook
Average growth at 10-12% per annum
Global Glove Demand
Source: MARGMA & Company’s Forecast
22
[bn. pcs.]
Demand Keeps Growing & Hidden Consumption in Emerging Markets
Increasing Usage of Hygienic Products in Developing Countries
150
100
10 6 40
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
United States Europe China India Africa
Pcs. per Capita
Forecasted Rubber Glove Consumption per Capita in Developed and Developing Countries in 2019
Developed Countries
Developing Countries
+20%
23
New Normal & New Customers SOLID DEMAND
Glove Capacity Expansion Plan– Increasing speed of expansion to capture market demand
Source: MARGMA Industry Brief 2019 on the Rubber Glove Industry and Company
Installed Capacity [bn.pcs.]
3 phases of capacity expansion to achieve an annual capacity at 100 bn.pcs. by 2032
32.6 32.6 35.745.8
54.461.0
65.9 70.2
100.0
3.1
10.1
8.6
6.64.9
4.3 0.5
32.635.7
45.8
54.461.0
65.970.2 70.7
100.0
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
203
224
CAPEX[Bn.Baht]
1.8 7.4 5.2 4.1 2.1 2.4 0.6 0.4
Phase I Phase II Phase III
Surat Thani III
Existing
Had Yai, Songkhla
Surat Thani I
Trang I
17 bn. pcs. per annum
6 bn. pcs. per annum
10 bn. pcs. per annum
1
3
3 ExistingProduction Facilities
2
Total Installed Capacity of
33bn. pcs. per year
Chumporn
Sadao, Songkhla
Expansion plan
Surat Thani II
Trang II
Excluding land acquisition cost
: Our production facilities are run by woodchip.
Our Competitive Edges
26
The US’s Tariff Schedule for Gloves
Product Country of Origin
Latex & Nitrile Thailand Malaysia China
Medical Free Free 7.5%
Non-Medical-SeamedGSP
14% 39%
Non-Medical-Seamless 3% 25%
Raw Material / Latex SupplyClosed to the biggest source of latex which is the main raw material for “Latex Gloves”
No export tax charged [No CESS expense]This makes our latex cost 1.2 Baht/Kg. cheaper than other players outside Thailand.
No concern over gas price
No labor issue as most of our workers are local people & we complying with BSCI standard rating A.
Tariff benefits
Note: GSP, Generalized System of Preferences, is a tariff system that allows exemptions or more favorable customs duties for certain products and countries.
Lower cost for capacity expansionThai Government introduced an interest subsidy program to anyone who consumes more rubber domestically. The Government will subsidy the interest rate not over than 3% for the expansion.
NATURAL RUBBER MARKET SITUATION
3
26
11.412.2
12.1
12.7 13.213.8 13.6
12.113.1
13.914.5 15.0 15.3 15.7 16.0 16.4 16.8
12.3 12.1
12.3
12.6 13.5
13.9 13.7
13.013.4 14.2
14.715.0 15.4
15.7 16.0 16.1 16.4
840
(52)
122
(82)
331
123 72
861
321 287
136 82
25 7 (38)
(241)
(374) -400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020F
2021F
2022F
2023F
2024F
2025F
2026F
2027F
2028F
2029F
Demand (LHS)
Global NR Situation (Unit : million tons) Supply (LHS) Supply Surplus / (Deficit) (RHS)
Natural Rubber Demand & Supply(Unit : ‘000 tons)
27Source : IRSG, July 2020
IRSG’s forecastBefore COVID
[mil.tons]After COVID
[mil.tons]Change
[mil.tons]% Change
Demand 14.01 12.12 ▼1.89 ▼13.4%Supply 14.05 12.98 ▼1.07 ▼7.6%Oversupply 0.04 0.86 0.82 2,050%
NR Supply
Indonesia 20%
Thailand 33%
Vietnam 8%
China 5%
Cote d'Ivorie 6%
India 5%
CAMAL 5%
Malaysia 4%
Others 14%
12.98mil. tons
2020F global production growth = -5.2% YoY
2020F Major Producers
28
NR Productions from Top 10 Producers
0100200300400500600700
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
(Unit: ‘000 H.A.) • Increasing in new planting was in 2010-2013 where TSR20 was ~$3.39/Kg., and 76% of hat were in Thailand & Mekong region.
•During 2020-2029, 30%-35% of new planting area will be driven by Thailand.
0
50
100
150
200
25020
10
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
10,000 10,500 11,000 11,500 12,000 12,500 13,000
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
New Planting Area Re-Planting Area(Unit: ‘000 H.A.)
• Replanting area in Thailand is forecasted to be constant at 30K-32K H.A., during 2020-2029.
• Indonesia is forecasted to be more aggressive since 2022 onwards, moving around 52K-54K H.A from 16K H.A.in 2019, due to ages of old trees with 35 years or above.
Total Area(Unit: ‘000 H.A.)
• Total rubber area is expected to shrink by 6.8% in 2029 over 2019 level, or down by 874K H.A.
Source : IRSG, July 20205,2
84
3,2
44
1,2
57
720
824
766
736
676
189
109
4,7
04
2,8
19
1,1
19
824
725
700
691
538
186
98
Th
ail
an
d
Ind
on
es
ia
Vie
tna
m
Co
ted
'Iv
ori
e
Ch
ina
Ind
ia
CA
MA
L
Mala
ys
ia
Bra
zil
Gu
ate
ma
la
2020 Before COVID2020 After COVID
-11.0%
-13.1%
-11.0%+14.4% -12.0% -8.6% -6.1% -20.4%
-1.6% -10.1%
Note: 1 H.A. = 6.25 Rai
China 42%
EU 12%India 7%
USA 7%
Thailand 6%
Japan 5%
Indonesia 4%
Malaysia 4%
Others 12%
2020F Major NR Consumers2020F global growth in consumption = -11.0% YoY
NR Demand NR Consumption from Top 10 Customers
29Source : IRSG, July 2020
(Unit: ‘000 tons)
NR Consumption in Non-Tire IndustryNR Consumption in Tire Industry
-0.5%
-11.6%
6.6% 6.2%
4.7%
-12%
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
America
EU
ASEAN
OtherAsia
China
% Growth
(Unit: ‘000 tons) (%) (%)
-2.1%
-9.6%
10.7%
6.5%4.1%
-12%
-8%
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
America
EU
ASEAN
Other Asia
China
% Growth
12.12mil. tons
5,4
35
1,2
10
1,1
90
1,0
16
852
720
648
599
5,0
80
1,4
15
900
855
754
644
520
536
China EU&UK India USA Thailand Japan Indonesia Malaysia
2020 Before COVID
2020 After COVID
-6.5%
+16.9%
-24.4% -15.8% -11.5% -10.6% -19.8% -10.5%
2020F NR Consumption in Tire Industry = 8.66 mil.tons [71% of global consumption] 2020F NR Consumption in Non-Tire Industry = 3.46 mil.tons [29% of global consumption]
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Ju
l-16
Oct-
16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Ju
l-17
Oct-
17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Ju
l-18
Oct-
18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Ju
l-19
Oct-
19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
170 cent/kg.
110 cent/kg.
Source : Bloomberg
157 cent/kg.
TSR20 Price Movement [2016– May 2020] (US cent : Kg.)
104 cent/kg.
120 cent/kg.
The Difficult Times
30
230 cent/kg.
150 cent/kg.160 cent/kg.
123 cent/kg.
135 cent/kg.
124 cent/kg.
+45%
+87%
+26%
+31%
+21%-30%
-41%
-29% -21%
-69%
~490,000T
Commodity Price Movement & SHFE Stocks Commodity Price Movement
Source : IRSG, July 2020 and Bloomberg
Shanghai Futures Exchange [SHFE] Stocks, China [tons]
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Jan
-14
Ap
r-14
Ju
l-14
Oc
t-1
4
Jan
-15
Ap
r-15
Ju
l-15
Oc
t-1
5
Jan
-16
Ap
r-16
Ju
l-16
Oc
t-1
6
Jan
-17
Ap
r-17
Ju
l-17
Oc
t-1
7
Jan
-18
Ap
r-18
Ju
l-18
Oc
t-1
8
Jan
-19
Ap
r-19
Ju
l-19
Oct-
19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-20
Ju
l-20
-70%
-50%
-30%
-10%
10%
03
-Jan
-20
10
-Jan
-20
17
-Jan
-20
24
-Jan
-20
31
-Jan
-20
07
-Feb
-20
14
-Feb
-20
21
-Feb
-20
28
-Feb
-20
06
-Mar-
20
13
-Mar-
20
20
-Mar-
20
27
-Mar-
20
03
-Ap
r-2
0
10
-Ap
r-2
0
17
-Ap
r-2
0
24
-Ap
r-2
0
01
-May
-20
08
-May
-20
15
-May
-20
22
-May
-20
29
-May
-20
05
-Ju
n-2
0
12
-Ju
n-2
0
19
-Ju
n-2
0
26
-Ju
n-2
0
03
-Ju
l-2
0
10
-Ju
l-2
0
17
-Ju
l-2
0
24
-Ju
l-2
0
31
-Ju
l-2
0
SICOM - TSR20 Brent Crude Oil Price Bloomberg Commodity Index
~240,000T
31
32
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