south sudan: integrated food security phase classification … · 2019. 9. 11. · south sudan’s...

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Overview In August 2019, an estimated 6.35 million people (54% of the population) are classified in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity, among whom an estimated 1.7 million people are facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity and 10,000 people are in Catastrophe (IPC phase 5). Compared to the same period in 2018, there is a slight reduction in the proportion of people facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity by an estimated 5%. However, high levels of acute food insecurity still persist in the country. In both periods, these estimates are in the presence of humanitarian food assistance. In the projection period of September to December 2019, the food security situation is expected to improve as seasonal harvests become available. During this period, an estimated 4.54 million people (39% of the population) will likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food. In the post-harvest period of January to April 2020, the food security situation will deteriorate as household food stocks start depleting and an estimated 5.5 million people (47% of the total population) are likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity. The projection analyses have both factored in the presence of likely humanitarian food assistance. Key Figures Acute Food Insecurity Situation | August 2019 IPC Analysis Partners: SOUTH SUDAN: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification Snapshot | August 2019 - April 2020 6.35M 4.1m 1.23M More than 6.35 million people in South Sudan are expected to be in crisis (IPC Phase3) or worse through August 2019 Severely food insecure population IPC Phase 3 (Crisis)+ South Sudan’s conflict has forced over 4.1 million people to flee their homes in search of safety, nearly 1.83 million IDPs and nearly 2.33 million refugees outside the country** Over 1.23 million children under the age of five are likely to be acutely malnourished in August 2019 Acute Malnutrition August 2019 Projection: Acute Food Insecurity | Sept - Dec 2019 934,000 About 934,00 pregnant or lactating women are acutely malnourished in South Sudan Population estimates: NBS South Sudan* Publication date: 11 September 2019 | *IPC population data is based on population estimate by the South Sudan’s National Bureau of Statitatics. | ** Displacement estimates are from UNOCHA | Feedback: [email protected] | Disclaimer: The information shown on this map does not imply official recognition or endorsement of any physical and political boundries. Key Drivers Economic Decline South Sudan’s soaring food prices, a devalued currency and chronic food shortages have left many familie struggling to feed themselves Population Displacement South Sudan’s conflict has forced over 4.1 million people to fleee their homes in search of safety, nearly 1.83 million IDPs and nearly 2.33 million refugees Conflict and Insecuirty For years, South Sudan’s civil war caused widespread destruction, death, displacement and greatly disrupted the country’s productive sectors Projection: Acute Food Insecurity | Jan - April 2020 5.50M More than 5.50 million people are expected to be in crisis (IPC Phase3) or worse from January to April 2020 Overview of the Nutrition Situation All the 79 counties of South Sudan were included in the analysis, out of which 58 counties are classified as IPC AMN Phase 3 and above. Out of these, one county is in IPC AMN Phase 5, 14 are in IPC AMN Phase 4 and 14 counties are in IPC AMN Phase 3 . Renk county of Upper Nile recorded the highest level of acute malnutrition with GAM at 32.1% hence in IPC AMN Phase 5. Most counties in the former States of Unity, Upper Nile, Jonglei and Warrap and parts of Eastern Equatoria and Lakes are in IPC AMN Phase 4. However, improvement is expected in the projected harvest and post-harvest period of September to December 2019, although improvements might change marginally within the same phases with about 56 counties in IPC AMN Phase 3 and above (i.e. 24 in IPC AMN Phase 3 and 2 in IPC AMN Phase 4). No county is projected to be in IPC AMN Phase 5 during this period. Acute Malnutrition Map | August 2019 KEY FOR THE MAP IPC Acute Malnutrition Phase Classification 1 - Acceptable 2 - Alert 3 - Serious 4 - Critical 5 - Extremely critical Evidence level: Acceptable Medium High * ** *** 4.54M More than 4.54 million people are expected to be in crisis (IPC Phase3) or worse from September to December 2019 Food Security Analysis: The August 2019 IPC update analysis was attended a multi- agency and multi-sectoral group of about 80 analysts. State teams conducted food security situation analysis at county level, which was then vetted by the South Sudan IPC Technical Working Group in conjunction with a technical support team from IPC GSU and RSU. Projection: Acute Malnutrition Map | Sept - Dec 2019 KEY FOR THE MAP IPC Acute Malnutrition Phase Classification 1 - Acceptable 2 - Alert 3 - Serious 4 - Critical 5 - Extremely critical Evidence level: Acceptable Medium High * ** *** 6.35M 54% 46% of the Total Population Map Source: IPC Technical Working Group, South Sudan Map Symbols IDPs/other settlements classification Urban settlement classification 1 - Minimal 2 - Stressed 3 - Crisis 4 - Emergency 5 - Famine Areas with inadequate evidence Areas not analysed At least 25% of households meet 25-50% of caloric needs from humanitarian food assistance At least 25% of households meet over 50% of caloric needs from humanitarian food assistance Key for the Map IPC Acute Food Insecurity

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Page 1: SOUTH SUDAN: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification … · 2019. 9. 11. · South Sudan’s soaring food prices, a devalued currency and chronic food shortages have left many

Overview

In August 2019, an estimated 6.35 million people (54% of the population) are classified in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity, among whom an estimated 1.7 million people are facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity and 10,000 people are in Catastrophe (IPC phase 5). Compared to the same period in 2018, there is a slight reduction in the proportion of people facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity by an estimated 5%. However, high levels of acute food insecurity still persist in the country.

In both periods, these estimates are in the presence of humanitarian food assistance. In the projection period of September to December 2019, the food security situation is expected to improve as seasonal harvests become available. During this period, an estimated 4.54 million people (39% of the population) will likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food. In the post-harvest period of January to April 2020, the food security situation will deteriorate as household food stocks start depleting and an estimated 5.5 million people (47% of the total population) are likely face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity. The projection analyses have both factored in the presence of likely humanitarian food assistance.

Key Figures Acute Food Insecurity Situation | August 2019

IPC Analysis Partners:

SOUTH SUDAN: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification Snapshot | August 2019 - April 2020

6.35M

4.1m

1.23MMore than 6.35 million people in South Sudan are expected to be in crisis (IPC Phase3) or worse through August 2019

Severely food insecure population IPC Phase 3 (Crisis)+

South Sudan’s conflict has forced over 4.1 million people to flee their homes in search of safety, nearly 1.83 million IDPs and nearly 2.33 million refugees outside the country**

Over 1.23 million children under the age of five are likely to be acutely malnourished in August 2019

Acute Malnutrition August 2019

Projection: Acute Food Insecurity | Sept - Dec 2019

934,000About 934,00 pregnant or lactating women are acutely malnourished in South Sudan

Population estimates: NBS South Sudan*

Publication date: 11 September 2019 | *IPC population data is based on population estimate by the South Sudan’s National Bureau of Statitatics. | ** Displacement estimates are from UNOCHA | Feedback: [email protected] | Disclaimer: The information shown on this map does not imply official recognition or endorsement of any physical and political boundries.

Key Drivers

Economic DeclineSouth Sudan’s soaring food prices, a devalued currency and chronic food shortages have left many familie struggling to feed themselves

Population DisplacementSouth Sudan’s conflict has forced over 4.1 million people to fleee their homes in search of safety, nearly 1.83 million IDPs and nearly 2.33 million refugees

Conflict and InsecuirtyFor years, South Sudan’s civil war caused widespread destruction, death, displacement and greatly disrupted the country’s productive sectors

Projection: Acute Food Insecurity | Jan - April 2020

5.50MMore than 5.50 million people are expected to be in crisis (IPC Phase3) or worse from January to April 2020

Overview of the Nutrition Situation

All the 79 counties of South Sudan were included in the analysis, out of which 58 counties are classified as IPC AMN Phase 3 and above. Out of these, one county is in IPC AMN Phase 5, 14 are in IPC AMN Phase 4 and 14 counties are in IPC AMN Phase 3 . Renk county of Upper Nile recorded the highest level of acute malnutrition with GAM at 32.1% hence in IPC AMN Phase 5. Most counties in the former States of Unity, Upper Nile, Jonglei and Warrap and parts of Eastern Equatoria and Lakes are in IPC AMN Phase 4. However, improvement is expected in the projected harvest and post-harvest period of September to December 2019, although improvements might change marginally within the same phases with about 56 counties in IPC AMN Phase 3 and above (i.e. 24 in IPC AMN Phase 3 and 2 in IPC AMN Phase 4). No county is projected to be in IPC AMN Phase 5 during this period.

Acute Malnutrition Map | August 2019

KEY FOR THE MAPIPC Acute Malnutrition Phase Classi�cation

1 - Acceptable

2 - Alert

3 - Serious

4 - Critical

5 - Extremely critical

Evidence level:AcceptableMediumHigh

******

4.54MMore than 4.54 million people are expected to be in crisis (IPC Phase3) or worse from September to December 2019

Food Security Analysis: The August 2019 IPC update analysis was attended a multi- agency and multi-sectoral group of about 80 analysts. State teams conducted food security situation analysis at county level, which was then vetted by the South Sudan IPC Technical Working Group in conjunction with a technical support team from IPC GSU and RSU.

Projection: Acute Malnutrition Map | Sept - Dec 2019

KEY FOR THE MAPIPC Acute Malnutrition Phase Classi�cation

1 - Acceptable

2 - Alert

3 - Serious

4 - Critical

5 - Extremely critical

Evidence level:AcceptableMediumHigh

******

6.35M 54%46%of the TotalPopulation

Map Source: IPC Technical Working Group, South Sudan

Map Symbols

IDPs/other settlements classi�cation

Urban settlement classi�cation

1 - Minimal

2 - Stressed

3 - Crisis

4 - Emergency

5 - Famine

Areas with inadequate evidence

Areas not analysed

At least 25% of households meet 25-50% of caloric needs fromhumanitarian food assistance

At least 25% of households meet over 50% of caloric needs from humanitarian food assistance

Key for the Map IPC Acute Food Insecurity