singapore property weekly issue 44
TRANSCRIPT
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Issue 44Copyright 2011-2012 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.
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CONTENTS
p2 Singapore Property News This Week
p8 Should Shoe-box Factories Be Allowed?
p12 Resale Property Transactions
(March 7 March 13)
Welcome to the 44th edition
of the Singapore Property
Weekly.
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
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Singapore Property This Week
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Residential
Freehold Westvale Condominium up for
collective sale
The 32-unit strata walk-up development
located along 334 Pasir Panjang Road is
asking for $85.5 million or $974 psf ppr based
on a 1.4 gross plot ratio. The building sits ona 62,710 sq ft site zoned 'residential' that can
be redeveloped up to a maximum of five
storeys. If the additional 10% GFA allowed for
balcony area is taken into account, the new
potential 96,574 sq ft GFA would mean a
price of $892 psf ppr and a potential
development of 115 800 sq ft-units. However,
the additional balcony space would also
mean a development charge of $625,000.
The site is expected to be popular given its
proximity to NUS and the Haw Par Villa MRTStation and the scarcity of freehold sites in
the area. The tender will close on April 19.
Commercial
Rents for prime office space to slow
With most deals concluded since the
beginning of 2012 being less than 25,000 sq
ft, we can see the decline in demand for such
spaces fromthe banking and financial
institutions that typically rent large prime
spaces. Occupancy levels and rental rates
are likely to continue their decline with the
decreased demand coupled with increased
supply from newly completed projects.
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Nevertheless, a sharp decline in the rent is
not expected nor is the decline expected to
last, especially with only two Grade A office
projects to be completed in the next two
years. In the meantime, firms in other
industries have begun taking up large spaces.
Some MNCs are also planning to set up
regional headquarters here, which will
contribute to the overall occupancy rates even
if the deals tend to be for small or medium
spaces.
JLLs average gross effective monthly rental
value for Raffles Place Grade A office space
(excluding Marina Bay) has fallen by 4-5% in
Q1 2012 from $9.75 psf in Q4 2011 and it
also predicted a 9-11%fall to $8.70-8.80 psfby end-2012. CBREs estimates reflected a 3-
4% decline from 2011s year-end figures and
a 15% year-on-year decline is expected for
the whole market, including Grade A spaces
which includes Marina Bay, Raffles Place and
Marina Centre, leading toa rate of $9.35 psf at
end-2012 from $11 psf at end-2011. Vacancy
rate for Grade A Raffles Place (including
Marina Bay) office space is also expected to
increase from 8.7% in Q4 2011 to 12.5-13%
by end-2012.
Supply-wise, 1.35 million sq ft net lettable
area of office space is expected to becompleted this year, with another 2.4 million
sq ft in 2013 and 1.5 million sq ft in 2014.
Rents of retail spaces to plateau in 2012
Average retail rents are expected to plateau in
2012, and increases, if any, would probablybe between 1-2%. This is probably a result of
new policies that will lower the proportion of
foreign workers companies in the service
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sector can employ to 45% from 50% in July,
which meant that productivity costs will
increase, and in turn affect the rental
rates.The average prime retail rate for all
locations remained unchanged at $29.90 psf
in Q1 2012. In particular, the average prime
rents for the central Orchard Road belt,
Orchard Road fringe and Marina Centre, City
Hall and Bugis rentals remained unchanged
at $41.60 psf, $24.10 psf and $29.40 psf
respectively in Q1 2012, while the rents for
such spaces at the city fringe and suburban
regions experienced some minor changes
at$22.50 psf and $32.10 psf respectively in
the same period. While prime retail spaces
will continue to see demand and increases in
rental rates by 2-3% given its scarcity, more
retailers are considering retail spaces located
in the city fringe and suburban
areas,especially those situated in residential
or new growth areas with high-income
residents who can afford to spend more. This
has led to an increase in supply of retail
space in these areas; 55% and 21% of the
upcoming 2.7 million sq ft net lettable retail
space are from suburban areas and fringe
areas respectively.
Competitive bidding for Serangoon
industrial plot
The 0.8 hectare 58-year leasehold industrial
plot located at Serangoon North Avenue 4
attracted a top bid of $47.1 million or $216.68
psf ppr from Soon Hock Property
Development, just 0.4% above the next
highest bid. The high bids from these two
developers might be due to the developers
confidence in increasing the saleable floor
area of the site or their inexperience in
industrial property market.
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The competitive bidding could also be
attributed to the general lack of industrial
sites in the region. The site with a 2.5
maximum gross plot ratio is zoned Business
1, and its expected breakeven price and
selling price are $340-380 psf and $450-$500
psf respectively.
Expression of interest exercise for
Macpherson freehold industrial building
The seven-storey freehold industrial building
located 37 Mactaggart Road in Macpherson
is asking for$26 million or $612 psfbased on
its total GFA of 42,480 sq ft or $1,532 psf
basedon the 16,968 sq ft land area. Zoned
for Business 1 industrial use, the2.5 gross
plot ratio site could potentially fetch $800-880
psf based on saleable floor area once a new
freehold industrial development is built. The
site is likely to be popular since such
properties with cold room facilities are rare in
this area. Furthermore, with the ABSD,
investors have been turning from the
residential sector to the industrial sector. The
site could potentially be refurbished or
redeveloped for strata sale, if the approval
from relevant authorities is granted. The
building is currently leased out to a single
tenant whose tenancy expires in 2014. The
exercise will close on April 18 at 3pm.
New mall in Orchard in H2 2013 -
Orchardgateway
The mall is part of Orchardgateway, an
integrated development consisting of two
towers - 20-storey hotel-retail development
located next to Somerset MRT station and an
11-storey office-retail development named
[email protected] mall straddles
the two towers, which are diagonally opposite
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134 strata lots with a share value of about
74%. The tender will close on May 3.
Prices and rents for industrial property set
to fall
While prices and rents of strata industrial
properties reached a record high in 2011,
having an increase of 30% and 15-20%
respectively, they may have reached their
peak and are expected to fall this year by 5-10% and up to 8% respectively. The increase
in land supply to 24 ha for the Industrial
Government Land Sales Programme, and the
new conditions on strata subdivision of
industrial development might be one
contributing factor.
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Should Shoe-box Factories Be Allowed?
By Mr. Propwise
A recent investigative report by The Straits
Times found a diverse array of non-industrial
businesses and institutions taking up space in
industrial estates. A check by the reporter
across places like Woodlands Industrial Park,Jalan Pemimpin, Alexandra Industrial Estate
and Henderson Industrial Park found furniture
markers and warehouse operators co-located
with offices, churches, tuition centers, travel
agencies and fashion retailers.
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Rental arbitrage is the root cause of this
phenomenon
The root cause of this phenomenon is what I
call rental arbitrage businesses takingadvantage of lower rents in industrial areas
(around $2 psf) versus commercial buildings
(up to around $9 psf).
These non-industrial users are technically
violating URA guidelines as these spaces are
meant for businesses like manufacturing,
storage, workshops and certain e-businesses.
There is also some allowance for supporting
facilities like childcare centers and canteens.
If the URA investigates these violations they
can ask the business to stop, failing which
they can be fined up to $200,000 or even
jailed.
Some observers argue that these non-
industrial businesses are hurting genuine
industrialists as they push up rents in these
spaces, while others argue that forcing these
non-industrial businesses out will hurt the
growth of SMEs as they cant afford
commercial space in the first place.
The end of shoe-box factories?
Even Minister Khaw has chimed in by
chastising non-industrial tenants who are
abusing lower rents in industrial buildings,
labeling what theyre doing as wrong. At the
center of this controversy are units known as
shoe-box factories that are as small as 50-
100 sqm.
We first saw the shrinking of apartments asproperty prices rose and developers strove to
maximize their selling price per square foot
while keeping total unit costs affordable
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for investors. As the Government continued
clamping down on the residential sector with
anti-speculation measures many investors
shifted their attention to the commercial and
industrial sectors.
And developers, ever ready to take
advantage of any opportunity to cash in,
started creating smaller units in industrial
projects that they could strata-title and sell to
these yield-hungry investors.I think it wasimplicitly known by the developers and
investors right from the beginning that the
potential tenants for these shoe-box factory
units would largely not be industrial users.
For some reason, approvals for these projects
were given by the relevant authorities anyway.
However, according to Minister Khaw, JTC
has estimated that a genuine industrial end-
user would need at least 150 sqm of space,
and the URA has also used a similar norm.
Thus going forward, we are not likely to see
new industrial developments with shoe-box
units they will likely not secure the
necessary approvals.
Does industrial zoning still make sense?
Given the medias and the Governments
attention this issue, the URA might also start
cracking down on violators. I believe that this
would be an unnecessary blow to the SME
sector in Singapore.
In the first place, are there enough genuine
industrial users to fill the space? One of the
landlords quotes in The Straits Times article
mentioned that he gets one enquiry for largerspaces measuring 20,000 sqft or more versus
four to five calls for spaces of 1,000 sqft or
less. There is simply less demand
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for large-scale industrial activity, especially in
general purpose industrial buildings.
Furthermore, older industrial buildings built
without facilities such as loading bays will find
it hard to get genuine industrial tenants. Does
it then make sense to leave these spaces
vacant or to be more flexible in their usage?
Furthermore, the lower rents in industrial
areas are supposed to help industrialists keep
business costs low. In effect, they are a
subsidy by the Government to help the
industrial sector stay competitive in a tough
global market. But are they then saying that
industrialists (whether SMEs or not) are worth
subsidizing while non-industrial SMEs are
not? The definition of industrial use is already
fairly grey does it make sense to penalizecertain types of businesses while subsidizing
others? Do industrial users add more value to
the economy versus other types of
businesses?
High rentals can be fatal to SMEs
Many SMEs can simply not survive if forced to
pay full commercial rents, which will be a
drain on their startup capital even as they
struggle to build a customer base and make
profits. I have a friend in the fashion retail
business who says that it is almost impossible
for any new entrant to survive in malls today
with rents of close to $20 psf. A 1,000 sqft
shop can cost $20,000 per month in rent,
which can be fatal to the proprietor if businessis bad for a few months.
In order to encourage and nurture the growth
of SMEs, perhaps the Government can
consider the relaxation of the use of these
spaces. Doing so could unleash a flurry of
commercial activity in otherwise deterioratingindustrial areas, while at the same time giving
SMEs the space to get a foothold in the
market without being crushed by huge rental
overheads.
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Mar 7 Mar 13
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
2 SPOTTISWOODE PARK 850 740,000 870 993 RIVER PLACE 872 1,140,000 1,308 99
3 DOMAIN 21 1,281 1,650,000 1,288 99
3 THE METROPOLITAN CONDOMINIUM 1,399 1,650,000 1,179 99
5 THE PARC CONDOMINIUM 1,302 1,500,000 1,152 FH
5 LANDRIDGE CONDOMINIUM 1,711 1,950,000 1,139 FH
5 THE CASSANDRA 1,313 1,270,000 967 FH
5 BAYVILLE CONDOMINIUM 1,259 1,080,000 858 FH
5 PARK WEST 1,894 1,500,000 792 99
7 THE 101 840 1,344,000 1,601 9997 SULTAN GATE PLACE 1,119 1,085,000 969 999
8 CITYLIGHTS 893 1,340,000 1,500 99
8 CITY SQUARE RESIDENCES 1,507 2,100,000 1,394 FH
8 CITY SQUARE RESIDENCES 1,507 2,080,000 1,380 FH
8 KERRISDALE 1,270 1,370,000 1,079 99
8 KENTISH GREEN 1,098 910,000 829 99
9 HELIOS RESIDENCES 1,668 5,350,000 3,207 FH
9 VIDA 840 2,226,629 2,652 FH
9 BELLE VUE RESIDENCES 3,175 7,050,000 2,220 FH
9 RIVERGATE 1,496 2,992,000 2,000 FH
9 RIVERGATE 1,055 2,100,000 1,991 FH
9 CAIRNHILL CREST 2,013 3,500,000 1,739 FH
9 URBANA 1,313 2,180,000 1,660 FH
9 8 @ MOUNT SOPHIA 1,141 1,730,000 1,516 103
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
10 GRANGE RESIDENCES 2,583 6,900,000 2,671 FH10 BEAUFORT ON NASSIM 1,496 3,600,000 2,406 FH
10 KUM HING COURT 1,625 3,235,000 1,990 FH
10 REGENCY PARK 3,175 5,350,000 1,685 FH
10 VIZ AT HOLLAND 861 1,328,000 1,542 FH
10 ONE JERVOIS 990 1,500,000 1,515 FH
10 MILL POINT 1,044 1,566,000 1,500 999
11 RESIDENCES @ EVELYN 1,539 2,668,000 1,733 FH
11 NOVENA SUITES 947 1,638,000 1,729 FH
11 RESIDENCES @ EVELYN 2,250 3,620,000 1,609 FH11 NINETEEN SHELFORD ROAD 700 990,000 1,415 FH
11 PAVILION 11 1,485 2,100,000 1,414 FH
11 AMARYLLIS VILLE 1,238 1,720,000 1,389 99
11 AMARYLLIS VILLE 1,238 1,700,000 1,373 99
11 CITY EDGE 1,152 1,566,720 1,360 FH
12 THE RIVERINE BY THE PARK 1,302 2,180,000 1,674 FH
12 TRELLIS TOWERS 1,647 1,770,000 1,075 FH
12 SUNVILLE 915 915,000 1,000 FH
14 THE WATERINA 700 760,000 1,086 FH
14 KEMBANGAN PLAZA 883 818,000 927 FH
14 SIMSVILLE 980 880,000 898 99
14 SIMSVILLE 980 870,000 888 99
14 SIMSVILLE 969 845,000 872 99
14 THE SUNNY SPRING 1,109 955,000 861 FH
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Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
14 SIMSVILLE 1,238 1,000,000 808 99
14 ESCADA VIEW 1,442 1,150,000 797 FH
14 GUILIN MANSIONS 1,076 840,000 780 FH
14 GUILLEMARD VIEW 1,206 900,000 747 FH
14 DELIGHT COURT 1,324 957,000 723 FH
14 WING FONG COURT 1,055 750,000 711 FH
14 ATRIUM RESIDENCES 2,271 1,488,888 656 FH
15 THE MAKENA 1,636 2,280,000 1,394 FH
15 GRAND DUCHESS AT ST PATRICK'S 1,507 1,988,000 1,319 FH
15 HAWAII TOWER 2,239 2,850,000 1,273 FH
15 COSTA RHU 990 1,250,000 1,262 99
15 ONE FORT 1,055 1,300,000 1,232 FH
15 EMERALD EAST 926 1,130,000 1,221 FH
15 WATER PLACE 1,227 1,450,000 1,182 99
15 WATER PLACE 1,356 1,540,000 1,135 99
15 CALLIDORA VILLE 1,141 1,290,000 1,131 FH
15 HAIG COURT 1,550 1,650,000 1,065 FH
15 CHAPEL COURT 1,690 1,780,000 1,053 FH
15 DUNMAN PLACE 1,389 1,400,000 1,008 FH
15 GALLERY 8 1,206 1,090,000 904 FH
15 MANDARIN GARDEN CONDOMINIUM 1,528 1,380,000 903 99
15 EASTVILLE APARTMENTS 1,001 890,000 889 FH
15 LAGUNA PARK 1,615 1,410,000 873 99
15 GIDEON'S LODGE 1,313 1,100,000 838 FH
16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,475 1,650,000 1,119 99
16 CASA MERAH 1,249 1,285,000 1,029 99
16 THE SUMMIT 1,238 1,248,000 1,008 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
16 CHANGI GREEN 1,055 1,050,000 995 FH
16 EAST MEADOWS 1,227 1,070,000 872 99
16 BEDOK COURT 2,260 1,750,000 774 99
16 KEW GREEN 2,971 1,800,000 606 99
17 CARISSA PARK CONDOMINIUM 926 850,000 918 FH
17 EDELWEISS PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,625 1,370,000 843 FH
18 LIVIA 1,270 1,170,000 921 99
18 RIS GRANDEUR 1,539 1,368,000 889 FH
18 MODENA 1,550 1,350,000 871 99
19 KOVAN MELODY 1,302 1,365,000 1,048 99
19 RIO VISTA 1,378 1,230,000 893 99
19 KENSINGTON PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,582 1,400,000 885 999
19 RIO VISTA 1,249 1,000,000 801 99
19 CENTRAL VIEW 1,216 935,000 769 99
20 BOONVIEW 1,292 1,438,000 1,113 FH
20 RAFFLESIA CONDOMINIUM 915 1,000,000 1,093 99
20 BISHAN 8 1,195 1,300,000 1,088 99
20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,615 1,180,000 731 99
20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,615 1,138,000 705 99
21 MAPLEWOODS 1,507 1,820,000 1,208 FH
21 HIGHGATE 1,227 1,215,000 990 FH
21 PANDAN VALLEY 1,335 1,300,000 974 FH
21 SOUTHAVEN I 1,528 1,200,000 785 99
21 SHERWOOD TOWER 1,518 1,050,000 692 99
23 THE DAIRY FARM 1,281 1,200,000 937 FH
23 GLENDALE PARK 1,044 970,000 929 FH
23 HAZEL PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,389 1,250,000 900 999
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NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
23 HILLVIEW REGENCY 1,130 980,000 867 99
23 CASHEW HEIGHTS CONDOMINIUM 1,647 1,426,680 866 999
23 CENTURY MANSIONS 1,001 860,000 859 FH
23 PARKVIEW APARTMENTS 936 750,000 801 99
23 REGENT GROVE 1,259 910,000 723 99
23 PALM GARDENS 1,206 868,888 721 99
23 PARKVIEW APARTMENTS 1,270 882,000 694 99
23 PALM GARDENS 1,206 815,000 676 99
25 CASABLANCA 1,195 885,000 741 99
25 ROSEWOOD 2,745 1,500,000 546 99
26 SEASONS PARK 1,292 995,000 770 99
26 CASTLE GREEN 1,152 877,000 761 99
27 SELETARIS 1,313 920,000 701 FH
27 SELETARIS 1,625 1,030,000 634 FH
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