singapore property weekly issue 234
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
1/14
Issue 234Copyright © 2011-2014 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.
http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
2/14
ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that you’d like to share
with thousands of readers interested in the Singapore property
market? Send them to us at [email protected] , and if they’re good
enough, we’ll publish them here, on our blog and even on Yahoo!
News.
AdvertiseWant to get your brand, product, service or property listing out to
thousands of Singapore property investors at a very reasonable
cost? Head over to www.propwise.sg/advertise/ to find out more.
CONTENTS
p2 How SMEs Can Use Property Loans to
Lower Their Borrowing Costs
p9 Singapore Property News This Week
p13 Resale Property Transactions
(October 28 – November 3 )
Welcome to the 234th edition of the
Singapore Property Weekly .
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
3/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 2Back to Contents
By Paul Ho (guest contributor)
Singapore’s SMEs makes up 99% of all
enterprises, employ 66% of the workforce and
account for 48% of the GDP. SMEs are
defined as having revenues of less than
$100m and with a staff of less than 200.
Singapore has narrowly averted a technical
recession. But the PMI is below 50%,
indicating a contraction in the manufacturingsector.
How SMEs Can Use Property Loans to Lower TheirBorrowing Costs
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
4/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 3Back to Contents
Figure 1: Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI),
Singapore Institute of Purchasing and
Materials Management (SIPMM)
SMEs have limited access to loans during
tough times
A drop off in demand means that companies
are hardly growing their top lines and may go
into the red. This is especially true for SMEs
with less than $10m in revenues.
Figure 2: Singapore Quarterly GDP Growth
rate (TradingEconomics, SingStats)
Singapore’s corporate default rate of
Corporations listed on the SGX is below 2%.
SMEs likely have a higher default rate of at
least 3 to 4%.
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
5/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 4Back to Contents
Figure 3: Corporate NPL Ratio, Financial
Stability Review 2014, MAS
During the Global Financial Crisis in 2008,
Singapore’s SMEs experienced a limited
access to capital and funding. This led the
government to enhance the various schemesthat are in place to help SMEs retain access
to credit. Most of these schemes involve the
government risk-sharing with the banks on
loans to SMEs.
In short, this means that during tough times
the banks cut back on SME lending exposure
due to the potentially higher Non-Performing
Loan risks. Hence funds will likely dry up
during uncertain economic periods when
SMEs need credit the most. Hence SMEs will
be exposed to elevated funding disruption
risks and increased cost of funding during
recessionary periods, and need to take action
now to secure funding.
Discerning future interest rate trends by
looking at the bond yield curve
The bond yield curve gradient has become
less steep, indicating slower growth. There is
also higher mid and long term interest rate
expectations, indicating inflation expectations
or simply a higher interest rate environment.
The 20 year Bond is currently at 2.9%.
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
6/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 5Back to Contents
Figure 4: Singapore Bond Yield Curve End
2014 versus Nov 2015, Asian Development
Bank
Hierarchy of Borrowing Costs: Securedversus Unsecured Loans
The impending weakness in the economy
poses greater risks to SMEs than to large
corporations.
Secured lending refers to lending in which an
asset is pledged. Secured lending presents
less risk to the lender and hence they charge
lower interest rates.
Unsecured lending does not require pledged
assets. Hence this presents greater risk to
lenders and are more expensive. Small
businesses usually have fewer assets to
collateralize against and hence use secure
loans less frequently. Unsecured Business
Term Loan rates for SMEs are usually in the
10+% range, depending on loan size as well
as tenure.
The Micro Loan Program by Spring Singapore
is also a good source of funding. However, notmany companies qualify, and for those who
qualify, they may not be able to obtain the
maximum $100,000 loan. Interest costs start
from 5.5% with up to a four year tenure.
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
7/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 6Back to Contents
Problems faced by SMEs and their owners
in obtaining credit
Many SMEs may not have the right financing
or salary structure. SME bosses tend to
under-declare their income and instead
declare dividends. Whilst this reduces their
taxable income, with the new Total Debt
Servicing Ratio (TDSR) rule, this also
impedes many SME bosses from borrowing
more to buy their homes.SMEs are suffering a margin squeeze. Faced
with borrowing costs of around 10%, labour
costs that are 5 to 10% of revenue, and other
operating costs which could take up another 5
to 15% of revenue, these businesses need a
gross margin in excess of 30% just to breakeven. Not many industries can offer gross
margins in excess of 30%. Hence SMEs are
especially sensitive to top line growth for
those with 20+ to 40% gross margins.
With market uncertainty, access to funds for
SMEs could be even more restricted in the
coming one to two years.
How can SMEs overcome high cost of
funding issues?
SME bosses should start to realize that
under-declaration of income impedes
borrowing and start to rectify this situation to
reflect their true income. While it is important
to have a tax efficient salary structure using acombination of Salary, Director Fees and
Dividends, it is worthwhile to review this to be
eligible for adequate funding.
SMEs, especially those whose directors who
are currently in their late 30s and early 40s
and who have bought their own residential
homes, could be sitting on tied up equity in
their properties. Residential home loan rates
are around 2%.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 234
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
8/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 7Back to Contents
They could free up this capital by refinancing
their homes and use the money to invest
prudently in their own business. With this
reduced cost of funding, the business owners
could immediately save ~10% off borrowingcosts.
Case Study: SME owned by 2 Directors
and 3 Shareholders
Does it make sense to borrow against your
home for a company in which you’re only oneof the many directors?
In this case I came across, the company had
two directors and three shareholders. The two
Directors owned 35% each of the business,
while the rest of the shareholders held 10%
each.
They needed $500,000 of funds for business
expansion.
We advised the firm to structure a Director’s
resolution to approve the company to request
for a Shareholder Loan to the company at a
5% interest rate. The two major shareholders
cum Directors held 70% of the shares, andhence were allotted $350,000 of the loan
amount. Shareholders or Directors who did
not wish to lend to the company at the
approved 5% interest rate may give up their
allotment. The unused allotment may be used
by the other directors/shareholders equally.
These two major shareholders then
refinanced their residential property loan with
a cash out (equity term loan) of $400,000 at
1.8% interest. They then lent their company
$400,000 at a 5% interest, making a decentreturn on their loan to their own company.
Another two shareholders took up their
allotment and lent the company $100,000 at
the same 5% interest.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 234
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
9/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 8Back to Contents
In this way, the company had access to
cheaper capital, boosting its chances of
survival and creating a fair debt offering for all
directors and/or shareholders who wanted to
participate. It’s similar to preferential bondswhich only Directors and shareholders can
participate in.
SUMMARY
SME owners should get their personal
income structure right to optimize for both taxefficiency and borrowing capacity. They can
then leverage on cheaper secured mortgages
to free up equity from their house to lower
their business borrowing costs by structuring
a Director’s Loan to company.
In order to lock in low rates from the
residential property equity loan (cash out), it
might be safer for SME owners to consider a
three to five year fixed rate structure to hedge
against rising interest rates.
Investors with at least $300,000 of spare cash
could also get in on the game to bridge the
gap left behind by banks and lend to growing
companies who can afford to pay 14 to 18%
per annum in interest costs. But thorough risk
assessment needs to be done to minimize
default rates. Convertible loans can also be
structured to give investors additional upsideif there is a liquidity event (e.g. acquisition).
By Paul Ho, holder of an MBA from a
reputable university and editor of
www.iCompareLoan.com, Singapore’s first
Cloud-based Home Loan reporting platform
used by Property agents, financial advisors
as well as Mortgage brokers.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
http://www.icompareloan.com/http://www.icompareloan.com/http://www.icompareloan.com/http://www.icompareloan.com/http://www.icompareloan.com/http://www.icompareloan.com/
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
10/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Singapore Property This Week
Page | 9Back to Contents
Residential
C o n d o r es a le p r i c es f el l 0 .6 % m o n t h - o n -
m o n t h i n O c t o b e r
In October, non-landed private residential
resale prices dropped 0.6%, following a 0.3%
month-on-month drop the previous month.On the other hand, resale volumes increased
by 9.8% to 505 units in October, according to
SRX Property’s flash estimates. Ong Kah
Seng from R’ST Research said that attractive
pricing had driven sales. Not only so, sales
may have increased as both buyers andsellers had wanted to close the deal before
the year-end period, which is typically quieter.
Eugene Lim from ERA Realty added that
prices have decreased only by a marginal1.7% since the start of the year because
sellers are not pressured to cut prices to
make sales. The overall private residential
property price index is expected to drop by
3.8 to 4.8% year-on-year this year, said
Nicholas Mak from SLP International.
(Source: Business Times)
R edhil l s i t e sold f or $851 psf ppr
Located at Redhill, a 0.84 ha site was won
for $851 psf ppr. The site, which is 99-year
leasehold, had attracted 10 bids. Ong Teck
Hui from JLL said that the conservative bid
prices could indicate that developers are
cautious of the market.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
11/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 10Back to Contents
Ong added that this may also have been
because there is a fair amount of unsold
supply in nearby projects. Nicholas Mak from
SLP International predicts that the breakeven
price for the Redhill site is about $1,350 to$1,400 psf. Mak believes that the site’s prime
location could have been a pull factor. Not
only so, the first storey of the development
may be use for commercial purposes such as
for the development of shops, cafes and
restaurants.
(Source: Business Times)
H D B r e n t s f a l l b y 0 . 5 % m o n t h - o n - m o n t h i n
O c t o b e r
According to SRX Property, HDB rents had
fallen 0.5% month-on-month in October.
Market experts believe that the fall in rents
could have been due to slower leasing
activities which are typically seen in H2.
Besides that, market experts believe that an
increase in private residential completions
may have negatively affected HDB rents.
According to Eugene Lim from ERA Realty,
the downward rental pressure on the outsidecentral region (OCR) could be because a
majority of the non-landed private residential
projects are located in suburban areas. Lim
added that while HDB rental volumes had
decreased, the demand is still strong in the
HDB leasing market.
(Source: Business Times)
A p p l i c a t i o n p e r i o d f o r H D B s a l e s e x e r c i s e
ext ended f or launch in D ecember
HDB will be extending the application period
for the HDB sales exercise from 7 to 10 days
in the upcoming sales launch in December. At
this mega launch, 12,000 flats will be offered
for sale.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
12/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 11Back to Contents
Of these flats, 7,000 are BTO flats while the
remaining units are balance flats. The BTO
flats will be offered in Bidadari, Bukit Batok,
Choa Chu Kang, Hougang and Sengkang.
Ong Kah Seng from R’ST Research believesthat the Bidadari site will draw the greatest
interest due to its prime location. He added
that flat prices may not be low due to the
location of the development. Eugene Lim
from ERA Realty added that the Punggol
Northshore flats may also be a hit with buyersas it offers sea views.
(Source: Business Times)
Singapore’s lu x ur y r es id en ti al m ar k et
w e a k es t - p er f o r m i n g i n t h e w o r l d
According to Knight Frank Prime Global Cities
Index, Singapore’s luxury residential market
is the weakest-performing one for 7
consecutive quarters. Prices of prime homes
took the largest hit in Q3 this year, according
to the report. Market experts believe that
transaction volumes are low because of the
additional buyer’s stamp duty and uncertain
market conditions. On the other hand, citieslike Vancouver, Sydney and Shanghai have
bucked the downwards trend by showing
double-digit annual price increases.
(Source: Business Times)
Commercial
A d j o i n i n g s h o p h o u s e a t C h i n a t o w n u p f o r
sale
Two adjoining shophouses at Chinatown have
been put up for sale for $30 million. Both
have a combined land area of 3,010 sq ft anda built-in area of 9,226 sq ft. The three and a
half-storey conservative shophouses have
been zoned for commercial use and are fully
occupied.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
13/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 12Back to Contents
The development is located just 50m away
from ChinaTown MRT and is situated near
tourist attractions like the Chinatown Heritage
Centre. The expression of interest will close
on Nov 27.
(Source: Business Times)
G ro u n d -f lo o r s h o p a t S h e nt o n H o us e t o
auct ion f or $13. 3 mil l ion
A ground-floor shop unit at Shenton Housewith an indicative price of $13.3 million has
been put up for auction at the Colliers
International’s auction on Nov 20. The
monthly rental for the development is at
$39,786 inclusive of service charge and the
lease runs till August 2017. Based on theindicative price and current rental the gross
rent works out to $6 psf a month. Shenton
House is a 25-storey commercial
development with retail units from levels 1 to
3.
(Source: Business Times)
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
http://propertymarketinsights.com/
-
8/20/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 234
14/14
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 234
Page | 13Back to Contents
Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Oct 28 – Nov 3
NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchasersigns an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
3 QUEENS 1,195 1,523,888 1,275 99
3 CENTRAL GREEN CONDOMINIUM 1,528 1,780,000 1,165 99
4 CARIBBEAN AT KEPPEL BAY 1,636 2 ,550,000 1,559 99
5 THE VISION 1,313 1,695,000 1,291 99
5 THE PARC CONDOMINIUM 1,302 1,568,910 1,205 FH
5 PALM MANSIONS 1,324 1,160,000 876 FH
5 WESTCOVE CONDOMINIUM 1,518 1,250,000 824 99
7 CONCOURSE SKYLINE 1,098 1,850,000 1,685 99
9 YONG AN PARK 3,434 6,500,000 1,893 FH
9 SAM KIANG MANSIONS 1,206 1,850,000 1 ,535 FH
9 ASPEN HEIGHTS 1,324 1,900,000 1,435 999
9 RESIDENCES @ KILLINEY 5,059 5,600,000 1,107 FH
10 TANGLIN PARK 1,033 1,980,000 1,916 FH
10 ORANGE GROVE RESIDENCES 1,927 3,300,000 1,713 FH
10 THE SIXTH AVENUE RESIDENCES 1,636 2,080,000 1,271 FH
11 1 MOULMEIN RISE 1,238 1,960,000 1,583 FH
12 THE ABERDEEN 1,302 1,380,000 1,060 FH
14 WATERBANK AT DAKOTA 1,141 1,780,000 1 ,560 99
14 THE TRUMPS 980 1,099,000 1,122 99
14 THE WATERINA 1,335 1,300,000 974 FH
14 EUNOS PARK 1,625 1,500,000 923 FH
14 DENG FU VILLE 1,755 1,600,000 912 FH
14 SIMSVILLE 1,249 1,040,000 833 99
15 THE SEA VIEW 1,647 2,980,000 1,809 FH
15 PEBBLE BAY 2,088 3,000,000 1,437 99
15 IMPERIAL HEIGHTS 452 630,000 1,394 FH
15 PARKSHORE 1,647 1,850,000 1,123 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
15 HAIG RESIDENCES 1,249 1,310,000 1,049 FH
15 CANARY VILLE 1,087 1,010,000 929 FH
15 LEGENDA AT JOO CHIAT 1,216 985,000 810 99
16 CASA MERAH 958 1,167,000 1,218 99
16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,948 2,050,000 1,052 99
16 EAST MEADOWS 1,206 1,150,000 954 99
17 ESTELLA GARDENS 1,830 1,390,000 760 FH
18 EASTPOINT GREEN 1,130 948,000 839 99
19 A TREASURE TROVE 1,044 1,140,000 1,092 99
19 A TREASURE TROVE 1,044 1,120,000 1,073 99
19 RIO VISTA 1,378 1,130,000 820 99
19 RIO VISTA 1,238 940,000 759 99
20 SKY HABITAT 1,798 2,549,840 1,418 99
20 THOMSON V ONE 431 600,000 1,394 99
20 GRANDEUR 8 1,421 1,405,000 989 99
20 GRANDEUR 8 1,216 1,165,000 958 99
21 FREESIA WOODS 1,432 1,700,000 1,187 FH
23 MAYSPRINGS 818 730,000 892 99
23 THE WARREN 1,216 950,000 781 99
23 PALM GARDENS 1,938 1,198,000 618 99
25 CASABLANCA 947 770,000 813 99
26 FOREST HILLS CONDOMINIUM 1,163 950,000 817 99
27 THE SENSORIA 1,184 950,000 802 FH