sierra subregional planning group proposed 2011 study scope

11
New Projects West Connect Annual Stakeholders Meeting, February 17, 2011, Las Vegas, NV

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Sierra Subregional Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope. New Projects. West Connect Annual Stakeholders Meeting, February 17, 2011, Las Vegas, NV. SSPG 2011 Study Request to the Western Electricity Coordinating Council January 26, 2011. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

New Projects

West Connect Annual Stakeholders Meeting, February 17, 2011, Las Vegas, NV

Page 2: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

The SSPG requests that WECC study three specific scenarios in order to determine the differential cost of each of the scenarios relative to the base case. This will provide insight into the viability of the proposed projects and their performance relative to other previously proposed projects. The three scenarios requested by SSPG are as follows:

(1) 1000 MW Lassen Municipal Utility District (“LMUD”) trans-Sierra tie line with full renewable energy capacity subscription

(2) (2) 1000 MW Great Basin HVDC trans-Sierra tie line with full renewable energy capacity subscription, and

(3) (3) 2000 MW trans-Sierra capability (combination of Scenarios #1 and #2) with 80% renewable subscription and 20% economic dispatch capacity.

Page 3: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

This analysis should produce a least cost view of resource and transmission investments over the relevant planning horizon. Due to the high capacity factors of renewable energy in Northern Nevada, the short distances between generators and end-users, the project “right sizing” to allow an expedited in-service date, and the use of existing corridors and/or innovative transmission technologies to facilitate permitting, any of the three scenarios are likely to be highly competitive with other larger scope projects that SSPG and others have requested TEPPC to investigate in their 2010 and 2011 study programs.

Page 4: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

SSPG recommends that a base case be developed using current regulator approved utility integrated resource plans (IRPs) – specifically, yearly supply side resource and load forecast data. Below is a list of additional assumptions SSPG believes need to be addressed in the base case.

Compliance with existing state Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) and Demand Side Management (DSM) standardsIncludes renewable generators in-service, under construction or with state approved Purchased Power AgreementsBase case to use normal weather load forecast with sensitivity to an adverse weather and low load forecastCapacity needed and associated costs for balancing intermittent resourcesDefault assumption of no federal carbon regulation

SSPG is requesting this base case for benchmarking our requested studies against and to allow a common base to compare previously run cases.

Page 5: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

SSPG requests that this case be constructed with the following modifications to the Reference Case:

A new PROMOD path be created connecting the Sierra Pacific Power Balancing Authority Area (“BAA”) (a new Viewland 345/230 kV substation interconnected with the Hilltop-Fort Sage 345-kV line) to the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (“SMUD”) BAA (Olinda 230 kV)This path would have a 1000 MW capabilityThis path is a new double circuit, double bundled 230 kV line approximately 130 miles longIn-service is expected to be 4/01/15.Capital investment in the tie line is estimated at $250-$300 million.Capital investment in the collector system to source this line is estimated to be $400 million (costs are based on the NVE 2010 Conceptual Renewable Energy Trans. Plan)

Page 6: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

This path will be 100% subscribed by the following:o 33% windo 33% Geothermalo 20% CSPo 13% PV

These resources will have the following capacity factors:o 25-30% windo 90% Geothermalo 60% CSPo 25% PV

These resources will have the following incremental generation credit:o 0% windo 90% Geothermalo 90% CSPo 70% PV

These resources are estimated to cost:o o Wind $105 /MW Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE)o o Geothermal $98 /MW LCOEo o CSP $147 /MW LCOEo o PV $146 /MW LCOE

Note: Prices are out of the 2010 PUCN RPS proceeding

Page 7: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope
Page 8: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

SSPG requested that this case be constructed with the following modifications to the Reference Case:

A new PROMOD path be created connecting the Sierra Pacific Power BAA (Tracy 345 kV) to the SMUD BAA (O’Banion 230 kV)

This path would have a 1000 MW capability This path is a new +400 kV HVDC underground line approximately 125 miles long

o This path will be 90% subscribed by geothermalo with 10% reserved for economic transfers

These resources will have the following capacity factors:o 90% Geothermal – based off summer nameplate

These resources will have the following incremental generation credit:o 90% Geothermal

These resources are estimated to cost:o Geothermal $98 /MW LCOE

Note: Prices are out of the 2010 Public Utilities Commission of Nevada (PUCN) RPS proceeding In-service is expected to be 12/01/2016 Capital investment in the tie line is estimated at $750 million. Capital investment in the collector system to source this line is estimated to be $300

Million (based on the NVE 2010 Conceptual Renewable Energy Transm. Plan)

Page 9: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope
Page 10: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

SSPG requested that this case be constructed from the Reference Case and include both of the previously listed projects compiled into a single case with a total capacity of 2000 MW from the Sierra Pacific BAA into the SMUD BAA.

◦ Capital investment in the collector system to source this line is estimated to be $590 million (based on the NVE 2010 Conceptual Renewable Energy Transm. Plan)

Page 11: Sierra  Subregional  Planning Group Proposed 2011 Study Scope

SSPG will be conducting the technical electrical analysis (power flow and stability) of these three cases in parallel with the requested TAS economic analysis. SMUD, Sierra Pacific, Transmission Agency of Northern California (TANC), and Western have each committed to provide staff to perform these regional studies.