shale plays future

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The Shale Powered Future Josh Hickman, PG, MSc, MBA Hickman Geological Consulting, LLC [email protected] 304-952-9397

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Page 1: Shale Plays Future

The Shale Powered Future

Josh Hickman, PG, MSc, MBA

Hickman Geological Consulting, LLC

[email protected]

304-952-9397

Page 2: Shale Plays Future

Introductions

Josh Hickman

304-952-9397

[email protected]

Specialize in the space between technical oil and gas information and the financial

world.

Guide decisions for capital investments

Value oil and gas mineral estates

Develop business opportunities for companies lacking deep connections in

the industry

Page 3: Shale Plays Future

What is Shale?Marcellus Shale in Outcrop

Shale is:

• Sedimentary rock• Made from “mud”• Breaks easily• Laminated

Organic Shale is:

• Source Rock• Now considered a reservoir• Produces 8X the hydrocarbon it can hold• Termed an Unconventional Resource

Martian Shale in Outcrop

NASA

Page 4: Shale Plays Future

Facts on Organic Shale

Organic Shale in Core

• Up to 16% is left over carbon• Porosity is formed as organics convert to hydrocarbons

• Must be hydraulically fractured to produce

• 1/5 of gas produced in the US now comes from the Marcellus Shale

• Every other month the Appalachian Basin is producing more gas than it produced in 100+ years

Page 5: Shale Plays Future

Production Numbers

Page 6: Shale Plays Future

BCFVOLUME

‘Billion’ – 1,000MMCF

Production Numbers – Explained

Welcome back to school!

MCFVOLUME

‘Thousand’ Amount of natural gas that occupies

1,000 cubic feet at 60°F and a pressure of 15lbs

BTUENERGY

Amount of heat required to raise the temperature of one pound of water 1°F

MMCFVOLUME

‘Million’ – 1,000MCF

MMBTUENERGY

Amount of heat required to raise the temperature of one pound of water 1°F a

million times Avoiding the MATH…1 MCF generates 127 kWh

1BCF generates 127,000,000 kWh

Page 7: Shale Plays Future

Production Numbers – Related

Welcome back to school!

New York CityAnnual power consumption

of 60,000 gigawatt-hours

Average Utica Well will Produce 25 BCF over its 30

year life

That is 60,000,000,000 kWh!

That is 3,175,000,000 kWHfor every Utica Shale Well

drilled

That means that it would take ~19 Utica Shale Wells to

generate enough energy to power NYC for one year!

To date, 1,386 wells have been drilled in Ohio as of 3/7/15

Daily production in the Utica Shale is ~2 BCF/d or 254,000,000 kWh

It takes 164,383,562 kWh to power NYC every day…

That is 1.5X the daily need!

Page 8: Shale Plays Future

Shale Basins Across North America

Page 9: Shale Plays Future

Shale Basins Across the World

Page 10: Shale Plays Future

Food for Thought

Knowing this supply exists, you can draw your own conclusions as to why coal, oil, and natural gas prices have

plummeted.

Likely your conclusion will have nothing to do with Russia or Saudi

Arabia

Page 11: Shale Plays Future

A Few Historical Shorts

Where have we been with drilling and production in the past?

Video 1

Page 12: Shale Plays Future

A Few Historical Shorts

Where have we been with drilling and production in the past?

Video 2

Page 13: Shale Plays Future

Views from Around Pennsylvania 1900-1910

Page 14: Shale Plays Future

Views from Around Pennsylvania 1900-1910

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Taylorstown - 1903

Oil City - 1899Thorn Creek - 1886

Early Oil FieldGas Venting

Page 15: Shale Plays Future

The Modern Well

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Drilled in three stages• Site Construction• Drilling• Hydraulic Fracturing

Fast Facts• ~400 people are employed at various

stages by each rig• Shale wells cost between $6M and $12M

depending on depth• Conception to Production takes ~ 1 year

Rig Count in US12/14 = 1882 3/15 = 1192 ∆ = -690

Page 17: Shale Plays Future

Hydraulic Fracturing

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A few fast facts to set the stage:• Used over a million times over the past 60

years in oil and gas applications• Not just used for oil and gas

• Water Wells• Geothermal• Remediation tool for Superfund Sites

• 99% of Frac fluid is sand and water• ~1% is composed mainly of guar, a common

ingredient in candy and ice cream, that is an emulsifying agent

• The rest are products to break water tension and allow as much water as possible to flow back out of the well

Page 19: Shale Plays Future

Production

19

Images Courtesy of Marcellus Air WV

Page 20: Shale Plays Future

Questions?

Josh Hickman

304-952-9397

[email protected]

Specialize in the space between technical oil and gas information and the financial

world.

Guide decisions for capital investments

Value oil and gas mineral estates

Develop business opportunities for companies lacking deep connections in

the industry