set market report for january 2017set news 6/2017 february 9, 2017 set market report for january...
TRANSCRIPT
SET News 6/2017
February 9, 2017
SET market report for January 2017
- SET Index closed at 1,577.31 points, up 2.2 pct from end-2016.
- Average daily securities trading value at THB 58.39 bln, rising 31.64 pct y-o-y - Market cap at THB 15.9 trillion, a 2.25 pct rise from end-2016 - Foreign investors were net buyers with trading in Thai shares at THB 6.20 bln. BANGKOK, February 9, 2017 - The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) Index ended January at 1,577.31, up 2.2 percent compared to the end 2016. Similar to the other regional markets, foreign capital flow into Thailand was underpinned by such global factors as the U.S. economic policy, The UK’s strategic plan after Brexit, China’s measures to boost liquidity, and Japan's exports rise for the first time in 15 months in December, 2016. At the end of January, the combined market capitalization of SET and Market for Alternative Investment (mai) was at THB 15.9 trillion (USD 454.29 billion), a 2.25 percent increase from the end of last year. The average daily trading value of SET and mai in January was THB 58.39 billion, rising 31.64 pct y-o-y. Key highlights for January Securities: - SET Index ended January at 1,577.31 points, up 2.2 pct from end-2016. - Market capitalization of SET was at THB 15.52 trillion, up 2.91 percent from end-2016, while market valuation of mai was at THB 335.87 billion, down 21.04 percent from end-2016, partly due to the move of Energy Absolute pcl (EA) from mai to SET in early January. - Forward P/E ratio of SET was 14.66 times, while mai's was 37.72 times. - Dividend yield ratio of SET was at 3.07 percent at the end of the month, while mai's was at 1.41 percent. - In January, average daily trading value of SET and mai rose 31.64 percent from the same period a year earlier to THB 58.39 billion (USD 1.67 billion). - Foreign investors were net buyers of Thai shares in January at THB 6.20 billion. - In January, listed companies raised funds through equity worth a combined THB 15.12 billion from the secondary market. Derivatives: - The average derivatives trading volume was 311,200 contracts per day in January, rising 9.12 percent from the average daily trading volume in 2016.
2/2
For more information, please visit www.set.or.th/setresearch
“SET… You Grow, We Groom”
Members of the media please contact the Corporate Communications Dept.: Arada Kultawanich tel: +66 (0) 2009 9483 / Darawan Maleesri tel: +66 (0) 2009 9484 / Kanokwan Khemmalai tel: +66 (0) 2009 9478.
Thai bourse market report for January 2017
February 9, 2017
Net buy / sellYearly 6 months Quarterly Monthly
2014 2015 2016 H1/16 H2/16 4/2015 3/2016 4/2016 2016 2017Nov Dec Jan
Foreign net trading value into regional stock marketsUnit: million USD, Data as of Jan 31, 2017
SET in the regional context
2014 2015 2016 H1/16 H2/16 4/2015 3/2016 4/2016 Nov Dec JanTHAILAND -1,091 -4,372 2,240 1,038 1,203 -1,300 2,748 -1,545 -1,044 13 179INDONESIA 3,766 -1,580 1,259 984 274 -695 1,641 -1,367 -919 -273 -73PHILIPPINES 1,256 -1,194 83 641 -557 -321 111 -668 -383 -191 6VIETNAM 136 100 -345 -79 -266 -62 -152 -114 -68 -50 26TAIWAN 13,190 3,384 10,956 6,245 4,712 249 8,017 -3,305 -3,244 1 1,844INDIA 16,118 3,274 2,903 2,956 -53 -334 4,554 -4,607 -2,611 -1,250 -73KOREA 5,684 -3,580 10,480 3,349 7,131 -4,011 6,065 1,066 -436 1,245 1,250
Source: Bloomberg Note: excludes mai
2
SET in the regional contextUnit: net flow (billion THB); Data as of Jan 27, 2017Foreign net flow into Thai bond and equity markets
Net flowYearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly
2014 2015 2016 2/2016 3/2016 4/2016 2016 9-13 Jan 16-20 Jan 23-27 JanNov Dec 1-27 JanGovernment bond
Sources: SETSMART, Thai BMA and BOT3
Government bond (LB+TB) 29.7 -71.8 16.4 27.6 21.4 -22.8 -21.6 -4.8 19.5 5.3 19.2 -6.1Central bank bond -53.9 -40.4 46.8 28.7 -9.5 -75.1 -48.5 3.7 2.5 1.0 3.3 -1.5Equity -35.7 -155.6 78.5 17.6 97.3 -54.7 -36.9 0.3 7.4 1.7 -0.5 -0.7THB/USD (average) 32.48 34.25 35.28 35.29 34.84 35.40 35.37 35.79 35.50 35.48 35.38 35.26THB/USD (end of period) 32.91 36.03 35.83 35.12 34.59 35.83 35.70 35.83 35.28 35.43 35.37 35.28
SET in the regional context
-17.1 -6.9 -6.8 -2.10.3 3.8
-0.70.9 8.6 12.8 13.4 18.1 20.5
-11.3 -3.0 -1.6 -0.10.4 0.4 1.9 3.3 8.6 11.0 14.8 15.3 19.8
China Malaysia Philippines Singapore Hong Kong Japan India Korea MSCI EM Taiwan Vietnam Indonesia Thailand
USD Local currency2016 Stock index change (%YoY)Unit: percent; (end of Dec 2015 - Dec 30, 2016)
4Source: Bloomberg; * MSCI EM = MSCI Emerging Markets Index
2.8 1.3 3.16.8 5.6 4.3 3.3 4.6 5.7 5.4 5.3
8.56.1
-0.4 0.0
1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 3.9 4.9 5.4 5.7 5.8 6.2
Japan Indonesia Malaysia Korea Taiwan Thailand China India Vietnam MSCI EM Philippines Singapore Hong Kong
USD Local currencyStock index change (%YTD)Unit: percent; (end of Dec 2016 - Jan 31, 2017)
-17.1China Malaysia Philippines Singapore Hong Kong Japan India Korea MSCI EM Taiwan Vietnam Indonesia Thailand
Stock index movement (in local currency)Data as of Jan 31, 2017; rebased end-2016 = 100110 Singapore
PhilippinesVietnam
110 MSCI asia ex Japan
MSCI frontier merkets
SET in the regional context
Source: Bloomberg
90
100
31 Dec 1
6
10 Jan 1
7
20 Jan 1
7
30 Jan 1
7VietnamThailandMalaysiaIndonesia
90
100
31 Dec 1
6
10 Jan 1
7
20 Jan 1
7
30 Jan 1
7
merketsMSCI emerging marketsMSCI world index
Thailand
5
11.07
9.88
11.16
12.12
11.40
12.99
14.06
15.76
16.35
13.22
26.12
11.80
12.15 14.8
6
14.98
13.93 16.23
17.48
16.37
17.40
16.02 27.5
6
9.67 11.72
13.42
13.55
14.09
14.31
14.75
15.79
17.26
14.66
37.72
Korea Hong Kong China Taiwan Singapore Vietnam Indonesia Malaysia Philippines SET mai
Jan 31, 2016 Dec 30, 2016 Jan 31, 2017Unit: timesForward P/E of Thailand and regional comparisons
SET in the regional context
Average of 9 countries as of Jan 31, 2017 is 13.84
9.61 12.09
13.51
11.80 17.7
2
14.02
13.93 19.9
2 27.62
17.73
51.47
12.20
12.22 16.50
15.91
16.52
17.61
18.37
18.63 24.23
16.74 63.2
7
12.94
13.10
16.01
16.32
16.86
18.19
18.97
19.66 23.86
17.11
Hong Kong Singapore Taiwan Vietnam Malaysia China Korea Philippines Indonesia SET mai
Jan 31, 2016 Dec 30, 2016 Jan 31, 2017
Korea Hong Kong China Taiwan Singapore Vietnam Indonesia Malaysia Philippines SET mai
Source: Bloomberg, *Historical P/E of SET and mai from SETSMARTForward P/E Ratio : The measure of the price-to-earning ratio (P/E) using forecasted earnings for the next 12 months from analyst consensus in Bloomberg data base.Historical P/E Ratio: The measure of the price-to-earning ratio( P/E) using trailing 12 months earning in the calculation.
Average of 9 countries as of Jan 31, 2017 is 17.32
6
Unit: timesHistorical P/E of Thailand and regional comparisons
92.42
25
3.09
4.26
4.39 4.56
4.14
3.52
3.20
2.97 3.70
3.76 3.96
3.16
3.14
3.24 3.49
3.55 3.88
3.07
Jan 31, 2016 Dec 30, 2016 Jan 31, 2017
Market Dividend YieldUnit: percent
SET in the regional context 2.11
1.48 2.25
2.05
1.32 1.56
1.57 1.81
1.89
1.26 1.55
1.67
1.75
1.78
1.41
Indonesia Korea China Philippines Malaysia Vietnam Hong Kong Singapore Taiwan SET mai
Source: BloombergMarket dividend yield : Previous 12-month dividend value divided by market capitalization at the end of the month.
7
Average of 9 countries as of Jan 31, 2017 is 2.67%
80.961.731.9
1,354.0
1,124.6698.8 698.8
Share turnover velocity** (2012 - Dec 2016) Unit: percent
Average daily turnover* (2012 - Dec 2016)Unit: million USD
SET in the regional context
31.9 27.126.9 20.926.9 19.214.5 11.8
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Thailand Singapore Malaysia Indonesia Philippines
698.8 698.8434.8321.8374.6 346.6
151.5 118.42012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Aug
16Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Thailand Singapore Malaysia Indonesia Philippines
8
Source: World Federation of Exchanges (WFE).* Average daily turnover calculates by trading value / number of business days** The turnover velocity is the ratio between the Electronic Order Book (EOB) turnover of domestic shares and their market capitalization. The value is annualized by multiplying the monthly average by 12.
5,8213,193
1,561
Domestic Market CapitalizationUnit: billion USD; data as of end-Dec 2016 (...%) Percentage change (MoM); Nov 2016 - Dec 2016
Number of Listed CompaniesUnit: companies; data as of end-Dec 2016(…) Change (MoM); Nov 2016 - Dec 2016
SET in the regional context
Source: World Federation of Exchanges (WFE).* Bombay SE 9
1,973911 903 757 656 537 265
India*
Hong K
ong
Taiwan
Malays
ia
Singapo
re
Thailan
d
Indones
ia
Philippi
nes
1,561862 650 437 434 363 240
Hong K
ong India*
Taiwan
Singapo
re
Thailan
d
Indones
ia
Malays
ia
Philippi
nesvv(-3.0%) (0.1%) (1.4%) (-61) (+16) (+1)(0.2%) (0.3%) (3.2%) (+3) (0) (-2)(MoM) (+2)(1.6%) (+1)(5.3%)
Domestic Market Capitalization (%YoY)
SET in the regional context Unit: percent; (end of Dec 2015 - Dec 2016)
-5.2%
0.3% 0.4% 1.5% 3.0%15.7% 22.8% 25.4%
-1.9%0.3% 6.1% 2.3% 5.8% 11.2% 18.1% 23.0%
Malaysia Hong Kong Philippine Singapore India Taiwan Indonesia Thailand
USD Local currency
Source: World Federation of Exchanges (WFE).* Bombay SE 10
-3.0%
0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 1.4% 1.6% 3.2% 5.3%
-3.0% -0.6% -0.4%0.3% 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2%
Hong Kong India Taiwan Singapore Philippine Malaysia Thailand Indonesia
USD Local currency
Domestic Market Capitalization (%MoM)Unit: percent; (end of Nov 2016 - Dec 2016)
-5.2%Malaysia Hong Kong Philippine Singapore India Taiwan Indonesia Thailand
Initial Public Offering raising fund in ASEAN-5 Market (million USD; Data as of Dec 2016)
6,522 5,196
4,024 4,350
2013 2014 2015 2016*
SET in the regional context
11
2,835 1,669 1,369
4,024 2,550
1,251 768 316
4,350
319 1,312 878 116
1,504 1,659 299 1,043 1,017
Thailand Singapore Malaysia Indonesia Philippines
Source: Bloomberg, The Stock Exchange of ThailandNote: In 2016, 2 Large IPO in Singapore from Frasers Logistics & Industrial REIT valued USD 664 million and Manulife US REIT valued USD 470 million
16,400 9,723 5,697 4,358 2,818Accumulated 4 years IPO value
90
110 INDUSTECHFINCIALRESOURCCONSUMPPROPCONSETSET50
SET index classified by industry
Market Activities(Data as of Jan 31, 2017; rebased end-2016 = 100)
Weight Mkt cap.2014 2015 2016 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17 Jan 17
SET 15.3 -14.0 19.8 1.0 2.2 2.2 100%SET50 13.3 -18.7 18.6 0.7 2.3 2.0 63%
Industrial -14.3 -9.7 33.6 5.5 3.8 6.3 5%Technology 22.0 -34.5 7.5 -2.0 2.7 4.1 10%Financial 27.9 -22.3 17.7 2.2 3.0 3.3 17%Resource -2.3 -20.7 38.5 1.5 4.5 3.1 19%
Consumption 40.9 -18.3 6.2 -1.3 1.4 3.0 1%Property 18.8 -0.9 4.0 -1.6 1.6 2.4 16%Service 22.8 2.9 20.7 2.1 -0.4 -0.2 24%
Agro & Food 8.7 -13.2 36.3 0.2 2.5 -0.2 7%
%YoY %MTD
90 SET50SERVICEAGRO
Source: SETSMART
SET index classified by industryUnit: percent
12
12,282,7
55
15,079,2
7215,5
17,973
12,415,0
2112,7
15,608
13,407,0
6513,3
74,797
13,566,1
1813,7
92,013
14,686,0
7414,9
62,071
14,364,5
8514,5
89,797
14,742,7
7115,0
79,272
15,517,9
73
1,288 1,543 1,577 1,301 1,332 1,408 1,405 1,424 1,445 1,524 1,548 1,483 1,496 1,510 1,543 1,577
1006001,1001,600
05,000,000
10,000,00015,000,00020,000,000
2015
2016
2017
(YTD)
Jan 16
Feb 16
Mar 16
Apr 16
May 16
Jun 16 Jul 16
Aug 16
Sep 16
Oct 16
Nov 16
Dec 16
Jan 17
SET Market capitalization and SET index Unit: Market cap.(million THB) (LHS); Index (RHS)
Market ActivitiesSET Market Cap Index
High 15,685,434(Jan 26, 17) 1,591.00(Jan 26, 17)Low 15,281,890(Jan 4, 17) 1,554.88(Jan 19, 17)Average 15,474,872%YTD 2.91% 2.23%
2017 (YTD)
2015
2016
2017
(YTD)
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun Jul Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
323,478
425,364
335,866
314,634
310,652
326,123
331,509
330,531
337,010
382,584
378,830
362,722
379,484
394,945
425,364
335,866
523 616 646 509 500 518 525 524 527 589 585 552 576 599 616 646
50150250350450550650750
0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000
2015
2016
2017
(YTD)
Jan 16
Feb 16
Mar 16
Apr 16
May 16
Jun 16 Jul 16
Aug 16
Sep 16
Oct 16
Nov 16
Dec 16
Jan 17
mai Market capitalization and mai index
Source: SETSMART13
Unit: Market cap.(million THB) (LHS); Index (RHS)%YTD 2.91% 2.23%
mai Market Cap IndexHigh 436,825
(Jan 5, 17)646.02
(Jan 31, 17)Low 322,678
(Jan 19, 17)490.09
(Jan 4, 17)Average 339,482%YTD -21.04% 4.83%
2017 (YTD)
616.27 646.02518.40 527.35 551.74
616.27 576.21 598.74 616.27 646.02
400500600700800
8,00010,00012,00014,000
50,245 55,36745,168 44,910
58,101 52,45361,456 55,256 55,367
1,542.941,577.31 1,407.70 1,444.99 1,483.211,542.94 1,495.72 1,510.24
1,542.941,577.31
1,2001,6002,000
50,00060,00070,00080,000
SET average daily trading value and SET Index Average daily trading value SET Index at the end of period
mai average daily trading value and mai Index Average daily trading value mai Index at the end of periodUnit: Trading value (million THB (LHS); Index (RHS) Unit: Trading value (million THB) (LHS); Index (RHS)
Market Activities
2,281 3,0211,371 1,902 3,203 2,631 2,083 2,559 3,258 3,021
0100200300400
02,0004,0006,0008,000
2016
2017
(YTD)
Q1/201
6
Q2/201
6
Q3/201
6
Q4/201
6
Oct 16
Nov 16
Dec 16
Jan 17
45,168 44,910 52,45340,366
0400800
20,00030,00040,00050,000
2016
2017
(YTD)
Q1/201
6
Q2/201
6
Q3/201
6
Q4/201
6
Oct 16
Nov 16
Dec 16
Jan 17
(THB million) 2016 2017(YTD) H1/2016 H2/2016 Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016 Q4/2016 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17Average daily trading value (SET and mai) % YOY 52,52618.56% 58,38831.64% 46,669-2.16% 58,19441.60% 46,540-14.40% 46,81215.42% 61,30346.60% 55,084-10.15% 63,54047.05% 57,81551.04% 43,6244.72% 58,38831.64%
Source: SETSMART 14
28,265 32,231 24,687 25,505 32,565 30,138 35,702 33,825 28,738 33,691 32,732 23,732 32,23113,433 14,028 11,828 11,681 16,068 14,041 15,073 15,415 17,535 16,689 14,018
11,418 14,0285,304 6,7414,731 4,779
6,067 5,606 6,928 6,436 4,992 6,567 5,6384,608
6,7415,523 5,388 5,294 4,8466,604 5,299 6,636 6,584 6,597 6,592 5,426
3,8655,388
Average daily trading value and trading proportion classified by investor typesUnit: million THB
Average daily
Market Activities
15
53.81% 55.20% 53.05% 54.48% 53.12% 54.71% 55.49% 54.33% 49.67% 53.02% 56.62% 54.40% 56.14%25.57% 24.03% 25.42% 24.95% 26.21% 25.49% 23.43% 24.76% 30.30% 26.27% 24.25% 26.17% 23.58%10.10% 11.55% 10.17% 10.21% 9.90% 10.18% 10.77% 10.34% 8.63% 10.34% 9.75% 10.56% 11.10%10.52% 9.23% 11.37% 10.35% 10.77% 9.62% 10.31% 10.57% 11.40% 10.37% 9.39% 8.86% 9.17%
2016 2017(YTD)
Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016 Q4/2016 Jul 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17Local Investors Foreign Investors Local Institutions Proprietary Trading
Unit: percent53,52653,526 58,38858,388 46,54046,540
Average daily trading value 46,81246,812
Source: SETSMART
61,30361,303 64,33964,339 62,26062,260 57,86257,862 63,54063,540 57,81557,81555,69355,693 43,62343,623 58,38858,388
Market Activities
-13,038
6,197 3,501 3,341
Local Investors Foreign Investors Local Institutions Proprietary Trading
Unit: million THB, data as of Jan 31, 2017Net trading position classified by investor type (YTD)
Unit: million THB, data as of Jan 31, 201778,546 6,197 18,398 17,580 97,293
-54,725
34,354.15 17,643-18,145 -36,890
309 6,197
2016 2017 (YTD)
Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016 Q4/2016 Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17
Source: SETSMART 16
Local Investors Foreign Investors Local Institutions Proprietary TradingNet trading value of foreign investors
Market Activities
SET10SET11-30SET31-50
SET51-100Non SET100 and mai
Proportion of trading value by market capUnit: percent, data as of Jan 31, 2017
28% 22% 37% 30% 25% 23% 27% 19% 23% 22%21% 18%
22% 20% 22% 21% 18% 19% 16% 18%9% 12%
13% 12% 11% 8% 13% 15% 8% 12%12% 13%
11% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13%30% 36% 18% 25% 30% 35% 30% 36% 40% 36%
18% 17% 17% 18% 14% 22% 25% 21% 19% 17%14% 11% 20% 13% 13% 10% 8% 13% 9% 11%13% 12%
15% 13% 14% 11% 14% 9% 9% 12%8% 7%
7% 8% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7%7% 8%
5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%5% 3%
6% 5% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4% 3%6% 6%
4% 5% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6%29% 37% 25% 31% 31% 30% 26% 29% 38% 37%
2016 2017 (YTD) Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016 Q4/2016 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17
Proportion of trading value by sector Unit: percent, data as of Jan 31, 2017
Source: SETSMART
46,540Daily average trading value (Unit: million THB) 46,81258,388 61,303
17
CommerceTransportationBankInformation & Communication Technology
Energy
Construction materialsFood & BeverageOthers
63,540 57,81555,693 43,62353,526 58,388
Market Activities
Industrial
Accumulated fund raising value 2017
Unit: million THB
Type Yearly % YoY Quarterly Monthly 2016 Jan 2016 2017 YTD 1/2016 2/2016 3/2016 4/2016 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17Initial Public Offering 52,781 - - n.a. 1,356 9,195 11,062 31,168 7,961 2,665 -Secondary Offering 191,595 8,723 15,124 73.38% 13,835 74,604 93,821 9,334 2,789 5,089 15,124
Unit: million THB, data as of Jan 31, 2017Fund raising value
Source: SET18
Services412
Property14,483
Industrial Goods
229- Public Offering 1,339 - - n.a. - - - 1,339 - 1,317 -- Private Placement 12,277 6,192 15,119 144.17% 8,484 724 1,712 1,357 39 661 15,119- Convertible Bond - - - n.a. - - - - - - -- Warrant 63,705 284 5 -98.24% 1,713 51,339 7,445 3,209 471 2,183 5- Right Offering 114,272 2,247 - n.a. 3,637 22,541 84,663 3,430 2,278 927 -
Grand Total 244,375 8,723 15,124 73.38% 15,191 83,799 104,883 40,502 10,750 7,754 15,124
Number of active investors and active rate* Unit: No. of accounts (LHS); % active rate (RHS)
Market Activities
311,907 324,875 286,113 266,906 262,002 302,221 286,189 305,768 330,045 355,568 382,464 368,054 371,785 348,967 318,528
26.2% 24.9% 23.0% 21.3% 20.8% 23.8% 22.4% 23.7% 25.4% 27.2% 29.0% 27.6% 27.9% 25.9% 23.5%
0%10%20%30%40%
0200,000400,000600,000800,000
clients active rate
Source: SET; Note: 1. 12-month average 2. December info * calculated by number of active accounts / total accounts; active account is account which trade at least once a month. 19
0%02015 2016 Dec 15 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Jun 16 Jul 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16
2015 2016 2015 2016Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug** Sep Oct Nov Dec
Number of investors (accounts) 1,244,9072 1,355,6642 1,244,907 1,255,178 1,259,885 1,271,142 1,278,884 1,289,698 1,301,988 1,307,933 1,320,905 1,332,790 1,333,917 1,347,326 1,355,664% YoY of Number of accounts 13.3%2 8.9% 2 13.3% 12.6% 11.1% 10.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 8.7% 8.7% 8.3% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9%Trading Value / Accounts (Million baht)
2.87 3.27 2.81 3.32 3.19 4.00 2.60 2.65 3.38 3.26 3.58 3.46 3.42 3.64 2.74
% YoY of trading value / Accounts -10.8% 14.1% -23.4% 1.9% -1.9% 37.3% 1.8% 11.1% 21.0% 27.3% 25.6% 14.2% 7.8% 33.8% -5.9%
1 1
Market Activities224,726 235,570 204,063 188,620 185,947 215,201 204,427 215,112 237,887 258,352 281,135 273,205 274,319 257,634 257,634
16% 5% -17% -23% -30% -16% -5% 3% 9% 13% 22% 33% 34% 21% 15% -100%0%100%200%300%
0100,000200,000300,000
2015 2016 Dec 15 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Jun 16 Jul 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16
Number of active internet investor’s account Unit: No. of accounts (LHS); %YoY (RHS)
1 1
Internet Trading Value Unit: million THB (LHS); %YoY (RHS)
Source: SET; Note: 1. monthly average value 2. calculated by average of monthly internet trading value / average of monthly total trading value Active internet investors is account which trade at least once a month. 20
339,746 372,805 284,933 302,406 289,088410,196
248,976 272,660 391,807 410,638 493,252 427,125 428,821 478,158320,529
-2% 10% -36% -36% -43% 10% -2% 18% 27% 37% 42% 26% 22% 56% 12% -200%-100%0%100%200%300%
0200,000400,000600,000
2015 2016 Dec 15 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Jun 16 Jul 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16% Internet trading value 20152 20162 Dec15 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Jun 16 Jul 16 Aug 16* Sep 16 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16
Comparing with total trading value (%) 37.9 34.9 34.2 34.1 34.6 33.9 33.5 33.7 35.1 35.5 36.0 33.6 33.7 37.6 36.7Comparing with trading value of local investors, excludes local institution (%)
64.0 64.9 61.5 63.9 64.6 64.6 63.0 64.3 61.7 63.9 66.3 67.6 63.6 63.4 67.5
Internet Trading Value
1 1
Fund type2015 2016 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17Equity Fund 979,386 1,141,779 1,076,650 1,090,656 1,141,779 1,142,392 0.1% 24.9%Fixed Income Fund 2,239,040 2,508,995 2,537,973 2,510,088 2,508,995 2,520,776 0.5% 55.0%Mixed Fund 115,564 297,695 288,133 292,603 297,695 276,839 -7.0% 6.0%Property Fund 286,408 287,629 290,701 291,937 287,629 289,367 0.6% 6.3%Infrastructure fund 219,767 235,937 234,524 234,921 235,937 235,605 -0.1% 5.1%
Net asset valueEnd of year End of Month %YTD % proportion
Asset under management
Market ActivitiesUnit: million THB; as of Jan 31, 2017
Infrastructure fund 219,767 235,937 234,524 234,921 235,937 235,605 -0.1% 5.1%Others 134,796 87,511 88,093 86,361 87,511 121,652 39.0% 2.7%Total 3,974,960 4,559,545 4,516,075 4,506,567 4,559,545 4,586,632 0.6% 100.0%Domestic Equity Fund (Exclude Vayupak Fund) 519,973 619,808 571,450 579,554 619,808 609,285 -1.7% 53.3%Vayupak Fund 233,207 328,726 310,773 314,789 328,726 341,152 3.8% 29.9%Foreign Equity Fund 226,206 193,245 194,427 196,313 193,245 191,955 -0.7% 16.8%Total 979,386 1,141,779 1,076,650 1,090,656 1,141,779 1,142,392 0.1% 100.0%Long-Term Equity Fund (LTF) 277,313 337,392 306,234 308,794 337,392 331,387 -1.8% 29.0%Retirement Mutual Fund - Equity (RMFEQ) 54,209 73,467 65,378 66,456 73,467 74,476 1.4% 6.5%Trigger Equity Fund 20,610 18,859 20,732 19,837 18,859 18,540 -1.7% 1.6%Other Equity fund 394,047 383,334 373,533 380,781 383,334 376,836 -1.7% 33.0%Vayupak Fund 233,207 328,726 310,773 314,789 328,726 341,152 3.8% 29.9%Total 979,386 1,141,779 1,076,650 1,090,656 1,141,779 1,142,392 0.1% 100.0%
Equity fund classified by destination
Equity fund classified by special fund group
Source: Summation of Asset Size by Classification report, Association of Investment Management CompaniesNote: In Jan 2017, AIMC adjusted fund type of 1 Mixed funds to Others fund 21
Average daily trading contract classified by instrumentsUnit: contracts; Data as of Jan 31, 2017
2016 2017(YTD)
%YOY3 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 %QOQ4 Oct 16 Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan 17 %MOM5
SET50 Index Futures1 131,938 83,719 -36.55% 120,229 142,120 126,844 -10.75% 164,212 113,454 104,205 83,719 -19.66%SET50 Index Options 1,757 2,064 17.47% 1,358 2,305 2,008 -12.89% 2.042 2,199 1,764 2,064 17.01%Single Stock Futures 138,634 216,192 55.94% 107,834 214,386 159,796 -25.46% 188,958 146,625 145,122 216,192 48.97%
Note1 Calculate from the total volume traded during
that period, divided by the number of business days in that period.
2 Calculate by total trading volume of each instrument / number of business days of each instrument.
Market Activities: TFEX
Single Stock Futures 138,634 216,192 55.94% 107,834 214,386 159,796 -25.46% 188,958 146,625 145,122 216,192 48.97%50 Baht Gold Futures 747 601 -19.54% 659 478 1,083 126.57% 1,061 1,710 416 601 44.47%10 Baht Gold Futures1 11,154 7,915 -29.04% 11,699 10,523 10,190 -3.16% 9,785 13,690 6,745 7,915 17.35%Interest Rate Futures1 - - n.a. - - - n.a. - - - - n.a.Silver Futures1 - - n.a. - - - n.a. - - - - n.a.Brent Crude Oil Futures1 119 - n.a. 122 41 - n.a. - - - - n.a.USD Futures1 838 704 -15.99% 524 758 1,084 43.01% 1,186 1,087 980 704 -28.16%Sector Index Futures1 - - n.a. - - - n.a. - - - - n.a.Agricultural Futures6 1 5 n.a. 2 2 - n.a. - - - 5 n.a.
All Products2 285,189 311,200 9.12% 242,426 370,614 301,006 -18.78% 367,245 278,765 259,231 311,200 20.05%
Source: SETSMART
each instrument.3 Calculated from the average daily trading
volume of year 2016 with year 2017 (YTD).4 Calculated from the average daily trading
volume in Q4/2016 with Q3/2016.5 Calculated from the average daily trading
volume in January 2017 compared with December 2016.
6 TFEX ready for first agricultural trading "RSS3 Futures" on Feb 15, 2016
22
• ปัจจยัภายนอกสาํคญัต่อทศิทางของตลาดหลกัทรพัยไ์ทย• นโยบายเศรษฐกจิสหรฐัฯ (America first) สง่ผลดต่ีอดชันี
Down Jones โดยปรบัตวัเพมิขนึอย่างต่อเนอืงสูร่ะดบั 20,000 จุดซงึเป็นระดบัสงูสดุใหม ่(all time high) ภายหลงัการประกาศยกเลกิ TPP และกาํหนดใหม้กีารเจรจา NAFTA ใหม่
• องักฤษแถลงยุทธศาสตรส์นบัสนุนอุตสาหกรรมสมยัใหมภ่ายหลงัจากออกจากการเป็นสมาชกิ EU โดยภาครฐัจะสนบัสนุน
สรปุประเดน็สาํคญัในเดือนมกราคม 2560
19,80020,00020,200 US: Down Jones
Index movement
7,0007,500 UK: FTSE100
+ 0.5% YTD
- 0.6% YTD
Data as of Jan 31, 2017
23
หลงัจากออกจากการเป็นสมาชกิ EU โดยภาครฐัจะสนบัสนุนอุตสาหกรรมในเชงินวตักรรมมากขนึ การเป็นสมาชกิภาพ EU จะสนิสดุในปี 2562
• จนีออกมาตรการเสรมิสภาพคล่องในระบบการเงนิดว้ยการอดัฉีดเงนิผา่นธนาคารพาณิชย ์ทา่มกลางการคาดเดาผลจากมาตรการทางการคา้ของสหรฐัฯ ทอีาจสง่ผลกระทบต่อเศรษฐกจิจนี
• ยอดสง่ออกของญปีุ่ นในเดอืน ธ.ค.59 เพมิขนึ 5.4% ซงึเป็นการเพมิขนึครงัแรกในรอบ 15 เดอืน
19,60019,800
1-Jan 8-Jan 15-Jan 22-Jan 29-Jan6,5007,000
1-Jan 8-Jan 15-Jan 22-Jan 29-Jan
3,0003,2003,4003,600
1-Jan 8-Jan 15-Jan 22-Jan 29-Jan
CN: SHSZ300
18,000
19,000
20,000
1-Jan 8-Jan 15-Jan 22-Jan 29-Jan
JP: Nikkei
- 0.6% YTD
-0.4% YTD
+ 2.4% YTD
สรปุประเดน็สาํคญัในเดือนมกราคม 2560Exchange rate movement
(%YTD); Data as of Jan 31, 2017
2.6%2.6%
3.6%
SGDEURJPY
+ = Appreciation against USD
Commodities price movement
102030405060Crude oil
8001,0001,2001,400
Gold
2,0004,000
Rubber
+ 1.7% YTD + 5.5% YTD + 22.5%YTD
Data as of Jan 31, 2017(USD/barrel) (USD/ounce) (TOCOM rubber index)
100200300400500
Jun-16 Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Tapioca
0102030
Jun-16 Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Sugar
24
-0.4%0.8%0.9%1.3%
1.9%2.1%
2.6%
PHPIDR
CNYMYRGBPTHBSGD 1020
Jun-16 Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
8001,000
Jun-16 Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
200300400500
Jun-16 Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Thai white rice
0
1-Jun
1-Jul
1-Aug
1-Sep 1-Oct
1-Nov
1-Dec 1-Jan
+ 1.7% YTD + 5.5% YTD + 22.5%YTD
+ 2.4% YTD
(USD/metric ton) (cents/ pound) (USD/metric ton)
+ 10.7% YTD
Source: Bloomberg
+ 0% YTD
Appendix 1 Market StatisticsAs end of January 2017 2015 2016 2017 (YTD) Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016 Q4/2016 Nov 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017
SETSET Index 1,288.02 1,542.94 1,577.31 1,407.70 1,444.99 1,483.21 1,542.94 1,510.24 1,542.94 1,577.31
Market Dividend Yield (%) 3.36 3.04 2.98 3.38 3.29 3.19 3.04 3.11 3.04 2.98 Market P/E Ratio 1/ 22.57 18.55 19.12 20.65 21.96 21.76 18.55 17.96 18.55 19.12
Market P/BV 1.74 1.96 2.02 1.84 1.86 1.89 1.96 1.90 1.96 2.02 Total Turnover Value (M.Baht) 9,997,371.76 12,259,773 1,107,340 2,845,608.18 2,559,842.18 3,602,253.63 3,252,068.52 1,215,624.33 807,315.99 1,107,339.81 Daily Turnover Value (M.Baht) 41,141.45 50,245 55,367 45,168.38 44,909.51 58,100.87 52,452.72 55,255.65 40,365.80 55,366.99
Number of Listed Securities 1,646 7,207 1,905 1,709 1,781 1,838 1,879 1,916 1,879 1,905 Newly Listed Companies 22 11 - 1 - 4 6 3 1 -
Raising value of New Listed Securities (M.Baht) 2/ 179,880.20 135,864 - 4,320.00 8,148.00 31,230.00 92,166.02 16,101.60 3,013.89 - Total value of Newly Listed Securities (M.Baht) 3/ 35,306.59 46,868 - 1,080.00 8,148.00 8,783.73 28,856.51 7,695.60 851.91 -
Delisted Listed Companies 9 8 1 1 1 4 2 - 2 1 No. of Companies moved from mai to SET 3 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 No. of Companies moved from SET to mai 1 - - - - - - - - -
Total Capitalization (M.Baht) 12,282,755 15,079,272.11 15,517,973.18 13,407,064.75 13,792,013 14,364,585 15,079,272.11 14,742,771 15,079,272 15,517,973 mai
mai Index 522.62 616.27 646.02 518.40 527.35 551.74 616.27 598.74 616.27 646.02 mai Index 522.62 616.27 646.02 518.40 527.35 551.74 616.27 598.74 616.27 646.02 Market Dividend Yield (%) 1.00 1.24 1.46 1.66 1.60 1.47 1.24 1.34 1.24 1.46
Market P/E Ratio 1/ 52.94 63.27 92.42 58.62 62.11 60.31 63.27 60.53 63.27 92.42 Market P/BV 3.29 3.82 3.35 3.18 3.19 3.43 3.82 3.57 3.82 3.35
Total Turnover Value (M.Baht) 768,097.73 556,487 60,426 86,387.58 108,421.30 198,556.69 163,120.94 56,297.19 65,161.63 60,425.60 Daily Turnover Value (M.Baht) 3,160.90 2,280.68 3,021.28 1,371.23 1,902.13 3,202.53 2,630.98 2,558.96 3,258.08 3,021.28
Number of Listed Securities 166 1,047 178 167 175 527 178 176 178 178 Newly Listed Companies 13 13 - 1 4 4 4.00 1 2 -
Raising value of New Listed Securities (M.Baht) 2/ 18,729.54 21,902 - 1,104.00 3,932.00 7,435.00 9,431.38 1,045.20 7,574.18 - Total value of Newly Listed Securities (M.Baht) 3/ 4,593.83 5,912 - 276.00 1,047.00 2,278.75 2,310.74 265.20 1,813.54 -
Delisted Listed Companies - - - - - - - - - - No. of Companies moved from mai to SET 3 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 No. of Companies moved from SET to mai - - - - - - - - - -
Total Capitalization (M.Baht) 323,478.44 425,364.18 335,866.24 326,122.79 337,010.33 425,364.18 425,364.18 394,944.58 425,364.18 335,866.24
Appendix 1 Market StatisticsAs end of January 2017 2015 2016 2017 (YTD) Q1/2016 Q2/2016 Q3/2016 Q4/2016 Nov 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017
SET & maiTrading value proportion separated by investor types 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Local Investors 59.21% 53.81% 55.20% 53.05% 54.48% 53.12% 54.71% 56.62% 54.40% 55.20%Foreign Investors 22.20% 25.57% 24.03% 25.42% 24.95% 26.21% 25.49% 24.25% 26.17% 24.03%Local Institutions 9.39% 10.10% 11.55% 10.17% 10.21% 9.90% 10.18% 9.75% 10.56% 11.55%
Proprietary Trading 9.20% 10.52% 9.23% 11.37% 10.35% 10.77% 9.62% 9.39% 8.86% 9.23%Net Buying Position(M.Baht)
Local Investors 79,895.83 -104,054.06 -13,037.90 -26,756.76 -21,497.55 -58,811.23 3,011.49 22,094.92 -14,248.64 -13,037.90 Foreign Investors -155,630.70 78,545.98 6,196.65 18,398.01 17,580.17 97,293.38 -54,725.58 -36,889.64 309.35 6,196.65Local Institutions 82,133.01 132.09 3,500.57 -6,296.77 2,077.47 -41,078.31 45,429.70 9,683.00 12,070.37 3,500.57
Proprietary Trading -6,398.13 25,375.98 3,340.68 14,655.51 1,839.92 2,596.16 6,284.39 5,111.72 1,868.92 3,340.68Daily Turnover Value (M.Baht) 44,302.35 52,525.65 58,388.27 46,539.61 46,811.64 61,303.39 55,083.70 57,814.61 43,623.88 58,388.27
Total Capitalization (M.Baht) 12,606,233.14 15,504,636.29 15,853,839.42 13,733,187.54 14,129,023.30 14,789,948.76 15,504,636.29 15,137,715.61 15,504,636.29 15,853,839.42 Source: The Stock Exchange of ThailandNote:1/ Historical P/E which calculated from market price of common stock divided / earnign per share2/ Calculated from IPO Price multiplies with number of listed shares2/ Calculated from IPO Price multiplies with number of listed shares3/ Calculated from IPO Price multiplies with IPO shares