sessions in progress - arab...

Sessions in Progress

Dr. Shafik Ashkar

AFA Secretary General

Eng. Mohamed El‐Mouzi

Representative of Egyptian Fertilizer Industries

Water Challenges with Special Focus on the Arab Region

Dr. Mahmoud Abu Zeid, President , Arab Water Council,

Egypt

Mr. Mohamed Rashid AL‐Rashid

AFA Chairman

Toward Successful Dialogue in Resolving Complex

Dr. Mustafa Al‐Sayed, Secretary General, Royal Charity

Organization, Bahrain


Water Challenges with Special Focus on the Arab RegionDr. Mahmoud Abu Zeid, Presdient, Arab Water Council, Egypt

The water sector in the world is facing some very serious challenges. These challenges areeven bigger in the arid and semi‐arid regions.The Arab region is one of direct regions in the world. The paper discusses present andfuture challenges. Climate change is likely to act also as a threat multiplier, exacerbatingwater scarcity and tensions over water within the region. Policies, technical andinstitutional responses to these complex challenges are presented. Technologicalinnovations including bio‐saline agriculture, desalination, recycling, waste watermanagement and climate adaptation and mitigation options are also debated.

Dr. Mustafa Al‐Sayed, Secretary General, Royal

Charity Organization, Bahrain

Toward Successful Dialogue in Resolving Complex

تقترح ھذه الورقة التأسيس لقواعد الحوار في حقل الصناعة واإلدارة كوسيلة حضارية تحقق التوازن المطلوب بين •وتسھم في ترسيخ القيم األخالقية كمكون أصيل من مكونات االلتزام تجاه اآلخر وتجاه . متطلبات األطراف وبين قدراتھم.المجتمع في عالم المال واألعمال

تسعى الورقة إلى التعامل مع مفردة الحوار واستجالبھا من فضاء العلوم اإلنسانية والعمل على حقن شرايين العالقات •.الصناعية بمفاھيم الحوار واالختالف اإليجابي وثقافة التعايش مع اآلخر المختلف

تعتمد الورقة على فرضية التداخل بين العلوم اإلنسانية والعلوم التطبيقية، وبالتالي تختبر مفھوم الحوار بوصفه مفھوماً •.من حقل العلوم اإلنسانية، في مجال تطوير العالقات الصناعية وإدارة األعمال في عالم الشركات

تعمل الورقة من خالل تفعيل نظريتي موسيف وكريموك اللتان تعتمدان معايير التحفيز والتفكير اإلبداعي في النظر إلى •ھذه المنھجية . األمور وتناولھا من خالل منظومة الرؤية والرسالة، واألھداف، واإلستراتيجية ثم المراجعة المستمرة

. تقوم على خلق أرضية تعمل من خالل اإلبداعية، والتحفيز والثقافة المؤسسيةوھو مفھوم جوھري في عملية الحوار. تعمل الورقة على ترسيخ مفھوم الثقة الذي يقوم عليه عالم األعمال والتجارة•


Current Fertilizer Policy in India & Future Directions

Mr. Satish Chander, Director General, FAI, India

Food Security in the Arab World: Global Challenges and

Regional OpportunitiesDr. Hadi Fathallah, Economist, FAO, Egypt

IPNI Approach to Nutrient Management in Sub‐Saharan Africa

Mr. Adrian M. Johnston ,Vice President, Asia& Africa, IPNI, Canada

Growth of Fertilizer Industry in Volatile MarketMr. Awatshi, Managing Director, IFFCO, India

N,P and K OutlookMr. Steven J. Markey, Managing Consultant, CRU International, UK

Chairperson : Mr. Ayed AL‐MUTAIRI Director, Marketing & Logistics, MA'ADEN, S. Arabia


Growth of Fertilizer Industry in Volatile MarketMr. Awatshi, Managing Director, IFFCO, India

Unprecedented Volatility in fertilizer and grain prices has been observed during last few years.Volatility in fertilizer prices bring extremely high risks and potential cost to society. Episodes ofextreme volatility—especially large, unexpected price upswings—are a major threat to foodsecurity in developing countries. Food crisis in 2008 has already led to over 40 riots in many poorcountries. The presentation aims to focus on developing the strategies wherein FertiliserCompanies can use Price Volatility as a powerful tool in order to manage its impact and at thesame time achieve gains.Food is a basic human right and fertilizer companies need to partner & take initiatives to save livesin poor countries. There is need for fertilizer companies to voluntarily allocate profit in socialresponsibility initiatives and extend it for “Fertiliser Ventures for Global Food Security” set up.

Mr. Satish Chander, Director General, FAI, India

Current Fertilizer Policy in India & Future Directions

The broad policy of the Government of India is to (i) ensure adequate and timely availability ofquality fertilisers to the farmers at affordable prices, (ii) equitable distribution of fertilisersacross the country, (iii) encourage domestic capacity and (iv) balanced and integrated use ofnutrients. Various fertiliser policies have been framed from time to time to sub serve theseobjectives. Fertiliser sector has remained under strict government regulations for a long time.The sector is now in the process of reform. Implementation of NBS on P & K fertilisers w. e. f 1stApril 2010 is the first step towards reform in the fertiliser sector. Under NBS, there are manychallenges which industry has to meet strategically. However, there is need for further reforms inthe fertiliser sector. These, inter‐alia, include extension of NBS on urea, announcement of newinvestment policy, de‐canalisation of urea. There is also need for inclusion of new/ innovativeproducts under the subsidy basket. To meet growing requirement of fertilisers in future, there isneed for addition in domestic capacity in nitrogen and maximisation of production ofphosphates. To ensure sustained availability of raw materials for phosphates in the long run,there is need for setting up joint ventures overseas.


IPNI Approach to Nutrient Management in Sub‐Saharan

Africa

Mr. Adrian M. Johnston ,Vice President, Asia& Africa, IPNI, Canada

In the face of a growing food crisis in Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA), there are renewed efforts tohelp farmers to increase crop productivity mainly by increasing use fertilizer use and improvedcrop varieties. However, sustainable crop production intensification in SSA will remain elusiveunless the fundamental issues of providing the crops with adequate nutrients in their correctbalance under highly variable soil fertility conditions are properly addressed. The Africaprogram of IPNI has been developed to work with its industry member companies, andcollaborate with national agricultural research and extension systems, Universities, andInternational Agricultural Research Systems to make a contribution to sustainable nutrientmanagement in SSA. The goal is to synthesize information and develop research programs toencourage fertilizer use in ways that are technically efficient, economically viable, andenvironmentally friendly. The program will facilitate the establishment of a network for sharinginformation on site‐ and crop‐specific best fertilizer management practices for various croppingsystems among researchers in Africa and other regions. Emphasis will also be placed onsupporting and collaborating with existing projects to develop and promote innovativemechanisms to transfer knowledge on best fertilizer management practices to input suppliers,agricultural service providers, extension services and farmers. The program will focus on sitesin the sub‐humid zones, due to their high potential for agricultural intensification, and willcover both commercial estates and subsistence oriented agricultural systems.


Security in the Arab World: Global Challenges and

Regional Opportunities

Dr. Hadi Fathallah, Economist, FAO, Egypt

After a brief break following their spike in 2007‐2008, global food commodity prices startedincreasing rapidly in the second half of 2010 and have since remained volatile. As the most foodimport dependent region in the world, Arab countries are particularly vulnerable to internationalfood commodity price volatility and supply shocks that result in higher import bills and in greatertransmission of world prices to local prices. Entrenched structural challenges such as food deficit,poverty, unemployment, high population growth rate, increased urbanization, single sectoreconomies, and scare natural resources (water and land) are now also being complemented withnew and emerging issues such as political and social unrests, cross border population movement,slow down of economic activities (tourism and associated service sectors), and food inflation.This paper will focus, beyond highlighting the challenges, on shedding light on the opportunitiesfor hedging food security risks and the prospects of investment and restructuring of the food andagriculture sector in the region.

This paper consists of four parts. Part one gives an overview of the structure of global markets foreach of the three major crop nutrients: nitrogen, phosphate, and potash, highlighting thegeography of major production centres and demand centres. Part two will describe the mostsignificant events and trends within each of those markets, including significant expansionsand/or acquisitions, trade activity, and other key events impacting supply and demand. Part threewill show CRU’s forecasts for supply and demand through 2020. On the supply side, major knownproject expansions will be mentioned. The demand section will highlight the major short termand long term drivers for fertilizer consumption to include crop production and consumptiontrends. The implications for prices going forward will be examined in light of the supply demandoutlook. Part four will consist of major conclusions to be drawn from the supply/demand analysisin light of the indicated major trends in the respective global markets.

N,P and K OutlookMr. Steven J. Markey, Managing Consultant, CRU International, UK


Global Supply and Demand Outlook for Fertilizers and Raw

MaterialsMr. Patrick Heffer, Director, Agriculture Services, IFA, France

Arab Potash CompanyMr. Keith Thornton, General Manger, APC ,Jordan

Uhde Ammonia/Urea Plants and their Environment …Dr. Ulrich Heucke, Manager Sales & Process ,ThyssenkruppUhde, Germany

Phosphate Resources: Future for 2012 and BeyondMr. Mark Evans, Consultant, BC Insight, UK

The Fertilizer Business Cycle, Supply/ Demand Balance and Profitability ‐ Analysis of Market Developments and Forecasts

Mr. Oliver Hatfield, Director‐Fertilizers, Integer Research, UK

Chairperson : Chairperson: Mr. Jafar SALEMDeputy GM/Marketing Manager, Arab Potash Company, Jordan


Despite an uncertain economic context, agricultural market fundamentals remain firm.Production of all agricultural commodities increases steadily, but strong demand in emergingcountries and from the biofuel sector keep world inventories under pressure. As a consequence,agricultural commodity prices remain firm, even if they have been progressively declining overthe past six months. This context boosts fertilizer demand, which is expected to reach a newrecord in 2011/12. By the end of the 2011/12 campaign, world fertilizer demand is expected tohave fully recovered from the 2008 economic downturn for the three macronutrients. Worldnutrient supply, in 2011, expanded in response to robust fertilizer demand. Global production ofammonia, phosphate rock and potash reached record levels. Global nutrient capacity grew at aslower rate than production, confirming the tightness of supply seen throughout 2011, becauseof delays in new capacity commissioning and stronger than expected demand. Sustained growthin global sales is forecast in 2012.

Global Supply and Demand Outlook for Fertilizers and

Raw Materials

Mr. Patrick Heffer, Director, Agriculture Services,

IFA, France

Arab Potash Company

Mr. Keith Thornton, General Manger, APC ,Jordan

The presentation will address:1. The Profile of the Arab Potash Company (APC), including financial and sales data. Also it

will include information on the global potash production, deliveries and imports.2. Information on the Dead Sea , APC’s Solar evaporation System and its production process3. Timeline of APC's Potash production expansions, and capacity level4. Information on APC’s subsidiary companies


Uhde has built and designed 100+ fertiliser plants worldwide partly embedded in denselypopulated areas. Taking rising environmental awareness serious the properties of urea arediscussed and proven to be environmental friendly. The emissions of ammonia/urea plants tothe environment are limited by environmental laws and international guidelines. Focusing onUhde plants in Egypt the utilization of state‐of‐the art technology in compliance with nationaland international laws is proven.

Uhde Ammonia/Urea Plants and their Environment…

Dr. Ulrich Heucke, Manager Sales & Process ,ThyssenkruppUhde, Germany

Phosphate Resources: Future for 2012 and BeyondMr. Mark Evans, Consultant, BC Insight, UK

The amount of phosphate rock reserves and resources worldwide has become an issue ofspeculation. Certain academic studies suggest that production of phosphorus will peak in thenext 25 years or so and then decrease as reserves become depleted. Because P is critical tonutrition but is a non‐renewable resource, the potential consequences for world agriculturalproduction and food security are linked to the notion of “peak phosphate”.The Peak Phosphate concept is examined in the context of the estimated world phosphorusreserves and resources.


The Fertilizer Business Cycle, Supply/ Demand Balance and Profitability ‐ Analysis of Market Developments and Forecasts Mr. Oliver Hatfield, Director‐Fertilizers, Integer Research, UK

During the last five years, the international fertilizer industry has experiencedunprecedented levels of volatility: collapsing and surging demand, record prices,remarkable profits, and expansion of investments. This paper will analyse thesedevelopments and examine the implications for the future direction of fertilizer markets.’


Commissioning Experience of a Large Scale Ammonia PlantMr. Sayer Al‐Mufadhali, Staff Production Eng, Ma’aden Phosphate Co.,

Saudi Arabia

CIS Fertilizer Market OutlookMr. Satish Chander, Director General, FAI, India

Zinc Nutrient Initiative of IZA – An OverviewDr. Soumitra Das, Director, India Programmer ‐ Zinc Nutrient Initiative,

International Zinc Association, India

Historical Development of Nutrient use in Pakistan, Current Scenario & Future Outlook

Mr. Muhammad Tahir Saleem, Editor, Farming Outlook, Pakistan

Chairperson: Dr. Mohammed BENZEKRIDirector market Research & Communication, OCP, Morocco


This paper gives details of Ma’aden Phosphate Company’s successful commissioningExperience of the world’s largest single train ammonia plant of 3300 TPD capacity. The paperpresents the problems encountered during the commissioning stage and the solutions arrivedduring commissioning. The key lessons learnt for design, and Operation of plant is highlighted.Plant has achieved the guaranteed performance parameters during test run.

Preliminary Contents:1. Nitrogen

1. CIS in the world2. CIS export structure3. CIS export prospects

2. Phosphate1. CIS in the world2. CIS export structure3. CIS export prospects

3. Potash1. CIS in the world2. CIS export structure3. CIS export prospects

Commissioning Experience of a Large Scale Ammonia

Plant

Mr. Sayer Al‐Mufadhali, Staff Production Eng, Ma’aden

Phosphate Co., Saudi Arabia

CIS Fertilizer Market OutlookMr. Eugene Bilichenko, Senior Analyst of Global Markets , Chem‐Courier, Ukraine


Zinc has emerged as the most widespread micronutrient deficiency in soils and cropsworldwide, resulting in severe yield losses and nutritional quality. Almost half of the soils in theworld are deficient in zinc. There is a high degree of correlation between zinc deficiency in soilsand that in human beings.Zinc is an essential nutrient for human health. There is no life without zinc. Zinc deficiency isthe fifth leading cause of death and disease in the developing world. According to the WorldHealth Organization (WHO), about 800,000 people die annually due to zinc deficiency ‐ ofwhich, 450,000 are children under the age of five. About one‐third of the world’s populationsuffers from zinc deficiency.Keeping this in view, the International Zinc Association has initiated the Zinc Nutrient Initiativeto address the zinc deficiency in soils, crops and humans through increased use of zinc fertilizers

The nutrient use rate in Pakistan stood at about 184kg per hectare during 2009‐10, which has slightlydeclined during the current year, with a ratio of 3.5:1.0:0.04 among N:P2O5:K2O. This implies aconsiderable use of nutrients which has developed from a nominal use of N (1,000 tonnes) in 1952‐3 toabout 4,360 thousand tonnes in 2009‐10. The take off was due to introduction of semi dwarf cerealsvarieties in mid – end 70s. Overtime considerable development took place in the introduction ofphosphates, potash and zinc.However, the historical development is marked by introductory stage (1948 – 1957), take off stage (1958 –78) and maturity stage (1979 onwards). The paper briefly outlines the historical development of nutrients,integrated use of nutrients, micronutrients and the current scenario marked by scarcity of local productionof urea due to gas shortage and the resultant dependence on imports. However, the fertilize sector is stillbehind the desirable developments in fields such as fertigation, specialty fertilizer products and precessionapplication of nutrients. Thus, the current use is far less efficient and wasteful unless serious efforts atdevelopment and promotional studies are directed towards these ends. Sadly the traditional fertilizertechnologies still sway over the desired innovative and efficient ways of using this costly input. It meansthe farmer is the ultimate sufferer to which the industry should address their future strategies in order tohelp farmers use nutrients more wisely and environmental friendly.

Historical Development of Nutrient use in Pakistan, Current Scenario & Future Outlook

Zinc Nutrient Initiative of IZA – An OverviewDr. Soumitra Das, Director, India Programmer ‐ Zinc Nutrient

Initiative, International Zinc Association, India

Mr. Muhammad Tahir Saleem, Editor, Farming Outlook, Pakistan

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