session i hannah kim
TRANSCRIPT
UN Climate Summit held at the UN HQ in September 2014 Defining issue of our -me, bold ac-on required to reduce emissions
Advance Climate Ac6on on Five Fronts: • Cu8ng Emissions • Mobilizing Money and Markets • Pricing Carbon • Strengthening Resilience • Mobilizing New Coali-ons APCC partners in providing robust climate predic-on technologies
Climate Change
source: www.un.org
Na6onal Planning
How do Na6ons plan for: • Disaster Management • Energy Demands • Water Usage • Agriculture in the short, medium and long term? How do policy makers decide on investments to meet both current needs and future demand? Alleviate risk of climate change efficiently and effec-vely APCC can help with climate informa-on, research and tech support
Busan Flash Flood, August 2014 source: www.bbc.com
Overview of the APEC Climate Center
The APEC Climate Center (APCC) is a leading climate informa-on service provider in the Asia-‐Pacific region. We provide seasonal climate forecasts and other climate informa-on products and services, conduct research and development ac-vi-es, and organize capacity building ini-a-ves for scien-sts from developing economies
History of the APEC Climate Center
• KMA proposed the establishment of the APEC Climate Network in 1998
• In 2005, during the 13th APEC Economic Leaders' Mee-ng in Busan, Korea, APCC was formally launched
APCC strives to strengthen scien-fic and technological coopera-on across the APEC region in order to help economies and socie-es deal effec-vely with the consequences of current and future climate-‐related hazards through the provision of climate informa-on, research and technical support
V I S I O N
Structure of the APEC Climate Center
Board of Trustees
Director
External Affairs Department
Climate Research Department
Climate Policy Department
Administration Department
Climate Prediction Team
Climate Analysis Team
Climate Change Research Team
Climate Informatics Development Team
As of August, 2014
Ac6vi6es of the APEC Climate Center
v Climate Services
APCC provides opera-onal services such as monthly seasonal outlooks and climate monitoring and predic-on products, as well as conduc-ng climate change R&D and suppor-ng online tools and data services
• Seasonal temperature and precipita-on outlook
• Drought and flood monitoring, • 6-‐month lead coupled MME outlook
(ENSO, SST, IOD)
o Global climate forecast data from 17 ins6tutes (9 economies) o Monthly rolling 3-‐month and 6-‐month MME climate forecast o Coopera-on on decadal predic-on and climate change projec-on
* ADSS : APCC Data Server System * OPeNDAP : Open-‐source Project for a Network Data Access Protocol * FTP : File Transfer Protocol
MME Climate Forecast
Produc-on, Analysis, & Dissemina-on
(ADSS, OPeNDAP, FTP)
Climate Monitoring
Climate Network
···
··· Joint Research
Interna-onal Collabora-on
Outreach & Training Program
Climate Science: MME Climate Forecast
BSISO Forecast
-‐ Scaling Up from Seasonal to Intraseasonal Forecas6ng -‐
• Since Summer 2013, APCC has begun to release a Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscilla-on (BSISO) forecast
• Provides cri-cal informa-on for predic-ng the onset and characteris-cs of the monsoon season in the Asia region
• The informa-on can be useful for coping with extreme climate events and can help mi-gate the associated agricultural and socioeconomic impacts
Accessing APCC Forecasts
hgp://www.apcc21.org
• Rolling 3-‐month and 6-‐month lead forecasts and “State of Our Climate” assessment available on our website
• Climate highlights and forecast outlook
• Detailed monthly and regional predic-on and relevant verifica-on
• Forecast informa-on also distributed through our mailing list
h[p://clik.apcc21.net
• Innova-ve, web-‐based tool for data retrieval and climate predic-on
• Customized 3-‐MON Mul--‐Model Ensemble Predic-on and locally specific downscaling
• Produced over 1,200 MME Predic-on & 600 Verifica-on results by user requests
• Since March 2009, 3,882 visitors from 497 ci-es have accessed and used CLIK
• The visitor count is con-nuously increasing
Climate Informa6on Tool Kit (CLIK)
Ac6vi6es of the APEC Climate Center
APCC engages in various capacity building and training exercises, especially targe-ng par-cipants from developing countries. Through these ac-vi-es, we aim to build the adap-ve capacity of these groups to produce and access the highest quality informa-on for risk management and strategic planning
v Capacity Building
Young Scien6sts Support Program (YSSP)
• APCC supports the research of outstanding young scien-sts from developing countries as visi-ng scien-sts for a period of approximately 3 months
• APCC provides data, equipment, and support from our research staff
• The visi-ng scien-sts conduct research on themes such as: o climate predic-on and monitoring o climate change and impact assessments
o climate informa-cs o climate applica-ons to relevant sectors
APCC Training Programs
• 2011: Climate predic-on, sta-s-cal and dynamical downscaling 2012a: Climate predic-on and applica-ons (agriculture and water resources) 2012b: Climate variability and seasonal predic-on 2013: Producing High Resolu-on Climate Informa-on: Scien-fic Basis and
Applica-ons 2014a: Producing High Resolu-on Climate Informa-on and its Applica-on Using
Downscaling Scheme
• Since its establishment in 2006, APCC has trained 202 par-cipants from over 40 countries
External Training Programs
– In response to requests from developing countries and ins-tu-onal partners, we support training programs in the requested countries
APEC Climate Symposium
• Annual event held since 2005
• Highlights state-‐of-‐the-‐art climate predic-on techniques as well as the applica-on of climate informa-on for social welfare and economic prosperity
• 2012 “Harnessing and Using Climate Informa-on for Decision Making”, with a focus on the Agriculture Sector (St. Petersburg, Russia)
• 2013 “Regional Coopera-on on Drought Predic-on Science to Support Disaster Preparedness and Management” (Jakarta, Indonesia)
• 2014(e) “Managing Climate Extremes and Hydrologic Disasters: Scien-fic Predic-on and Emergency Preparedness” (Nanjing, China)
Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es
APCC strives to respond to societal needs and is beginning to create specialized forums and informa-on products for stakeholders in sectors such as Agriculture, Health, Water Resources Management, and Energy Efficiency
v Societal Applica6ons
A Fire and Haze Early Warning System for Southeast Asia
Crea-on of a prototype Early Warning System (EWS) for Fire Danger Condi-ons in Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore by using seasonal forecasts to predict the drought condi-ons that trigger forest fires
APCC’s exper-se in opera-onal seasonal climate forecas-ng and experience with capacity building and training programs makes it uniquely qualified to carry out this project
Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es
Pilot Study of Early Warning and Risk Assessment on Drought Disaster – Chinese Taipei
Applied sta-s-cally downscaled precipita-on predic-on to extreme droughts over northern Chinese Taipei. Developed new tools for drought predic-on based on dynamical sta-s-cal forecast results.
Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es
Assessing agricultural produc6vity under the changing climate AR5 Climate Change Scenarios → Downscaled Locally Specific Informa6on GIS + process-‐based crop model → Agricultural Produc6on Scenarios → Provincial & Na6onal Policy
Crop Modeling
• 80% of Cambodia’s popula-on • More than 30% of the GDP
Agriculture Sector
Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es
Interna6onal Collabora6ons & Interdisciplinary Research
Collabora-ve Research on Applica-on of Seasonal Forecasts to Predict the Electricity Demand in Japan Central Research Ins@tute of Electric Power Industry, Japan
Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es
Interna6onal Collabora6ons & Interdisciplinary Research
Development of an Atmospheric Model-‐Based Rainfall and Flood Forecas-ng System for Real-‐Time Flood Alerts in Urban Areas Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Korea
Development of an APCC Opera-onal ISO MME System and Inves-ga-on of Arc-c and High-‐la-tude Influences on the East Asian Climate Interna@onal Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, U.S.A.
Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es
APCC goal is to support more effec6ve planning and implementa6on of climate change, energy and environment policies with robust climate predic6on • APCC would like to invite access to our data services • APCC can support and collaborate on future projects
For more informa@on please visit www.apcc21.org
Conclusion
THANK YOU! web: www.apcc21.org email: [email protected]
TEL: +82-‐51-‐745-‐3900, FAX: +82-‐51-‐745-‐3949