section 7.3 second day central limit theorem. quick review

8
Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem

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PCFS ProportionsMeans p = the proportion of _____ who … Parameterµ = the mean … SRS np≥10 and n(1-p)≥10 Population ≥ 10n Conditions Random Normality Independence SRS Population ~ Normally Population ≥ 10n Formula Sentence The problem is that most populations AREN’T normally distributed.

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Page 1: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

Section 7.3 Second DayCentral Limit Theorem

Page 2: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

Quick Review

Page 3: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

PCFSProportions Meansp = the proportion of _____ who …

Parameter µ = the mean …

SRSnp≥10 and n(1-p)≥10Population ≥ 10n

ConditionsRandom NormalityIndependence

SRSPopulation ~ NormallyPopulation ≥ 10n

Formula

Sentence

.x meanzstd dev

.x meanzstd dev

The problem is that most populations AREN’T normally distributed.

Page 4: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

Houston,… We have a problem…Most population distributions

are not NormalEx. - Household Incomes

So when a population distribution is not Normal, what is the shape of the sampling distribution of x-bar?

Page 5: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

Consider the strange population distribution from the Rice University sampling distribution applet.

Describe the shape of the sampling distributions as n increases. What do you notice?

Sample M

eans

Page 6: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

The Central Limit Theorem If the population is normal, the sampling

distribution of x-bar is also normal. THIS IS TRUE NO MATTER HOW SMALL n IS.

As long as n is big enough, and there is a finite population standard deviation, the sampling distribution of x-bar will be normal even if the population is not distributed normally. This is called the Central Limit Theorem.

Memorize it.How big is “big enough?” We will use n > 30 and say, “since n > 30, the CLT says the sampling distribution of x-bar is Normal.”

Page 7: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

PCFSProportions Meansp = the proportion of _____ who …

Parameter µ = the mean …

SRS

np≥10 and n(1-p)≥10

Population ≥ 10n

Conditions Random

Normality

Independence

SRS

Population ~ Normally OR “since n> 30, the CLT says the sampling distribution of x-bar is Normal.”Population ≥ 10n

Formula

Sentence

.x meanzstd dev

.

x meanzstd dev

Page 8: Section 7.3 Second Day Central Limit Theorem. Quick Review

Example: Servicing Air Conditioners

Based on service records from the past year, the time (in hours) that a technician requires to complete preventative maintenance on an air conditioner follows the distribution that is strongly right-skewed, and whose most likely outcomes are close to 0. The mean time is µ = 1 hour and the standard deviation is σ = 1

Your company will service an SRS of 70 air conditioners. You have budgeted 1.1 hours per unit. Will this be enough?