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    Secondary markets

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    What is Stock Exchange

    It is a platform where buyers and sellers meet It provides a place to buy and sell shares

    It acts as a bridge between demanders of fund

    and suppliers of fund

    Canalize savings into investments

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    Participants

    Govt. Companies

    Institutions

    Retail Investors Mutual Funds

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    History of Stock Exchanges

    BSE first stock exchange started on 9th July1875

    Known as Native Shares and Stock Broking

    Association

    Membership fees was Rs. 1

    There were 318 members

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    History of Stock Market

    First stock market started in 9th July 1875. Native Share and Stock Brokers Association

    Now known as BSE

    At that time membership fees Rs. 1 There were some 318 members

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    Major reforms in capital Market

    1991 LPG 1992 FII were allowed in india

    1993 Private Sector Mutual Funds werelaunched

    1996 First time SEBI came out with Guidelinesfor MF industry

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    Reforms cont

    1996 Depository act passed 2000 Derivatives markets gets going

    2003 Commodities Market started

    2008 Currency futures market launched

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    Current scenario

    Today 23 stock exchanges in India Major ones BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange )

    and NSE (National Stock Exchange)

    NSE formed in 1994

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    Daily Turnover of stock markets

    BSE Cash segment Rs. 4000 crores NSE cash segment Rs. 15000 crores

    NSE FO Rs. 1,00,000 crores

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    Financial Markets Classification

    Capital Market is market for long term sourceof funds

    Market having maturity of more than one year

    Instruments like

    Shares Preference shares

    Debentures

    Bonds

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    Capital market and Economic Growth

    US,UK,Japan have high economic growth dueto developed Capital markets

    Fund raising very easy activity

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    Money Markets

    It is a market for short term source of funds The maturity of these instruments is less than

    one year

    Instruments like

    T- Bills Commercial Paper

    Inter-corporate Deposit

    Certificate of Deposit

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    Call Money Market

    Liquidity management main object 2007 Call money rate 0.25 %

    2008 call money rate 21 %

    Currently call money rates 7.25 % to 7.5 %

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    Secondary Market

    It is known as the Stock Market Companies trade on the stock market

    On BSE 6500 companies are listed

    On NSE 2500 companies are listed

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    Regulation of Stock Market

    It is regulated by SEBI (Securities andExchange Board of India)

    All the stock exchanges of the country areregulated by SEBI

    All the matters related to scams in the stockmarket are looked after by this agency

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    Relationship between Primary

    and Secondary market

    Both are inter related If there is bull run in secondary market more

    IPO will come in Primary Market

    If there is bear run in the secondary marketthen less IPO will come in Primary market

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    Years of IPO

    2007 saw maximum IPO as the market was inbull mode

    2008 there were no IPO after Reliance Powerfailure

    2009 again saw many IPO as stock marketrecovered

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    Classification of stocks

    Large Cap stocks which have market capgreater than Rs. 9000 crore

    Mid cap stocks which have market capbetween Rs. 2500 to 9000 crore

    Small Cap stocks which have market capbetween Rs. 250 cr to 2500 Crores

    Micro cap less than Rs. 250 crores

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    Another classification

    A Blue Chip stocks which are fundamentallyvery sound

    B1 B2 which are sound but they are small insize. Normally known as Mid cap

    T group refers to Trade to Trade and mostrisky as only delivery base trade allowed. Thisstocks have abnormal volatility

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    Another classification

    S group stocks are small companies which arelisted on Indonext exchange but trade on BSE

    Z group stocks are those which are very riskyas they may get delisted or suspended

    anytime by SEBI.

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    Settlement Process

    The payin and payout of funds and securitiestakes place on T + 2 basis

    T is Monday so plus two working days meanson Wednesday the payin of funds and

    securities will take place in the morning

    Also on Wednesday the payout of funds andsecurities will take place in afternoon

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    Economic Indicators affecting

    markets

    GDP Inflation

    Interest Rates

    Exchange Rates Fiscal Deficit

    IIP data

    Purchasers Manager Index

    Balance of Payment

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    GDP

    It is Gross Domestic Product It measures countrys Economic Progress

    Sole vital indicator for the economic scenarioof the country

    Indian GDP has been at 8.5 % average for last5 years

    For this fiscal year it is projected at 7.8 %

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    GDP

    World Economy likely to grow only at 3.2 % From 1999 to 2008 World Economy grew at

    2.9 %

    US alone contributes 24 % of world GDP

    India contributes 1.6 % of world GDP

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    Inflation the Evil

    Inflation is monetary phenomenon in whichthere is continuous price rise

    Inflation reduces the purchasing power ofrupee

    Higher inflation would mean that more moneyis required to buy same quantity of goods

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    Causes of Inflation

    There are 2 main causes of Inflation 1. Excessive Money supply

    2. Demand supply mismatch

    Indian Economy has actual problem ofdemand supply on agriculture side

    Black marketing and hoarding results in rise of

    food grain prices

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    Inflation and Interest Rates

    Inflation is monetary phenomenon Inflation has direct impact on the economy

    Higher Inflation leads to higher interest rates

    Higher interest rates leads to higher cost ofcapital

    Loans becomes costly

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    Inflation and Interest Rates

    Corporate expansion stops Consumption comes down as people avoid

    taking housing, car loans

    Reduces the sales of companies

    Profitability of companies come down

    GDP slows down ultimately

    Stock market goes down

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    Interest Rates Globally

    USA 0.25 % Bank of England 1 %

    European Central Bank 1 %

    China 3.3 % Australia 1 %

    India 8 to 9 %

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    Exchange Rate

    It is unbiased indicator of the Economy Rupee Appreciation means that Economy has

    become strong and foreign flows coming in

    Rupee Depreciation means that Economy isgetting weak and that foreign Flows are goingout

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    Appreciation of Rupee

    1 $ = Rs. 45 1 $ = Rs. 40

    This is appreciation of rupee

    IT is harmful for export oriented sector likeGems, Jeweller, IT, Textiles, Auto

    Good for Oil as we import 73 % of total oilrequirement

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    Depreciation of Rupee

    1 $ = Rs. 45 1 $ = Rs. 50

    This is Depreciation of Rupee

    It is good for all export oriented sector like IT,Textile, Gem and Jewellery, Auto

    It hurts oil pool as we import 73 % of total oilrequirement

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    Methods of Exchange Rate

    Demand Supply Method ( US, UK, India,Japan)

    Fix Rate method (China)

    Snake in Tunnel (European Union)

    Dirty Float ( Central Bank Intervention)

    Hybrid Method (Central Bank & Market relatedmethod)

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    Fiscal Deficit

    Fiscal deficit is the gap between GovernmentIncome and Government Expenditure

    High fiscal deficit countries are avoided by FIIand FDI

    Indian Fiscal Deficit lowered from 5.4 % to5.1%

    Target for 2012 is 4.6 %

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    Fiscal Deficit

    P.I.I.G.S (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Spain,Greece) are having fiscal deficit of around11% to 14 %

    Austery measures have been adopted by

    Greece This includes reduction in salaries, cut in

    government spending

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    IIP Data

    IIP stands for Index for Industrial Production It shows the demand in the manufacturing

    sector

    High the data the better it is

    Lower data means that demand is slowingdown

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    Purchasers Manger Index

    PMI is also indicator of the industrial activity inthe country

    It has a base reading of 50

    Reading above 50 indicates that economy isexpanding

    Reading below 50 indicates that economy isweakening

    India current reading is 57

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    Balance of Payments

    Balance of Payment is the statement oftransaction of one country with the rest of theworld

    It has two main accounts

    Current Account

    Capital Account

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    Current Account

    It is account which deals with imports andexports of goods and services

    This includes both visible and invisible goods

    Imports more than exports then currentaccount deficit

    Exports more than imports then currentaccount surplus

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    Capital Account

    Capital account deals with all inflows andoutflows of capital

    It includes Loans, FII money, FDI money,Grant, Aid etc

    India allows only Partial capital accountconvertibility

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    Types of Capital Flows

    Two main types of flow FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) FDI (Foreign Direct Investment)

    FII flows comes to stock market

    FII responsible for new highs and new lows

    In 2007, FII invested Rs. 70,000 crores-21206

    In 2008, FII sold Rs. 52,000 crores-7697

    In 2009, FII invested Rs. 82,000 crores-18000

    In 2010, Fii Invested Rs. 1,30,000 crores-22000

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    FII data

    Currently 1746 FII registered with SEBI

    70 % FII are from USA

    So we cannot ignore USA

    IN 2010 FII have invested record money since1992.

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    FII inflows

    In 2009 and 2010 together FII have investedRs.2.15 lakh crore

    This is 50 % of the total investment made from1992 to 2010.

    Total FII inflow since 1992 Rs.443626 Crores

    29% of FII inflow in 2010 since 1992

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    FII registered and Sensex Return

    2003 517 63.78 % 2004 637 9.56%

    2005 823 40.70%

    2006 993 46.82% 2007 1219 45.50%

    2008 1594 -52.86%

    2009 1706 75.38%

    2010 1747 14.65%

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    Thank You

    Questions and Answers