secondary markets
TRANSCRIPT
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Secondary markets
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What is Stock Exchange
It is a platform where buyers and sellers meet It provides a place to buy and sell shares
It acts as a bridge between demanders of fund
and suppliers of fund
Canalize savings into investments
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Participants
Govt. Companies
Institutions
Retail Investors Mutual Funds
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History of Stock Exchanges
BSE first stock exchange started on 9th July1875
Known as Native Shares and Stock Broking
Association
Membership fees was Rs. 1
There were 318 members
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History of Stock Market
First stock market started in 9th July 1875. Native Share and Stock Brokers Association
Now known as BSE
At that time membership fees Rs. 1 There were some 318 members
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Major reforms in capital Market
1991 LPG 1992 FII were allowed in india
1993 Private Sector Mutual Funds werelaunched
1996 First time SEBI came out with Guidelinesfor MF industry
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Reforms cont
1996 Depository act passed 2000 Derivatives markets gets going
2003 Commodities Market started
2008 Currency futures market launched
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Current scenario
Today 23 stock exchanges in India Major ones BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange )
and NSE (National Stock Exchange)
NSE formed in 1994
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Daily Turnover of stock markets
BSE Cash segment Rs. 4000 crores NSE cash segment Rs. 15000 crores
NSE FO Rs. 1,00,000 crores
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Financial Markets Classification
Capital Market is market for long term sourceof funds
Market having maturity of more than one year
Instruments like
Shares Preference shares
Debentures
Bonds
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Capital market and Economic Growth
US,UK,Japan have high economic growth dueto developed Capital markets
Fund raising very easy activity
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Money Markets
It is a market for short term source of funds The maturity of these instruments is less than
one year
Instruments like
T- Bills Commercial Paper
Inter-corporate Deposit
Certificate of Deposit
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Call Money Market
Liquidity management main object 2007 Call money rate 0.25 %
2008 call money rate 21 %
Currently call money rates 7.25 % to 7.5 %
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Secondary Market
It is known as the Stock Market Companies trade on the stock market
On BSE 6500 companies are listed
On NSE 2500 companies are listed
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Regulation of Stock Market
It is regulated by SEBI (Securities andExchange Board of India)
All the stock exchanges of the country areregulated by SEBI
All the matters related to scams in the stockmarket are looked after by this agency
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Relationship between Primary
and Secondary market
Both are inter related If there is bull run in secondary market more
IPO will come in Primary Market
If there is bear run in the secondary marketthen less IPO will come in Primary market
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Years of IPO
2007 saw maximum IPO as the market was inbull mode
2008 there were no IPO after Reliance Powerfailure
2009 again saw many IPO as stock marketrecovered
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Classification of stocks
Large Cap stocks which have market capgreater than Rs. 9000 crore
Mid cap stocks which have market capbetween Rs. 2500 to 9000 crore
Small Cap stocks which have market capbetween Rs. 250 cr to 2500 Crores
Micro cap less than Rs. 250 crores
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Another classification
A Blue Chip stocks which are fundamentallyvery sound
B1 B2 which are sound but they are small insize. Normally known as Mid cap
T group refers to Trade to Trade and mostrisky as only delivery base trade allowed. Thisstocks have abnormal volatility
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Another classification
S group stocks are small companies which arelisted on Indonext exchange but trade on BSE
Z group stocks are those which are very riskyas they may get delisted or suspended
anytime by SEBI.
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Settlement Process
The payin and payout of funds and securitiestakes place on T + 2 basis
T is Monday so plus two working days meanson Wednesday the payin of funds and
securities will take place in the morning
Also on Wednesday the payout of funds andsecurities will take place in afternoon
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Economic Indicators affecting
markets
GDP Inflation
Interest Rates
Exchange Rates Fiscal Deficit
IIP data
Purchasers Manager Index
Balance of Payment
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GDP
It is Gross Domestic Product It measures countrys Economic Progress
Sole vital indicator for the economic scenarioof the country
Indian GDP has been at 8.5 % average for last5 years
For this fiscal year it is projected at 7.8 %
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GDP
World Economy likely to grow only at 3.2 % From 1999 to 2008 World Economy grew at
2.9 %
US alone contributes 24 % of world GDP
India contributes 1.6 % of world GDP
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Inflation the Evil
Inflation is monetary phenomenon in whichthere is continuous price rise
Inflation reduces the purchasing power ofrupee
Higher inflation would mean that more moneyis required to buy same quantity of goods
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Causes of Inflation
There are 2 main causes of Inflation 1. Excessive Money supply
2. Demand supply mismatch
Indian Economy has actual problem ofdemand supply on agriculture side
Black marketing and hoarding results in rise of
food grain prices
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Inflation and Interest Rates
Inflation is monetary phenomenon Inflation has direct impact on the economy
Higher Inflation leads to higher interest rates
Higher interest rates leads to higher cost ofcapital
Loans becomes costly
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Inflation and Interest Rates
Corporate expansion stops Consumption comes down as people avoid
taking housing, car loans
Reduces the sales of companies
Profitability of companies come down
GDP slows down ultimately
Stock market goes down
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Interest Rates Globally
USA 0.25 % Bank of England 1 %
European Central Bank 1 %
China 3.3 % Australia 1 %
India 8 to 9 %
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Exchange Rate
It is unbiased indicator of the Economy Rupee Appreciation means that Economy has
become strong and foreign flows coming in
Rupee Depreciation means that Economy isgetting weak and that foreign Flows are goingout
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Appreciation of Rupee
1 $ = Rs. 45 1 $ = Rs. 40
This is appreciation of rupee
IT is harmful for export oriented sector likeGems, Jeweller, IT, Textiles, Auto
Good for Oil as we import 73 % of total oilrequirement
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Depreciation of Rupee
1 $ = Rs. 45 1 $ = Rs. 50
This is Depreciation of Rupee
It is good for all export oriented sector like IT,Textile, Gem and Jewellery, Auto
It hurts oil pool as we import 73 % of total oilrequirement
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Methods of Exchange Rate
Demand Supply Method ( US, UK, India,Japan)
Fix Rate method (China)
Snake in Tunnel (European Union)
Dirty Float ( Central Bank Intervention)
Hybrid Method (Central Bank & Market relatedmethod)
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Fiscal Deficit
Fiscal deficit is the gap between GovernmentIncome and Government Expenditure
High fiscal deficit countries are avoided by FIIand FDI
Indian Fiscal Deficit lowered from 5.4 % to5.1%
Target for 2012 is 4.6 %
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Fiscal Deficit
P.I.I.G.S (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Spain,Greece) are having fiscal deficit of around11% to 14 %
Austery measures have been adopted by
Greece This includes reduction in salaries, cut in
government spending
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IIP Data
IIP stands for Index for Industrial Production It shows the demand in the manufacturing
sector
High the data the better it is
Lower data means that demand is slowingdown
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Purchasers Manger Index
PMI is also indicator of the industrial activity inthe country
It has a base reading of 50
Reading above 50 indicates that economy isexpanding
Reading below 50 indicates that economy isweakening
India current reading is 57
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Balance of Payments
Balance of Payment is the statement oftransaction of one country with the rest of theworld
It has two main accounts
Current Account
Capital Account
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Current Account
It is account which deals with imports andexports of goods and services
This includes both visible and invisible goods
Imports more than exports then currentaccount deficit
Exports more than imports then currentaccount surplus
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Capital Account
Capital account deals with all inflows andoutflows of capital
It includes Loans, FII money, FDI money,Grant, Aid etc
India allows only Partial capital accountconvertibility
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Types of Capital Flows
Two main types of flow FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) FDI (Foreign Direct Investment)
FII flows comes to stock market
FII responsible for new highs and new lows
In 2007, FII invested Rs. 70,000 crores-21206
In 2008, FII sold Rs. 52,000 crores-7697
In 2009, FII invested Rs. 82,000 crores-18000
In 2010, Fii Invested Rs. 1,30,000 crores-22000
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FII data
Currently 1746 FII registered with SEBI
70 % FII are from USA
So we cannot ignore USA
IN 2010 FII have invested record money since1992.
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FII inflows
In 2009 and 2010 together FII have investedRs.2.15 lakh crore
This is 50 % of the total investment made from1992 to 2010.
Total FII inflow since 1992 Rs.443626 Crores
29% of FII inflow in 2010 since 1992
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FII registered and Sensex Return
2003 517 63.78 % 2004 637 9.56%
2005 823 40.70%
2006 993 46.82% 2007 1219 45.50%
2008 1594 -52.86%
2009 1706 75.38%
2010 1747 14.65%
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Thank You
Questions and Answers