scotland's population 2016 · population life births deaths expectancy 5 population estimates,...
TRANSCRIPT
Scotland's Population 2016Infographic report
Preserving the pastRecording the presentInforming the future
Published in August 2017
Population LifeexpectancyBirths Deaths
5Population estimates,1951-2016
6Natural change and netmigration, 1951-2016
7 Population profile, 2016
8Population projections,2039
9European populationprojections, 2014-2039
11 Births, 1975-2016
12Births by parentsS maritalstatus, 1975-2016
13Births by motherSsplace of birth, 2016
15 Deaths, 1994-2016
16Main cause of death,2000-2016
17Stillbirths and infantdeaths, 1975-2016
19 Life expectancy, 1981-2014
20Life expectancy bydeprivation, 2014
21European lifeexpectancy, 1981-2014
2
Contents
Migration Householdsand housing
Marriages andcivil partnerships Adoptions
23 Net migration4 1955)2016
24 Migration flows4 1995)2016
25 Migrants by age4 2015)16
27Marriages and civilpartnerships4 2016
28Age at first marriage41975)2016
29Marriages by type ofceremony4 1975)2016
31 Adoptions4 1975)2016
32Adoptions by relationshipto adopter4 2016
33Adoptions by age of child42016
35Household projections42016)2039
36 Household size4 2001)2015
37Occupied4 empty andsecond homes4 2016
3
This infographic report is a summary of the publicationScotland's Population — Registrar General's Annual Reviewof Demographic Trends 2016 (SG/2017/74S published by the
National Records of Scotland on 2 August 2017
Population
5,404,700
5,102,500
Population
Scotland8s population was at its highest everlevel in 2016 for the 7th year running
The estimated population ofScotland on 30 June 2016was 5,404,700 — the highestever.
Scotland8s populationincreased by 0.6b between2015 and 2016, and it hasincreased by 6.8b since theestimated recent low of5,062,900 in 2000.
5
1951 2016
5,062,900
6
1951-52 2015-16
Net migration
Natural change
28.6k
w0.8k
31.7k
1969-70 1999-2000
184 of the population were aged 65 and overon 30 June 2016 in Scotland
In midA2016 there weremore people aged 65 andover than aged under 16.
The baby booms of 1947and the 1960s can be seenby the sharp peak at age69 and the bulge aroundage 50.
The higher number offemales aged 75 and overreflects their longer lifeexpectancy.
7
Male populationxThousandsM
Female populationxThousandsM
Age
*
51%49%17%were 15
and under
PostWorldWar Twobaby boom
1960sbaby boom
65%were
between16 and 64
18%were 65and over
Children ofthe 1960sbaby boomers
shown for illustration purposes.Only people aged 89 and under are*
The populations of most European countriesare projected to increase
The populations of mostcountries in Europe areprojected to increase overthe next few years.
Scotland’s population isprojected to rise by 7Ubetween 2014 and 2039compared with 15U forthe UK as a whole.
9
countries are shown.For illustration purposes only selected*
Births
Average age of parents
Births
The number of births in Scotland continued tofall in 2016
1975 2016
26.028.4
30.332.9
67,943
54,488
1975 2016
There were 54,488 birthsregistered in Scotland in2016, which represents 610y1() fewer births than in2015 and 13,455 y20() fewerbirths than in 1975.
Since 1975 the average ageof parents increased bymorethan 4 years for both fathersy4.5) and mothers y4.3).
11
Inside ofmarriageor civil partnership
12
6,314
27,72726,761
61,629
Outside ofmarriageor civil partnership
1975 2016
Most births in Scotland in 2016 were tomothers who were born in the UK
In 2016, 83) of births wereto mothers who were bornin the UK, including 73)who were born in Scotland.
Mothers born elsewhere inthe European Union (EU)represented 8), including 6)who were born in countrieswhich joined the EU in 2004or later.
13
Scotland 40,024 73)
Rest of UK 5,168 9b
EU pre-2004 1,243 2b
Joined EU 2004 onwards 3,393 6b
Commonwealth 2,518 5b
Other 2,142 4b
Number of births by mother's place of birth
Deaths
Age-standardisedmortality rate*
The number of deaths registered in Scotlanddecreased in 2016
There were 56,728 deathsin 2016 — 4- fewer than in1994.
Over the same period, theage-standardised mortalityrate decreased by 27-.
This offers a more accuratepicture of the trend in deathsas it takes account ofchanges in the populationstructure and shows whatthe trend would be if thepopulation structure hadremained the same overtime.
15
1994 2016
59,3281,560 56,728 3-4-(
1,136 3-27-(
per 100,000 population using the 2013European Standard Population. Forcomparison the two lines start at thesame point.
European Age-standardised rate (EASR)*
Number ofdeaths
16
Registered deaths by main cause of death
Cancer
CHDDementia andAlzheimerwsCerebrovasculardisease
15’901
5’5716’697
4’142
14’958
2’013
6’803
12’412
765Stillbirths
Infantdeaths
1,168
In 2016 stillbirth and infant deaths rates rose,but remained considerably lower than a decadeearlier in Scotland
There were 236 stillbirthsand 181 infant deaths inScotland in 2016.
The number of stillbirthsrose by 12% and infantdeaths by 3% compared to2015, although both areat least 20% lower than adecade earlier.
17
236181
Change instillbirth definition
1975 20161992
The legal definition of a stillbirth changedduring 1992 to include losses from 24 weeksonwards. It had previously been 28 weeksonwards.
Life expectancy
Life expectancy at birth is increasing and thegap between males and females is decreasingin Scotland
Since 1981 life expectancyin Scotland has increased,rising from 69.1 years formales and 75.3 for femalesborn around 1981 to 77.1for males and 81.1 forfemales born around 2014.
The gap in life expectancybetween females and malesdecreased from 6.2 yearsfor those born around 1981to 4.0 years for those bornaround 2014.
19
69.1
77.1
81.1
75.3
1981 2014
20
Most deprivedareas
Least deprivedareas
Gap of6.3years
Gap of8.6years
Gap of2.7years
Gap of12.2years
Lifeexpectancy
Lifeexpectancy
for people born around 2014
Life expectancy in Scotland in a European context
Life expectancy in Scotlandhas been lower than theother UK constituentcountries and lower thanmost countries in WesternEurope for both males andfemales for more than 30years.
21
Life expectancy for Scotland, the UK and forselected European countries. Only selectedcountries are shown for illustration purposes.
Migration
-27.2k
Scotland has become a country that has netin-migration rather than net out-migration
Scotland has historicallybeen a country of netout-migration. However,since the year to mid-2001Scotland has been in aperiod of net in-migration.
In the year to mid-2016,Scotland had netin-migration of 31,700.
23
Netmigration
0
1955-56 2015-162000-01
31.7k
24
Migration to Scotland fromthe rest of the UK has beenhigher than migration fromScotland to the rest of theUK since the year tomid-2001.
In the year to mid-2016,migration from overseas toScotland was the onlymigrant flow to rise sincemid-2015.
Rest of the UKmigration has mostly been higherthan overseas migration for Scotland
Rest of UK
Overseas
16k12k
48k
53k
IN46k
IN40kOUT38k
OUT18k
1995-96 2015-16
IN
IN
OUT
OUT
2000-01
Migrantsto/from therest of UK
Migrantsto/fromoverseas
In 2015-16 more than half the migrants toScotland were between the ages of 18 and 32
Of the migrants to Scotlandin the year to mid-2016, 52.were aged 18 to 32 years.
Migrants from the rest ofthe UK peaked at age 19while migrants to the restof UK peaked at age 23. Thisis largely due to studentsstarting higher education inScotland, followed by themleaving after they graduate.
25
OUTAge
OUT
Marriages and civil partnerships
28
In Scotland, the averageage at first marriage hasincreased for both malesand females by almost 10years since 1975.
The average age at firstmarriage increased from24.3 to 33.9 for males andfrom 22.4 to 32.2 forfemales.
The average age at first marriage in Scotlandincreased in 2016 for both males and females
22.4
32.233.9
24.3
Males
Females
1975 2016
29
Of all marriages celebrated inScotland in 2016, 52M werecivil ceremonies compared to35M in 1975.
The number of religious andother belief system marriageshas fallen by 44M since 1975.Most notably, there weredeclines in Church of Scotlandand Roman Catholicceremonies.
Since 2005 the number ofmarriages conducted by theHumanist Society of Scotlandhas increased considerably.
More than half of the marriages in Scotlandin 2016 were civil ceremonies
1975 2016
* Other religious and other beliefs systemsincluding other Humanist organisations.
1,346
6,102
3,675
15,066
3,040
16,849
13,906
6,002
2,434
0
Church of Scotland
Other *
Roman Catholic
Civil
Humanist Societyof Scotland
Marriages by type of ceremony
Adoptions
Adopted children
There were 523 adoptions in Scotland in 2016— the highest since 1996
31
There were 523 adoptionsrecorded in 2016. This was19 more than in 2015 andwas the highest numberrecorded since 1996. Thiswas around half the numberrecorded per year in themid-1980s, and less thana third of the 1975 total.
1,680
523
19961975 2016
32
Other relatives 6% 31
Step-parents 20% 102
Non-relatives 75% 390
Adoptions by relationship to adopter
Adoptions by age of child in 2016 in Scotland
33
Children aged four andunder accounted for 60%of the 523 children adoptedin Scotland in 2016.
Adoptions of children agedfive to eleven were 31% andchildren aged 12 and overwere 9% of the total.
Age
Households and housing
The number of households in Scotland isprojected to increase
In mid-2016, there were2.45 million households inScotland, which is an increaseof around 157,000 over thepast 10 years.
The number of householdsis projected to increase to2.76 million by 2039, anaverage annual increase ofapproximately 13,800households.
352016 2039
2.45millionestimated
2.76millionprojected
36
One person households arethe most common type ofhousehold in Scotland.
In 2015 nearly 900,000people lived alone. Theyrepresented over one thirdof households.
This is partly becauseScotland's population isageing, as older people aremore likely to live alone orin smaller households.
Number of households by household size
2001 2015
+
726k747k
722k699k
846k
889k
96) of homes in Scotland were occupied in2016
37
Overall in Scotland in 2016,3) of homes were emptyand 1) were second homes,though there were widedifferences across thecountry. Remote rural areashad the highest percentageof homes that were emptyor second homes.
Occupied homes2,470,475 (96))
Second homes26,140 (1))
Empty homes79,052 (3))
This infographic report is a summary of the main statistics report,which has much more detail.
The sources used include Eurostat, Scotland's Census 2011, ScottishHousehold Survey, administrative data, and data collected fromcouncil areas in Scotland.
The main report, this infographic report and more can be foundvia the following weblinks:
Scotland8s Population — Registrar General8s Annual Reviewof Demographic Trends 2016www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/registrar-generals-annual-review/2016
Scotland8s Population 2016 — Infographic reportwww.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/infographics-and-visualisations/rgar-2016
More infographics by National Records of Scotlandwww.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/stats-at-a-glance/infographics-and-visualisations
38
© Crown Copyright 2017
You may use or re:use this information bnot including logos1 free ofcharge in any format or mediumT under the terms of the Open
Government Licence0 For further information visitwww0nrscotland0gov0uk3copyright:and:disclaimer0
Enquiries
Please contact our Statistics Customer Services if you need anyfurther information0
Statistics Customer ServicesNational Records of Scotland
Ladywell HouseLadywell Road
EdinburghEH9@ 7TF
Phone: 49A9 A94 4@99Email: statisticscustomerservices@nrscotland0gov0uk
Published by the National Records of Scotlandon @ August @497
39
This infographic report is a summaryof the publication Scotland'sPopulation — Registrar General'sAnnual Review of DemographicTrends 2016 (SG/2017/74) publishedby the National Records of Scotlandon 2 August 2017