scales and sustainability
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Space and Time scales of Human Perspective and Sustainability Tools for modeling daily life dynamicsTRANSCRIPT
Space and Time scales of Human Perspective and Sustainability
Tools for modeling daily life dynamics
9th International Conference of Sociocybernetics
Luciano Gallón ( [email protected] )
Colombia España
Urbino, 2009.07.03
Space
Time
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 2 de 24
Agenda
• Context, Definitions, Questions
– Space and Time Scales
– Better & Worse & Faster
– DIKUW Hierarchy
– Complicated & Mundane & Complexity
– Social media and synchronization
• From apathy to flow
• Discussion
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 3 de 24
Context
• Observer
– Electronics Engineer (1993)
– MSc Management of Technology (2004)
– PhD Sustainability (2010 planed)
• Re-search
– Part of theory framework for the PhD Thesis
“Regional Sustainability Model, System Dynamics to fight poverty in South America”
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 4 de 24
Definitions (askoxford.com)
• Scale (Latin scala)
– a graduated range of values forming a standard
system for measuring or grading something
• Space (Latin spatium)
– the dimensions of height, depth, and width within
which all things exist and move
• Time (Latin tempus)
– the indefinite continued progress of existence and
events in the past, present, and future, regarded as
a whole
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 5 de 24
Questions
• What relationship can be found between
– the scales of space and time of• the human perspective
• the sustainability
– and the dynamics of• the “new” social media technologies?
• It helps to understand the behavior of
– social systems
– humans?
• Is it related to sustainable development?
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 6 de 24
References (Main)
• Russell ACKOFF– USA, 1919.02.12 -
• Robert COSTANZA– USA, 1950.09.14 -
• Dennis MEADOWS– USA, 1942 -
• Donella "Dana" MEADOWS– USA, 1941.03.13 - 2001.02.20
• Aurelio PECCEI– Italia, 1908.07.04 - 1984.03.14
• Mihaly CSIKSZENTMIHALYI– Fiume, Italy - now Croatia
– A Hungarian emigrated to the USA, 1934.09.29 -
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 7 de 24
Space and Time Scales
Human Perspectives
Figure 1. Human Perspectives.The majority of the world’s people are concerned with matters that affect only family or friends over a short period of time. Only a very few people have a global perspective that extends far into the future. (Meadows et al, 1972).
Time
Space
Next
week
Next
few yeaslifetime
Children’s
lifetime
Family
Business,
City,
Neighborhood
Race,
Nation
World
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 8 de 24
Space and Time Scales
Sustainability
Space and Time Scale
Cell Organism Population PlanetEconomic system
Longevity:System
Life Spam
0
∞
Unsustainable Systems
“Brittle” Systems
Sustainable Systems across
a range of Time and Space Scales
Expected
life span
Figure 2. Sustainability as scale (time and space) dependent concept.Indicates this relationship by plotting a hypothetical curve of system life expectancy (Longevity)on the y axis vs. time and space scale on the x axis. (Costanza & Patten, 1995).
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 9 de 24
Better & worse & faster
• We live in a time in which
– the human perspective
– the sustainability
• have evolutionary processes with dynamics in
– position
– direction
– speed
– acceleration
• in scales of space and time
– beyond the human perception and experience
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 10 de 24
Better & worse & faster
• Now
– it is not the change that matters
– not even its velocity
– the problem is its acceleration
• There is a law that try to explain that
– The Law of accelerating returns
– by Ray Kurzweil
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 11 de 24
DIKUW Hierarchy
Discoverylevel
Data
Information
Knowledge
WisdomContext
independence
Understanding
Patterns
Principles
Relationships
Laws
Figure 3. Data Information Knowledge Understanding and Wisdom (DIKUW) Hierarchy.Following Bellinger et al (2002) and Betts (2003).
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 12 de 24
Complicated & Mundane & Complexity
Data
Information
Knowledge
Wisdom
Context
independence
Understanding
Discoverylevel
Patterns
Principles
Relationships
Laws
Mundane
Complicated
Mundane-Complexity
border
Complicated-Complexityborder
Figure 4. DIKUW Hierarchy and Complexity.Following Bellinger et al (2002) and Betts (2003).
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 13 de 24
Social media and
synchronization
• How to explain the symptoms of well-being and discomfort caused by the emerging social media technologies?
– By the type and degree of synchronizationbetween observer and observed system space and time scales
• New social media is based on interactivity
– some advanced sort of synchronization emergent capability
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 14 de 24
Flow
Low
High
Challenges
Skills
Apathy
Flow
Boredom
Anxiety
Low High
Figure 5. The “Flow” channel.(Farmer, 1999)
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 15 de 24
Daily life activities
ArousalLearning
WorryHassles
BoredomChores
ControlDriving
Low
High
Challenges
Skills
ApathyTV
FlowFavorite
activity
RelaxationReadingEating
AnxietyWorking
Studying
Low High
Figure 6 + 7. Feelings of daily life dynamics + activities.(Farmer, 1999)
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 16 de 24
Flow and Complexity
Low
High
Differentiation
Integration
Flow
Mundane
Complicated
Low High
Figure 8. Flow and Complexity.(Bellinger, 2004)
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 17 de 24
From apathy to flow
Discovery levelSkills
Integration
Flow
Data
Information
Knowledge
Wisdom
Contextindependence
ChallengesDifferentiation
Understanding
Patterns
Principles
Relationships
Laws
Mundane- Boring
- Relaxation
- Control
Complicated
- Worry
- Anxiety
- Arousal
Apathy
Figure 9. DIKUW Hierarchy and Flow Channel fusion.(Following Bellinger et al (2002; 2004), Betts (2003) and Farmer (1999)
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 18 de 24
Discussion
• Alternative activities to Apathetic situations – Autotelic: the ones people do for its own sake
because to experience it is the main goal
– Exotelic: the ones motivated by an outside goal
• The question is– the space and time scales of human perspective
depends on autotelic capabilities, or
– autotelic capabilities are the ones that define the space and time scales of human perspective?
• Either one or another– new social media seems to enhance the perspective
via the autotelic side
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 19 de 24
Discussion
• Key scales for sustainability seems to be– Time: children’s lifetime
– Space: world (i.e., the planet Earth)
• on the first and second order
• Key human activities to reach them as a “normal” human perspective depend on– autotelic capabilities
• It could be argued that– exotelic mediated development is not sustainable
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 20 de 24
Discussion
• So the problem here is that
– the first order approach tells us that
• space and time scales
• are changing in the observed system
• while
– a second order approach tells us that
• for the majority of humans
• observer capabilities are not changing
• not only for will but because inherent system capabilities
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 21 de 24
Discussion
• When Scott (2002) indentifies the sociocyberneticians human perspectives as– ones with an agreement on problems faced
• as global
• to be tackled holistically
– addressing both• the first-order complexity of interconnected observed
systems and
• the second-order complexities of communities of observers
• the call is for– a DIKUW Hierarchy plus Flow Channel based, new
social media mediated, sustainability revolution
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 22 de 24
Open discussion
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 23 de 24
A final thought
• Every minute of this presentation (even every minute of this conference!)
– Population on “developed” countries added 4 more humans to planet Earth
– Population on “developing” countries added 152 more humans to planet Earth
– Humans on planet Earth today: 6,800,000,000
– Humans on planet Earth in one year: 7,000,000,000 ?
Source http://www.prb.org/Articles/2008/WorldPopulationClock2008.aspx
Luciano Gallon / RC51 / 9thICS / Urbino / 2009 24 de 24
Thank you !