sas group 1999 full year analyst presentation...sas group january - december msek 1999 1998 4...

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Stockholm, February 18, 2000 SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation www.scandinavian.net

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Page 1: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Stockholm, February 18, 2000

SAS Group

1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation

www.scandinavian.net

Page 2: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Contents of 1999 presentation4 The year in brief4 SAS International Hotels4 Business review4 Impact from fleet changes4 STARTM Alliance and other partnerships4 Result improvement program4 Long haul expansion4 Outlook

Page 3: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

The Year in briefThe Year in brief

Page 4: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

A disappointing 1999

4 Weak trafficdevelopment (RPK) up 1.6%

4 Business Class (RPK-C) down 5%4 Over-capacity (Cabin-factor) down 1.9 p.u.4 Yields under pressure down 2.4%

4 EBITDAR down 26%

Page 5: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

SAS GroupJanuary - December

MSEK 1999 1998

4 Revenue 41 508 40 946

4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143

4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 Income before tax 1 846 2 857

Page 6: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Positive developments in 1999

4 Unit costs down 1.1% in spite of weakvolumes

4 Unit cost down 5,4% in Q4/994 Decision to expand long haul business4 Punctuality and regularity improved4 Customer satisfaction index (CSI)

significantly improved

Page 7: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Positive highlights in 1999

4 Swedish domestic- continued strong growth4 Positive development on important markets

U.K and Finland4 Improved capacity utilization on Asian routes4 Appointed "Grand Travel Award" as best

Norwegian domestic carrier4 Appointed best business carrier in Sweden

Page 8: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Overall return development - ROCE

4 SAS marketbased ROCE 9%

4 Sale of sharesin Equant N.A. 1,5%

4 Sale of hotelproperties 1%0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

9912

9906

9812

9806

9712

9706

9612

9606

9512

ROCE, Market basedHurdle rate ROCE

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

9912

9906

9812

9806

9712

9706

9612

9606

9512

ROCE, Market basedHurdle rate ROCE

Page 9: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

CFROI dropped below set hurdle rate

4 Focus on operatingcash flow (EBITDAR)

4 CFROI 1999 14%

4 Hurdle rate throughcycle >17%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

9912

9906

9812

9806

9712

9706

9612

9606

9512

CFROI Hurdle rate CFROI

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

9912

9906

9812

9806

9712

9706

9612

9606

9512

CFROI Hurdle rate CFROI

Page 10: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

SAS International HotelsSAS International Hotels

Page 11: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

SIH - 1999 profit strongerIncome before taxes (MSEK)

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1998 1999

Page 12: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Radisson SAS Hotels & Resorts -expanding to 125 hotels

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

No.

of h

otel

s

Owned Leased Managed Franchised

4 22 new hotel contracts in 1999

4 2 properties sold in1999– Amsterdam– London

4 Reduces capital by1,7 BSEK

4 22 new hotel contracts in 1999

4 2 properties sold in1999– Amsterdam– London

4 Reduces capital by1,7 BSEK

Page 13: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Radisson SAS Hotels & Resorts -Creating value for SAS

4 Returns above SASGroup WACC

4 Positive developmentin Europe and MiddleEast

4 Weaker developmentin Norway and U.K.

4 Returns above SASGroup WACC

4 Positive developmentin Europe and MiddleEast

4 Weaker developmentin Norway and U.K.

ROCE SAS International Hotels

4%

7%

10%

13%

16%

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Page 14: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Business reviewBusiness review

Page 15: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 CSI Index up from 70 to 74from 1998 to 1999

4 Repurchase Index up from 75-81 1996-1999

Index 77-80 = Excellence

4 CSI Index up from 70 to 74from 1998 to 1999

4 Repurchase Index up from 75-81 1996-1999

Index 77-80 = ExcellenceIt's Scandinavian!

Program of change - 2000+pays off!Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI)

Page 16: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Share of full-fare traffictotal system 1995-99

Moving 12 months values

Passenger load factortotal system 1995-99

A weak market with falling BusinessClass and passenger load factors

Moving 12 months values

28%

29%

30%

31%

32%

33%

34%

DEC94MAR JUN SEPDEC95MAR JUN SEPDEC96MAR JUN SEPDEC97MAR JUN SEPDEC98MAR JUN SEPDEC9962%

63%

64%

65%

66%

67%

DEC94MAR JUN SEPDEC95MAR JUN SEPDEC96MAR JUN SEPDEC97MAR JUN SEPDEC98MAR JUN SEPDEC99

Page 17: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Passenger load factors North Atlantic/ Asia

Intercontinental routes1999

4 Over-capacity on NorthAmerica

4 Strong yield pressure inEconomy Class

4 Weak development inbusiness travel

4 Strong recovery on Asia4 Chicago routes positive4 "Millennium" effect

55

65

75

85

95

JAN FEB MAR APR

MAY JUN JUL

AUG SEP OC

TNO

VDE

C

Month

Pass

enge

r lo

ad fa

ctor

North Atlantic Asia

Page 18: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

European routes - weak development1999

4 Over-capacity in severalmarkets

4 Weak traffic development4 Negative mix4 Business Class down4 Pressure on yields4 Economy Class traffic to/

from U.K strong

Business Class/ Economy Class

80

90

100

110

120

130

JAN FEB MAR APR

MAY JUN JU

LAU

G SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

Month

Grow

th v

s LY

Inde

x

Economy Class Business Class

Page 19: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Danish routes affected by capacityadjustments1999

4 Operation seized atKarup

4 Aarhus negativelyaffected by"Storebæ ltsboren"

4 Significant growth onAalborg

4 Passenger load factorimproved

4 Operation seized atKarup

4 Aarhus negativelyaffected by"Storebæ ltsboren"

4 Significant growth onAalborg

4 Passenger load factorimproved

Passenger load factor

50

60

70

80

JAN FEB MAR APR

MAY JUN JUL

AUG SE

POC

TNO

VDE

C

Month

Pass

enge

r lo

ad fa

ctor

Dansih domestic

Page 20: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Reduced over-capacity on Norwegiandomestic routes1999

4 SAS capacity down 9-10% from peak fall-99

4 Total capacity down15%

4 SAS market share up2,2 p.u. to 50,5%including regionalpartner Widerøe

4 SAS capacity down 9-10% from peak fall-99

4 Total capacity down15%

4 SAS market share up2,2 p.u. to 50,5%including regionalpartner Widerøe

Passenger load factor

40

50

60

70

JAN FEB MAR APR

MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OC

TNO

VDE

C

Month

Pass

enge

r lo

ad fa

ctor

Norwegian domestic

Page 21: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Swedish domestic routes strong1999

4 Strong growth, positive mixtowards year end

4 Passenger load factor63,8% (up 0,2 p.u.) - largeraircraft phased in

4 Number of passengers up10,1%

4 New price conceptsintroduced in September

4 Main competitor announceschanges NOV09

95

105

115

125

135

JAN FEB MAR APR

MAY JUN JU

LAU

G SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

Month

Grow

th v

s LY

Inde

x

Economy Class Business Class

Business Class/ Economy Class

Page 22: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Strong growth in SAS affiliates

1999 vs 1998:

4 Regional partnersRPK up 25%

4 European partnersRPK up 29%

4 Total RPK growth SAS& Partners 9%

4 SAS RPK up 1,6%

1999 vs 1998:

4 Regional partnersRPK up 25%

4 European partnersRPK up 29%

4 Total RPK growth SAS& Partners 9%

4 SAS RPK up 1,6%

0,01,02,03,04,05,06,07,08,09,0

9m 1999

RPK

Grow

th

SASSAS & RegionalsTotal SAS & Partners (excl STAR)

1999 vs 1998:

Page 23: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Summary traffic development19994 Weak traffic development & negative mix4 Global over-capacity on:

– North Atlantic– Parts of European network

4 Local over-capacity on:– Norwegian domestic

4 Increased passenger load factor on all Asiandestinations

4 Swedish domestic continued strong4 Regional & European partners add traffic growth

Page 24: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Cargo business ready for improvements4th Quarter 1999

4 Same trends as previous quarter:4 Low exports from Scandinavia to Asia and Europe4 Low demand from Europe4 Hard competition on North Atlantic (primarily on

Chicago) due to over-capacity and low prices4 Increasing demand from Asia to Scandinavia

Page 25: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Scandinavia57%

North America

Rest of Europe

UK

Asia

7% 32%

2%3%

SAS traffic flows as % of total pax

Page 26: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Yields under pressure in 1999Total system - currency adjusted

-6%

-5%

-4%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

1996 1997 1998 1999

Curr adj yield

4 Overall yield down2,4% in 1999

4 Negative mix4 Yield pressure in

Economy Class4 New price concepts

introduced

4 Overall yield down2,4% in 1999

4 Negative mix4 Yield pressure in

Economy Class4 New price concepts

introduced

Page 27: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

STARTM Alliance and other

partnershipsSTARTM

Alliance and other

partnerships

Page 28: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

The big alliance picture

AIR FRANCE AERO MEXICO DELTA

KLM ALITALIA

NORTHWEST CONTINENTAL

CROSSAIR TAPTURKISH

AIR LITTORAL AOM

SWISSAIR/SABENA

'WINGS'

LUFTHANSASASUNITEDVARIGAIR CANADA

THAIANSETT

ALL NIPPONAIR NEW ZEALAND

BRITISH AIRWAYSAMERICANCANADIANQANTASCATHAY

FINNAIRIBERIA

Page 29: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Joint Ventures

4 SAS capacity allocated

4 Non-SAS capacityallocated

4 SAS capacity allocated

4 Non-SAS capacityallocated

4 BetweenFinland/Scandinaviaand Germany

4 Between Spain andScandinavia

4 Between Toronto -Copenhagen

4 BetweenFinland/Scandinaviaand Germany

4 Between Spain andScandinavia

4 Between Toronto -Copenhagen

Page 30: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

STARTM Alliance -

result effect MSEK 800 in 19994 Growing steadily -

– 9 members4 5 new members in

20004 British Midland to join

4 Effect on SAS result in1999: MSEK 800

4 Growing steadily -– 9 members

4 5 new members in2000

4 British Midland to join

4 Effect on SAS result in1999: MSEK 800

Vision: The airline network for Earth

Page 31: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Increased contribution fromJoint VenturesScandinavia - GermanyJoint Venture with LH 1999 vs 19984 Traffic, RPK +4.8%4 Cabin Factor 58,7% vs 62,0%4 Net Revenues +9,1%

1999 vs 19984 Traffic, RPK +4.8%4 Cabin Factor 58,7% vs 62,0%4 Net Revenues +9,1%

Scandinavia-CanadaJoint Venture with AC June-Nov 19994 Cabin Factor 76%

Page 32: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Freddie Award for4th consecutive year

4 Number of members during 4thquarter increased by 3,8% to1 807 000

4 Member distribution by country:Outside Scandinavia 30%Denmark 16%Norway 32%Sweden 22%

Number of members

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

1 400 000

1 600 000

1 800 000

2 000 000

jan

96

jul 9

6

jan

97

jul 9

7

jan

98

jul 9

8

jan

99

jul 9

9

Page 33: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

British Midland to join STARTM

Alliance4 SAS to sell 20% to

Lufthansa4 Joint ventures to be

established4 Total sales proceed 91,4

MGBP4 Gain on Sale approx.

MSEK 1000 (Pre-tax)during 2000

4 SAS to sell 20% toLufthansa

4 Joint ventures to beestablished

4 Total sales proceed 91,4MGBP

4 Gain on Sale approx.MSEK 1000 (Pre-tax)during 2000

Page 34: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Unit cost down on weak volumesIndex Last Year

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

1996 1997 1998 1999

4 Weak volumes 3,2%(RPK/ASK)

4 Unit cost down 1,1%in 1999

4 Reduction of 5,4% in4th Quarter

4 Weak volumes 3,2%(RPK/ASK)

4 Unit cost down 1,1%in 1999

4 Reduction of 5,4% in4th Quarter

Page 35: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Strong focus on costs - positive trendin unit costs for 1999Index Last Year

4 Reduction of 5,4% in4th Quarter

4 Positively affected by– Result Improvement

program– Lowered

commissions– Reduced fuel costs

4 Reduction of 5,4% in4th Quarter

4 Positively affected by– Result Improvement

program– Lowered

commissions– Reduced fuel costs

-6%-5%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%

1%2%3%4%5%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Page 36: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Decreased Unit CostJanuary - December 1999 vs 1998

MSEK

Volume = average growth in ASK and RPK = 3,2%

Adjusted Share ofJAN-DEC98 JAN-DEC99 Var. % total var %

Commissions 2 175 1 597 26.6% 2.0%Fuel 2 491 2 181 12.4% 1.1%Government charges 3 701 3 486 5.8% 0.7%Personnel 12 255 12 728 (3.9%) (1.6%)Other oper. net costs 8 190 8 503 (3.8%) (1.1%)

TOTAL 28 812 28 495 1.1% 1.1%

Page 37: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Impact from Fleet ChangesImpact from Fleet Changes

Page 38: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Fleet renewal will lower cost per ASK

MD-81 130 100.0

MD-81 141 92.2 Config 2000 A321 174 87.2F50 46 100.0Q400 72 78.4

767-300 189 100.0A330/A340 275 85-88 Ex cargo c.

F28/ DC921/41 87 100Boeing 737-600 98 96

Seats Index

Page 39: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Fleet composition according tostrategy 30DEC99 Changes until end year 2000

Boeing 767-300 13 UnchangedMD-80 67 UnchangedMD-90 8 Unchanged Boeing 737 29 17 new deliveriesDC-9-81 8 Phase out 2000DC-9-41 20 Phase out 2001DC-9-21 4 Phase out 2000Boeing 737-300 0 Flexible capacity, wet leaseFokker F28 5 Phase out 1999/00 Fokker F50 20 Gradual phase outDeHaviland Q400 0 Phase in 2000SAAB 2000 5 Gradual phase outTOTAL 180

Page 40: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

High financial flexibility -focus on capital employed

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Generated cash flow Investments

Net Financing from ops +sales & InvestmentsMSEK

4 Solidity up to 41%4 Net debt down to 0,5

BSEK (lowest since '86)4 Market adjusted capital

employed, stable4 Liquidity 8,3 BSEK4 Committed facilities:

8 BSEK

4 Solidity up to 41%4 Net debt down to 0,5

BSEK (lowest since '86)4 Market adjusted capital

employed, stable4 Liquidity 8,3 BSEK4 Committed facilities:

8 BSEK

Page 41: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Increased operatingand financial flexibility

SAS in Joint Venture with GECAS30 Douglas MD-80 aircraft

4 Release of capital4 Long term access to

aircraft4 Future book profits

translated to lowerlease rentals

4 Access to lower WACC4 Reduced residual

value risk

4 Release of capital4 Long term access to

aircraft4 Future book profits

translated to lowerlease rentals

4 Access to lower WACC4 Reduced residual

value risk

Page 42: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Well prepared for investmentprogram of 3 Billion USD4 Aircraft CAPEX

MUSD 2000 2001 2002 2003-1000 670 650 610

4 10 Airbus A340/330-3004 12 Airbus A3214 26 Boeing 7374 22 deHavilland Q4004 Other investments in SAS 800-900 MSEK annually

4 Aircraft CAPEXMUSD 2000 2001 2002 2003-

1000 670 650 610

4 10 Airbus A340/330-3004 12 Airbus A3214 26 Boeing 7374 22 deHavilland Q4004 Other investments in SAS 800-900 MSEK annually

Page 43: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Result Improvement Program

Page 44: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 MSEK 1030 achieved in 19994 Target by early 2001: 3 000 MSEK

Result Improvement Program 1999/00

Area Targeted effect vs. 1998Cargo 100 MSEKCatering & In-flight service 300 MSEKIT & communications 250 MSEKDistribution & Electronic channels 850 MSEKAir crew 650 MSEKGround handling 300 MSEKTechnical maintenance 310 MSEKOverhead & other 340 MSEKTotal 3100 MSEK

Page 45: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Distribution Area

Page 46: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

www.scandinavian.net

Page 47: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Electronic channels -development as planned

4 New web site launched in November–Sale also through Intranet, Extranet

4 WAP-based booking service launched4 Ticket-less travel 4% of volume in 1999

–E-TIX, Travel Pass, Travel Pass Corporate

4 New web site launched in November–Sale also through Intranet, Extranet

4 WAP-based booking service launched4 Ticket-less travel 4% of volume in 1999

–E-TIX, Travel Pass, Travel Pass Corporate

Page 48: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Long haul expansion

Page 49: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 6 A 340-300's and 4 A 330-300's

4 Cost / ASK down 12-15% vs.B 767 (ex. cargo contr,)

4 Seat capacity up 45% on longhaul routes

4 Cargo capacity up 40-45%4 Investment approx 10 BSEK

4 6 A 340-300's and 4 A 330-300's

4 Cost / ASK down 12-15% vs.B 767 (ex. cargo contr,)

4 Seat capacity up 45% on longhaul routes

4 Cargo capacity up 40-45%4 Investment approx 10 BSEK

First delivery 2ndQuarter 2001

Decision to expand long haulbusinessOrder of 10 Airbus A 340/330

Page 50: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 Current market share artificially low - 25%4 Capacity increase to absorb target market

share of about 30%40-45 more Economy Class passengersneeded to break-even vs B 767

4 Positive cargo contribution4 Generic growth in traffic system - positive

feeder effects

4 Current market share artificially low - 25%4 Capacity increase to absorb target market

share of about 30%40-45 more Economy Class passengersneeded to break-even vs B 767

4 Positive cargo contribution4 Generic growth in traffic system - positive

feeder effects

Long haul - natural growth for SAS

Page 51: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 Natural link to long haulbusiness expansion

4 Cost / ASK down 13% vs.MD 80's

4 Seat capacity up 33%4 Ideal for peak periods and

constrained airports4 4,5 BSEK total investment

4 Natural link to long haulbusiness expansion

4 Cost / ASK down 13% vs.MD 80's

4 Seat capacity up 33%4 Ideal for peak periods and

constrained airports4 4,5 BSEK total investment

First delivery 2ndQuarter 2001

New larger short haul aircraftDecision to purchase 12 Airbus A321-100

Page 52: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Outlook 2000

Page 53: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

US:• GDP +3% (down.)• Weaker USD

Consensus macroeconomic outlookSAS' main markets

Euroland:• Strong growth Germany & Italy catching up Asia excl. Japan:

• Continued recovery in most regions

Japan:• Slightly better but from low level

Norway:• GDP 2.5-3%• Int. rates down

Sweden:• Export, consumption and GDP stronger

Denmark:• Slow growth

UK:• GDP +3%

Page 54: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

January traffic figures weak

4Negatively affected by millennium travel patterns4Improved passenger mix

Passenger- Seat capacity Cabin-traffic (RPK) (ASK) factor

SAS Total +0,5% -2,3% +1,6 p.u.Intercontinental -2,0% -4,9%Europe -0,5% -4,0%Domestic and +4,9% +2,1%Intrascandinavian

Page 55: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Outlook 2000

4 Positive macroeconomic outlook4 Reduced over-capacity4 Significantly reduced capacity in Norway4 Effects from Improvement program4 Lower unit costs

Uncertainties4 Continued over- capacity.4 Passenger growth and price development

Page 56: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

Operating key figures - year 2000

2000ASK Frequencies

Up 2-3% Marginally up

RPK Up 5-7%

Passenger yield Down 1-2%Unit costs Down at least 1%

Continued pressure on yields expected goingforward...but to a lesser extent than in 1999

SAS

Page 57: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

4 Strong position infinish market,maincompetitor to cut

4 New growth throughJoint Ventures

4 New marketingopportunities - e.g.Electronic Channels

4 Strong position infinish market,maincompetitor to cut

4 New growth throughJoint Ventures

4 New marketingopportunities - e.g.Electronic Channels

Further positive factors

4 BMA to join STAR4 Fleet renewal program

to lower costs

4 BMA to join STAR4 Fleet renewal program

to lower costs

Page 58: SAS Group 1999 Full Year Analyst Presentation...SAS Group January - December MSEK 1999 1998 4 Revenue 41 508 40 946 4 Op. inc. bef. depr. 2 765 4 143 4 Operating income 1 662 2 985

The Board of DirectorsAssessment for full year 2000:4 After a weak 1999, it is deemed that SAS Group’s

operating income for 2000 will be considerablybetter.

4 MSEK 658 in total4 SEK 4 SAS Sverige AB4 NOK 3,75 SAS Norge ASA4 DKK 3,50 SAS Danmark A/S

Proposed dividend: