salman syed ali
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Salman Syed Ali. LIQUIDITY RISK & LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT in Islamic banks. Distance Learning Course: Current Issues in Islamic Finance Lecture 4 March 28, 2006. Overview. Baking Theory—Why banks exist? Liquidity Issues in Islamic banks ------------------------------ - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Salman Syed Ali
LIQUIDITY RISK &LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENTin Islamic banks
Distance Learning Course: Current Issues in Islamic FinanceLecture 4
March 28, 2006
2
Overview
Baking Theory—Why banks exist? Liquidity Issues in Islamic banks
------------------------------ Sources of liquidity risk in IBs How it is managed and the consequences
------------------------------ What is being done and further
developments
3
Banking Theory—Why banks exist? Banks as providers of liquidity insurance
to depositors and clients Rationale for deposit taking and lending
by same institution (bank) Theory of bank intermediation
The Nature of Banking Firm Brings in Liquidity Risk
4
Excess of Wet or Dry
Liquidity Shortage Assassin of banks
Liquidity Surplus Drag on competitiveness
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Islamic Banks are likely to be more stable
They have profit sharing on both the liability side and asset side
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In practice, Islamic Banks have fixed income assets but have profit sharing on liability side.
The IBs therefore, are still more stable than conventional banks. Solvent Asset tied finance
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While majority of Islamic banks experience excess liquidity
Some have also faced liquidity crisis Many different risks culminate in
liquidity risk
8
Liquidity crunch can be a real problem
Example of Financial Crisis in Turkey 2000-2001
Islamic financial institutions there faced sever liquidity problems
One Islamic institution Ihlas Finans was closed during the crisis
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LIQUIDITY RISK: Definition
Risk of Funding [at appropriate maturities and rates]
Risk of Liquidating Assets [in time at reasonable prices]
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Investment Firm’s Definition
“liquidity risk includes both the risk of being unable to fund [its] portfolio of assets at appropriate maturities and rates and the risk of being unable to liquidate a position in a timely manner at reasonable prices.” *
* J.P. Morgan Chase (2000).
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Regulators Definition
“risk to a bank’s earnings and capital arising from its inability to timely meet obligations when they come due without incurring unacceptable losses.”*
* Office of the Comptroller (2000)
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LIQUIDITY RISK: Sources
Incorrect judgment and complacency Unanticipated change in cost of capital Abnormal behavior of financial markets Range of assumptions used Risk activation by secondary sources Break down of payments system Macroeconomic imbalances Contractual forms Financial Infrastructure deficiency
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Liquidity Risk & Contractual Forms
Profit Sharing Contracts Murabaha Salam Istisna Ijarah
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Resale not permitted Resale permitted but non-existent
market Market exists but not active
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Example of LR in Murabaha
Primary LR Secondary LR
Receivables are debt cannot be sold
Involves buying of commodity then selling on deferred payment This brings in many operational, credit, dispute, and legal risks that can affect realization of receivables
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Analysis and Diagnosis
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Liquidity Surplus Problem
Excess Liquidity is the current norm with Islamic banks Where to park for short-term? Use of most Islamic modes requires longer tenor
investment, murabaha leads to illiquidity (liquidity risk). This induces banks to hold more liquidity, but this is costly. This leads to very short-term murabaha low earnings.
Excess liquidity Use of commodity murabaha Absence of LoLR facility is also a reason
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Examples of Problems with Commodity Murabaha
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High Proportion of Short-Term Int’l Murabaha in Total Murabaha,Bank-A (2002)
26.3 %
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High Proportion of Short-Term Int’l Murabaha inTotal Murabaha (Bank-B)
20042002
50.4% 43.7%
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Low Income from Short Term Murabaha (Bank-B)
Income from Other Murabaha 81 %
Income from Short-term Murabaha
15.1 %
Income from Other Murabaha 84.9%
2002 2004
Income from Short-term Murabaha
19 %
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Approaches to Liquidity Management
Asset Side Liquidity Management Liabilities Side Liquidity Management Two Sided Approach
Islamic Banks are mostly using Asset Approach to liquidity management
Large size banks use two sided approach Approach varies b/w retail and investment
banks
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Liquidity Management: Current Practices of IBs
To cope with Excess Liquidity Commodity Murabaha Sukuk Ijarah and Salam Stock Markets
To manage Liquidity Shortage Reverse Commodity Murabaha Mixing of deposits Various types of reserves for confidence building
Problems and Issues of these practices
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New Ideas: Going Forward
Mutual funds Mutual fund of sukuk (LMC) IBs’ local club for mutual cooperation Development of secondary market in
sukuk (issues involved: increasing the float, shorter term)
Sequence of Funds instead of Demand Deposits
IFSB Guidelines for risk management
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Existing Maturity Structure of Sukuk
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Sukuk-A
Sukuk-B
Sukuk-C
SPV- 2
Issue Pooled Sukuk of Shorter-Term
Investor
Investor
Investor
Investor
Long-term Sukuk with different time remaining to maturity
Maturity Transformation through Pooled Sukuk
Mutual Fund of Sukuk
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LMC’s Short Term Sukuk Program Repackages longer instruments into monthly
maturity certificates –Guaranteed monthly entry and exit dates –Intra-month entry and exit also available (no
penalties) –Flexibility of investment amounts –Fully secured by underlying Sukuk portfolio –Monthly returns
Source for this slide: LMC Presentation
Conclusions
What is neededWhat can be done
Thank You