SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Latent Reconstruction/Reconciliation

Positive peace

Conflict cycle

Developmenthumanitarian assistance

Developmenthumanitarian assistance

Strengthen mechanisms & processes for managing conflict non-violently: peacebuilding; conflict prevention; conflict-sensitive development, etc.

Peacebuilding; conflict prevention; programmes on long-term stability & structural causes, eg good governance, democracy, access to justice

Conflict management: dialogues, mediation, facilitation

Crisis prevention, conflict resolution, moving towards peace making (settlement/agreement)

Peace enforcement (e.g. UN/AU/EU mandated to use force to stop hostilities),peacekeeping (monitoring peace)

Peacebuilding; reconstruction; reconciliation; DDR; conflict prevention

© Saferworld

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Why do we work with PARL

Promote empowerment

Work in partnership with others

Ensure accountability and promote responsibility

Address discrimination

Promote the non-violent resolution of conflicts

Seek sustainable results

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

How Does PARL Work?

PARL

Land Grab

Law

IDP resettlement

Access to land

Involuntary eviction

Land Reforms

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Options for INGOs!

• Lessons Learned & Reconciliation Commission recommendations

• Support to local partners • Research• Articulation, presentation

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Possible scenarios

Best case scenario

Middle case or status quo scenario

Worst case scenario

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Best case scenario Describes the best possible outcome

Examples: opportunities for peace-building are used; actors use their influence and resources to encourage peace and address conflict causes

Possible scenarios

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Middle case or status quo scenario Describes the continuation of the current

trends Examples: nothing much changes; the

same conflict causes remain present and no real movement takes place either towards or away from violent conflict

Possible scenarios

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Worst case scenario Describes the worst possible outcome

Examples: the conflict escalates; actors may use their influence and resources to fuel conflict deliberately; actors may unintentionally aggravate existing tensions by not being sensitive to conflict causes

Possible scenarios

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Example: Sudan

Best case scenario

Peace negotiations address the conflict causes between North and South.

A legitimate government is established which the whole country accepts.

The conflict in Darfur is addressed, whether separately or as part of North/South peace agreement.

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Middle case scenario

Peace negotiations stop and start for several years.

The causes of the conflict are not addressed.

The Darfur conflict is not really solved and violence continues to occur from time to time.

Example: Sudan

SaferworldWorking for the prevention of armed violence

Worst case scenario

Peace negotiations stop completely.

Violent conflict between the North and South continues on the same level as before or worsens.

Violent conflict in Darfur continues or worsens.

Example: Sudan