sa corporate december 2012 year end results presentation · • industrial sector characterised by...
TRANSCRIPT
SA Corporate December 2012 Year end Results Presentation
February 2013
Agenda
• Highlights Rory Mackey
• Financial Performance Antoinette Basson
• Portfolio Review Rory Mackey
• Strategic Objectives Rory Mackey
• Prospects Rory Mackey
• Acknowledgments Rory Mackey
• Questions Team
2
HIGHLIGHTSRORY MACKEY
High Level Review
• Distribution themes
• Full year distribution growth of 4.6%
• 2nd Half distribution growth of 3.5%
• Standing portfolio net property income growth of 6.4%
• Industrial sector characterised by low vacancies, strong retentions and healthy reversions
• Retail sector characterised by decline in vacancies as a percentage of rental income,
improved retentions and positive reversions despite tough trading conditions
• Investment strategy
• Disposal of 18 properties for R769m for 2012
• Disposal of Investment in Oryx for R175.2m
• Capital structure
• Repurchased 42.9m units at a weighted average price of 332cpu
• Weighted average cost of debt reduced by 2.8% (2.3% with fixes)
• Swaps renegotiated at significantly better rates
4
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCEANTOINETTE BASSON
Distribution History
6
17.00
14.50 14.45 14.24 14.3515.1715.o0 15.25
13.2414.18 14.48
14.98
32.00
29.75
27.6928.42 28.83
30.15
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Interim Final Total
*
* Interim 2007 distribution includes SA Retail once off contribution of 2.40c
Distribution growth
7
-14.7%
-0.3%
-1.5%
0.8%
5.7%
1.7%
-13.2%
7.1%
2.1%
3.5%
-7.0% -6.9%
2.6%
1.4%
4.6%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Interim Final Total
*
*
Large negative growth in 2008 due to Interim 2007 distribution including SA Retail once off contribution of 2.40c. Growth excluding once off contribution is:- Interim 2008: -0.7%- Total 2008: 0.5%
*
Distribution at a glance
Dec 2012Rm
Dec 2011Rm
%Variance
Net property income 777.07 774.97 0.3
Investment income (Oryx) 1.40 16.97 (91.7)
Net finance costs (108.65) (140.56) (22.7)
Fund Expenses (48.78) (51.08) (4.5)
Taxation 0.70 (0.09) 851.6
VAT provision (5.93) - 100.0
Lapsed distribution 0.79 - 100.0
Distributable earnings 616.61 600.20 2.7
Distribution per linked unit 30.15 28.83 4.6
First six months 15.17 14.35 5.7
Second six months 14.98 14.48 3.5
8
Distribution contributors and detractors
9
28.83
0.92
0.78
-0.90
-0.74
1.45 0.06
-0.29
0.04 30.15
27
28
29
30
31
Distribution
31 Dec 2011
Increase in
Property
Income
Increase in
property
expenditure
recoveries
Increase in
Property
Expenses
Decrease in
Investment
Income
(Oryx)
Decrease in
Net Interest
Paid
Decrease in
Fund
Expenses
VAT
distribution
provision
Lapsed
distribution
from Unit
Buy-back
Distribution
31 Dec 2012
Group Financial Position
Rmillion
10
8,3
70
40
3 12
4 50
6
1,8
36
44
1
8,0
24
52
8
12
74
2
1,3
32
1,0
06
7,9
67
18
3 23
57
1
76
8
1,0
03
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Investment
Properties
For sale Other Non-current
assets
Current Assets Non-current
liabilities
Current Liabilities
December 2010
December 2011
December 2012
Disposal Proceeds
Rm
Disposal Proceeds at 31 December 2011 98
Net Disposal Proceeds for 2012 929
Units Bought Back in 2012 (142)
Loan repayments (427)
Capex (162)
Disposal Proceeds at 31 December 2012 297
11
Group debt structure – at year end
Maturity and interest rate profile of interest-bearing debt at 31 December 2012 (WAR –6.94% vs 9.71%)
12
Interest Rate:
July 2016 7.34%
April 2015 7.58%
August 2013 6.79%
August 2013 6.79%
December 2013 6.80%
September 2014 6.80%
(Rm)
400.0
220.0
270.0
30.0
200.0
21.0
0 100 200 300 400 500
Variable rate debt Fixed rate debt
Group debt structure – post year end
Maturity and interest rate profile of interest-bearing debt at 2 January 2013 (WAR -7.44% vs 9.71%)
13
Interest Rate:
July 2016 7.34%
April 2015 8.23%
August 2013 7.44%
August 2013 7.44%
December 2013 6.80%
September 2014 7.40%
(Rm)
400.0
220.0
270.0
30.0
200.0
21.0
0 100 200 300 400 500
Variable rate debt Fixed rate debt
Group net cash flow
14
373,651
775,875
(587,273)
929,242
(612,544)
(161,875) (59,230)
(141,910) (108,655)
407,281
(800,000)
(600,000)
(400,000)
(200,000)
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Ba
lan
ce 3
1 D
ece
mb
er 2
01
1
Ca
sh fro
m o
pe
ratin
g a
ctivitie
s
Bo
rrow
ing
s rep
aid
Pro
cee
ds o
n sa
le o
f asse
ts
Distrib
utio
n
Imp
rov
em
en
ts to p
rop
ertie
s an
d fixe
d
asse
ts
Se
ttlem
en
t of in
tere
st rate
swa
p
Un
it Bu
y-b
ack
Ne
t fina
nce
costs
Ba
lan
ce 3
1 D
ece
mb
er 2
01
2
R '000
Net Asset Value
15
335
-2
2
37
-30
342
300
325
350
375
Opening NAV 1
January 2012
Buy Back of units Amortisation of
debt restructure
Net Profit for the
year
Distribution Closing NAV 31
December 2012
SA Corporate Historic Yield
16
Dividend Yield relative to Property Index
17
Trading Volumes and liquidity
18
-
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
290
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
Volume Traded Closing Price ( c )
SAC: closing price v monthly volume traded
VolumePrice (c)
Value traded as % of market capital
Market Capitalisation (R’m)
HYP
CPL
GRT
FPT
ACP
EMI
RDF
SYC
VKE
SAC
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
-10,000 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Unit Repurchases
19
• Motivation
• Prevailing discount of SAC not reflective of remedial
steps taking
• Sales proceeds available for re-investment
• Acquisition price expectations elevated
• Deposit rates low – high opportunity cost of holding cash
• Contributes to optimising capital structure
• Low risk enhancement to unit holder returns
• Buying own portfolio considered preferred Acquisition
• Execution
• Total to not exceed 5%
• Indicative increased growth in consensus distribution
is 1.1% and 0.8% in 2013 and 2014 respectively
• Dec to Feb- weighted average purchase 375.59cpu vs
VWAP 370.97cp
PeriodUnits (mn)
Av cpu
R’m
Mar – Apr 2102 31.0 323.08 100.0
Dec -2012 11.9 356.24 42.5
Jan – Feb 2013 58.9 378.61 223.0
Total 101.8 358.63 365.5
PORTFOLIO REVIEWRORY MACKEY
Overview – Sectoral Analysis
139 Properties
Total GLA 1 187 211
Total Portfolio R8.1bn
Average discount rate
14.8%
Capitalisation rate
9.3%
21
Retail 35%
(Dec-11: 42%)
Industrial 59%
(Dec-11: 52%)
Commercial6%
(Dec-11: 6%)
by GLA
Retail 47%
(Dec-11: 52%
Industrial 44%
(Dec-11: 40%)
Commercial9%
(Dec-11: 8%)
by Market Value
8,034
4,831
9,441
6,426
9,250
5,202
9,103
6,865
-
5,000
10,000
Retail Industrial Commercial Average
Market Value (R/m²)
December 2011 December 2012
Overview – Geographical Analysis
22
Gauteng52%
(Dec-11:48%)
KwaZulu-Natal39%
(Dec-11: 39%)
Western Cape7%
(Dec-11: 8%)
Other2%
(Dec-11: 5%)
by GLA
Gauteng47%
(Dec-11: 46%)
KwaZulu-Natal44%
(Dec-11: 40%)
Western Cape7%
(Dec-11: 9%)
Other2%
(Dec-11: 5%)
by Market Value
10 largest properties
Sector Area m² Value (Rm) % of total
Musgrave Centre Retail 39,305 651.3 8.0%
East Rand Galleria Retail 50,516 461.1 5.7%
Pine Crest Centre Retail 40,208 *287.6 3.5%
57 Sarel Baard Crescent - Centurion Industrial 34,460 279.3 3.4%
Umlazi Mega City Retail 35,328 *262.0 3.2%
Beryl Street - Jet Park Industrial 27,680 256.7 3.1%
112 Yaldwyn Road - Jet Park Industrial 30,299 253.2 3.1%
Springfield Value Centre Retail 20,260 252.8 3.1%
Bluff Shopping Centre Retail 21,264 241.0 3.0%
37 Yalwyn Road - Jet Park Industrial 39,738 202.7 2.5%
Total 339,058 3,147.7 38.6%
* Represents ownership % of valuation
23
Disposals
Property SectorGLA(m²)
Exit Yield%
Sales price (R000)
Status Transferred
94 Intersite – Waltons Industrial 1,845 8.1 7,500 Jan-12
6 Lanner Road Industrial 4,364 7 22,500 Jan-12
Dube Village Mall Retail 7,292 9 25,000 Jun-12
Nzhelele Shopping Centre Retail 5,539 7.6 30,575 Jun-12
Hubyeni Shopping Centre Retail 12,866 10 80,793 Jun-12
The Village Centre – Richdens Retail 10,165 9.6 79,632 May-12
Renbro Centre Retail 11,000 8.3 107,000 Jun-12
Van Riebeeckshof Shopping Centre Retail 5,036 9.8 38,000 Jun-12
Highland Mews Shopping Centre Retail 17,032 10 130,000 Jun-12
Ermelo Game Centre Retail 5,757 9.2 26,000 Jun-12
10 Top Road * Industrial 2,270 7.2 5,300 Sep-12
24-28 Commercial Road * Retail 2,336 1.6 3,700 Oct-12
Tokai Junction Retail 7,613 9.4 84,900 Dec-12
212 Church St Retail 1,963 10.3 30,000 Dec-12
Mkuze Corner Retail 3,388 13.4 15,000 Dec-12
Ominplace Office 2,714 9 20,000 Dec-12
St Georges Square Retail 11,618 9.6 44,000 Dec-12
210 Church St Retail 1,897 9.7 19,556 Dec-12
Clubview Corner Retail 5,830 9.3 27,000 Jan-13
425 West Street Retail 9,559 10.1 54,500 Jan-13
130,083 850,956
Investment in Oryx Properties Limited 10.2 175,200 Jan-12
Total 1,026,156
24
* Estimated as vacant
Properties held for sale
Property SectorGLA(m²)
Exit Yield %
Sales price (R000)
Expected date of transfer
The Ridge Retail 4,770 8 30,000 Feb-13
106 Johan Avenue Sandton Office 2,270 *N/A 35,000 Feb-13
Total 7,040 65,000
* Building is fully vacant.
25
Lease renewals - % Rental Reversions
26
2.5%
5.0%
2.0%
3.6%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Retail Industrial Commercial Total
12 months to Dec 2012
Contracted rental escalation profile
27
7.9%8.2% 8.2% 8.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Retail Industrial Commercial Total
Group lease expiry
28
% GLA Cumulative
Vacancy Monthly 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017+
%GLA 6% 9% 18% 14% 18% 8% 26%
Cumulative 6% 15% 34% 48% 66% 74% 100%
6%
9%
18%
14%
18%
8%
26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Largest expiries for the next 6 months
Property TenantGLA(m²)
update
37 Yaldwyn Rd, Jet Park RTT Logistics 30,197 new lease with tenant for 20000m²
Cnr Bridge & Molecule Rd, Bellville DPI Plastics 8,558 Lease extended for 2 years
83 Heidelberg Ave, City Deep SAMSAC Africa (Pty) Ltd 7,898 Lease extended for 3 years
Pine Crest Centre, Pinetown Pick n Pay Supermarket 5,508 Expected to renew
1/5 Stockville Rd, Pinetown Ellerine Furnishers 5,135vacating premises - lease with new tenant for 5 years
264 Aberdare Dr, Phoenix JDG Trading 3,648 in negotiation
Suffert Street, Pinetown Home Concept Furniture Logistics 3,624 in negotiation
33/37 Aloefield Cr, Durban Laser Facilities 3,624 new lease with tenant
199 North Ridge Road, Durban Transnet Limited 2,901 new lease with tenant
Stondell Investments, Wynberg (JHB) Esor-Franki Africa 2,551 in negotiation
73,644
The following tenants, with an area > 2 000m², will expire in the next 6 months:
29
Vacancy profile - % of gross rental
30
11.2%
2.2%
12.6%
8.0%
6.6%
1.5%
9.2%
5.0%
5.8%
1.5%
14.1%
4.9%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Retail Industrial Commercial Total
December 2010 December 2011 December 2012
Vacancy profile - % of GLA
31
10.4%
2.9%
19.5%
7.3%
9.7%
1.4%
13.6%
5.6%
10.6%
1.3%
19.2%
5.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Retail Industrial Commercial Total
December 2010 December 2011 December 2012
Ratio of gross recurring cost to property revenue
32
32.2%33.2%
35.0%36.2%
15.4%14.3% 15.0% 14.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Dec 2009 Dec 2010 Dec 2011 Dec 2012
Property expenses Property expenses excluding municipal expenses
Recurring expense categories
33
Advertising 2%
Bad debts 1%
Cleaning & Security 10%
Municipal Expenses 53%
Insurance 2%
Legal Expenses 1%
Letting Expenses 4%
Maintenance 8%
Sundry Expenses 2%
Property management fee
7%
Accounting and secretarial
fee 1%
Audit fees 1%
Administrative
expenses 1% Service Fees 7%
Distributable taxation 0%
Property Arrears and Provisions
TENANT DEBTORS AND PROVISIONS Dec-12 Dec-11
Total Trade Receivables
Trade receivable before bad debt impairment (Incl. VAT) 47,415 68,210
Provision for bad debts (27,229) (41,655)
Trade Receivable after bad debt impairment
(excluding debtors with credit balances) 20,186 26,555
Provision for bad debt
Opening balance 41,655 44,800
Amounts written off during the year (20,324) (26,741)
Additional provision recognised 5,899 23,596
Closing balance 27,229 41,655
Provision VAT inclusive 31,041 47,487
Ratios
Provision as a % of total trade receivable 57.4% 61.1%
Provision as a percentage of rental income 2.4% 3.5%
Trade receivables as a percentage of rental income 3.9% 5.7%
34
Redevelopments
Name of Property Sector Expected Capex Yield
Musgrave Retail R140.5m 7.4
Middelburg Pick 'n Pay Retail R5.3m 12.5
Cnr Rudo Nel & Tudor Str, Jet Park Industrial R29.5m 12.5
Hayfields Mall Retail R21.8m 10.3
Whirlprops P (Pty) Ltd Industrial R19m 9.3
8 Paul Smit Street, Anderbolt Industrial R16.4m 10.0
35
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVESRORY MACKEY
Strategic ObjectivesFour pillars: delivery of sustainable distribution growth
Property Management Strategy
• Acquisitions of quality
properties
• Divestments not compatible in
the long-term accompanied
with acquisitions
• Sector best property
management services
• RFP issued shortly
• Robust SLA
• “Stretch” KPI’s
• Appropriate Gearing
• Well priced debt –
• Managed Interest rate policy
• Complex regulatory
environment
• Structure formulated
• Net income growth
• Reduced vacancies, arrears
• Cost efficiencies
• Broker channel initiatives
• Enhanced tenant relationships
• Turnaround competence
• Acquisition capability from low
gearing
• Geographic spread not
dictated by PM
• Capitalising on our strengths
• Redevelopments
• Developer partnerships
• Debt Capital Market
• Share repurchase programme
• Well structured hedging
• Announcement
• Exclusivity
Investment Strategy
Optimal Capital Structure
Property Management Strategy
Alignment of investor and management
interests
37
PROSPECTSRORY MACKEY
Prospects
• Business conditions remain tight
• Quality acquisitions scarce and expensive
• No further dilution through sales
• Improved distribution growth expected
39
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
QUESTIONS
SA Corporate Real Estate Fund is a collective investment scheme in property registered in terms of the Collective Investment Schemes Control Act No 45 of 2002. As prescribed by the Act, the Fund is required to have an external management company which is SA Corporate Real Estate Fund Managers Ltd. The Management Company has outsourced all the day to day operational management to Old Mutual Property (Pty) Ltd and all staff required to management the Fund is employed by the asset and property manager, Old Mutual Property (Pty) Ltd.
Old Mutual Property (Pty) Ltd, is a licensed financial services provider, FSP 817, approved by the Registrar of Financial Services Providers (www.fsb.co.za) to provide intermediary services and advice in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002. Old Mutual Property (Pty) Ltd is a wholly owned subsidiary of Old Mutual Investment Group South Africa Holdings (Pty) Limited.
Although every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information contained herein, SA Corporate and Old Mutual Property (Pty) Ltd, will not accept any responsibility for any errors or omissions.