roads - august 2013
TRANSCRIPT
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
1/43
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
2/43
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
3/43
Second largest roadnetwork
India has the second largest road network in the world, spanning a total of 4.7 millionkilometres. This is used to transport over 60 per cent of all goods in the country and 85 percent of total passenger traffic
Rising investments inroad sector
The Planning Commission of India aims to spend nearly 20 per cent of the totalinvestment of USD1 trillion during the 12th Five Year Plan (201217) to develop roads
Growing private sectorinvolvement
The private sector is emerging as a key player in the development of road infrastructure inIndia
Rapid growth in national
highways
National highways are expected to reach 85,000 kilometres by the end of the 12 th Five
Year Plan from 71,772 kilometres currently
Source: Planning Commission, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
4/43
The engineering sector is delicensed;100 per cent FDI is allowed in thesector
Due to policy support, there wascumulative FDI of USD14.0 billion intothe sector over April 2000 February2012, making up 8.6 per cent of totalFDI into the country in that period
Growing demand
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Planning Commission, Business Monitor International, Aranca Research
Notes: NHAI - National Highways Authority of India, MoRTH - Ministry of Road Transport and Highways
Robust demand
Greater connectivity betweendifferent cities, towns and villageshas led to increased road trafficover the years
Growth in automobiles and freight
movement commands a betterroad network in India
Attractive opportunities
Roads and bridgeinfrastructure industry to beworth USD21 billion by FY17
Approximately 9,500
kilometres of projects areexpected to be awarded byNHAI during 201213
Policy support
Road infrastructure is a keygovernment priority; the sector has
received strong budgetary supportover the years
Financial institutions have receivedgovernment approval to raise moneythrough tax-free bonds
Increasing investments
USD1 trillion worth of expenditure oninfrastructure is estimated over
FY1317
Government of India aims to developa total of 66,117 kilometres of roads
Growing participation of privatesector through Public-PrivatePartnership (PPP)
2009
Roads &bridges
infrastructurevalue:
USD6.9
billion
FY17E
Roads &bridges
infrastructurevalue:
USD19.2
billion
AdvantageIndia
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
5/43
Source: Ministry of Road, Transport and Highways(MoRTH) Annual Report 2012-13,Aranca Research
Roads
(Total length: 4.7 millionKms)
State Highways National Highways District and RuralRoads
Total Length: 155,716
kilometres
Share: 3.3 per cent of
the total roads in India
Total Length: 79,116
kilometres
Share: 1.7 per cent of
the total roads in India
Total Length: 44,55,010
kilometres
Share: 95.0 per cent of
the total roads in India
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
6/43
India has the second largest road network in the world (4.7 million kilometres)
Roads bear about 85 per cent of the countrys passenger traffic and 60 per cent of freight traffic
Length of nationalhighways (kilometres)
Passenger vehicle sales(Million)
NHDP toll collection(USD million)
Highway projects
awarded (kilometres) byNHAI
Share of infrastructure intotal bank funding (%)
2.3
677
64.5
0.71
58,112
14.4
6,491
435*
3.1
71,772
FY03
FY12
Source: National Highway Authority of India (NHAI), National Highway Builders Foundation, ICRA Ltd, Reserve Bank of India (RBI)Notes: FY - Indian Financial Year (April-March), NHDP - National Highway Development Project, Aranca Research; Note: * - Data for FY11
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
7/43
Roads/ bridges infrastructure value in India(USD billion)
The value of total roads and bridges infrastructure in India isexpected to grow at a CAGR of 17.4 per cent over FY12-17to reach USD19 billion
Currently, the Government of India aims to develop a totalof 66,117 kilometres of roads under various programmessuch as NHDP, SARDP-NE and LWE
Of the total roads, 20,945 kilometres have been developed,while a major share of the remaining is estimated to becompleted by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan
Source: Business Monitor International (BMI), Aranca ResearchNote: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate, FY - Indian
Financial Year (April - March), F - Stands for forecast,NHDP - National Highway Development Project, SARDP-NE:
Special Accelerated Road Development Programme for the NorthEastern Region and LWE - Left Wing Extremism Programme
6.96.8 8.3
8.6 8.6
11.0
13.4
16.1
19.2
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12F FY13F FY14F FY15F FY16F FY17F
CAGR: 13.6%
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
8/43
Lane composition of national highways (FY13)National highways account for 1.7 per cent of the total roadnetwork in India
Under the 12th Five Year Plan (FY1317), the governmentplans to develop 20 kilometres of national highways perday, which implies a total development of 7,300 kilometresper year
Double-lane highways constitute the largest share ofhighways in India (40,658 kilometres)
Double-lane highways are followed by single-lane (19,330kilometres) and multi-lane (19,128 kilometres) highways
National highways are expected to reach 85,000 kilometresby the end of the 12th Five Year Plan from 71,772 kilometres
currentlySource: MoRTH, Aranca Research
24.4%
51.4%
24.2%Single lane
Double lane
Four/ Six/ EightLane
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
9/43
The National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) is a government agency responsible for construction, maintenance anddevelopment of highways
The Government of India has formulated a seven-phase programme known as National Highway Development Project(NHDP), vested with NHAI, for the development of national highways in the country
Porbandar
Mumbai
Kanyakumari
Chennai
Kolkata
Silchar
Delhi
SrinagarNorth SouthEast WestCorridor
Golden Quadrilateral
NHAI
Golden Quadrilateral (GQ): It is the highwaynetwork that connects four major
metropolises
North South & East West Corridor (NSEW NHDP Phase I and II): It connects the
countrys extreme ends
NHDP Phase III to VII: Construction andimprovement of roads in the remaining
urban and suburban regions
Source:NHAI, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
10/43
NHDP Phase Project descriptionTotal length
(Kms)Cost Development Model
Phase IDevelopment of Golden Quadrilateral, NorthSouth & East West (NS-EW) corridor, port
connectivity and other national highway7,522 USD7.0 billion
EPC (Engineering-Procurement and
Construction)
Phase IIDevelopment of North South & East West
(NS-EW) corridor and other national highway6,647 USD7.2 billion EPC
Phase III Development of Four lane national highways 12,109 USD18.5 billionPPP (Build-Operate-
Transfer)
Phase IV Upgradation of single lane to two-lane 20,000 - PPP
Source: NHAI, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
11/43
NHDP Phase Project descriptionTotal length
(Kms)Cost Development Model
Phase VUpgradation of four-lane highways to
six-lane and port connectivity6,500 USD9.3 billion PPP
Phase VI Development of Expressway 1,000 USD3.8 billion PPP-(Design-Build-Finance-Operate)
Phase VIIDevelopment of ring roads, bypasses and
flyovers700 USD4.2 billion
PPP (Build-Operate-Transfer)
Source: NHAI, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
12/43
The Special Accelerated Road Development Programme for the North Eastern region (SARDP-NE) is aimed at developingroad connectivity between remote areas in the North Eastern region with state capitals and district headquarters
SARDP-NE is vested with the development of double-/four-lane national highways of about 4798 kilometres and double-laning/improving about 5343 kilometres of state roads
Implementation of the road development programme will facilitate connectivity of 88 district headquarters in North Easternstates to the nearest national highways
The project will be undertaken in three phases:
Phase Project descriptionTotal length
(Kms)Date of
Completion
AImprovement of national highways 2,041
March 2015Improvement of state roads 2,058
BDevelopment of double-lane of national highways 1,285
Not Disclosed
Double-laning and improvement of state roads 2,438
Arunachal Pradesh packageof roads and highways
Development of roads 2,319 March 2017
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, PPPinIndia, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
13/43
Total length (Kms) Total cost (USD billion)
Approved 5,477 USD1.6
Awarded 5,049 USD1.5
Completed (By December 2012) 1,960 USD0.5
The government has approved a Road Requirement Plan (RRP) for the development of 1126 kilometres of national highwaysand 4351 kilometres of state roads in Left Wing Extremism (LWE) affected districts
The project has been implemented in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh,Maharashtra, Odisha and Uttar Pradesh for a total value of USD1.6 billion
The project will be vested with the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (MoRTH) and is scheduled to be completed byFY15
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, PPPinIndia, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
14/43
During 2011, India had 758 PPP projects across various sectors, of which 405 are dedicated towards roads and highways
The BOT models share in total highway projects has increased sharply over the years; it rose to 31 per cent in FY10 from10 per cent in FY05
Total PPP projects in India (2011) Composition of total highway projects awarded
53%
47%
Roads
Others
8% 13% 15% 19% 22%23%
9% 12% 12% 20%20%
27%
4% 7% 9% 9% 17%
53%
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
BOT SPV Public Funded
Source: MoRTH, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
15/43
Awards won by BOT private playersRoad construction projects awarded to BOT companieswent up at a CAGR of 62 per cent over FY05-12 to about6,067 kilometres
In FY12, highway projects awarded to private companiesrose to 6,067 kilometres
209 369 464 470
877
2,677
6,144 6,067
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
CAGR: 61.8%
Source: NHAI, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
16/43
Source:Aranca Research
Notes: NH National Highway
Until 2005, the road construction market was dominated by public sector companies
However, the emergence of private players over the last decade has made the road construction market fragmented andcompetitive; the players bidding for projects also vary by size
Major privatesector players
Major projects: MumbaiPune BOT Project, PuneNashik BOTProject, BharuchSurat BOT Project, ThaneBhiwandi by-pass
Four-Lane Project
Major projects: North Karnataka Expressway, West GujaratExpressway, Noida Toll Bridge
Major projects: NH6 Dhankuni to Kharagpur, Sambalpur Baragarh,NH4 Belgaum Dharwad
Major projects: BandraWorli Sea Link, Badarpur ElevatedHighway Project
Major projects: TuniAnkapalli Highway, TambaramTindivanamHighway, AmbalaChandigarh Highway
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
17/43
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca ResearchNotes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment
Increasing privatesector participation
Government policy to increase private sector participation has proved to be a boon to theinfrastructure industry with a large number of private players entering the business throughthe Public Private Partnership (PPP) model
The type of PPP models used in road projects are Build Operate Transfer (BOT ) toll andBOT annuity
Partnerships betweenIndian and foreign firms
With the Government of India permitting 100 per cent FDI in the road sector, most foreign
companies have formed partnerships with Indian players to participate in the sectorsgrowth story
Indias renewed focus
on infrastructure
Infrastructure is the key to supporting double-digit GDP growth in India during the medium-to long-term
The government has hence made infrastructure development a key policy issue and plansto spend USD1.0 trillion during FY13-17 on the sector
Success of Indias Five
Year plans
Through Five-Year Plans, India has increased the length of national highways from 21,378kilometres during the late 1940s to 71,772 kilometres by the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan(FY08-12)
The total length of national highways is expected to touch 85,000 kilometres by the end of12th Five Year Plan
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
18/43
Source:Aranca Research
Policy support
Greater governmentfocus on
infrastructure
Standardisedprocesses for
bidding and tolling;clear policyframework
Tax sops, FDI, FIIencouragement
Rise in two-wheelerand four-wheeler
vehicles
Increasing investments
NHAI implementingone of the largest
road projects
Rising private sectorparticipation
Strong projecteddemand makingreturns attractive
Inviting Resulting in
Increasing freighttraffic
Strong trade andtourist flows
between states
Growing demand
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
19/43
Higher individual discretionary spending has led to increasing spending on cars, motorbikes and scooters
Growing domestic trade flows have led to rising commercial vehicles and freight movement
Roads traffic share of the total traffic in India has grown from 13.8 per cent to 65 per cent in freight traffic and from 15.4per cent to 90 per cent in passenger traffic from 1951 to 2011
Higher roadtraffic
Rising incomesleading to
increasing numberof vehicle owners
Growing movementof goods within the
country due toeconomicintegration
Better quality roadsmakes road travelcheaper and safer
Increasingroadways leading togreater accessibilitybetween different
cities/towns/villages
Growth in small andmedium enterprises
in India
Source: MoRTH, World Bank, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
20/43
Trends in passenger vehicle sales (in million)
Total auto sales across categories are estimated to rise 6-8 per cent in FY14
Sales of passenger vehicles are expected to increase at a CAGR of 15.0 per cent to 3.5 million during FY07-14
Sales of commercial vehicles are expected to rise at a CAGR of 13.5 per cent to 8,52,000 during FY07-14
Rising per-capita income and growing middle class coupled with easier access to finance and a wider price range of
vehicles have led boosted car sales
Trends in commercial vehicle sales (in 000)
Source: SIAM, Aranca Research
1.31.6
1.8
2.4
3.0 3.13.2
3.5
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
CAGR: 15.0%
351
468494 533
676
800783
852
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
CAGR: 13.5%
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
21/43
Length of National Highway added in the variousFive-Year Plans (kilometres)
Road addition in the 3rd Five Year Plan was only 179kilometres this increased to 10,228 kilometres in the 11 thPlan
The 12th Five Year Plan (FY13-17) is estimated to carry themomentum forward with projects to the tune of 36,500kilometres
- 1,514 179
4,819
158
2,867
1,902 609
23,814
9,008 10,228
36,500
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th*
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca ResearchNote: * - Estimated
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
22/43
Share of infrastructure in total bank fundingInfrastructure is a priority of the governments economicpolicy; funding for the sector from both private and publicsectors is set to increase sharply in the near term
Infrastructures total share in bank funding rose from 2.3 percent in 2002 to about 14.4 per cent in 2012
2.3%
3.5%
4.2%
6.9%
7.5%
7.3%
8.5%9.5%
11.5%
14.0%14.4%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*
Source: RBI, ICRA Limited, Aranca ResearchNote: 2012* - March 2012
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
23/43
Combined fiscal deficit of the centre and stategovernments (% of GDP)
The government has been eager to involve private sectorfunding for infrastructure projects and thereby reducestrains on the budget
The PPP model has emerged as the favoured one forprivate sector participation in roads projects
Notes: PPP - Public Private Partnership, NHDP - National HighwayDevelopment Project, BOT - Build Operate Transfer
9.9% 9.6%
8.5%
7.2%
6.5%
5.4%
4.1%
8.5%
9.5%
7.3%
8.2%
7.1%
FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E F Y13E
Source: RBI, Morgan Stanley, Aranca ResearchE - Estimate
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
24/43
% of BOT share in different phases of NHDPPhase I and Phase II of NHDP were mostly developed bypublic funds with the BOT share at 14.8 per cent and 28.6per cent respectively
Public Private Partnership (PPP) model will be the favouredway of executing the remaining NHDP phases
14.8%
29.6%
95.9%
83.1%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Phase I
Phase II
Phase III
Phase IV
Phase V
Phase VI
Phase VII
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca ResearchNote: NHDP - National Highway Development Phase,
BOT - Build Operate Transfer
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
25/43
Source:Aranca Research,Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FII - Foreign Institutional Investors
Infrastructure is a keygovernment priority
Infrastructure investment is a major focus area for the government The Government targeted USD500 billion worth of spending on infrastructure in the 11 th
Five-Year Plan (FY08-12); the amount is set to double to USD1 trillion in the 12th FiveYear Plan (FY13-17)
Support from the Union
Budget
The FII investment limit in infrastructure corporate bonds was raised from USD5 billion toUSD25 billion in the Union Budget
An increase in road development fund was also announced The Indian government plans to establish a Road Regulator Authority in FY14 to addressfinancial issues, construction risk and contract management in the road sector
Rural development
The Prime Ministers Gram Sadak Yojana (PMGSY) is a scheme for development of ruralroads in India
The Construction of Rural Roads Project (CRRP) is another initiative focused on ruraldevelopment
Taxes and other sops
Companies enjoy 100 per cent tax exemption in road projects for five years and 30 percent relief for the next five years
The companies are also granted a capital of up to 40 per cent of the total project cost toenhance viability
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
26/43
Issue of tax-freeinfrastructure bonds
Infrastructure finance companies, such as India Infrastructure Finance Corporation(IIFCL), National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), Housing and Urban DevelopmentCorp (HUDCO), Power Finance Corporation (PFC) and India Railway Finance Corporation(IRFC), have been allowed to issue tax-free bonds for a total value of USD9.2 billion forFY14
Institutions were allowed to raise tax-free bonds of about USD5.5 billion in FY12 and up toUSD4.6 billion in FY13
Encouragement ofInfrastructure Debt
Funds (IDFs)
The Government of India has set up the India Infrastructure Finance Company (IIFCL) toprovide long-term funding for infrastructure projects
Interest payments on borrowings for infrastructure are now subject to a lower withholdingtax of 5 per cent vis--vis 20 per cent earlier
IDF income is exempt from income tax
Central Road Fund
(CRF)
The Central Road Fund (CRF) assists the state government and union territories in thedevelopment of state roads
For FY13, USD3.6 billion was allocated for the development of roads
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
27/43
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
ProjectLength
(kilometre)Cost (USD
million)Company
Four Laning of Coimbatore-Mettupalayam 67 123 Transstroy - OJSC Consortium
Four Laning of Walayar -Vadakkancherry section 54 142 KNR Constructions Ltd
Walajapet-Poonamalee 93 268 ESSEL Infra Projects Ltd
2-Laning with paved shoulder of Raebareli to Jaunpur 166 118 PNC Infratech Ltd
Six- Laning of Anandapuram-Visakapatnam-Anakapalli 58 174 Transstroy (India) Ltd - OJSC Corporation
Six-Laning of Gundugolanu Rajamundry 120 336 IVRCL Assests & Holding Limited
Vijayawada-Gundugolanu Section 103.6 351 Gammon Infrastructure Proj
Six Laning of Kishangarh Udaipur Ahmedabad 556 1,122 GMR Infrastructure Ltd
Etawah -Chakeri (Kanpur) 160 328 Oriental Structural Engineers Ltd
Agra-Etawah Bypass 125 251 Ramky Infrastructure Ltd
Four Laning of Kiratpur-Ner Chowk Section 84 400 IL & FS Transportation Networks Ltd
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca ResearchNotes: BOT - Build Operate Transfer, UB - Union Budget
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
28/43
For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org
Outlay for roads under respective Union Budgets(USD billion)
Roadways has been a key focus area of budget allocationsover the years
For FY14, the Planning Commission has provided an outlayof USD6.9 billion for the road sector
The budget outlay for road transport and highwaysincreased at a robust CAGR of 19.4 per cent between FY09
and FY14
In FY14, the government plans to improve about 8,270kilometers of the National Highways along withconstruction/rehabilitation of 100 bridges and four bypassesfor an estimated cost of USD4.3 billion
2.8
3.53.2
5.66.4
6.9
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Source: Respective Union Budgets, Aranca ResearchNote: CAGR - Cumulative Annual Growth Rate
CAGR: 19.8%
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
29/43
Toll revenue: IRB Infrastructure Limited(USD million)
IRB Infrastructure is one of Indias leading BOT operatorswith a built-length of around 8,000 lane kilometres
So far, the company has undertaken BOT projects(completed/under execution) worth USD3.5 billion
The company has 19 BOT projects currently, of which threeare complete, nine operational, and seven under
construction
As on 31 December 2012, IRB Infrastructures orderbacklog stood at about USD1.7 billion
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca ResearchNotes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate,
BOT - Build Operate Transfer
77
96
176
201
256
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
CAGR: 35.0%
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
30/43
Won three roadprojects worthUSD411 million
Won first ultra-megaNHAI road projectworth USD750 million
Acquired MVRInfrastructure &Tollways Pvt Ltd2010
2011
2012
2013
Signed contract with
NHAI for four-laningof NH-17 from Goa/Karnataka toKundapur
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
31/43
Revenue trends: IL&FS TransportationNetworks Limited (USD million)
ITNL has the largest BOT road asset portfolio (in terms oflane kilometres) in India, with presence in 16 states
The company has 11,859 lane kilometres under its roadasset portfolio; this comprises 28 projects
ITNL has 24 PPP projects currently, of which 11 arecomplete and 13 under construction
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca ResearchNotes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate,
BOT - Build Operate Transfer, Km - Kilometers
255
502
843
1,168
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
CAGR: 66.1%
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
32/43
Was awardedorder for 1,086 lanekilometres for a
total value ofUSD1.5 billion
Was awarded orderfor 1,129 lanekilometres for a totalvalue of USD1.5billion
Four-laning of Beawer-Gomti Road Project
2010
2011
2012
2013
Won USD312 millioncontract for six-laningBarwa-Adda-Panagarh sector ofNational Highway 2
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
33/43
Revenue trends: Noida Toll Bridge(USD million)
Infrastructure Leasing and Financial Services Ltd (IL&FS)promoted National Toll Bridge Company Limited (NTBCL)as a special purpose vehicle (SPV) for the development ofthe 22-km Delhi-Noida Direct (DND) flyway on a Build OwnOperate Transfer (BOOT) basis
Incorporated in Uttar Pradesh, India in 1996, NTBCL is apublicly listed company and operates only in India
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research
SALIENT FEATURES
Eight-lane dual carriageway connecting Noida and Delhi
One major and three minor bridges over Yamuna river
Eight-lane approach road on embankment
31-lane, 200m-wide, fully computerised toll plaza
Extensive tree planting and landscaping
Noise barriers and river training works
10.4
16.617.2
17.918.9
19.9
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
CAGR: 13.9%
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
34/43
Projects to be awarded (in kilometres)
National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) aims to award 2500 kilometres of projects in FY14 vis--vis 787 kilometresduring the last fiscal
Currently, around 23,120 kilometres of NHDP projects are in the pipeline, with the highest share for NHDP IV (16,632kilometres)
Projects to be awarded (in kilometres) by NHDP phases
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca ResearchNote: NHDP stands for National Highways Development Project
6,491
787
2,500
3,899
FY12 FY13E FY14E FY15E
4201,840
16,682
2,519
1,000 659
NS - EWPh. I & II
NHDP III NHDP IV NHDP V NHDP VI NHDP VII
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
35/43
PPP opportunity over the next five yearsDevelopment of national highways through Public-PrivatePartnership (PPP) is expected to remain the key focus areafor the government
During the next five years, investments through PPP areexpected to be over USD41 billion for national highwaysand around USD10 billion for state highways
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research
USD 41.2billion
USD 9.9billion
National Highways State Highways
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
36/43
Projected growth of vehiclesIn India, roads remain the most important means oftransport; it accounts for 85 per cent of passenger traffic and65 per cent of freight traffic
Passenger cars are expected to grow at a CAGR of 15 percent to 677 millions in FY15 and LCV to grow at a CAGR of21 per cent over FY10-15 to 3 million in FY15
Source: SIAM Report, Aranca Research
Notes: PC - Passenger Cars, LCV - Light CommercialVehicles, SIAM - Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
0
150
300
450
600
750
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E FY15E
LCV units in 000s (right axis) PC units mill ions (left axis)
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
37/43
Summary of foreign contract awardsForeign contractors were awarded projects worth aboutUSD1.69 billion during 1999-2011; Malaysian and Russian*contractors have topped the foreign contractors list
About 55 per cent of all such contracts were funded viaBOT, BOT-Annuity and BOT-SPV routes
A joint venture between SVBTG Consortium (USA) and
Stradcom Corp (Philippines) had won the largest contractduring that period (project cost of USD134 million)
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca ResearchNote: BOT - Build operate transfer,* - Russian joint venture with Indian firm
688
339
199
137 134 101
4841
568
429
105 149
6
107
4551
Malaysian
Russia*
China
Russian
USA
Taiwan
S.
Korean
Indonesian
Project Cost (USD mn) Length (kms)
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
38/43
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Union Budget, Aranca ResearchNotes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FII - Foreign Institutional Investor; EPC - Engineering, Procurement andConstruction; ECB - External Commercial Borrowings; WHT - Withholding Tax; DDT - Dividend Distribution Tax
Significant potential forconstruction & EPC
companies
About two-thirds of NHDP road
projects (ex-phase IV) are yet
to be awarded, thereby offering
a huge opportunity for private
players over the next five
years.
For the 12th Five Year Plan, the
government targets to develop
National Highways at the rate
of 20 km per day
Indias construction sector is
expected to grow at about 35
per cent over FY09-13
Strong focus on infrastructure
Infrastructure spending is
expected to touch USD1 trillion
in the next Five-Year Plan
(FY13-17)
Union Budget FY14 allows
financial institutions to raise
USD9.2 billion from tax-free
bonds
The budget also proposed key
steps such as relaxing ECB
guidelines, removal of
cascading effect of DDT and
reductions in WHT
Major government initiativesto boost private and foreign
investment
Increased FII limit in
infrastructure corporate bonds
from USD5 billion to USD25
billion in FY12 is a step in the
right direction
Cumulative FDI inflow for
FY200013 (February) in
construction development and
infrastructure sector (including
roads and highways) stood atUSD24.1 billion
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
39/43
Ministry of Roads Transport and HighwaysTransport Bhavan1, Parliament StreetNew Delhi110001Phone: 91-11-23719097, 23719955E-mail: [email protected]
National Highway Authority of India
G 5 and 6, Sector 10, DwarkaNew Delhi 110 075Phone: 91-11-25074100, 25074200Fax: 91-11-25093507, 25093514
Indian Roads CongressSector 6, (Near RBI Quarters), RK Puram, New Delhi 110022Phone: 91-11-26185303Secretariat: 91-11-26716778, 26183669, 26185273, 26185315,26185319Fax: 91-11-26183669E-mail: [email protected]
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
40/43
BOT: Build Operate Transfer
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
EPC: Engineering, procurement and construction
FDI: Foreign Direct Investment
FY: Indian Financial year (April to March) So FY10 implies April 2009to March 2010
GOI: Government of India
INR: Indian Rupee
LCV: Light Commercial Vehicles
MoRTH: Ministry of Roads Transport and Highways
NH: National Highway
NHAI: National Highway Authority of India
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
41/43
NHDP: National Highway Development Project
USD: US Dollar Conversion rate used: USD1= INR54.43
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
42/43
Year INR equivalent of one US$
2004-05 44.95
2005-06 44.28
2006-07 45.28
2007-08 40.24
2008-09 45.91
2009-10 47.41
2010-11 45.57
2011-12 47.94
2012-13 54.31
Exchange Rates (Fiscal Year)
Year INR equivalent of one US$
2005 45.55
2006 44.34
2007 39.45
2008 49.21
2009 46.76
2010 45.32
2011 45.64
2012 54.69
2013 54.45
Exchange Rates (Calendar Year)
Average of the year
-
7/29/2019 Roads - August 2013
43/43
India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) engaged Aranca to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by
Aranca in consultation with IBEF.
All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The
same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium
by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in
any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF.
This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this
presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of Aranca and IBEFs knowledge and belief, the
content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice.
Aranca and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in
this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of
any reliance placed on this presentation.
Neither Aranca nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission onthe part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.