road trauma trends in nsw ctp roundtable july 2013 presenter margaret prendergast general manager...
TRANSCRIPT
Road Trauma Trends in NSW CTP Roundtable
July 2013
Presenter
Margaret Prendergast
General Manager
NSW Centre for Road Safety
Overview of 2012 Provisional Road Toll
RSAC Meeting
April 2013
NSW Centre for Road Safety
Provisional Road Toll for 2012
3
• There were 370 fatalities on NSW roads in 2012 (provisional figure) – the second lowest annual road toll since 1932
Number of Fatalities in NSW, Since 1932
1,384
370366
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2012
p
Nu
mb
er
of
Fa
talit
ies
NSW v Rest of Australia2002 to 2012
4
Trends in Road Fatalities, NSW vs Rest of Australia, 2002 to 2012p
350
400
450
500
550
600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p
Year
Num
ber
of F
atal
ities
in N
SW
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
Num
ber
of F
atal
ities
in R
est
of A
ustr
alia
NSW
Rest of Australia
19% decrease since 2002
34% decrease since 2002
2012 National Fatality Rates
5
Fatalities per 100,000 population, Australian States and Territories, 2011 v 2012p
5.0 5.26.0 6.3
7.7
4.7
1.6
19.0
5.75.1 5.0
6.1 5.7
7.66.4
3.2
20.4
5.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
NSW Victoria Queensland South Australia WesternAustralia
Tasmania ACT NorthernTerritory
AUSTRALIA
State / Territory
Fat
aliti
es p
er 1
00,0
00 p
opul
atio
n
2011
2012p
2012 Road Toll Class of Road User
6
Number of Fatalities, Class of Road User, NSW, 2009-11 Average, 2011 and 2012p
192
88
60 56
11
181
73
51 49
10
168
81
6054
7
0
50
100
150
200
Driver Passenger Motorcyclist Pedestrian Pedal Cyclist
Class of Road User
Nu
mb
er
of F
ata
litie
s
2009-11 Average20112012p
2012 Road Toll Age Group
7
Fatalities, Age Group, NSW, 2012p
0-166%
17-2523%
26-3920%
40-5922%
60-7920%
80+9%Number of Fatalities, Age Group, NSW,
2009-11 Average, 2011 and 2012p
6
17
4649
28
56
52
58
3432 30
4
15
31
48
24
39
57
51
33 3230
3
19
44
39
32
42
37
4543
3133
0
20
40
60
0-4 5-16 17-20 21-25 26-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Age Group
Num
ber o
f Fat
aliti
es
2009-11 Average20112012p
2012 Road TollUrbanisation
8
Number of Fatalities, Urbanisation, NSW, 2009-11 Average, 2011 and 2012p
121
96
190
96
171
10397
108
158
0
50
100
150
200
Metropolitan Country <= 8o km/h Country >80 km/h
Urbanisation
Num
ber o
f Fat
aliti
es
2009-11 Average
2011
2012p Fatality Rate per 100,000 Population, Urbanisation, 2012p
2.3
5.1
10.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Metropolitan All NSW Country
Urbanisation
Fatal
ities p
er 10
0,000
Popu
lation
2012 Road TollBehavioural Factors
9
Number of Fatalities, Behavioural Factor, NSW, 2009-11 Average, 2011 and 2012p
173
6979
46
152
72 70
40
148
65
29
56
0
50
100
150
200
Excessive Speed Fatigue Illegal Alcohol Restraint Non Usage
Behavioural Factor
Num
ber
of F
atal
ities
2009-11 Average20112012p
Overview of Serious Injury Data
RSAC Meeting
April 2013
NSW Centre for Road Safety
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2001 to 2011
11
Serious Injuries NSW (TARS Linkage), 2001 to 2011
62926367
6288 6331
6628 6676
6120
58305755
5956
6140
4000
5000
6000
7000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
No
of S
erio
us In
jurie
s
Fatality and Serious Injury Trends 2001 to 2011
12
Trends in Serious Injuries (TARS) and Fatalities, NSW, 2001 to 2011
By 2011serious injuries
decreased by 2.4 %
6292 serious injuries in 2001
By 2011 fatalities
decreased by 31 %
524 fatalities in 2001
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
No
of S
erio
us I
njur
ies
300
400
500
600
700
No
of F
atal
ities
Serious Injuries
Fatalities
Linear (Fatalities)
Linear (Serious Injuries)
Serious Injuries per 100,000 Population
13
Serious Injuries per 100,000 Population,NSW (TARS Linkage), 2001 to 2011
95.6 96 94.3 94.397.8 97.4
87.882.2 80.7 82.6 84.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
No
of S
erio
us
Inju
ries
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2001 to 2011Class of Road User
14
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2001 to 2011Age Group
15
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2009Age Group
16
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2001 to 2009Urbanisation
17
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2001 to 2009Behaviour Factors
18
Serious Injuries (TARS) 2001 to 2011Motorcycles v Motor Vehicles
19
Cost of Road Crashes in 2011 Using TARS Serious Injuries Estimate
20
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1
Estimated Cost of Crashes 2011 (With the Inclusion of TARS Serious Injury Data)
Towaway Crashes
Other Injuries
Serious Injuries
Fatalities
Principal Diagnosis for Serious Injuries by Road User Class
21
Average Length of Stay Road User Class
22
Average Length of Stay (Days), TARS Serious Injury Data, 2001 to 2011, Class of Road User
3.7
7.5
5.7
3.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Motor Vehicle Occupants Pedestrians Motorcyclists Pedal Cyclists
Class of Road User
Le
ng
th o
f S
tay
(da
ys)
Overview of ‘At Fault Driver’ Crash Involvement Data
RSAC Meeting
April 2013
NSW Centre for Road Safety
Key Vehicle Status –Age of Driver x Deg of Casualty
Motor vehicle drivers involved in crashes from 2009-2011 in the 'key' traffic unit of the first impact, by age group and degree of severity
93%
83% 82%76%
89%93%
69%
53%
47%
55%
70%
81%
66%
54%49%
52%
63%
76%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0-25 26-39 40-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Killed
Injured
No injury
Speeding –Age of Driver x Deg of Casualty
Motor vehicle drivers involved in crashes from 2009-2011 considered speeding, by age group and degree of severity
62%
51%
38%
27%
17% 17%
23%
14%11% 10% 10% 10%
13%
7% 5% 4% 5% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0-25 26-39 40-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Killed
Injured
No injury
Driver Fatigue –Age of Driver x Deg of Casualty
Motor vehicle drivers involved in crashes from 2009-2011 considered fatigued,by age group and degree of severity
17% 17%
27% 27%
34%
24%
9% 8% 7% 9% 11% 11%
4% 3% 2% 2% 4% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0-25 26-39 40-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Killed
Injured
No injury
Illegal Alcohol –Age of Driver x Deg of Casualty
Motor vehicle drivers involved in crashes from 2009-2011 with an illegal alcohol level, by age group and degree of severity
37%
30%
22%
9%
3%7%7% 6%
4% 2% 2% 1%2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0-25 26-39 40-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Killed
Injured
No injury
Single Vehicle Crashes –Age of Driver x Deg of Casualty
Motor vehicle drivers in crashes from 2009-2011 involving a single vehicle, by age group and degree of severity
61%59%
53%
45%49%
32%36%
24%21% 23% 24% 25%
18%
11% 9% 8% 9% 11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0-25 26-39 40-59 60-69 70-79 80+
Killed
Injured
No injury
Overview of Older Driver Crash Data
RSAC Meeting
April 2013
NSW Centre for Road Safety
Trends Since 2000 for Drivers Aged 60 Years
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011p
Com
paris
on D
ata:
All
Driv
ers
Driv
ers
Year
Drivers Aged 60+ and Involved in Casualty Crashes, 2000 to 2011p, by Year and Age Group
60 to 64 65 to 69 70 to 7475 to 79 80 to 84 85 to 8990+ All Drivers
Strong Growth in the Older Driver Population and Licence
Holders
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% C
hang
e
Age Group
% Population Change
% Driver Licence Holders Change
Population Change and Number Driver Licence Holders Change, Jun 2006 to Jun 2011, by Age Group
Casualty Crash Severity by Age Group of Driver
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
% o
f Cas
ualty
Cra
shes
Tha
t Wer
e Fa
tal
Age Group
Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes, 2007 to 2011p, by Age Group
Casualty Severity by Age Group of Driver
1.2%1.4%
1.7%1.5%
2.2% 1.9%
3.2%2.8%
4.2%
7.5%
1.4%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
% o
f Driv
er C
asua
lties
Who
Wer
e K
illed
Age Group
% Killed
All Drivers
Driver Casualties Who Were Killed, 2007 to 2011p, by Age Group
Injury Crash Involvement Rates per Licence by Age
Group
92.6
99.7
77.4
66.2
59.1 57.152.8
48.643.9
38.234.5 33.8
37.3
46.3
57.2
37.6
62.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
% o
f D
rivers
Age Group
Drivers Involved in Injury Crashes per 10,000 Licences Held, 2007 to 2011p Average per Year, by Age Group
Fatal Crash Involvement Rates per Licence by Age
Group
1.3
1.6
1.01.0
0.91.0 0.9 1.0 1.0
0.80.7 0.7
1.0
1.5
2.7
0.91.0
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
% o
f Driv
ers
Age Group
Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes per 10,000 Licences Held, 2007 to 2011p Average per Year, by Age Group
Population Projections for the Older Driver Age Groups
Older Drivers Involved in Casualty Crashes
– Driver Errors
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
60 to 64 65 to 69 70 to 74 75 to 79 80 to 84 85 to 89 90+ All 60+ All Drivers
% o
f Driv
ers
Age Group
Drivers Aged 60+ and Involved in Casualty Crashes, 2007 to 2011p, by Age Group and Controller Primary Error Factor: Disobeying Traffic Control
Older Drivers Involved in Casualty Crashes
– Driver Errors
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
60 to 64 65 to 69 70 to 74 75 to 79 80 to 84 85 to 89 90+ All 60+ All Drivers
% o
f D
rive
rs
Age Group
Drivers Aged 60+ and Involved in Casualty Crashes, 2007 to 2011p, by Age Group and Controller Primary Error Factor: Manipulation of Controls
Overview of Young Driver Crash Data
RSAC Meeting
April 2013
NSW Centre for Road Safety
Putting the Young Driver Issue in Perspective
• Road trauma is one of the main sources of injury for young people in NSW and globally in many motorised countries.
• Youth are over-represented in road crashes– 17 to 25 year old drivers comprise 14% of licensed
drivers in NSW, but 26% of drivers involved in fatal crashes.
Fatal Crash Rates by Age and Licence Class
Driver Casualty Crash Involvement Rates per 10,000 Licence Holders,Age Group x Type of Licence, July 2007 to June 2012
12 12 9 10
213
164
120
91
81100
80
98
117
47
0
50
100
150
200
250
Under 18 18 to 20 21 to 25 26+
Age Group (Years)
Cas
ualty
Cra
sh In
volv
emen
ts p
er 1
0,00
0 Li
cenc
e H
oder
s
Learner
P1
P2
Standard
Crash Involvements For Novice Drivers
Driver Involvements in Casualty Crashes, NSW 2007 to 2011Driver Licence Class, Month of Tenure
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Number of Months
Num
ber
of D
river
s In
volv
ed in
Cas
ualty
Cra
shes Learners
P1
P2
Road toll reductions, younger vs older drivers
Drivers Involved in Fatal Crashes, Age Group, 2000 to 2011p
203
99
568
361
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011p
Reporting Year
Driv
ers
Invo
lve
d in
Fa
tal C
rash
es
Under 26
26+
Impact of NSW Young Driver Initiatives
Fatality Crash Involvement Rate per 10,000 Provisional Licence Holders, 2000-2011p
3.63.4 3.4
3.13.3
2.42.7
2.0
1.6 1.72.0
1.4
0
1
2
3
4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011p
Year
Ra
te
Novice Drivers – Fatalities from P Plate Driver Crashes
45
Fatalities From Crashes Involving a P Plate Driver, 2004 to 2012p
91
75
92
73
61 60
78
5863
48 4750
27 2823
4036 35
0
20
40
60
80
100
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p
Year
Num
ber
o f
Fat
aliti
es
Fatalities From Crashes Involving a P Plate Driver
Fatalities From Crashes Involving a P1 Plate Driver
Novice Drivers –Serious Injuries
Excessive / Inappropriate Speed
Percentage of Driver Involvements in Fatal Crashes, Speed, 2008 to 2012p, Age Group x Urbanisation
48%
39%
20%
38%
32%
16%
53%
43%
22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
17-20 21-25 26+
Age Group of Driver
% o
f Fat
al C
rash
Invo
lvem
ents
All NSW
Metropolitan
Country
Driver Fatigue
Percentage of Driver Involvements in Fatal Crashes, Fatigue, 2008 to 2012p, Age Group x Urbanisation
15%
9%
12%11%
4%
6%
16%
12%
15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
17-20 21-25 26+
Age Group of Driver
% o
f Fat
al C
rash
Invo
lvem
ents
All NSW
Metropolitan
Country
Illegal Alcohol
Percentage of Driver Involvements in Fatal Crashes, Illegal Alcohol, 2008 to 2012p, Age Group x Urbanisation
20%
23%
9%
8%
15%
6%
25%27%
11%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
17-20 21-25 26+
Age Group of Driver
% o
f Fat
al C
rash
Invo
lvem
ents
All NSW
Metropolitan
Country