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    Abstract

    The aim of this study is to determine the impact of Experts,

    experienced and impartial recommenders effect on sale of skin

    care product by word mouth recommendation.The population of

    study includes students and staff of Iqra University and

    friends and colleagues in our nearest surroundings. A sample

    size of 150 consumers was taken randomly through simple

    sampling method. The data of study is acquired via

    questionnaire, interviews, and published material on subject

    study.A Generalized Regression model is used to find out the

    results. The model is estimated for the 2011 only. Hypothesis

    was upheld as sale of skin care products significantly depend

    on recommendations of study variables. Finally, study made few

    recommendations and suggested needed research.

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    Introduction

    Background

    Today the world is a consumer driven world. The vast amount of

    information obtainable today has made considerable changes and

    variations in balance linking companies and consumers. Since

    the consumers have become over full, they are now more

    doubtful about typical marketing and advertising of companies

    and do not completely rely in companies say or write about

    their products. This power shift shows that how consumers

    these days are making any buying decisions about any product.

    The main emphasis in marketing has shifted from captivating

    new customers to the retention of current ones. For this

    retention purpose it is necessary for the companies to create

    awareness in the consumer mind and the best way to get it done

    is by means of effective advertising that have an influence inthe mind of the consumer and affects the decision making

    during buying behavior process.The globalization of saturation

    of markets, competition and growth of information technology

    have improved customer awareness and formed a situation where

    long-term sensation is no longer achieved by means of

    optimized product qualities and price. Instead, companies

    build their achievement on a long-term retention of customer

    relationship. Hence, the raise and retention of loyal

    customers has turn out to be a key success factor for long-

    term achievement of the companies (Nedungadi, 1990).

    A consumer is defined as a rational thinker and intelligent

    individual who evaluates and stores sensory stimuli to make a

    logical decision. For example, customers tend to or in mainly

    cases try to evaluate and analyze the motivation according totheir ability, and then they accumulate the information either

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    for an immediate decision or future evaluation. The extent to

    which customers analyze and evaluate stimuli depends on their

    strength of involvement with the stimuli and how greatly

    information they are able to regain. Information is

    consequently stored in remembrance and then recalled with

    other comparable episodes. The inevitable reaction is then

    developed by the customer to a particular stimuli or situation

    depending on the affair termed as consumer behaviour. It is

    also eminent that a consumer is able to produce a deeds based

    on a set of action or set of different activities, such as

    those concerning multiple information processing and just a

    simple product evaluation (Biehal and Chakravarti, 2006).

    Word of mouth is an indication to the transient of information

    commencing person to person. The term referred exclusively to

    oral communication but now comprises any form of human

    communication like telephone, email, face-to-face and text

    messaging. Word of mouth is the unpaid spread of a marketing

    message and it can take place using the human voice or else

    can be transmitted by means of any communicative way for

    instance through the internet or text message. Word of mouth

    is considered as a powerful promotional tool and considered as

    part of nearly every business marketing strategy.

    Objective:

    The objective of study is to know the impact of expert,

    experienced and impartial users recommendation (i.e word of

    mouth) on sale of skin care products.

    Importance:

    The importance of study can be well measured by the results

    obtained so far. As the results are significant, as sale of

    the skin products significantly depend on word of mouth

    (recommendations) of variables under study.

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    METHODOLOGY

    To test the hypothesis that sale of skin care products dependon recommendation of expert, experienced and impartial users

    recommendations by word of mouth. The population / scope of

    study are recommendation of expert, experienced and impartial

    users of skin care products in Iqra University and in its

    surrounding. A sample of size 150 taken at random from

    students of Iqra university, or consumers that we know as

    friends or colleagues in our nearest surrounding. The sale of

    skin care products under study is amount in 1000s. Whereas

    recommendation of expert, experienced and impartial users is

    taken as yes or no. Yes, being recommend and no being do

    not recommends. A generalized regression Model is framed to

    test the model.

    Hypothesis:

    H1: There is a positive effect of experts recommendation on

    consumer acceptance the sale of skin care product by word of

    recommendation.

    H2:There is a positive effect of experts recommendation onconsumer acceptance the sale of skin care product by word of

    recommendation.

    H3:The Impartiality of recommender has positive effect on

    consumer acceptance of skin care product by word of mouth.

    Data collection:

    The primary sources includes questionnaire and secondary

    resource includes past research, journals, internet and books.

    A sample of size 150 taken at random from students of Iqra

    university, or consumers that we know as friends or colleagues

    in our nearest surrounding. The sale of skin care products

    under study is amount in 1000s. Whereas recommendation of

    expert, experienced and impartial users is taken as yes or no.

    Yes, being recommend and no being do not recommends. A

    generalized regression Model is framed to test the model.

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    Variables.

    Variables Name Units Co-efficient

    Sale SCP Sale of Skin Care ProductRs. Thousand

    Intercept Constant

    REXPRT Experts Recommendation 0/1 1

    REXPRD Experiends Recommendation 0/1 2

    RIMPUSR Impartial Users Recommendation 0/1 3

    The causal relationship is as follow:

    Y = f(X1, X2, X3)

    Y (Sale SCP) = f (REXPRT, REXPRD, RIMPUSR)

    The Regression equation

    Sale SCP = + 1 (REXPRT) +2 (REXPRD)+3 (RIMPUSR)+ . (a)

    Equation a) elaborates the relationship between sale of skin care products and factors that causes it.

    This shows that sale of skin care products is caused by Expert, Experienced and impartial usersrecommendations. The values of Beta being the coefficient of predictors and are error term to

    capture the other independent variables.

    Empirical Findings

    SPSS results are as follow:

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    Dependent Variable : Sale SCP

    Independent Variables: REXPRT, REXPRD, RIMPUSR.

    Method : Generalized Regression Model.

    Included Observation : 150

    Levene's Test of Equality of Error Variancesa

    Dependent Variable:salescp

    F df1 df2 Sig.

    11.281 8 141 .000

    The overall model is fit. As result of Levens Test

    is significant. Which indicate the predictors are

    better predicting the variation in dependent

    variable.

    Variable Coefficient

    4.982

    REXPRT- .982 (0), 0 (1)

    REXPRD -.92 (0), 2.85 (1)

    RIMPUSR -.889 (0), 1.2 (1)

    0 and 1 in small brackets indicate do not recommend and recommend respectively.

    Analysis of Findings

    Since, the dependent variable in model is SCALE and all

    predictors are being Categorical (nominal) in type. So, the

    generalized regression model is used. The overall model is fit

    since all results are significant for each predictor.

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    Section - III

    CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

    Since overall model is fit. So, predictors better explain the

    variation in sale of skin care products. But, since the scope

    of the study is very narrow, as , it only include the staff

    members, students and residents of near surrounding of Iqra

    University, so results cannot be generalized.

    References:

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    Appendix

    Q u e s t i o n n a i r e

    PART-I

    Situation I

    1. Last time when you/some one close to youwanted to go to a high class expensiverestaurant, who was consulted first in thismatter? (Tick only one)

    1.1. Family member (specify Relationship)

    __________________________

    1.2. Relative

    1.3. Friend1.4. No idea or You were never involved(If

    no idea then skip to Question No.3)

    1.5. Neighbor

    1.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    2. Why did the above mentioned personwasspecificallyconsulted?(Tick all that apply)

    2.1. Because he/she has been to manysuch restaurants and knows them verywell.

    2.2. Because he/she is an expert in suchcases (being a Professional chef,Restaurant owner etc)

    2.3. Because you and the above mentionedperson share similar interest.

    2.4. Because he/she will not benefit fromyour decision.

    2.5. Because he/she is the one who givesyou advice all the time and he/she is rightmost of the time.

    2.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    Situation II

    3. Last time when you/some one close to youpurchased a car, who was the first person,consulted in this matter? (Tick only one)

    3.1. Family member (specify Relationship)

    __________________________

    3.2. Relative

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    3.3. You dont know or you were neverinvolved (If dont know then skip toQuestion No. 5)

    3.4. Friend

    3.5. Neighbor

    3.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    4. Why did the above mentioned personwasspecificallyconsulted?(Tick all that apply)

    4.1. Because he/she had experience ofhandling similar situations and/or knowswhere the best deal can be found.

    4.2. Because he/she is an expert in suchcases (being a Mechanic, Mechanicalengineering etc)

    4.3. Because he/she shares similar interest

    with you/the person close to you.4.4. Because he/she will not benefit from

    your decision.

    4.5. Because he/she is the one who givesyou advice all the time and he/she is rightmost of the time.

    4.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    Situation III

    5. Last time when you/some one close to you

    felt the need to purchase an expensive orlatest cell phone, who was consulted first inthis matter? (Tick only one)

    5.1. Family member (specify Relationship)

    __________________________

    5.2. Relative

    5.3. Friend

    5.4. Neighbor

    5.5. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    6. Why did the above mentioned personwasspecifically consulted?(Tick all that apply)

    6.1. Because he/she has experience ofhandling similar situations

    6.2. Because he/she is an expert in suchcases (being a sales person, working fora company that makes such items, etc)

    6.3. Because he/she shares similar interest.

    6.4. Because he/she will not benefit withyour decision.

    6.5. Because he/she is the one who givesyou advice all the time and he/she is rightmost of the time.

    6.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    Situation IV

    7. Last time when you/some one close to youwanted to get a credit card, who was the

    first person, consulted in this matter? (Tickonly one)

    7.1. Family member (specify Relationship)

    __________________________

    7.2. Relative

    7.3. Never wanted a credit card. (If No thenskip to question No. 9)

    7.4. Friend

    7.5. Neighbor

    7.6. Any Other,please specify:

    ___________________________8. Why did the above mentioned person was

    specificallyconsulted ? (Tick all that apply)

    8.1. Because he/she has many cards andknows their benefits and flaws.

    8.2. Because he/she is an expert in suchcases (being a Bank employee or creditcards department, etc)

    8.3. Because he/she shares similar interest.

    8.4. Because he/she will not benefit withyour decision.

    8.5. Because he is the one who gives youadvice all the time and he/she and is rightmost of the time.

    8.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

    Situation V

    9. Last time when you/some one close to youexperienced a medical emergency or had tovisit a hospital or consult a physicianurgently who was consulted first in thismatter? (Tick only one)

    9.1. Family member (specify Relationship)

    __________________________

    9.2. Relative

    9.3. Friend

    9.4. Neighbor

    9.5. No one

    9.6. Any Other,please specify:

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    __________________________

    10. Why did the above mentioned personwasspecifically consulted?(Tick all that apply)

    10.1. Because he/she has experience ofhandling similar situations

    10.2. Because he/she is an expert in suchcases (being a Doctor, medical student,etc)

    10.3. Because he/she shares similar interestwith you/some one close to you.

    10.4. Because he/she will not benefit fromyour decision.

    10.5. Because he/she is the one who givesyou advice all the time and he/she is rightmost of the time.

    10.6. Any Other,please specify:___________________________

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    PART-IIDemographic Information

    Please provide the following demographic information. It will not be used for anything other than statistical

    purposes nor will it be used for any kind of solicitation. Also, the information you provide will neither be given norsold to anyone under any circumstances.

    1. Your name

    1.1. ____________________________

    2. Gender

    2.1. Male

    2.2.

    Female

    3. Your age? (Tick only one)

    3.1. 20 years or less

    3.2. 21 30 years

    3.3. 31 - 40 years

    3.4. 41 50 years

    3.5. 51 years or more

    4. Where do you live? (Tick only one)

    4.1. Defence/Clifton4.2. KDA/Bahadurabad/PECHS

    4.3. Nazimabad/North Nazimabad

    4.4. Gulshan-e-Iqbal/Gulastan-e-Jahur

    4.5. Any Other, please specify:

    __________________________

    5. Your Education (Tick only one)

    5.1. Intermediate or less

    5.2. Bachelor or equivalent

    5.3. Masters or Equivalent

    5.4. Any Other Please specify:

    ___________________________

    6. Your household average income per monthin Pak Rupees? (Tick only one)

    6.1. Rs. 20,000 or less

    6.2. Rs. 21,00040,000

    6.3. Rs. 41,00060,000

    6.4. Rs. 61,00080,000

    6.5. Rs. 81,000100,000

    6.6. Above Rs. 100,000

    7. May we contact you again for a follow-upsurvey?

    7.1. Yes

    7.2. No

    8. A phone number where you can becontacted?

    8.1. __________________________

    Thank you.

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    Consumers4