risk management presentation november 5 2012

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P a g e | 1 International Association of Risk and Compliance Professionals (IARCP) 1200 G Street NW Suite 800 Washington, DC 20005-6705 USA Tel: 202-449-9750 www.risk -comp lian ce-ass ociat ion.c om Top 10 risk and compliance management related news stories and world events that (for better or for worse) shaped the  week's ag enda, and wha t is next  Dea r Member,   Y e a r after y ea r , n e w la w s and r eg ulation s require firms to undertake a forward-looking self-assessment of risks, corresponding capital requirements, and adequacy of  capital res o urces.   Y e a r after yea r , it be c omes cr it ic a l to look into the future, to understand what is next. Which is the new law, regulation or development? Which are the challenges and the opportunities for firms and organizations? How will these changes affect the competitive position of existing and new capital warriors in the markets?  There is a great window to look into the future: T he ex cellen t forward-looking pape rs o f the Group of T hirty .  The Group of Thirty  T he Grou p of T hirty is a private, non profit, international bo dy co mp o s ed of very s e nior representatives of the private and public se ctors a nd academia. T he Group aims to deepen understanding of international economic and financial issues, to explore the international repercussions of decisions taken in the public and private sectors, and to examine the choices available to market practitioners and policymakers. I nternational As sociation of Risk and Compliance Pro fes siona ls (I A RCP) www.risk-compliance-association.com

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International Association of Risk and ComplianceProfessionals (IARCP) 

1200 G Street NW Suite 800 Washington, DC 20005-6705 USA Tel: 202-449-9750 www.risk-compliance-association.com 

Top 10 risk and compliance management related news storiesand world events that (for better or for worse) shaped the

 week's agenda, and what is next Dear Member, 

 Year after year, new laws and regulations

require firms to undertake aforward-lookingself-assessment of risks, correspondingcapital requirements, and adequacy of capital resources. 

 Year after year, it becomes critical to look into the future, to understandwhat is next. Which is the new law, regulation or development? Which arethe challenges and the opportunities for firms and organizations? Howwill these changes affect the competitive position of existing and newcapital warriors in the markets? 

There is a great window to look into the future: The excellentforward-looking papers of the Group of Thirty. 

The Group of Thirty 

The Group of Thirty is a private, nonprofit, international body composedof very senior representatives of the private and public sectorsandacademia. 

The Group aims to deepen understanding of international economic andfinancial issues, to explore the international repercussions of decisionstaken in the public and private sectors, and to examine the choicesavailable to market practitioners and policymakers. 

International Association of Risk and Compliance Professionals (I ARCP)www.risk-compliance-association.com

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Toward Effective Governance of Financial Institutions 

Weak and ineffective governance of systemically important financialinstitutions (SIFIs) has been widely cited as an important contributoryfactor in the massive failure of financial sector decision making that led tothe global financial crisis. 

Statement on Public Meeting OnAuditor Independence and AuditFirm Rotation 

SPEAKER: James R. Doty, ChairmanEVENT: PCAOB Public MeetingLOCATION: Houston, TX 

BIS, A framework for dealing withdomestic systemically importantbanks 

The Basel Committee on BankingSupervision (the Committee) issued therules text on the assessment methodologyfor global systemically important banks(G-SIBs) and their additional loss

absorbency requirements in November 2011. 

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Mario Draghi: Openingstatement at Deutscher 

Bundestag Speech by Mr Mario Draghi,President of the European CentralBank, at the discussion on ECB policies with Members of  Parliament, Berlin 

Andreas Dombret: As goesIreland, so goes Europe? 

Speech by Dr Andreas Dombret,Member of the Executive Board of theDeutsche Bundesbank, at the Institute of International and European Affairs, Dublin 

CIMA Hosts Risk Management and Internal Controls Seminar  

The Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (CIMA)hosts a seminar on Risk Management and InternalControls.The event, which is scheduled for 29October to 2 November at the Grand CaymanMarriott Beach Resort 

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Goldman Sachs Group Interesting numbers before the Basel I I I

deadlines 

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS) reported net revenues of $8.35 billion and net earnings of $1.51 billion for the third quarter ended September 30, 2012. 

Bermuda‘s Insurance SolvencyFramework The Roadmap to RegulatoryEquivalence 

Planned 2012/2013 Developments 

Mervyn King: Monetary policy developments 

Speech by Mr Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England, to the South Wales Chamber  of Commerce, Cardiff, 23 October 2012. 

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Erkki Liikanen: On the structural reforms of banking after the crisis 

Speech by Mr Erkki Liikanen, Governor of the Bank of 

Finland and Chairman of the Highlevel Expert Group on reforming the structure of the EUbanking sector, at the Centre for  European Policy Studies, Brussels, 23 October 2012. 

Progress note on the Global LEI

Initiative 

This is the third of a series of notes on the implementation of the legal entity identifier (LEI) initiative. 

Following endorsement of the FSB report and recommendations by theG-20, the FSB LEI Implementation Group (IG) has been tasked withtaking forward the planning and development work to launch the globalLEI system by March 2013. 

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Toward Effective Governance of Financial Institutions

Important Parts 

Weak and ineffective governance of systemically important financialinstitutions (SIFIs) has been widely cited as an important contributoryfactor in the massive failure of financial sector decision making that led tothe global financial crisis. 

In the wake of the crisis, financial institution (FI) governance was toooften revealed as a set of arrangements that approved risky strategies(which often produced unprecedented short-term profits and

remuneration), was blind to the looming dangers on the balance sheetand in the global economy, and therefore failed to safeguard the FI, itscustomers and shareholders, and society at large. 

Management teams, boards of directors, regulators and supervisors, andshareholders all failed, in their respective roles, to prudently govern andoversee. 

On the subject of governance as it applies to FIs, much has been writtenand said in the past few years. 

Notable among these statements are the 2009 Walker report (A Review of Corporate Governance in UK Banks and other Financial IndustryEntities) andthe Basel Committee‘sPrinciples for Enhancing CorporateGovernance (2010). 

Many domestic regulators and stock exchanges have also weighed in withnew requirements and guidelines for governance. 

The Group of Thirty (G30) applauds these prior initiatives and supportsnot only the spirit of their conclusions but also many of the detailedrecommendations they contain. 

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The combination of these reports, self scrutiny by the firms themselves,and pressure from regulatory overseers has already yielded substantialchanges in governance practice across the financial services industry andaround the globe. 

Why would the G30 wish to add its own voice to the body of work alreadyavailable, in light of progress being made? 

First, no one should presume that FI governance is now fixed. 

It is true that boards are working harder; supervisors are asking toughquestions and preparing for more intensive oversight; management has become much more attuned to risk management and to supporting the oversight responsibilities of the board; and shareholders, to some

degree, are taking a deeper look into their role in promoting effective governance. 

Nevertheless, as this report highlights,highly functional governancesystems take significant time and sustained effort to establish and hone,and the G30‘s input can help with that effort. 

Second, in a modern economy, business leadership represents a largeconcentration of power. 

The social externalities associated with the business of significantfinancial institutions give that power a major additional dimension andunderscore the critical importance of good corporate governance of suchentities. 

Third, we note that the prior reports and guidance almost always comefrom a national or regional perspective (the Basel Committee report beinga notable exception), which is understandable as a practical matter, butcurious given the distinctly global nature of the SIFIs, which areappropriately the focus of attention. 

Accordingly, in late spring of 2011, the G30 launched a project on thegovernance of major financial institutions. 

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The project was led by a Steering Committee chaired by Roger W.Ferguson, Jr., with John G. Heimann, William R. Rhodes, and Sir DavidWalker as its vice-chairmen. 

They were supported by 11 other G30 members, who participated in aninformal working group. 

Requests for interviews went out from the G30 to the chairs of 41 of theworld‘s largest, most complex financial institutions— banks, insurancecompanies, and securities firms. 

In an extraordinary response, especially in light of the pressures on eachof these companies, 36 institutions shared their perspectives andexperiences through detailed discussions with board leaders, CEOs, and

selected senior management leaders. 

In addition, the project team held discussions with a global cross sectionof FI regulators and supervisors. 

The majority of these interviews were conducted in person, all under theChatham House Rule,which encourages candor. 

The report is the responsibility of the G30 Steering Committee andWorking Group and reflects broad areas of agreement among the

participating G30 members, who took part in their individual capacities. 

All G30 members (aside from those with current national officialresponsibilities) have had the opportunity to review and discusspreliminary drafts. 

The report does not reflect the official views of those in policy-makingpositions or leadership roles in the private sector. 

The report is wide-ranging in its coverage of the composition andfunctioning of FI boards and the roles of regulators, supervisors, andshareholders. 

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The focus is on potentially universal core themes but acknowledgesdifferences in customs and practice in different parts of the world. 

As regards approaches to total compensation, we do not address thissubject in detail in this report; the G30 commends the Financial StabilityBoard‘sPrinciples for Sound Compensation Practices and fully supportstheir implementation. 

The G30 undertook its initiative on effective FI governance in the hopeand expectation that FI board and senior management leaders couldshare actionable wisdom on the essence of effective governance and whatit takes to build and nurture governance systems that work. 

We hope this report provides a measure of insight and sustenance to

those with policymaking and operational responsibilities for effectivegovernance in the world‘sgreat financial institutions. 

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Executive Summary 

What is meant by―governance‖ in the context of a financial institution(FI)? 

Corporate governance is traditionally defined as the system by whichcompanies are directed and controlled. 

The OECD Principles of Corporate Governance (2004) defines corporategovernance as involving ―aset of relationships between a company‘s management, its board, its shareholders and other stakeholders. 

Corporate governance also providesthe structure through which theobjectives of the company are set, and the meansof attaining those

objectives and monitoring performance are determined.‖ 

In the case of financial institutions, chief among the other stakeholdersare supervisors and regulators charged with ensuring safety, soundness,and ethical operation of the financial system for the public good. 

They have a major stake in, and can make an important contribution to,effective governance. 

Good corporate governance requires checks and balances on the power and rightsaccorded to shareholders, stakeholders, and society overall. 

Without checks, we see the behaviors that lead to disaster. 

But governance isnot a fixed set of guidelines and procedures; rather, it isan ongoing processby which the choices and decisions of FIs arescrutinized, management and oversight are strengthened andstreamlined, appropriate cultures are established and reinforced, and FIleaders are supported and assessed. 

Why governance matters 

The global economic crisis, with the financial services sector at its center,wreaked economic chaos and imposed enormous costs on society. 

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The depth, breadth, speed, and impact of the crisis caught many FImanagement teams and boards of directors by surprise and stunnedcentral banks, FI regulators, supervisors, and shareholders. 

[Note: We attempt throughout the report to distinguish the regulatoryfunction from the supervisory function. 

The regulator sets the rules and regulations within which FIs are obligedto operate, while the supervisor oversees the actions of the board andmanagement to ensure compliance with those rules and regulations. 

Confusion arisesbecause both functions are often performed within thesame institution (for example, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the UKFinancial Services Authority).] 

Enormous thought and debate has gone intodiscovering what caused theglobal financial crisis and how to avoid another. 

In his much-quoted 2009 report on the causes of the crisis, Lord Adair Turner, chair of the UK‘s Financial Services Authority (FSA), cited sevenproximate causes: 

(1)Large, global macroeconomic imbalances; 

(2)An increase in commercial banks‘ involvement in risky tradingactivities; 

(3) Growth in securitized credit; 

(4) Increased leverage; 

(5) Failure of banks to manage financial risks; 

(6) Inadequate capital buffers; and 

(7)A misplaced reliance on complex math and credit ratingsin assessingrisk. 

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A critical subtext to these seven causes is a pervasive failure of governance at all levels. 

More generally, most observers have agreed that a combination of ―lighttouch‖ supervision, which relied too heavily on self-governance infinancial firms, and weak corporate governance and risk management atmany systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs) contributed tothe 2008 meltdown in the United States. 

In several key markets, deregulation and market-based supervision werethe political order of the day as countries vied for global capital flows,corporate headquarters, and exchange listings. 

Regulators also missed the potential systemic impact of entire classes of 

financial products, such as subprime mortgages, and in general failed tospot the large systemic risks that had been growing during the previoustwo decades. 

In this context, boards of directors failed to grasp the risks their institutions had taken on. 

Theydid not understand their vulnerability to major shocks, or they failedto act with appropriate prudence. 

Management, whose decisions and actions determine the organization‘s risk status, clearly failed to understand and control risks. 

In many cases, spurred on by shareholders, both management and theboard focused on performance to the detriment of prudence. 

Effective governance is a necessary complement to rules-basedregulation. 

The system needs both. 

Carefully crafted rules-based regulations concerning capital, liquidity,permitted business activities, and so forth are essential safeguards for the 

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financial system, while effective governance shapes, monitors, andcontrols what actually happens in FIs. 

Ineffective governance at financial institutions was not the solecontributor to the global financial crisis, but it was often an accomplice inthe context of massive macroeconomic vulnerability. 

Effective governance can make a significant positive difference byhelping to prevent future crises or by mitigating their deleterious impact. 

In other words, the rewards for investment in effective governance aregreat. 

A call to action 

Each of the four participantsin the governance system—boards of directors, management, supervisors, and (to an extent) long-termshareholders— needs to reassess their approach to FI governanceand take meaningful steps to make governance stronger. 

This report offers a comprehensive set of concrete insights andrecommendations for what each participant needs to do to make FIgovernance function more effectively. 

The G30 is acutely aware that the agendas of FI boards and supervisorsare crowded, yet we urge them to continue to give effective governanceone of their highest priorities. 

‹.The financial sector needsbetter methods of assessing governance andof cultivating the behaviors and approaches that make governancesystems work well. 

Board self-evaluation, especially when facilitated or led by an outside

expert, can yield important insight, but it is sobering to consider that in2007, most boards would likely have given themselves passing grades. 

‹. Supervisors now aspire to understand governance effectiveness andvulnerabilities, but admit to having much to learn. 

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‹. Governance experts often describe what good governance looks like,but give little thought to how to measure or achieve high-performanceresults. 

Given the role that inadequate governance played in the massive failure of financial sector decision making that led to the global financial crisis, it isnatural that supervisors and stock exchanges are now paying greatattention to governance arrangements. 

This attention, as a practical matter, often focuses on explicit rules,structures, and processes—best practices—that governance experts oftenbelieve are indicative of effective governance. 

Consequently, compliance with best practice guidelineshas become very

important to boards and to overseers charged with monitoring andencouraging good governance. 

The G30 hopes this report will contribute meaningfully to the body of knowledge on governance and will be a useful tool for those tasked withshaping governance systems. 

The board 

Boards of directors play the pivotal role in FI governance through their 

control of the three factors that ultimately determine the success of the FI:the choice of strategy; the assessment of risk taking; and the assurancethat the necessary talent is in place, starting with the CEO, to implementthe agreed strategy. 

The 2008 –2009 financial crisis revealed that management at certain F Is,with the knowledge and approval of their boards, took decisions andactions that led to terrible outcomesfor employees, customers,shareholders, and the wider economy. 

What should the boards have done differently? 

To answer that question, it is helpful to consider the mandate of boards. 

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Boards control the three key factorsthat ultimately determine the successof an FI: 

1.The choice of business model (strategy) 2.The risk profile, and 

3.The choice of CEO—and by extension the quality of thetop-management team. 

Boards that permit their time and attention to be diverteddisproportionately into compliance and advisory activities at the expenseof strategy, risk, and talent issues are making a critical mistake. 

Above all else, boards must take every step possible to protect againstpotentially fatal risks. 

FI boards in every country must take a long-term view that encourageslong-term value creation in the shareholders‘ interests, elevates prudencewithout diminishing the importance of innovation, reduces short-termself-interest as a motivator, brings into the foreground the fir m‘s dependence on its pool of talent, and demands the firm play a palpablypositive role in society. 

The importance of mature, open leadership by a skillful board chair cannot be overemphasized. 

Effective chairs capitalize on the wisdom and advice of board membersand management leaders and on the board‘s interactions with supervisorsand shareholders, individually and collectively. 

Good chairs respect each of these vital constituents, preside, encouragedebate, and do not manage toward a predetermined outcome. 

Risk governance 

Those accountable for key risk policies in FIs, on the board and withinmanagement, have to be sufficiently empowered to put the brakes on thefir m‘s risk taking, but they also play a critical role in enabling the firm to 

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conduct well-measured, profitable risk-taking activitiesthat support thefir m‘s long-term sustainable success. 

In the financial services sector more than in other industries, riskgovernance is of paramount importance to the stability and profitability of the enterprise. 

Without an ability to properly understand, measure, manage, price, andmitigate risk, FIs are destined to underperform or fail. 

Effective risk governance requires a dedicated set of risk leaders in theboardroom and executive suite, as well as robust and appropriate riskframeworks, systems, and processes. 

The history of financial crises, including the 2008 –2009 crisis, is litteredwith firms that collapsed or were taken to the brink by a failure of riskgovernance. 

The most recent financial crisis demonstrated the inability of many FIs toaccurately gauge, understand, and manage their risks. 

Firms greatly understated their inherent risks, particularly correlationsacross their businesses, and were woefully unprepared for the exogenousrisks that unfolded during the crisis and afterward. 

Management 

Management needs to play a continuous proactive role in the overallgovernance process, upward to the board and downward through theorganization. 

The vast majority of governance and control processes are embedded inthe organizational fabric, which is woven and maintained by

management. 

The board is dependent on management for information and for translating sometimes highly technical information into issues andchoices requiring business judgment. 

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Governance cannot be effective without major continuing input frommanagement in identifying the big issues and presenting them for discussion with the board. 

Management needs tostrengthen the fabric of checks and balances in theorganization. 

It must deepen its respect for the vital roles of the board and supervisorsand help them to do their jobs well. 

It must reinforce the values that drive good behavior through theorganization and build a culture that respects risk while encouraginginnovation. 

Supervisors 

Supervisors that more fully comprehend FI strategies, risk appetite andprofile, culture, and governance effectiveness will be better able to makethe key judgments their mandate requires. 

Supervisors have legally defined responsibilities relating to risk control;fraud control; and conformance to laws, regulations, and standards of conduct. 

Supervisors now seek a deeper and more nuanced understanding of howthe board works, how key decisions are reached, and the nature of thedebate around them, all of which reveal much about the firm‘s governance. 

Most FI boards applaud this expansion in the supervisors‘ focus fromcontrol process details to include a broader grasp of issues and context. 

To be effective, however, this expansion requires regular interaction

among senior people in supervisory agencies and boards and boardmembers. 

Supervisors need to broaden their perspectives to include FI strategy,people, and culture. 

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They should focus their discussions with senior management andthe board on the real issues—through both formal and informalcommunications. 

But they must alsomaintain their independence and accept that they willat best have an incomplete picture. 

Similarly, supervisors must not try to do the board‘s job or so overwhelmthe board and management that they cannot guide the FI. 

Supervisors have a unique perspective on emerging systemic,macroprudential risks and can compare and contrast one FI with others. 

This is vital information to develop and share. 

Unfortunately, in the policy-making debate, the qualitative aspect of supervision is sometimes overshadowed by quantitative, rules-basedregulatory requirements. 

Clearly, new capital, liquidity, and related standards are essential to amore stable global financial architecture, but enhanced oversight of theperformance and decision-making processes of major FIs is alsoessential. 

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Statement on Public Meeting OnAuditor Independence and Audit

Firm Rotation 

SPEAKER: James R. Doty, ChairmanEVENT: PCAOB Public MeetingLOCATION: Houston, TX 

Welcome everyone to the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board'sthird public meeting on the Board's concept release on ways to enhanceauditor independence. 

I want to thank Rice University and Dean Bill Glick for providing such aninspiring venue for this meeting. 

We have assembled an august set of panelists today to assist the Board inan in-depth examination of an issue that continues to trouble many of themost thoughtful supporters of the audit profession — the subtle (and notso subtle) influences on the auditor's mindset, and the implication for theintegrity of the audit. 

Enhancing auditor independence was one of the main goals of theSarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. We have one of the draftsmen of that Actseated to my left at the table. 

In the weeks and months leading up to the enactment of Sarbanes-Oxley,Congressconsidered requiring audit firm rotation to improve auditor independence. 

But the final statute as enacted stepped back. Instead, it provided for partner rotation on public company audits. In addition, it asked for 

further study of firm rotation. 

Shortly thereafter, in 2003, the Government Accountability Office embarked on a review of the arguments for and against audit firm 

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rotation. The review was preliminary in light of other Sarbanes-Oxleyreforms that were only beginning to be implemented. 

Thus it concluded that the SEC and the Board would need several yearsto evaluate whether the Sarbanes-Oxley reforms, including audit partner rotation, were sufficient, or whether further independence measures arenecessary to protect investors. 

We are fortunate to have on the PCAOB board one of the drafters of theGAO report to help us put it in context. 

Since then, the financial crisis of 2008 has caused us as a nation to reflecton how dependent our financial system is on high quality, unbiasedaudits. 

It has prompted us to look again at auditor independence, objectivity andprofessional skepticism, and to ask whether features of our financialsystem have allowed companies to become too close to their auditors. 

And to consider whether there are ways we can improve the reliability andusefulness of audit reports to the public. 

We are not alone in this inquiry. M any other countries have commencedtheir own reviews of audit practices. 

We are fortunate to be able to hear from a representative of the EuropeanCommission later today about potential reforms that are currently under consideration in Europe. 

Just last month, the United Kingdom published a regulation that wouldentail mandatory retendering every ten years for FTSE 350 companies,with corresponding disclosure requirements. 

I don't mean to exclude other important actions in other countries. Thereare many. The U.K.'s is just the most recent. 

Given the breadth of the international debate, it is not surprising thatpeople disagree on what the best reforms will be, or how to implement 

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them, or indeed whether reform is necessary. Or whether the costs tothose who would incur them outweigh the benefits to those who wouldreceive them. 

I hear no doubt in any corner, however, about the importance of independent audits. 

Let me say that I believe it is the rare case in which an auditor knowinglycompromises his or her integrity. But well-intentioned auditors, as withother people, sometimes fail to recognize and guard against their ownunconscious biases. 

We are nearly ten years from the adoption of Sarbanes-Oxley, duringwhich we have had time to observe whether its reforms were sufficient. 

Against this historical background, in August 2011, the PCAOB issued aconcept release, seeking public comment on a variety of questions abouthow to improve auditor independence, objectivity and professionalskepticism. 

The concept release notesthe importance of auditor independence to theviability of auditing as a profession and highlights the risk toindependence arising from the "client-pays" model. 

As noted in the concept release, the PCAOB inspectors continue to findwhat is to me an unacceptable level of deficient audits. 

In addition, inspectors continue to find troubling suggestions of firmsshowing willingness to put management's short-term interest ahead of investors'. 

The concept release seeks public comment on ways that auditor independence, objectivity and professional skepticism can be enhanced. 

In this regard, the release notes that there may be risks to professionalskepticism in both the relatively new audit that the auditor may hope toturn into a long-term engagement, as well as the very long engagementthat no partner wants to be the one to lose. 

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We have received more than 600 comment letters, primarily from auditorsand their clients. On the whole, they counsel for more time and study, andmore modest reforms. 

To be sure, I want to be cautious in making any decisions, and that is why Ihave asked for meetings like this and two previous meetings inWashington, D.C., and San Francisco. 

We have the benefit of the record of our first two meetings. Therefore,although today's panelists have been invited to provide views on any of the issues raised in the Board's concept release, they have also been askedto comment specifically on certain themes, issues and suggestions fromthe prior public meetings. 

I want to thank the panelists, my fellow board members, the SEC'sDeputy Chief Accountant Brian Croteau who has joined us today, and thePCAOB staff who have made the meeting possible. I look forward to athoughtful discussion that will help the Board advance its inquiry. 

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Statement on Public Meeting On Auditor Independence andAudit Firm Rotation SPEAKER: Jeanette M. Franzel, Board Member EVENT: PCAOB Public Meeting 

LOCATION: Houston, TX 

Thank you, Chairman Doty, for calling this public meeting to further explore some of the principal themes that have emerged in the feedbackthat the Board has received in response to the PCAOB Concept Releaseon Auditor Independence and Audit Firm Rotation issued in August of last year. 

The Board has received more than 670 comment letters and heard from 77speakers on this topic to date. 

Throughout this process, the Board has received rich feedback on thecomplex issues that impact auditor independence and audit quality, aswell as a range of suggestions for potential actions that could be taken. 

Commenters have acknowledged the fundamental importance of auditor independence as the underpinning of confidence in the auditingprofession. 

They also expressedsupport for the Board's efforts to ensure or enhancethe auditor's independence, objectivity, and professional skepticism,although suggestions for how this might be achieved varied widely. 

The concept release and our related public meetings are creating asubstantive debate among the full range of stakeholders. 

It is certainly public knowledge that the majority of the commenters onthis issuer were opposed to a requirement for mandatory audit firmrotation for a variety of reasons. 

We are currently conducting analyses of the feedback we have received,as well as additional research by the PCAOB and others. 

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Today we will explore a number of major themes in the comment lettersand panelist feedback, including the following suggestions: 

- strengthening audit committees, including enhancing their financialexpertise, increasing their independence from management, andenhancing and increasing interaction and communications withinvestors, auditors, and the PCAOB; 

- increasing emphasis on professional skepticism in standards andeducation for auditors, as well as in the firms' culture and systems of quality control. 

- increasing the transparencysurrounding PCAOB inspection results,as well as making public the PCAOB's enforcement investigations

and proceedings; 

- expanding PCAOB inspectionsin certain circumstances; 

- increasing the root causeanalyses by the PCAOB and the firms on thecauses of audit deficiencies; 

- using mandatory "retendering" of the audit and/ or a formalre-evaluation of the auditor's tenure at given intervals; 

- exploring variationson the possible use of firm rotation, includinglimiting any potential rotation requirement to certain audits andcertain circumstances; and 

- potentially further restricting the provision of non-audit services bythe auditor. 

I am personally committed to exploring the broad range of themes andissues that influence auditor independence, objectivity, and professionalskepticism, as well as audit quality, and advancing the Board's efforts toprotect investors and the public interest through high quality,independent audits. 

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Any methods for improving auditor independence and audit quality won'tbe simple, and there will not be a "silver bullet."  

Today, we will be hearing from a new group of highly qualified panelists. I

am interested in their views on the different challenges to achieving independence, objectivity, and professional skepticism and the variety of  potential actions that could be taken to help improve auditor independence and audit quality. 

I believe that we need concerted and sustained action from the full rangeof parties who have responsibility for these issues, including thoseresponsible for accounting education, audit firm recruitment and training,audit firm culture and tone at the top, audit committee and board

oversight, as well as PCAOB inspections and other regulatory activities. 

It is paramount, of course, that all of the parties with responsibilitythroughout the process keep the interests of investors front and center. 

One of the major themes that has emerged during the Board's efforts onauditor independence is a consensus on the importance of auditcommittees in overseeing the auditor and the audit process. 

PCAOB does not have regulatory jurisdiction over audit committees.

But we should not overlook the tremendous value in coordinating and 

leveraging our efforts; avoiding duplication and/ or fragmentation; and providing for a seamless system of effective governance and auditoversight. 

During our outreach, PCAOB received feedback on ways that auditcommittee performance can be enhanced. I 'm pleased that we have anumber of audit committee members and corporate governance expertshere today to explore these issues. 

Another theme emerging from the input that the Board has received isthat professional skepticism should be emphasized more in the 

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education, training, and standard-setting for auditors, as well as in thefirms' cultures, tone at the top, and systems of quality control. 

I'm pleased that we have a number of academicians and practitionershere today to further explore these issues with us. 

I am also very interested in the views of the investors and others heretoday on these and other issues impacting auditor independence, auditquality, and investor protection. 

I believe investors will be well-served if the various organizations andgroups charged with protecting investors, the public interest, and theintegrity of the U.S. capital markets work together effectively to achievethese goals. 

The bottom line here is that we must come up with a package of actionsthat will be solid and effective in protecting investors and the publicinterest through independent, high quality financial audits. 

We also need to carefully consider and analyze the potential costs andbenefits of various actions, as well as the risks associated with unintendedconsequences, so that we are effective in protecting the interests of investors and furthering the public interest in the preparation of informative, accurate, and independent audit reports. 

I want to thank all of the panelists, their staff, and their constituencies, for taking the time and effort to assist us in exploring these very importantissues. 

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Statement on Public Meeting On Auditor Independence andAudit Firm Rotation SPEAKER: Jay D. Hanson, Board Member EVENT: PCAOB Public Meeting 

LOCATION: Houston, TX 

Good morning, 

I would like to join Chairman Doty and my fellow Board members inwelcoming today's panelists and to thank the Rice University communityfor their warm welcome. 

I would also like to thank the PCAOB staff for their hard work in gettingall of us into this room together to discuss auditor independence,

objectivity and skepticism, which, without a doubt, is one of the mostfundamental elements in the performance of robust audits and key toserving the needs of investors. 

Fourteen months ago, we issued a concept release with the goal of gathering information and framing a discussion about whether the Boardshould take any steps to enhance auditor independence, objectivity andskepticism. 

Since then, we have received almost 700 comment letters and have heardfrom dozens of panelists. 

Commenters overwhelmingly support the Board's efforts to enhanceauditor independence, objectivity and skepticism, but there are widelyvarying views on how to accomplish that goal. 

Most commenters oppose mandatory rotation and express concern thatauditor rotation will actually decrease audit quality. 

From this group, we have heard some suggestions for ways to enhanceauditor rotation, including an enhanced focus by audit committees, jointaudits, mandatory re-tendering, tenure protection for auditors, non-auditservice restrictions, increased PCAOB inspections and/ or transparencyabout our inspections, and several others. 

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Some commenters, on the other hand, believe that auditor rotation is theonly way to overcome what some describe as an inherent conflict betweenindependence and the fact that auditors are paid by the companies theyaudit. 

Thus, we have received a lot of input, and we have much to think about.

There are a few areas, however, where I believe we would benefit from 

more information, and I would like to encourage today's panelists, andany other potential commenters, to consider whether they can help us fill in these gaps. 

For example, it has proven difficult to establish a clear correlation

between audit quality and auditor tenure. 

I know some of you may address that issue today, and I look forward tohearing your views on this subject. I look forward to hearing views on howpanelists define audit quality. 

To date, we also have not delved deeply into the details and implicationsof all the potential ways to enhance auditor independence that have beensuggested. 

In order to fully understand all possible approaches, and to determinehow to evaluate various alternatives, I believe it is important that we doso. 

I look forward to hearing from those of you who plan to share with usviews on approaches other than rotation that could enhance both auditor independence and audit quality. 

To the extent companies, auditors or audit committees have tried anyapproaches to enhance auditor independence, I encourage you to share

your experiences with us, both in terms of benefits and costs. 

Finally, I have spoken a number of times on the key role played by audit committees. 

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In my experience as an auditor, I saw a transformation in auditcommittee behavior and focus after implementation of the requirementsof the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. 

We have heard from many audit committee members who described ingreat detail their extensive efforts to evaluate and ensure their auditor'sindependence. 

 Yet, some believe that even the most diligent audit committees cannotsufficiently monitor auditor independence. 

One question I frequently ask myself is what we can do to help auditcommittees do a better job in this regard. 

In August, the Board issued a new auditing standard on communicationswith audit committees. 

It is my hope that by arming audit committees with more informationabout the audit, including audit risks, significant or difficult accountingissues, significant unusual transactions, and other important matters,those committees can provide better oversight over the entirety of theaudit process, including evaluating whether the auditor is approachingdifficult issues with an appropriate degree of skepticism. 

Likewise, we recently issued a release to provide audit committees withmore information about PCAOB inspections and related topics that auditcommittees may wish to discuss with their auditor. 

This too, I trust, will assist audit committees in better evaluating their auditors in a variety of important areas, including competence, diligenceand independence. 

Although the Board does not have the authority to regulate auditcommittees, we are willing to help them however we can. I am particularly interested in your views— and those of other  commenters who may not yet have participated in this dialog— as towhat else this Board can do to enhance the ability of audit committees to 

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BIS, A framework for dealing withdomestic systemically important

banks 

I. Introduction 

1.The Basel Committee on BankingSupervision (the Committee) issued therules text on the assessment methodologyfor global systemically important banks(G-SIBs) and their additional loss

absorbency requirements in November 2011. 

The G-SIB rules text was endorsed by the G20 Leaders at their November 2011 meeting. 

The G20 Leaders also asked the Committee and the Financial StabilityBoard to work on modalities to extend expeditiously the G-SIFIframework to domestic systemically important banks (D-SIBs). 

2.The rationale for adopting additionalpolicy measures for G-SIBs wasbased on the―negative externalities‖ (ie adverse side effects) created bysystemically important banks which current regulatory policies do notfully address. 

In maximising their private benefits, individual financial institutions mayrationally choose outcomes that, from a system-wide level, are sub-optimal because they do not take into account these externalities. 

These negative externalities include the impact of the failure or impairment of large, interconnected global financial institutions that cansend shocks through the financial system which, in turn, can harm thereal economy. 

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Moreover, the moral hazard costs associated with direct support andimplicit government guarantees may amplify risk-taking, reduce marketdiscipline, create competitive distortions, and further increase theprobability of distress in the future. 

As a result, the costs associated with moral hazard add to any direct costsof support that may be borne by taxpayers. 

3.The additional requirement applied to G-SIBs, which applies over andabove the Basel I I I requirements that are being introduced for allinternationally-active banks, is intended to limit these cross-border negative externalities on the global financial system and economyassociated with the most globally systemic banking institutions. 

But similar externalities can apply at a domestic level. 

There are many banks that are not significant from an internationalperspective, but nevertheless could have an important impact on their domestic financial system and economy compared to non-systemicinstitutions. 

Some of these banks may have cross-border externalities, even if theeffects are not global in nature. Similar to the case of G-SIBs, it wasconsidered appropriate to review ways to address the externalities posed

by D-SIBs. 

4.A D-SIB framework is best understood as taking the complementaryperspective to the G-SIB regime by focusing on the impact that thedistress or failure of banks (including by international banks) will have onthe domestic economy. 

As such, it is based on the assessment conducted by the local authorities,who are best placed to evaluate the impact of failure on the local financialsystem and the local economy. 

5.This point has two implications. 

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The first is that in order to accommodate the structural characteristics of individual jurisdictions, the assessment and application of policy toolsshould allow for an appropriate degree of national discretion. 

This contrasts with the prescriptive approach in the G-SIB framework. 

The second implication is that because a D-SIB framework is stillrelevant for reducing cross-border externalities due to spillovers atregional or bilateral level, the effectiveness of local authorities inaddressing risks posed by individual banks is of interest to a wider groupof countries. 

A framework, therefore, should establish a minimum set of principles,which ensures that it is complementary with the G-SIB framework,

addresses adequately cross-border externalities and promotes a level-playing field. 

6.The principles developed by the Committee for D-SIBs would allow for appropriate national discretion to accommodate structural characteristicsof the domestic financial system, including the possibility for countries togo beyond the minimum D-SIB framework and impose additionalrequirements based on the specific features of the country and itsdomestic banking sector. 

7.The principles set out in the document focus on the higher lossabsorbency (HLA) requirement for D-SIBs. The Committee would like toemphasise that other policy tools, particularly more intensive supervision,can also play an important role in dealing with D-SIBs. 

8.The principles were developed to be applied to consolidated groupsand subsidiaries. 

However, national authorities may apply them to branches in their  jurisdictions in accordance with their legal and regulatory frameworks. 

9.The implementation of the principles will be combined with a strongpeer review process introduced by the Committee. 

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The Committee intends to add the D-SIB framework to the scope of theBasel I I I regulatory consistency assessment programme. 

This will help ensure that appropriate and effective frameworks for D-SIBs are in place across different jurisdictions. 

10. Given that the D-SIB framework complements the G-SIB framework,the Committee considers that it would be appropriate if banks identifiedas D-SIBs by their national authorities are required by those authorities tocomply with the principles in line with the phase-in arrangements for theG-SIB framework, ie from January 2016. 

I I . The principles 

11.The Committee has developed a set of principles that constitutes theD-SIB framework. 

The 12 principles can be broadly categorised into two groups: 

The first group (Principles 1 to 7) focuses mainly on the assessmentmethodology for D-SIBs while the second group (Principles 8 to 12)focuses on HLA for D-SIBs. 

12.The 12 principles are set out below:

Assessment methodology

Principle 1: 

National authorities should establish a methodology for assessing thedegree to which banks are systemically important in a domestic context. 

Principle 2: 

The assessment methodology for a D-SIB should reflect the potentialimpact of, or externality imposed by, a bank‘s failure. 

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Principle 3: 

The reference system for assessing the impact of failure of a D-SIB shouldbe the domestic economy. 

Principle 4: 

Home authorities should assess banks for their degree of systemicimportance at the consolidated group level, while host authorities shouldassess subsidiaries in their jurisdictions, consolidated to include any of their own downstream subsidiaries, for their degree of systemicimportance. 

Principle 5: 

The impact of a D-SIB‘s failure on the domestic economy should, inprinciple, be assessed having regard to bank-specific factors: 

(a)Size 

(b)Interconnectedness 

(c)Substitutability/ financial institution infrastructure (includingconsiderations related to the concentrated nature of the banking sector) 

(d)Complexity (including the additional complexities from cross-border activity). 

In addition, national authorities can consider other measures/ data thatwould inform these bank-specific indicators within each of the abovefactors, such as size of the domestic economy. 

Principle 6: 

National authorities should undertake regular assessments of the systemicimportance of the banks in their jurisdictions to ensure that their assessment reflects the current state of the relevant financial systems andthat the interval between D-SIB assessments not be significantly longer than the G-SIB assessment frequency. 

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Principle 7: 

National authorities should publicly disclose information that provides anoutline of the methodology employed to assess the systemic importanceof banks in their domestic economy. 

Higher loss absorbency 

Principle 8: 

National authorities should document the methodologies andconsiderations used to calibrate the level of HLA that the frameworkwould require for D-SIBs in their jurisdiction. 

The level of HLA calibrated for D-SIBs should be informed by

quantitative methodologies (where available) and country-specific factorswithout prejudice to the use of supervisory judgement. 

Principle 9: 

The HLA requirement imposed on a bank should be commensurate withthe degree of systemic importance, as identified under Principle 5. 

Principle 10: 

National authorities should ensure that the application of the G-SIB andD-SIB frameworks is compatible within their jurisdictions. 

Home authorities should impose HLA requirements that they calibrate atthe parent and/ or consolidated level, and host authorities should imposeHLA requirements that they calibrate at the sub-consolidated/ subsidiarylevel. 

The home authority should test that the parent bank is adequatelycapitalised on a stand-alone basis,including cases in which a D-SIB HLArequirement is applied at the subsidiary level. 

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Home authorities should impose the higher of either the D-SIB or G-SIBHLA requirements in the case where the banking group has beenidentified as a D-SIB in the home jurisdiction as well as a G-SIB. 

Principle 11: 

In cases where the subsidiary of a bank is considered to be a D-SIB by ahost authority, home and host authorities should make arrangements tocoordinate and cooperate on the appropriate HLA requirement, withinthe constraints imposed by relevant laws in the host jurisdiction. 

Principle 12: 

The HLA requirement should be met fully by Common Equity Tier 1(CET1). In addition, national authorities should put in place any

additional requirements and other policy measures they consider to beappropriate to address the risks posed by a D-SIB. 

Assessment methodology 

Principle 1: National authorities should establish a methodology for assessing the degree to which banks are systemically important in adomestic context. 

Principle 2: The assessment methodology for a D-SIB should reflectthe potential impact of, or externality imposed by, a bank‘s failure. 

13.A starting point for the development of principles for the assessment of D-SIBs is a requirement that all national authorities should undertake anassessment of the degree to which banks are systemically important in adomestic context. 

The rationale for focusing on the domestic context is outlined inparagraph 17 below. 

14.Paragraph 14 of the G-SIB rules text states that ―global systemicimportance should be measured in terms of the impact that a failure of abank can have on the global financial system and wider economy rather than the risk that a failure can occur. 

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This can be thought of as a global, system-wide, loss-given-default(LGD) concept rather than a probability of default (PD) concept.‖ 

Consistent with the G-SIB methodology, the Committee is of the viewthat D-SIBs should also be assessed in terms of the potential impact of their failure on the relevant reference system. 

One implication of this is that to the extent that D-SIB indicators areincluded in any methodology, they should primarily relate to ―impact of failure‖measures and not ―risk of failure‖measures. 

Principle 3: The reference system for assessing the impact of failureof a D-SIB should be the domestic economy. 

Principle 4: Home authorities should assess banks for their degree of systemic importance at the consolidated group level, while hostauthorities should assess subsidiaries in their jurisdictions,consolidated to include any of their own downstream subsidiaries,for their degree of systemic importance. 

15. Two key aspects that shape the D-SIB framework and define itsrelationship to the G-SIB framework relate to how it deals with twoconceptual issues with important practical implications: 

•What is the reference system for the assessment of systemic impact 

•What is the appropriate unit of analysis (ie the entity which is beingassessed)? 

16. For the G-SIB framework, the appropriate reference system is theglobal economy, given the focus on cross-border spillovers and thenegative global externalities that arise from the failure of a globally activebank. 

As such this allowed for an assessment of the banks that are systemicallyimportant in a global context. 

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The unit of analysis was naturally set at the globally consolidated level of abanking group (paragraph 89 of the G-SIB rules text states that ―(t)heassessment of the systemic importance of G-SIBs is made using data thatrelate to the consolidated group‖). 

17.Correspondingly, a process for assessing systemic importance in adomestic context should focus on addressing the externalities that abank‘s failure generates at a domestic level. 

Thus, the Committee is of the view that the appropriate reference systemshould be the domestic economy, ie that banks would be assessed by thenational authorities for their systemic importance to that specific

 jurisdiction. 

The outcome would be an assessment of banks active in the domesticeconomy in terms of their systemic importance. 

18.In terms of the unit of analysis, the Committee is of the view that homeauthorities should consider banks from a (globally) consolidatedperspective. 

This is because the activities of a bank outside the home jurisdiction can,when the bank fails, have potential significant spillovers to the domestic(home) economy. 

Jurisdictions that are home to banking groups that engage incross-border activity could be impacted by the failure of the wholebanking group and not just the part of the group that undertakesdomestic activity in the home economy. 

This is particularly important given the possibility that the homegovernment may have to fund/ resolve the foreign operations in theabsence of relevant cross-border agreements. 

This is in line with the concept of the G-SIB framework. 

19.When it comes to the host authorities, the Committee is of the viewthat they should assess foreign subsidiaries in their jurisdictions, also 

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consolidated to include any of their own downstream subsidiaries, someof which may be in other jurisdictions. 

For example, for a cross-border financial group headquartered in countryX, the authorities in country Y would only consider subsidiaries of thegroup in country Y plus the downstream subsidiaries, some of which maybe in country Z, and their impact on the economy Y. 

Thus, subsidiaries of foreign banking groups would be considered from alocal or sub-consolidated basis from the level starting in country Y. 

The scope should be based on regulatory consolidation as in the case of the G-SIB framework. 

Therefore, for the purposes of assessing D-SIBs, insurance or other non-banking activities should only be included insofar as they areincluded in the regulatory consolidation. 

20. The assessment of foreign subsidiaries at the local consolidated levelalso acknowledges the fact that the failure of global banking groups couldimpose outsized externalities at the local (host) level when thesesubsidiaries are significant elements in the local (host) banking system. 

This is important since there exist several jurisdictions that are

dominated by foreign subsidiaries of internationally active bankinggroups. 

Principle 5: The impact of a D-SIB‘s failure on the domesticeconomy should, in principle, be assessed having regard tobank-specific factors: (a)Size; (b)Interconnectedness; (c)Substitutability/financial institution infrastructure (including

considerations related to the concentrated nature of the bankingsector); and (d)Complexity (including the additional complexities fromcross-border activity). 

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In addition, national authorities can consider other measures/datathat would inform these bank-specific indicators within each of theabove factors, such as size of the domestic economy. 

21.The G-SIB methodology identifies five broad categories of factors thatinfluence global systemic importance: size, cross-jurisdictional activity,interconnectedness, substitutability/financial institution infrastructureand complexity. 

The indicator-based approach and weighting system in the G-SIBmethodology was developed to ensure a consistent international rankingof G-SIBs. 

The Committee is of the view that this degree of detail is not warranted

for D-SIBs, given the focus is on the domestic impact of failure of a bankand the wide ranging differences in each jurisdiction‘s financial structurehinder such international comparisons being made. 

This is one of the reasons why the D-SIB framework has been developedas a principles-based approach. 

22.Consistent with this view, it is appropriate to list, at a high level, thebroad category of factors (eg size) that jurisdictions should have regard toin assessing the impact of a D-SIB‘s failure. 

Among the five categories in the G-SIB framework, size,interconnectedness, substitutability/financial institution infrastructureand complexity are all relevant for D-SIBs as well. 

Cross-jurisdictional activity, the remaining category, may not be asdirectly relevant, since it measures the degree of global (cross-jurisdictional) activity of a bank which is not the focus of theD-SIB framework. 

23.In addition, national authorities may choose to also include somecountry-specific factors. 

A good example is the size of a bank relative to domestic GDP. 

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If the size of a bank is relatively large compared to the domestic GDP, itwould make sense for the national authority of the jurisdiction to identifyit as a D-SIB whereas a same-sized bank in another jurisdiction, which issmaller relative to the GDP of that jurisdiction, may not be identified as aD-SIB. 

24.National authorities should have national discretion as to theappropriate relative weights they place on these factors depending onnational circumstances. 

Principle 6: National authorities should undertake regular assessments of the systemic importance of the banks in their 

 jurisdictions to ensure that their assessment reflects the current stateof the relevant financial systems and that the interval between D-SIB

assessments not be significantly longer than the G-SIB assessmentfrequency. 

25.The list of G-SIBs (including their scores) is assessed annually, basedon updated data submitted by each participating bank, but measuredagainst a global sample that is largely unchanged for three years. 

It is expected that the names and buckets of G-SIBs and the data used toproduce the scores will be disclosed. 

26.The Committee believes it is good practice for national authorities toundertake a regular assessment as to the systemic importance of thebanks in their financial systems. 

The assessment should also be conducted if there are importantstructural changes to the banking system such as, for example, a merger of major banks. 

A national authority‘s assessment process and methodology will be

reviewed by the Committee‘s implementation monitoring process. 

27.It is also desirable that the interval of the assessments not besignificantly longer than that for G-SIBs (ie one year). 

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For example, a SIB could be identified as a G-SIB but also a D-SIB in thesame jurisdiction or in other host jurisdictions. 

Alternatively, a G-SIB could drop from the G-SIB list andbecome/ continue to be a D-SIB. 

In order to keep a consistent approach in these cases, it would be sensibleto have a similar frequency of assessments for the two frameworks. 

Principle 7: National authorities should publicly discloseinformation that provides an outline of the methodology employedto assess the systemic importance of banks in their domesticeconomy. 

28. The assessment process used needs to be clearly articulated and madepublic so as to set up the appropriate incentives for banks to seek toreduce the systemic risk they pose to the reference system. 

This was the key aspect of the G-SIB framework where the assessmentmethodology and the disclosure requirements of the Committee and thebanks were set out in the G-SIB rules text. 

By taking these measures, the Committee sought to ensure that banks,regulators and market participants would be able to understand how the

actions of banks could affect their systemic importance score and therebythe required magnitude of additional loss absorbency. 

The Committee believes that transparency of the assessment process for the D-SIB framework is also important, even if it is likely to vary across

 jurisdictions given differences in frameworks and policy tools used toaddress the systemic importance of banks. 

Higher loss absorbency 

Principle 8: National authorities should document themethodologies and considerations used to calibrate the level of HLAthat the framework would require for D-SIBs in their jurisdiction.The level of HLA calibrated for D-SIBs should be informed by 

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quantitative methodologies (where available) and country-specificfactors without prejudice to the use of supervisory judgement. 

29.The purpose of an HLA requirement for D-SIBs is to reduce further the probability of failure compared to non-systemic institutions,reflecting the greater impact a D-SIB failure is expected to have on thedomestic financial system and economy. 

30.The Committee intends to assess the implementation of theframework by the home and host authorities for its degree of  cross-jurisdictional consistency, having regard to the differences in national circumstances. 

In order to increase the consistency in the implementation of the D-SIB

framework and to avoid situations where banks similar in terms of thelevel of domestic systemic importance they pose in the same or different jurisdictions have substantially different D-SIB frameworks applied tothem, it is important that there is sufficient documentation provided byhome and host authorities for the Committee to conduct an effectiveimplementation review assessment. 

It is important for the application of a D-SIB HLA, at both the parent andsubsidiary level, to be based on a transparent and well articulatedassessment framework to ensure the implications of the requirements are

well understood by both the home and the host authorities. 

31.The level of HLA for D-SIBs should be subject to policy judgement bynational authorities. 

That said, there needs to be some form of analytical framework thatwould inform policy judgements. 

This was the case for the policy judgement made by the Committee onthe level of the additional loss absorbency requirement for G-SIBs. 

32.The policy judgement on the level of HLA requirements should alsobe guided by country-specific factors which could include the degree of  

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concentration in the banking sector or the size of the banking sector relative to GDP. 

Specifically, countries that have a larger banking sector relative to GDPare more likely to suffer larger direct economic impacts of the failure of aD-SIB than those with smaller banking sectors. 

While size-to-GDP is easy to calculate, the concentration of the bankingsector could also be considered (as a failure in a medium-sized highlyconcentrated banking sector would likely create more of an impact on thedomestic economy than if it were to occur in a larger, more widelydispersed banking sector). 

33.The use of these factors in calibrating the HLA requirement would

provide justification for different intensities of policy responses acrosscountries for banks that are otherwise similar across the four key bank-specific factors outlined in Principle 5. 

Principle 9: The HLA requirement imposed on a bank should becommensurate with the degree of systemic importance, as identifiedunder Principle 5. 

34.In the G-SIB framework, G-SIBs are grouped into different categoriesof systemic importance based on the score produced by the 

indicator-based measurement approach. 

Different additional loss absorbency requirements are applied to thedifferent buckets (G-SIB rules text paragraphs 52 and 73). 

35.Although the D-SIB framework does not produce scores based on aprescribed methodology as in the case of the G-SIB framework, theCommittee is of the view that the HLA requirements for D-SIBs shouldalso be decided based on the degree of domestic systemic importance. 

This is to provide the appropriate incentives to banks which are subject tothe HLA requirements to reduce (or at least not increase) their systemicimportance over time. In the case where there are multiple D-SIB buckets 

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in a jurisdiction, this could imply differentiated levels of HLA betweenD-SIB buckets. 

Principle 10: National authorities should ensure that the applicationof the G-SIB and D-SIB frameworks is compatible within their 

 jurisdictions. Home authorities should impose H LA requirementsthat they calibrate at the parent and/or consolidated level, and hostauthorities should impose HLA requirements that they calibrate atthe sub-consolidated/subsidiary level. The home authority shouldtest that the parent bank is adequately capitalised on a stand-alonebasis, including cases in which a D-SIB HLA requirement is appliedat the subsidiary level. Home authorities should impose the higher of either the D-SIB or G-SIB HLA requirements in the case wherethe banking group has been identified as a D-SIB in the home

 jurisdiction as well as a G-SIB. 

36.National authorities, including host authorities, currently have thecapacity to set and impose capital requirements they consider appropriateto banks within their jurisdictions. 

The G-SIB rules text states that host authorities of G-SIB subsidiariesmay apply an additional loss absorbency requirement at the individuallegal entity or consolidated level within their jurisdiction. 

The Committee has no intention to change this aspect of the status quowhen introducing the D-SIB framework. 

An imposition of a D-SIB HLA by a host authority is no different (exceptfor additional transparency) from their current capacity to impose a Pillar 1 or 2 capital charge. 

Therefore, the ability of the host authorities to implement a D-SIB HLAon local subsidiaries does not raise any new home-host issues. 

37.National authorities should ensure that banks with the same degree of systemic importance in their jurisdiction, regardless of whether they aredomestic banks, subsidiaries of foreign banking groups, or subsidiaries of G-SIBs, are subject to the same HLA requirements, ceteris paribus. 

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Banks in a jurisdiction should be subject to a consistent, coherent andnon-discriminatory treatment regardless of the ownership. 

The objective of the host authorities‘power to impose HLA onsubsidiaries is to bolster capital to mitigate the potential heightenedimpact of the subsidiaries‘failure on the domestic economy due to their systemic nature. 

This should be maintained in cases where a bank might not be (or mightbe less) systemic at home, but its subsidiary is (more) systemic in the host

 jurisdiction. 

38.An action by the host authorities to impose a D-SIB HLA requirementleads to increases in capital at the subsidiary level which can be viewed as

a shift in capital from the parent bank to the subsidiary, unless it alreadyholds an adequate capital buffer in the host jurisdiction or the additionalcapital raised by the subsidiary is from outside investors. 

This could, in the case of substantial or large subsidiaries, materiallydecrease the level of capital protecting the parent bank. 

Under such cases, it is important that the home authority continues toensure there are sufficient financial resources at the parent level, for example through a solo capital requirement. 

Indeed, paragraph 23 of the Basel II rules text states―(f)urther, as one of the principal objectives of supervision is the protection of depositors, it isessential to ensure that capital recognised in capital adequacy measures isreadily available for those depositors. 

Accordingly, supervisors should test that individual banks are adequatelycapitalised on a stand-alone basis.‖ 

39.Within a jurisdiction, applying the D-SIB framework to both G-SIBsand non-G-SIBs will help ensure a level playing field within the nationalcontext. 

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For example, in a jurisdiction with two banks that are roughly identical interms of their assessed systemic nature at the domestic level, but whereone is a G-SIB and the other is not, national authorities would have thecapacity to apply the same D-SIB HLA requirement to both. 

In such cases, the home authorities could face a situation where the HLArequirement on the consolidated group will be the higher of thoseprescribed by the G-SIB and D-SIB frameworks (ie the higher of either the D-SIB or G-SIB requirement). 

40.This approach is also consistent with the Committee‘sstandards,which are minima rather than maxima. 

It is also consistent with the G-SIB rules text that is explicit in stating that

home authorities can impose higher requirements than the G-SIBadditional loss absorbency requirement (G-SIB rules text paragraph 74). 

41.The Committee is of the view that any form of double-counting shouldbe avoided and that the HLA requirements derived from the G-SIB andD-SIB frameworks should not be additive. 

This will ensure the overall consistency between the two frameworks andallows the D-SIB framework to take the complementary perspective to theG-SIB framework. 

Principle 11: In cases where the subsidiary of a bank is considered tobe a D-SIB by a host authority, home and host authorities shouldmake arrangements to coordinate and cooperate on the appropriateHLA requirement, within the constraints imposed by relevant lawsin the host jurisdiction. 

42.The Committee recognises that there could be some concern that hostauthorities tend not to have a group-wide perspective when applying HLArequirements to subsidiaries of foreign banking groups in their 

 jurisdiction. 

The home authorities, on the other hand, clearly need to know D-SIBHLA requirements on significant subsidiaries since there could be 

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implications for the allocation of financial resources within the bankinggroup. 

43. In these circumstances, it is important that arrangements tocoordinate and cooperate on the appropriate HLA requirement betweenhome and host authorities are established and maintained, within theconstraints imposed by relevant laws in the host jurisdiction, whenformulating HLA requirements. 

This is particularly important to make it possible for the home authorityto test the capital position of a parent on a stand-alone basis as mentionedin paragraph 38 and to prevent a situation where the home authorities aresurprised by the action of the host authorities. 

Home and host authorities should coordinate and cooperate with eachother on any plan to impose an HLA requirement on a subsidiary bank,and the amount of the requirement, before taking any action. 

The host authority should provide a rationale for their decision, and anindication of the steps the bank would need to take to avoid/ reduce sucha requirement. 

The home and host authorities should also discuss 

(i)The resolution regimes (including recovery and resolution plans) inboth jurisdictions, 

(ii)Available resolution strategies and any specific resolution plan inplace for the firm, and 

(iii)The extent to which such arrangements should influence HLArequirements. 

Principle 12: The HLA requirement should be met fully by CommonEquity Tier 1 (CET1). In addition, national authorities should put inplace any additional requirements and other policy measures theyconsider to be appropriate to address the risks posed by a D-SIB. 

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44.The additional loss absorbency requirement for G-SIBs is to be met byCET1, as stated in the G-SIBs rules text (paragraph 87). 

The Committee considered the use of CET1 to be the simplest and mosteffective way to increase the going concern loss-absorbing capacity of abank. 

HLA requirements for D-SIBs should also be fully met with CET1 toensure a maximum degree of consistency in terms of effective lossabsorbing capacity. 

This has the benefit of facilitating direct and transparent comparability of the application of requirements across jurisdictions, an element that isconsidered desirable given the fact that most of these banks will have

cross-border operations being in direct competition with each other. 

In addition, national authorities should put in place any additionalrequirements and other policy measures they consider to be appropriateto address the risks posed by a D-SIB. 

45.National authorities should implement the HLA requirement throughan extension of the capital conservation buffer, maintaining the division of the buffer into four bands of equal size (as described in paragraph 147 of the Basel II I rules text). 

This is in line with the treatment of the additional loss absorbencyrequirement for G-SIBs. 

The HLA requirement for D-SIBs is essentially a requirement that sits ontop of the capital buffers and minimum capital requirement, with a pre-determined set of consequences for banks that do not meet thisrequirement. 

46.In some jurisdictions, it is possible that Pillar 2 may need to adapt toaccommodate the existence of the HLA requirements for D-SIBs. 

Specifically, it would make sense for authorities to ensure that a bank‘s Pillar 2 requirements do not require capital to be held twice for issues that 

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relate to the externalities associated with distress or failure of D-SIBs if they are captured by the HLA requirement. 

However, Pillar 2 will normally capture other risks that are not directlyrelated to these externalities of D-SIBs (eg interest rate and concentrationrisks) and so capital meeting the HLA requirement should not bepermitted to be simultaneously used to meet Pillar 2 requirement thatrelate to these other risks. 

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Mario Draghi: Openingstatement at Deutscher 

Bundestag Speech by Mr Mario Draghi,President of the European CentralBank, at the discussion on ECB policies with Members of  Parliament, Berlin 

* * *  

Dear President Lammert,

Honourable Committee Chairs, 

Honourable Members of the Bundestag,

I am deeply honoured to be here today. 

As President of the European Central Bank (ECB), it is a privilege for meto come to the heart of German democracy to present our policyresponses to the challenges facing the euro area economy. 

I know that central bank actions are often a topic of debate amongpoliticians, the media and the general public in Germany. 

So I would like to thank President Lammert and all Committee Chairsmost warmly for this kind invitation – and the opportunity it gives me toparticipate in that discussion. 

It is rare for the ECB President to speak in a national parliament. The

ECB is accountable to the European Parliament, where we have 

scheduled hearings every three months and occasional hearings on topical matters. 

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We take these duties of accountability to the citizens of Europe and their elected representatives very seriously. 

But I am here today not only to explain the ECB‘s policies. I am also hereto listen. 

I am here to listen to your views on the ECB, on the euro area economyand on the longer-term vision for Europe. 

To lay the ground for our discussion, I would like to explain our view of the current situation and the rationale for our recent monetary policydecisions. 

I will focus in particular on the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMTs)

that we formally announced in September. 

Financial markets and the disruptions of monetary policytransmission 

Let me begin with the challenges facing the euro area. 

We expect the economy to remain weak in the near term, also reflectingthe adjustment that many countries are undergoing in order to lay the

foundations for sustainable future prosperity. 

For next year, we expect a very gradual recovery. 

Euro area unemployment remains deplorably high. 

In this environment, the ECB has responded by lowering its key interestrates. 

In normal times, such reductions would be passed on relatively evenly to

firms and households across the euro area. 

But this is not what we have seen. 

In some countries, the reductions were fully passed on. 

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In others, the rates charged on bank loans to the real economy declinedonly a little, if at all. 

And in a few countries, some lending rates have actually risen.

Why did this divergence happen? 

Let me explain this in detail because it is so important for understandingour policies. 

A fundamental concept in central banking is what is known as ―monetarypolicy transmission‖. 

This is the way that changes in a central bank‘s main interest rate are 

passed via the financial system to the real economy. 

In a well-functioningfinancial system, there is a stable relationshipbetween changes to central bank rates and the cost of bank loans to firmsand households. 

This allows central banks to influence overall economic conditions andmaintain price stability. 

But the euro area financial system has become increasingly disturbed.

There has been asevere fragmentation in the single financial market. 

Bank funding costs have diverged significantly across countries. 

The euro area interbank market has been effectively closed to a largenumber of banks and some countries‘entire banking systems. 

Interest rates on government bonds in some countries have risen steeply,hurting the funding costs of domestic banks and limiting their access to

funding markets. 

This has been a key factor why banks have passed on interest rates very differently to firms and households across the euro area. 

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Interest rates donot have to be identical across the euro area, but it isunacceptable if major differences arise from broken capital markets or theperception of a euro area break-up. 

The fragmentation of the single financial market has led to afragmentation of the single monetary policy. 

And in an economy like the euro area where about three quarters of firms‘financing comes from banks, this has very severe consequences for thereal economy, investment and employment. 

It meant that countries in economic difficulties could not benefit from our low interest rates and return to health. 

Instead, they were experiencing a vicious circle. 

Economic growth was falling. Public finances were deteriorating.

Banks and governments were being forced to pay even higher interest rates. 

And credit and economic growth were falling further, leading to risingunemployment and reduced consumption and investment. 

A number of economies could have seen risks of deflation. 

All of this meant that the outlook for the euro area economy as a wholewas increasingly fragile. 

There were potentially negative consequences for Europe‘ssinglemarket, as access to finance was increasingly influenced by locationrather than creditworthiness and the quality of the project. 

The disruption of the monetary policy transmission is something deeplyprofound. 

It threatens the single monetary policy and the ECB‘s ability to ensureprice stability. 

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This was why the ECB decided that action was essential.

Restoring the proper transmission of monetary policy

So let me now turn directly to our recent policy announcements. 

To decide what type of action was appropriate, we had to make two keyassessments. 

First, we had to diagnose precisely why the transmission was disrupted.

And second, we had to identify the most effective policy tool to repair  those disruptions, while remaining within our mandate to preserve price stability. 

In our analysis, a main cause of disruptions in the transmission wasunfounded fears about the future of the euro area. 

Some investors had become excessively influenced by imagined scenariosof disaster. 

They were therefore charging interest rates to countries they perceived tobe most vulnerable that went beyond levels warranted by economicfundamentals and justifiable risk premia. 

Clearly, it was not by chance that some countries found themselves in amore difficult situation than others. 

It was mainly those countries that had implemented inappropriateeconomic policies in the past. 

This is also why the first responsibility in this situation is for countries tomake determined reforms and convince markets that they are credible. 

But many were already doing this, only for interest rates to rise evenhigher. 

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There was an element of fear in markets‘assessments that governments,acting alone, could not remove. 

Markets were not prepared to wait for the positive effects of reforms toemerge. 

In our view, to restore the proper transmission of monetary policy, thoseunfounded fears about the future of the euro area had to be removed. 

And the only way to do so was to establish a fully credible backstopagainst disaster scenarios. 

We designed the OMTs exactly to fulfil this role and restore monetarypolicy transmission in two key ways. 

First, it provides for ex ante unlimited interventionsin government bondmarkets, focusing on bonds with a remaining maturity of up to threeyears. 

A lot of comments have been made about this commitment.

But we have to understand how markets work. 

Interventions are designed to send a clear signal to investors that their fears about the euro area are baseless. 

Second, as a pre-requisite for OMTs, countries must have negotiated withthe other euro area governments a European Stability Mechanism (ESM)programme with strict and effective conditionality. 

This ensures that governments continue to correct economic weaknesseswhile the ECB is active. 

The involvement of the IMF, with its unparalleled track record inmonitoring adjustment programmes would be an additional safeguard. 

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The consequences of the ECB‘sactions 

So what are the likely consequences of the ECB‘sactions? 

Before announcing the OMT programme, we considered very carefullythe possible risks – and we designed our operations to minimise them. 

But I am aware that some observers in this country remain concernedabout the potential impact of this policy. 

I would therefore like to use this opportunity to go through thoseconcerns – one by one – and explain our views. 

First, OMTs will not lead to disguised financing of governments.

We have specifically designed our interventions to avoid this. 

They will take place solely on secondary markets, where bonds that havealready been issued are traded. 

If interventions take place, they will involve buying government debt frominvestors, not from governments. 

All this is fully consistent with the Treaty‘sprohibition on monetaryfinancing. 

Moreover, they will focus on shorter maturities and leave room for marketdiscipline. 

Second, OMTs will not compromise the independence of the ECB.

The ECB will continue to take all decisions related to OMTs in full independence. 

It will decide whether to intervene based on its own assessment of monetary policy transmission and with the aim of safeguarding pricestability. 

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The fact that governments have to comply with conditionality willactually protect our independence. 

The ECB will not be forced to step in for a lack of policy implementation.  

Third, OMTs will not create excessive risks for euro area taxpayers.

Such risks would only materialise if a country were to run unsound 

policies. 

This is explicitly prevented by the ESM programme. 

And we have been very clear that each time a programme starts beingreviewed, we will routinely suspend operations and resume them only if 

the review has been concluded positively. 

This will ensure that the ECB intervenes only in countries where theeconomy and public finances are on a sustainable path. 

Fourth, OMTs will not lead to inflation. 

We have designed our operations so that their effect on monetaryconditions will be neutral. 

For every euro we inject, we will withdraw a euro. 

In our assessment, the greater risk to price stability is currently fallingprices in some euro area countries. 

In this sense, OMTs are not in contradiction to our mandate: in fact, theyare essential for ensuring we can continue to achieve it. 

Moreover, we see no signs that our announcement has affected inflationexpectations. 

They continue to be firmly anchored. 

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This is testament to our track record on price stability over the last decadeand our credible commitment to maintaining price stability. 

The citizens of the euro area can be confident that we will remainpermanently alert to risks to price stability. 

We have all the necessary tools at our disposal to maintain it and towithdraw any excess liquidity in case of upward risks to price stability. 

Conclusion 

Let me conclude these opening remarks. 

Three elementsare essential for understanding the policies of the ECB:

immutable focus on price stability; acting within our mandate; and beingfully independent. 

The ECB‘snew measures help to ensure price stability across the euroarea. 

They also contribute to improving the economic environment. 

But completing that task of economic renewal demands continuingaction by the governments of the euro area. 

It is governments that must set right their public finances.

It is governments that must reform their economies. 

And it is governments that must work together effectively to establish aninstitutional architecture for the euro area that best serves its citizens. 

We are already moving in the right direction. Across the euro area, deficits

are being cut. 

Competitiveness is being improved. Imbalances are closing. 

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And governments are working seriously to complete economic andmonetary union. 

It is important that Europe‘s leaders stay on course. 

In doing so, they will be able to unlock fully the enormous potential of theeuro to improve living standards and carry forward the project of European integration. 

Thank you for your attention – and I look forward to our discussion. 

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Andreas Dombret: As goesIreland, so goes Europe? 

Speech by Dr Andreas Dombret,Member of the Executive Board of theDeutsche Bundesbank, at the Institute of International and European Affairs, Dublin, 25 October 2012. 

* * *

1. Introduction 

Ladies and Gentlemen, 

Many thanks for inviting me to speak to you. I am delighted to have theopportunity to be with you here in Dublin today. 

One of the issues which the Institute of International and EuropeanAffairs features on its website is―The Future of Europe‖.And, indeed,the future of Europe is at the centre of the current public debate. 

After nearly ten very successful years, the European Monetary Union hasencountered a serious crisis. 

Over the past few months, we have seen some progress in this regard: afiscal compact has been agreed, the ESM has come to life, there ispreliminary agreement on a European Single Supervisory Mechanism,and –most importantly –more member states of the euro area haveembarked on broader economic reforms. 

But the crisis is still not over, and progress is still too often painfully slow.

When talking about the euro, the successes, the setbacks and the way 

forward, Ireland plays an important role. 

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As an open and flexible economy with a highly skilled work force, Irelandhas seized the opportunities presented by global and especially byEuropean economic integration. 

When Ireland joined the EU in 1973, it was one of the poorer member states. 

Since then, your real per capita income has increased more than twofoldand istoday among the highest in the euro area. 

Ireland has benefited from several factors: low barriers in terms of language and culture vis à vis the US and the UK have certainly helped,but I reland also has done a lot to raise its growth potential by improvingthe skills of its labour force, lowering corporate taxes and maintaining

flexible labour and product markets. 

As a result, you attracted a lot of Foreign Direct Investment and became aremarkably open economy. 

As we all know, this remarkable success story has suffered a number of setbacks. 

In the light of the crisis, some economic developments have provedunsustainable. 

The Irish real estate boom – as so many others –provided a temporaryboost at the time, but raised private debt to worrying levels – to 215 % of GDP in 2007 –and diverted capital away from potentially more productiveuses. 

Exploding unit labour costs have eroded the competitiveness of the Irisheconomy, undermining the very core of its growth model so far. 

But even though the last few years have been challenging, many signspoint to a silver lining. 

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There has been significant progress in reforms with the results to show for it: on-track deficit reduction, falling unit labour costs, a positive currentaccount and last but not least a return to positive growth. 

To sum it up: I am very much confident with regard to the I rish case. 

And I am more and more convinced that we are witnessing a resurgencethat is instructive for the euro area as a whole. 

The problems experienced by Ireland are by no means confined to the―Green Island‖,but are typical of what went wrong in the run-up to thecrisis. 

Thus, the reforms undertaken in Ireland hold valuable lessons for the

wider monetary union. 

But what exactly did go wrong at the onset of EMU? 

2. The origins of the crisis 

For many euro-area member states, the introduction of the euro usheredin a new era of abundant capital. 

In the case of Ireland, for instance, capital inflows amounted to about twotrillion euro between 1999 and 2008. 

In principle, this is exactly what standard economic reasoning predicts:capital was flowing from capital-rich to capital-poor economies, wherereturns should be higher. 

Such flows complemented limited domestic saving in capital-poor countries and reduced their cost of capital, boosting investment andgrowth. 

As we all know, it did not always work that way. 

Overblown financial sectors channeled the capital flows intounproductive investments. 

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Ireland is certainly a case in point aslight-touch regulation and taxincentivesencouraged the financial sector to balloon. 

Overinvestment in real estate as well as in public and privateconsumption failed to boost productivity. 

Unit labour costs soared, competitiveness declined, and rigid labour andproduct markets meant that this process gained additional momentum. 

When the financial crisis broke out in 2007, the vulnerabilities becameapparent in Ireland. 

Growth imploded, deficits –which were often already too high before thecrisis – exploded, and cracks in the Irish banking system started to show. 

As an aside, you may recall that these cracks extended right intoGermany, where Irish subsidiaries or special investment vehicles got their German parent companies into trouble. 

Not surprisingly, investor sentiment began to shift, and also interest ratesin your country started to rise sharply, triggering a major crisis that is stillfar from being resolved. 

How could it all go so wrong? 

Key to understanding the crisis is the euro ar ea‘sunique institutional set-up, a set-up that easily leads to simple, but faulty analogies with other economies. 

As you are well aware the euro area pairs a common monetary policy with17 national fiscal policies. 

Firstly, this combination givesrise to a deficit bias, as it allows costs to be

shifted partially on to others. 

If a worsening fiscal position in one country has repercussions for our monetary union as a whole, others may step in and bail out. 

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And, secondly, central banks‘balance sheets can serve as a conduit for shifting risks among national taxpayers, even if there are no explicit fiscaltransfers. 

The founding fathers of the euro foresaw this risk. 

Precautions were taken in the form of the prohibition of monetaryfinancing of government deficits, price stability as the primary objective,the no-bail-out clause and the Stability and Growth Pact that was to giveteeth to the rules on sound public finances enshrined in the MaastrichtTreaty. 

However, the fiscal rules were breached numerous times, not least byGermany and France. 

In addition, investors made hardly any distinction between the bonds of individual member states – I leave it to you to decide whether this wasbecause they neglected the growing differences in the economicfundamentals or because they never really believed that the no-bail-outclause would hold once the going got tough. 

While the provisions against unstable fiscal positions proved to beinsufficient, the institutional framework took no account of other macroeconomic imbalances. 

Risks stemming from divergences in competitiveness or exaggerations innational real estate sectors were not considered in the design of theEuropean Monetary Union. 

Hence, even countries that had impressive fiscal data before the crisis raninto deep trouble once the enormous implicit liabilities in their bankingsectors became apparent. 

Ireland, unfortunately, was one of those countries. 

Assessing the I rish economy in 2007 the IM F –which I quote for convenience, not to blame it –wrote:―Fiscal policy has been prudent, 

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with a medium-term fiscal objective of close to balance or surplus, in linewith Fund advice. 

In the past couple [of] years, windfall property-related revenues weresaved and the fiscal stance was not procyclical, in line with Fund advice‖. 

However, once the risks in the financial sector materialised and thegovernment had to step in, I relands fiscal position deteriorated veryquickly. 

3. The way forward 

To overcome the current crisis, and to prevent future crises, we have toaddress these problems I have just described. 

And this has to happen both nationally and at the European level.

So far, a number of steps have been taken. 

At the beginning of my speech I mentioned the ESM, to which I mightadd the fiscal compact and the new excessive imbalance procedure thathas been established to prevent macroeconomic developments fromdiverging too much in the future. 

Nevertheless, the painful task of correcting past mistakes lies mainly withthe member states. 

In this context I wish to point to Ireland as a good example of what has tobe done and what can be achieved. 

In this regard I view Ireland as a―role model of the periphery‖. 

I have already mentioned the decline in competitiveness that occurred

prior to the crisis. 

In this respect I reland certainly had a steep mountain to climb. 

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In 2008, Irish unit labour costs, as an indicator of competitiveness, weremore than 40% higher than at the launch of EMU. 

Still, not least thanks to flexible labour markets, the necessary adjustmenthas been swifter in I reland than in other member states. 

There was a similar experience with the bubble in the Irish real estatemarket. 

 Your problems became apparent earlier than in other member states, withproperty prices starting to fall in the last quarter of 2007. 

Hence, Ireland responded earlier than other countries, and in adetermined manner, to a shock which, as of today, has cut property prices

in half. 

As a result, the restructuring of the banking sector is more advanced andcosts for bank loans to firms are now lower than in countries such as Italyor Spain. 

This highlights the fact that it is sometimes better to take a big bathrather than just a shower. 

And it is better to take it as soon as possible because the water typically

gets colder as time passes by. 

But the situation in your country also highlights something else: thedangerous link between banks and sovereigns. 

Looking to the future, this link has to be broken, or at least to beweakened considerably, to prevent history from repeating itself. 

Let me first step back and take a look at why the close link between banks

and sovereigns has proven to be so problematic and so dangerous in thiscrisis. 

If many banks run into trouble at the same time, possibly on account of alarge asset bubble bursting, financial stability as a whole is threatened. 

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The government then often has no option but to step in if it wants toprevent a meltdown of the real economy. 

But such a rescue can place a huge burden on government finances – andno country knows that better than Ireland, where support for the financialsector was a major factor why the debt ratio soared from 25% of GDP in2007 to 108% in 2011. 

Conversely, weak government finances can destabilise banks – directlythrough their exposure to sovereign bonds, and, indirectly, throughworsening macroeconomic conditions. 

That is what we are also witnessing at this very moment. 

Thus, breaking the link between banks and sovereigns is vital for makingthe euro area more stable. 

A banking union can very well be a major step in that direction – but byharnessing the disciplinary forces of the market, not by doing away withthem. 

Core elements of a banking union therefore have to be: 

First, a comprehensive bail-in of bank creditors, and second, an

appropriate risk-weighting of sovereign bonds. 

In order to minimise the risk that bank rescues pose to governmentfinances, creditors have to be the first in line when it comes to bearingbanks‘ losses. 

Implicit guarantees have to be removed as taxpayers‘money can only bethe last resort. 

By the same token, sovereign bonds need to be risk-weightedappropriately when it comes to the adequacy of capital buffers. 

Riskier bondshave to become more expensive in terms of the amount of equity that they tie down, as is already the case for non-sovereign bonds. 

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This serves two purposes: On the one hand, surcharges of this kindshould translate into lower demand and, hence, into larger spreads, whichgives a disciplining signal to the respective sovereign. 

And, on the other hand, banks would become more resilient in the eventof market turmoil. 

Adequate risk-weighting of sovereign bonds helps to prevent fiscaldifficulties from translating directly into financial instability. 

If fiscal autonomy remains with national member states, which is still thestatus quo in the EU Treaties, this is crucial. 

Banks have to internalise the fiscal position of sovereigns in a similar 

manner as they take into account the risk of corporate bonds or loans. 

Otherwise, the envisaged recapitalisation of banks via European fundscould turn out to be a backdoor for mutualising sovereign solvency risks. 

I therefore believe that these two regulatory reforms – a comprehensivebail-in of creditors as well as an adequate risk-weighting of sovereignbonds –need to complement the envisaged European supervisorymechanism. 

In principle, this single European supervisor can help prevent futurecrises by enforcing the same high standards irrespective of the banks‘ country of origin and by taking transnational interdependencies intoaccount. 

At the moment, it looks as though this task shall be carried out by theEuropean Central Bank. 

This is, first of all, an expression of confidence in the competence of 

central banks in general and in the ECB in particular. 

But conducting monetary policy and financial supervision does not comewithout risks. 

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If the institution responsible for ensuring the financial soundness of banks simultaneously influences banks‘ financing conditions via itsmonetary policy, conflicts of interest may arise. 

Besides, the resolution of banks implies intervening in property rights,which requires democratic accountability. 

If the ECB is to be tasked with supervising European banks, there willhave to be a strict separation of monetary policy and supervision. 

Such a separation will be difficult from both a legal and an organisationalpoint of view. 

In this respect, there still are questions that need to be resolved. 

A banking union will contribute to financial stability, if its designpreserves sound incentives for all actors involved. 

This holds true not only for future risks, but also for risks that havealready materialised. 

Economically speaking, a banking union is basically an insurancemechanism. 

And, as with any insurance, only future losses or damages that areunknown ex ante can be covered. 

No doubt, the banking union is an important building block for a morestable monetary union. 

But, as such, it is meant to mitigate future risks and not to cover pastsins. 

In this context, I fully understand that I reland is closely following theconditions under which euro-area member states will provide financialassistance to Spain for the recapitalisation of its financial institutions. 

One specific point is the degree of bondholders‘participation in the 

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Spanish restructuring process. 

The Eurogroup stated in July with respect to I reland: ―Similar cases will be treated equally, taking into account changedcircumstances.‖ 

However, as this issue is currently under discussion I prefer abstainingfrom public comments. 

Instead I like to share my view with you on the issue of legacy assets ingeneral. 

Legacy assets are those risks which evolved under the responsibility of national supervisors. 

From what I have already said, it follows that these assets have to be dealtwith by the respective member states. 

Anything else would amount to a fiscal transfer. 

It may be that such fiscal transfers are desired or even deemed necessary.

But then, they should be conducted via national budgets and subject to 

approval of national parliaments, rather than under the guise of a banking 

union, which would then have to start under a heavy burden. 

And, in the event of such transfers the proper sequencing of events is thekey. 

We should not end up in a world where risks from bank balance sheets arerapidly mutualised, while an effective single supervisory mechanismwould be slow in coming. 

A banking union will therefore not be a quick fix. 

But it can be an important milestone towards a more stable and prosper monetary union and hence instrumental in regaining confidence in the euro area. 

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Ireland has already come a long way in this regard, as your successfulreturn to the capital markets in July has shown. 

Trust has been regained because Ireland has walked the talk. 

And I am sure you agree: Any deviation from this climb when themountaintop is already in sight would be both short-sighted and costly. 

More precisely, when listening to the discussion on more leniency for Greece, I can understand that demanding similar adjustments to the Irishprogramme seem tempting at first glance. 

But as we have learned the hard way over the last years, trust is as easilylost as it is hard to regain. 

Ireland has made enormous progress in the process of regaining trust andconfidence. 

Important financial market indicators are an expression of this fact. CDSpremia for the I rish sovereign have fallen continuously in 2012. 

In the meantime Irish CDS premia are below those of Spain and evenItaly. 

The same development can be observed for the spread over Germanbunds. 

All of these developments are the result of ―leading by example‖withstructural reforms. 

Hence, I see no reason for Irish CDS changing the course, and I doubtthat this would truly be in I reland‘sbest interest. 

I suggest not to jeopardise what has been achieved so far. 

4. Conclusion 

Ladies and gentlemen, 

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When we talk about Europe, Ireland is such an interesting example for anumber of reasons. 

First, it highlights the benefits of a unified Europe which still leaves itsmember states enough room to establish their own model of success – Ireland has certainly seized that opportunity. 

But the I rish experience at the same time also illustrates some of thethings that have gone wrong in Europe over the past decade, and I havementioned many of them in my speech. 

Nevertheless, and even more importantly, the Irish experience holdsvaluable lessons on how to overcome the current crisis. 

Of course, Ireland has not yet overcome all of its problems –every countryis different and challenges are never exactly the same. 

But I believe we all can learn a great deal from the Irish way of handlingthe crisis: As goes Ireland, so goes Europe. 

Let me conclude my speech with the single most important and mostencouraging lesson we can draw from the Irish experience:― Yes, it can bedone‖. 

Thank you for your attention. 

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CIMA Hosts Risk Management andInternal Controls Seminar  

The Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (CIMA)hosts a seminar on Risk Management and InternalControls. 

The event, which is scheduled for 29 October to 2 November at the GrandCayman Marriott Beach Resort, is sponsored by theAssociation of Supervisors of Banks of the Americas (ASBA) and the Caribbean Group of Banking Supervisors (CGBS) and facilitated by the Federal Reserve of theUnited States. 

Intended for examiners with more than six months of field experiencewho have participated in examinations of banks, this seminar is designedto provide examiners with an understanding of the importance of internalcontrols and risk management in banks, and how the review of internalcontrols and risk management fits into the overall bank rating assessment. 

The seminar is also intended to give examiners guidance on assessing therisk management and internal control environment in key functions suchas credit administration and investments, including trading operations,deposits, and payments systems risk. 

Notable speakers and presenters include Sarkis Yoghourtdjian andRosanne Farley from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and YarenyValdes from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. 

Commenting on CIMA‘s role in this event, Head of the Banking Division,Mrs. Reina Ebanks said, 

―The Cayman I slands Monetary Authority is delighted to host the RiskManagement and Internal Controls Seminar. 

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Our staff are our greatest resource and our investment in their trainingand development goes a long way in facilitating a safe and soundfinancial services industry‖. 

Established in 1999, the Association of Supervisors of Banks of theAmericas (ASBA) is a non-profit, civil association formed to developprograms for cooperation between different bank supervisory andregulatory organisations. 

The main activities of ASBA are to promote and maintain closecommunications between bank supervisory and regulation institutions inthe Americas aimed at facilitating cooperation among them for efficientperformance of their functions. 

ASBA also provides a high-level forum for the discussion and exchange of ideas, technology, techniques, experiences and know-how on the matter of its Associate Member s‘competence. 

The Caribbean Group of Banking Supervisors (CGBS) was established in1983 under the aegis of the CARICOM Central Bank Governors, with thespecific mandate to enhance and coordinate the harmonization of banksupervisory practices in the English speaking Caribbean and bring themin line with internationally accepted practices. 

The CGBS was later expanded to include non-CARICOM territories andhas been formally accepted as a regional grouping under the BaselCommittee for Banking Supervision. 

The CGBS membership presently comprises banking supervisors fromsixteen regional jurisdictions, including CARICOM and non-CARICOMcountries. 

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Goldman Sachs Group 

Interesting numbers before the Basel II Ideadlines 

The Goldman Sachs Group, I nc. (NYSE: GS) reported net revenues of  $8.35 billion and net earnings of $1.51 billion for the third quarter endedSeptember 30, 2012. 

Diluted earnings per common share were $2.85 compared with a dilutedloss per common share of $0.84 for the third quarter of 2011 and dilutedearnings per common share of $1.78 for the second quarter of 2012. 

Annualized return on average common shareholders‘equity (ROE) was8.6% for the third quarter of 2012 and 8.8% for the first nine months of 2012. 

The fir m‘sglobal core excess liquidity was $170 billion as of September 30,2012. 

In addition, the firm‘sTier 1 capital ratio under Basel 1 was 15.0% and the

fir m‘sTier 1 common ratio under Basel 1 was 13.1% as of September 30,2012. 

Capital 

As of September 30, 2012, total capital was $241.57 billion, consisting of  $73.69 billion in total shareholders‘equity (common shareholders‘equityof $68.34 billion and preferred stock of $5.35 billion) and $167.88 billion in unsecured long-term borrowings. 

Book value per common share was $140.58 and tangible book value per common share was $129.69, both approximately 3% higher comparedwith the end of the second quarter of 2012. 

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Book value and tangible book value per common share are based oncommon shares outstanding, including restricted stock units granted toemployees with no future service requirements, of 486.1 million at periodend. 

On September 4, 2012, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (Group Inc.)issued 5,000 shares of Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, SeriesF (Series F Preferred Stock), for aggregate proceeds of $500 million. 

During the quarter, the firm repurchased 11.8 million shares of itscommon stock at an average cost per share of $106.17, for a total cost of  $1.25 billion. 

The remaining share authorization under the f irm‘sexisting repurchase

program is 34.2 million shares. 

Under the regulatory capital guidelines currently applicable to bankholding companies (Basel 1), the f irm‘sTier 1 capital ratio was 15.0% andthe fir m‘sTier 1 common ratio was 13.1% as of September 30, 2012, bothunchanged compared with June 30, 2012. 

Other Balance Sheet and Liquidity Metrics 

The fir m‘s global core excess liquidity was $170 billion as of September 30, 2012 and averaged $175 billion for the third quarter of 2012, comparedwith an average of $174 billion for the second quarter of 2012. 

Total assets were $949 billion as of September 30, 2012, unchangedcompared with June 30, 2012. 

Level 3 assets were $48 billion as of September 30, 2012, compared with $47 billion as of June 30, 2012 and represented 5.0% of total assets. 

Basel 3 

In addition, the U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies issued revisedproposals to modify their market risk regulatory capital requirements for  

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banking organizations in the United States that have significant tradingactivities. 

The modifications are designed to address the adjustments to the marketrisk framework that were announced by the Basel Committee in June 2010(Basel 2.5), as well as the prohibition on the use of credit ratings, asrequired by the Dodd-Frank Act. 

We expect the federal banking agencies to propose further modificationsto their capital adequacy regulations to address both Basel 3 and other aspects of the Dodd-Frank Act, including requirements for globalsystemically important banks. 

Once implemented, it is likely that these changes will result in increased

capital requirements, although their full impact will not be known untilthe U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies publish their final rules. 

The Dodd-Frank Act also establishes a Bureau of Consumer FinancialProtection having broad authority to regulate providers of credit, paymentand other consumer financial products and services, and this Bureau hasoversight over certain of our products and services. 

Management‘s Discussion and Analysis 

We are currently working to implement the requirements set out in theFederal Reserve Board‘s Risk-Based Capital Standards: Advanced CapitalAdequacy Framework— Basel 2, as applicable to us as a bank holdingcompany (Basel 2), which are based on the advanced approaches under the Revised Framework for the I nternational Convergence of CapitalMeasurement and Capital Standards issued by the Basel Committee. 

U.S. banking regulators have incorporated the Basel 2 framework into theexisting risk-based capital requirements by requiring that internationally

active banking organizations, such as us, adopt Basel 2, once approved todo so by regulators. 

As required by the Dodd-Frank Act, U.S. banking regulators haveadopted a rule that requires large banking organizations, upon adoption 

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of Basel 2, to continue to calculate risk-based capital ratios under bothBasel 1 and Basel 2. 

For each of the Tier 1 and Total capital ratios, the lower of the Basel 1 andBasel 2 ratios calculated will be used to determine whether the bankmeets its minimum risk-based capital requirements. 

The U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies have issued revised proposalsto modify their market risk regulatory capital requirements for bankingorganizations in the United States that have significant trading activities. 

These modifications are designed to address the adjustments to Basel 2.5,as well as the prohibition on the use of credit ratings, as required by theDodd-Frank Act. 

Once implemented, it is likely that these changes will result in increasedcapital requirements for market risk. 

Additionally, the guidelines issued by the Basel Committee in December 2010(Basel 3) revise the definition of Tier 1 capital, introduce Tier 1common equity as a regulatory metric, set new minimum capital ratios(including a new ―capital conservation buffer,‖which must be composedexclusively of Tier 1 common equity and will be in addition to theminimum capital ratios), introduce a Tier 1 leverage ratio within

international guidelines for the first time, and make substantial revisionsto the computation of RWAs for credit exposures. 

Implementation of the new requirements is expected to take place over the next several years. 

Although the U.S. federal banking agencies have now issued proposedrules that are intended to implement certain aspects of the Basel 2.5guidelines, they have not yet addressed all aspects of those guidelines or the Basel 3 changes. 

The Basel Committee has published its final provisions for assessing theglobal systemic importance of banking institutions and the range of  

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additional Tier 1 common equity that should be maintained by bankinginstitutions deemed to be globally systemically important. 

The additional capital for these institutions would initially range from1%to 2.5% of Tier 1 common equity and could be as much as 3.5% for abank that increases its systemic footprint (e.g., by increasing total assets). 

The firm was one of 29 institutions identified by the Financial StabilityBoard (established at the direction of the leaders of the Group of 20) asglobally systemically important under the Basel Committee‘s methodology. 

Therefore, depending upon the manner and timing of the U.S. bankingregulators‘ implementation of the Basel Committee‘smethodology, we

expect that the minimum Tier 1 common ratio requirement applicable tous will include this additional capital assessment. 

The final determination of whether an institution is classified as globallysystemically important and the calculation of the required additionalcapital amount is expected to be disclosed by the Basel Committee nolater than November 2014 based on data through the end of 2013. 

The Dodd-Frank Act will subject us at a firmwide level to the sameleverage and risk-based capital requirements that apply to depository

institutions and directs banking regulators to impose additional capitalrequirements as disclosed above. 

The Federal Reserve Board is expected to adopt thenew leverage andrisk-based capital regulations in 2012. 

As a consequence of these changes, Tier 1 capital treatment for our junior subordinated debt issued to trusts will be phased out over a three-year period beginning on January 1, 2013. 

The interaction among the Dodd-Frank Act, the Basel Committee‘s proposed changes and other proposed or announced changes from other governmental entities and regulators adds further uncertainty to our future capital requirements. 

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Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process 

We perform an ICAAP with the objective of ensuring that the firm isappropriately capitalized relative to the risks in our business. 

As part of our ICAAP, we perform an internal risk-based capitalassessment. 

This assessment incorporatesmarket risk, credit risk and operationalrisk. 

Market risk is calculated by using Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculationssupplemented by risk-based add-ons which include risks related to rareevents (tail risks). 

Credit risk utilizes assumptions about our counterparties‘probability of default, the size of our losses in the event of a default and the maturity of our counterparties‘contractual obligations to us. 

Operational risk is calculated based on scenarios incorporating multipletypes of operational failures. 

Backtesting is used to gauge the effectiveness of models at capturing andmeasuring relevant risks. 

We evaluate capital adequacy based on the result of our internal risk-based capital assessment, supplemented with the results of stresstestswhich measure the firm‘s performance under various market conditions. 

Our goal is to hold sufficient capital, under our internal risk-basedcapital framework, to ensure we remain adequately capitalized after experiencing a severe stress event. 

Our assessment of capital adequacy is viewed in tandem with our assessment of liquidity adequacy and integrated into the overall riskmanagement structure, governance and policy framework of the firm. 

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Bermuda‘s Insurance SolvencyFramework 

The Roadmap to RegulatoryEquivalence 

Planned 2012/2013 Developments 

•Full implementation of thegroups rulesfor Class 4 and Class 3B groups,including group solvency and financial reporting requirements, effective1st January 2013 

Continued phased implementation of Bermuda Solvency CapitalRequirement (BSCR - standard capital model) for the Long-Term sector, i.e. Class E insurers, and also refined BSCR for small commercialinsurers, i.e. Class 3A, for year-end 2011 filings 

•Extending the optional use of approved internal capital models toLong-Term insurers; preparation for group ICM reviews for theLong-Term sector  

• Revisedeligible capital ruleseffective 1st January 2013 

•Complete (Long-Term Prudential Standard Rules), effective 1st January2013 for Class C and Class D insurers 

•Review of Commercial Insurers Solvency Self-Assessment submissionsin 2012 for year-end 2011 filings from Class 4, 3B, 3A and Class E firms 

•Introduction of the Quarterly Financial Return for Class 4 and Class 3Binsurers, which will comprise unaudited financial statements, intra-grouptransactions and risk concentrations and will be filed in May, August andNovember 2012 

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Completed Framework Developments 

•Substantially completed the policy and legislative infrastructure for group supervision, which included issuing the Insurance (Group

Supervision) Rules 2011 as well as the Insurance (Prudential Standards)(Insurance Groups Solvency Requirement) Rules 2011. 

Also identified over 20 insurance groups for which the BMA will be theGroup-Wide Supervisor (GWS) 

•Completed pilots and pre-application procedures with selected insurersfor the internal capital models (ICM) evaluation process 

•Established the Commercial Insurer s‘Solvency Self-Assessment(CISSA) requirement, our Bermuda-specific ORSA (Own Risk andSolvency Assessment) 

•Advanced work to establish an Economic Balance Sheet policy andframework 

•Developed a refined Bermuda Solvency Capital Requirement standardcapital adequacy model as a core element of our enhanced supervisoryframework for the Long-Term (life) insurance sector  

•Implemented evaluations of an enhancedSchedule of RiskManagement and new Catastrophe Return submissionsby insurers aspart of solvency assessments 

•Extended our disclosure and transparency requirementsto Class 3A andClass E Long-Term insurers by requiring submission of GAAP financialstatements that the Authority will make publicly available. 

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Mervyn King: Monetary policy developments 

Speech by Mr Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England, to the South Wales Chamber  of Commerce, Cardiff  

* * *  

Of the many memorable moments in an eventful summer, recall thatbalmy night in late July whenattention was diverted from the economy bythe Opening Ceremony of the Olympic Games. 

The sound of Welsh children singing Cwm Rhondda on that beautifulbeach in Rhossili filled the Olympic stadium. 

Inside the stadium, we saw not manna descending from heaven, butthousands of athletes and volunteers rising to their challenge. 

If the Olympics aimed to inspire a generation, the challenge for economicpolicymakers is to give that same generation the opportunities to makethe best possible use of their talents in a vibrant economy. 

After a period of lopsided expansion, with growing trade deficits and debtlevels, and a collapse of their banking systems, advanced economiesacross the world are facing a huge adjustment. 

Such is the scale of the global adjustment required that the generation wehope to inspire may live under its shadow for a long time to come. 

During the course of this year, the challenge has grown as the economicsky has darkened. 

The storm clouds coming from the Euro area have not yet lifted, and inother parts of the sky new clouds have drifted over. 

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China, India and Brazil, the three largest emerging market economies,are all slowing. 

According to the latest IMF projections output will fall this year in nofewer than 10 European economies. 

And the IMF recently lowered its forecast for growth in the advancedeconomies next year. 

Ours may be a sceptred isle, with its own currency and control of monetary policy, but we cannot insulate ourselves from these events. 

So this precious stone set in the silver sea seems more like a storm-tossedvessel. 

Despite the probable rise in output in the third quarter, the big picture isthat GDP is barely higher than two years ago, and remains some 15%below where steady growth since 2007 would have taken us. 

Total exports have risen sharply in the wake of sterling‘sdepreciation, butmanufactured exports to Europe are falling. 

Recovery and rebalancing of our economy remain the main challenges for economic policy. 

Here in Wales, despite impressive improvements to the infrastructure – not least the remarkable regeneration of Cardiff Bay and the magnificentmonument to Welsh culture in this Millennium Centre – your economytoo is suffering with total production well below its peak in 2007. 

In combating the downturn, monetary policy has played its part. 

Bank Rate has been cut to its lowest level ever and the Bank has

purchased £375 billion of assets in order to inject money into theeconomy. 

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Although this unprecedented degree of monetary loosening has preventeda depression, it has caused pain to those dependent on interest income. 

And we have not been able to avoid a sharp rise in youth unemployment.  

In the long run, we will need to rebalance our economy away fromdomestic spending and towards exports, to reduce our trade deficit, torepay our debts, and to raise the rate of national saving and investment. 

So you are probably puzzled by the fact that we seem to be doing exactlythe opposite of that today. 

Almost four years ago now, I called this the―paradox of policy‖  – policymeasures that are desirable in the short term appear diametrically

opposite to those needed in the long term. 

Although we cannot avoid the long-term adjustment to our economy, wecan try to slow the pace of the adjustment in order to limit the immediatedamage to output and employment. 

Loose monetary policy today will eventually give way to a tighter stance of policy as the economy recovers. 

In confronting the paradox of policy, the Bank has had to show some of 

the same fleetness of foot and ability to feint as my Cambridgecontemporary, Gerald Davies. 

So let me try to explain this evening what monetary policy can do andwhat it can‘t. 

In doing this I am not going to pretend that I shall be entertaining. 

But these are serious times and you deserve a serious explanation of whatwe at the Bank can do and what we can‘t, or shouldn‘t. 

Let me start with what monetary policy can do. 

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When banks extend loans to their customers, they create money bycrediting their customers‘accounts. 

The usual role of a central bank is to limit this rate of money creation, sothat an excessive expansion of money spending does not lead to inflation. 

But a damaged banking system means that today banks aren‘t creatingenough money. 

We have to do it for them. And as private sector balance sheets contract,public sector (government and central bank) balance sheets have to takethe strain. 

The way in which the Bank of England expands the money supply is to

purchase government gilts from the non-bank private sector and creditthe bank accounts of people from whom the gilts are purchased. 

Please note that we are not giving money away. 

What is the effect of these purchases? They push up the price of gilts thuslowering yields. 

As the sellers of gilts use the proceeds to buy other assets, the price of those assets also tends to rise. 

Increases in asset prices boost wealth, and at the same time reduce thecost of borrowing for companies and households, which helps tostimulate spending and hence output. 

The size of these effects is of course uncertain. 

But there can be no doubt that our economy would have followed an evenmore painful path over the past few years in the absence of assetpurchases. 

Some question the scope for further purchases, or their likelyeffectiveness. 

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I do not have any concerns on the first point. 

The quantity of gilts in private hands is higher now than when we beganour asset purchases, and the government continues to issue new gilts at arapid rate. 

As far as the effectiveness of gilt purchases is concerned, it is of coursetrue that as gilt yields have declined the room for further falls is reduced. 

But it is not the sole objective of asset purchases to push down ongovernment bond yields. 

Raising the price and reducing the risk premium on a much wider class of assets is equally important. 

Although monetary policy can play a crucial role in supporting theeconomy in these difficult times, there are limits to its ability to stimulateprivate sector spending. 

Those limits are inherent in any form of monetary easing, not only assetpurchases. 

Two limits are important. 

First, monetary policy supports demand and output by encouraginghouseholds and businesses to switch demand from tomorrow to today. 

But when tomorrow becomes today, an even larger stimulus is required tobring forward more spending from the future. 

Since the paradox of policy has been evident for almost four years,tomorrow has become not just today but yesterday. 

When the factors leading to a downturn are long – lasting, only continualinjections of stimulus will suffice to sustain the level of real activity. 

Obviously, this cannot continue indefinitely. 

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Policy can only smooth, not prevent, the ultimate adjustment.

At some point the paradox of policy must be resolved. 

Second, the scale of the underlying adjustment is large, and monetarypolicy cannot put off for long the necessary change in the pattern of demand and output. 

A downward correction of expectations about future incomes and wealthhas rendered unprofitable some of the investments made before the crisis. 

A good example is the investment made in shopping centres which is noweither proving less valuable than anticipated, or making redundant someof the other pre-existing stock of retail space. 

Almost 1,000 high street chain stores closed in the first half of the year. 

Lower asset values have left debt levels looking too high.Households,businesses and, especially, banks are all deleveraging. 

Nowhere is the overhang of debt more obvious than in the banking sector where deleveraging is holding back the flow of new lending. 

During the crisis central banks have provided liquidity to banks on a truly

extraordinary scale, so much so that there were no takers for additionalliquidity in our latest auction. 

It is still useful to keep that auction facility as an insurance policy. Butbanks are now overflowing with liquid assets. 

Their problem remains insufficient capital. 

Just as in 2008, there is a deep reluctance to admit the extent of theundercapitalisation of the banking system in many parts of theindustrialised world. 

The verdict of the market is clear  –without central bank support banksstill find it expensive to borrow. 

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So the Bank of England, together with the Government, has set up theFunding for Lending Scheme (FLS) which provides banks with access tofinance for up to four years at below prevailing market rates for termfunding. 

Crucially, the more banks lend to UK households and businesses, themore they can borrow from the Scheme and the cheaper is that funding.That provides a powerful financial incentive for banks to supply morecredit. 

More than 20 banking groups, including the five largest lenders to the UKreal economy and covering nearly 80% of all such lending, have so far signed up. 

Since the Scheme was announced bank funding costs have fallen byaround 100 basis points (see Chart 1). 

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Not all of this is attributable to the FLS – the announcement by the ECBof Outright Monetary Transactions has also played an important role. 

But it is noteworthy that UK bank funding costs have fallen by more sinceJune than have European bank funding costs (see Chart 2). 

The effect of the FLS will be seen in the lending data only after somemonths because of the time it takes for banks to change their lendingstrategies and for data to be collected and published. 

The FLS can be only a temporary scheme. 

The window of opportunity which it providesmust be used to restore thecapital position of the UK banking system. 

I am not sure that advanced economies in general will find it easy to get

out of their current predicament without creditors acknowledging further likely losses, a significant writing down of asset values andrecapitalisation of their financial systems. 

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Only then will it be possible to return to a more normal provision of thevital banking services so crucial to an economic recovery. 

In the 1930s, faced with problems of sovereign and other debt similar tothose of today, the pretence that debts could be repaid was maintained for far too long. 

We must not repeat that mistake. 

Over the past three years, the Bank of England has bought £375 billion of government bonds – gilts – from the private sector to create a lot of newmoney. 

Many – perhaps some of you – are understandably concerned about the

use of such an unusual and unfamiliar policy. 

Some people talk about the dangers of money creation. 

I want to explain whyit is important to distinguish between―good‖ and―bad‖money creation. 

In essence, the argument is very simple. 

―Good‖ money creation is where an independent central bank creates

enough money in the economy to achieve price stability. 

―Bad‖ money creation is where the government chooses the amount of money that is created in order to finance its expenditure. 

Insufficient money creationcan lead to a contraction of the money supplyand a depression. 

We saw that in the United States during the Great Depression and we seeit today in Greece. 

Excessive money creation leads to accelerating inflation and ultimatelythe collapse of the currency. 

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The role of the Bank of England is to create the right amount of money,neither too much, nor too little, to support sustainable growth at thetarget rate of inflation. 

We are not doing it at the behest of the Government to help finance itsspending. I t is the independence of the Bank that allows us to createmoney without raising doubts about our motives. 

But just as it is crucial that governments do not control the printing of money, so too the unelected central bank must not determine the levels of taxes and public spending. 

Fiscal policy is a matter for elected governments. 

There has been some talk about the possibility that money created by theBank could be used directly to finance additional government spending,or even that money could be given away. 

Abstracting from the colourful metaphor of ―helicopter money‖, suchoperations would combine monetary and fiscal policies. 

There is no need to combine them because, as now, once the Bank hasdecided how much money should be created to meet the inflation target,the case for the Government to increase spending or cut taxes to counter a

downturn stands or falls on its own merits. 

What determines the interest rate at which the government can borrow,however, is the path for the amount of government debt held by theprivate sector, rather than the total amount of gilts in issue. 

That is true when the Bank purchases gilts and will be true later when theBank comes to sell the gilts. 

Not only is combining monetary and fiscal policies unnecessary, it is alsodangerous. 

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Either the government controls the process –which is ―bad‖ moneycreation – or the Bank controls it and enters the forbidden territory of fiscal policy. 

It is peculiar, to say the least, that some of the same people who believethat the Governor of the Bank is too powerful also believe that he shouldstand on the steps of Threadneedle Street distributing £50 notes – apolicy which you will appreciate is rather hard to reverse. 

For the same reason, the Bank could not countenance any suggestionthat we cancel our holdings of gilts. 

The Bank must have the ability to reverse its policy – to sell gilts andwithdraw money from the economy –when that becomes necessary. 

Otherwise, we run the risk of losing control over monetary conditions. 

Giving money either to the government or to households directly, or indeed cancelling our holding of gilts, means that the Bank of Englandhas no assets to sell when the time comes to tighten monetary policy. 

And when Bank Rate eventually starts to return to a more normal level, asone day it will, the Bank would then have no income, in the form of coupon payments on gilts, to cover the payments of interest on reserves at

the Bank of England that we had created. 

The Bank would become insolvent unless it created even more money tofinance those interest payments, and that would lead ultimately touncontrolled inflation. 

That is a road down which the Bank will not go, and does not need to go. 

I suspect that the advocates of ―helicopter money‖ and related ideas arereally talking about a relaxation of fiscal policy. 

It would be better to be open about that. 

Enough of what the Bank of England should not be doing. 

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So what should we be doing? 

Since the Monetary Policy Committee last published an assessment of theeconomic outlook, other central banks have been active. 

The European Central Bank announced its plans for Outright MonetaryTransactions, the Bank of Japan expanded the scale of its assetpurchases, and the Federal Reserve committed to continue with its assetpurchases until the outlook for the labour market improves substantially. 

Our current programme of asset purchases will be complete by nextmonth. 

What happens after that will depend upon the outlook, beginning with an

appraisal of where we are today. 

Judging the present state of the UK economy is far from easy. 

On the one hand, over the past two years total output, or GDP, has beenmuch weaker than expected. 

In fact, output has been broadly flat over that period. 

And the zig-zag pattern of quarterly growth rates of GDP that we have

seen this year is likely to continue, as we may see on Thursday whenfigures for the third quarter are released. 

On the other hand, there are other more encouraging signs. 

First, the labour market gives a very different picture to that conveyed bythe output data. 

In the private sector, more new jobs have been created than over any other two-year period since the mid-1990s. 

And in the past year, unemployment has been falling, and falling faster inWales than in the United Kingdom as a whole. 

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Second, inflation has now fallen back to 2.2%, close to our 2% target. 

Although recent increases in domestic energy and food prices are likely toleave it a little above target well into next year, the fall in inflation meansthat the squeeze on real take home pay, which accounted for much of theweakness in consumer spending over the past two years, has easedsomewhat. 

And retail sales figures are consistent with a pickup in consumer spending. 

The disparity between weak output growth and a buoyant labour marketis not easy to explain. 

It is not the product of a switch from full-time to part-time jobs becausetotal hours worked have risen at the same rate as employment. 

Productivity per head is 4% below its level of five years ago. 

No-one really understands why. Perhaps the output data are understatingthe true picture. 

Perhaps the black cloud of uncertainty moving towards us from the euroarea means that businesses are choosing to meet demand by expanding

employment, which can if necessary be adjusted downwards relativelyeasily, rather than investing in new capital equipment which cannot. 

Perhaps flexible wages have encouraged employers to hold on to labour. 

Or perhaps forbearance by banks has allowed inefficient firms that mightotherwise have had to contract to continue with more labour than can beemployed in the long run. 

One thing we can see clearly is that the recovery and rebalancing of theUK economy are proceeding at a slow and uncertain pace. 

At this stage, it is difficult to know whether some of the recent morepositive signs will persist. 

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The Monetary Policy Committee will think long and hard before itdecides whether or not to make further asset purchases. 

But should those signs fade, the MPC does stand ready to inject moremoney into the economy. 

Printing money is not, however, simply manna from heaven. 

There are no shortcuts to the necessary adjustment in our economy.

The problems in the world economy mean that we shall have to be 

patient. 

Over the past twenty years, during regular visits to Wales, I have seen

several waves of restructuring of the Welsh economy. 

And the rebalancing of the UK, towards manufacturing, offersopportunities for Wales. 

As for the MPC, you can be sure we shall be looking for as much guidanceas we can find, divine or otherwise. 

What better inspiration than the memory of those children on Rhossilibeach singing Cwm Rhondda. 

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Erkki Liikanen: On the structuralreforms of banking after the crisis 

Speech by Mr Erkki Liikanen,

Governor of the Bank of Finland andChairman of the Highlevel Expert Group on reforming thestructure of the EU banking sector, at the Centre for European Policy Studies,Brussels 

* * *  

Changes in banking in the run-up to the crisis

The new landscape 

In the years preceding the global financial crisis that started in 2007, thelandscape of banking had gone through major changes. 

Global financial institutions had grown ever bigger in size and scope andtheir organizational complexity had increased, adding to their opacity. 

They had become strongly interconnected via increasingly long chains of 

claims as well as correlated risk exposures, arising from increasinglysimilar investment strategies. 

Their leverage had strongly increased and the average maturity of their own funding had shortened. 

Driving forces 

Behind these trends were forces that intensified competition in banking;technological development and deregulation. 

Advances in information technology as well as in investment theory andpractice meant that commercial banks faced increasing competition bothon their liability side and asset side. 

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New savings alternatives to bank deposits, such as money market mutualfunds, proliferated and new opportunities for borrowing, in addition tobank loans, emerged. 

In fact, an entire shadow banking sector developed, comprising a chain of non-bank institutions which were able to provide similar financialintermediary services as traditional banks. 

In this environment, deregulation was partly a response to this andallowed banks to cope with the increasing pressure from non-bankcompetitors. 

In the US, the gradual unwinding and the ultimate repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act in the late 1990s made it possible to reunite investment

banking and commercial banking which had been separated since the crisis of the 1930s. 

In Europe, the universal banking model already had a longer history of combining commercial banking and investment banking under the sameroof. 

However, there was a trend before the crisis, among the biggest Europeanbanking institutions, to strengthen their focus on investment banking,including trading operations, and to increase wholesale funding to the

point of excess. 

Part of this trend was driven by the growing demand by non-financialfirms for risk management services. 

With more freedom to choose their business models, banks sought for economies of scale and scope and strived to take advantage of diversification benefits from multiple sources of income. 

Commercial banking moved increasingly away from customer relationship-based banking where loans are granted and then held untilmaturity to the―originate and distribute‖model where granted loans arepooled, then securitized and sold to investors. 

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This shift in the business model increased traditional banks‘connectionsto the shadow banking sector and they became part of the longintermediation chains characteristic of shadow banking. 

The increasing influence of investment banking oriented managementculture also spurred the focus on short-term profits in commercialbanking, reinforced by managerial compensation schemes that werebased on short-term performance. 

Investment banks in turn transformed themselves from partnerships topublic corporations. 

This helped them grow but also provided them with incentives to takerisks that partners would not have taken with their own money. 

Contributing macroeconomic factors 

The expansion of banks‘balance sheets in the run-up to the crisis wasfuelled by several macroeconomic factors. 

First, global imbalances especially between the leading emergingeconomies and the United States developed as globalization continued. 

Accumulating surpluses in the emerging economies increased their demand for (seemingly) safe assets. 

Partly as a response to this growing demand, the advanced westernfinancial markets offered financial innovations that increasingly utilizedsecuritization of previously illiquid assets such as (subprime) mortgages. 

In Europe, imbalances started to develop within the euro area, with manycountries experiencing overheating of their property markets. 

Another important macroeconomic factor was that, in the aftermath of theslower economic growth of the early 2000, the monetary policy stanceboth in the US and Europe was relatively light. 

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Finally, the wide-spread consensus of ―the great moderation‖ fosteredexpectations of declining macroeconomic risks. 

This was based on growing evidence that business cycle fluctuations weregetting smaller and inflation rates were getting lower and steadier. 

Lack of restraints from regulation, supervision and marketdiscipline 

Problems with capital requirements 

The Basel capital requirementson banksproved ineffective in restrainingthe strong growth in banks‘ leverage and balance sheet size. 

Most importantly, the Basel I and I I rules required very little commonequity. 

Much of the eligible capital hadpoor loss absorbing capacity, whichhelped trigger the crisis. 

Secondly, what was important for the global reach of the financial crisiswas that much of the asset and mortgage backed securities, originatingfrom the US, ended up on European banks‘balance sheets. 

This was partly spurred by differencesin American and European banks‘ capital requirements as the EU moved ahead to implement the Basel I Ireform in full while the US largely stayed in Basel I and maintained aseparate leverage ratio requirement. 

In effect, capital requirements on perceived low-risk assets, such asmortgage backed securities, were lower in Europe than in the US. 

The third set of regulatory problems concerned the Basel capital

requirements on banks‘ trading book positions. 

The Basel rules allowed banks to lower their capital requirements bysecuritizing loans from the banking book and taking corresponding risksonto their trading books. 

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For instance, banks provided short-term loan commitments, which hadvery low Basel capital requirements, to off-balance sheet special-purposeinvestment vehicles (SIVs) which in turn funded mortgage-backedsecurities. 

This is an important example of how and why banks were stronglyconnected with the shadow banking sector. 

It has been suggested that many of the loan securitizations weremotivatedby such regulatory arbitragerather than credit risk transfer which would aim at a better diversification of credit risks among banksand other financial institutions and insurance companies. 

The role of overly optimistic agency ratings used to market the

securitized assets, and used as a basis for capital requirements, shouldnot be dismissed either. 

Fourth, many risk-weights used in the Basel framework to determine theeffective capital requirements were simply too low, as was revealed by thecrisis. 

Lack of market discipline and the too-big-to-fail problem 

The increasing complexity of structures and products, and the financial

sector ‘s increasing interconnectedness, along with growing size, led toreduced transparency of bank balance sheets. 

This should logically have rung alarm bells among investors, especiallyamong banks‘uninsured debt holders, at some point. 

However, the opposite seems to have happened: the markets rewardedsize by charging lower debt margins from the biggest institutions. 

This suggests that there was a perception among market participants thatthe biggest financial institutions enjoyed an implicit public guarantee. 

These institutions could not be allowed to fail; in other words, they hadbecome too big to fail. 

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In a market environment where the price of a bank‘s own debt funding isinsensitive to the risks the bank takes and decreases with the bank‘s size,the bank has a strong incentive to further increase its leverage by takingon even more debt and continue to grow in size. 

Another way for banks to benefit from cheap funding is deposits whichare explicitly insured and whose interest rates are consequentlyinsensitive to banks‘risk taking. 

To sum up, neither banks‘debt holders nor depositors had proper incentives to react to banks‘ increasing opacity, leverage and risk-taking. 

Lack of a systemic aspect 

There was clearly the lack of a sufficient, systemic (macro-prudential)aspect to banking supervision and regulation prior to the crisis. 

The fundamental problem is that banks themselves do not have anincentive to fully internalize the social cost stemming from their owncontribution to system wide risks into their business decisions. 

In the absence of substitutive regulatory and supervisory measures,systemic risks built up in the form of ever larger, more complex and moreleveraged financial institutions. 

Three main weaknesses ought to be mentioned. 

First, the Basel minimum capital requirements were based onstand-alone risks of a bank. 

For instance, the Basel rules entail no direct measu re of an ass et ‘sexposure to systemic risk, such as home and real estate loans‘exposure tothe business cycle. 

Second, liquidity risks resulting from short-term money market fundingwere not part of the Basel minimum capital requirements. 

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This was a problem because excessive short-term money market fundingincreases interconnectedness and thereby systemic risk in the financialsystem. 

Moreover, if a rapid growth of lending, for example to a booming propertymarket, can only be financed from the short-term markets, it is often anindication of growing risks on a bank‘s asset side. 

Third, the existing supervisory structuresfocused on risks facinginstitutions rather than the financial system as a whole. 

Public reaction to the crisis and need to rebuild trust 

The huge cost of the financial crisis, both in terms of direct public

support to banks and lost economic output has sadly fallen to tax payers. 

This has caused an understandable and justified public outcry. 

Trust needs to be rebuilt between banks and the general public, and thecoordinative role of the regulatory reform is central in this process. 

But management teams and boards of banks also play a crucial role inrebuilding trust. 

In order to succeed in this, we must make sure that also in banking notonly gains but also losses, incurred from private risk-taking fall on therisk-takers. 

Our perspective has to be long enough, well beyond the current troubles.But it is also of vital importance to carefully plan the implementation of reforms in order to ensure the continuation of smooth provision of lending and other vital banking services in the current challengingenvironment. 

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Regulatory response to the crisisSummary of problems 

The problems in banking, revealed by the crisis, can be summarized as

follows. 

There has been excessive risk-taking, excessive leverage, excessivecomplexity and inadequate capital. 

An important form of risk-taking has been the growing maturitymismatch between assets and liabilities as funding from the market hasincreasingly shortened. 

Excessive real estate lending increased banks‘exposure to

macroeconomic and hence systematic risks. 

All these factors have increased the likelihood of bank failures. Secondly,

there have been extensive interconnectedness and very limited 

possibilities to resolve failed banks, including possibilities to shift the burden to banks‘creditors. 

Both these factors increase the impact of bank failures or, alternatively,

the cost to tax payers. 

Interconnectedness also increases the risk of bank failure because itincreases banks‘ opacity which can lead to the loss of investor s‘ trustthereby making banks more prone to runs. 

Thirdly, there have been competitive distortions via explicit and implicitsubsidies, which reduce both internal market efficiency and the levelplaying field. 

For instance, the availability of insured deposits to fund other, more risky,banking activities has skewed incentives and competition. 

Banks‘ incentives to sound long-run risk management have alsoweakened. 

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National measures to implement regulatory reforms and the lack (untilrecently) of sufficient EU wide frameworks in supervision and resolutionare a concern to the well functioning of the internal market in the area of banking. 

Common rules and institutions would also facilitate the much neededundoing of the bank-sovereign loop. 

What has already been done? 

In response to the crisis, international and EU wide regulatory reformshave been focused on two crucial areas, capital adequacy and liquidityrequirements (Basel I I I) and recovery and resolution (e.g. theCommission‘sproposal). 

If effective, the new and still evolving capital adequacy requirements of Basel I I I can go a long way to reducing incentives to take excessive risksand the use of excessive leverage. 

Most obviously, Basel I I I addresses the issue of inadequate capital.

Basel II I liquidity requirementscan also reduce banks‘ interconnectedness by restricting the use of short-term market funding. 

They will also be helpful in reducing excessive leverage and buildingliquidity buffers. 

Basel I I I also reduces complexity and interconnectedness by blockingopportunities for regulatory arbitrage which under Basel I I was possiblevia complex securitisation structures. 

Recovery and resolution regimes for systemically important financialinstitutions aim at creating a framework which did not exist at EU level

prior to the crisis. 

If successful, such plans can greatly reduce the social costs of bankfailures and reduce the need for the implicit public guarantees. 

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This means that recovery and resolution plans can reduce the distortiverisk-taking incentives created by public bail out expectations. 

Moreover, a number of initiatives have been launched with the aim of reducing contagion and complexity in the financial market. 

In order to improve transparency, accounting standards are in the processof being reviewed. 

Banks are urged to improve risk management and corporate governancepractices and new macro-prudential tools will be given to internationaland national authorities to better tackle asset price bubbles andprocyclicality in lending. 

Proposals of the High-level Expert Group 

The High-level Expert Group on reforming the structure of the EUbanking sector has presented a structural proposal to be implemented atthe EU level. 

In the process of reaching the final outcome, the Group considered twoavenues as a possible way forward. 

In the first avenue, additional, non-risk-weighted capital requirements ontrading activities and banks‘credible recovery and resolution plans,subject to supervisory approval, were the main instruments. 

Such measures would be in line with the ideas of academic researcherswho have suggested that a review of capital requirements is the best wayto tackle risks in trading and who have emphasized the need to developbank resolution and recovery mechanisms. 

However, if the bank were not able to prove that its required recovery and

resolution plan was credible, separation of certain banking activities couldbe imposed. 

In the second avenue, separation of retail and investment banking wouldbe imposed. 

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Separation would be consistent with research which emphasizes thatcapital requirements are not sufficient to limit excessive risk-takingincentives induced by deposit insurance if risks are difficult to measureand risk profiles can be changed rapidly. 

Sufficiently wide separation of investment banking activities would alsoavoid definitional problems which arise, for example, when the dividingline is pursued between proprietary trading and market making. 

Eventually, the Group converged to the following five proposals to beimplemented at the EU level. 

1. Proposal for mandatory separation 

The Group proposes a mandatory separation of certain trading relatedactivities according to the following three principles. 

First, if the share of proprietary trading, market making and certain other securities-related businesses in the balance sheet exceeds a giventhreshold, banking groups must organize these businesses to a separatelegal entity (―trading entity‖). 

Second, the trading entity must be separately capitalized and must not befunded by insured deposits. 

And third, the deposit-taking part of the banking group (―deposit bank‖)is not allowed under any circumstances to support the trading entityeither directly or indirectly by making transfers or commitments to theextent that its capital adequacy including capital buffer requirementswould be endangered or that the general limits on large exposures wouldbe violated. 

The threshold above which separation is required must be low enough so

that the volume of activities below the threshold can be consideredinsignificant from the viewpoint of financial stability. 

The other businesses that must be separated are loans, loancommitments, or unsecured credit exposures to hedge funds (including 

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prime brokerage), SIVs and other such entities of comparable nature.Private equity investments must also be separated. 

The client-driven trading positions against which the bank has hedgeditself do not have to be separated. 

Also, securities underwriting does not have to be separated but it isimportant that risks in long-term positions possibly arising fromunderwriting are carefully monitored by supervisors. 

All other banking businesses are allowed to the deposit bank unlessfirm-specific recovery and resolution plans require otherwise. 

Only the deposit bank is allowed to provide retail payment services.

The trading entity can engage in all banking activities which are not specifically mandated to the deposit bank. 

For instance, the trading entity is allowed to make loans and loancommitments to its customers. 

The rationale for separation as a regulatory measure can be summarizedin the following four points. 

First, separation is a way of prohibiting banks with insured deposits fromengaging in activities whose risks are potentially high and difficult tomeasure precisely, and which are not essential to deposit banking. 

Second, separation of activities is the most direct instrument for tacklingbanks‘complexity and interconnectedness. 

As banks become simpler in structure, recovery and resolution will beeasier. 

Third, simpler structures can make it easier for the management andboard to understand and manage and for outsiders to monitor andsupervise banking institutions. 

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This can enhance the effectiveness of market discipline and financialsupervision. 

Fourth, separating deposit banking and trading entities can also reducethe mixing of the two different management cultures. 

The separation of activities is complementary to, rather than a substitutefor, other areas of bank regulations. 

The disadvantage of separating banking activities may be that thebenefits of scale and scope and diversification of revenue streams arereduced. 

However, evidence on the economies of scale and scope in banking as

well as the benefits from diversification seems to be mixed. 

Most importantly, when separation is allowed to be carried out within thebanking group, thebanks‘ability to efficiently provide a wide range of financial services to their customers is maintained. 

2. Additional separation conditional on the recovery andresolution plan 

A credible recovery and resolution plan implies that the bank stakeholdersbear the costs of a possible bank failure and that there is no significantharm to the real economy, even in a crisis situation when many banks arein trouble at the same time. 

This would imply that no tax payer money is under threat of being used ina bail out. 

Therefore it is essential to strive for good recovery and resolution plans.

A solid plan will also enhance the bank‘s own risk management and potentially increase transparency of the bank to outsiders. 

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The European Commission‘s plan that banks need to draw up andmaintain effective and realistic recovery and resolution plans (RRP) is of utmost importance. 

Banks should be able to demonstrate the ability to isolate retail bankingactivities from trading activities and to wind down significant trading riskpositions in a crisis situation, in a manner that does not jeopardize thebank‘s financial health nor does significantly contribute to systemic risk. 

A credible recovery and resolution plan is a challenging goal to achieve,so the criteria on passing the credibility―test‖ must be set high. 

The European Banking Authority (EBA) plays a central role as a standardsetter in ensuring that the RRPs and their supervisory assessments are

applied uniformly across the Member States. 

The Group suggests that if a bank‘s recovery and resolution plan,assessed by the supervisor, is not acceptable, a more comprehensiveseparation of activities can be required than under the proposedmandatory separation. 

For example, a wider separation might have to cover all trading relatedassets. 

3. Facilitating the use of bail-in instruments 

The Group strongly promotes the proposal to use bail-in instruments tofurther increase the loss absorbing capability of banks. 

In order to limit interconnectedness within the banking system, it ispreferable that the bail-in instruments should not be held by investorswithin the banking sector. 

In order to create a liquid market for the bail-in instruments, it would beessential to carefully define their contractual properties in order to reduceuncertainty and ambiguity and hence facilitate their efficient marketpricing. 

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Therefore the Group is of the opinion that the bail-in instruments shouldbe applied only to particular debt instruments and to make sure thatinvestors know the eventual treatment of the respective instruments in acrisis situation. 

4. A review of capital requirements on trading assets and realestate related instruments 

The measurement of risks inherent in trading assets is prone to asignificant ―model risk‖; the risk that the model itself, used in the riskmeasurement is inaccurate. 

The severity of model risk stems largely from the presence of ―tail risks‖ in trading assets. 

These are risks which cause catastrophic losses but which materializewith a very low probability. 

Moreover, tail risks are intertwined with severe liquidity shortages whichmaterialize in systemic crises. 

Hence, almost by definition, tail risks are difficult to model and measure. 

Separation of the riskiest trading activities from deposit banking is a keyto limiting the impact of these risks. 

Other measures available are robust capital requirements which do notheavily rely on models, and limits on risk concentrations and counterpartyexposures. 

In this respect, the Group acknowledges the important work in reviewingthe trading book capital requirements conducted by the Basel Committeeon Banking Supervision. 

The Group recommends that the Commission should carry out anevaluation of whether the resultant amendments, in terms of robustcapital requirements and limits on risk concentrations and counterpartyexposures, would be sufficient at the EU level. 

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The Group recommends that the Commission should also evaluate thesufficiency of the current capital requirements on real estate relatedlending which has been the major source of losses in many financialcrises, including the most recent one. 

5. Need to reinforce corporate governance reforms 

Finally, the Group strongly promotes the strengthening of corporategovernance and control of banks. 

In particular the Group considers that it is necessary to augment existingcorporate governance reforms by specific measures to 

1) strengthen boards and management; 

2) promote the risk management function; 

3) rein in compensation for bank management and staff; 

4) improve risk disclosure and 

5) strengthen sanctioning powers. 

Comparison with other proposals 

An important objective of the mandatory separation, proposed by theGroup, is simplicity and unambiguity. 

These facilitate implementation at the EU level. 

Furthermore, banking activities which naturally belong together shouldbe conducted within the same legal entity. 

To promote these aims the proposed mandatory separation includes bothproprietary trading and market making as differentiating these from oneanother would be challenging and, if placed in different legal entitieswithin the same banking group, some natural synergies might be lost. 

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In this respect, the proposal makes deposit banks somewhat narrower than the definition under the Volcker Rule in the United States. 

However, an important difference is that the proposed mandatoryseparation in the EU can take place within a banking group whereas theVolcker Rule prohibits proprietary trading from the entire banking group. 

Further, all corporate loans are allowed in deposit banks becausedifferentiating among loans according to the customer size would beequally challenging at the EU level and important scale economies incorporate lending might be lost. 

This suggests that, as regards corporate lending, deposit banks would besomewhat broader than under the UK‘s Independent Commission on

Banking (ICB) proposal. 

ConclusionsRemaining concerns 

Many observers have noted that major systemic riskscan remain in thevarious parts of the banking system, even if these are separated from oneanother. 

This is a valid concern even though separation by definition reducesinterconnectedness as a key source of systemic risk. 

The possibility to further review capital requirements and limits on riskconcentrations and counterparty exposures in trading activities, asdiscussed in the other recommendations, are the means to further containing systemic risks. 

It is also important that the development of capital surcharges for systemically important institutionsas well as macro-prudential tools such

as caps on loan to value ratios (LTVs) is continued. 

An obvious danger lies in the possibility that structural measures,together with higher capital and liquidity requirements, may drive anincreasing part of banking to the shadow banking sector. 

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If this implies that market expectations of implicit public guarantees shiftto the less regulated shadow banking sector, then the fundamentalproblem has not been solved. 

This is a matter that needs further consideration and needs to beconstantly monitored. Proactive measures may need to be taken. 

The role of banks in financing the European economy 

Banks play an important role in the society. 

Banks have a pivotal role in providing finance to households and firms.

It is particularly so in Europe where the banks‘role in corporate finance 

has traditionally been large. 

The banks‘role in corporate finance is central especially for small andmedium sized enterprises (SMEs). 

The continuous and smooth supply of banking services to SMEs is alsoessential to large corporations because SMEs are often subcontractors tothem. 

It is of utmost importance that regulatory reforms as a whole support and

strengthen the banking sector ‘s ability to continue to provide thesesocially vital financial services efficiently and in a stable manner. 

The reputation of banks and the public trust that they rely on has beenseverely dented during the latest financial crisis. 

This has hurt not only banks themselves but also the economies andsocieties of Europe and the whole Western world. 

Trust and public acceptance must now be restored, and the proposalswhich the High-level Expert Group has submitted for the considerationof the EU Commission will contribute to this end. 

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Progress note on the Global LEIInitiative 

This is the third of a series of notes on the implementation of the legalentity identifier (LEI) initiative. 

Following endorsement of the FSB report and recommendations by theG-20, the FSB LEI Implementation Group (IG) has been tasked withtaking forward the planning and development work to launch the globalLEI system by March 2013. 

The IG is collaborating closely with private sector experts through a

Private Sector Preparatory Group (PSPG) of some 300 members from 25 jurisdictions across the globe. 

Charter for the Regulatory Oversight Committee (ROC): 

The IG has prepared a draft Charter for the Regulatory OversightCommittee for review and endorsement by the FSB and G20. 

The draft was supported by the FSB at its recent meeting in Tokyo for submission to the early November G20 Finance Ministers and CentralBank Governors meeting for final endorsement. 

Approval of the Charter will initiate the process for the ROC to be formed.

ROC membership will be open to public authorities from across the globe 

that assent to the Charter. 

Authorities will also be able to apply for Observer status. 

The objective is to launch the ROC as the permanent governance body for the global LEI system in January 2013. 

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Location and legal form of the global LEI foundation: 

Formation of the ROC is a necessary step for the creation of the globalLEI foundation which is the legal form for the Central Operating Unit. 

The location and exact legal form of the global LEI foundation will have abearing on the overall governance framework for the Global LEI System. 

The IG and PSPG have analysed potential locations for the foundationand have now initiated a detailed assessment of a narrow set of potentialcandidates. 

The results of the assessment will facilitate the drafting of the necessarylegal documentation to establish the foundation and will be presented at

the first meeting of the ROC. 

Board of Directors of the LEI foundation: 

One of the first tasks for the ROC will be the appointment of the initialBoard of Directors. 

PSPG members are working closely with the IG to develop criteria for fitness, experience, regional and sectoral balance, term of office etceterathat will support the process for nomination and selection of the firstBoard and deliver a governance framework for the global LEI foundationto help sustain the public good nature of the system. 

The PSPG presented a number of initial recommendations and optionsrelated to these criteria for the Board of Directors on 16 October; theproposals are currently being reviewed by the IG and the final version of the recommendations will be presented at the first meeting of the ROC. 

Operational Solutions Demonstration Day: 

The FSB hosted a Global LEI System Operational SolutionDemonstration Day in Basel on 15 October. 

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Thirteen presentations from across the globe were made that containedproposals and solutions covering all or part of the proposed global LEIsystem as set out in the FSB report. 

Business Processes and Use Cases: 

PSPG members presented an initial set of deliverables containingbusiness processes and use cases for the operational elements of theglobal LEI system at the joint PSPG and IG meeting on 16 October. 

PSPG members have already undertaken detailed work in some areas andwill expand on a strong base. 

The next phase of the operational work is to build on these specification

documents, focusing on how the system can best address a number of keyissues in relation to areas such as data quality, addressing local languages,as well as how to draw most effectively on local infrastructure to deliver atruly global federated LEI system. 

The PSPG are requested to prepare clear proposals and recommendationsby the end of the year, in order to support a successful and speedy launchof the global LEI system. 

Number allocation scheme for the global LEI system: 

On 12 September, the IG requested an ‗engineering study‘ from PSPGexperts to determine which scheme for the management of the issue of identifiers best serves the purposes of the global LEI system. 

Following receipt of response and discussion with private sector expertsat the 16 October PSPG meeting, the IG prepared a recommendation for the technical specification of the LEI code structure which has beenendorsed by the FSB Plenary. 

Annex sets out the FSB decision to adopt a ‗structured‘approach to thenumber allocation scheme, whereby LOUs are assigned a unique prefix. 

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The FSB decision is provided now to deliver clarity and certainty to theprivate sector on the approach to be taken by potential pre-LEI systemsthat will facilitate the integration of such local precursor solutions into theglobal LEI system. 

Ownership and hierarchy data: 

Addition of information on ownership and corporate hierarchies isessential to support effective risk aggregation, which is a key objective for the global LEI system. 

The IG is developing proposals for additional reference data on the directand ultimate parent(s) of legal entities and on relationship (includingownership) data more generally and will prepare initial recommendations

by the end of 2012. 

The IG is working closely with the PSPG to develop the proposals. 

Annex: Number Allocation Scheme for the Global LEI System -implications for local pre-LEI Issuers and other early movers 

In response to requests for early clarity and guidance on thedetermination of the number allocation scheme for the management of identifiers for the Global LEI System, the FSB Implementation Group

requested an ‗engineering study‘ from the FSB LEI Private Sector Preparatory Group (PSPG) experts to explore the advantages anddisadvantages of different schemes. 

The FSB is very grateful for all of the responses and for the contributionsof members of the PSPG. 

While there are a range of different schemes to manage the issue of identifiers that fit the characteristics of the 20 digit code (including twocheck digits) approach outlined in the ISO 17442 standard, for simplicitythose schemes can be categorised into two general groups: 

- An unstructured numbering system – one where an 18 character unique identifier fills the whole numbering spectrum; 

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- A structured numbering system –one where subsets of the spectrumof possible codes are partitioned for efficient allocation according to astructural guideline; for instance, an N digit prefix could be assignedto each Local Operating Unit (LOU) for its exclusive use. 

On the basis of the arguments presented, the FSB has concluded that astructured number offers the best approach for the Global LEI System. 

The following method is to be used: 

- Characters 1-4:A four character prefix allocated uniquely to eachLOU. 

- Characters 5-6: Two reserved characters set to zero. 

- Characters 7-18: Entity-specific part of the code generated andassigned by LOUs according to transparent, sound and robustallocation policies. 

- Characters 19-20: Two check digits as described in the I SO 17442standard. 

Public authorities wishing to sponsor local pre-LEI issuance that would

transition to the LEI system should ensure that new numbers areallocated according to the above guideline. 

Pre-LEI solutions wishing to transition into the Global LEI System uponits launch shall be required to adopt the numbering scheme outlinedabove no later than 30 November 2012. 

This approach does not affect ISO 17442 compliant numbers issued prior to that date. 

Once the global LEI system is in place, pre-LEI codes issued accordingto the ISO 17442 standard (and if issued after November 30, complyingwith the above guideline and thus embodying an appropriate 4 digitprefix) will be transitioned into LEIs, subject to meeting the agreed 

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global LEI standards, including survival rules adopted by the ROC or theCOU in the exceptional cases where entities have multiple ISO 17442compliant pre-LEI identifiers. 

The LEI will be portable within the global LEI system, implying that theLEI code may be transferred from one LOU to another. 

Each LOU should immediately transfer an LEI to a different LOUfollowing the request of the LEI registrant or an LOU acting on its behalf without any financial or operational hindrance. 

Each LOU must consequently have the capability to take over responsibility for LEIs issued by other LOUs. 

Given the importance to the system of ensuring high data quality,recommendation 18 of the FSB LEI report highlighted that the LEIsystem should promote the provision of accurate LEI reference data atthe local level from LEI registrants, and that self-registration should beencouraged as a best practice for the global LEI system. 

To provide force to this recommendation, the FSB has agreed thatpre-LEI services should henceforth be based on self-registration. 

From November 9, all pre-LEI systems will allow self-registration only.

Authorities sponsoring pre-LEI issuers are expected to sign the ROC 

Charter once it is approved by the G20. 

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D. The Dodd Frank Act and the new Risk Management Standards (976slides, included in the 3285 slides) The US Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform

and Consumer Protection Act is themost significant piece of legislationconcerning the financial servicesindustry in about 80 years. 

 What does it mean for risk andcompliance management professionals?It means new challenges, new jobs, new careers, and new opportunities. The bill establishes new risk 

management and corporate governanceprinciples, sets up an early warning system to protect the economy from future threats, and brings more transparency and accountability. It also amends important sections of the Sarbanes Oxley Act. Forexample, it significantly expands whistleblower protections under theSarbanes Oxley Act and creates additional anti-retaliationrequirements. 

 You will find more information at:  www.risk-compliance-association.com/Distance_Learning_and_Cert ification.htm