risk in personal finance

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RISK!

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Page 1: Risk in Personal Finance

RISK!

Page 2: Risk in Personal Finance

Risk of being part of AIFW!

Page 3: Risk in Personal Finance

Before objective analysisRisk of not digging deep

After objective analysis!Risk of digging deep!

Page 4: Risk in Personal Finance
Page 5: Risk in Personal Finance

Paralysis

Before After

Page 6: Risk in Personal Finance

Priorities

Power of compounding does not matter for ~ 5Y or less

Page 7: Risk in Personal Finance

Popularity

Page 8: Risk in Personal Finance

“It Seemed Like a Good Idea at the Time”

Page 9: Risk in Personal Finance

A minimalist portfolio

Page 10: Risk in Personal Finance

Asan Ideas for Worthless information!

“Ashal Sir, Please name the two mutual funds you hold”

When Ashal says MDBSC* ….

Page 11: Risk in Personal Finance

A Mutual Fund SIP is Hope, Not a Strategy!

Currently there are ten funds that are 20-years old

In 2036, there would 500+ 20-year old funds!

Mutual Funds are not LIC polices!

Page 12: Risk in Personal Finance

A Mutual Fund SIP is Hope, Not a Strategy!

Page 13: Risk in Personal Finance

A Mutual Fund SIP is Hope, Not a Strategy!

Page 14: Risk in Personal Finance

Systematic investing + Systematic Risk Management

• Clear Asset allocation • Watch for deviations regularly (yearly first and

more often later)• Rebalance (once a Y, once every few Y and

more often later)• Quit while ahead

All this is possible with MDBSC!

Page 15: Risk in Personal Finance

Star Ratings

Page 16: Risk in Personal Finance

How to review a mutual fund SIP?

Do we have a review strategy in place?

Page 17: Risk in Personal Finance

How to review a mutual fund SIP?

Page 18: Risk in Personal Finance

How to review a mutual fund SIP?

Page 19: Risk in Personal Finance
Page 20: Risk in Personal Finance

Buying on dips!

Page 21: Risk in Personal Finance

Buying on dips = SIP!

How many of us are going to compare!

Page 22: Risk in Personal Finance

Buying physical gold <> Investing in gold

Aim: accumulate gold for daughter’s marriage.Aim: Hedge against inflationAim: Reduce volatility in my portfolio?

Buy physical gold or use gold funds, etfs . Bonds?

Page 23: Risk in Personal Finance

Gold always moves up!

Page 24: Risk in Personal Finance

Gold always moves up!

Page 25: Risk in Personal Finance

Gold always moves up!

Page 26: Risk in Personal Finance

Gold always moves up!

Riskometer

Page 27: Risk in Personal Finance
Page 28: Risk in Personal Finance
Page 29: Risk in Personal Finance

NAV always moves up!

Page 30: Risk in Personal Finance

Recency Bias - 1

Page 31: Risk in Personal Finance

Risk Ignorance

FD rates have gone down, so can I invest in debt funds?

Can I use balanced funds for SWP in retirement?

Can I invest in sector funds for next 3 years?

Page 32: Risk in Personal Finance

Liquidity Ignorance

NPS only for tax deduction

Use tax-free bonds to get tax-free returns

Real Estate

Page 33: Risk in Personal Finance

You cannot choose the “right” mutual fund or stock!

Invest in “good stocks” and forget about it!

Please suggest a mutual fund to start SIP for next 15 years.

Page 34: Risk in Personal Finance

Stock investing vs Mutual Fund investing

Timing the Market

Page 35: Risk in Personal Finance

Possibility vs probability

Hot-hand fallacy