rising tochallenges - fundamental analysis...world demand for rubber gloves grow at an average of 8%...
TRANSCRIPT
Growing Global
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Rising toChallenges
Growing Global
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About us
Growing Global
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Game changing products
Innovative
Growing Global
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First in the world light weight nitrile glove changed the global market for glove
Invented the world’s first light weight nitrile glove in year 2005
Triggered a global switch from natural rubber to nitrile glove
Became the world’s largest nitrile glove manufacturer in year 2010, a position maintained until today
Caused an industry wide re-engineering towards nitrile glove production
Disruptive innovation
Growing Global
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Most profitable glove manufacturer
Most advanced production lines at 45,000 pieces per hour with high degree of automation
Productivity measured as sales per employee is the highest in the sector
Most profitable and highest productivity
9%12%
15%12%
15% 14%10%
33%28% 29% 28%
24%21% 23%
0%
20%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2017
PBT margin
Sector's average Hartalega
199 214 225 207 231 247283
321279 291 273
319
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sales per employee (RM’000)
Sector's average Hartalega
Efficient
Growing Global
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1,822 1,498
1,145 1,107
1,032 931
735 572
443 282
240 160
110
FY17FY16FY15FY14FY13FY12FY11FY10FY09FY08FY07FY06FY05 Revenue (RM mil)
CAGR for revenue for the last 12 years (from FY2005 to FY2017) of 26% - continuous growth
The only listed glove company to have consistent 12 years y-o-y growth
Experienced the highest revenue growth in the last 2 years contributed by NGC
Capacity more than doubled in the same period
12 years 26% CAGR made possible with sound management
High growth
Growing Global
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Most valuable glove company with market capitalisation of RM11.3 billion as of 21st Jul 2017
Share price appreciated by 23 times from RM0.30 (IPO of RM1.80 adjusted for bonus issues) to current price of RM7.00
Hartalega commands a premium for its healthy financials, sales growth, innovation and productivity
463 606
1,987 1,9812,902
3,623
5,116
6,9347,959 8,139
11,260
Market capitalisation (RM mil)
Most valuable glove manufacturerMarket capitalization exceeding RM11 billion
Growing Global
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Consistent growth in global consumption
Market outlook
64 6884 92 94 102110
122124140150148
160171180193
210232
251
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
f20
18f
Global consumption of rubber gloves (bil pcs)World demand for rubber gloves grow at an average of 8% to 10% per annum
Malaysia is the largest supplier of rubber gloves to the world – 63% market share
Demand for glove is inelastic, a basic necessity in healthcare and other sectors that require hand protection
Global consumption growth will continue stemming from increase from developing nations where existing per capita consumption is significantly lower than developed countries
Growing Global
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335
273
216 208 208 193 190165 153 150 147 141 135 132 124
90 89 87 76 70 68 55 5231 21 19 6 4 3 1
Gloves per capita consumption (pieces)
Market statistics show big disparity in per capita consumption between developed and developing nations
Countries with low per capita consumption of gloves that have huge population and high GDP growth indicate big opportunities for demand growth for gloves
Market outlookAttractive opportunities in high growth and highly populated developing countries
Growing Global
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Market outlookIndustry’s capacity expansion
1Hartalega Top Glove Kossan Supermax Total
Current capacity (mil pcs) 27,000 48,000 22,000 21,000
Expansion plans announced
2NGC 3 – 4.7 bil pcs (May-17)NGC 4 – 4.7 bil pcs (Apr-18)NGC 5 – 4.7 bil pcs (Apr-19)
F30 – 2.8 bil pcs (Jul-17)F31 – 3.0 bil pcs (Jan-18)F32 – 4.8 bil pcs (Dec-18)
Meru 1 – 3.0 bil pcs (Jul-17)Meru 2 – 4.5 bil pcs (2018)Meru 3 – 3.0 bil pcs (2018)
P10 – 2.2 bil pcs (Dec-17)P11 – 3.4 bil pcs (Dec-19)
3Estimated actual capacity realized in year 2017 (mil pcs)
6,071 2,422 1,935 704 11,132
3Estimated actual capacity realized in year 2018
4,819 4,654 4,383 2,693 16,549
10,890 7,076 6,318 3,297 27,581
1. Management is committed to maintaining a healthy supply and demand balance by taking cognitive measures to regulate our rate of expansion
2. NGC plant 3’s first production line started operation in October 2016, thereafter lines were progressively commissioned
3. Estimates are based on gestation period that takes progressive commissioning of production lines into consideration using Hartalega’s historicalexpansion project delivery schedule as basis of estimation
Growing Global
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Market outlook
Malaysia Big Four Global demand
Supply and demand remains healthy
Global consumption projected to grow more than industry’s capacity expansion
Malaysia competitiveness relative to China in glove production has improved due to China’s government clamp down on environmental compliance
Rubber glove expected to take market share from PVC glove
PVC glove market size is about equal to rubber glove
Growing Global
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NR42%
NBR, 58%
NR,49%NBR,
51%
NR,43%NBR,
57%
NR,40%
NBR, 60%
Year 2014 Year 2015 Year 2016 1Q2017
Malaysia’s Export of Rubber Gloves (source MREPC)
Market outlookNitrile glove export in Malaysia continues to grow
Growing Global
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16 1517
15
19
14
Rubber Vinyl
USA import of rubber and vinyl gloves (bil pcs)
1Q15
1Q16
1Q17
52%
31%
11%
4%
51%
33%
11%
3%
48%
36%
11%
4%
China Malaysia Thailand Indonesia
Share of USA import of gloves (rubber and vinyl)
1Q15
1Q16
1Q17
+14% YoY
-3% YoY
Decline in import of gloves from China into USA
Factories in China were ordered to shut and/or carry out retrofits to meet environmental standardsMajority of gloves production in China are vinyl gloves
Ongoing Chinese Government’s policy and enforcement creates better opportunity for Malaysia gloves export growth
(source: MREPC) (source: MREPC)
Market outlookDecline in importation of gloves from China
Growing Global
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69%
17%
10%
3%
71%
14%10%
3%
74%
13%9%
3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Malaysia Thailand China Indonesia
Share of USA import of gloves (nitrile and vinyl)
2015
2016
*2017
(source: MREPC)*Year 2017 figures are for the period of January to March only
USA is the biggest market for rubber glove demand taking up almost 35% of global market share
Malaysia is capturing market share at others’ expense due to its glove quality, competitive pricing and supply stability
Market outlookMalaysia’s market share increases
Growing Global
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Nitrile & latex price are closely correlated as both are close substitute products for automotive industry
Nitrile raw material price is not closely correlated to crude oil price trendPrices fell sharply mid-2015 due to oversupply concerns but rose mid-2016 due to tight available supply & improved demand from vehicle sales before declining in Mar 2017Expect latex and nitrile raw material to remain at about the current level for the rest of 2017
020406080100120
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
Jan-
14
Feb-
14
Mar
-14
Apr
-14
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug
-14
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
Nov
-14
Dec
-14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr
-15
May
-15
Jun-
15
Jul-1
5
Aug
-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
Nov
-15
Dec
-15
Jan-
16
Feb-
16
Mar
-16
Apr
-16
May
-16
Jun-
16
Jul-1
6
Aug
-16
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
Nov
-16
Dec
-16
Jan-
17
Feb-
17
Mar
-17
Apr
-17
May
-17
Jun-
17
US
D/b
arre
l
Latex and nitrile raw material price trend
Latex (LHS) NBR (LHS) Crude Oil (RHS)
Market outlookStable raw material for the remaining year 2017
Growing Global
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2005-2010• Disrupted the
glove industry with innovative light weight nitrile glove
2010• Anticipated
competitors to come into nitrile glove segment
2012• Unveiled NGC
as key to our master plan to tackle competition
2013• Acquired 112
acres land for NGC
2014• NGC started
its first production line
2017• How we fare?
Our strategyA master plan drawn up to tackle competition
Growing Global
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Our strategy
RM1.3blnInvested at NGC to date
19%Revenue CAGRsince NGC was
announced2013 2017
2.6Workers per million pcs (per month) at NGC plants 1&2
92%
NGC’s overall equipment
effectiveness much higher than global gold standard of
85%
92% OEE
203%Increase in number
of customers2013 2017
100
203
What we have achieved to date
No1Still the largest nitrile glove manufacturer in
the world
Profit margin remains above
industry average
36Number of
production lines at NGCrunning above
45,000 pcs/hr
Growing Global
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26 2629
27
2321
2321
26
1820 21 21
17 1714
1614
1QCY15 2QCY15 3QCY15 4QCY15 1QCY16 2QCY16 3QCY16 4QCY16 1QCY17
EBITDA margin (%)
HartalegaIndustry average
Our strategyMeasures in place to maintain above industry average margins
Improved 1QCY17 EBITDA margin on the back of greater competition and upsurge in raw material costEfforts to maintain margins at levels higher than industry’s average will continueImplementation of cost management, productivity improvement and waste reduction programsHeadcount reduction via lean manufacturing and further automationEngineering improvement programsNew capacity from higher productivity production lines at NGC will improve profitability
Growing Global
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Intensified competition
Our strategy5 years 15% p.a. growth via capacity expansion
11,787 12,502
19,387 21,348
28,687 34,160
38,496 41,064 41,142
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Capacity projection
Growth via addition of new capacity through construction of new production linesTo date, 3 out of 6 plants at NGC are in full operationsFirst production line at NGC plant 4 will commence operation in August 2017Construction of NGC plant 5 will commence in August 2017Construction of NGC plant 6 will commence a year after (August 2018)Average growth of 15% p.a. for the next 5 years