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THE BUSINESS SCHOOL UNIVERSITY OF JAMMU REPORT ON - “TRENDS IN LUXURY RETAIL” SUBMITTED BY: RADHIKA GUPTA ROLL NO – 32- MBA-14

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Page 1: Retail

THE BUSINESS SCHOOL

UNIVERSITY OF JAMMU

REPORT ON - “TRENDS IN LUXURY RETAIL”

SUBMITTED BY:

RADHIKA GUPTA

ROLL NO – 32- MBA-14

SEMESTER- 4

5 key trends in luxury retail for 2015

Page 2: Retail

Over the next three to five years, the luxury retail scene will be driven by a number of key

trends aimed at satisfying consumer needs, fuelling spending and luring new clients.

Staying ahead of the game implies plotting a series of points, from customising online

purchases to exploring new markets, from tapping into the booming men’s wear industry to

riding the changing media system.

LuxHub’s inaugural report on global retail trends in luxury. Here are eight key takeouts from

the report:

1. Retail will move in three different directions to service the needs of luxury consumers. The

digital channel will drive research and stocking up on favourite products, while brick-and-

mortar stores will reach out to their clients through customised offerings such as express

counters, “top 10 product” style kiosks and assisted shopping services. Lastly, entertainment

is key as experience, lifestyle and theatre drive the physical retail experience, while content

will create pleasure in digital retail.

2. Given the ongoing softness in Europe and slowdowns in Russia and China, looking into

new geographical areas such as Africa is rapidly becoming an alternative. While fashion

brands including Zegna, MAC and Hugo Boss have recently opened stores in Lagos, Nigeria,

the new luxury hotspot, online retailers are now shipping to Africa, and are starting to focus

marketing efforts on this region.

3. Especially in Europe, luxury brands are increasingly relying on international travel and

tourism to fuel sales, primarily from China, Russia, the Middle East, USA and now Africa.

Tourists purportedly account for 55% of luxury sales in the UK, 60% France and 50% in

Italy.

4. While in the past luxury brands attempted to offer multiple price-points, brand confusion

and erosion of luxury credentials was often the outcome. Now, luxury is being pulled in two

opposite directions, and brands will need to choose sides: accessible or Ultra-Luxe.

5. Media wise, magazines, newspapers and TV will become the new digital storefront

reinventing themselves to allow customers to buy their favourite items, looks or beauty

products straight off the editorial pages.

Page 3: Retail

6. The men’s wear market is extremely bullish, growing at 1.5 times vs. womenswear. While

35-plus male consumers still dominate, the millennial generation drives retail spending

through its modern aesthetic and digital knowledge. To which, many women’s wear brands

are either launching or revamping their men’s wear offering.

7. The openness of digital platforms dictates that to make luxury customers feel special,

brands need to get personal. The rapid rise of Instagram, live streaming, and behind the

scenes footage will leave consumers feeling like they’ve already experienced everything.

Brands are now challenged with creating truly personal, fresh, and meaningful experiences.

8. Luxury brands will increasingly become media channels, creating content that is far richer

than today’s aspirational blogs, videos and magazines. Retailers will offer multiple channels

with high-quality and entertaining shoppable content updated on an hourly basis.

Isabelle Harvie-Watt, Global CEO LuxHub said: “The implications for a marketing

standpoint, among other things, are that luxury brands need to promote one-on-one

communication and experiential events to encourage store visits, focus on mobile technology

and devices for tourists shopping abroad and keep an eye on the influential millennial

generation.

“Moreover, they are challenged by the digital world’s openness so they should focus on

personalised access and content to convey a sense of exclusiveness. Lastly, despite the

growth in men’s wear spending, it is important to know that men still prefer to be targeted in

non-fashion contexts – news, lifestyle and professional environments.”

Tammy Smulders, Global Executive Director and Head of Research & Insights LuxHub

added: “These trends show us the incredible diversity of new opportunities for luxury brands

to extend their relevance to new customers as well as enhancing their relationships with loyal

brand fans.

“From reaching emerging customer groups to creating market to customised content

strategies, our media implications will enable brands to develop new strategic and tactical

initiatives to drive sales.”

Page 4: Retail

Empowered by the supercomputer in their pocket, consumers are in control. With nearly

every 18- to 54-year-old in the UK now using a smartphone, it comes as no surprise that the

value of the mobile commerce market is expected to nearly triple to £17.2 billion in the next

three years. In 2015, consumer expectations will reach new heights when it comes to

shopping across channels and devices. To help retailers meet these demands, we’ve

highlighted seven trends that will define 2015. This article also appeared in Retail Week.

Three accelerating trends

1. Seamless touchpoints

The UK is already a country of multiscreeners with the average Briton using an average of

3.1 connected devices.2 Many consumers now typically consult several of these before

completing a single purchase - for example a shopper might research offers on her phone on-

the-go and complete the transaction on her laptop when she gets home. So retailers that allow

consumers to move seamlessly between devices will come out on top this year. Even more, as

consumer behaviour and mobile technology evolve faster and faster, retailers need to monitor

these changes and remember that a mobile first strategy is becoming a prerequisite for their

digital presence.

2. Retail is now borderless

Many UK businesses have found success overseas thanks to the international love for British

brands. For example, luxury retailer MATCHESFASHION.COM   expanded  from a handful

of London stores to 190 international markets by following a digital-first strategy. We can

expect to see more retailers take a test-and-learn approach in new markets, looking to capture

the 2.5 billion users who are set to come online in the next five years. But as borders

disappear, foreign companies, like Alibaba, will also start pushing into the UK. So,

understanding the new competitive set both at home and abroad will become more crucial in

2015.

3. Delivery and the new WWW

WWW now stands for "What I want, when I want, where I want it." To succeed, companies

must have a complete view of stock at all times and offer services like click and collect,

specified delivery times and delivery lockers.

House of Fraser provides an example of tailoring fulfilment to the current climate; the retailer

recognised that nominating a home delivery time isn't helpful for a consumer who is at work

Page 5: Retail

all day, so now shoppers can opt for delivery before 9am on orders placed until 8pm the night

before.3

Four emerging trends

4. Personalisation

Retailers must learn to harness signals from consumers and make this information relevant,

useful and "human". When consumers share their location, preferences and device info, a

brand can deliver personalised experiences – on smartphones, tablets, desktops or wearables

– to benefit both the user and the business.

In 2014, Localz won the John Lewis JLab competition with a plan to leverage iBeacons in

stores to deliver ultra-personalised experiences, like notifying the user where to pick up an

order. While this kind of consumer-centric approach will proliferate, it's important to bear in

mind that mobiles are uniquely personal, so retailers must use them to deliver messages in a

tailored, non-intrusive and incredibly relevant way.

5. The new extras – service and experience

Intelligent retailers are seeing the value in extending their services far beyond the basics. For

a fashion retailer this could mean one-to-one advice delivered digitally. Tech retailers might

follow the examples of Zappos, which now offers style advice via Instagram, or Darty, the

electronics firm that connects customers to its helpdesk within 60 seconds and provides help

even on items bought from other retailers. Businesses can take advantage of the chance to

become the go-to solution for customers' needs, by going above and beyond what's offered by

the competition.

6. The store revolution

Retail spaces are being transformed from places of transactions to experiential theatres to

showcase products and engage consumers. Take Burberry – in the last year the brand has

transformed its Regent's Street flagship into an extension of the runway and a concert venue.

As retailers redefine the function of bricks and mortar, digital technology will facilitate

everything from checking stock to locating products to completing online purchases using

mobiles and wearables while in store.

Page 6: Retail

7. Social commerce

In 2014, we saw vloggers like Zoella reach celebrity status. While social sites are still

pushing to make social commerce work, retailers are taking note. ASDA for example is

leveraging the influence of vloggers to engage young parents through the brand's Mum's Eye

View YouTube channel. After all, 59% of people use YouTube as source of product

information, and products featured and endorsed by the stars of social media often become

best sellers. With the popularity of online video and social commerce set to surge in 2015,

companies will seek to find ways to make sure marketing investments in these platforms pay

off.

10 key trends in luxury retail

The luxury retail sector, in the course of the next three to five years, will be driven by 10 key

trends geared to satisfying consumer needs, fueling spending and luring new clients.

The trends will affect existing customer relationships and the targeting of loyal brand

enthusiasts, affecting content strategy and tactics, media planning and buying and sales

efforts aimed at emerging customer groups.

Here are the trends identified by us:

1. Trivergence of retail

Retail will move in three different directions to service the needs of luxury consumers.

The digital channel will drive research and stocking up on favorite products, while bricks-

and-mortar stores will reach out to their clients through customized offerings such as express

counters, “top 10 product” style kiosks and assisted shopping services.

Lastly, entertainment is key as experience, lifestyle and theatre drive the physical retail

experience, while content will create pleasure in digital retail.

2. Hunt for new customers

Given the ongoing softness in Europe and slowdowns in Russia and China, looking into new

geographical areas such as Africa is rapidly becoming an alternative.

Page 7: Retail

While fashion brands including Zegna, MAC and Hugo Boss have recently opened stores in

Lagos, Nigeria, the new luxury hotspot, online retailers are now shipping to Africa, and are

starting to focus marketing efforts on this region.

3. Power of travel

Especially in Europe, luxury brands are increasingly relying on international travel and

tourism to fuel sales, primarily from China, Russia, the Middle East, United States and, now,

Africa.

Tourists purportedly account for 55 percent of luxury sales in the United Kingdom, 60

percent in France and 50 percent in Italy.

4. Polarization of luxury

While in the past, luxury brands attempted to offer multiple price-points, brand confusion and

erosion of luxury credentials was often the outcome.

Now, luxury is being pulled in two opposite directions, and brands will need to choose sides:

accessible or ultra-luxe.

5. Editorial’s retail reinvention

Media wise, magazines, newspapers and television will become the new digital storefront,

reinventing themselves to allow customers to buy their favorite items, looks or beauty

products straight off the editorial pages.

6. Menaissance

The menswear market is extremely bullish, growing at 1.5 times versus womenswear.

While 35-plus male consumers still dominate, the millennial generation drives retail spending

through its modern aesthetic and digital knowledge. To which, many women’s wear brands

are either launching or revamping their menswear offering.

7. Personalized storytelling

The openness of digital platforms dictates that brands need to get personal to make luxury

customers feel special.

Page 8: Retail

The rapid rise of Instagram, live streaming and behind-the-scenes footage will leave

consumers feeling like they have already experienced everything.

Brands are now challenged with creating truly personal, fresh, and meaningful experiences.

8. Branded media

Luxury brands will increasingly become media channels, creating content that is far richer

than today’s aspirational blogs, videos and magazines.

Retailers will offer multiple channels with high-quality and entertaining shoppable content

updated on an hourly basis.

9. Millennial refresh

While consumers ages 35-plus still command some 83 percent of luxury spend, the fresh

aesthetic, playful approach and digital propensities of the millennial generation are driving

retail culture.

Furthermore, millennials are approaching their entry-point into the 35-plus luxury heartland.

10. Know I know

Show I know is growing old and the focus will turn away from the outward display of luxury

to an inner satisfaction of how it makes one feel.

The creation of personal experiences is essential as luxury consumers shift the focus to

indulging in personal reward.

WE ARE WITNESSING A TRANSFORMATION IN THE LUXURY MARKET,

CREATING OPPORTUNITIES FOR THOSE PREPARED TO ADAPT

The slowing luxury market in Asia has alarmed many luxury brands that had predicated

future growth on improved prospects in Asia. In fact, a fundamental rethink is required

around what the future looks like for luxury brands.

LUXURY 2020: THE TRENDS THAT WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE LUXURY

MARKET

At the heart of the challenge is the need for luxury brands to identify the products and

services they can provide credibly to their consumers. In a changing market, brands cannot

Page 9: Retail

stretch to selling everything. They face challenges from new entrants, focused on narrow but

well-defined niches, snatching market share from existing brands. It is this clarity of purpose

that has shaped the need for existing brands to reexamine their identities to compete.

Looking ahead to 2020 we see this as the ideal time to build the luxury brand of the future.

This is the time to learn, recruit and implement the capabilities required to compete in a

future market where traditional luxury norms become less relevant.

In conversations with leading luxury executives across 6 key regions we discussed the issues

they faced approaching 2020. In addition, we spoke to leaders in complementary industries to

identify potential blind spots for the luxury market heading into 2020. Below is a summary of

these discussions combined with our own internal analysis to provide a view on what we

think they main issues are for the luxury market.

POLITICAL INSTABILITY, SLOW ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INCREASED

COMPETITION CREATE A CHALLENGING LUXURY MARKET, REQUIRING

NEW APPROACHES

A CHANGING MARKET

We are witnessing a significant correction in the luxury market, one that has confounded

many executives. It has meant that growth plans developed in the boom years must be hastily

rewritten. Falling sales, falling margins, increased competition and sluggish global growth

create the conditions for the retrenchment. With global growth forecasts appearing lukewarm

at best, executives must confront new realities when developing market strategies.

Where Asia, particularly China, was the engine for luxury growth through the global

recession, it now becomes the biggest source of concern.

LVMH, global leader in the sector, saw sales drop by 3% in Asia, excluding Japan, in the

third-quarter of 2014. While Japan provides promise as a source of growth, it is still limited

by a weak Yen. The protests in Hong Kong highlight the instability that is affecting wider

confidence in Asia. However, what has dealt the biggest blow to sales is the Chinese

government crackdown on corruption.

With increasing numbers of state officials receiving custodial sentences for corruption the

corporate ‘gifting’ culture that fuelled the luxury boom has receded, further deflating the

Page 10: Retail

luxury market. As a result, China’s richest spent 15% less overall in 2013 than they did in

2012, according to the Hurun Report, and 25% less on gifts overall.

The common view from market analysts is that China will contract as a market and now is

the time for luxury brands to reconsider their expansion plans in China.

Of equal concern is the lack of large stable markets that can be exploited. Between Russia,

Brazil, Indonesia and Nigeria each is beset by varying degrees of economic and political

instability and as such, luxury brands are looking at a retreat to traditional markets among the

developed economy. While this is a limit on potential growth, it provides greater revenue

stability.

Luxury brands, in the search for lower risk but faster growth, may look at countries such as

Turkey and Mexico that provide attractive opportunities in rapidly advancing economies. As

an example, luxury spending in Turkey has grown by over 30% in the last four years.

As the market contracts and luxury brands retrench, two significant paths will emerge.

Established brands will engage in stiffer competition with each other. In such situations it is

likely that both prices and margins could fall. In addition, we are likely to see the creation of

challenger brands in the markets, and segments, existing players retreat from. In these

markets the successes of the future will develop. With favourable access to manufacturing

facilities, business experience and large domestic markets, the progress of challenger luxury

brands will be an interesting area to observe as we head towards 2020.

There are naturally exceptions to this. Some industries such as Luxury hotels, motoring and

jewellery are affected by global macroeconomic trends, but seem better capable of

weathering some of the microeconomic factors shaping the luxury market. The lack of natural

substitutes and difficulty in counterfeiting are enormous pluses. Often the lead time in

product development and completion means they are less immune to the boom and bust

cycles that might affect fashion and drinks brands to an extent.

Luxury brands have to consider what lower margins mean for their business models. In high-

level terms it will be the tension between big and small corporate structures. Margin

protection shapes the next three years of competition as growth slows.

Looking at the conglomerates, their model is built on being able to synergise costs, use their

buying power and the ability to cross-subsidise the less successful brands. However, these

Page 11: Retail

models are predicated on sustaining high margins with the stronger brands supporting the

weaker brands.

At lower margins, even a reduction of 5% limits the scope of cross-subsidy, and at this point

the conglomerate model may have to be revisited. It may be the case that the under-

performing brands are better served as standalone entities or as part of other organisations.

We expect such questions and issues to become pressing concerns, particularly as the appetite

for M&A among the luxury conglomerates is still strong. We expect there to be changes in

brand composition and alignment.

If we are looking at a future of smaller conglomerates then we could see groups such as

Inditex take the divested brands and using their supply chain and infrastructure, use the

acquired brands to reposition themselves further up the value chain. By 2020 we expect the

upper levels of mass market brands either acquiring or competing with the lower level luxury

brands as differentiation between the two reduces.

All of the above are driven by customer behaviour that has not changed this fast or

significantly in a generation. Understanding these currents of change will allow brands big

and small to realign their business to the new reality. Failure to do so could prove fatal to

some brands.

ADAPTING TO RAPIDLY CHANGING CUSTOMERS WILL SHAPE FUTURE

SUCCESS

THE CHANGING LUXURY CONSUMER

The future will herald customers for whom, all aspects of luxury are transparent and as such,

will increase their expectations of luxury brands. The future will be about customers

demanding more impact and quality for their money. This will be shaped by a number of

important trends that are not only creating better informed customers but also, more

demanding customers. Below we discuss these trends along with the impact they will have on

the luxury market.

THE TRAVELLING CONSUMER – We are now in a globally integrated luxury market.

Travel is a core element of luxury customers and this has fundamentally changed the buying

experience for many consumers. The traditional model for luxury retailers had been to adopt

Page 12: Retail

variable pricing strategies, seeking to exploit the varying sensitivities to price in different

markets.

International travel is challenging that model. In particular, Chinese travellers are embracing

travel and buying the majority of their goods internationally. They avoid the high domestic

prices and taxes, and often gain access to products well ahead of their release in China.

Chinese consumers now purchase more luxury goods abroad, often visiting New York and

Paris to buy handbags and pens. Today, more than 60% of Chinese luxury goods are bought

outside of the country. It is a similar picture in Brazil and Russia, with countries now actively

wooing the wealthy elites to shop in their countries, which is particularly true in the luxury

real estate market.

This creates two problems for luxury brands. There is the natural impact on margins as

customers’ shopping patterns move from high-cost to low-cost markets. Secondly, customers

demand the European level of service and engagement in their home markets, which is

driving cost upwards. Brands are now having to rebalance their pricing models, in addition to

reshaping their location footprint to optimise return on capital.

By 2020 it is likely that luxury brands will operate with much leaner international footprints.

We will see a retreat for many brands, driven by the desire to save cost. Instead, brands

across all product classes will seek to offer more to their customers at higher price points, in a

smaller number of locations. This assists in maintaining margins but in also, offering the

international consumer a consistent high-level of experience.

THE DIGITAL CONSUMER – It is impossible to overstate how much digital technology

has changed the world, and luxury is no exception. In high-level terms, digital technology has

given consumers greater access as well as greater information around both luxury goods and

the wider luxury lifestyle.

This greatly aids penetration for luxury brands and also, creates awareness and desire among

customers. Current estimates put the volume of luxury sales influenced by digital at anywhere

between 30-45%. As such, digital is an area nobody can ignore. By 2020 we see the share of

luxury e-commerce reaching 10% of all sales, driven by a greater desire for speed and

convenience.

Page 13: Retail

However, digital poses a challenge that the luxury industry is getting to terms with; around

what the luxury digital experience looks like. Creating a differentiated offering on platforms

that are about universal access is difficult.

The luxury e-commerce experience is proving somewhat of a conundrum. In the next five

years, brands will get a stronger sense of how customers wish to engage with them on digital

platforms.

We see digital serving two main functions. Firstly, brands will use digital platforms to

communicate messages around the luxury lifestyle, with this form of indirect marketing

serving to stimulate aspiration and demand. Secondly, digital will be a sales and service

channel for those customers unable to visit a store, particularly in the case of an emergency

purchase. Unlike other market sectors that are driven by reducing unit cost, the e-commerce

imperative is not as great for luxury brands. However, success in digital is a pillar for overall

success.

THE SOCIAL CONSUMER - A growing area of the digital landscape shaping luxury

awareness is social media. With hashtags such as, #OOTD (Outfit Of The Day) we are in an

era where we are sharing our luxury experiences. Platforms such as Facebook, Twitter and

Instagram are overcome with images of dinner at Corrigans, nights out at The Box, shopping

on Fifth Avenue, hotel Stays at the Connaught and the latest purchase of an Aston Martin.

Aggregated, these images have increased global brand awareness and at the same time

stimulate desire to acquire these products and services.

Successful brands are already targeting key social media influencers to drive their brand

messages. In the coming years, and as analytics improve, brands will be able to identify the

key targets and also measure both direct and indirect consumer impact. What we will see with

digital is a decoupling of the purchase decision from the purchase process and luxury brands

must excel at both phases.

Brands must be aware that customers have high expectations of their luxury experiences,

rewarding those that understand and deliver them while ignoring those that do not. The

journey to 2020 will be a return to the core values of luxury; exclusivity and individualism.

There will also be a move towards localisation; bringing cultural diversity to the luxury

market.

Page 14: Retail

THE FLIGHT TO EXCLUSIVITY - Market growth over the last seven years has

broadened brand access, allowing new customers to access previously unobtainable brands.

This has been a significant success for brands across the luxury spectrum that were able to tap

into years of latent demand. However, we are approaching a slowing of this initial surge in

luxury demand.

Customers will look beyond traditional brands and products for their luxury consumption and

this change will be driven by a number of factors. Customer research identified three issues

focused on the following areas:

Overexposure – Brands need to manage the balance of satisfying demand without spreading

the brand too thinly. Ownership of certain brands no longer brings the impact of old due to

broader exposure. There is, and will be, an appetite for something different in the luxury

experience. We are seeing a retreat by some brands now as they realised that they have likely

overstretched themselves. There is also an indirect effect from counterfeiting. Fake products

do negatively impact legitimate brand values, with some brands are being hit harder than

others as they have outsourced manufacturing to the Far East. We will see a retreat from

many brands as they focus on fewer, but higher value items.

Harmonisation of the Customer Experience – As much of the luxury value-chain has been

outsourced to common providers; the luxury purchasing experience has coalesced around

similar themes across most brands. This convergence has resulted in an experience that one

customer called ‘generic, almost lazy.’ There is an appetite for more diverse customer

experiences along with a more individual customer experience.

The winners of the future will create novel experiences, but will also ensure that their

offering evolves and remains current and relevant, adapting to changing customer tastes.

The Lack of Local Identity - Customers in emerging markets, particularly early adopters,

who have consumed luxury goods for an extended period, now seek products that better

represent their culture and heritage. Some customers have identified the feeling that they are

buying into a culture that is not theirs.

This is an opportunity for new brands, in emerging economies, to add to the luxury

landscape. It is the largest area for potential growth that is yet, unexploited. With these trends

set to intensify, the future focus will be a greater customer desire for exclusivity. High-value

Page 15: Retail

luxury customers will continue to use big ticket purchases to define their status and to shape

identities. As such, luxury brands will need to make the customer feel special again.

Luxury brands must embrace this and redesign propositions and customer experiences across:

products, pricing and distribution. The ability to deliver a unique proposition will enable

brands to charge premium prices while delivering tangible exclusivity.

INCREASED INDIVIDUALISM - The last seven years have seen customer-centricity

correctly become the dominant principle when designing a business model. The logical

extension of that will be moving towards customer empowerment, freeing the customer to

shape their outcome. Chiefly, this will involve an emphasis on product customisation and in

some cases, full customer design. It also extends to multi-channel distribution and servicing

allowing full channel flexibility.

Currently, many brands allow customisation across a number of core features, but it is likely

that the super-wealthy will seek to engage the design staff at the concept stage. In such cases,

the customers would lack any sensitivity to price making such an approach viable. The flow

could also work in reverse with designers pitching designs to the top-tier customers on an

exclusive basis.

For high-value customers, creation in conjunction with leading brands will represent the

ultimate in luxury. In a market where purchasing decisions are increasingly similar, this will

be a powerful differentiator. It will rebalance the relationship back towards the brand as the

customer aspires to be sufficiently valuable to gain preferential access.

LUXURY WITH MANY FACES - Two key trends that will increase as we head towards

2020 are; the increase in designers from emerging markets in leading roles within luxury

brands and the emergence of luxury brands in emerging markets. The initial stage will arrive

when a critical mass of designers from emerging markets working in the leading brands.

Diversity will manifest itself in a wider range of product ideas and marketing approaches.

With the experience from leading brands available, these designers will branch out to build

brands in their native markets. Using the organisational knowledge married with local

cultural awareness, this generation of designers will develop challenger brands that will

redefine specific market segments.

Page 16: Retail

An excellent example is Osklen, a Brazilian brand that is now looking for investment to

expand its range of luxury sportswear abroad. It presents a different proposition to European

brands, but as Brazil develops and Brazilians travel, it represents an opportune moment to

expand.

THE CHANGING LUXURY CONSUMER – The world is changing beneath our feet.

Modern day successes are often technologists, often very young, and are creating a new

definition of luxury. One only has to look at Mark Zuckerberg to see how the corporate

wardrobe is changing. Slowly, the bespoke suits, briefcases and watches are ignored in favour

of casual items with a distinct absence of brand names.

Instead, luxury purchases are on bigger-ticket items such as travel, cars and in many cases

property. We are seeing a generation chastened by the excesses of the previous decade. An

interesting change is the increasing significance of sustainability when considering

purchasing decisions. Even luxury brands will have to demonstrate both environmental and

social responsibility. As we move towards 2020 there will be a greater requirement for luxury

brands to be exemplary citizens.

Another rising trend is the desire for authenticity. Ten years ago, you could find a takeaway

van in most British cities selling a range of food that was unlikely to be healthy for you.

However, the rise of street food vendors has seen a change in that. They now provide a

diversity of and through this, can often charge premium prices for their products.

Driven by the increasing need for authenticity – the feeling of closeness between creator and

consumer – street food vendors are able to charge a premium for their products. This desire

for authenticity is seeing the rise of local brands, musicians, hotels, in fact, anything where

the consumer feels intimacy with the brand.

As this trend rises through the mainstream, luxury brands must be ready with products and

services that have that authenticity. It is also a natural return to the essence of luxury - the

idea of the artisan hand crafting products with passion.

THE LUXURY START-UP - Another potential development is further subdivision of the

luxury brand into micro niches, serviced by the challenger brands lacking the capital or desire

to compete with the luxury conglomerates. By attacking specific niches, they reduce the

barriers to entry and can better tailor their proposition to their target audience.

Page 17: Retail

We are witnessing a boom in such brands. From Adrien Sauvage’s eponymous label, Aaron

Dash with MrDash, Dymant in Paris to Lux-Fix, brands are exploiting niches that only small

and nimble operators can exploit.

We believe there are, and will be, opportunities for luxury start-ups. It has never been easier

to start these brands. They can opt for a very lean manufacturing process, outsourcing all but

the core elements to scale much more quickly than a traditional company that manufactures

everything. They don’t need a big marketing team to reach the customer in today’s market.

For example, Leonard & Church is a start-up direct to consumer watch manufacturer. They

aim to deliver the same high-quality handmade watch quality offered by established brands at

far smaller markups.

They may not carry the same weight as decades-old brands - they don’t have to in order to be

a profitable and sustainable business in today’s start-up-friendly culture.

On a larger scale, the lustre of well-established brands is fading away - and it is especially

true for brands that sell high-end products. The factors highlighted in this paper create a

climate where new entrants, offering the same quality but with a better overall customer

experience, can succeed

“Some people say culture trumps strategy, but I don’t believe that’s true, strategy emerges

from culture.” Milton Pedraza - The Luxury Institute

FUTURE SUCCESS WILL ARISE FROM INTERNAL CHANGE. FUTURE

LEADERS ARE ACTING NOW

SUCCESS FROM WITHIN

The driving force of success will be from the internal changes that luxury brands make to

remain relevant, responsive and adaptable. The ultimate aim is to remain closer to the

customer and to deliver on their expectations.

CHANGE STARTS AT THE TOP – Strategy will move away from linear 1, 3 or 5 year

plans to an iterative approach, where the overarching vision and strategic goals are agreed,

but revisited quarterly or biannually. Executives must review their goals regularly,

accounting for the changing competitive landscape as well as evolving consumer habits.

More importantly, goals must be reviewed in light of the behaviour of competitors and new

entrants.

Page 18: Retail

Strategy is now a chess game between competitors, with brands responding to every market

move in real-time. Heading towards 2020 luxury brands will remodel their business

architecture to deliver agility and responsiveness to meet customer needs. Those responsible

for strategy formation and execution will require the capability, aptitude and tools to monitor

market movements as close to real time as possible. In addition, they will need decision

making processes that emphasise speed of response in order to react to opportunities as they

arise.

CHANGING BUSINESS STRUCTURES – The future of the luxury market will still be

driven by the creative inspiration that has underpinned the market from its earliest

beginnings. The big change now is in the execution of the vision. Organisational structures

will need to evolve and with it, we expect to see an increased importance of the commercial

roles. There will be a move away from the traditional Head of Creative and Head of

Commercial towards a wider span of decision makers. Initially, we see the CEO, particularly

in the larger organisations, being supported by the following core roles:

• Head of Strategy • Head of Customer • Head of Operations and • Head of Creative

As organisations develop, more roles will become necessary, particularly as geographic reach

extends. In the initial phase of development, these are the roles that will allow luxury brands

across the spectrum to be closer to the customer and also, closer to the markets while

simultaneously driving the internal development agenda.

INNOVATION – We are heading into a world in 2020 where marketing will be, ‘on

demand.’ Customers will have access to a brand at the very point they need it. This, added to

the wider technological and social revolutions, will create new opportunities for those quick

enough to identify, understand and deliver on them.

To succeed at this, the main areas of Strategy, Customer, Creative and Operations have to

work together to turn ideas into reality faster than the competition. They must be the leaders

of the innovation agenda, pushing their brands into products and experiences that leave the

mass market behind. Innovation is a vital area of leadership for luxury brands, particularly as

they seek to sustain or improve profit margins.

Marketing is a clear example of where innovation is required. Internal research suggests that

over 80% of marketing executives feel their analytics capabilities are insufficient to deliver

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the marketing experience they would like. Most executives in the luxury market identified

four main areas they would like to direct their innovation:

• Product Quality • Customer Value • Customer Impact and • Customer Loyalty

With 70% of customers making some element of their buying decision online, often the battle

can be lost before anyone is aware. As such, innovation is about reducing the blind spots in

the marketing journey. To achieve a strong innovative base, the leadership team must

collaborate to identify challenges and solutions as well as providing the drive to deliver them.

The luxury market is catching up, but is still behind sectors such as the tech sector that have

wired innovation into their daily business routines.

MASTERING TECHNOLOGY – Technology is an area where luxury brands are playing

catch up with the rest of the consumer goods market. Understating your customers and

understanding technology are two parts of the same whole. We are seeing new product and

distribution categories, from wearable technology to ‘showrooming,’ where customers visit a

store to decide on a product then seek out the best price and delivery options online.

These all require back-end technology to support them and luxury brands must now face the

challenge of investing in market leading technology solutions. To achieve this, the Head of

Operations must have strong technological experience and be a champion of digital solutions

to drive performance. The new skills that underpin this such as, social media, analytics, 3-D

prototyping with 3-D printers and customer relationship management (CRM) are scarce in the

wider economy, placing them at a premium. However, luxury brands cannot ignore these new

challenges as they can have a disruptive effect on the overall market. Instead, a concerted

effort is required in acquiring both the enthusiasm for technology and the skills to make it

happen.

MORE PEOPLE, NEW SKILLS – The ability to recruit and retain the right people lies at

heart of sustainable success. In a changing market, we are seeing new skills enter, skills

essential in getting the luxury industry up to speed with other high margin organisations such

as Apple. Heading towards 2020, the luxury market will see an influx of skills from outside

the luxury sector arriving to accelerate development.

In particular, we expect an increase in MBAs and those with experience of change

programme delivery. These specialist skills will augment other core skills such as digital

marketing, analytics and broader technology skills. This could give rise to commercially

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driven luxury brands, where business people, with complementary skills partner with a

designer to deliver lean and agile luxury brands with the disciplines of a listed company. We

will see an accelerated start-up process, taking advantage of the areas where creative-led

brands often struggle in order to grow rapidly.

We expect to see greater diversity in the composition of luxury brands, reflecting the reality

that consumers will be looking for some cultural connection with foreign luxury brands.

Luxury brands must maximise the diversity of ideas, skills, backgrounds and influences

without sacrificing quality. Diversity will allow brands access to influences and trends they

may otherwise miss. It is these ideas that shape the innovative visions that define the luxury

market. The businesses that can support a large degree of individualism in its products will

prove the winner in the high-end luxury segment.

The business model should accommodate a division the can deliver on the customisation

issues outlined above. Ideally it will be supply driven with luxury brands offering the service

to the highest spending customers. This creates an incentive to increase spending. It will also

fulfil the customers’ desires to feel special as well as define themselves as an individual.

CONCLUSION

We are facing a new model of growth as the existing luxury market matures. The splintering

of the market is driven by the cultural diversity of the high-net worth market. Their needs are

different and their approaches to fulfilling those differ too.

The organisations that will thrive in these changing times are those best placed to understand

the new needs, as well as subtly changing existing needs, and adapting effectively to those.

The two elements successful organisations must possess are, true diversity and organisational

agility to react to a changing market.