residential market activity and mls® home price index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5%...

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Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index Report January 2019 Prepared for the REALTORS® Association of Hamilton-Burlington by the Canadian Real Estate Association

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Page 1: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

Residential Market Activity 

and MLS® Home Price Index Report 

January 2019

Prepared for the REALTORS® Association of Hamilton-Burlington by the Canadian Real Estate Association

Page 2: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Residential Market Activity

Sales Activity(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

703

671 75

7

673 69

8

665 70

7 775

615

593

New Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

1,59

7

1,64

1

1,32

5

1,40

5

1,24

5

1,24

6

1,09

7

921 1,06

0 1,27

6

Active Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2,91

5 3,41

0

2,57

7

2,49

4

2,09

5

1,92

2

1,53

5

851

1,30

6 1,76

3

Months of Inventory(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

4.1

5.1

3.4 3.

7

3.0

2.9

2.2 1.1

2.1

3.0

Days on Market(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Average Days on MarketMedian Days on Market

3653 52

6440

5438

5431

5324

4624

4614

2934

4326

43

Sales to New Listings Ratio(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

44.0

%

40.9

%

57.1

%

47.9

% 56.1

%

53.4

% 64.4

%

84.1

%

58.0

%

46.5

%

MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price

Jan2

010

Jul2

010

Jan2

011

Jul2

011

Jan2

012

Jul2

012

Jan2

013

Jul2

013

Jan2

014

Jul2

014

Jan2

015

Jul2

015

Jan2

016

Jul2

016

Jan2

017

Jul2

017

Jan2

018

Jul2

018

Jan2

019

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

Page 3: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Residential Market Activity

Compared to 6

ActualJanuary

2019January

2018January

2017January

2016January

2014January

2012January

2009

Sales Activity 593 -3.6 -23.5 -16.1 -15.0 -21.7 35.7

Dollar Volume $326,184,324 1.0 -16.9 1.1 20.8 27.5 185.2

New Listings 1,276 20.4 38.5 16.3 2.5 -3.7 -13.2

Active Listings 1,763 35.0 107.2 14.9 -15.8 -31.6 -54.5

Sales to New Listings Ratio1

46.5 58.0 84.1 64.4 56.1 57.1 29.7

Months of Inventory2

3.0 2.1 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.4 8.9

Average Price $550,058 4.7 8.7 20.5 42.2 62.8 110.2

Median Price $495,000 4.2 12.5 26.9 47.8 67.8 104.5

Sales to List Price Ratio 98.2 97.9 101.2 98.6 97.7 97.1 93.7

Median Days on Market 26.0 34.0 14.0 24.0 31.0 40.0 68.0

Average Days on Market 43.0 42.6 29.4 46.1 53.3 54.4 74.3

1 Sales / new listings * 100; Compared to levels from previous periods2 Active listings at month end / monthly sales; Compared to levels from previous periods3 The year-to-date active listings figure is a monthly average of the number of homes on the market at the end of each month so far this year4 Sum of sales from January to current month / sum of new listings from January to current month5 The year-to-date months of inventory figure is calculated as: average active listings from January to current month / average sales from January to current month6 Sales to new listings ratio and months of inventory shown as levels; all others calculated as percentage changes

Page 4: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Single Family Market Activity

Sales Activity(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

496

450

518

472

474

447

505

496

394

383

New Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

1,15

0

1,17

7

965

993

844

856

758

599 65

6

864

Active Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2,14

4 2,52

3

1,99

6

1,87

1

1,54

5

1,36

3

1,07

3 613

884 1,

217

Months of Inventory(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

4.3

5.6

3.9 4.0

3.3

3.0

2.1 1.

2

2.2

3.2

Days on Market(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Average Days on MarketMedian Days on Market

3554 52

6343

5441

5734

5722

4622

4714

3241

4731

44

Sales to New Listings Ratio(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

43.1

%

38.2

%

53.7

%

47.5

% 56.2

%

52.2

%

66.6

%

82.8

%

60.1

%

44.3

%

MLS® HPI Single Family Benchmark Price and Average Price

Jan2

010

Jul2

010

Jan2

011

Jul2

011

Jan2

012

Jul2

012

Jan2

013

Jul2

013

Jan2

014

Jul2

014

Jan2

015

Jul2

015

Jan2

016

Jul2

016

Jan2

017

Jul2

017

Jan2

018

Jul2

018

Jan2

019

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

Page 5: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Single Family Market Activity

Compared to 6

ActualJanuary

2019January

2018January

2017January

2016January

2014January

2012January

2009

Sales Activity 383 -2.8 -22.8 -24.2 -19.2 -26.1 30.3

Dollar Volume $236,559,545 4.0 -16.0 -7.7 17.3 24.4 186.4

New Listings 864 31.7 44.2 14.0 2.4 -10.5 -16.6

Active Listings 1,217 37.7 98.5 13.4 -21.2 -39.0 -57.2

Sales to New Listings Ratio1

44.3 60.1 82.8 66.6 56.2 53.7 28.4

Months of Inventory2

3.2 2.2 1.2 2.1 3.3 3.9 9.7

Average Price $617,649 7.0 8.8 21.6 45.2 68.2 119.8

Median Price $575,000 9.1 18.6 27.8 56.5 78.4 113.2

Sales to List Price Ratio 98.1 97.8 101.0 98.7 97.8 97.1 94.5

Median Days on Market 31.0 40.5 14.0 22.0 34.0 43.0 72.0

Average Days on Market 44.5 46.5 31.7 47.4 56.8 54.3 78.6

1 Sales / new listings * 100; Compared to levels from previous periods2 Active listings at month end / monthly sales; Compared to levels from previous periods3 The year-to-date active listings figure is a monthly average of the number of homes on the market at the end of each month so far this year4 Sum of sales from January to current month / sum of new listings from January to current month5 The year-to-date months of inventory figure is calculated as: average active listings from January to current month / average sales from January to current month6 Sales to new listings ratio and months of inventory shown as levels; all others calculated as percentage changes

Page 6: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Townhouse Market Activity

Sales Activity(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

119

122 13

1

110

131

104

106

161

115

112

New Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

243

232

183

217

216

204

180

175 19

4 211

Active Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

398

395

276 29

2

245

244

209

87 183

249

Months of Inventory(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

3.3

3.2

2.1

2.7

1.9

2.3

2.0

0.5 1.

6

2.2

Days on Market(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Average Days on MarketMedian Days on Market

3852

5056

3348

2943

2138

1941

2241

1222

2938

2140

Sales to New Listings Ratio(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

49.0

%

52.6

%

71.6

%

50.7

% 60.6

%

51.0

% 58.9

%

92.0

%

59.3

%

53.1

%

MLS® HPI Townhouse Benchmark Price and Average Price

Jan2

010

Jul2

010

Jan2

011

Jul2

011

Jan2

012

Jul2

012

Jan2

013

Jul2

013

Jan2

014

Jul2

014

Jan2

015

Jul2

015

Jan2

016

Jul2

016

Jan2

017

Jul2

017

Jan2

018

Jul2

018

Jan2

019

$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000$450,000$500,000

Page 7: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Townhouse Market Activity

Compared to 6

ActualJanuary

2019January

2018January

2017January

2016January

2014January

2012January

2009

Sales Activity 112 -2.6 -30.4 5.7 -14.5 -14.5 27.3

Dollar Volume $52,454,390 2.5 -24.4 33.9 28.9 42.4 162.6

New Listings 211 8.8 20.6 17.2 -2.3 15.3 -16.9

Active Listings 249 36.1 186.2 19.1 1.6 -9.8 -57.4

Sales to New Listings Ratio1

53.1 59.3 92.0 58.9 60.6 71.6 34.6

Months of Inventory2

2.2 1.6 0.5 2.0 1.9 2.1 6.6

Average Price $468,343 5.3 8.6 26.7 50.8 66.6 106.4

Median Price $470,000 6.8 8.0 39.9 62.1 70.9 101.7

Sales to List Price Ratio 98.5 98.6 102.7 98.8 98.0 97.1 91.3

Median Days on Market 21.0 29.0 12.0 21.5 21.0 33.0 59.5

Average Days on Market 40.5 37.7 21.6 40.8 38.1 47.9 67.3

1 Sales / new listings * 100; Compared to levels from previous periods2 Active listings at month end / monthly sales; Compared to levels from previous periods3 The year-to-date active listings figure is a monthly average of the number of homes on the market at the end of each month so far this year4 Sum of sales from January to current month / sum of new listings from January to current month5 The year-to-date months of inventory figure is calculated as: average active listings from January to current month / average sales from January to current month6 Sales to new listings ratio and months of inventory shown as levels; all others calculated as percentage changes

Page 8: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Apartment-Style Market Activity

Sales Activity(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

49

63 60

53

61

65

57

85

63 65

New Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

132

162

121

140

138

138

125

114

152

149

Active Listings(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

253

357

213 23

1 242 25

9

199

125

178

242

Months of Inventory(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

5.2 5.

7

3.6

4.4

4.0

4.0

3.5

1.5

2.8

3.7

Days on Market(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Average Days on MarketMedian Days on Market

4256

6888

3758

4550

5565

4456

2741

2131 16 27 26

45

Sales to New Listings Ratio(January only)

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

37.1

%

38.9

% 49.6

%

37.9

% 44.2

%

47.1

%

45.6

%

74.6

%

41.4

%

43.6

%

MLS® HPI Apartment-Style Benchmark Price and Average Price

Jan2

010

Jul2

010

Jan2

011

Jul2

011

Jan2

012

Jul2

012

Jan2

013

Jul2

013

Jan2

014

Jul2

014

Jan2

015

Jul2

015

Jan2

016

Jul2

016

Jan2

017

Jul2

017

Jan2

018

Jul2

018

Jan2

019

$200,000$250,000$300,000$350,000$400,000

Page 9: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS® Apartment-Style Market Activity

Compared to 6

ActualJanuary

2019January

2018January

2017January

2016January

2014January

2012January

2009

Sales Activity 65 3.2 -23.5 14.0 6.6 8.3 140.7

Dollar Volume $24,797,767 9.1 -10.6 82.1 42.1 69.4 404.1

New Listings 149 -2.0 30.7 19.2 8.0 23.1 26.3

Active Listings 242 36.0 93.6 21.6 0.0 13.6 -18.8

Sales to New Listings Ratio1

43.6 41.4 74.6 45.6 44.2 49.6 22.9

Months of Inventory2

3.7 2.8 1.5 3.5 4.0 3.6 11.0

Average Price $381,504 5.8 16.9 59.6 33.4 56.3 109.4

Median Price $360,000 4.3 21.6 50.0 38.5 67.4 102.2

Sales to List Price Ratio 97.8 98.1 100.0 97.9 95.8 97.0 88.9

Median Days on Market 26.0 16.0 21.0 27.0 55.0 36.5 62.0

Average Days on Market 44.8 27.3 31.3 41.2 65.1 57.8 65.6

1 Sales / new listings * 100; Compared to levels from previous periods2 Active listings at month end / monthly sales; Compared to levels from previous periods3 The year-to-date active listings figure is a monthly average of the number of homes on the market at the end of each month so far this year4 Sum of sales from January to current month / sum of new listings from January to current month5 The year-to-date months of inventory figure is calculated as: average active listings from January to current month / average sales from January to current month6 Sales to new listings ratio and months of inventory shown as levels; all others calculated as percentage changes

Page 10: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS ® HPI Benchmark Price

MLS® Home Price Index Benchmark Price

percentage change vs.

Benchmark Type: January 2019 1 month ago3 months

ago6 months

ago12 months

ago 3 years ago 5 years ago

Composite $582,300 -0.3 0.5 0.3 5.0 36.7 69.2

Single Family $620,700 -0.2 1.6 0.8 5.6 36.3 70.2

One Storey $560,800 0.2 1.3 0.8 3.3 34.0 66.2

Two Storey $656,400 -0.4 1.5 0.5 6.4 37.1 72.1

Townhouse $457,800 -1.8 -4.5 0.4 2.8 34.7 65.4

Apartment-Style $390,200 0.2 -3.8 -3.4 3.7 43.6 64.4

MLS® HPI Benchmark Price

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

Apartment-StyleTownhouse2 Storey1 StoreySingle FamilyComposite

Page 11: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS ® HPI Benchmark Descriptions

Composite

Features Value

Above GroundBedrooms

3

Age Category 51 to 99

Bedrooms 3

Below GroundBedrooms

0

Exterior Walls Masonry & Siding

Freshwater Supply Municipalwaterworks

Full Bathrooms 2

Garage Description Attached, Singlewidth

Gross Living Area(Above Ground; insq. ft.)

1345

Half Bathrooms 1

Heating Forced air

Heating Fuel Natural Gas

Number ofFireplaces

0

Total Number OfRooms

8

Type Of Foundation Basement, Pouredconcrete

WastewaterDisposal

Municipal sewers

Single Family

Features Value

Above GroundBedrooms

3

Age Category 51 to 99

Bedrooms 3

Below GroundBedrooms

0

Exterior Walls Masonry & Siding

Freshwater Supply Municipalwaterworks

Full Bathrooms 2

Garage Description Attached, Singlewidth

Gross Living Area(Above Ground; insq. ft.)

1405

Half Bathrooms 1

Heating Forced air

Heating Fuel Natural Gas

Lot Size 4612

Number ofFireplaces

1

Total Number OfRooms

8

Type Of Foundation Basement, Pouredconcrete

Type of Property Detached

WastewaterDisposal

Municipal sewers

Page 12: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS ® HPI Benchmark Descriptions

1 Storey

Features Value

Above GroundBedrooms

3

Age Category 51 to 99

Basement Finish Totally finished

Bedrooms 4

Below GroundBedrooms

1

Exterior Walls Masonry & Siding

Freshwater Supply Municipalwaterworks

Full Bathrooms 2

Garage Description Attached, Singlewidth

Gross Living Area(Above Ground; insq. ft.)

1234

Half Bathrooms 0

Heating Forced air

Heating Fuel Natural Gas

Lot Size 5610

Number ofFireplaces

1

Total Number OfRooms

8

Type Of Foundation Basement,Concrete blocs

Type of Property Detached

WastewaterDisposal

Municipal sewers

2 Storey

Features Value

Above GroundBedrooms

3

Age Category 51 to 99

Bedrooms 3

Below GroundBedrooms

0

Exterior Walls Masonry & Siding

Freshwater Supply Municipalwaterworks

Full Bathrooms 2

Garage Description Attached, Singlewidth

Gross Living Area(Above Ground; insq. ft.)

1589

Half Bathrooms 1

Heating Forced air

Heating Fuel Natural Gas

Lot Size 3924

Number ofFireplaces

1

Total Number OfRooms

8

Type Of Foundation Basement, Pouredconcrete

Type of Property Detached

WastewaterDisposal

Municipal sewers

Page 13: Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index ... · 56.1% 53.4% 64.4% 84.1% 58.0% 46.5% MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price and Average Price Jan2010 Jul2010 Jan2011 Jul2011

REALTORS® Associationof Hamilton-Burlington

MLS ® HPI Benchmark Descriptions

Townhouse

Features Value

Above GroundBedrooms

3

Age Category 6 to 15

AttachedSpecification

Row

Bedrooms 3

Below GroundBedrooms

0

Exterior Walls Masonry & Siding

Freshwater Supply Municipalwaterworks

Full Bathrooms 2

Garage Description Attached, Singlewidth

Gross Living Area(Above Ground; insq. ft.)

1246

Half Bathrooms 1

Heating Forced air

Heating Fuel Natural Gas

Number ofFireplaces

0

Total Number OfRooms

7

Type Of Foundation Basement, Pouredconcrete

WastewaterDisposal

Municipal sewers

Apartment-Style

Features Value

Above GroundBedrooms

2

Age Category 6 to 15

Basement Finish Unfinished

Bedrooms 2

Below GroundBedrooms

0

Exterior Walls Masonry & Siding

Freshwater Supply Municipalwaterworks

Full Bathrooms 1

Garage Description Attached, Singlewidth

Gross Living Area(Above Ground; insq. ft.)

1043

Half Bathrooms 0

Heating Forced air

Heating Fuel Natural Gas

Number ofFireplaces

0

Total Number OfRooms

6

WastewaterDisposal

Municipal sewers