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RESERVES

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  • RESERVES

  • DEFINITIONS OF RESERVESby SPE and WPCReserves are those quantities of petroleum which are anticipated to be commercially recovered from known accumulations from a given date forwardReserve ClassificationsProvedProbablePossibleDevelopedUndevelopedUnproved

  • Proven reserves are those of petroleum which, by analysis of geological and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be commercially recoverable, from a given date forward, from known reservoirs and under current economic conditions, operation methods, and government regulations.90% probability of the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.Developed or undeveloped proven reserves.Proven Reserves

  • Unproved reserves are based on geologic and/or engineering data similar to that used in estimates of proved reserves; but technical, contractual, economic, or regulatory uncertainties prelude such reserves being classified as proved.Unproved Reserves

  • Probable reserves are those unproved reserves which analysis of geological and engineering data suggests are more likely than no to be recoverable.50% probability of recovered proved plus probable reserves.Probable reserves include:Probable Reserves

  • Possible reserves are those unproved reserves which analysis of geological and engineering data suggests are less likely to be recoverable than probable reserves.10% probability of recovered proved plus probable plus possible reserves.Possible reserves include:Possible Reserves

  • Reserves estimation uncertaintyDeterministic a single best estimate of reserves is made based on known geological, engineering, and economic data.Probabilistic the known geological, engineering, and economic data are used to generate a range of estimates and their associated probabilities

  • Proven reserves 90% probabilityProbable reserves the difference between 50 and 90% probabilityPossible reserves the difference between 10 and 50% probabilityFrom distribution curves:Probabilistic Representation of Recoverable Reserves

  • There are 950 MMstb of oil initially in place in a reservoir. It is estimated that 500 MMstb can be produced. Already 100 MMstb have been produced. What are the STOIIP and reserves?

    Before starting production it was estimated that there was a 90% chance of producing at least 100 MMstb, 50% chance of producing 500 MMstb and 10% chance of producing 700 MMstb. What are the proved reserves, probable reserved, and possible reserves?

    Reserves are those quantities of petroleum which are anticipated to be recovered from a petroleum accumulation. What wrong with this definition?

    We have a structure in our licence area which we intend to explore. We anticipated it to contain a STOIPP of 2000 MMstb, and recovery factor of 65% using primary methods (30%), secondary (25%) and tertiary (10%) recovery methods. What are the reserves?

    A reservoir has been discovered by drilling a successful exploration well, and drilling a number of producing wells. We have even produced some 200 MMstb of oil. STOIIP is 2000 MMstb and recovery factor is 35%. What are the reserves?Test yourself

  • Remaining hydrocarbon in place

    Vs

    Remaining reserves!

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