rescue general presentation_2010-09-06-for-ea-gcr

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    RESCUE foresight initiativeResponses to Environmental and Societal

    Challenges for our Unstable Earth

    ForwardLook

    RESCUE

    www.esf.org/rescue

    ESF-COST Frontier of Science

    initiative & ESF Forward Look

    developed after a request from the French CNRS

    ESF European Science Foundation COST European Cooperation in Science & Technology

    September 2009 March 2011

    [email protected]

    RESCU

    E

    Lastupdate:6thSep

    te

    ber2010

    http://www.esf.org/rescuemailto:[email protected]://www.esf.org/home.htmlmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.esf.org/rescue
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    Strategic process for natural, social & human sciences to improve

    their interdisciplinary synergy and to respond efficiently to societal

    and policy-relevant needs;

    New scientific issues related to global change, especially those of

    trans-disciplinary nature or of major society-driven relevance;

    New approaches towards interdisciplinary science, & to facilitate

    the revolution in education and capacity building it requires.

    ensuring strategic scientific advice and approaches for

    sustainable development & global sustainability governance

    Chair: Prof. Leen Hordijk (EC-JRC Institute for Environment &

    Sustainability, IT)

    Vice-Chair: Prof. Gsli Plsson (Social & Environmental

    Anthropology, University of Iceland, IS)

    RESCUE Objectives

    RESC

    UEo

    bjectivesan

    dle

    ad

    ers

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    WG New, emerging and neglected scientific

    questions in RESCUE remitLeader: Prof. Joseph Alcamo

    In close cooperation with the ICSU Grand Challenges in Global

    Sustainability Research and linked to the Belmont Challenge Group

    - with a Delphi consultation on science questions

    - Survey of the strategies developed by key stakeholders

    - new dedicated activities to be organised with major actors

    Articulate scientific GCR-related issues, esp. society-driven ones:

    Identify emerging, new or neglected areas

    Develop recommendations about research & governance priorities

    Develop recommendations about the institutions and proceduresfor carrying out global change research

    Propose ideas for funding and support mechanisms as incentives

    to interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary research projects in Europe

    within a global context.

    RE

    SCUEWorkingGroups

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    http://www.esf.org/home.html
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    RESCUE should build on the ICSU visioning exercise and the

    Belmont Challenge in the most useful well, without undertaking a

    major effort (which would not be feasible in the RESCUE

    timeframe), and without compromising the RESCUE mission

    expected from the RESCUE initial stakeholders

    RESCUE WGs and RESCUE as a whole should include specific

    recommendations on how to best tackle the European

    implementation of the research activities associated to the ICSU

    Grand Challenges

    RESCUE WGs should examine what could be the impact of those

    research activities, taking into account the multi-culturalism

    existing in Europe

    RESCUE WGs should examine critically some specific ICSU

    questions to test and integrate them in their own work

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    TaskForce

    Scienc

    eQuestions

    Science Questions - Key Actions suggested(by the RESCUE leaders)

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    RE

    SCUEWorkingGroups

    WG Collaboration between the natural,

    social and human sciences in GCRLeaders: Prof. Michael Goodsite, Prof. Sierd

    Cloetingh and Prof. Poul Holm

    Develop a strategic vision to break down individual & institutional

    barriers that hamper collaboration between scientific disciplines.

    What should the balance be between classical discipline-basedresearch and inter-disciplinary research?

    How is it possible to trigger effective and fruitful collaboration at

    the interface between different fields?

    What means exist to identify and mobilise disciplinary scientists,

    funding agencies and stakeholders to participate and contribute to

    this joint effort right from the start?

    How can best practices be promoted between European research

    organisations to fund activities that could better contribute to

    solving the RESCUE challenges?

    Examples of key questions

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    Initial objectives

    Address the 10 initial questions related to collaboration

    These dealt with:

    Practice (what is it, are we doing, need to do?)

    Programming (How and what to fund)Balance (Between classical mono-disciplines and scalars

    involved)

    Preliminary WG recommendations

    Definitions of interdisciplinarity: RITE model The critical role of research councils in defining areas of

    research that support a "broad church" approach to

    interdisciplinarity

    Differences that emerge from different disciplinary

    perspectives

    WG Collaboration

    RESCUETemp

    late

    for

    WGinputs(1

    /4)

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    WG Comments & Suggestions

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    RESCUETemp

    late

    for

    WGinputs(2

    /4)

    General Comments

    Radically Inter and Trans-disciplinary Environments (RITE) for

    European Global Change Research: demonstrates that

    interdisciplinary research adds at least as much value to GCR

    Suggestions to other WGs

    Areas where interdisciplinarity add value defined as well as

    areas where mono-disciplinary expertise needed

    Lessons learned in the process

    Need for social sciences, ethics and humanities to be involved

    in creating the spaces of interdisciplinary, its terms of reference

    and forms of articulation from the beginning

    http://www.esf.org/home.html
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    Tourism, ICT

    Knowledge Transfer Partnerships

    Urban development

    Environment

    Social cohesion

    Coping with change

    Cultural acceptance

    Media

    Heritage

    Analytical power

    Value system for

    GCR

    Pride

    Social Reference

    System

    Human ReferenceSystem

    Natural Reference

    System

    EnvironmentalReference System

    We need a convergence of Reference Systems a systems approach

    Keywords between

    the systems need

    review

    A systems approach is not always an interdisciplinary approach!

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    WG Requirements for research

    methodologies and dataLeaders: Prof. Claudia Pahl-Wostl; Prof. Theo Toonen

    Global change science is crucially dependent on observing and

    monitoring many natural, social & human processes, AND on

    conceptualising & modelling them at different space & time scales

    Assess current state of methodological & data related challenges(strengths, weaknesses, inventory, standardisation, integration of

    the human dimension)

    Identify major gaps and alternatives/extensions and need for

    methodological innovation

    Identify major weaknesses and knowledge gaps in data bases

    available for global change research

    Develop guidance on methods and data; key requirements for

    design and implementation of global integrated assessments

    Develop list of priority actions to improve the current situation

    RE

    SCUEWorkingGroups

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    Recommendations (Characteristics)

    Overcome lack of Social Engagement in GEC- Strengthen mechanisms for Engagement/ Participatory Processes(creating an environment where consumers become citizens)- Make tools /toolkits available and usable for the public

    Global (multi-level) Governance

    - Support global and regional foresight studies- Research into robust decision making methods- Research into Institutional design for sustainable resourcemanagement (multi-scale, multi-sector) and use includingcapturing valuable data

    Assessing Vulnerability- Funding of Long term research on anticipating extraordinary(unexpected) events (knowledge concerning mapping).- Support Disaster Risk Mapping including differential socialvulnerability

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    Recommendations (Transitions)

    Support long-term studies change funding structure (database infrastructure, action research programmes)

    Laboratories for integrated approaches

    Data, Information, Knowledge base as common pool resource

    base for wide ranging comparative case study analyses

    Improve access to and comparability of large data sets

    Develop Tools/methods for monitoring change and embed

    them in societal context (evolutionary perspectives on change)

    /

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    WG Towards a revolution in education

    and capacity buildingLeaders: Prof. Karen OBrien; Prof. Jonathan Reams

    In education as in science related to global change, the dualism of

    nature and culture is a greate challenge for the next generation of

    researchers and citizens

    to design, test, evaluate and diffuse a learning-by-doing processto develop a vision for a revolution in education and capacity

    building and to facilitate a sustainable future.

    growing recognition that responses to environmental and social

    challenges require new and visionary approaches to interdisciplinary

    science, more than a new type of global change curriculum that

    includes courses from the natural, social and human sciences.

    requires transformational changes at the individual and collective

    levels that include enhanced capacities to understand complex and

    interacting processes.

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    Types of questions we were asked to address

    How to intensify the discourse between natural and physical

    sciences & social and human sciences?

    Perspectives of research careers for young researchers?

    Barriers that deter the young researchers from interdisciplinary

    routes and the incentives to bring them on this route? How to create and nurture individual and institutional

    mechanisms to ensure transdisciplinary educative approaches?

    How to fill the gaps in trans-disciplinary education at the

    university level affecting the capacity in inter-disciplinaryresearch in Europe?

    How could ESF and its partners add their voices to change the

    universitys mindset and curricula in insuring proper

    interdisciplinary research and education?

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    Change of perspective needed!

    It is not just about changing the system, but also about changing

    the way of looking at the system of education and capacity

    building by those with the power to make changes happen

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    Key Factors

    1: Education for social transformation

    2: Multi-dimensionalizing environmentalissues

    3: An open future

    4: Education for political change

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    Foresight: Visioning a Capacity Revolution

    The Goal: To change the way we think, and in doingso, change our capacity to learn and act.

    The Problem: A discontinuity exists between the past

    and the future. The emergence of new, potentiallypowerful capabilities for learning and acting existsalongside evidence that existing capacities to learnand act are inadequate, even dysfunctional to the

    point of being dangerous.The Challenge: Can we imagine changes in the

    conditions of change?

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    WG Interface between science and policy,

    communication and outreachor Opening science for a knowledge democracy

    Leaders: Dr. Jill Jger; Prof. Frans Berkhout

    Future of knowledge systems: open; diverse; problem-oriented;

    implementation-oriented; transformative; responsible; accountable

    Work domains:

    Develop best practices, scientific consensus and targets that could

    feed into research policy development for the benefit of policy

    makers and other stakeholders

    RESCUEWorkingGroups

    Organising/running science Incentives for stakeholders and Metrics Learning and feedbacks The demand for and use of knowledge Processes of engagement New challenges, New problems and tensions Redistribution of power and authority

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    VISION RD4SD

    Analysis of how research systems (i.e.

    organisations, programmes and policies) are

    responsive to sustainability requirements.

    Proposals for monitoring and enhancing this

    response.

    Iterative, structured dialogue between R&D

    policy makers, with support of sustainability

    scientists.

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    Far-Reaching Institutional Change

    Example:

    There is an immediate need to design and establish long-term

    funding programmes (10 years and more) that are not subject

    to change at every national election.

    This will require cross-sectoral cooperation among two or more

    ministries (e.g. Ministry for Research + Ministry for Energy,

    Rural Development & Transportation + Ministry forDevelopment Cooperation) to support the long-term and

    implementation-oriented character of those programmes.

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    Reliable Funding

    Example:Changes in the funding and allocation system have to be made in

    response to the needs of stakeholders and the complex

    character of sustainability and global change research.

    A proper evaluation system for integrative research on societal

    themes is needed together with further development and

    testing of concepts, methods and tools for implementation-

    oriented research for sustainability.

    Science funders need to devise and implement procedures forbringing more societal actors into the process of funding

    decisions.

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    Commitment to Engagement and

    Communication

    Example:

    As a first step, a set of 10-20 long-term demonstration projects

    covering different world regions and scales, sustainability

    needs/problem domains and policy contexts should be set upacross the world to demonstrate viable / working

    mechanisms of engagement and cooperation in knowledge

    production, learning and evaluation while tackling concrete

    sustainability concerns. These demonstration projects should

    be carefully monitored and regularly compared and theirprocesses and results should be disseminated widely.

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    Building Capacity (to learn)

    Example:

    It is of central importance to provide large-scale and long-term

    career incentives for (young) scientists working in these fields.

    There are encouraging developments that could bestrengthened but much more is needed, including providing

    real credit for getting your hands dirty.

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    Dr. Patrick Monfray (FR), initiator agency (CNRS) representative

    Prof. Alan Jones (IE), LESC member

    Prof. Luisa Lima (PT), SCSS member

    Prof. Ulrike Landfester (CH), SCH member

    Prof. Ole John Nielsen (DK); Prof. M. Kaminska (PL), PESC members

    Dr. Ipek Erzi (TK), ESSEM Vice-Chair;J. Ingram (UK), ESSEM member

    Prof. Gran Collste (SE), ISCH member

    Prof. Giuseppe Scarascia-Mugnozza (IT), FPS member

    Dr. Marc Heppener (ESF), Dir. of Science & Strategy Development Dr. Matthias Haury (COST), Head of Science Operations

    In cooperation with: ICSU, ISSC, GCR programmes & ESSP, European

    Alliance for GCR, science funding and performing agencies, EC

    RESCUE Quality Reference Group (QRG) set up to ensure the optimal quality and impact ofthe RESCUE activities and outputs

    RESCU

    EQua

    lityRe

    ferenceGrou

    p

    /

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    RESCUE membership (SSC, WGs, QRG)

    disciplinary distribution

    RESCUEmem

    bers

    hip-dis

    cip

    linary

    distribution

    4%

    32%

    33%

    18%

    3% 10%

    Geosciences Environmental sciences

    Social sciences Humanities

    Technological sciences Foresight

    Humanities

    and Social

    Sciences51%

    /

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    Provisional RESCUE timeline (1/2)

    ESFForesightActiv

    ities

    RESCUEtime

    line

    /

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    Provisional RESCUE timeline (2/2)

    ESFForesightActiv

    ities

    RESCUEtime

    line

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    RESCUEco

    ntacts

    Forward Looks enable Europes scientific community, in interaction

    with policy makers, to develop mid- to long-term views and analyses

    of future research developments with the aim of defining research

    agendas on national and European level.

    European Science Foundation (ESF)

    Dr. Bernard Avril

    Life, Earth & Environmental Sciences (LESC)

    Email: [email protected]; Website: www.esf.org/rescue

    European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST)

    Dr. Carine Petit

    Earth System Science & Environmental Management (ESSEM)

    Email: [email protected]

    ESF-COST Frontier of Science initiative

    RESCUE Contacts

    http://www.esf.org/home.htmlhttp://www.esf.org/home.html
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    General Forward Look Goals

    Forward Looks provide medium to long-termauthoritative visions on science perspectives in

    broad areas of research bringing together ESF

    Member Organisations, other research institutions

    and the scientific community, in creative interaction.

    Forward Look reports and other

    outputs such as Science Policy

    Briefings assist policy makers andresearchers in setting priorities and

    in defining and implementing

    optimal research agendas.

    E

    SFForesig

    htActivities

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    Typical Forward Look

    Design State-of-the-Art review

    Current state of research in the area and highlights of the major advances

    in the last years

    Scientific challenges Impact of those advances on the research agenda

    Indication of major knowledge gaps and potential hot topics Identification of European strength and weakness

    Vision Presentation of a vision with major goals that could provide directions for

    research in the medium and long term time frame

    Implementation plan (in terms of infrastructure, institutional innovation,human resources, governance)

    Impact and Follow-up Key stakeholders likely to play a key role in the implementation

    Targeted recommendations

    Follow-up mechanism to ensure delivery and avoid risks

    E

    SFForesig

    htActivities

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    Typical Forward Looks

    Format

    Activities include preparatory study/expert groups, high level overview

    papers, workshops and meetings

    Main event: high visibility conference

    Outputs: Policy Briefings, major reports,

    action plans

    Scientific Steering Committee: 8-12 p.

    Lead time: 12-18 months

    Average budget: 120-240 k

    E

    SFForesig

    htActivities

    Th F i ht Di d

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    Semi-quantitative (10) applyingmathematical principles to process

    subjective knowledge (i.e.

    weighting ideas, systems theory)

    Strongly influenced by imagination

    Strongly

    influenced byexperiences and

    knowledge

    sharing

    Strongly

    influenced by

    discussions and

    knowledge

    exchange

    Strongly influenced by facts & data

    Modelling

    Extrapolation

    Indicators

    Benchmarking

    Quantitative (6) if theactivity uses or is based on

    reliable numerical data (i.e.

    statistical information)

    Cross-impact

    Bibliometrics

    The Foresight Diamond

    Creativity

    InteractionExpertise

    Evidence

    Science fiction

    Scanning

    Qualitative (17) relying less onnumbers and statistics (i.e.

    subjective reports, synthesis and

    evaluation of ideas or documents)

    Brainstorming

    Essays / Scenario writing

    Conferences / Seminars

    Wild cards

    SWOT analysis

    Expert Panels

    Genius forecasting

    Scenario workshop

    Morphological analysis

    Interviews

    Literature review

    Citizen Panels

    Relevance trees / Logic charts

    Backcasting

    Role Play/Acting

    Roadmapping

    Quantitative Scenarios/SMIC

    Delphi

    System/Structural analysis

    Voting / Polling

    Gaming-simulation

    Stakeholders Mapping

    Key/Critical technologies Multi-criteria

    Patent analysisESFForesightActivities

    ForesightActivities

    Used in

    RESCUE

    http://www.esf.org/home.html