report number:14060 revised - halton district school board€¦ · new alton elementary school (st....

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Report Number:14060 REVISED Date: April 10, 2014 INFORMATION FOR DECISION TO: The Chair and Members of the Halton District School Board FROM: Lucy Veerman, Superintendent of Business Services David Euale, Director of Education RE: Long Term Accommodation Plan – 2013/2014 Warrant: The 2013/2014 Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP) provides enrolment projections for the years 2014 to 2023 for each Elementary and Secondary Review Area (ERA and SRA) in the Board as well as for each elementary and secondary school within the system. The basis of this plan is to identify new capital project initiatives for the Board from 2014-15 to 2018-19 in preparation for any potential updates as required by the Ministry of Education for the Capital Priorities funding requests. As well, the 2013/2014 LTAP identifies issues related to enrolment that are occurring in various review areas throughout the Board, including suggested strategies, such as boundary studies. RECOMMENDATION Be it resolved that the Halton District School Board approve the 2013/2014 Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP); and THAT staff be directed to submit the updated LTAP to the Ministry of Education, City of Burlington, Town of Halton Hills, Town of Milton and the Town of Oakville, Region of Halton, Halton Catholic District School Board, Conseil Scolaire de District Catholique du Centre-Sud, and Conseil Scolaire Viamonde for information. The 2013/2014 Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP) provides enrolment projections for the years 2014 to 2023 for each Elementary and Secondary Review Area (ERA and SRA) in the Board as well as for each elementary and secondary school within the system. The 2013/2014 LTAP also identifies accommodation pressures resulting from these enrolment projections and strategies to address them. (Note: hard copies have been distributed to Trustees and Senior Staff and an electronic copy will be posted on the Board’s Planning Website http://www.hdsb.ca/AboutUs/Planning/Pages/LongTermAccommodationPlan.aspx). The basis of this plan is to identify new capital project initiatives for the Board from 2014-15 to 2018-19 in preparation for any potential required updates as required by the Ministry of Education for the Capital Priorities Template. As well, the LTAP provides the opportunity to identify the school boundary study initiatives that are to be undertaken as a result of ongoing capital initiatives, and to address accommodation pressures due to new residential development, changing demographics, and program pressures. The LTAP has been updated to reflect the additional pupil places resulting from the classroom additions required for the implementation of the Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) up to and including the 2014/2015 school year. As well, the plan identifies review areas and schools where enrolment issues are projected to occur within the immediate future and the need to undertake associated boundary studies. The attached tables provide a summary of the 2013/2014 LTAP initiatives. Summary The 2013/2014 LTAP verifies and continues with the implementation of new school capital projects as outlined in the approved 2012-13 LTAP, and the Capital Priorities submission to the Ministry of Education, as revised.

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Page 1: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Report Number:14060 REVISED Date: April 10, 2014

INFORMATION FOR DECISION TO: The Chair and Members of the Halton District School Board

FROM: Lucy Veerman, Superintendent of Business Services David Euale, Director of Education

RE: Long Term Accommodation Plan – 2013/2014

Warrant:The 2013/2014 Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP) provides enrolment projections for the years 2014 to 2023 for each Elementary and Secondary Review Area (ERA and SRA) in the Board as well as for each elementary and secondary school within the system. The basis of this plan is to identify new capital project initiatives for the Board from 2014-15 to 2018-19 in preparation for any potential updates as required by the Ministry of Education for the Capital Priorities funding requests. As well, the 2013/2014 LTAP identifies issues related to enrolment that are occurring in various review areas throughout the Board, including suggested strategies, such as boundary studies.

RECOMMENDATION

Be it resolved that the Halton District School Board approve the 2013/2014 Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP); and THAT staff be directed to submit the updated LTAP to the Ministry of Education, City of Burlington, Town of Halton Hills, Town of Milton and the Town of Oakville, Region of Halton, Halton Catholic District School Board, Conseil Scolaire de District Catholique du Centre-Sud, and Conseil Scolaire Viamonde for information.

The 2013/2014 Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP) provides enrolment projections for the years 2014 to 2023 for each Elementary and Secondary Review Area (ERA and SRA) in the Board as well as for each elementary and secondary school within the system. The 2013/2014 LTAP also identifies accommodation pressures resulting from these enrolment projections and strategies to address them. (Note: hard copies have been distributed to Trustees and Senior Staff and an electronic copy will be posted on the Board’s Planning Website http://www.hdsb.ca/AboutUs/Planning/Pages/LongTermAccommodationPlan.aspx).

The basis of this plan is to identify new capital project initiatives for the Board from 2014-15 to 2018-19 in preparation for any potential required updates as required by the Ministry of Education for the Capital Priorities Template. As well, the LTAP provides the opportunity to identify the school boundary study initiatives that are to be undertaken as a result of ongoing capital initiatives, and to address accommodation pressures due to new residential development, changing demographics, and program pressures. The LTAP has been updated to reflect the additional pupil places resulting from the classroom additions required for the implementation of the Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) up to and including the 2014/2015 school year. As well, the plan identifies review areas and schools where enrolment issues are projected to occur within the immediate future and the need to undertake associated boundary studies. The attached tables provide a summary of the 2013/2014 LTAP initiatives.

Summary The 2013/2014 LTAP verifies and continues with the implementation of new school capital projects as outlined in the approved 2012-13 LTAP, and the Capital Priorities submission to the Ministry of Education, as revised.

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There are however several revisions and additions as follows:

� As a result of Ministry of Education Funding approvals, a new 740 OTG Martin Street PS rebuild (ERA 119) has been identified to open for or during the 2015/2016 school year. This will be subject to municipal approvals and issuance of building permits.

� As a result of Ministry of Education Funding approval, Oakville NE #1 ps (ERA 118) has been identified to open for 2015/2016, subject to municipal approvals and issuance of building permits.

� As a result of Ministry of Education Funding approval, Heritage Glen PS is identified to have a 6-classroom retrofit/addition for 2015/2016, subject to municipal approvals and issuance of building permits.

� Oakville NE #2 ps (ERA 118) in the North Oakville Community has been identified to open for 2016/2017 years, subject to funding from the Ministry of Education and pending the purchase of a suitable site;

� Milton #10 ps (ERA 121 Milton #10 elementary school) in the Boyne Secondary Plan area has been identified to open for 2016/2017 subject to funding from the Ministry of Education and pending the purchase of a suitable site;

� Oakville SW #1 ps (ERA 111) in the Lakeshore Woods Community has been identified to open for the 2016-17 school year subject to the Board decision of undertaking a Pupil Accommodation Review (i.e. school closures/consolidations), and subject to funding from the Ministry of Education in ERA 112;

� Milton SW #1 hs has been identified to open for 2017/2018.

A description of the accommodations challenges and enrolment issues follows.

BURLINGTON: Elementary Review Areas

1. ERA 100: Aldershot Elementary, Glenview, King’s Road, Maplehurst Public Schools This review area will continue to exhibit an overall utilization of facilities around 75% over the next 10 years. Currently there are approximately 381 empty pupil places. The Aldershot elementary section of Aldershot HS is currently exhibiting the lowest utilization of pupil places within this review area with the school’s enrolment at 63% of the elementary school’s OTG capacity, which will continue to decline to a 57% utilization rate by 2023. King’s Road PS OTG utilization is projected to decline from 71% in 2013 to 56% in 2023. Enrolment at Glenview PS is projected to continue to grow to the point where it will slightly exceed OTG and portable capacity from 2022, however, this is a result of proposed residential development to be located in the North Aldershot community (north of HWY 403).

2. ERA 101:Burlington Central, Central, Lakeshore and Tom Thomson Public Schools This is a mature and stable review area, which contains the downtown core of Burlington. The OTG utilization for this review area is in the range of 86% to 93% over the next ten years. Tom Thomson PS is projected to exceed OTG and portable capacity by 2015, as a result of increasing enrolments in the French Immersion program. Enrolment at Lakeshore PS is projected to remain in the range of 64% to 69% utilization over the next 10 years. Central PS is projected to decline in enrolment over the next 10 years resulting in a utilization rate decline from 78% in 2013 to 60% by 2023.

3. ERA 102: John T. Tuck, Pauline Johnson, Ryerson and Tecumseh Public Schools This review area will continue to exhibit a relatively stable enrolment over the next 10 years resulting in an OTG utilization rate range from 83% to 86%. Ryerson PS is currently exhibiting the lowest utilization of pupil places within this review area with the enrolment at 43% of the school’s OTG capacity. The introduction of the Grade 1 Primary Gifted Program at the school in 2014 will result in an increase in enrolment. Moreover, enrolment pressures at Charles R. Beaudoin PS will be evaluated prior to the phase in of additional gifted grades at Ryerson PS. However, there will be sufficient OTG capacity to accommodate this program at Ryerson PS in the long term.

Tecumseh PS is projected to continue to be at around a 60% utilization rate over the next 10 years. On the other hand, enrolment at John T. Tuck PS is projected to continue to exceed OTG capacity over the next 10 years, resulting in utilization rate ranging from 132% in 2013 to 119% in 2023.

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4. ERA 103: Frontenac, Mohawk Gardens and Pineland Public Schools Enrolments in this area are projected to continue to result in an overall OTG utilization rate of around 80% over the next 10 years. However, it is projected that there will be 421 empty pupil places in this review area by 2023. Since the 2009 LTAP, as revised, an issue has been raised with respect to the dual track program at Pineland PS. In light of the limited numbers of students who had enrolled in the Grade 1 English program for September 2013, the Grade 1 program was no longer offered at the school for 2013/2014. The same situation will occur for the 2014/2015 school year, as neither the Grade 1 nor Grade 2 English program will be offered at the school. As a result, a school boundary review has been initiated for this review area, commencing in the spring of 2014, with implementation for 2015/2016 school year.

Enrolment at Frontenac PS is projected to decline from the current utilization of 60% OTG capacity to 53% by 2022 while Mohawk Gardens PS enrolment is projected to decline from the current utilization rate of 77% of the school’s OTG capacity to 70% by 2022.

5. ERA 105: Brant Hills, Bruce T. Lindley, C.H. Norton, and Paul A. Fisher Public Schools This review area will also continue to exhibit declining enrolment during the next 10 years. The utilization of facilities will decline from 82% in 2013 to 71% in 2023. It is projected that there will be 479 empty pupil places within this review area by 2023. Brant Hills PS enrolment is projected to decline from a 63% OTG utilization to 55% by 2023.

6. ERA 106: Clarksdale, Dr. Charles Best, Rolling Meadows, and Sir E. MacMillan Public Schools Projections indicate that the enrolments will decline for the next ten years. The OTG utilization rate will range from 84% in 2014, declining to 71% in 2023. By 2023 it is projected that there will be approximately 542 empty pupil places in this review area. Clarksdale PS and Rolling Meadows PS were impacted by the opening of the new Alton Village PS in September 2012.

As a result, it is projected that enrolments at Clarksdale PS will decline to the point that it will be at 71% of the school’s OTG capacity by 2023. Rolling Meadows PS enrolments are projected to decline to the extent that by 2023 the school will be at 60% of OTG capacity.

7. ERA 107: Charles R. Beaudoin, Florence Meares Public Schools It is projected that the overall utilization rate will be at 91% by 2023. The redirection of the Grade 1 Primary Gifted Program for September 2014 to Ryerson PS has provided the necessary accommodation relief at Charles R. Beaudoin PS for the 2014/2015 school year. Enrolment pressures at Charles R. Beaudoin PS will be evaluated prior to the phase in of additional gifted grades at Ryerson PS. If the entire Primary Gifted Program was permanently redirected to Ryerson PS, long term projections indicate that enrolments at Charles Beaudoin PS would continue to decline, to the point that portables may not be required at the school by 2017.

8. ERA 108: Alexander’s, John William Boich and Orchard Park Public Schools The three schools in this review area will continue to experience enrolment pressures over the next 4 to 5 years, resulting in the need for the placement of portables on each of the school sites. By 2023 it is projected that the utilization rate will be 90%.

9. ERA 109: Alton Village Public School Alton Village PS was opened in September 2012. Projections indicate that portables will be required by 2014, which is primarily a result of the school implementing the FDELK program. Projections indicate that the school’s OTG and portable capacity are projected to be exceeded by 2018. However, the Halton Catholic DSB opened their new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments is not known as trends need to be established.

10. ERA 110: Kilbride PS Enrolment projections indicate a stable review area. Kilbride PS is projected to have an OTG utilization rate of around 80% over the next 10 years.

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OAKVILLE - Elementary Review Areas

1. ERA 111: Elementary school in Lakeshore Woods Community All students within this area currently attend schools outside the review area. Currently, a total of 604 students from ERA 111 are accommodated at Gladys Speers, Eastview, Pine Grove, Pineland and Mohawk Gardens Public Schools respectively.

The 2012/2013 LTAP identified the opportunity to develop an elementary school within the Lakeshore Woods community in order to address this issue as well as potentially alleviating accommodation pressures at Pine Grove PS in ERA 112. Development of this project would be subject to the outcome of the Program and Accommodation Review and funding approvals from the Ministry of Education. A Preliminary Director’s Report was presented to trustees in May 2013, recommending the initiation of a PAR for ERA 111 and ERA 112. However, this item was referred back to Program and Accommodation Review, subject to the Board making a request for a new elementary school through the Ministry of Education’s Capital Priorities program. An application was made as part of the Ministry’s requests for Capital Priorities in October 2013. The Ministry did not approve the request and confirmed that the Board needed to undertake a PAR prior to any future submission of capital requests to the Ministry. They did also indicate that the completion of a PAR would not necessarily result in capital approvals for a new school.

As a result, it appears that the Board would need to initiate and complete a PAR for ERA 111 and ERA 112 prior to the Board submitting a capital request from the Ministry of Education for a new school in the Lakeshore Woods Community.

2. ERA 112: Brookdale, Eastview, Gladys Speers, Oakwood, Pine Grove, W.H. Morden Public Schools The area in question will continue to see enrolment being close to or slightly over capacity during the next 10 years. The OTG utilization is projected to be at 103% in 2023. Most schools will have enrolment that can be accommodated within their respective building and portable capacity. Oakwood PS enrolment is currently at 48% of its OTG capacity and it is expected to continue at that level during the next several years. Although by 2023, the OTG utilization for Oakwood PS is projected to be at 77%, as a result of projected growth from residential intensification in the Kerr Street Village area. It is projected that enrolment at Pine Grove PS will continue to exceed its building capacity during the next 10 years, resulting in the need for the placement of portables on site to provide accommodation.

In the fall of 2013, the Board approved moving forward with a Southwest Oakville French Immersion Boundary Review in order to establish an interim French Immersion accommodation plan for schools in ERA 112. In January, 2014 the Board approved the recommendation from the Southwest Oakville French Immersion Boundary Review Steering Committee that no further action be taken to redirect students in this area for the 2014/15 school year. However, the Board staff was directed to make a recommendation to the Board no later than October 2014 when the 2014/15 FI enrolments are known regarding the need to schedule a Boundary Review for the 2015/16 school year.

3. ERA 113 – EJ James, James W. Hill, Maple Grove and New Central Public Schools The review area is generally a mature community with OTG utilization projected to continue to be above 100% over the next 10 years. EJ James PS enrolments are projected to continue to be over capacity over the next 10 years and they are projected to exceed building and portable capacity by 2015. James W. Hill PS enrolments are projected to continue to exceed OTG capacity resulting in the placement of portables on site over the next 10 years.

4. ERA 114 – Captain R. Wilson, Emily Carr and Palermo Public Schools The North West Oakville Elementary Schools Boundary Review resulted in the approval of new boundaries for the both ERA 114 and 115. The greatest change was in the French Immersion Program boundaries which resulted in the creation of new French Immersion programs at Heritage Glen PS (Grades 1 to 3) and Pilgrim Wood PS (Grades 1 to 3) starting the 2012/2013 school year. This provided some accommodation relief to Palermo PS within this review area.

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As part of the Ministry of Education Capital Priorities request in October 2013, trustees included an 8-room addition to Palermo PS for 2014/15, which would result in the school having an OTG capacity of 902. This would make the school the largest OTG elementary school in the Board. The Ministry did not approve the project as part of the 2013 Capital Priorities program. Based on the projections and current OTG of 718 pupil places, it would appear that enrolments at Palermo PS will continue to decline to the point that no portables would be required by 2021 over the next 8 years. By adding 8 classrooms to the school, no portables would be required and by 2023, the school would have a utilization rate of 77%.

5. ERA 115 – Abbey Lane, Forest Trail, Heritage Glen, Pilgrim Wood and West Oak Public Schools As identified in ERA 114, the North West Oakville Elementary Schools Boundary Review resulted in the approval of new boundaries for t both ERA 114 and 115. The greatest change was in the French Immersion Program boundaries which resulted in the creation of new French Immersion programs at Heritage Glen PS (Grades 1 to 3) and Pilgrim Wood PS (Grades 1 to 3) starting the 2012/2013 school year. This not only provided some accommodation relief to Palermo PS, but also to Forest Trail PS in the longer term. As a result of ongoing accommodation pressures due to the introduction of the French Immersion Program at Pilgrim Wood PS, a 6 room addition was approved by the Ministry of Education for the school in January 2013, as well as an 8-room addition at Forest Trail PS.

Enrolments in the fall of 2013 confirmed there were ongoing accommodation pressures at Heritage Glen PS. Therefore, as part of the Ministry of Education Capital Priorities request in October 2013, trustees approved a 6-room retrofit/addition to Heritage Glen PS. This request was approved by the Ministry of Education as part of the Capital Priorities announcements. The timing of this retrofit/addition is to be completed at the earliest during 2014/2015 school year, subject to municipal approvals and building permits.

The recent and proposed additions to the schools are projected to result in an overall review area OTG utilization rate of 86% by 2023. Abbey Lane PS enrolments will continue to decline to the point that by 2023 the OTG utilization will be at 52%.

6. ERA 116 : Montclair, Munn’s, Post’s Corners, River Oaks, and Sunningdale Public Schools This review area contains the mature neighbourhoods located north and south of Upper Middle Road, as well as the growth areas north of Upper Middle Road (i.e. Uptown Core). Two schools in this review area (Munn’s PS, River Oaks PS, Sunningdale PS) are currently accommodating students from ERA 118 in North Oakville (north of Dundas Street and west of Trafalgar Road). Munn’s PS is located within ERA 116, however it is accommodating students that reside in ERA 117, along with students that will be generated from North Oakville, east of Trafalgar Road.

The Board has received funding approval from the Ministry of Education with respect to new NE Oakville #1 public school, which is projected to open for the 2015/2016 school year. The opening of this school, and the associated boundary review, will provide accommodation relief to the schools in ERA 116.

Currently, the OTG utilization in the review area is above 100% which is expected to decrease over the next ten years to 94% by 2023. Both Munn’s and Sunningdale Public Schools will continue to require portables over the next 10 years. On the other hand, Montclair PS enrolments will remain stable over the longer term, with a utilization rate of 92% by 2023. Post’s Corners PS enrolments are projected to decline in the longer term, to the point that by 2023 the OTG utilization will be at 81%. River Oaks PS is projected to experience the greatest decline, where the OTG utilization will decrease from 100% in 2013 to 59% by 2023.

7. ERA 117 : Falgarwood, Joshua Creek, and Sheridan Public Schools The area contains mature neighbourhoods south of Upper Middle Road and growth neighbourhoods north of Upper Middle Road (Joshua Creek community). The OTG utilization is projected to decline to 72% utilization by 2023. Joshua Creek PS will continue to require portables until 2016 due to enrolments exceeding OTG capacity.

Falgarwood PS enrolments are projected to decline over the next ten years with an OTG utilization of 54% by 2023. Similarly, Sheridan PS enrolment is also projected to remain below OTG capacity, with a utilization rate of 74% by 2023.

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8. ERA 118 : Oakville NE #1 PSOverall, Board staff has identified the need for 6 elementary schools in the new North Oakville Secondary Plan area. The Ministry of Education has provided funding in the recent Capital Priorities announcements for the new NE Oakville #1 ps, which is projected to be opened for the 2015/2016 school year. The timing of the actual opening is contingent upon the Board accessing a school site, and the ensuing municipal and building permit approvals. Board staff is working with developers in the area and it is projected that a school block will be available for acquisition by September 2014. The opening of the new school for the 2015/2016 school year will provide accommodation relief to the existing schools (River Oaks PS and Sunningdale PS). Projections indicate that the next school would be required for the 2017/2018 school year as the new NE Oakville #1 public school is projected to exceed building and portable capacity.

MILTON - Elementary Review Areas

1. ERA 119: Martin Street, WI Dick, Robert Baldwin, J.M. Denyes, EW Foster, and Sam Sherratt PS The Board received Capital Priorities funding approval for a new Martin Street PS (740 OTG) to be rebuilt on the site. The school is anticipated to open during the 2015/2016 school year, depending on municipal and building permit approvals. How the rebuild will occur is to be determined through architectural review (i.e. tear down school/relocate students temporarily or build on the site and keep Martin Street PS open. It should be noted that the primary basis in the Capital Priorities Business Case for the new rebuild (with the additional pupil places), is to accommodate new growth from the Milton Heights area; as well as provide accommodation relief to WI Dick PS, Escarpment View PS (ERA 121) and potentially Anne J. MacArthur PS (ERA 121). A boundary review will be required to be undertaken in the fall for these schools and areas, in conjunction with the boundary review for the new Milton #9 school. The temporary relocation of existing Martin Street PS students will likely be discussed during this process, if required.

2. ERA 120 – Bruce Trail, Chris Hadfield, Hawthorne Village, Irma Coulson and Tiger Jeet Singh PS The Board opened Irma Coulson PS in September 2013, with an OTG of 793 pupil places. As well, the proposed addition of 9 JK/SK classrooms at Bruce Trail PS (scheduled to open during the 2014/2015 school year) has increased the school’s OTG from 598 to 850 pupil places. Also, the 5 JK/SK classroom addition (to be completed for 2014/2015) has increased the OTG capacity at Hawthorne Village PS from 575 to 723, while the OTG capacity at Tiger Jeet Singh PS increase from a 782 to 896 capacity as a result of a 3 JK/SK classroom addition (to be completed for 2014/2015). Overall, enrolment in this review will continue to exceed OTG capacity over the next ten years, given the demographics in the review area. However, the more immediate concern is that enrolment at Tiger Jeet Singh PS will exceed its OTG and portable capacity by 2016 and for approximately 3 years thereafter. Any accommodation issues at this school, as well as others in this ERA, could be addressed by adding more portables on the respective school sites, or alternatively include these schools (i.e. Tiger Jeet Singh PS) as part of the boundary reviews when future elementary schools are developed in the Boyne Community.

3. ERA 121 – Anne J. MacArthur, Escarpment View and PL Robertson Public Schools The Board opened Milton PS in September 2013, with the students (Grades 1 to 8) eventually transferring to the new Anne J. MacArthur PS in February 2014. The opening of the school provided accommodation relief to PL Robertson PS, although the school will continue to require portables over the next 10 years. However, enrolment projections indicate that Anne J. MacArthur PS will exceed its total OTG capacity for September 2014. The Ministry of Education has provided funding for Milton SE #9 ps (to be located in ERA 127 - Boyne Secondary Plan). The school, which is scheduled to open for the 2015/2016 school year, is expected to provide accommodation relief to Anne J. MacArthur PS and potentially PL Robertson PS, once a boundary review has been completed (winter 2015).

As indicated, the Board received Capital Priorities funding approval for a new Martin Street PS (740 OTG) to be rebuilt on the site, which is scheduled to open during the 2015/2016 school year. One of the factors in the Capital Priorities Business Case for the new rebuild is to provide accommodation relief to Escarpment View PS (ERA 121), which currently has 16 portables on site. So as part of a future boundary review, for the new Martin Street PS, Escarpment View PS is to be included.

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4. ERA 127 – Boyne Survey (Milton) This is a new review area added in Milton in order to reflect the new growth area (Boyne). The Boyne Community currently has 6 elementary schools and one secondary school identified within the secondary plan. There is 1 elementary school identified for the Milton Education Village (located west of Tremaine Road).

The Ministry of Education has announced funding for the Milton SE#9 ps, with a projected opening for the 2015/2016 school year. This new school is anticipated to provide accommodation relief to Anne J. MacArthur PS and PL Robertson PS. It will also be accommodating students generated from the Boyne Community expected to start in late 2015.

Nevertheless, the 2013/2014 LTAP identifies the need to open two additional elementary schools (Milton #10 ps) in 2016/2017 and Milton #11 in 2017/2018. Each school is anticipated to have a 740 OTG pupil place capacity. These schools could provide accommodation to students generated from the Boyne Community, as well as provide accommodation relief to existing schools (i.e. Tiger Jeet Singh PS). These new schools are subject to Ministry funding and accessing/acquiring the respective school sites in a timely manner.

HALTON HILLS - Elementary Review Areas

1. ERA 124 – Gardiner, Joseph Gibbons, Park, Silver Creek, Stewarttown Public Schools Long range enrolment projections show a stable review area with a mix of mature, declining communities (downtown Georgetown, north of Maple Drive / 17 Side Road) and growth neighbourhoods (Georgetown South). Overall OTG utilization is projected to be in the range of 89% to 98% over the next 10 years. Town Council approved expansion of urban boundary west of Eighth Line to Trafalgar Road, north of 10 Side Road. At this time the number of residential units and phasing is unknown as no secondary plan has been prepared and approved by the Town, but they are focusing on a 2021 time frame for commencement.

Gardiner PS will continue to require portables over the next 10 years as the OTG utilization will be at 121% by 2023. Silver Creek PS enrolment will remain at its OTG capacity for the next 2 years, although it will decline to the point that by 2023 the OTG utilization is projected to be at 73%. Enrolment at Joseph Gibbons PS is projected to continue to remain low with 161 students by 2023 (OTG utilization of 76%). The 10 year projections for Park PS show enrolment being above 200 with an estimated 205 students by 2023 and an OTG utilization of 72%. The issue for these two schools is whether or not program viability can be achieved with relatively low enrolments.

2. ERA 125 – Centennial, George Kennedy, and Harrison Public SchoolsEnrolment projections indicate a stable review area with mature communities that have some infill development in the Norval hamlet and neighbourhoods around Mountainview Road. N., and north of the CN Railway. It is projected that there will be approximately 307 empty pupil places within this review area by 2023.

3. ERA 126 – Glen Williams, Limehouse, McKenzie-Smith Bennett, Pineview, Robert Little Public Schools This review area will see long term enrolments being projected at OTG utilization rate of 75% by 2023 and a overall availability of 471 pupil places. Limehouse PS is currently exhibiting the lowest pupil enrolment in the Board with 129 pupils and will likely increase with the implementation of FDELK in September 2014 however, it will decline to about 119 students by 2023.

BURLINGTON - Secondary Review Areas

1. SRA 100 and SRA 101 The opening of the new Dr. Frank J. Hayden Secondary School in September 2013 resulted in the redirection of students from SRA 100. As a result, enrolment projections indicate the utilization of space in SRA 100 secondary schools is currently at 77% in 2013, declining to 57% in 2023. Currently there are approximately 1477 available secondary pupil places in ERA 100, which will increase to 2735 students by 2023. More specifically the OTG utilization for all secondary schools in this SRA will drop over the next 10 years:

Aldershot – 72% to 60%, Burlington Central - 60% to 53%, Lester B. Pearson - 84% to 59%, MM Robinson – 68% to 43%, Nelson – 92% to 79%, Robert Bateman- 81% to 48%.

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In reviewing SRA101, it is projected that Dr. Frank J. Hayden Secondary School will continue to grow in enrolment to the point that by 2016, OTG building and portable capacity could be exceeded, with a utilization rate of 125%. However, there are decisions that could be made by the School Principal, when the need arises, that could potentially increase classroom availability.

Overall for Burlington, by 2023 the OTG utilization is projected to be 68%, with approximately 2376 empty pupil places. It would appear that consideration should be given to undertaking a PAR for all secondary schools in Burlington.

OAKVILLE - Secondary Review Areas

1. SRA 102 and SRA103 Overall SRA 102 enrolments are projected to remain relatively stable with OTG utilization ranging from 106% to 114% over the next 10 years. The major accommodation pressure will be the accommodation of the secondary school students generated from development from North Oakville. Currently those students are directed to White Oaks SS (WOSS), which based on projections could exceed OTG building and portable capacity by 2017.However, there are decisions that could be made by the School Principal, when the need arises, that could potentially increase classroom availability and defer any accommodation issues until 2019. Iroquois Ridge HS enrolments are also projected to exceed OTG building and portable capacity by 2017, although the decisions made by the School Principal could potentially increase classroom availability, which could defer accommodation issues.

The opening of Garth Webb Secondary School in SRA 103 for September 2012 provided accommodation relief to Abbey Park HS and White Oaks Secondary School (located in SRA 102) in the longer term. It is projected that Garth Webb SS will not require any portables on-site, until 2016. Projections indicate that the school’s enrolment could exceed OTG building and portable capacity by 2020. However, there are decisions that could be made by the School Principal, when the need arises, that could potentially increase classroom availability and defer any accommodation issues.

Overall, secondary school enrolments in Oakville are projected to continue to increase over the next 10 years. By 2023, the OTG utilization will be at 113%, with a general requirement of 949 pupil places. It is anticipated that a new secondary school will be required in the North Oakville community prior to that date, in order to provide accommodation relief to WOSS by 2019.

MILTON - Secondary Review Areas

1. SRA 104, SRA 105 and SRA 106 With the opening of the Craig Kielburger Secondary School, the utilization rate of all secondary schools in Milton by 2023 is projected to be 200%, with the need to accommodate an additional 2158 pupils. The existing building and portable capacity of the two secondary schools in Milton would be unable to accommodate these students, and therefore, the need for a third secondary school in Milton is justified. Moreover, it is projected that Milton District High School will exceed its OTG building and portable capacity by 2019. Craig Kielburger SS has exceeded its OTG building and portable capacity in 2013, with the school requiring 14 portables on site for this year and a potential for additional portables to be placed on site in 2014/2015.

Nevertheless, the 2013/2014 LTAP identifies the need for new Milton SW #1 hs to be opened for the 2017/2018 school year. The site is to be located within the Boyne Survey, however, it is not within a registered plan of subdivision, whereby the site can be purchased at this time.

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Report 14060 page 9

Halton Hills - Secondary Review Area

1. SRA 107 Georgetown District High School is over OTG building capacity, however students are being accommodated as a result of decisions being made by the School Principal, that have increased classroom availability. In the longer term, enrolment is projected to decline where the OTG utilization rate is to be 90% during the next ten years.

Acton District High School enrolment will remain in and around 500 pupils, with a range of 112 to 149 available pupil places during the next 10 years.

ConclusionsThe Ministry requested school boards to submit their Capital Priorities by the end of October 2013. The Board has received funding approval for three projects: Martin Street PS rebuild, Oakville NE #1 ps, and a 6-room retrofit/addition to Heritage Glen PS. It is expected that Boards will be requested to submit Capital Priorities funding requests by the end of October 2014. In anticipation of the new capital funding sources the 2013/2014 LTAP verifies the capital projects and needs for the Halton District School Board for the years 2015/20 16 to 2017/2018.

Along with the capital projects verification, the 2013/2014 LTAP also identifies issues related to enrolment that are occurring in various review areas throughout the Board. Attached are tables outlining the LTAP initiatives, including capital projects and school boundary studies.

The 2013/2014 LTAP includes the proposed capital projects/additions with respect to the implementation of Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) for 2014. More specifically, the OTG capacities of schools have been revised to include these JK/SK additions and the rerating of all purpose built JK/SK classrooms from 20:1 to 26:1.

The LTAP will continue to be a fluid document, which will be reviewed annually in order to monitor enrolments, address provincial policy initiatives, and implement new capital projects accordingly.

Once approved by the Board, the 2013/2014 LTAP will be forwarded to the Ministry of Education. As well, the Ministry of Education has a policy whereby school boards are required to work with their community partners in order to share facilities to the benefit of boards, students and the community, and to optimize the use of public assets owned by school boards.

One of the goals of the Ministry policy indicates that in the construction of new schools, major additions and renovations, there is an opportunity for Boards to leverage other infrastructure investments by co-building with entities that provide services and programs for children, their families and the broader community. As part of this process, Boards are expected to notify entities of these projects one-to-three years prior to the potential construction date. This would provide the opportunity for these entities to express an interest in co-building with the Board. Therefore, it would be prudent to initialize the process and advise entities, in particular the local municipalities and coterminous school boards, of the Board’s Long Term Accommodation Plan.

Respectfully submitted,

(signed)_________________________ __________________________ Lucy Veerman David Euale Superintendent of Business Services Director of Education

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ELEMENTARY CAPITAL PROJECT INITIATIVESAll Schools to open as JK to 8

School

OTGSchool

Capacity

ElementaryReview

Area

Status of School

Property(Owned by

HDSB)

Source of FundingIdentified(Yes/No)

FormalApproval of

FundingSource from

Ministry Yes/No 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/2018

COMPLETED PROJECTS

Forest Trail PS - 8 classroom addition 736 115 Yes Yes Yes C

Irma Coulson PS (Milton #7) 793 120 Yes Yes Yes CAnne J. MacArthur PS (Milton #8) 793 120 Yes Yes Yes C

PROJECTS IN PROGRESS

Pilgrim Wood PS 6 classroom addition ��� ��� �� �� �� IP C

Heritage Glen PS Retrofit/Addition �� ��� �� �� �� IP C

Oakville NE #1 ps ��� �� �� �� �� IP Prop

New Martin Street PS ��� ��� �� �� �� IP PROP

Milton SE #9 ps ��� �� �� �� �� IP C

PROPOSED PROJECTS SUBJECT TO MINISTRY FUNDING AND/OR SITE ACQUISITION/AVAILABILITYMilton #10 ps ��� �� �� �� �� PROP

Oakville NE #2 ps ��� �� �� �� �� PROP

Oakville SW #1 ps ��� ��� �� �� �� PROP

Milton #11 ps ��� �� �� �� �� PROP

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Page 11: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

SECONDARY CAPTIAL PROJECT INITIATIVES

OTGSchool

CapacitySecondary

Review Area

Status of School

Property(Owned by

HDSB)

Source of FundingIdentified(Yes/No)

Formal Approval of Funding

Source from Ministry(Yes/No) 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

COMPLETED PROJECTS

Dr. Frank Hayden SS ��� ��� �� �� �� C

PROJECTS IN PROGRESS

PROPOSED PROJECTS SUBJECT TO MINISTRY FUNDING AND/OR SITE ACQUISITION/AVAILABILITYMilton SW #1 hs ���� �� �� �� �� PROP

LEGEND������������������������������������������������������������������� ��!������������ �����"�������"� �"��#���"#�$��� �"%&� �� �"%����� �"������'���()�������������������*�+ � �"� ��&��������, � ��-�.��� �"����%��� ����/� � ��%�'� ��& � �-

Year of Impact on Students

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Page 12: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

BOUNDARY ISSUES TABLE �

Study Date of

Commencement Expected Date of

Completion �� 7(2���8�

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Page 13: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

ERA 100 Aldershot Glenview King’s Road Maplehurst

2013 indicated a greater decline than expected, OTG utilization is above 70% and expected to stabilize between 70%- 80%. Without development, utilizations will decline.

Maplehurst P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.

As a result of development, Glenview P.S. enrolments will approach Total Capacity by 2022, contingent upon developer’s timing. This development will create an imbalance in school utilization for this ERA.

ERA 101 Burlington Central Lakeshore Tom Thomson

A mature, stable review area with OTG utilization around 90%. Full-Day Early learning Kindergarten was fully implanted in 2013. This area contains the downtown core of Burlington. Medium and high density infill developments are occurring across the review area, which will generate some students over next 10 years.

High French Immersion uptake (70%) at Tom Thomson, imbalance could eventually result in English program viability concerns.

ERA 102 John T. Tuck, Pauline Johnson RyersonTecumseh

A mature community with a school that continuously attracts students OTG utilization is expected to remain greater than 85%. Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by 2014

Ryerson P.S. is operating at approximately 45% OTG capacity with Full-Day JK/SK and SPED (Gifted) program. Utilization is expected to grow with the added SPED (Gifted) program.

ERA 103 Frontenac, Mohawk Gardens Pineland Public

A mature, stable review area with OTG utilization around 80% with the full implementation Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) by 2014.

Low enrolment into the English program is expected to continue at Pineland P.S. Approximately 25% of enrolments are in the English program. Since 2009 there has been two years without a grade 1 class and a grade 1 English class is not projected for 2014 As a result of low English enrolments Pineland P.S. will undergo a boundary review Spring 2014.

Frontenac PS will continue to decline in enrolment from 60% utilization in 2013 to 50% in 2023.

ERA 105 Brant Hills Bruce T. Lindley C.H. Norton Paul A. Fisher

A mature, declining review area. Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) was fully implemented in 2013. After 2013 school enrolments illustrate a gradual decrease to approximately 70% OTG utilization by 2019.

Brant Hills P.S. is currently at 63% OTG utilization and is projected to decline over time to 55% utilization in 2023.

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Page 14: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

ERA 106 Clarksdale Rolling Meadows Dr. Charles Best Sir Ernest Macmillan

A mature, declining review area with OTG utilization declining to slightly above 70% by 2013.

Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented by 2013.

Enrolments at Sir E. MacMillan P.S. will decline with the onset of Grade 5 entry Late FI.Rolling Meadows birth rates are declining. The conversion of students to JK for the majority of schools appears to be low or declining. For the last three years, approximately 20% of students elected to leave Rolling Meadows P.S. after SK to attend another school other than Clarksdale French Immersion.

ERA 107 Charles R. Beaudoin Florence Meares

Enrolments are expected to begin to decline. Total utilization is expected to drop to 91% capacity by 2023; this includes the development north of Dundas Street. Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by 2014.

The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot Early French Immersion program in the Millcroft area starting in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward.

ERA 108 Alexander’s John William Boich Orchard park

ERA enrolments are expected to peak in 2014. Total utilization (100%) for this area is expected to continue until approximately 2019.Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by 2014.

French Immersion is offered in all three schools. Alexander’s P.S. will continue to be over capacity until approximately 2017. Orchard Park P.S. is expected to remain above OTG capacity until 2020.

ERA 109 Alton Village

Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) will be fully implemented in 2014. Halton Catholic opened St. Anne Elementary in the 2013 school year which could impact long term enrolments.

Portables will be required by 2014 at Alton Village PS.

If trends continue Alton Village P.S. will exceed Total Capacity by 2018.

ERA 110 Kilbride

A rural planning area, OTG utilization is stable at approximately 80%.

Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented by 2013.

Kilbride PS is a small English track rural school that services rural Burlington and rural Milton (ERA123).

Very few Kilbride PS SK students elected to leave Kilbride to attend grade 1 FI.

ERA 111 Students attend schools outside of the review area. There is one public elementary school block that has been designated in this review area. Most of the students in this area attend schools in ERA 103 (Mohawk Gardens P.S., Pineland P.S.) or ERA 112 (Eastview P.S., Gladys Speers P.S., Pine Grove P.S.).

The 2012/2013 LTAP identified the opportunity to develop an elementary school within the Lakeshore Woods community in order to address this issue as well as potentially alleviating accommodation pressures at Pine Grove PS in ERA 112. Development of a new school in this area is dependent on a Program and Accommodation Review (PARC) for ERA 112 and funding approvals from the Ministry of Education.

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Page 15: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

ERA 112 Brookdale Eastview Gladys Speers Oakwood Pine Grove WH Morden

The area in question will continue to see enrolment being close to or slightly over OTG capacity (100%) over the next ten years.Bronte Village and Kerr Street Village have been identified as two of the six major community studies where residential intensification will occur, typically high density. Other smaller infill developments scattered throughout SW Oakville. The undertaking of a PARC in the area as part of the potential development of an Oakville SW #1 ps (ERA 111 elementary school) in the Lakeshore Woods Community may provide the necessary accommodation relief in some schools.

Pine Grove P.S. OTG utilization is currently at 136% and is expected to decline over time but remain over 125% OTG utilization by 2023.

If a new school is not constructed in ERA 111, the PARC will need to address the accommodation pressures at Pine Grove PS. It should be noted that the Board must approve the initiation of a PARC.

ERA 113 EJ James James W. Hill Maple Grove New Central

A mature review area with OTG utilization above 100% over the next 5 years.Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten fully implemented by 2013.

E.J. James P.S. is currently at 130% OTG utilization and has a maximum portable capacity of 6 portables It is projected that E.J. James P.S. will surpass Total Capacity by 2016. James W. Hill is a dual track school. English enrolments are projected to decline while FI enrolments increase.

ERA 114 Captain R. Wilson Emily Carr Palermo

A high growth area with OTG utilization around 109% with full implementation of Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) by 2014. Contains growth communities of West Oak Trails, Palermo Village, and Bronte Woods. The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot Early French Immersion program in the Palermo area (St. Mary) starting in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward.

Palermo PS is a dual track school and shows a high historical trend of over 68% of their SK class choosing the FI program.

ERA 115 Abbey Lane PS Forest Trail Heritage Glen Pilgrim Wood West Oak

A mixed review area containing a mature community (Glen Abbey) and newer, recently built out neighbourhoods (north of Upper Middle Road and east of Third Line). A mature community with OTG utilization around 105%. OTG utilization is projected to decline over time to under 100% by 2019.Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by 2014.The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot Early French Immersion program in the Palermo area

Forest Trail P.S. is projected to remain above 100% OTG utilization until 2021 where enrolment will decline to below 100% utilization. Heritage Glen P.S. is currently at 107% OTG utilization and has a maximum portable capacity of 4 portables. It is projected Heritage Glen P.S. will surpass Total Capacity by 2015. Heritage Glen P.S. and Pilgrim Wood P.S. opened in September 2012 as dual track schools with a grade 1-3 FI program. The FI program will increase by one grade every year and will each have a grade 1-8 FI

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Page 16: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

(St. Mary) starting in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward.

program by September 2017.

ERA 116 Montclair Munn’s Post’s Corners River Oaks Sunningdale

A mature and stable review area with OTG utilization currently around 97%. Utilization is projected to increase due to schools in this review area being designated as holding schools for North Oakville (ERA118).Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented by 2013 Area contains the mature neighbourhoods, north and south of Upper Middle Road, as well as the growth areas north of Upper Middle Road (Uptown Core).

Long range projections show a stable long term enrolment population for the area south of Dundas. Schools in this review area are currently holding students in North Oakville (ERA118). Munn’s P.S. is the French Immersion school for students located in ERA 117 and the holding school for grade 1-8 FI students north of Dundas Street East and west of Trafalgar Road in North Oakville. Because of this holding situation, Munn’s P.S. is expected to exceed total capacity by 2017

ERA 117 Falgarwood Joshua Creek Sheridan

A mature review area with current OTG utilization around 96%. OTG utilization is projected to decline to 72% by 2023.Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by 2014.

Area contains mature neighbourhoods south of Upper Middle Road and growth neighbourhoods north of Upper Middle Road (Joshua Creek community).

Joshua Creek P.S. is currently at 114% OTG utilization and is projected to decline over time to under 100% OTG utilization in 2017

Falgarwood P.S. OTG utilization is currently at 76% and is projected to decline to 54% OTG utilization by 2023.

ERA 118 Oakville NE #1 Oakville NE #2 (Proposed)

There are approximately 12,000 residential units in this review area in the applications already received by the Town of Oakville. It is expected that revised applications and additional new applications will be submitted in the future. Phasing and construction timing is expected to change over the next five years.6 elementary schools planned for this community.

Students from this area currently hosted at River Oaks PS and Sunningdale PS (see notes for ERA 116 above).There are no owned schools sites or approved funding for the proposed new schools in this ERA.

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Page 17: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

ERA 119 EW Foster JM Denyes Martin Street Robert Baldwin Sam Sherratt WI Dick

School enrolments will continue to grow, peaking in approximately 2021. Total utilization is in excess of 85% (2016 – 2023) with the addition to Martin Street and development. Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented by 2013. Growth is a result of accommodating students from new developments in ERA120 and ERA121 and the French Immersion program, community contains Milton's downtown core. Development application has been received for Milton Heights in the Martin Street PS and W.I. Dick PS catchment (ERA 121). Students are expected from this development post 2015. E.W. Foster P.S. and Martin Street P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.

At E.W. Foster P.S., Martin Street P.S., and Robert Baldwin P.S. French Immersion is the preferred program. All schools except JM Denyes P.S. will reach OTG capacity by 2016. Martin Street P.S. and W. I. Dick P.S. is expected to reach Total Capacity by 2017 but remain manageable until 2018/2019. (Based on development current timing) If current trends continue, Sam Sherratt P.S. is expected to remain over OTG capacity but within Total Capacity. Sam Sherratt P.S. catchment includes development east of Thompson Road. Ongoing accommodation issues with respect to Martin Street and Escarpment View (ERA 121) could necessitate the need for a new school in this area (on an existing site/rebuild).

ERA 120 Bruce Trail Chris Hadfield Hawthorne Village Tiger Jeet Singh Milton SE #7

Recent additions to schools have increased the OTG capacity for this ERA.School enrolments are expected to peak in 2015, and remain above OTG capacity post 2023. A high number of JKs students are projected for this area. Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by September 2014. All schools have been impacted with a recent boundary change, this will influence future trends .The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot Early French Immersion program in the area starting in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward

Bruce Trail P.S., Chris Hadfield P.S., Hawthorne Village P.S., and Irma Coulson P.S. are expected to remain above OTG capacity until approximately 2023.

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Page 18: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

ERA 121 Escarpment View PL Robertson Milton SW #8

Future residential development growth in the Escarpment View PS and Anne J MacArthur ps catchments along with young demographic will continue to result in increasing enrolments within this review area Milton Heights is a planned growth residential area. Development applications are currently with the Town of Milton for review and approval. Projections for this development are included in Martin Street PS and W.I. Dick PS (ERA 119) projections. Two new Halton Catholic District School Board schools are tentatively planned for this area subject to Ministry funding and may impact future enrolments. One school, located within the Escarpment View PS catchment area, is tentatively planned to open in 2014. The other school, located within Anne J MacArthur ps catchment, is tentatively planned to open in 2015.

Escarpment View P.S. enrolments are expected to peak in 2014 and will continue to exceed Total Capacity until 2019. Anne J. MacArthur P.S. will reach total capacity in 2014 but will be manageable for that year

Students from the Boyne Survey will impact P.L. Robertson P.S. and Anne J. MacArthur P.S. Projections will change with the addition of new schools in Boyne. Birth data for new development areas are high, which causes a greater than 100% uptake of JK. It is expected that birth rates will remain high therefore; JK enrolments are expected to remain high for the next several years.

ERA 122 No schools in the review area. Students attend Hawthorne Village P.S. (JK-8), and Sam Sherratt P.S. (JK-8) for the English program; E.W. Foster P.S. (1-5), W.I. Dick P.S. (6-8) and Irma Coulson (1-8) for the French Immersion program.

Rural review area east and south of Milton.

ERA 123 Brookville

Enrolment will gradually decline to below OTG capacity by 2016. Total utilization is expected to stabilize at approximately 85%. Rural communities of Brookville and Campbellville are located within this ERA.Full Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in September 2013

Since 2006 total enrolments indicate a small but consistent decline, this decline is expected to continue.

ERA 127 Milton SE #9 ps

There are currently no schools in this review area. Milton #9 SW P.S. is anticipated to be located in this ERA, opening in 2015. Students attend Anne J MacArthur PS, Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. and Hawthorne Village P.S. for English and Tiger Jeet Singh P.S., Anne J MacArthur P.S., Irma Coulson P.S. for French Immersion.

The Boyne Secondary Plan received Regional Approval in the fall of 2013. Currently the Tertiary Plan is under development and it is expected to receive Draft Plans of Subdivision in Spring 2014. Development in Milton Education Village is expected. Timing may be delayed based developer applications. Occupancy is expected to start in 2015.

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ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

ERA 124 Gardiner Joseph Gibbons ParkSilver Creek Stewarttown

A stable review area with 93% OTG utilization. Utilization is projected to increase over time but still remain under 100% OTG utilization.Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented by 2012.Overall OTG utilization show stability but there is inbalance of utilization across the schools. All other schools have OTG utilization below 100% and are projected to remain below 100% utilization for the next 10 years. Grade 1 and 2 self-contained Gifted program was to start September 2012 but start of program has been delayed indefinitely (Primary Gifted students in Halton Hills are being directed to Sam Sherratt P.S. in ERA 119). The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot Early FI program in the area (St. Bridget) in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward.

The status of ERA 124 #3 is unknown due to Town of Halton Hills servicing timing for this area. This site not owned by the Board.Gardiner P.S. is currently at 93% OTG utilization and is projected to increase over time to 130% OTG utilization by 2020.

ERA 125 Centennial George Kennedy Harrison

A mature and stable review area with OTG utilization currently around 84%. It is projected to decline over the next 10 years to 78% by 2023..Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented by 2013.

Some high density infill projects scattered in this review area (Norval hamlet, Hall Road & Guelph Street, east of Mountainview Road North and north of CNR).

George Kennedy PS, a dual track JK-5 school, is experiencing much higher uptake in the FI program, English program is projected to slowly decline over the projection period. Approximately 62% of the school is enrolled in FI.

ERA 126 Glen Williams Limehouse McKenzie-Smith BennettPineviewRobert Little

A mature and declining review area with OTG utilization currently around 88%. It is projected to decline over the next 10 years to 77% by 2023.Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented by 2014.Includes all rural communities in Halton Hills that contain some housing development (estate housing) and the urban area of Acton.

Acton is a stable urban community with older, mature communities in the west and more recently newly developed neighbourhoods in the east. This community has water and sanitary sewer servicing constraints that will limit any future expansion of the urban boundary.

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ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

SRA 100 Aldershot Burlington Central Lester B. Pearson MM Robinson Nelson Robert Bateman

School enrolments are below OTG capacity and will continue to decline to 60% by 2020. This area contains Burlington’s urban core. All high schools in the SRA with the exception of Aldershot H.S. and Burlington Central H.S. were impacted by the opening of Dr. Frank J Hayden S.S.

OTG utilization will decline to 50% or lower for Burlington Central H.S., Lester B. Pearson H.S., M.M. Robinson H.S, and Robert Bateman H.S.

There may be a need to undertake a PARC for this review area.

SRA 101 Dr. Frank J Hayden

Dr. Frank J Hayden S.S. opened with grades 9 and 10. Grade 11 will be added in September 2014.

High percentages of students elect to leave Halton District School Board after grade 8 from Alexander’s P.S. (52%) and Orchard Park P.S. (27%).

Dr. Frank J Hayden S.S. is expected to reach OTG capacity by 2015 with the addition of grade 12.Total capacity is expected to be reached by 2016.

SRA 102 Abbey Park Iroquois Ridge Oakville Trafalgar TA Blakelock White Oaks

Overall enrolment is stable with OTG utilization above 100%. OTG utilization is projected to increase over time due to development in North Oakville.

Wide range of communities including older, mature communities (south of QEW) and newer, growing communities (north of the QEW).

Garth Webb SS (SRA103) opened in September 2012 as a grade 9 to 10 english school. The school will impact the enrolments of schools in SRA102 and enrolments will continue to be monitored. Students north of Dundas Street East in Oakville are currently being held at White Oaks SS (SRA102) for the English and French Immersion programs. Enrolments will continue to be monitored.

SRA 103 Garth Webb

New development in North Oakville (north of Dundas) and remaining areas in the West Oak Trails and Palermo areas south of Dundas. Two secondary school sites have been identified in the North Oakville community. It is expected that long range projections will show exponential growth in North Oakville (north of Dundas) in the elementary panel, impacting the secondary panel in years beyond the scope of this LTAP update.

Garth Webb SS opened in September 2012 as a grade 9 to 10 english school. Portables are expected to be required from 2016 to 2023.

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ENROLMENT ISSUES TABLE�Review Area

Schools Enrolment Characteristics Issues

SRA 104 Milton District

If current trends continue, school enrolments will reach OTG capacity by 2016, and reach total capacity by 2019.

Residential growth is planned for the Boyne Survey Secondary Plan and Milton Education Village (currently being studied by the Town of Milton) and Milton Heights Tertiary Plan (development applications have been received and currently at the OMB). Projected enrolments are shown with Milton District HS projections.

Milton District HS French Immersion is expected to grow due to the high uptake of FI at PL Robertson PS and Milton PS.

Jean Vanier a new Halton Catholic District School Board high school opened September 2013 (SRA 106).

SRA 105 Craig Kielburger

School enrolments will continue to grow, above total capacity as a result of residential development in the area and uptake from growing elementary schools.

School enrolments have reached OTG capacity, and will reach total capacity by 2014.

Enrolments to peak in 2022.

SRA 106 Milton SW #1 hs Proposed

No existing schools in this area Includes part of Boyne Survey, which includes a designated secondary school. Given ongoing projected enrolments and accommodation pressures in the community, need for another secondary school by 2016.

SRA 107 Acton District Georgetown District

Overall enrolment is stable with OTG utilization below 100% in 2013.

The Town of Halton Hills is expanding the urban area of Georgetown Based on the Town’s preliminary targets, it is predicted that approximately 1,900 elementary and 550 secondary students will be generated and that 4 school sites will be needed by the Halton District School Board (3 elementary sites each at 740 pupil places and 1 secondary site at 1,200 pupil places).Preliminary timeline has the secondary plan complete by 2015-16 and start of development by 2021-22. New construction is limited due to issues with water allocation. It is unknown when the issue will be resolved with the Region of Halton

Acton DHS is a small dual track high school with no self-contained programs. OTG utilization is currently at 79% and is projected to remain stable until 2023.

Georgetown District H.S. is a large dual track school with a number of self-contained programs. OTG utilization is currently at 105% and is projected to decline over time where utilization will be below 100% by 2018.

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2013 / 2014

Long Term Accommodation Plan

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Page 25: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Table of Contents

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Page 26: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

LONG RANGE PROJECTION METHODOLOGY�

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Page 27: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2) New Growth Communities�

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• 9�����& ��#������ �"�������&-���� ���7�"� #����������-��#��������#����*�

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• ���"�� ���$������������������ �"��#��& ��#����������&������ �������#��$ ����#����-�����$��#��9+2��������� ��*�

• 0�#����3 �#�����C������ ���-�# "#�%���3�& ��#����������#���# ���-����#�'�����#����-����3� "#�����'���"������ ���$����#��$����#�-�����������������#�������*�

9+2��������� �����������$���� ����$��������������������&���C�������$�������' �3�����:��#���:��������"��������&��������� ��:�����"���# ������������ ��$�����*� +#�-�������������C�������&���&������ �� ��� �������#��' �& � �-��$��#���#���� ��-�����������*����

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Page 28: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

GLOSSARY OF TERMS�

ADE 2'���"��>� �-�7��������:�&��������#���'���"��.����+ ���7/� '������4.+75�����������$������#��#�������$�)���&���8�������,���#�8����$��#���#����-���*�

Available Pupil Places +#�����&����$���� ���������#���������/� ��������'� ��&���3#��������� �"��#��)��+#��B������4)+B5������ �-��������������*�

Dual Track (DT) 2��#�����#����$$���&��#�7�"� #�����.����#�!���� ������"���*�

English Program (�"��������� �����:�3 �#������.����#��&����*�

FI.����#�!���� ������"���*�

Full Time Equivalent (FTE) �������/���� $-��#���������������� ��*�@?�����0?�����������������������*�����#�-����� ���#���#����#��$�� ��*�0�������-��#�����������������$ ������$���<� ������ �� $��#�-�������" ������$����������� ������ ���$�������'���"���$����� �����������-� ���#���#�����-���*�

Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten (FDELK) +#��.���<>�-�7���-�9���� �"�? ����"������ ���, � ��-��$�7����� ������' �� ��� � � �� '���#����$$����# �������"����K���-���������������#����$����#��$������-*�)���� ��&�"����#� �"��# ����"���� ��0�����&�������3 �#�$���� ���������� ��� �������#����&-�0�����&������*�

Head Count (HC) �������/���� $-��������������������� �����"�������$�3#��#���������������������$���<� ����������<� ��*�

Holding Situation/School H#�����#��;�������������������������:� �����#������� ����$��#� �������� �-���� ����#�� ������#���� �������� ���#� �������� �-����3 �# ����������C � �-*��+��������� ��� ����' ���*��+#��������������������� ������)�� �����2���������*���

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=������> �� ���0�#����;���� 8

Page 29: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Long Term Accommodation Plan (LTAP)�

+#��;����J����"���������������� �����������' �������������������� ���$������-����$������#�7��������-�����0�������-�(�' �3�2����47(2�����0(25� ���#��;�������3������$������#����������-������������-��#����3 �# ���#��-���*��+#��&� ��$��# ������ ���� ���� $-���3���� ������������ � � �� '��$����#��;�������� �"��#����C��$����-���:�������������#���#����&������-����-� � � �� '���#����������&���������1��������������$��#�����3��������*��+#������� ���� $ ����' �3�����������#����3#���������������������3 ���������3 �# ���#�� ���� ����$�����������#�����������������1����� �����&������-���� �*�!�� ���/� ����&-��#��, � ��-��$�7����� ����������#��;����J��$$ � ���������$$��� '������$��#� ����� �����������*��

Optional Attendance H#������������� �"����������� ����������������#������#����#����#� ���� "������#�����#���*��+#������ ��� ����-�$�������-���*��+��������� ��� ��������' ���*���

On The Ground (OTG) Capacity ���' �� ���-�����"� 6������ ������������� �-��$��#���#����&� �� �":�3# �#���-� ���������� � ��:����������� �������#���#����&� �� �"*��+# �$ "���� �����"� 6������#�������� �"������ �-��$��#���#���*�+# �$ "������������ ������������&�������������1*�

Portapaks 2������<��" �������4��$<�$$ � ���5����� ���������������&����������������������$���������������������$������ ���4�����-��� ���� ��5����������#���������#���*��

Portable (Port) !������������������:�3# �#�&-��� "������&������'���$���������� ���������� $ ��� �������/� ���*���

Portable Capacity (Port Cap) +��������&����$������&����#�������&������������ ��*��

Total Capacity (Total Cap) !��#���������$��#��)+B���� �����������������&�������� �-���� �������*�

Utilization Rate 2��� ���$��������3#��������������"�� ���� '��:� ��3# �#����������� �� ' ����&-�)+B���� ������������� �-*�

��

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Page 30: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

GUIDE

Elementary Review Area 100Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALDERSHOT ELEM ENG 205 196 216 212 225 203 190 198 193 142

FI 61 54 54 51 46 47 49 47 51 61

TOTAL 266 250 270 263 271 250 239 245 244 203

GLENVIEW ENG 289 284 301 301 288 288 291 283 323 342

FI 65 35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0TOTAL 354 319 301 301 288 288 291 283 323 342

KING'S ROAD ENG 309 284 304 264 242 255 270 271 243 238

MAPLEHURST ENG 162 150 156 147 127 135 132 119 165 153

FI 151 166 198 208 214 223 224 232 230 227

TOTAL 313 316 354 355 341 358 356 351 395 380

GRAND TOTAL 1,177 1,133 1,229 1,183 1,141 1,150 1,156 1,150 1,205 1,163

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GLENVIEW 34 55 55 47 47 35 43

KING'S ROAD 44 33 39 31 30 41 41

MAPLEHURST 33 34 30 23 34 34 35

ERA TOTAL 111 122 124 101 111 110 119

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLENVIEW 7 9 13 6 4 3 1

KING'S ROAD 12 8 5 6 9 13 12

MAPLEHURST 19 27 25 12 25 27 23

ERA TOTAL 38 44 43 24 38 43 36

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLENVIEW 21% 16% 24% 13% 9% 9% 2%

KING'S ROAD 27% 24% 13% 19% 30% 32% 29%

MAPLEHURST 58% 79% 83% 52% 74% 79% 66%

ERA PERCENTAGE 34% 36% 35% 24% 34% 39% 30%

% change from

2004-2013

-44%

0%

-31%

15%

-86%-4%

-30%

-6%

33%

18%

-1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percen

tage

Year

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�100% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2000 - 2006 Glenview P.S. FI program transition to Maplehurst P.S. over a number of years, starting in 2000 with one (1) grade per year.2004 - 2005 FI program relocation phasing from Glenview P.S. to Maplehurst P.S.

2006 Represents�the�2006�/�2007�School�Year

Total number�of�SK�students�in�the�listed�school

SK�students that�attended�FI�program�for�grade�1

Percentage�of�SK�students�that�

attended�the FI�program�for�grade�1

Calculated�by�dividinggrade�1��FI�enrolment�by�previous�year's�SK�

enrolment(38/111=0.34�or�34%)

Reasoning behind�Historical�Enrolment numbers�increasing�or�decreasing�drastically

Historical�Enrolment�from�the�past�10�years�(or�when�the individual�

school�opened�� if�it�was�less�than�10�years�ago)

Total number�of��students�over�the�past�10�years�in�the�listed�school�and�corresponding�ERA/SRA

Percentage change�in�the�listed�school�from�the�past�

10�years�(or�when�the�indiviual�school�opened�� if�it�was�less�than�10�years�ago)

Historical enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�(noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information�Table)

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Page 31: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 100Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,163 1,144 1,124 1,109 1,115 1,154 1,180 1,215 1,215 1,210 1,204

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544

Portables 10

Portable Capacity 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

ALDERSHOT ELEM 7-8 7-8

GLENVIEW 2012 JK-6

KING'S ROAD 2010 JK-6

MAPLEHURST 2012 JK-6 1-6

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

ALDERSHOT ELEM ENG N/A 322 10 10 552 143 151 187 168 154 159 164 167 162 170 153

FI 60 57 55 53 51 55 62 65 55 53 54

TOTAL 203 207 242 222 205 214 226 232 217 223 207

GLENVIEW ENG 2.4 366 0 4 458 342 349 345 358 379 412 436 467 475 463 471

KING'S ROAD ENG 2.0 337 0 2 383 238 221 195 194 193 190 183 182 184 186 188

§ MAPLEHURST ENG 1.7 519 0 5 634 153 136 124 113 117 111 110 110 110 109 107

FI 227 231 220 222 221 227 224 225 230 230 231

TOTAL 380 367 343 335 338 338 334 334 340 339 338

GRAND TOTAL 6.2 1,544 10 21 2,027 1,163 1,144 1,124 1,109 1,115 1,154 1,180 1,215 1,215 1,210 1,204

OTG in ERA over time 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 381 400 420 435 429 391 365 329 329 334 340

Utilization Rate 75% 74% 73% 72% 72% 75% 76% 79% 79% 78% 78%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

2014 Represents�the�2014/2015�School�Year

Represents�the�Total�Capacity�of�the�Total� Number�of�Permitted�Portables

Year of�Implementation�for�Full�Day�Early�Learning�Kindergarten�Program

Program�and�Grade�Structure�of�School

OTG

Total�Capacity�=�OTG�Plus Portable

Please�Note the�Y�Axis�is�Different�on�Every�Chart

Schools�On�The�Ground�Capacity

Actual�2013�Enrolment

Projected�Long Term�Enrolments

Portable�Capacity is�the�maximum�portables�allowed�on�site

Available Pupil�Places�in�Schools�Based�on�difference�in�Projected�Enrolment�and�OTG

A�Unit�of�Measure at�Which�School�is�Operating,�100%�Denotes�Full�Capacity

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Page 32: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2013/2014 FEEDER SCHOOL LISTS

BURLINGTON Family of Schools

English Program

French Immersion Program

Colour indicates phasing and/or transition

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Page 33: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

OAKVILLE Family of Schools

English Program

French Immersion Program

Colour indicates phasing and/or transition

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Page 34: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

MILTON Family of Schools

English Program

French Immersion Program

Colour indicates phasing and/or transition

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Page 35: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

HALTON HILLS Family of Schools

English Program

French Immersion Program

Colour indicates phasing and/or transition

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Page 36: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 37: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 38: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Historical Elementary Enrolments

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BURLINGTON ENG 10,280 10,344 10,530 10,377 10,479 10,360 10,292 10,316 10,255 10,266 10,364 9,867

FI 1,637 1,610 1,657 1,705 1,733 1,881 1,963 2,090 2,220 2,366 2,549 2,820

Total 11,917 11,954 12,187 12,082 12,212 12,241 12,255 12,406 12,475 12,632 12,913 13,052

Annual % Increase / Decrease 0% 2% -1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 9%

OAKVILLE ENG 9,069 9,364 9,387 9,431 9,561 9,647 9,769 9,845 9,904 10,088 10,188 9,737

FI 1,899 1,892 2,005 2,127 2,304 2,569 2,818 3,104 3,408 3,654 3,972 4,266

Total 10,968 11,256 11,392 11,558 11,865 12,216 12,587 12,949 13,312 13,742 14,160 14,529

Annual % Increase / Decrease 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 25%

MILTON ENG 2,510 2,849 3,205 3,525 3,916 4,394 4,976 5,710 6,357 6,909 7,619 8,075

FI 483 510 565 604 644 720 824 971 1,185 1,471 1,728 2,065

Total 2,993 3,359 3,770 4,129 4,560 5,114 5,800 6,681 7,542 8,380 9,347 10,325

Annual % Increase / Decrease 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 71%

HALTON HILLS ENG 4,198 4,332 4,360 4,384 4,422 4,372 4,331 4,335 4,258 4,191 4,154 3,927

FI 582 576 599 582 632 650 664 692 712 723 712 731

Total 4,780 4,908 4,959 4,966 5,054 5,022 4,995 5,027 4,970 4,914 4,866 4,804

Annual % Increase / Decrease 3% 1% 0% 2% -1% -1% 1% -1% -1% -1% -1% 0%

Overall TOTAL ENG 26,057 26,889 27,482 27,717 28,378 28,773 29,368 30,206 30,774 31,454 32,325 31,606

FI 4,601 4,588 4,826 5,018 5,313 5,820 6,269 6,857 7,525 8,214 8,961 9,882

Total 30,658 31,477 32,308 32,735 33,691 34,593 35,637 37,063 38,299 39,668 41,286 42,710

Annual % Increase / Decrease 9% 8% 4% 8% 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 6% 4% 28%

NOTE: All totals from 2008-Present are based on Total Body Count numbers

Overall % Increase/Decrease

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

HISTORICAL�ENROLMENTS

BURLINGTON OAKVILLE MILTON HALTON�HILLS

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Page 39: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BURLINGTON ENG 4,651 4,452 5,215 5,317 5,343 5,316 5,231 5,267 5,263 5,128 4,974 4,782

FI 565 485 581 570 602 629 639 604 566 559 556 557

Total 5,216 4,937 5,796 5,887 5,945 5,945 5,870 5,871 5,829 5,687 5,530 5,339

Annual % Increase / Decrease -5% 17% 2% 1% 0% -1% 0% -1% -2% -3% -3% 2%

OAKVILLE ENG 5,337 4,999 5,245 5,519 5,709 5,823 5,986 6,055 6,229 6,434 6,426 6,241

FI 671 595 623 648 622 688 717 751 819 819 860 860

Total 6,008 5,594 5,868 6,167 6,331 6,511 6,703 6,806 7,048 7,253 7,286 7,101

Annual % Increase / Decrease -7% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 0% -3% 15%

MILTON ENG 1,387 1,310 1,281 1,480 1,520 1,612 1,715 1,826 1,915 2,011 2,136 1,933

FI 132 133 146 154 161 176 193 175 185 176 194 194

Total 1,519 1,443 1,427 1,634 1,681 1,788 1,908 2,001 2,100 2,187 2,330 2,127

Annual % Increase / Decrease 6% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 29%

HALTON HILLS ENG 1,866 1,752 1,750 1,759 1,829 1,866 1,876 1,978 2,092 2,094 2,124 1,999

FI 192 139 141 135 131 139 137 179 209 190 189 189

Total 2,058 1,891 1,891 1,894 1,960 2,005 2,013 2,157 2,301 2,284 2,313 2,188

Annual % Increase / Decrease -8% 0% 0% 3% 2% 0% 7% 7% -1% 1% -5% 6%

Overall TOTAL ENG 13,241 12,513 13,491 14,075 14,401 14,617 14,808 15,126 15,499 15,667 15,660 14,955

FI 1,560 1,352 1,491 1,507 1,516 1,632 1,686 1,709 1,779 1,744 1,799 1,800

Total 14,801 13,865 14,982 15,582 15,917 16,249 16,494 16,835 17,278 17,411 17,459 16,755

Annual % Increase / Decrease -14% 29% 15% 13% 11% 8% 14% 15% 5% 4% -7% 12%

NOTE: Gary Allen Secondary numbers are not projected, therefore not included in these numbers

Overall % Increase/Decrease

Historical Secondary Enrolments

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

HISTORICAL�ENROLMENTS

BURLINGTON OAKVILLE MILTON HALTON�HILLS

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Page 40: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary and Secondary Grand Totals

Actual

Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment 58,622 60,482 60,798 62,034 63,421 64,321 65,699 66,552 67,209 67,609 67,328

Ministry OTG Capacity 63,125 63,239 64,443 65,183 65,183 65,183 65,183 65,183 65,183 65,183 65,183

Portables on Site 317

Portable Capacity 19,044 19,044 19,872 19,872 20,148 20,148 20,148 20,148 20,148 20,148 20,148

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 82,169 82,283 84,315 85,055 85,331 85,331 85,331 85,331 85,331 85,331 85,331

Annual % Increase / Decrease 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

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Page 41: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

BURLINGTON ENG 14,434 14,682 14,283 14,074 14,005 13,730 13,611 13,525 13,376 13,163 12,991

FI 3,454 3,643 3,745 3,866 3,954 4,047 4,091 4,144 4,137 4,134 4,109

Gifted 212 212 222 227 217 202 211 201 209 209 209

TOTAL 115.04 72 18,100 18,537 18,250 18,168 18,175 17,979 17,913 17,869 17,722 17,507 17,309

OTG 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964 21,964

Portable Capacity 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727 5,727

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 3,865 3,427 3,714 3,796 3,789 3,985 4,051 4,095 4,242 4,457 4,655

Utilization Rate 82% 84% 83% 83% 83% 82% 82% 81% 81% 80% 79%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 2% -2% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1% -1% -1%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

OAKVILLE ENG 15,971 16,043 15,994 16,125 16,403 16,634 16,719 16,854 16,877 16,892 16,931

FI 5,263 5,648 5,985 6,268 6,508 6,777 6,985 7,131 7,258 7,307 7,360

Gifted 420 447 455 460 471 466 464 458 466 462 457

TOTAL 91.89 110 21,654 22,138 22,433 22,853 23,382 23,878 24,169 24,444 24,600 24,661 24,748

OTG 21,631 21,745 22,485 23,225 23,225 23,225 23,225 23,225 23,225 23,225 23,225

Portable Capacity 6,417 6,417 6,693 6,693 6,969 6,969 6,969 6,969 6,969 6,969 6,969

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -23 -393 52 372 -157 -652 -944 -1,219 -1,375 -1,436 -1,523

Utilization Rate 100% 102% 100% 98% 101% 103% 104% 105% 106% 106% 107%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

MILTON ENG 9,821 10,459 10,641 11,257 11,800 12,139 13,094 13,618 14,232 14,794 14,748

FI 1,955 2,203 2,404 2,681 2,935 3,185 3,441 3,614 3,787 3,889 3,920

Gifted 107 138 120 120 115 120 122 120 123 122 121

TOTAL 51.97 126 11,883 12,800 13,165 14,059 14,849 15,444 16,657 17,352 18,141 18,805 18,788

OTG 11,802 11,802 12,266 12,266 12,266 12,266 12,266 12,266 12,266 12,266 12,266

Portable Capacity 4,370 4,370 4,922 4,922 4,922 4,922 4,922 4,922 4,922 4,922 4,922

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -81 -998 -899 -1,793 -2,583 -3,178 -4,391 -5,086 -5,875 -6,539 -6,522

Utilization Rate 101% 108% 107% 115% 121% 126% 136% 141% 148% 153% 153%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 8% 3% 7% 6% 4% 8% 4% 5% 4% 0%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

HALTON HILLS ENG 6,006 5,992 5,934 5,931 5,969 5,980 5,920 5,861 5,736 5,640 5,504

FI 934 962 967 974 995 988 990 976 964 952 937

Gifted 46 53 50 49 51 53 50 50 47 44 42

TOTAL 49.47 9 6,986 7,007 6,951 6,955 7,015 7,021 6,960 6,887 6,747 6,637 6,483

OTG 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728 7,728

Portable Capacity 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530 2,530

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 742 721 777 773 713 707 768 841 981 1,091 1,245

Utilization Rate 90% 91% 90% 90% 91% 91% 90% 89% 87% 86% 84%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 0% -1% 0% 1% 0% -1% -1% -2% -2% -2%

Elementary and Secondary Grand Totals

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Page 42: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Grand Totals

Actual

Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment 41,197 42,841 42,886 43,652 44,388 44,773 45,747 46,311 46,826 47,376 47,301

Ministry OTG Capacity 43,583 43,697 44,901 45,641 45,641 45,641 45,641 45,641 45,641 45,641 45,641

Portables 256

Portable Capacity 15,893 15,893 16,721 16,721 16,997 16,997 16,997 16,997 16,997 16,997 16,997

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 59,476 59,590 61,622 62,362 62,638 62,638 62,638 62,638 62,638 62,638 62,638

Annual % Increase / Decrease 4% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

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Page 43: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Grand Totals

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

BURLINGTON ENG 9,629 9,729 9,527 9,395 9,319 9,214 9,122 9,145 9,085 9,080 9,001

FI 2,820 3,033 3,060 3,127 3,152 3,143 3,134 3,086 2,986 2,963 2,951

Gifted 212 212 222 227 217 202 211 201 209 209 209

TOTAL 65.58 57 12,661 12,974 12,809 12,749 12,688 12,559 12,466 12,431 12,280 12,252 12,161

OTG 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440 14,440

Portable Capacity 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945 4,945

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 1,780 1,466 1,631 1,691 1,752 1,881 1,974 2,009 2,161 2,188 2,279

Utilization Rate 88% 90% 89% 88% 88% 87% 86% 86% 85% 85% 84%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 2% -1% 0% 0% -1% -1% 0% -1% 0% -1%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

OAKVILLE ENG 9,604 9,659 9,444 9,452 9,490 9,582 9,731 9,916 10,162 10,365 10,515

FI 4,265 4,590 4,814 5,009 5,187 5,307 5,421 5,391 5,366 5,332 5,297

Gifted 420 447 455 460 471 466 464 458 466 462 457

TOTAL 61.60 83 14,289 14,696 14,712 14,921 15,147 15,355 15,616 15,765 15,994 16,159 16,269

OTG 14,101 14,215 14,955 15,695 15,695 15,695 15,695 15,695 15,695 15,695 15,695

Portable Capacity 5,083 5,083 5,359 5,359 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635 5,635

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -188 -481 243 775 548 340 79 -70 -299 -464 -574

Utilization Rate 101% 103% 98% 95% 97% 98% 99% 100% 102% 103% 104%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 3% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

MILTON ENG 7,689 8,251 8,362 8,761 9,104 9,236 9,985 10,460 10,998 11,561 11,578

FI 1,730 1,960 2,120 2,333 2,518 2,668 2,783 2,820 2,808 2,781 2,762

Gifted 107 138 120 120 115 120 122 120 123 122 121

TOTAL 38.63 107 9,526 10,349 10,602 11,214 11,737 12,024 12,890 13,400 13,929 14,465 14,461

OTG 9,633 9,633 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097 10,097

Portable Capacity 3,542 3,542 4,094 4,094 4,094 4,094 4,094 4,094 4,094 4,094 4,094

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 108 -716 -505 -1,117 -1,640 -1,927 -2,793 -3,303 -3,832 -4,368 -4,364

Utilization Rate 99% 107% 105% 111% 116% 119% 128% 133% 138% 143% 143%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 9% 2% 6% 5% 2% 7% 4% 4% 4% 0%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

HALTON HILLS ENG 3,945 4,026 3,965 3,974 4,012 4,024 3,972 3,923 3,852 3,746 3,670

FI 731 743 749 745 754 759 752 742 725 711 698

Gifted 46 53 50 49 51 53 50 50 47 44 42

TOTAL 34.05 9 4,722 4,822 4,764 4,768 4,816 4,836 4,774 4,715 4,624 4,501 4,410

OTG 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409 5,409

Portable Capacity 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323 2,323

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 687 587 646 641 593 573 635 694 785 908 999

Utilization Rate 87% 89% 88% 88% 89% 89% 88% 87% 85% 83% 82%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 2% -1% 0% 1% 0% -1% -1% -2% -3% -2%

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Page 44: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Secondary Grand Totals

Actual

Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment 17,425 17,641 17,912 18,383 19,033 19,548 19,953 20,240 20,384 20,233 20,027

Ministry OTG Capacity 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542 19,542

Portables 61

Portable Capacity 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151 3,151

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693 22,693

Annual % Increase / Decrease 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% -1% -1%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

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Page 45: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Secondary Grand Totals

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

BURLINGTON ENG 4,805 4,953 4,756 4,679 4,685 4,515 4,490 4,381 4,291 4,084 3,990

FI 634 610 685 740 802 905 957 1,058 1,151 1,171 1,159

TOTAL 49.46 15 5,439 5,563 5,441 5,419 5,487 5,420 5,447 5,438 5,442 5,255 5,148

OTG 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524 7,524

Portable Capacity 782 782 782 782 782 782 782 782 782 782 782

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 2,085 1,961 2,083 2,105 2,037 2,104 2,077 2,086 2,082 2,269 2,376

Utilization Rate 72% 74% 72% 72% 73% 72% 72% 72% 72% 70% 68%Annual % Increase / Decrease 2% -2% 0% 1% -1% 0% 0% 0% -3% -2%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

OAKVILLE ENG 6,367 6,384 6,550 6,673 6,913 7,053 6,989 6,938 6,715 6,527 6,416

FI 998 1,058 1,171 1,259 1,322 1,470 1,564 1,740 1,892 1,974 2,063

TOTAL 30.29 27 7,365 7,442 7,721 7,932 8,235 8,523 8,553 8,678 8,607 8,502 8,479

OTG 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530 7,530

Portable Capacity 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 165 88 -191 -402 -705 -993 -1,023 -1,148 -1,077 -972 -949

Utilization Rate 98% 99% 103% 105% 109% 113% 114% 115% 114% 113% 113%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 0% 1% -1% -1% 0%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

MILTON ENG 2,132 2,208 2,279 2,496 2,696 2,903 3,109 3,158 3,234 3,232 3,170

FI 225 243 284 348 417 517 658 794 979 1,108 1,157

TOTAL 13.34 19 2,357 2,451 2,563 2,845 3,113 3,420 3,767 3,952 4,212 4,340 4,327

OTG 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169 2,169

Portable Capacity 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -188 -282 -394 -676 -944 -1,251 -1,598 -1,783 -2,043 -2,171 -2,158

Utilization Rate 109% 113% 118% 131% 144% 158% 174% 182% 194% 200% 200%

Annual % Increase / Decrease 4% 5% 11% 9% 10% 10% 5% 7% 3% 0%

Acreage Actual Actual

(ha) Portables 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

HALTON HILLS ENG 2,061 1,966 1,969 1,958 1,958 1,956 1,948 1,938 1,884 1,894 1,833

FI 203 219 219 229 241 229 238 234 239 242 239

TOTAL 15.42 0 2,264 2,185 2,187 2,187 2,199 2,185 2,186 2,172 2,123 2,136 2,073

OTG 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319 2,319

Portable Capacity 207 207 207 207 207 207 207 207 207 207 207

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 55 134 132 132 120 134 133 147 196 183 246

Utilization Rate 98% 94% 94% 94% 95% 94% 94% 94% 92% 92% 89%

Annual % Increase / Decrease -3% 0% 0% 1% -1% 0% -1% -2% 1% -3%

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Page 46: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 47: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 48: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

2006 Census

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Page 49: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 100

ERA 100 – Aldershot Community

ERA Census• In 2006 11% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 10% in 2011.• There was a 5% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• 2013 experienced greater decline than expected. OTG utilization is above 70% and expected to stabilize

between 70%- 80%. Without development, utilizations are projected to decline.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2012.

Portable Requirements• There are currently no portables in the review area. • Portables may be required at Glenview P.S., after 2016 as a result of development north of the QEW.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsMaplehurst P.S. – Learning Disability class.

Housing Development• Development applications north of the QEW are under municipal review, timing may be delayed in future

LTAP updates.• Expected development in the Glenview P.S. catchment is reflected by higher utilization rates in future

years.• South of QEW is a stable community with infill pockets along Plains Road.• Plains Road has been identified as an Urban Growth Corridor where the City of Burlington is looking to

intensify residential and employment densities.• One new, small high density development application in the Glenview P.S. catchment, for 2013 is

expected to have minimal impact on projections.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools with two dual track schools.• As a result of development, Glenview P.S. enrolments will approach Total Capacity by 2022, contingent

upon timing of development.• Development will create an imbalance in school utilization for this ERA.• Without potential development north of the QEW, Glenview P.S. enrolments will decline.• King’s Road P.S. is currently at 71% OTG utilization and is projected to decline over time to 56%

utilization in 2023.• Glenview P.S. is currently at 93% OTG utilization and is projected to increase from development to 129%

utilization in 2023• Maplehurst P.S. and Aldershot P.S. are expected to stabilize at between 60%-65% utilization by 2023.• Maplehurst P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week)

beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• ERA Birth Rates are fluctuating however the conversion to JK students appears to be stable for all

schools.• Maplehurst P.S. traditionally receives optional attendance for JK and SK with the intentions of attending

FI or with siblings in FI.• French Immersion sees a higher uptake than english at Maplehurst P.S. with approximately 65% of SKs

enroling in the FI program. • Historical trends at King’s Road P.S. indicate over 25% of students elect to enrol in FI and over 25% of

students elect to leave King’s Road P.S. after SK. • Aldershot Elementary P.S. is dependent on junior elementary enrolments.

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Page 50: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 100Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALDERSHOT ELEM ENG 205 196 216 212 225 203 190 198 193 142

FI 61 54 54 51 46 47 49 47 51 61

TOTAL 266 250 270 263 271 250 239 245 244 203

GLENVIEW ENG 289 284 301 301 288 288 291 283 323 342

FI 65 35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0TOTAL 354 319 301 301 288 288 291 283 323 342

KING'S ROAD ENG 309 284 304 264 242 255 270 271 243 238

MAPLEHURST ENG 162 150 156 147 127 135 132 119 165 153

FI 151 166 198 208 214 223 224 232 230 227

TOTAL 313 316 354 355 341 358 356 351 395 380

GRAND TOTAL 1,177 1,133 1,229 1,183 1,141 1,150 1,156 1,150 1,205 1,163

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GLENVIEW 34 55 55 47 47 35 43

KING'S ROAD 44 33 39 31 30 41 41

MAPLEHURST 33 34 30 23 34 34 35

ERA TOTAL 111 122 124 101 111 110 119

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLENVIEW 7 9 13 6 4 3 1

KING'S ROAD 12 8 5 6 9 13 12

MAPLEHURST 19 27 25 12 25 27 23

ERA TOTAL 38 44 43 24 38 43 36

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLENVIEW 21% 16% 24% 13% 9% 9% 2%

KING'S ROAD 27% 24% 13% 19% 30% 32% 29%

MAPLEHURST 58% 79% 83% 52% 74% 79% 66%

ERA PERCENTAGE 34% 36% 35% 24% 34% 39% 30%

% change from

2004-2013

-31%

0%

-24%

18%

-100%-3%

-23%

-6%

50%

21%

-1%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percen

tage

Year

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�100% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2000 - 2006 Glenview P.S. FI program transition to Maplehurst P.S. over a number of years, starting in 2000 with one (1) grade per year.2004 - 2005 FI program relocation phasing from Glenview P.S. to Maplehurst P.S.

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Page 51: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 100Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,163 1,122 1,100 1,084 1,090 1,128 1,154 1,189 1,189 1,184 1,180

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544

Portables 10

Portable Capacity 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483 483

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027 2,027

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

ALDERSHOT ELEM 7-8 7-8

GLENVIEW 2012 JK-6

KING'S ROAD 2010 JK-6

MAPLEHURST 2012 JK-6 1-6

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

ALDERSHOT ELEM ENG N/A 322 10 10 552 143 150 187 168 154 159 164 167 162 145 130

FI 60 60 55 53 51 55 62 65 55 52 53

TOTAL 203 210 242 222 205 214 226 232 217 197 183

GLENVIEW ENG 2.4 366 0 4 458 342 322 321 334 355 388 412 442 450 463 471

KING'S ROAD ENG 2.0 337 0 2 383 238 222 195 194 193 190 183 182 184 186 188

§ MAPLEHURST ENG 1.7 519 0 5 634 153 139 124 113 117 111 110 110 110 109 107

FI 227 229 220 220 219 225 222 224 229 230 231

TOTAL 380 368 343 334 336 337 333 333 338 339 338

GRAND TOTAL 6.2 1,544 10 21 2,027 1,163 1,122 1,100 1,084 1,090 1,128 1,154 1,189 1,189 1,184 1,180

OTG in ERA over time 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544 1,544

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 381 422 444 460 454 416 390 355 355 360 364

Utilization Rate 75% 73% 71% 70% 71% 73% 75% 77% 77% 77% 76%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 52: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 53: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 101

ERA 101 – Downtown Burlington

ERA Census• In 2006 9% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 8% in 2011.• There was a 4% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• 2013 experienced greater decline than expected, OTG utilization is above 90% and expected to

stabilize at approximately 85%. • This area contains the downtown core of Burlington.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

Portable RequirementsBurlington Central Elementary P.S. – Portables�are�not�required.Central P.S. – Portables are not required.Lakeshore P.S. – Portables are not required.Tom Thomson P.S. – Eight (8) portables are on-site. Portables continue to be required from 2014 to 2023.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsLakeshore P.S. – Learning Disability class.

Housing Development• Medium and high density infill development is occurring in all catchments.• Urban Core Area and Urban Growth Corridors have been identified along major roads in this ERA

where the City of Burlington is looking to intensify residential and employment densities.• In 2013, there were 2 new small developments applications. This is expected to have a minimal impact.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools with two dual track schools.• There is potential that Tom Thomson P.S. will exceed Total Capacity for the years 2015-2017.• All other ERA schools are under OTG capacity.• Tom Thomson P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes per

week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• The Birth Rates for this ERA are relatively stable and translate to a high percentage of JK students for

Lakeshore P.S. and Tom Thomson P.S.• Birth rates at Central P.S. have a 50%-60% conversion to JK.• French Immersion sees higher uptake than english at Tom Thomson P.S. with approximately 70% of

SKs enroling in FI. • The English grade 1 enrolments at Tom Thomson P.S. are low. Trends indicate that English enrolments

will grow in grades 3 and 4.• In 2013, over 25% of SK students elected to enrol in FI from Lakeshore P.S. and Central P.S.• Burlington Central Elementary P.S. is dependent upon junior elementary enrolments.

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Page 54: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 101Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BURLINGTON CENTRAL ENG 213 205 202 190 202 188 182 218 197 178

ELEM FI 50 52 50 49 53 53 49 46 45 46

TOTAL 263 257 252 239 255 241 231 264 242 224

CENTRAL ENG 329 312 321 306 343 347 335 324 315 338

LAKESHORE ENG 212 214 199 203 185 188 213 210 198 210

TOM THOMSON ENG 155 144 140 141 127 125 157 168 173 139

FI 219 200 192 191 189 183 191 197 226 279

TOTAL 374 344 332 332 316 308 348 365 399 418

GRAND TOTAL 1,178 1,127 1,103 1,080 1,099 1,083 1,127 1,163 1,154 1,190

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CENTRAL 43 38 57 54 52 42 36

LAKESHORE 23 28 27 23 27 30 25

TOM THOMSON 33 24 39 33 36 45 54

ERA TOTAL 99 90 123 110 115 117 115

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CENTRAL 2 5 6 10 8 9 10

LAKESHORE 2 5 4 1 6 7 7

TOM THOMSON 12 8 19 20 24 32 37

ERA TOTAL 16 18 29 31 38 48 54

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CENTRAL 5% 13% 11% 19% 15% 21% 28%

LAKESHORE 9% 18% 15% 4% 22% 23% 28%

TOM THOMSON 36% 33% 49% 61% 67% 71% 69%

ERA PERCENTAGE 16% 20% 24% 28% 33% 41% 47%

% change from

2004-2013

1%

12%

-8%

27%

-10%

-1%

3%

-15%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

-16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�101�% Board�%

ERA Historical TimelineN/A

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Page 55: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 101Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,191 1,207 1,201 1,216 1,198 1,172 1,162 1,152 1,130 1,130 1,116

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302

Portables 8

Portable Capacity 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368 368

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670 1,670

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

7-8 7-8

CENTRAL 2013 JK-6

LAKESHORE 2010 JK-6

TOM THOMSON 2010 JK-6 1-6

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

BURLINGTON CENTRAL ELEM ENG N/A 265 0 2 311 180 175 183 191 169 153 149 146 146 143 135

FI 45 42 40 61 70 76 99 91 75 79 74

TOTAL 225 217 223 253 239 229 248 237 221 222 209

CENTRAL ENG 1.3 435 0 0 435 338 322 303 283 280 276 273 266 265 267 263

§ LAKESHORE ENG 1.5 328 0 6 466 210 215 204 208 215 218 220 224 221 223 226

TOM THOMSON ENG 1.7 274 8 8 458 141 154 154 153 145 139 135 139 141 141 141

FI 277 299 317 320 319 311 286 287 281 277 277

TOTAL 418 453 471 473 464 450 421 426 422 419 418

GRAND TOTAL 4.5 1,302 8 16 1,670 1,191 1,207 1,201 1,216 1,198 1,172 1,162 1,152 1,130 1,130 1,116

OTG in ERA over time 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302 1,302

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 111 95 101 86 104 130 140 150 172 172 186

Utilization Rate 91% 93% 92% 93% 92% 90% 89% 88% 87% 87% 86%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

BURLINGTON CENTRAL ELEM

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 56: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 57: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 102

ERA 102 – South of QEW between Guelph Line & Appleby Line

ERA Census• In 2006 12% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 10% in 2011.• There was a 16% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006-2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature community with a school that continuously attracts students.• OTG utilization is expected to remain near 85%.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.

Portable RequirementsJohn T. Tuck P.S. – Seven (7) portables on-site. Portables required until 2023.Pauline Johnson P.S. - Two (2) portables on-site. Portables required until 2023.Ryerson P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Tecumseh P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsRyerson P.S. – Primary Language, Communications, Learning Centre, Early Learning Development Centre and Primary Gifted to be phased in starting with grade 1 in September 2014 (From Charles R Beaudoin P.S.) The Primary Gifted Program is to be reviewed annually.Tecumseh P.S. – Life Skills (Redirected from Paul A. Fisher starting September 2014) and Learning Disability.

Housing Development• There is minimal infill development in this ERA.• Fairview Street has been identified as an Urban Growth Corridor. There are small pockets of

development.• One new medium density development application was received in 2013, it is expected to have minimal

impact on projections.

Overview• All schools are English track Junior Elementary school or JK-8 schools.• OTG appears to be stable but there is an imbalance of school utilization.• Ryerson P.S. is operating at approximately 43% OTG capacity with Full-Day JK/SK and SPED (Gifted)

program. Utilization is expected to grow with the added SPED (Gifted) program. This is a large junior elementary school.

• Pauline Johnson P.S. is currently at 111% OTG utilization and is projected to reach 129% capacity withFDELK. The school is then projected to drop down to 117% utilization by 2023. It can be considered a smaller size facility.

• Tecumseh P.S. is currently at 60% OTG utilization and is projected to remain relatively stable near 60% utilization.

• John T. Tuck P.S. is currently at 132% OTG utilization and is projected to decline to 119% utilization by 2023.

• Growth is occurring in grades 2-8. Given the percentage of the birth rate conversion to JKs and growth in older grades it appears families with elementary aged children are moving into the John T. Tuck P.S. catchment area.

• Birth Rates for John T. Tuck P.S., Ryerson P.S. and Pauline Johnson P.S. catchment appear to have some fluctuation; however there is a relatively high conversion to JK enrolments.

• Birth Rates at Tecumseh P.S. are fairly consistent however the conversion to JK students varies dramatically.

• FI students attend Tom Thomson P.S. (ERA 101) or Pineland P.S. (ERA 103).• Over 25% of students elected to enrol in FI at Pineland P.S. from Tecumseh P.S., Ryerson P.S. and

Pauline Johnson P.S., while approximately 2% of students elected to enrol in FI from John T. Tuck P.S.

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Page 58: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 102Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

JOHN T. TUCK ENG 672 621 597 572 535 544 563 569 629 716

PAULINE JOHNSON ENG 228 201 208 225 228 235 242 232 218 239

RYERSON ENG 225 262 216 239 208 197 222 204 228 225

TECUMSEH ENG 358 339 350 320 305 304 294 258 233 267

GRAND TOTAL 1,482 1,422 1,371 1,355 1,275 1,279 1,320 1,263 1,307 1,447

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

JOHN T. TUCK 48 33 48 44 47 43 65

PAULINE JOHNSON 32 39 36 36 37 47 42

RYERSON 24 48 26 31 27 37 19

TECUMSEH 28 26 36 35 38 22 34

ERA TOTAL 132 146 146 146 149 149 160

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

JOHN T. TUCK 7 2 4 4 3 2 1

PAULINE JOHNSON 2 7 3 6 7 9 11

RYERSON 5 10 0 4 9 12 6

TECUMSEH 8 5 6 8 7 5 10

ERA TOTAL 22 24 13 22 26 28 28

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

JOHN T. TUCK 15% 6% 8% 9% 6% 5% 2%

PAULINE JOHNSON 6% 18% 8% 17% 19% 19% 26%

RYERSON 21% 21% 0% 13% 33% 32% 32%

TECUMSEH 29% 19% 17% 23% 18% 23% 29%

ERA PERCENTAGE 17% 16% 9% 15% 17% 19% 18%

% change from

2004-2013

5%

7%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

-2%

-25%

0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�102�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2004 - 2005 SPED (Gifted) program relocation phasing from John T. Tuck P.S. to Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. (ERA 107)2005 Ryerson P.S. becomes a holding school, for one (1) year, for Alexander's, relieving new development from Orchard Park P.S. (ERA 108)2004 - 2005 SPED (Gifted) program relocation phasing from John T. Tuck P.S. to Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. (ERA 107)2006 Alexander's P.S. opens (ERA 108)2013 John T Tuck P.S. unprecedented growth into the school

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Page 59: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 102Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,447 1,471 1,480 1,481 1,492 1,469 1,462 1,476 1,461 1,468 1,436

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726

Portables 9

Portable Capacity 621 621 621 621 621 621 621 621 621 621 621

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347 2,347

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

JOHN T. TUCK 2012 JK-8

PAULINE JOHNSON 2014 JK-6

RYERSON 2012 JK-6

TECUMSEH 2013 JK-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

JOHN T. TUCK ENG 2.2 541 7 8 725 716 707 684 690 668 651 644 662 657 664 646

PAULINE JOHNSON ENG 1.9 216 2 6 354 239 278 264 258 263 259 258 259 249 253 252

§ RYERSON ENG 2.0 527 0 6 665 225 186 216 200 204 202 211 205 208 201 196

~Gifted 0 19 39 61 85 86 86 88 88 88 87

TOTAL 225 205 255 261 289 287 297 293 296 289 283

§ TECUMSEH ENG 2.7 442 0 7 603 267 281 278 273 272 272 264 262 259 263 256

GRAND TOTAL 8.7 1,726 9 27 2,347 1,447 1,471 1,480 1,481 1,492 1,469 1,462 1,476 1,461 1,468 1,436

OTG in ERA over time 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726 1,726

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 279 255 246 245 234 257 264 250 265 258 290

Utilization Rate 84% 85% 86% 86% 86% 85% 85% 85% 85% 85% 83%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details~ Gifted is a grade 1 program, in 2014

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 60: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 61: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 103

ERA 103 – South of QEW between Appleby Line and Burloak Dr

ERA Census• In 2006 12% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 11% in 2011.• There was a 10% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature, stable review area with OTG utilization near 80%.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.• Approximately 35 students from the Curtis Estates in Oakville (ERA 111) are included in schools in this

ERA. There may be an impact from the proposed construction of Oakville SW #1 P.S.

Portable RequirementsFrontenac P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.Mohawk Gardens P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.Pineland P.S. – Two (2) portables is on-site. If trends continue more portables will be needed.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsFrontenac P.S. – Life Skills and Learning Disability classes.

Housing Development• There is minimal infill development in this ERA.• One new medium density development application for this ERA in 2013 is expected to have minimal

affect on enrolment projections.

Overview• This ERA contains one dual track school, Pineland P.S. It receives students from ERA 102 and ERA

111. Pineland P.S. is within walking distance of Mohawk Gardens P.S. • Mohawk Gardens P.S. is a junior elementary school. • Frontenac P.S. is a JK-8 English school.• Overall Utilization shows stability however there is an imbalance in school utilization. • Frontenac P.S. is currently at 60% OTG utilization and is projected to decline over time to 53%

utilization in 2023. Frontenac is a large facility when compared with other schools in this ERA.• Mohawk Gardens P.S. is currently at 77% OTG utilization and is projected to decline over time to 70%

utilization in 2023.• Pineland P.S. is currently at 107% OTG utilization and expected to increase to 115% by 2023• Pineland P.S. will reach Total capacity between the years 2016 - 2021.• Frontenac P.S. and Mohawk Gardens P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core

French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• Birth Rates in this ERA are stable; Frontenac P.S. experiences a lower conversion to JK when

compared with the other two schools in this ERA.• Low enrolment into the English program is expected to continue at Pineland P.S. Approximately 25% of

enrolments are in the English program. Since 2009 there have been two years without a grade 1 class and a grade 1 English class is not projected for 2014.

• As a result of low English enrolments, Pineland P.S. will undergo a boundary review Spring 2014.• More students have elected to attend FI at Pineland P.S. then remain at Mohawk Gardens P.S., since

2011.

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Page 62: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 103Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

FRONTENAC ENG 532 532 515 496 476 450 436 444 446 463

MOHAWK GARDENS ENG 425 440 413 411 396 391 414 415 399 386

PINELAND ENG 247 226 228 205 196 192 219 194 195 175

FI 365 359 356 375 374 388 403 396 451 536

TOTAL 612 585 584 580 570 580 622 590 646 711

GRAND TOTAL 1,568 1,556 1,511 1,486 1,442 1,420 1,472 1,448 1,491 1,560

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

FRONTENAC 45 46 51 35 34 39 38

MOHAWK GARDENS 73 55 61 76 60 71 82

PINELAND 15 15 18 21 15 15 22

ERA TOTAL 133 116 130 132 109 125 142

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

FRONTENAC 7 9 14 10 4 10 10

MOHAWK GARDENS 22 10 22 26 25 35 43

PINELAND 12 10 17 14 7 11 18

ERA TOTAL 41 29 53 50 36 56 71

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

FRONTENAC 16% 20% 27% 29% 12% 26% 26%

MOHAWK GARDENS 30% 18% 36% 34% 42% 49% 52%

PINELAND 80% 67% 94% 67% 47% 73% 82%

ERA PERCENTAGE 31% 25% 41% 38% 33% 45% 50%

-1%

16%

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

-9%

-13%

47%

-29%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�103�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2012 - 2013 Unprecedented growth in the French Immersion grades at Pineland P.S.

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Page 63: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 103Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,559 1,585 1,597 1,601 1,588 1,576 1,574 1,559 1,556 1,544 1,522

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943

Portables 2

Portable Capacity 414 414 414 414 414 414 414 414 414 414 414

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357 2,357

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

FRONTENAC 2013 JK-8

MOHAWK GARDENS 2010 JK-6

PINELAND 2014 JK-8 1-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ FRONTENAC ENG 1.9 777 0 5 892 463 451 461 448 433 430 422 416 423 421 408

MOHAWK GARDENS ENG 5.0 504 0 8 688 386 377 370 360 362 369 362 357 355 355 352

PINELAND ENG 3.5 662 2 5 777 175 161 153 150 144 119 116 121 124 125 122

FI 535 596 613 643 650 657 674 666 655 643 640

TOTAL 710 757 766 793 793 777 790 787 779 768 762

GRAND TOTAL 10.4 1,943 2 18 2,357 1,559 1,585 1,597 1,601 1,588 1,576 1,574 1,559 1,556 1,544 1,522

OTG in ERA over time 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943 1,943

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 385 358 346 342 355 367 369 384 387 399 421

Utilization Rate 80% 82% 82% 82% 82% 81% 81% 80% 80% 79% 78%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 64: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 65: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 104

ERA 104 – Tyandaga Community

ERA Census• In 2006 12% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 11% in 2011.• There was a 10% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• There are no schools in this review area. • Students attend Maplehurst P.S. (JK-6), Aldershot Elementary P.S. (7-8), Paul A. Fisher P.S. (JK-6)

and Brant Hills P.S. (7-8) for the English program.• Students attend Maplehurst P.S. (1-6), Aldershot Elementary P.S. (7-8), Clarksdale P.S. (1-6) and

Rolling Meadows P.S. (7 & 8) for the FI program.

Portable RequirementsN/A

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsN/A

Housing DevelopmentThere is minimal development in this ERA, although some vacant land could see infill opportunities.

Overview• As of October 31, 2013, 311 students resided within this ERA:

• 85 Students at Maplehurst P.S. (JK-6) English.• 63 Students at Paul A Fisher P.S. (JK-6) English.• 18 Students at Aldershot Elementary P.S. (7 & 8) English.• 13 Students at Brant Hills P.S. (7 & 8) English.• 7 Students in and SPED Program outside ERA 104.• 64 Students at Maplehurst P.S. (1-6) French Immersion.• 15 Students at Clarksdale P.S. (1-6) French Immersion.• 15 Students at Aldershot Elementary P.S. (7 & 8) French Immersion.• 4 Students at Rolling Meadows P.S. (7 & 8) French Immersion.• 7 Students at Sir E MacMillan P.S. (7&8) for Extended French Immersion. • 20 Students attending out of catchments schools (JK-8).

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Page 66: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 104Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

GRAND TOTAL

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ERA TOTAL

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ERA TOTAL

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ERA PERCENTAGE

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA Historical TimelineN/A

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Page 67: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 104Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Ministry OTG Capacity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Portables 0

Portable Capacity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

GRAND TOTAL

OTG in ERA over time

Available Pupil Places (+/-)

Utilization Rate

ERA Schools

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 68: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 69: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 105

ERA 105 – Brant Hills and Headon Forest Communities

ERA Census• In 2006 15% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 12% in 2011.• There was a 21% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend • Utilization rate is expected to decline to approximately 70% by 2019.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

Portable Requirements Brant Hills P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.Bruce T. Lindley P.S. - Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.C. H. Norton P.S. – One (1) portable on-site. Paul A. Fisher P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsBrant Hills P.S. – Learning Disability class.C.H. Norton P.S. – Life Skills and Learning Disability classes.Paul A. Fisher P.S. - A Life Skills class will be redirected from Paul A. Fisher P.S. to Tecumseh P.S. (ERA 102), September 2014.

Housing DevelopmentThere is no development in this ERA.

Overview• This ERA contains junior elementary schools and JK-8 schools. • Bruce T. Lindley P.S. and Clarksdale P.S. (in ERA 106) are the junior French Immersion schools for this

ERA. Senior French Immersion students attend Rolling Meadows P.S. (in ERA 106).• There is an imbalance in school utilization. • Brant Hills P.S. is currently at 63% OTG utilization and is projected to decline over time to 55%

utilization in 2023.• Bruce T. Lindley P.S. is currently at 91% OTG utilization and is projected to remain stable.• Paul A Fisher P.S. is currently at 71% OTG utilization and is projected to remain stable.• Enrolments at C.H. Norton P.S. are currently at OTG capacity. Enrolments are expected to decline by

approximately 20% in the next 10 years to stabilize at approximately 70% OTG capacity.• Bruce T. Lindely P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes

per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• Birth Rate projections differ for schools;

• Brant Hills P.S. and Bruce T. Lindley P.S have fairly stable birth rates with a stable percentage to JK.

• C.H. Norton P.S. has a declining birth rate. The birth rate conversion to JK also appears to be declining.

• Paul A Fisher P.S. birth rates appear to be increasing however the conversion to JK appears to fluctuate.

• FI sees a higher uptake than english at Bruce T. Lindley P.S. • Approximately 25% of the SK class at Brant Hills P.S. will enrol in FI at Bruce T. Lindley P.S.

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Page 70: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 105Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRANT HILLS ENG 428 419 406 378 364 335 323 281 272 264

BRUCE T. LINDLEY ENG 282 264 262 251 224 207 190 186 199 176

FI 121 117 105 113 117 119 128 125 131 147

TOTAL 403 381 367 364 341 326 318 311 330 323

C.H. NORTON ENG 619 610 588 628 646 635 654 718 501 561

PAUL A. FISHER ENG 204 205 211 193 197 189 190 192 239 218

GRAND TOTAL 1,653 1,615 1,571 1,562 1,547 1,484 1,485 1,502 1,342 1,366

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

BRANT HILLS 26 22 11 21 18 23 21

BRUCE T. LINDLEY 42 46 35 45 40 30 43

C.H. NORTON 61 67 62 55 99 72 61

PAUL A. FISHER 31 39 28 36 30 31 32

ERA TOTAL 160 174 136 157 187 156 157

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRANT HILLS 4 2 4 3 6 4 5

BRUCE T. LINDLEY 18 15 20 25 17 19 28

C.H. NORTON 5 1 3 3 9 5 8

PAUL A. FISHER 5 11 5 4 2 4 6

ERA TOTAL 32 29 32 35 34 32 47

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRANT HILLS 15% 9% 36% 14% 33% 17% 24%

BRUCE T. LINDLEY 43% 33% 57% 56% 43% 63% 65%

C.H. NORTON 8% 1% 5% 5% 9% 7% 13%

PAUL A. FISHER 16% 28% 18% 11% 7% 13% 19%

ERA PERCENTAGE 20% 17% 24% 22% 18% 21% 30%

-38%

-17%

21%

-38%

% change from

2004-2013

7%

-9%

-20%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�105�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2004 - 2011 C.H. Norton P.S. is a holding school for Alton Village P.S.2012 Alton Village P.S opens. (ERA 109)

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Page 71: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 105Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,366 1,302 1,287 1,257 1,251 1,237 1,191 1,198 1,190 1,195 1,197

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676

Portables 1

Portable Capacity 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

BRANT HILLS 2013 JK-8

BRUCE T. LINDLEY 2012 JK-6 1-6

C.H. NORTON 2013 JK-8

PAUL A. FISHER 2012 JK-6

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ BRANT HILLS ENG 3.2 420 0 6 558 264 252 243 236 244 230 227 230 226 223 231

BRUCE T. LINDLEY ENG 1.6 354 0 10 584 176 172 173 172 172 177 178 175 175 177 174

FI 147 142 146 146 145 146 138 147 146 149 148

TOTAL 323 314 319 318 317 323 317 322 321 326 322

§ C.H. NORTON ENG 2.0 597 1 8 781 561 539 525 505 492 489 450 445 429 428 425

PAUL A. FISHER ENG 2.0 305 0 12 581 218 197 200 199 198 195 198 200 214 219 220

GRAND TOTAL 8.7 1,676 1 36 2,504 1,366 1,302 1,287 1,257 1,251 1,237 1,191 1,198 1,190 1,195 1,197

OTG in ERA over time 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676 1,676

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 310 374 389 419 425 439 485 478 486 481 479

Utilization Rate 82% 78% 77% 75% 75% 74% 71% 71% 71% 71% 71%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 72: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 73: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 106

ERA 106 – Mountainside & Palmer Communities

ERA Census• In 2006 13% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 12% in 2011.• There was a 14% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• Student enrolments are projected to decline to slightly above 70% utilization in 2023. • Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

Portable RequirementsClarksdale P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.Dr. Charles Best P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.Rolling Meadows P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are not required.Sir E. MacMillan P.S. –Six (6) portables are on-site.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsRolling Meadows P.S. – Learning Disability class.Sir E. MacMillan P.S. - SPED (Behaviour) class.

Other ProgramsRolling Meadows P.S. - ACCESS program.

Housing DevelopmentThere is minimal development in this ERA.

Overview• ERA 106 has two (2) junior elementary schools and two (2) JK-8 schools. The FI program is shared

between two schools. • The ERA is in a slow decline and expected to stabilize near 70% utilization.• Rolling Meadows P.S. and Sir E MacMillan P.S. are projected to lose approximately 20% of their

enrolments over the ten years both schools should remain over 60% utilizations.• Clarksdale P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes per

week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• Sir E. MacMillan P.S. is the only late French Immersion School in Halton with schools throughout

Burlington feeding into the Late French Immersion program.• Enrolments at Sir E. MacMillan P.S. will decline with the implementation of Grade 5 entry Late FI.• Most schools in this area have a relatively stable birth rate. The exception to this is Rolling Meadows

where birth rates are declining. The conversion of students to JK for the majority of schools appears to be low or declining.

• Clarksdale P.S. birth rate percentages to JK are remaining high.• FI sees higher uptake than english at Clarksdale P.S. • For the last three years, approximately 20% of students elected to leave Rolling Meadows P.S. after SK

to attend another school other than Clarksdale French Immersion.

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Page 74: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 106Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CLARKSDALE ENG 232 214 181 169 246 291 301 314 148 183

FI 245 243 240 239 248 265 290 309 223 252

TOTAL 477 457 421 408 494 556 591 623 371 435

DR. CHARLES BEST ENG 206 209 209 218 221 219 231 242 251 284

ROLLING MEADOWS ENG 534 518 524 480 453 456 466 435 381 390

FI 117 123 106 95 88 85 91 92 82 70TOTAL 651 641 630 575 541 541 557 527 463 460

SIR E. MACMILLAN ENG 419 422 410 390 380 349 320 325 305 303

FI 60 78 90 82 75 78 80 85 85 92

TOTAL 479 500 500 472 455 427 400 410 390 395

GRAND TOTAL 1,812 1,806 1,759 1,672 1,710 1,743 1,778 1,802 1,474 1,574

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CLARKSDALE 38 40 54 75 66 84 50

DR. CHARLES BEST 47 48 34 33 49 51 52

ROLLING MEADOWS 38 47 31 41 36 35 43

SIR E. MACMILLAN 40 26 26 26 27 14 27

ERA TOTAL 163 161 145 175 178 184 172

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CLARKSDALE 27 18 28 44 35 36 30

DR. CHARLES BEST 6 6 7 4 8 6 9

ROLLING MEADOWS 5 4 0 9 6 6 6

SIR E. MACMILLAN 6 3 2 2 2 1 3

ERA TOTAL 44 31 37 59 51 49 48

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CLARKSDALE 71% 45% 52% 59% 53% 43% 60%

DR. CHARLES BEST 13% 13% 21% 12% 16% 12% 17%

ROLLING MEADOWS 13% 9% 0% 22% 17% 17% 14%

SIR E. MACMILLAN 15% 12% 8% 8% 7% 7% 11%

ERA PERCENTAGE 27% 19% 26% 34% 29% 27% 28%

% change from

2004-2013

-17%

53%

-28%

-29%-40%

-27%

38%

3%

-21%

-13%

-9%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�106�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2007 Clarksdale P.S. and Rolling Meadows P.S. becomes a holding school for English and French Immersion students residing in Alton.2007 Rolling Meadows P.S. significantly smaller JK and grades 1 and 8 classes2008 - 2011 Growth at Clarksdale P.S. and Rolling Meadows P.S. from development in Alton.2012 Alton Village P.S. opens. (ERA 109) FI students in Alton redirected to Orchard Park P.S. (ERA 108)2012 Florence Meares P.S. (ERA 107) redirect a portion of SK students electing FI to Clarksdale P.S., affecting Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. FI enrolments

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Page 75: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 106Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,574 1,578 1,511 1,476 1,480 1,443 1,432 1,414 1,353 1,330 1,339

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881

Portables 6

Portable Capacity 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644 644

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525 2,525

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

CLARKSDALE 2013 JK-6 1-6

DR. CHARLES BEST 2013 JK-5

ROLLING MEADOWS 2013 JK-8 7-8

SIR E. MACMILLAN 2013 JK-8 7-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

CLARKSDALE ENG 2.4 550 0 5 665 184 168 165 154 148 148 143 141 140 141 138

FI 251 267 279 272 276 271 256 250 252 254 254

TOTAL 435 435 444 426 423 419 398 392 392 395 392

DR. CHARLES BEST ENG 1.7 332 0 11 585 284 291 289 288 290 280 273 278 276 280 275

§ ROLLING MEADOWS ENG 2.7 584 0 6 722 389 371 333 317 309 290 290 283 267 253 259

FI 71 80 69 79 95 96 119 115 94 92 94

TOTAL 460 451 403 396 404 386 409 398 361 345 353

§ SIR E. MACMILLAN ENG 1.5 415 6 6 553 303 294 279 272 265 268 257 250 243 234 241

Late FI 92 107 97 94 97 91 94 96 81 76 78

TOTAL 395 401 376 366 362 358 351 346 324 310 319

GRAND TOTAL 8.3 1,881 6 28 2,525 1,574 1,578 1,511 1,476 1,480 1,443 1,432 1,414 1,353 1,330 1,339

OTG in ERA over time 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881 1,881

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 307 303 370 405 401 438 449 467 528 551 542

Utilization Rate 84% 84% 80% 78% 79% 77% 76% 75% 72% 71% 71%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 76: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 77: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 107

ERA 107 – Millcroft Community

ERA Census• In 2006 15% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 14% in 2011.• There was a 2% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• Enrolments are expected to begin to decline.• Total utilization is expected to drop to 91% capacity by 2023, including the development north of

Dundas Street.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.

Portable RequirementsCharles R. Beaudoin P.S. – Four (4) portables on site. Portables will continue to be required.Florence Meares P.S. – Two (2) portables are on site. Portables will continue to be required with incoming development.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsCharles R. Beaudoin P.S. - Will contain SPED (Gifted) program grades 2-8, starting September 2014. The primary program will be phased to Ryerson P.S. This will be reviewed on an annual basis. Gifted students are directed to Nelson H.S.Florence Meares P.S. - Life Skills class.

Housing Development• Future development west of Walker’s Line north of Dundas Street will affect both schools in this ERA

after 2016. This development has draft plan approval however the project appears to be on hold. Timing may change based on developer’s application.

• There are no new development applications in this ERA.

Overview• Both schools are JK to 8, one is a dual track school.• Both schools are expected to remain above 80% capacity for the next ten years. This trend will depend

on development timing north of Dundas Street.• Birth Rates for both schools are relatively stable and result in a high conversion to JK enrolments.• Charles R. Beaudoin and Florence Meares P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of the Primary

Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• FI sees higher uptake than english at Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. • Growth was experienced in all grades in the SPED (Gifted) program with the exception of grade 7.

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Page 78: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 107Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CHARLES R. BEAUDOIN ENG 187 233 312 319 299 291 174 285 275 262

FI 203 278 186 218 231 249 245 288 290 306

Gifted 34 52 74 70 79 88 124 156 190 211

TOTAL 424 563 572 607 609 628 543 729 755 779

FLORENCE MEARES ENG 689 697 668 661 645 629 598 607 677 637

GRAND TOTAL 1,113 1,260 1,240 1,267 1,254 1,257 1,141 1,336 1,432 1,416

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CHARLES R. BEAUDOIN 46 37 49 43 41 35 42

FLORENCE MEARES 62 66 70 76 63 64 96

ERA TOTAL 108 103 119 119 104 99 138

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CHARLES R. BEAUDOIN 35 24 22 15 24 18 24

FLORENCE MEARES 7 10 14 14 11 16 18

ERA TOTAL 42 34 36 29 35 34 42

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CHARLES R. BEAUDOIN 76% 65% 45% 35% 59% 51% 57%

FLORENCE MEARES 11% 15% 20% 18% 17% 25% 19%

ERA PERCENTAGE 39% 33% 30% 24% 34% 34% 30%

% change from

2004-2013

27%

-7%

84%

521%

51%

40%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�107�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2004 - 2005 SPED (Gifted) program relocation phasing from John T. Tuck P.S. (ERA 102) to Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. 2006 Charles R Beaudoin P.S. FI boundary change, redirection to Alexander's P.S. (ERA 108)2010 - 2012 Phasing in of the SPED (early gifted) program at Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. starting with grades 1 and 2.2012 Florence Meares P.S. redirects a portion of SK students enroling in FI to Clarksdale P.S. (ERA 106), affecting Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. enrolments

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Page 79: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 107Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,416 1,409 1,350 1,334 1,314 1,297 1,301 1,277 1,258 1,251 1,237

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367

Portables 6

Portable Capacity 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

CHARLES R. BEAUDOIN 2014 JK-8 1-8

FLORENCE MEARES 2012 JK-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ CHARLES R. BEAUDOIN ENG 2.6 722 4 4 814 259 281 268 254 242 233 223 220 214 214 211

FI 308 324 309 307 298 290 283 272 266 263 262

~Gifted 212 193 183 167 131 116 125 113 121 122 123

TOTAL 779 798 760 728 671 639 631 605 601 599 596

§ FLORENCE MEARES ENG 2.2 645 2 6 783 637 611 590 606 643 658 670 673 657 653 642

GRAND TOTAL 4.8 1,367 6 10 1,597 1,416 1,409 1,350 1,334 1,314 1,297 1,301 1,277 1,258 1,251 1,237

OTG in ERA over time 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367 1,367

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -49 -42 18 33 53 70 66 90 110 116 130

Utilization Rate 104% 103% 99% 98% 96% 95% 95% 93% 92% 92% 91%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details~ Gifted is a grade 2-8 program in 2014

ERA Schools

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 80: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 81: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 108

ERA 108 – Orchard Community

ERA Census• In 2006 14% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 19% in 2011.• There was a 56% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• ERA enrolments are expected to peak in 2014.• Total utilization (100%) for this area is expected to continue until approximately 2019.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.

Portable RequirementsAlexander’s P.S. - Eight (8) portables are currently on-site. Portables may be required until 2018.John William Boich P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Orchard Park P.S. – Four (4) portables are on-site. Portables will continue to be required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsJohn William Boich P.S. – Primary Language class.Orchard Park P.S. - Behavior class.

Housing Development• High density development is occurring south of Upper Middle Road with one and two bedroom units.

Will have minimal affect on John William Boich P.S.• High density development at 5201 and 4136 Dundas Street, mostly one bedroom units. In addition, ten

townhouses are proposed; site plan has not been submitted.• Development in the Alton area will affect Orchard Park P.S. FI enrolment.• Minimal development is expected south of Upper Middle Road; the majority of this area is designated

for employment.

Overview• All schools are JK-8 dual tracks schools. • John William Boich P.S. is projected to be above OTG capacity until 2017.• Alexander’s P.S. will continue to be over capacity until approximately 2017.• Orchard Park P.S. is expected to remain above OTG capacity until 2020.• John William Boich P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes

per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• Each school is exhibiting a different pattern for Birth rates to JK students:

• John William Boich P.S. birth rates are dropping and there is a conversion to JK of less than 50%.

• Birth rates for Alexander’s P.S. are expected to remain stable for the next few years. The conversion to JK enrolment is expected to remain high.

• Orchard Park birth rates are fluctuating, however less than 50% of children elected to attend the JK program, in 2013.

• French Immersion sees higher uptake than english at all schools in this ERA. • French Immersion is currently offered for grades 1-7 at Orchard Park P.S.; grade 8 will be added in

2014.• Orchard Park receives FI students from ERA 109.

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Page 82: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 108Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALEXANDERS ENG 0 0 370 469 503 552 585 456 417 420 *FI 0 0 156 260 257 307 349 277 308 302 *TOTAL 0 0 526 729 760 859 934 733 725 722 *

JOHN WILLIAM BOICH ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 415 492 487 *FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 186 211 233 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 601 703 720 *

ORCHARD PARK ENG 665 720 520 518 514 566 548 304 281 249

FI 0 0 0 0 71 93 121 86 216 270 *TOTAL 665 720 520 518 585 659 669 390 497 519

GRAND TOTAL 665 720 1,046 1,247 1,345 1,518 1,602 1,723 1,925 1,961

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ALEXANDER'S 99 113 138 131 142 90 69

JOHN WILLIAM BOICH - - - - - 88 86

ORCHARD PARK 88 70 96 108 106 46 54

ERA TOTAL 187 183 234 239 248 224 209

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALEXANDER'S 54 69 74 75 72 55 33

JOHN WILLIAM BOICH - - - - - 35 50

ORCHARD PARK 21 29 29 40 51 28 34

ERA TOTAL 75 98 103 115 123 118 117

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALEXANDER'S 55% 61% 54% 57% 51% 61% 48%

JOHN WILLIAM BOICH - - - - - 40% 58%

ORCHARD PARK 24% 41% 30% 37% 48% 61% 63%

ERA PERCENTAGE 40% 54% 44% 48% 50% 53% 56%

17%

37%

94%

14%

195%

-22%

280%

-63%

% change from

2004-2013

20%25%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�108�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2005 Ryerson P.S. (ERA 102) becomes a holding school, for one (1) year, for Alexander's, relieving new development from Orchard Park P.S.2007 Alexander's P.S. increase from new development2006 Alexander's P.S. opens affecting Ryerson P.S. (ERA 102) enrolments and Orchard Park P.S. enrolments.2008 - 2014 Grade 1-3 FI phase in at Orchard Park P.S. Note 2011 grade 5 addition was postponed 1 year.2011 John William Boich P.S. opens, students are redirected from Alexander's P.S. and Orchard Park P.S.2012 Alton Village P.S. (ERA 109) opens, FI students residing in Alton are redirected to Orchard Park P.S.2012 Addition of grade 8 and growth in younger grades to John William Boich P.S.

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Page 83: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 108Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,965 2,166 2,114 2,055 1,974 1,906 1,814 1,764 1,734 1,724 1,706

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898

Portables 14

Portable Capacity 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726 2,726

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

ALEXANDER'S 2014 JK-8 1-8

JOHN WILLIAM BOICH 2014 JK-8 1-8

ORCHARD PARK 2014 JK-8 1-7

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

ALEXANDER'S ENG 2.4 645 8 12 921 423 466 430 385 354 330 304 294 281 275 265

FI 301 324 327 315 305 290 273 253 248 240 230

TOTAL 724 790 757 699 658 620 577 547 529 514 495

§ JOHN WILLIAM BOICH ENG 3.4 717 2 12 993 486 537 523 501 469 433 408 398 408 408 410

FI 234 246 261 275 278 280 273 274 266 271 267

TOTAL 720 783 785 776 746 714 682 672 674 679 678

§ ORCHARD PARK ENG 3.0 536 4 12 812 249 276 246 239 221 217 201 199 193 192 191

FI 272 317 326 342 349 356 354 346 338 338 343

TOTAL 521 593 572 580 570 572 555 545 531 530 534

GRAND TOTAL 8.7 1,898 14 36 2,726 1,965 2,166 2,114 2,055 1,974 1,906 1,814 1,764 1,734 1,724 1,706

OTG in ERA over time 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898 1,898

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -67 -268 -216 -157 -76 -8 84 134 164 175 192

Utilization Rate 104% 114% 111% 108% 104% 100% 96% 93% 91% 91% 90%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 84: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 85: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 109

ERA 109 – Alton Community

ERA Census• In 2006 15% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 14% in 2011.• There was a 1319% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• Enrolment will continue to climb until 2023.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be implemented in 2014.

Portable RequirementsAlton Village P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables are projected to be required by 2014.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsN/A

Housing Development• Alton is a developing community with projected completion by 2014, east of Walker’s Line.• The Secondary Plan for the area west of Tremaine Road is on hold, until a decision is reached by the

Ontario Municipal Board. The City of Burlington expects to have residential development in this area.

Overview• Alton Village P.S. opened September 2012 with JK to grade 8. It is a single track English school. • FI students are directed to Orchard Park P.S. (ERA 108)• If trends continue Alton Village P.S. will exceed Total Capacity by 2018.• Birth rates are very high in this area. The birth rate conversion to JK enrolment is expected to drop with

the opening of the HCDSB elementary school in this area.• The area west of Walker’s Line, once developed, will be directed to Charles R. Beaudoin P.S. for FI (1-

8) and to Florence Meares P.S. for English (JK-8).• The Halton Catholic School Board opened a school east of the Sheldon Creek Tributary in September

2013.

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Page 86: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 109Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALTON VILLAGE ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 580 695 *GRAND TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 580 695

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ALTON VILLAGE - - - - - - 113

ERA TOTAL 113

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALTON VILLAGE - - - - - - 18

ERA TOTAL 18

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALTON VILLAGE - - - - - - 16%

ERA PERCENTAGE - - - - - - 16%

ALTON VILLAGE OPENED IN THE 2012-2013 SCHOOL YEAR, THEREFORE THERE IS NO HISTORICAL DATA AVAILABLE BEFORE 2012

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

16%

20%

% change from

2012-2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�109�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2012 Alton Village P.S. opens grade 1 to 8 English. This relieves enrolments at Clarksdale P.S., Rolling Meadows P.S. and CH Norton P.S.2013 Smaller classes graduated (under 50) and larger JK class entering (100+). Growth in most grades.

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Page 87: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 109Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 692 844 885 959 1,013 1,043 1,085 1,104 1,113 1,123 1,135

Ministry OTG Capacity 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Portables 0

Portable Capacity 299 299 299 299 299 299 299 299 299 299 299

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039 1,039

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

ALTON VILLAGE 2014 JK-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

ALTON VILLAGE ENG 2.4 740 0 13 1,039 692 844 885 959 1,013 1,043 1,085 1,104 1,113 1,123 1,135

GRAND TOTAL 2.4 740 0 13 1,039 692 844 885 959 1,013 1,043 1,085 1,104 1,113 1,123 1,135

OTG in ERA over time 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 48 -104 -145 -219 -273 -303 -345 -364 -373 -383 -395

Utilization Rate 94% 114% 120% 130% 137% 141% 147% 149% 150% 152% 153%

ERA Schools

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 88: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 89: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 110

ERA 110 – Rural Burlington

ERA Census• In 2006 13% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 11% in 2011.• There was a 14% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A rural planning area, OTG utilization is stable at approximately 80%.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.• The area includes two rural communities of Kilbride and Mount Nemo.

Portable RequirementsKilbride P.S. – One (1) portable on-site. Portables are not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsN/A

Housing Development• There is no significant development in the rural communities with the exception of some rural estate

development.

Overview• Kilbride P.S. is a small English track rural school that services rural Burlington and rural Milton

(ERA123). • French Immersion students attend Martin Street P.S. and W.I. Dick P.S. (ERA119) or Bruce T. Lindley

P.S. (ERA105) and Rolling Meadows P.S. (ERA106).• Very few SK students elect to leave Kilbride P.S. to attend FI.

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Page 90: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 110Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

KILBRIDE ENG 300 301 300 279 280 278 251 233 244 289

GRAND TOTAL 300 301 300 279 280 278 251 233 244 289

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

KILBRIDE 32 18 22 29 23 21 26

ERA TOTAL 32 18 22 29 23 21 26

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

KILBRIDE 2 2 0 1 3 1 0

ERA TOTAL 2 2 0 1 3 1 0

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

KILBRIDE 6% 11% 0% 3% 13% 5% 0%

ERA PERCENTAGE 6% 11% 0% 3% 13% 5% 0%

-4%

-4%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

% change from

2004-2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�110�% Board�%

ERA Historical TimelineN/A

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Elementary Review Area 110Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 289 290 284 286 288 288 293 298 296 302 292

Ministry OTG Capacity 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363

Portables 1

Portable Capacity 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 593 593 593 593 593 593 593 593 593 593 593

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

KILBRIDE 2013 JK-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

KILBRIDE ENG 2.9 363 1 10 593 289 290 284 286 288 288 293 298 296 302 292

GRAND TOTAL 2.9 363 1 10 593 289 290 284 286 288 288 293 298 296 302 292

OTG in ERA over time 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363 363

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 74 73 79 77 75 75 70 65 67 61 71

Utilization Rate 80% 80% 78% 79% 79% 79% 81% 82% 81% 83% 80%

ERA Schools

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 93: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 94: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 95: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 111

ERA 111 – South of QEW between Burloak Dr and Bronte Creek

ERA Census• In 2006, 13% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 14% in 2011.• There was a 34% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• There are no schools in this review area. • There is no long range projection in this review area.• Students attend schools outside of the review area.

Portable RequirementsN/A

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsN/A

Housing Development• Lakeshore Woods community is a growth community where residential development has recently been

completed.• There are some small infill residential developments scattered around the review area and a high

density block along the south side of Lakeshore Road West.• The area north of Rebecca is the Petro Canada Refinery and business employment lands which are

currently vacant. There is no expected residential development.

Overview• There is one designated public elementary school block in this review area which is owned by the

Halton District School Board.• Currently there are 625 elementary students in this ERA (JK-8 ENG, 1-8 FI, SPED programs).• Most of the students in this area attend schools in ERA 103 (Mohawk Gardens P.S., Pineland P.S.) or

ERA 112 (Eastview P.S., Gladys Speers P.S., Pine Grove P.S.).• As of October 31, 2013, there are 604 students that attend these five schools. The breakdown is:

• 17 students at Mohawk Gardens P.S. (JK-6 ENG)• 16 students at Pineland P.S., (7-8 ENG, 1-8 FI)• 149 students at Eastview P.S., (JK-8 ENG)• 190 students at Gladys Speers P.S. (JK-6 ENG)• 232 students at Pine Grove P.S. (1-8 FI)

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Elementary Review Area 111Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

OAKVILLE SW #1 PS TENTATIVELY PLANNED TO OPEN IN 2016/2017 THEREFORE, NO HISTORICAL ENROLMENT

GRAND TOTAL

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ERA TOTAL

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ERA TOTAL

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ERA PERCENTAGE

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA Historical TimelineN/A

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Elementary Review Area 111Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Ministry OTG Capacity 0 0 0 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Portables 0

Portable Capacity 0 0 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 0 0 276 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

Oakville SW #1 ps

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

* Oakville SW #1 ps ENG 2.3 740 0 12 1,016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

GRAND TOTAL 2.3 740 0 12 1,016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

OTG in ERA over time 0 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 0 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Utilization Rate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

* Oakville SW #1 ps tentatively planned to open in 2016/2017§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

ERA Schools

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 98: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 99: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 112

ERA 112 – South of QEW between Bronte Creek and 16 Mile Creek

ERA Census• In 2006 and 2011, 10% of the population was between the ages of 5-14.• There was a 5% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature and stable review area with OTG utilization around 100% over the next 10 years.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

Portable RequirementsBrookdale P.S., Eastview P.S., Oakwood P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Gladys Speers P.S. – One (1) portable on-site. Portables not required. Pine Grove P.S. – Ten (10) portables on-site. Portables required from 2014 to 2023.W.H. Morden P.S. – Three (3) portables on-site. Portables required from 2014 to 2023.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsEastview P.S. - Self-contained Life Skills class. Oakwood P.S. - Communications classes.W.H. Morden P.S. – Self-contained Gifted program (grade 5-8) and Life Skills class.

Housing Development• Bronte Village and Kerr Street Village have been identified in the Town of Oakville Official Plan as two

of the six major community studies where residential intensification will occur. It is expected that development applications will be circulated in the future.

• High density developments are currently circulating in the Speers Road/Kerr Street area which will be accommodated at Oakwood P.S./ W.H. Morden P.S.

• High density developments are currently circulating in the Lakeshore Road West/Bronte Road area which will be accommodated at Eastwood P.S.

• Other infill developments are scattered throughout SW Oakville and are expected to be accommodated at existing facilities.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools with one single track FI school.• English students from ERA111 attend Eastview P.S. and Gladys Speers P.S. FI students in ERA111

attend Pine Grove P.S.• Overall OTG utilization show stability but there is an imbalance of utilization across the schools.• Oakwood P.S. is projected to remain under 50% OTG utilization until 2016 where projections are

expected to increase due to anticipated high density residential units being completed and occupied.• Oakwood P.S. utilization is expected to increase to 77% by 2023 but this is dependant upon approval of

residential development applications and timing of construction. Development will be monitored and long range projections are expected to change.

• Pine Grove P.S. OTG utilization is currently at 136% and is expected to decline over time but remain over 125% OTG utilization by 2023.

• W.H. Morden P.S. contains a regional grade 5-8 self-contained Gifted program. This program is currently 55% of total enrolment at and is projected to be stable.

• With a maximum portable capacity of 7 portables and a Total Capacity of 590, it is projected that W.H. Morden P.S. will surpass Total Capacity by 2020.

• Oakwood P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.

• Birth Rates are fluctuating however the conversion to JK students appears to be stable for all schools.• Historical trends show that a signifcant percentage (above 23%) of SKs chose the FI program in the

past 5 years. Gladys Speers P.S. has the highest trend where consistenly over 35% of SKs chose grade 1 FI.

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Elementary Review Area 112Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BROOKDALE ENG 312 320 315 327 311 295 283 274 276 314

EASTVIEW ENG 513 488 449 450 465 448 440 440 483 469

GLADYS SPEERS ENG 197 218 254 263 299 297 298 309 396 394

OAKWOOD ENG 217 209 197 169 157 160 182 177 171 174

PINE GROVE FI 689 781 874 551 575 639 717 724 741 754

W.H. MORDEN ENG 362 367 253 257 269 246 233 231 211 193

Gifted 0 0 97 110 115 135 173 195 235 264 *TOTAL 362 367 350 367 384 381 406 426 446 457

GRAND TOTAL 2,289 2,381 2,438 2,126 2,191 2,219 2,326 2,348 2,513 2,562

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

BROOKDALE 54 33 40 39 30 39 40

EASTVIEW 48 47 40 53 35 46 54

GLADYS SPEERS 51 66 62 82 71 71 79

OAKWOOD 30 20 44 29 34 38 38

W.H. MORDEN 18 14 26 20 23 17 21

ERA TOTAL 201 180 212 223 193 211 232

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BROOKDALE 12 6 13 9 9 14 16

EASTVIEW 17 20 15 26 9 17 14

GLADYS SPEERS 19 29 29 40 27 40 32

OAKWOOD 8 5 15 12 13 12 13

W.H. MORDEN 4 2 10 8 7 5 7

ERA TOTAL 60 62 82 95 65 88 82

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BROOKDALE 22% 18% 33% 23% 30% 36% 40%

EASTVIEW 35% 43% 38% 49% 26% 37% 26%

GLADYS SPEERS 37% 44% 47% 49% 38% 56% 41%

OAKWOOD 27% 25% 34% 41% 38% 32% 34%

W.H. MORDEN 22% 14% 38% 40% 30% 29% 33%

ERA PERCENTAGE 30% 34% 39% 43% 34% 42% 35%

26%

172%

1%

-47%

9%

-20%

100%

-8%

12%

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�112�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2007 FI Program Changes seen at Eastview and Pine Grove

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Elementary Review Area 112Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 2,591 2,617 2,628 2,678 2,674 2,646 2,645 2,627 2,671 2,704 2,736

Ministry OTG Capacity 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661

Portables 14

Portable Capacity 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719 3,719

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

BROOKDALE 2013 JK-8

EASTVIEW 2012 JK-8

GLADYS SPEERS 2012 JK-6

OAKWOOD 2010 JK-5

PINE GROVE 1-8

W.H. MORDEN 2010 JK-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

BROOKDALE ENG 2.0 363 0 5 478 314 297 297 300 295 287 287 275 273 270 266

§ EASTVIEW ENG 3.0 562 0 12 838 469 479 469 489 504 490 496 522 526 524 524

GLADYS SPEERS ENG 1.8 392 1 5 507 394 380 359 359 355 351 339 324 317 316 319

§ OAKWOOD ENG 2.9 360 0 5 475 174 169 177 184 192 200 200 205 222 249 276

PINE GROVE FI 2.1 555 10 12 831 754 779 785 778 757 743 737 705 701 696 691

§ W.H. MORDEN ENG 2.7 429 3 7 590 218 205 217 234 243 254 266 281 309 328 342

~Gifted 268 308 324 333 328 322 320 315 323 321 318

TOTAL 486 513 540 567 571 576 586 596 632 649 661

GRAND TOTAL 14.5 2,661 14 46 3,719 2,591 2,617 2,628 2,678 2,674 2,646 2,645 2,627 2,671 2,704 2,736

OTG in ERA over time 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661 2,661

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 70 44 33 -17 -13 15 17 34 -10 -43 -75

Utilization Rate 97% 98% 99% 101% 101% 99% 99% 99% 100% 102% 103%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

~ Gifted is a grade 5-8 program

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 103: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 113

ERA 113 – Southeast Oakville

ERA Census• In 2006, 15% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 13% in 2011.• There was a 12% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature and stable review area with OTG utilization above 100% over the next 10 years.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten fully implemented in 2013.

Portable RequirementsE.J. James P.S. – Four (4) portables on-site. Portables required from 2014 to 2023. James W. Hill P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables required from 2014 to 2023.Maple Grove P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.New Central P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsN/A

Housing Development• The Downtown area and Midtown Oakville (area around Oakville GO Station) have been identified in

the Town of Oakville Official Plan as two of the six major community studies where residential intensification will occur. It is expected that development applications will be circulated in the future.

• Some high density infill development applications in the Downtown area are currently in circulation. It is not expected that many students will be generated from these developments.

• In Midtown Oakville, the total number of residential units being proposed or the phasing of future construction is undetermined at this time (potentially 20,000 new residents in this area). Given the type and form of housing, this new development will have minimal impact on enrolments. Any proposed residential developments in this area would be accommodated at New Central P.S. and Maple Grove P.S.

• The student yields are unknown and have not been included in these long range projections.• South Central Public Lands Study includes the three town-owned surplus school sites, the Oakville-

Trafalgar Memorial Hospital site and the Oakville Area site including the surrounding park. On April 8, 2013 Town of Oakville Council endorsed the staff recommended land use options and directed Town staff to proceed with implementation. The options include residential development where draft plans have not been circulated at this point in time. Any proposed residential developments in this area would be accommodated at New Central P.S. and Maple Grove P.S.

• There are other infill developments scattered around SE Oakville. Any students generated from these infill developments are expected to be accommodated at existing facilities.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools including one single track FI school and one

dual track school.• Overall OTG utilization show stability but there is inbalance of utilization across the schools.• E.J. James P.S. is currently at 130% OTG utilization and has a maximum portable capacity of 6

portables It is projected that E.J. James P.S. will surpass Total Capacity by 2015.• Maple Grove P.S. is currently at 96% OTG utilization and is projected to decline to 84% OTG utilization

by 2023. • New Central P.S. is currently at 94% OTG utilization and is projected to decline to 83% OTG utilization

by 2023. • Maple Grove P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week)

beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.• Birth Rates for ERA are stable however the conversion to JK students appears to fluctuate for all

schools. • Recent history since the PARC study (of which results were implemented in September 2010) shows

increases in most grades at all schools. Conversations with school staff reveal that many new students are coming from families that have moved into the community and are choosing to attend public schools.

• Historical trends show that a significant number (over 34%) of this ERA's SKs choose the FI program.

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Page 104: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 113Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

E.J. JAMES FI 163 150 153 138 155 179 482 459 465 490

JAMES W. HILL ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 322 337 342 330 *FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 96 130 167 198 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 418 467 509 528 *

MAPLE GROVE ENG 309 285 270 285 276 272 465 465 498 563

NEW CENTRAL ENG 109 96 86 98 87 64 168 171 201 244

GRAND TOTAL 581 531 509 521 518 515 1,532 1,561 1,673 1,825

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

BRANTWOOD 22 23 18 13 - - -

CHISHOLM 44 40 35 49 - - -

JAMES W. HILL - - - - 30 41 62

LINBROOK 25 20 18 20 - - -

MAPLE GROVE 59 48 47 61 44 45 63

NEW CENTRAL - - - - 27 44 47

ERA TOTAL 150 131 118 143 101 130 172

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRANTWOOD 5 7 5 6 - - -

CHISHOLM 7 11 17 26 - - -

JAMES W. HILL - - - - 21 28 45

LINBROOK 21 20 16 20 - - -

MAPLE GROVE 7 19 18 29 15 26 27

NEW CENTRAL - - - - 13 23 26

ERA TOTAL 40 57 56 81 49 77 98

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRANTWOOD 23% 30% 28% 46% - - -

CHISHOLM 16% 28% 49% 53% - - -

JAMES W. HILL - - - - 70% 68% 73%

LINBROOK 84% 100% 89% 100% - - -

MAPLE GROVE 12% 40% 38% 48% 34% 58% 43%

NEW CENTRAL - - - - 48% 52% 55%

ERA PERCENTAGE 27% 44% 47% 57% 49% 59% 57%

26%

106%

2%

201%

214%

124%

82%

% change from

2004-2013

Note:  Historical enrolments are FTE until the Full‐Day Kindergarten Program is implemented by Ministry Timelines which has been 

noted under the ERA School Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PER

CEN

T

YEAR

SK TO GRADE 1 FRENCH IMMERSION HISTORICAL PROGRESSION

ERA 113 % Board %

ERA Historical Timeline

2009 Brantwood, Chisholm & Linbrook close2010 New Central becomes JK-6 school, Maple Grove becomes a JK-8 school & EJ James becomes a 1-8 FI school2010 James W. Hill opens as a JK-8 English and 1-6 FI school (Grades 7 and 8 added in two subsequent years, former students stay at EJ James)

2013 / 2014 LTAP - April 11, 2014 Revised - June 4, 2014

Halton District School Board 73

Page 105: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 113Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,824 1,883 1,873 1,881 1,871 1,841 1,855 1,839 1,811 1,774 1,764

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721

Portables 4

Portable Capacity 575 575 575 575 575 575 575 575 575 575 575

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296 2,296

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

E.J. JAMES 1-8

JAMES W. HILL 2010 JK-8 1-8

MAPLE GROVE 2013 JK-8

NEW CENTRAL 2013 JK-6

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

E.J. JAMES FI 2.0 377 4 6 515 489 513 523 531 531 526 544 533 522 513 511

JAMES W. HILL ENG 2.0 501 0 12 777 330 320 303 289 269 243 233 216 211 205 202

FI 198 229 262 292 315 330 346 357 353 348 346

TOTAL 528 549 565 581 585 573 579 574 563 553 548

MAPLE GROVE ENG 2.4 584 0 2 630 563 566 536 528 517 509 504 519 509 495 490

NEW CENTRAL ENG 1.9 259 0 5 374 244 255 249 241 239 234 228 214 217 213 215

GRAND TOTAL 8.3 1,721 4 25 2,296 1,824 1,883 1,873 1,881 1,871 1,841 1,855 1,839 1,811 1,774 1,764

OTG in ERA over time 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721 1,721

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -103 -162 -152 -160 -150 -120 -134 -118 -90 -53 -43

Utilization Rate 106% 109% 109% 109% 109% 107% 108% 107% 105% 103% 103%

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 106: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 107: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 114

ERA 114 – West Oak Trails and Palermo

ERA Census• In 2006, 14% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 18% in 2011.• There was 115% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A high growth area with OTG utilization around 109%. OTG utilization is projected to fall below 100% by

2019.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.

Portable Requirements• Captain R. Wilson P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Portables required from 2014 to 2023.• Emily Carr P.S. – Five (5) portables on-site. Portables required from 2014 to 2015.• Palermo P.S. – Eight (8) portables on site. Portables required from 2014 to 2020.

Self-Contained/Special Education Programs• Captain R. Wilson P.S. - Behaviour class.• Emily Carr P.S. - Learning Disability class.

Housing Development• The Palermo area has been identified in the Town of Oakville Official Plan as one of the six major

community studies where residential intensification will occur. It is expected that development applications will be circulated in the future.

• New housing development and growth occuring in Bronte Woods (west of Regional Rd 25 and south of Dundas Street West) will be accommodated at Heritage Glen P.S. (ERA115).

• The Town of Oakville has initiated a study of the Merton lands which are located on the north side of the QEW and south of Upper Middle between Bronte Road and Third Line. The Livable Oakville Plan identifies these lands as a Special Policy Area for potential future development and directs that the area be studied to determine future land uses and policies. Preliminary draft plan options include residential units, neighbourhood commercial, parks, and a HDSB elementary school site.

• Preliminary housing targets for the Merton lands have not been defined at this point in time and therefore not included in this projection update.

• The draft preferred plan and draft Official Plan Amendment are expected in April 2014 with a final recommendation on preferred plan and OPA in June 2014.

Overview• This ERA contains JK-8 schools with one dual track school.• Overall OTG utilization shows stability, potential growth from future Palermo development applications

can be accommodated.• NW Oakville Elementary School Boundary Review was conducted in Winter 2011 to Spring 2012. Study

results were approved March 2012 and implemented September 2012.• Enrolment in the review area continues to be monitored and long range projections are expected to

change.• The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot grade 1 FI program at St. Mary P.S.

(Palermo area) in September 2013. This program may impact enrolments in the review area and will need to be monitored moving forward.

• Captain R. Wilson P.S., Emily Carr P.S. and Palermo P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.

• Birth Rates are fluctuating however the conversion to JK students appears to be stable for all schools.• Historical trends show a signifcant number (above 24%) of SKs chose FI.• Historically, over 68% of Palermo P.S. SKs have chosen FI.

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Page 108: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 114Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CAPTAIN R. WILSON ENG 374 552 624 689 584 594 546 561 671 695

EMILY CARR ENG 0 0 0 0 461 601 622 658 670 715 *PALERMO ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 327 448 425 422 *

FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 267 383 366 402 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 594 831 791 824 *

GRAND TOTAL 374 552 624 689 1,045 1,195 1,762 2,050 2,132 2,234

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CAPTAIN R. WILSON 124 127 92 95 76 82 77

EMILY CARR - - 76 86 111 107 101

PALERMO - - - - 63 95 81

ERA TOTAL 124 127 168 181 250 284 259

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CAPTAIN R. WILSON 30 44 30 34 20 26 19

EMILY CARR - - 18 25 30 36 36

PALERMO - - - - 44 74 55

ERA TOTAL 30 44 48 59 94 136 110

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CAPTAIN R. WILSON 24% 35% 33% 36% 26% 32% 25%

EMILY CARR - - 24% 29% 27% 34% 36%

PALERMO - - - - 70% 78% 68%

ERA PERCENTAGE 24% 35% 29% 33% 38% 48% 42%

498%

% change from

2004-2013

39%

51%

29%

55%

86%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�114�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2008 Emily Carr opens2009 Lorne Skuce is the holding school for Grade 1-3 FI students for Palermo2010 Palermo opens

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Page 109: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 114Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 2,235 2,348 2,302 2,278 2,211 2,159 2,094 2,043 2,018 2,007 2,002

Ministry OTG Capacity 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132

Portables 15

Portable Capacity 805 805 805 805 805 805 805 805 805 805 805

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937 2,937

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

CAPTAIN R. WILSON 2012 JK-8

EMILY CARR 2014 JK-8

PALERMO 2010 JK-8 1-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ CAPTAIN R. WILSON ENG 2.4 671 2 11 924 695 700 694 702 699 687 673 680 687 696 705

§ EMILY CARR ENG 2.8 743 5 12 1019 716 796 768 741 722 686 666 640 617 608 602

PALERMO ENG 2.5 718 8 12 994 424 394 372 351 316 301 275 259 255 251 247

FI 400 458 468 484 475 485 480 463 458 451 448

TOTAL 824 852 840 835 791 786 755 722 713 702 696

GRAND TOTAL 7.7 2,132 15 35 2,937 2,235 2,348 2,302 2,278 2,211 2,159 2,094 2,043 2,018 2,007 2,002

OTG in ERA over time 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132 2,132

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -103 -216 -170 -146 -79 -27 38 90 115 126 130

Utilization Rate 105% 110% 108% 107% 104% 101% 98% 96% 95% 94% 94%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 110: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 111: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 115

ERA 115 – South of Dundas, East of Third Line, and Glen Abbey Community

ERA Census• In 2006, 17% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 16% in 2011.• There was a 7% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature community with OTG utilization currently around 105% , projected to drop below 100% in

2019.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.

Portable RequirementsAbbey Lane P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Forest Trail P.S. – Seventeen (17) portables on-site. Portables required 2014 to 2020. Heritage Glen P.S. – Three (3) portables on-site. Portables required 2014 to 2023.Pilgrim Wood P.S. – Six (6) portables on site. Portables required 2017 to 2023.West Oak P.S. – Nine (9) portables on-site. Portables required 2014 to 2015.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsAbbey Lane P.S. - Primary Language, Early Language Development and Learning Disability.Heritage Glen P.S. - Behaviour and Learning Disability classes.Pilgrim Wood P.S. – Self-contained Gifted program (grade 1-4).

Housing Development• Glen Abbey (south of Upper Middle Road) is a stable, mature community. There is a high density

development (approximately 100 units) at Third Line/Upper Middle Road (Heritage Glen P.S.)• There is a small low density development at Proudfoot Trail/Dundas Street West (West Oak P.S.)

Overview• This ERA contains JK-8 schools with one single track FI school and two dual track schools.• Overall OTG utilization show stability but there is an imbalance of utilization across the schools.• Abbey Lane P.S. is currently at 80% OTG utilization, declining to below 60% in 2019 and continuing to drop. • Forest Trail P.S. is projected to remain above 100% OTG utilization until 2021 where enrolment will decline to

below 100% utilization.• Heritage Glen P.S. is currently at 107% OTG utilization and has a maximum portable capacity of 4 portables.

It is projected Heritage Glen P.S. will surpass Total Capacity by 2015.• NW Oakville Elementary School Boundary Review was conducted in Winter 2011 to Spring 2012. The study

recommendations were approved in March 2012 and implemented September 2012.• Enrolment in the review area continues to be monitored and long range projections are expected to change.• Heritage Glen P.S. and Pilgrim Wood P.S. opened in September 2012 as dual track schools with a grade 1-3

FI program. The FI program will increase by one grade every year and will each have a grade 1-8 FI program by September 2017.

• Heritage Glen is the home school for english and FI students in new developments in ERA 114 in the Palermo community (new townhouses located south of Dundas Street West at Colonel William Parkway and the north side of Upper Middle Road, west of Bronte Road).

• Pilgrim Wood P.S. grade 1-4 Gifted program feeds into W.H. Morden Gifted program (grade 5-8) located in ERA 112. Pilgrim Wood Gifted program is approximately 24% of total current enrolment and is expected to remain stable.

• The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot grade 1 FI program at St. Mary P.S. (Palermo area) in September 2013. This program may impact enrolments in the review area and will need to be monitored moving forward.

• Heritage Glen P.S. and West Oak P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.

• Birth Rates for ERA are fluctuating and the conversion to JK students appears to be fluctuating for all schools. This may be due to the recent implementation of the boundary study. Birth rates and JK registrations will continue to be monitored.

• Historically, over 20% of SKs chose FI in the past five years.• Heritage Glen P.S. and Pilgrim Wood P.S.have both experienced significant increases to FI uptake since FI

was implemented in 2012.• Historically , over 40% of West Oak P.S. SKs have elected to attend FI in the past 4 years.

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Page 112: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 115Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ABBEY LANE ENG 492 512 520 483 371 348 421 405 384 353

FOREST TRAIL FI 0 0 0 690 819 783 829 880 879 882 *HERITAGE GLEN ENG 574 529 508 530 569 599 480 456 454 500

FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 105 187 *TOTAL 574 529 508 530 569 599 480 456 559 687

PILGRIM WOOD ENG 489 475 480 486 359 353 383 332 319 366

FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 89 126 *Gifted 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 78 113 151 *TOTAL 489 475 480 486 359 353 383 410 521 643

WEST OAK ENG 729 715 738 736 748 755 745 751 761 765

GRAND TOTAL 2,284 2,231 2,246 2,924 2,866 2,838 2,858 2,902 3,103 3,330

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ABBEY LANE 50 58 40 38 59 52 45

HERITAGE GLEN 60 47 57 69 55 67 50

PILGRIM WOOD 51 63 38 41 34 38 36

WEST OAK 97 112 109 122 114 96 96

ERA TOTAL 258 280 244 270 262 253 227

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ABBEY LANE 15 19 8 12 18 22 16

HERITAGE GLEN 11 12 13 24 7 30 35

PILGRIM WOOD 14 14 9 11 6 18 19

WEST OAK 35 30 32 50 50 50 40

ERA TOTAL 75 75 62 97 81 120 110

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ABBEY LANE 30% 33% 20% 32% 31% 42% 36%

HERITAGE GLEN 18% 26% 23% 35% 13% 45% 70%

PILGRIM WOOD 27% 22% 24% 27% 18% 47% 53%

WEST OAK 36% 27% 29% 41% 44% 52% 42%

ERA PERCENTAGE 29% 27% 25% 36% 31% 47% 48%

-28%

-25%

20%

78%

-13%

28%

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

46%

5%

31%

94%

42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�115�% Board�%

ERA�Historical Timeline

2007 Forest Trail opens2011 SPED Gifted program at Pilgrim Wood started with Grade 1-2 and phased in one grade per year until 2014 (Grade1-4)2012 Heritage Glen & Pilgrim Wood establish new FI program, starting with grades 1-3 and phase in one grade per year until 2017 (Grade 1-8)

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Page 113: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 115Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 3,325 3,387 3,392 3,341 3,315 3,247 3,148 3,064 2,997 2,951 2,872

Ministry OTG Capacity 3,236 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350

Portables 35

Portable Capacity 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196 1,196

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 4,432 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546 4,546

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

ABBEY LANE 2010 JK-8

FOREST TRAIL 1-8

HERITAGE GLEN 2013 JK-8 1-5

PILGRIM WOOD 2013 JK-8 1-5

WEST OAK 2014 JK-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ ABBEY LANE ENG 2.0 441 0 6 579 353 344 322 296 279 272 251 243 234 233 229

FOREST TRAIL FI 2.4 736 17 12 1012 879 870 880 863 849 815 789 756 724 699 682

§ HERITAGE GLEN ENG 1.8 756 3 4 848 500 459 421 389 339 306 270 249 252 256 260

FI 187 265 342 408 487 520 554 567 561 554 547

TOTAL 687 724 763 796 825 825 825 816 813 810 806

§ PILGRIM WOOD ENG 1.9 697 6 12 973 365 326 301 285 266 250 232 231 232 235 223

FI 126 164 223 263 303 335 355 350 350 353 336

~Gifted 152 139 131 127 143 144 145 143 142 141 139

TOTAL 643 629 655 674 711 730 731 723 724 729 698

WEST OAK ENG 3.2 720 9 18 1272 763 820 772 712 651 604 552 526 501 480 458

GRAND TOTAL 11.3 3,350 35 52 4,684 3,325 3,387 3,392 3,341 3,315 3,247 3,148 3,064 2,997 2,951 2,872

OTG in ERA over time 3,236 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350 3,350

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -89 -37 -42 9 35 104 202 286 353 399 478

Utilization Rate 103% 101% 101% 100% 99% 97% 94% 91% 89% 88% 86%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

~ Gifted is a grade 1-4 program

NOTE: Heritage Glen PS six-room addition (114 pupil places) planned for September 2014. The addition is included in the School OTG.NOTE: West Oak P.S. has a 6 room portapak currently on site. The pak is included in the Portables and in the Total Capacity.

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 114: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 115: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 116

ERA 116 – South of Dundas, North of QEW, between 16 Mile Creek and Trafalgar Rd

ERA Census• In 2006, 16% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 14% in 2011.• There was a 13% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature and stable review area with OTG utilization currently around 97%, projected to increase due

designated holding for North Oakville (ERA118).• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

Portable RequirementsMontclair P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Munn’s P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables required 2015 to 2023.Post’s Corners P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Portables not required.River Oaks P.S. – One (1) portable on-site. Portables required 2014 to 2023 dependent on holding.Sunningdale P.S. - Seven (7) portables on-site. Portables required 2014 to 2023.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsMontclair�P.S. – Learning CentrePost’s Corners P.S. - Self-contained Learning Disability class.

Housing Development• Review area contains growth neighbourhoods (Uptown Core) and has a number of high density

residential applications circulated and units under construction (Post’s Corners P.S.) Given the type and form of housing, it is expected there will be minimal impact on enrolments from this community.

• Munn’s P.S., River Oaks P.S. and Sunningdale P.S. are the schools designated to accommodate students from the North Oakville community (ERA118). It is expected that there will be significant impact on enrolments at existing facilities from these developments.

Overview• This ERA contains JK-8 schools with two single track FI schools.• Long range projections show stable long term enrolments for the area south of Dundas. Schools are

currently accommodating students from North Oakville (ERA118).• Munn’s P.S. is the French Immersion school for students located in ERA 117 and accommodates grade

1-8 FI students north of Dundas Street East and east of Trafalgar Road in North Oakville. Munn’s P.S. is expected to exceed total capacity by 2017.

• River Oaks P.S. accommodates students in grades JK-8 ENG from north of Dundas Street, between Neyagawa Avenue and Ninth Line in North Oakville. River Oaks P.S. is expected to exceed total capacity by 2016.

• Sunningdale P.S. accommodates students in grades 1-8 FI from north of Dundas Street East and west of Trafalgar Road in North Oakville. Sunningdale P.S. is expected to exceed total capacity by 2016.

• Enrolment in the review area continues to be monitored and long range projections are expected to change.

• Birth Rates are fluctuating however the conversion to JK students appears to be stable for all schools.• Historically, above 30% of SKs elected to attend FI in the past four years.

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Page 116: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 116Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

MONTCLAIR ENG 242 183 124 117 0 392 408 402 367 420

MUNN'S FI 0 0 0 0 341 418 442 467 468 483 *POST'S CORNERS ENG 734 740 730 690 670 655 629 596 628 594

RIVER OAKS ENG 667 601 579 529 512 517 480 466 592 614

SUNNINGDALE FI 570 576 613 718 570 566 574 611 692 751

GRAND TOTAL 2,213 2,100 2,046 2,054 2,093 2,547 2,532 2,541 2,747 2,862

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

LORNE SKUCE 32 36 62 - - - -

MONTCLAIR - - - 51 51 76 59

POST'S CORNERS 84 80 57 84 84 76 63

RIVER OAKS 63 50 50 60 60 60 80

ERA TOTAL 179 166 169 195 195 212 202

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

LORNE SKUCE 15 12 31 - - - -

MONTCLAIR - - - 18 18 36 29

POST'S CORNERS 23 22 11 25 25 23 17

RIVER OAKS 21 15 15 21 21 23 28

ERA TOTAL 59 49 57 64 64 82 74

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

LORNE SKUCE 47% 33% 50% - - - -

MONTCLAIR - - - 35% 35% 47% 49%

POST'S CORNERS 27% 28% 19% 30% 30% 30% 27%

RIVER OAKS 33% 30% 30% 35% 35% 38% 35%

ERA PERCENTAGE 33% 30% 34% 33% 33% 39% 37%

% change from

2004-2013

29%

32%

-8%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

-19%

42%

74%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�116�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2008 Lorne Skuce holding school for Grade 7-8 Montclair students, Montclair closed for renovations, Munn's opens as a FI single track school2009 Lorne Skuce closes, Montclair reopens as JK-8 school2011-Present River Oaks, Munn's & Sunningdale all Holding Schools for North Oakville New Development2012 Redirection for rural students to Oakville (from Sam Sherratt to River Oaks)

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Page 117: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 116Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 2,860 2,960 3,094 3,384 3,776 4,229 4,660 5,010 5,324 5,564 5,752

Ministry OTG Capacity 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770

Portables 10

Portable Capacity 851 851 851 851 851 851 851 851 851 851 851

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621 3,621

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

MONTCLAIR 2013 JK-8

MUNN'S 1-8

POST'S CORNERS 2012 JK-8

RIVER OAKS 2012 JK-8

SUNNINGDALE 1-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ MONTCLAIR ENG 2.2 458 0 1 481 420 417 407 411 411 413 413 407 411 420 420

MUNN'S FI 2.4 492 0 2 538 482 489 494 508 510 527 527 532 528 525 519

ERA 118 North Oakville 0 0 4 14 29 47 67 88 108 120 128

TOTAL 482 489 497 522 539 574 594 620 635 645 647

§ POST'S CORNERS ENG 2.7 600 2 12 876 594 560 546 560 571 563 556 522 501 490 484

RIVER OAKS ENG 1.6 613 1 12 889 614 477 461 435 416 399 389 380 368 363 359

ERA 118 North Oakville 0 194 351 587 907 1,300 1,685 2,040 2,347 2,574 2,753

TOTAL 614 671 812 1022 1323 1699 2075 2420 2715 2937 3112

SUNNINGDALE FI 2.6 607 7 10 837 750 750 741 756 793 811 821 820 819 810 811

ERA 118 North Oakville 0 73 92 113 139 169 202 221 243 262 278

TOTAL 750 823 833 869 931 980 1023 1041 1063 1072 1089

GRAND TOTAL 11.5 2,770 10 37 3,621 2,860 2,960 3,094 3,384 3,776 4,229 4,660 5,010 5,324 5,564 5,752

OTG in ERA over time 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -90 -190 -324 -614 -1,006 -1,459 -1,890 -2,240 -2,554 -2,794 -2,982

Utilization Rate 103% 107% 112% 122% 136% 153% 168% 181% 192% 201% 208%

ERA 118 North Oakville excluded

GRAND TOTAL 11.5 2,770 10 37 3,621 2,860 2,693 2,648 2,670 2,701 2,713 2,706 2,660 2,626 2,608 2,593

OTG in ERA over time 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770 2,770

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -90 77 122 100 69 57 64 110 144 162 178

Utilization Rate 103% 97% 96% 96% 98% 98% 98% 96% 95% 94% 94%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

NOTE: Munn's PS accommodates students from ERA117 and students generated from new developments in ERA118, east of Trafalgar Rd

ERA Schools

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 118: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 119: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 117

ERA 117 – South of Dundas, North of QEW, between Trafalgar Rd and Winston Churchill Blvd

ERA Census• In 2006 and 2011, 15% of the population was between the ages of 5-14.• There was a 16% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature review area with current OTG utilization around 96%, projected to decline to 72% by 2023.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.

Portable RequirementsFalgarwood P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Joshua Creek P.S. – Five (5) portables on-site. Portables not required after 2017.Sheridan P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsFalgarwood P.S. – Life Skills class.

Housing Development• One high density residential block at SW corner of Prince Michael Drive and Dundas Street West

(Ashley Oak Homes) which would be accommodated at Falgarwood P.S.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools. FI students attend Munn’s P.S. in ERA116.• Overall OTG utilization shows declining utilization but there is an imbalance of utilization across the

schools.• Falgarwood P.S. OTG utilization is currently at 76% and is projected to decline to 54% OTG utilization

by 2023. • Joshua Creek P.S. is currently at 114% OTG utilization and is projected to decline to under 100% OTG

utilization in 2017. • Sheridan P.S. shows a stable enrolment and is projcted to remain above 74% OTG utilization until

2023.• Falgarwood P.S. and Sheridan P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40

minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.• Birth Rates for ERA are fluctuating and the conversion to JK students appears to be fluctuating for all

schools. This may be due to the recent implementation of the boundary study. Birth rates and JK registrations will continue to be monitored.

• Historically a significant number of Falgarwood P.S. SKs elect to attend FI.• Historically less than 20% of Joshua Creek P.S. SKs have elected to attend grade 1 FI over the past 4

years.• Sheridan P.S. shows historical inconsistencies in the percentage of SK students choosing grade 1 FI.

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Page 120: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 117Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

FALGARWOOD ENG 615 464 424 383 496 474 427 421 401 410

JOSHUA CREEK ENG 0 350 529 709 662 688 735 766 812 827 *SHERIDAN ENG 290 233 213 222 186 180 180 165 166 219

GRAND TOTAL 905 1,047 1,166 1,314 1,344 1,342 1,342 1,351 1,379 1,456

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

FALGARWOOD 31 13 43 35 31 47 23

JOSHUA CREEK 88 104 82 94 91 83 83

SHERIDAN 36 33 52 36 37 47 41

ERA TOTAL 155 150 177 165 159 177 147

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

FALGARWOOD 12 5 10 14 14 20 12

JOSHUA CREEK 13 20 18 15 13 16 17

SHERIDAN 17 12 22 12 23 10 20

ERA TOTAL 42 37 50 41 50 46 49

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

FALGARWOOD 39% 38% 23% 40% 45% 43% 52%

JOSHUA CREEK 15% 19% 22% 16% 14% 19% 20%

SHERIDAN 47% 36% 42% 33% 62% 21% 49%

ERA PERCENTAGE 27% 25% 28% 25% 31% 26% 33%

% change from

2004-2013

61%

-24%

136%

-33%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�117�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2005 Joshua Creek opens2008 Boundary review that affected Joshua Creek, Falgarwood and Sheridan

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Page 121: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 117Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,455 1,501 1,422 1,359 1,299 1,233 1,215 1,183 1,173 1,160 1,142

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581

Portables 5

Portable Capacity 598 598 598 598 598 598 598 598 598 598 598

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179 2,179

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

FALGARWOOD 2013 JK-8

JOSHUA CREEK 2014 JK-8

SHERIDAN 2013 JK-5

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ FALGARWOOD ENG 2.1 536 0 6 674 410 404 368 345 321 302 307 296 297 290 290

JOSHUA CREEK ENG 2.4 783 5 12 1059 826 886 851 799 769 725 703 689 676 669 658

SHERIDAN ENG 1.6 262 0 8 446 219 211 204 215 209 206 205 199 200 201 195

GRAND TOTAL 6.2 1,581 5 26 2,179 1,455 1,501 1,422 1,359 1,299 1,233 1,215 1,183 1,173 1,160 1,142

OTG in ERA over time 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581 1,581

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 127 80 159 222 282 348 366 398 408 421 439

Utilization Rate 92% 95% 90% 86% 82% 78% 77% 75% 74% 73% 72%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 122: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 123: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 118

ERA 118 – North Oakville

ERA Census• In 2006 and 2011, 10% of the population was between the ages of 5-14.• There was a 22% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• There are no schools in this review area. • School projections based on draft plans circulated by the Town of Oakville (approx 12,000 residential

units).• Construction began in 2010 and the students first showed up in the 2012-2013 school year.

Portable Requirements• Up to six (6) elementary schools projected to be built.• Portables are expected to be required for the long term.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsN/A

Housing Development• There are approximately 12,000 residential units in this review area in the applications already received

from the Town of Oakville.• It is expected that revised applications and additional new applications will be submitted in the future.• First phase of development is at the corner of Neyagawa Boulevard and Dundas Street West; the next

phase of development began at the NW corner of Sixth Line and Dundas Street West.• Phasing and construction timing is expected to change over the next five years.

Overview• Long range projections show exponential growth over the next 15 years.• A study was undertaken in Spring 2011 to review school assignments at Oakville elementary schools

south of Dundas Street.• As construction continues and students show up from new development, the schools will continue to be

monitored and the school assignments will be reevaluated as needed.• River Oaks P.S. accommodates students in grades JK-8 english, Sunningdale P.S. accommodates

students in grades 1-8 FI west of Trafalgar Road, and Munn’s P.S. accommodates students in grades 1-8 FI east of Trafalgar Road.

• At this point, Oakville NE #1 P.S. is scheduled to open in 2015 and Oakville NE #2 P.S. is scheduled to open in 2016, both at 740 OTG capacity with a portable capacity of 12.

• The timing and development of these schools will be contingent upon the Board obtaining capital funding from the Ministry of Education and purchasing and accessing school sites.

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Page 124: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 118Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

OAKVILLE NE #1 PS & OAKVILLE NE #2 PS TENTATIVELY PLANNED TO OPEN IN 2015 & 2016 THEREFORE, NO HISTORICAL ENROLMENT

GRAND TOTAL

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ERA TOTAL

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ERA TOTAL

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ERA PERCENTAGE

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA Historical TimelineN/A

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Page 125: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 118Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 0 267 447 714 1,075 1,516 1,954 2,349 2,698 2,956 3,159

Ministry OTG Capacity 0 0 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Portables 0

Portable Capacity 0 0 0 0 276 276 276 276 276 276 276

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 0 0 740 740 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016 1,016

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Oakville NE # 1 ps ENG 740 0 12 1016

TOTAL students in ERA 118 0 267 447 714 1,075 1,516 1,954 2,349 2,698 2,956 3,159

* GRAND TOTAL - 740 0 12 1,016 0 267 447 714 1,075 1,516 1,954 2,349 2,698 2,956 3,159

OTG in ERA over time 0 0 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740 740

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 0 -267 294 26 -335 -776 -1,214 -1,609 -1,958 -2,216 -2,419

Utilization Rate 0% 0% 0% 96% 145% 205% 264% 317% 365% 399% 427%

For information purposes only, enrolments are included in ERA 116 * Oakville NE #1 ps tentatively planned to open in 2015

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 127: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 128: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 129: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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ERA 119 – Central Milton

����������• In 2006 12% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 11% in 2011.• There was an 11% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

���������• School enrolments will continue to grow, peaking in approximately 2021.• Total utilization is in excess of 85% (2016 – 2023) with the addition to Martin Street and development.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

�������������������E. W. Foster P.S. – Four (4) portables are currently on site. Portables are likely to be required to 2023.J. M. Denyes P.S. – Zero (0) portables on site. Portables are not required.Martin Street P. S. – Two (2) portables on site. Portables maybe required with the onset of development, post 2016. Robert Baldwin P.S. – Three (3) portables are on site. Sam Sherratt P.S. – Four (4) portables on site. Portable are required for the long term.W. I. Dick P.S. – Three (3) portables are on site. W. I. Dick P.S. resides on a floodplain; portables cannot be removed or added.

��������������� �!������!�������"��J.M. Denyes P.S. – Learning Centre and Learning Disability classes. The Life Skills class will be relocated to Sam Sherratt P.S. starting September 2014.Sam Sherratt P.S. – Life Skills (starting September 2014), Gifted program grades 1-8 and the Learning Disability class. Gifted students are directed to Milton District H.S.W.I. Dick P.S. – Learning disability class.

#�$� ��"��W.I. Dick P.S. - High Performance Program.

%�����"�&� ��� ����• This is a mature community where growth is a result of accommodating students from new developments

in ERA 120 and ERA 121 and the French Immersion program.• Development application has been received for Milton Heights in the Martin Street P.S. and W.I. Dick

P.S. catchment. (ERA 121) Students are expected from this development post 2015. • Currently the Milton Heights development applications are at an Ontario Municipal Board Hearing. Timing

and unit numbers may change based on the conclusion of the hearing.• Sam Sherratt P.S. accommodates students from the Mattamy Patterson Farm development in ERA 120.• This ERA contains Milton’s downtown core.

# � ���• This ERA contains several junior elementary schools, one senior elementary schools and one JK-8

school. • At E.W. Foster P.S., Martin Street P.S., and Robert Baldwin P.S. French Immersion sees higher uptake

than english.• All schools except JM Denyes P.S. will reach OTG capacity by 2016.• Martin Street P.S. and W. I. Dick P.S. are expected to reach Total Capacity by 2017 but remain

manageable until 2018/2019. (Based on current development timing).• If current trends continue, Sam Sherratt P.S. is expected to remain over OTG capacity but within Total

Capacity. Sam Sherratt P.S. catchment includes development east of Thompson Road.• E.W. Foster P.S. and Martin Street P.S. have been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core

French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• Birth rate to JK conversion varies in this ERA. J.M Denyes P.S., and Martin Street P.S., generally have

under 50% intake to JK. All other schools attract a higher percentage to JK.• School viability at E.W. Foster P.S. dependent on students from the Bruce Trail P.S. catchment enroling

in FI. (roughly 55% of the Grade 1 FI students at E.W. Foster P.S. are from ERA 120). • Approximately one quarter of JM Denyes P.S. SK students attend French Immersion at Martin Street

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Page 130: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

E.W. FOSTER ENG 113 120 115 111 116 105 97 98 90 97

FI 186 220 247 265 289 326 361 408 451 277

TOTAL 299 340 362 376 405 431 458 506 541 374

J.M. DENYES ENG 261 259 255 242 421 230 229 201 194 229

MARTIN STREET ENG 83 86 90 90 64 69 67 69 100 88

FI 109 93 111 140 194 156 148 151 177 169

TOTAL 192 179 201 230 258 225 215 220 277 257

ROBERT BALDWIN ENG 215 200 174 159 149 158 155 148 186 183

FI 96 107 120 138 144 158 182 213 216 241

TOTAL 311 307 294 297 293 316 337 361 402 424

SAM SHERRATT ENG 402 371 385 580 440 477 358 336 358 332

Gifted 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 107

TOTAL 402 371 385 580 440 477 358 336 358 439

W.I. DICK MIDDLE ENG 254 238 251 233 248 194 138 118 153 152

FI 174 184 166 177 197 231 253 267 293 251

Gifted 0 0 0 0 10 25 31 33 45 0 *TOTAL 428 422 417 410 455 450 422 418 491 403

'��(&��#��) �*+�� �*+,- �*��. /*�.0 /*/,� /*�/+ /*1�� /*101 /*/-/ /*1��

2�3���!���4�!$�"�������$������$�� �"�����������!������$���!$���

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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

E.W. FOSTER 26 40 47 35 45 42 43

J.M. DENYES 45 51 72 51 46 29 31

MARTIN STREET 23 38 19 18 23 25 35

ROBERT BALDWIN 40 47 35 44 51 45 47

SAM SHERRATT 29 47 24 44 26 28 28

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

E.W. FOSTER 16 30 37 30 40 35 39

J.M. DENYES 6 11 20 14 14 9 7

MARTIN STREET 14 30 11 6 16 21 24

ROBERT BALDWIN 20 22 15 25 38 29 32

SAM SHERRATT 9 7 4 12 4 5 9

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

E.W. FOSTER 62% 75% 79% 86% 89% 83% 91%

J.M. DENYES 13% 22% 28% 27% 30% 31% 23%

MARTIN STREET 61% 79% 58% 33% 70% 84% 69%

ROBERT BALDWIN 50% 47% 43% 57% 75% 64% 68%

SAM SHERRATT 31% 15% 17% 27% 15% 18% 32%

���������(��'� 014 074 004 074 7�4 7�4 -14

151%

-15%

34%

-14%

55%

7%

-12%

25%

49%

-40%

9%

-

-17%

37%

,4

-6%

-100%

44%

% change from

2004-2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�119�% Board�%

����%�����!� ��������/11, Sam Sherratt P.S. experienced an influx of students from development south of Derry Road./11+ J.M. Denyes P.S. experienced an influx of students from development west of Tremaine Road.

/11+ Boundary change, students are redirected to Bruce Trail P.S. and Chris Hadfield P.S. (ERA 120) from Sam Sherratt P.S./11� P.L. Robertson P.S. and Escarpment View P.S. opens. (ERA 121)/1�1 Tiger Jeet Sing P.S. opens (ERA 120)/1�� E.W. Foster P.S. growth from more students choosing FI.

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Page 131: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 2,124 1,968 2,164 2,310 2,428 2,431 2,462 2,491 2,501 2,488 2,463

Ministry OTG Capacity 2,206 2,206 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670

Portables 16

Portable Capacity 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150 1,150

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 3,356 3,356 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820 3,820

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

E.W. FOSTER 2013 JK-5 1-5

J.M. DENYES 2013 JK-5

MARTIN STREET 2012 JK-5 1-5

ROBERT BALDWIN 2012 JK-5 1-5

SAM SHERRATT 2013 JK-8

W.I. DICK 6-8 6-8

��8�!������������ Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

E.W. FOSTER ENG 1.7 328 4 12 604 96 80 78 81 76 82 82 83 84 84 83

FI 278 294 296 300 287 277 268 272 272 270 268

TOTAL 374 374 374 381 363 359 350 355 356 354 351

§ J.M. DENYES ENG 3.2 343 0 8 527 229 224 216 215 226 230 229 231 230 231 227

* MARTIN STREET ENG 2.4 282 2 5 397 89 88 88 148 220 224 245 264 264 259 251

FI 168 166 174 174 179 181 189 189 193 191 190

TOTAL 257 254 261 322 399 405 435 453 458 450 441

ROBERT BALDWIN ENG 2.1 426 3 12 702 184 168 160 155 159 166 161 160 162 163 163

FI 240 265 277 264 272 266 263 258 262 262 267

TOTAL 424 433 437 419 431 431 424 419 424 425 429

§ SAM SHERRATT ENG 1.7 415 4 10 645 332 294 362 408 406 383 393 395 413 420 420

~Gifted 107 138 120 120 115 120 122 120 123 122 121

TOTAL 439 432 482 528 521 503 516 514 536 542 540

§ W.I. DICK ENG 5.0 412 3 3 481 149 149 126 139 152 142 143 155 150 145 139

FI 252 240 268 307 336 362 366 365 348 341 335

TOTAL 401 389 394 446 488 504 509 519 498 486 474

'��(&��#��) 16.0 2,206 16 50 3,356 2,124 1,968 2,164 2,310 2,428 2,431 2,462 2,491 2,501 2,488 2,463

OTG in ERA over time 2,206 2,206 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670 2,670

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 82 238 506 360 242 239 208 180 169 182 207

Utilization Rate 96% 89% 81% 87% 91% 91% 92% 93% 94% 93% 92%

* Martin Street PS rebuilt as a 746 pupil place school; tentatively planned for September 2015, subject to Ministry funding§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details~ Gifted is a grade 1-8 program

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 132: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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ERA 120 – Bristol Survey Phase 2

����������• In 2006 and 2011 14% of the population was between the ages of 5-14.• There was a 74% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

���������• Recent additions to schools have increased the OTG capacity for this ERA.• School enrolments are expected to peak in 2016, and remain above OTG capacity post 2023.• A high number of JK students are projected for this area.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in September 2014.• All schools have been impacted by a recent boundary change which will influence future trends.

�������������������Bruce Trail P.S. - Sixteen (16) portables are on site. Chris Hadfield P.S. – Eleven (11) room portapak and one portable are on site.Hawthorne Village P.S. – Nineteen (19) portables are on site including the ten (10) room portapak.Irma Coulson P.S. – Zero (0) portables on site. Portables are will likely be needed for September 2014.Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. – Ten (10) portables are currently on site.

��������������� �!������!�������"��Bruce Trail P.S. – Communication class.Chris Hadfield P.S. – Life Skills class.Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. – Learning Disability class.

%�����"�&� ��� �����• Subdivisions are under construction in Bruce Trail P.S., Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. and Irma Coulson P.S.

catchments.• The Boyne Survey (south of Louis St. Laurent.) projections are included in Tiger Jeet Singh P.S., Irma

Coulson P.S. and Hawthorne Village P.S. enrolments.

# � ���• All schools in this ERA are JK-8, two of the schools are dual track.• Bruce Trail P.S., Chris Hadfield P.S., Hawthorne Village P.S., and Irma Coulson P.S. are expected to

remain above OTG capacity until approximately 2023.• Bruce Trail P.S. will approach Total Capacity in 2015; however enrolments are expected to be

manageable.• High birth rates in the Bruce Trail P.S. and Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. catchments and development have

resulted in a growing school community.• The conversion of birth rates to JK enrolments for this area is declining. • Irma Coulson P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes per

week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• 23% of Bruce Trail P.S. students choose to attend the French Immersion program at E.W. Foster P.S.• The percentage of students to an FI program from Hawthorne Village P.S. increased to 20%, in 2013. It

is expected to remain at this level in the future.• It is expected that French Immersion will be see higher uptake than english at Irma Coulson P.S.• Grade 8 will be available at Irma Coulson P.S. starting in 2014.• Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. French Immersion program is growing to include grade 5 in September 2014. FI

sees higher uptake than the english program.

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����������� ��������/1%�����!����������

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRUCE TRAIL ENG 0 0 349 518 707 828 730 781 807 896 *CHRIS HADFIELD ENG 1,001 836 586 563 751 798 631 646 681 813

Gifted 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 33 0 *TOTAL 1,001 836 586 563 751 798 631 662 714 813

HAWTHORNE VILLAGE ENG 0 551 769 876 1,006 1,052 965 1,052 1,097 1,008 *Gifted 0 0 32 43 0 0 0 0 0 0 *TOTAL 0 551 801 919 1,006 1,052 965 1,052 1,097 1,008 *

IRMA COULSON ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 401

FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 326

TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 727

TIGER JEET SINGH ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 599 721 751 649 *FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 39 114 192 237 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 638 835 943 886 *

'��(&��#��) �*11� �*.+, �*,10 �*�7, /*0-. /*-,, /*�-. .*..1 .*77� 0*./�

2�3���!���4�!$�"�������$������$�� �"�����������!������$���!$���

�5����'�����6��!$�3��������%�����!����"�������5���������%�����!����������

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

BRUCE TRAIL 65 87 139 146 121 139 142

CHRIS HADFIELD 76 79 127 135 86 80 91

HAWTHORNE VILLAGE 121 130 151 169 153 155 173

IRMA COULSON - - - - - - -

TIGER JEET SINGH - - - - 138 141 144

�����#��) /-/ /�- 0�, 071 0�+ 7�7 771

�5�����������$��!$����'�����6��!$�3��������

�$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRUCE TRAIL 17 18 30 42 32 32 32

CHRIS HADFIELD 16 15 25 25 25 15 19

HAWTHORNE VILLAGE 21 18 13 29 19 24 35

IRMA COULSON - - - - - - -

TIGER JEET SINGH - - - - 74 78 86

�����#��) 70 7� -+ �- �71 �0� �,/

��!���"������5�����������$��!$����'�����

6��!$�3���������$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BRUCE TRAIL 26% 21% 22% 29% 26% 23% 23%

CHRIS HADFIELD 21% 19% 20% 19% 29% 19% 21%

HAWTHORNE VILLAGE 17% 14% 9% 17% 12% 15% 20%

IRMA COULSON - - - - - - -

TIGER JEET SINGH - - - - 54% 55% 60%

���������(��'� /�4 �,4 �-4 /�4 .14 /�4 .�4

IRMA COULSON OPENED IN THE 2013-2014 SCHOOL YEAR, THEREFORE THERE IS NO HISTORICAL DATA AVAILABLE.

157%

83%

-100%

83%

-19%

-100%

-19%

% change from

2004-2013

...4

39%

508%

8%

-

-

-

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�120�% Board�%

����%�����!� ��������/117 Hawthorne Village P.S. opens./11- Bruce Trail P.S. opens/11+ Sam Sherratt P.S. (ERA 120) boundary change, students are redirected to Bruce Trail P.S. and Chris Hadfield P.S./11� Enrolments increases at Bruce Trail P.S. can be attributed to development./11� Enrolments increases at Chris Hadfield P.S. and Hawthorne Village P.S. are a result of larger kindergarten classes.

/1�1 Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. opens. One (1) FI grade added in consecutive years/1�� Chris Hadfield P.S. adds the SPED (Gifted) program, starting with grade 1. One (1) grade to be added in consecutive years./1�� Enrolments increases at Bruce Trail P.S., Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. and Hawthorne Village P.S. are a result of larger kindergarten classes./1�/ Enrolments increases at Hawthorne Village P.S. are a result of larger kindergarten classes./1�. Enrolments increases at Bruce Trail P.S., are a result of development

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Page 135: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 4,326 4,997 5,143 5,200 5,180 5,063 4,921 4,837 4,675 4,531 4,432

Ministry OTG Capacity 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855

Portables 56

Portable Capacity 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840 1,840

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695 5,695

FDELK ENG FI

BRUCE TRAIL 2014 JK-8

CHRIS HADFIELD 2012 JK-8

HAWTHORNE VILLAGE 2014 JK-8

IRMA COULSON 2014 JK-7 1-7

TIGER JEET SINGH 2014 JK-8 1-4

��8�!������������ Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ BRUCE TRAIL ENG 2.8 850 16 12 1126 892 1088 1121 1119 1111 1087 1058 1027 981 947 935

§ CHRIS HADFIELD ENG 2.4 593 11 22 1329 813 815 835 839 835 820 815 819 804 781 759

HAWTHORNE VILLAGE ENG 2.8 723 19 22 1459 1009 1110 1107 1081 1028 976 917 886 838 790 759

IRMA COULSON ENG 3.2 793 0 12 1069 405 521 514 493 487 471 445 440 429 415 408

FI 327 427 461 492 517 529 530 527 508 482 470

TOTAL 732 948 974 985 1004 1000 975 968 937 897 877

§ TIGER JEET SINGH ENG 2.8 896 10 12 1172 643 758 777 794 771 729 704 694 685 686 675

FI 238 278 328 383 432 451 453 444 430 430 427

TOTAL 881 1036 1105 1177 1203 1180 1157 1138 1115 1116 1102

'��(&��#��) 14.1 3,855 56 80 6,155 4,326 4,997 5,143 5,200 5,180 5,063 4,921 4,837 4,675 4,531 4,432

OTG in ERA over time 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855 3,855

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -471 -1,142 -1,288 -1,345 -1,325 -1,208 -1,066 -982 -820 -676 -577

Utilization Rate 112% 130% 133% 135% 134% 131% 128% 125% 121% 118% 115%

Utilization Rate without new school 112% 130% 133% 135% 134% 131% 128% 125% 121% 118% 115%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

NOTE: FI program at Tiger Jeet Singh will grow 1 grade per year

(#��: Chris Hadfield P.S. and Hawthorne Village P.S. both have 10 room portapaks on site. These paks are counted both in the Portables column and in the Total Capacity.

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 136: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 137: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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ERA 121 – Sherwood Survey Phase 2

����������• In 2006 10% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 20% in 2011.• There was a 2338% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

��������• School enrolments will continue to grow, above OTG capacity peaking and Total Capacity.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in September 2014.

�������������������Anne J MacArthur P.S. – Six (6) portables are on site.Escarpment View P.S. – Sixteen (16) portables are currently on site.P. L. Robertson P.S. – Twelve (12) Portables are on site. Portable allotment will be reduced in 2014 when Anne J MacArthur P.S. building opens.

��������������� �!������!�������"��Anne J MacArthur P.S. – Learning Disability class.Escarpment View P.S. – Behaviour and Life Skills classes.P.L. Robertson P.S. – Life Skills class.

%�����"�&� ��� ����• There is development growth in the Anne J MacArthur P.S. catchment. • Development in the P.L. Robertson P.S. and Escarpment View P.S. catchments is abating.• Milton Heights is a planned growth residential area currently under study with the Town of Milton.

Projections for this development are included in Martin Street P.S. and W.I. Dick P.S. (ERA 119) enrolments.

• Boyne and Milton Education Village (ERA 127) projections are included in P.L. Robertson P.S. and Anne J MacArthur P.S.

# � ���• All schools are JK-8, two of the schools are dual track.• All schools are over OTG capacity. • Escarpment View P.S. enrolments are expected to peak in 2014 and will continue to exceed Total

Capacity until 2019.• Anne J. MacArthur P.S. will reach total capacity in 2014.• Birth data for new development areas is high, which causes greater than 100% uptake of JK. It is

expected that birth rates will remain high JK enrolments will too for the next several years.• Escarpment View P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of the Primary Core French (40 minutes

per week) beginning in grade 1 starting September 2014.• French Immersion sees higher uptake than english at P.L. Robertson P.S. and Anne J MacArthur P.S.• P.L. Robertson P.S. currently offers grades 1-7 French Immersion, grade 8 will be offered in 2014. • P.L. Robertson P.S. accommodates the JK and SK students from Anne J MacArthur P.S. (2013)• Anne J MacArthur P.S. building opens in February 2014 for students in grades 1-8. JK and SK will be

added in September 2014.• Anne J MacArthur P.S. currently offers grades 1-6 French Immersion, grade 7 will be offered in 2014.• Approximately 30% of Escarpment View P.S. SK students elect to attend French Immersion for grade 1.• The Halton Catholic District School Board has two (2) new schools tentatively planned for this area. Both

new schools are planned to open in 2014 and may affect enrolment trends at Escarpment View P.S. and Anne J. MacArthur P.S. One HCDSB school will offer the Early French Immersion Program.

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Page 138: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/�%�����!����������

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ANNE J. MACARTHUR ENG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 219 446 *FI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 229 336 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 448 782 *

ESCARPMENT VIEW ENG 0 0 0 0 0 262 620 770 1,026 1,119 *P.L. ROBERTSON ENG 0 0 0 0 0 309 625 788 797 836 *

FI 0 0 0 0 0 100 201 318 169 230 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 409 826 1,106 966 1,066 *

'��(&��#��) 1 1 1 1 1 -,� �*00- �*+,- /*001 /*�-,

2�3���!���4�!$�"�������$������$�� �"�����������!������$���!$���

�5����'�����6��!$�3��������%�����!����"�������5���������%�����!����������

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ANNE J. MACARTHUR - - - - - - -

ESCARPMENT VIEW - - - 58 97 127 138

P.L. ROBERTSON - - - 66 94 140 175

�����#��) � � � �/0 ��� /-, .�.

�5�����������$��!$����'�����6��!$�3��������

�$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ANNE J. MACARTHUR - - - - - - -

ESCARPMENT VIEW - - - 14 30 34 43

P.L. ROBERTSON - - - 38 48 54 107

�����#��) � � � 7/ ,+ ++ �71

��!���"������5�����������$��!$����'�����

6��!$�3���������$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ANNE J. MACARTHUR - - - - - - -

ESCARPMENT VIEW - - - 24% 31% 27% 31%

P.L. ROBERTSON - - - 58% 51% 39% 61%

���������(��'� � � � 0/4 0�4 ..4 0+4

ANNE J. MACARTHUR OPENED IN FEBRUARY 2014 , THEREFORE THERE IS NO HISTORICAL DATA AVAILABLE.

47%

104%

.0.4

161%

130%

171%

327%

75%

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�121�% Board�%

����%�����!� ��������/11� Escarpment View P.S. and P.L. Robertson P.S. opens/1�1�� /1�. Growth in ERA schools can be attributed to development/1�/ Anne J. MacArthur P.S. holding site opens without JK and SK. JK and SK are at P.L. Robertson P.S.6��; /1�0 Anne J. MacArthur P.S. building opens without JK and SK. JK and SK are at P.L. Robertson P.S.�� �;�/1�0 Anne J. MacArthur P.S. JK and SK to be added.

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Page 139: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/��������8�!�������������9�� !���

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 2,973 3,275 3,415 3,495 3,572 3,519 3,509 3,451 3,401 3,363 3,338

Ministry OTG Capacity 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406

Portables 34

Portable Capacity 552 552 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828 828

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,958 2,958 3,234 3,234 3,234 3,234 3,234 3,234 3,234 3,234 3,234

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

ANNE J. MACARTHUR 2014 1-8 1-6

ESCARPMENT VIEW 2010 JK-8

PL ROBERTSON 2010 JK-8 1-6

��8�!������������ Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ ESCARPMENT VIEW ENG 2.9 749 16 12 1025 1119 1114 1111 1104 1091 1054 1041 1014 1010 993 988

§ ANNE J MACARTHUR ENG 2.8 839 6 12 1115 453 776 831 834 829 772 738 700 685 679 669

FI 335 443 529 593 650 694 717 732 721 712 710

TOTAL 788 1,219 1,361 1,427 1,479 1,466 1,455 1,432 1,406 1,391 1,379

§ P.L. ROBERTSON ENG 2.8 818 12 12 1094 839 652 627 596 601 566 551 535 524 522 516

FI 227 290 316 368 401 433 461 471 460 457 455

TOTAL 1,066 942 944 964 1,002 999 1,013 1,005 985 978 971

'��(&��#��) 8.5 2,406 34 36 3,234 2,973 3,275 3,415 3,495 3,572 3,519 3,509 3,451 3,401 3,363 3,338

OTG in ERA over time 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406 2,406

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -567 -869 -1009 -1089 -1166 -1113 -1103 -1045 -995 -957 -932

Utilization Rate 124% 136% 142% 145% 148% 146% 146% 143% 141% 140% 139%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�ERA�summary�for�more�details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

Note: Anne J. MacArthur will offer KG in September 2014.

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Page 140: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 141: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������//

ERA 122 – Rural Milton East of Regional Road 25

����������• In 2006 and 2011 9% of the population was between the ages of 5-14.• There was a 22% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

��������• There are no schools in this review area. • Students attend Hawthorne Village P.S. (JK-8), and Sam Sherratt P.S. (JK-8) for the English program;

E.W. Foster P.S. (1-5), W.I. Dick P.S. (6-8) and Irma Coulson (1-8) for the French Immersion program.

������������������None

��������������� �!������!�������"��N/A

%�����"�&� ��� ����Significant housing development is not expected.

# � ���As of October 31, 2013, 36 students reside in this ERA:

o 25 students at Hawthorne Village P.S. o 5 students at Sam Sherratt P.S. o 3 students at Irma Coulson P.S. for the French Immersion program.o 3 students are attending an out of catchment school.

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Page 142: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������//%�����!����������

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

'��(&��#��)

�5����'�����6��!$�3��������%�����!����"�������5���������%�����!����������

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

�����#��)

�5�����������$��!$����'�����6��!$�3��������

�$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

�����#��)

��!���"������5�����������$��!$����'�����

6��!$�3���������$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

���������(��'�

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

����%�����!� ��������N/A

��8�%�����9+2��<�2�� ����:������������(�' ���<�,�-�8�:����

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Page 143: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������//�������8�!�������������9�� !���

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE)

Ministry OTG Capacity

Portables

Portable Capacity

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity)

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

��8�!������������ Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

'��(&��#��)

OTG in ERA over time

Available Pupil Places (+/-)

Utilization Rate

ERA Schools

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 144: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 145: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/.

ERA 123 – Rural Milton West of Regional Road 25

����������• In 2006 12% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 10% in 2011.• There was a 5% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

��������• Enrolment is projected to decline through the projection, stabilizing at approximately 85%.• Rural communities of Brookville and Campbellville are located within this ERA.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in September 2013.

������������������Brookville P.S. - One (1) portable on site

��������������� �!������!�������"��N/A

%�����"�&� ��� �����• Rural Estate development occurs in pockets.

# � ���• Since 2006 total enrolments indicate a small but consistent decline which is expected to continue.• This is geographically the largest ERA in Halton. Most students attend Brookville P.S. however some

students in the south and north area may attend schools in one of several bordering ERAs and different municipalities; these students reside outside the Brookville P.S. catchment.

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Page 146: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/.%�����!����������

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BROOKVILLE ENG450 459 444 423 401 398 403 397 408 438

'��(&��#��) 071 07� 000 0/. 01� .�+ 01. .�, 01+ 0.+

�5����'�����6��!$�3��������%�����!����"�������5���������%�����!����������

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

BROOKVILLE 39 40 45 48 21 45 34

�����#��) .� 01 07 0+ /� 07 .0

�5�����������$��!$����'�����6��!$�3��������

�$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BROOKVILLE 1 0 1 0 1 4 2

�����#��) � 1 � 1 � 0 /

��!���"������5�����������$��!$����'�����

6��!$�3���������$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

BROOKVILLE 3% 0% 2% 0% 5% 9% 6%

���������(��'� .4 14 /4 14 74 �4 -4

% change from

2004-2013

-3%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

�.4

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�123�% Board�%

����%�����!� ��������N/A

��8�%�����9+2��<�2�� ����:������������(�' ���<�,�-�8�:����

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Page 147: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/.�������8�!�������������9�� !���

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 438 414 410 405 394 383 376 362 363 363 362

Ministry OTG Capacity 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420

Portables 1

Portable Capacity 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 512 512

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

BROOKVILLE 2013 JK-8

��8�!������������ Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

BROOKVILLE ENG 3.7 420 1 4 512 438 414 410 405 394 383 376 362 363 363 362

'��(&��#��) 3.7 420 1 4 512 438 414 410 405 394 383 376 362 363 363 362

OTG in ERA over time 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 420

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -18 6 10 15 26 37 45 58 57 57 58

Utilization Rate 104% 99% 98% 96% 94% 91% 89% 86% 86% 86% 86%

ERA Schools

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

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Page 148: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 149: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/,

ERA 127 – Boyne Survey

����������• In 2006 7% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 15% in 2011.• There was a 13% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

��������• There are currently no schools in this review area. • Milton #9 SW ps is anticipated to be located in this ERA, opening in 2015.• Students attend Anne J MacArthur PS, Tiger Jeet Singh P.S. and Hawthorne Village P.S. for English

and Tiger Jeet Singh P.S., Anne J MacArthur P.S., Irma Coulson P.S. for French Immersion.

������������������None

��������������� �!������!�������"��N/A

%�����"�&� ��� ����• The Boyne Secondary Plan received Regional Approval in the fall of 2013. • Currently the Tertiary Plan is under development and it is expected to receive Draft Plan of Subdivision

in Spring 2014.• Development in Milton Education Village is expected. Timing may be delayed based developer

applications. Occupancy is expected to start in late 2015.

# � ���• As of October 31, 2013, 3 students reside in this ERA:

o 1 student at Anne J MacArthur P.S. o 2 students are attending an out of catchment school. (JK-8)

• Milton #9 ps is planned to open in 2015. This school will alleviate pressures in ERA 121.

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Page 150: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/,%�����!����������

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

'��(&��#��)

�5����'�����6��!$�3��������%�����!����"�������5���������%�����!����������

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

�����#��)

�5�����������$��!$����'�����6��!$�3��������

�$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

�����#��)

��!���"������5�����������$��!$����'�����

6��!$�3���������$����������"���

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

���������(��'�

THERE ARE NO SCHOOLS IN THIS REVIEW AREA, STUDENTS HAVE BEEN COUNTED IN OTHER REVIEW AREAS

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

����%�����!� ��������N/A

��8�%�����9+2��<�2�� ����:������������(�' ���<�,�-�8�:����

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Page 151: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

����������� ��������/,�������8�!�������������9�� !���

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 0 0 0 398 813 1,322 2,340 2,991 3,710 4,433 4,575

Ministry OTG Capacity 0 0 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746

Portables 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Portable Capacity 0 0 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276 276

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 0 0 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022 1,022

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

��8�!������������ Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Milton SE # 9 ps ENG 746 0 12 1022 0 0 0 352 720 1154 2087 2697 3375 4085 4224

FI 0 0 0 45 93 169 253 294 336 348 351

TOTAL 0 0 0 398 813 1,322 2,340 2,991 3,710 4,433 4,575

TOTAL student in ERA 127 0 0 0 398 813 1322 2340 2991 3710 4433 4575

'��(&��#��) - 746 0 12 1,022 0 0 0 398 813 1,322 2,340 2,991 3,710 4,433 4,575

OTG in ERA over time 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 746 746 746 348 -67 -576 -1,594 -2,245 -2,964 -3,687 -3,829

Utilization Rate 0% 0% 0% 53% 109% 177% 314% 401% 497% 594% 613%

NOTE: For information purposes only, enrolments are included in ERA 120 and 121

Milton SE #9 ps tentatively planned to open in 2015/2016.

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 153: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 154: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 155: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 124

ERA 124 – Georgetown West of Silver Creek

ERA Census• In 2006, 20% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 18% in 2011.• There was a 3% increase in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A stable review area with 93% OTG utilization, projected to increase over time but still remain under 100%.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2012.

Portable RequirementsGardiner P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables required from 2015 to 2023. Joseph Gibbons P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Park P.S. – One (1) portable on-site. Portables not required.Silver Creek P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Portables not required.Stewarttown P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsGardiner P.S. - Self-contained Gifted program (grade 5-8) and Learning Disability class.Silver Creek P.S. - Learning Disability and Life Skills classes. The Life Skills class at Stewarttown P.S. will move to Silver Creek P.S. in September 2014.Stewarttown P.S. - Learning Disability class.

Housing Development• New development and growth occurring in South Georgetown will be accommodated at Silver Creek P.S. or

Gardiner P.S.• Some infill development occurring in downtown Georgetown (Main Street, north of Maple Drive) which will be

accommodated at Park P.S. and Stewarttown P.S.• The Town of Halton Hills is expanding the urban area of Georgetown bounded by 15 Side Road to the north,

10 Side Road to the south, Trafalgar Road to the west and Eighth Line to the east. The project is called “Vision Georgetown”.

• Preliminary housing targets forecast a total of 6,671 residential units and a population increase of approximately 19,000 people by 2031. These preliminary numbers are not included in this projection update.

• Based on the Town’s preliminary targets, it is predicted that approximately 1,900 elementary and 550 secondary students will be generated and that 4 school sites will be needed by the Halton District School Board (3 elementary sites each at 740 pupil places and 1 secondary site at 1,200 pupil places).

• Secondary plan is expected to be complete by 2015-16 with development starting by 2021-22.• New construction is limited due to issues with water allocation. It is unknown when the issue will be resolved

with the Region of Halton.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools. FI students attend George Kennedy P.S. or

Centennial P.S. in ERA125. There is one designated elementary school site in South Georgetown, east of Moutainview Road South.

• The status of ERA 124 #3 is unknown due to Town of Halton Hills servicing timing for this area. This site not owned by the Board.

• Overall OTG utilization shows stability but there is an imbalance of utilization across the schools.• Gardiner P.S. is currently at 93% OTG utilization and is projected to increase to 130% OTG utilization by

2020. All other schools have OTG utilization below 100% and are projected to remain below 100% utilization for the next 10 years.

• Grade 1 and 2 self-contained Gifted program was to start September 2012 but has been delayed indefinitely (Primary Gifted students in Halton Hills are being directed to Sam Sherratt P.S. in ERA 119).

• The Halton Catholic District School Board introduced a pilot Early FI program in the area (St. Bridget) in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward.

• Silver Creek P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.

• Birth Rates for ERA are fluctuating however the conversion to JK students appears to be stable for all schools.

• Historical trends show that all schools in this ERA traditionally have a low number of their SK students choose the FI program. There is fluctuation in Joseph Gibbons P.S. and Silver Creek P.S.

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Page 156: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 124Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GARDINER ENG0 0 0 0 352 425 434 517 521 539 *

Gifted 0 0 0 0 41 46 41 43 36 43 *TOTAL 0 0 0 0 393 471 475 560 557 582 *

JOSEPH GIBBONS ENG 151 161 143 131 123 124 110 111 133 128

PARK ENG 257 268 284 272 250 253 236 214 239 237

SILVER CREEK ENG 703 816 859 875 624 575 573 567 619 626

STEWARTTOWN ENG 482 438 441 441 448 448 437 420 398 373

GRAND TOTAL 1,593 1,682 1,727 1,718 1,838 1,871 1,830 1,871 1,946 1,946

* Indicate % change from the year the program was introduced at the school

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GARDINER - - 36 37 44 65 60

JOSEPH GIBBONS 21 23 23 19 24 20 15

PARK 38 50 37 31 45 39 30

SILVER CREEK 107 80 68 66 54 74 59

ERA TOTAL 166 153 164 153 167 198 164

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GARDINER - - 7 2 4 7 5

JOSEPH GIBBONS 2 4 5 3 4 6 1

PARK 9 6 5 1 6 4 6

SILVER CREEK 9 8 6 6 9 6 8

ERA TOTAL 20 18 23 12 23 23 20

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GARDINER - - 19% 5% 9% 11% 8%

JOSEPH GIBBONS 10% 17% 22% 16% 17% 30% 7%

PARK 24% 12% 14% 3% 13% 10% 20%

SILVER CREEK 8% 10% 9% 9% 17% 8% 14%

ERA PERCENTAGE 12% 12% 14% 8% 14% 12% 12%

22%

-23%

% change from

2004-2013

-11%

-8%

-15%

48%

5%

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

53%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�124�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2006 Grade 8 student redirection to Georgetown District from WI Dick (FI) and Stewarttown2008 Gardiner opens2008 SPED Gifted Grade 5-8 program starts at Gardiner, students removed from WI Dick2010 Grade 8 FI students redirection to Milton District from Rural Halton Hills FI (Georgetown District)2012 Redirection of Rural students to Oakville from Sam Sherratt to River Oaks

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Page 157: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 124Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,945 1,951 1,940 1,970 2,011 2,048 2,040 2,023 1,988 1,925 1,876

Ministry OTG Capacity 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097

Portables 3

Portable Capacity 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012 1,012

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109 3,109

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

GARDINER 2011 JK-8

JOSEPH GIBBONS 2012 JK-5

PARK 2012 JK-5

SILVER CREEK 2012 JK-8

STEWARTTOWN 6-8

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ GARDINER ENG 2.4 625 0 12 901 536 552 582 630 691 730 751 761 750 733 716

~Gifted 46 53 50 49 51 53 50 50 47 44 42

TOTAL 582 605 631 679 742 782 801 811 797 777 758

JOSEPH GIBBONS ENG 2.1 213 0 10 443 128 128 128 124 155 179 181 184 178 169 161

PARK ENG 2.4 283 1 4 375 237 227 227 216 217 218 217 210 211 209 205

§ SILVER CREEK ENG 2.1 645 2 12 921 626 630 604 595 570 542 538 508 494 483 471

§ STEWARTTOWN ENG 3.2 331 0 6 469 372 361 350 356 328 326 303 311 309 288 281

GRAND TOTAL 12.2 2,097 3 44 3,109 1,945 1,951 1,940 1,970 2,011 2,048 2,040 2,023 1,988 1,925 1,876

OTG in ERA over time 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097 2,097

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 152 146 157 127 86 49 58 74 109 172 221

Utilization Rate 93% 93% 93% 94% 96% 98% 97% 96% 95% 92% 89%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

~ Gifted is a grade 5-8 program

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 158: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 159: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 125

ERA 125 – Georgetown East of Silver Creek

ERA Census• In 2006, 13% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 12% in 2011.• There was a 2% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature and stable review area with OTG utilization currently around 84% projected to decline to 78%

by 2023.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten was fully implemented in 2013.

Portable Requirements• There are currently no portables in the review area. Portables are not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsCentennial P.S. - Learning Disability class.Harrison P.S. – Learning Centre program.

Housing Development• Some high density infill projects scattered in this review area (Norval hamlet, Hall Road & Guelph

Street, east of Mountainview Road North and north of CNR).• Intensification Opportunities Study identifies the area around the Georgetown GO Train station with

redevelopment potential and sustainable intensification. It is unknown when development applications will be submitted.

• New construction is limited due to issues with water allocation. It is unknown when the issue will be resolved with the Region of Halton.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools, two schools are dual track.• Overall OTG utilization shows stability and balance of utilization across the schools.• George Kennedy P.S. and Centennial P.S. are dual track schools and contain the French Immersion

Centres for ERA 125 and parts of ERA 124 and ERA 126. Stable long range projections are maintained mainly due to the FI programs located in this review area.

• FI program at George Kennedy P.S. (grade 1-5) is approximately 62% of total current enrolment and is projected to remain stable.

• FI program at Centennial P.S. (grade 6-8) is approximately 30% of total current enrolment and is expected to increase over time to 42% of total projected enrolment by 2023.

• The Halton Catholic District school Board introduced a pilot Early FI program in the area (St. Bridget) in 2013. This new program may impact enrolments in the ERA moving forward.

• George Kennedy P.S. has been selected for the initial phase of Primary Core French (40 minutes per week) beginning in grade 1 for September 2014.

• Birth Rates for ERA are stable and the conversion to JK students appears to be stable for all schools.• Greater than 50% of George Kennedy P.S. SKs have historically elected to attend FI.

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Page 160: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 125Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

CENTENNIAL ENG 473 387 386 368 356 340 327 309 298 276

FI132 132 133 133 138 154 162 152 148 180

TOTAL 605 519 519 501 494 494 489 461 446 456

GEORGE KENNEDY ENG 199 198 185 178 161 160 145 137 136 163

FI 310 304 311 327 321 332 351 370 348 333

TOTAL 509 502 496 505 482 492 496 507 484 496

HARRISON ENG 303 311 311 306 245 225 218 214 252 241

GRAND TOTAL 1,416 1,332 1,326 1,312 1,221 1,211 1,203 1,182 1,182 1,193

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GEORGE KENNEDY 44 35 47 41 54 28 35

HARRISON 61 61 34 32 32 41 56

ERA TOTAL 105 96 81 73 86 69 91

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GEORGE KENNEDY 24 23 27 32 39 14 26

HARRISON 13 12 10 6 8 9 12

ERA TOTAL 37 35 37 38 47 23 38

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GEORGE KENNEDY 55% 66% 57% 78% 72% 50% 74%

HARRISON 21% 20% 29% 19% 25% 22% 21%

ERA PERCENTAGE 35% 36% 46% 52% 55% 33% 42%

% change from

2004-2013

Note:��Historical�enrolments�are�FTE�until�the�Full�Day�Kindergarten�Program�is�implemented�by�Ministry�Timelines�which�has�been�noted�under�the�ERA�School�Information.

-16%

-20%

-2%

7%

-18%

-25%

36%

-42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�125�% Board�%

ERA Historical Timeline2008 Gardiner P.S. opens

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Page 161: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 125Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,192 1,190 1,172 1,168 1,193 1,190 1,175 1,162 1,145 1,120 1,112

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419

Portables 0

Portable Capacity 552 552 552 552 552 552 552 552 552 552 552

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971 1,971

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

CENTENNIAL 6-8 6-8

GEORGE KENNEDY 2013 JK-5 1-5

HARRISON 2012 JK-5

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ CENTENNIAL ENG 2.7 492 0 12 768 280 279 257 256 265 266 264 249 245 230 232

FI 175 174 174 174 178 180 171 178 172 170 165

TOTAL 455 453 431 430 443 446 435 427 417 399 397

GEORGE KENNEDY ENG 2.8 584 0 7 745 161 156 149 155 161 165 166 165 164 164 162

FI 335 333 336 330 340 341 345 340 336 332 328

TOTAL 496 489 485 485 501 506 511 504 500 496 490

§ HARRISON ENG 2.8 343 0 5 458 241 248 256 254 250 238 230 231 228 224 224

GRAND TOTAL 8.3 1,419 0 24 1,971 1,192 1,190 1,172 1,168 1,193 1,190 1,175 1,162 1,145 1,120 1,112

OTG in ERA over time 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419 1,419

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 227 229 247 251 226 229 244 258 274 299 307

Utilization Rate 84% 84% 83% 82% 84% 84% 83% 82% 81% 79% 78%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 162: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

2006 Census 2011 Census

2006 Census 2011 Census

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Page 163: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 126

ERA 126 – Acton and Rural Halton Hills

ERA Census• In 2006, 14% of the population was between the ages of 5-14 compared to 13% in 2011.• There was a 3% decline in the 5-14 student age population between the 2006 and 2011 Census.

ERA Trend• A mature and declining review area with OTG utilization currently around 88%, projected to decline to

77% by 2023.• Full-Day Early Learning Kindergarten will be fully implemented in 2014.• Includes all rural communities in Halton Hills; some estate housing development and the urban area of

Acton.

Portable RequirementsGlen Williams P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Portables not required.Limehouse P.S. - Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.McKenzie-Smith Bennett P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Portables not required.Pineview P.S. – Zero (0) portables on-site. Portables not required.Robert Little P.S. – Two (2) portables on-site. Portables not required.

Self-Contained/Special Education ProgramsMcKenzie-Smith Bennett P.S. - Learning Disability and Life Skills classes.Pineview P.S. – Early Language Development and Primary Language classes.

Other ProgramsMcKenzie-Smith Bennett P.S. - ACCESS Program.

Housing Development• There are some infill developments in Acton. Acton is the urban centre for this review area. • Acton is a stable urban community with older, mature communities in the west and more recently newly

developed neighbourhoods in the east. This community has water and sanitary sewer servicing constraints that will limit any future expansion of the urban boundary. Intensification Opportunities Study identifies downtown Acton for intensification. It is unknown when development applications will be submitted.

• There are some rural estate developments scattered around the rural portion of this review area. These developments have limited potential for student growth.

• One large residential development currently under construction (Sheridan Nurseries) in the Glen Williams hamlet.

Overview• This ERA contains junior and senior elementary schools, two schools are dual track.• Overall OTG utilization show stability and balance of utilization across the schools.• FI program at McKenzie-Smith Bennett P.S. (grade 6-8) is approximately 9% of total current enrolment

and is expected to increase over time to 12% of total projected enrolment by 2023.• FI program at Robert Little P.S. (grade 1-5) is approximately 42% of total current enrolment and is

projected to remain at this level of utilization.• Birth Rates for all areas of this ERA appear to be fluctuating however the conversion to JK students

appears to be stable.• 40 to 50% of Robert Little P.S. SKs have historically elected to attend FI.• Limehouse P.S. has had a significantly low number of SK students electing to attend the FI program,

with some years experiencing no uptake at all.

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Page 164: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 126Historical Enrolment

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLEN WILLIAMS ENG 199 193 196 188 171 187 204 196 209 197

LIMEHOUSE ENG 159 150 147 141 144 125 113 119 131 129

ENG 515 561 552 564 548 564 567 560 556 608

FI 48 22 51 54 57 55 56 58 60 62

TOTAL 563 583 603 618 605 619 623 618 616 670

PINEVIEW ENG 237 248 267 270 268 258 244 253 231 206

ROBERT LITTLE ENG 251 221 205 193 176 170 162 203 221 221

FI 109 124 137 136 148 151 143 143 156 163

TOTAL 360 345 342 329 324 321 305 346 377 384

GRAND TOTAL 1,517 1,518 1,554 1,545 1,512 1,509 1,487 1,531 1,563 1,585

SK to Grade 1 French Immersion Historical ProgressionSK Student Historical Enrolment

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GLEN WILLIAMS 35 37 27 39 45 42 26

LIMEHOUSE 21 24 24 16 26 6 23MCKENZIE-SMITH BENNETT 52 52 59 58 58 56 66

PINEVIEW 29 66 35 37 42 28 28

ROBERT LITTLE 44 53 49 39 43 42 46

ERA TOTAL 181 232 194 189 214 174 189

SK Students that chose Grade 1 French Immersion

the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLEN WILLIAMS 6 3 1 5 4 5 5

LIMEHOUSE 2 0 0 1 1 0 1MCKENZIE-SMITH BENNETT 8 10 14 9 10 15 12

PINEVIEW 0 11 6 9 7 4 6

ROBERT LITTLE 22 30 23 15 20 21 19

ERA TOTAL 38 54 44 39 42 45 43

Percentage of SK Students that chose Grade 1

French Immersion the following year

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

GLEN WILLIAMS 17% 8% 4% 13% 9% 12% 19%

LIMEHOUSE 10% 0% 0% 6% 4% 0% 4%MCKENZIE-SMITH BENNETT 15% 19% 24% 16% 17% 27% 18%

PINEVIEW 0% 17% 17% 24% 17% 14% 21%

ROBERT LITTLE 50% 57% 47% 38% 47% 50% 41%

ERA PERCENTAGE 21% 23% 23% 21% 20% 26% 23%

MCKENZIE-SMITH BENNETT

19%

29%

18%

-19%

-1%

5%

7%

50%

-12%

-13%

% change from

2004-2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

PERC

ENT

YEAR

SK�TO�GRADE�1�FRENCH�IMMERSION�HISTORICAL�PROGRESSION

ERA�126�% Board�%

ERA Historical TimelineN/A

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Page 165: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Elementary Review Area 126Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 1,585 1,681 1,652 1,630 1,612 1,598 1,560 1,531 1,491 1,456 1,422

Ministry OTG Capacity 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893

Portables 6

Portable Capacity 759 759 759 759 759 759 759 759 759 759 759

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652 2,652

SCHOOL FDELK ENG FI

GLEN WILLIAMS 2014 JK-5

LIMEHOUSE 2014 JK-5

MCKENZIE-SMITH BENNETT 2013 JK-8 6-8

PINEVIEW 2014 JK-5

ROBERT LITTLE 2011 JK-5 1-5

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha)School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

GLEN WILLIAMS ENG 2.0 265 2 4 357 197 228 221 230 232 243 236 234 232 236 225

LIMEHOUSE ENG 3.2 187 0 2 233 129 142 142 133 134 127 122 123 122 121 119

§ MCKENZIE-SMITH BENNETT ENG 2.0 734 2 7 895 610 623 610 611 596 586 577 566 542 516 503

FI 60 69 66 66 71 80 88 81 78 71 68

TOTAL 670 692 676 677 668 666 665 647 620 587 571

§ PINEVIEW 3.1 307 0 12 583 206 236 227 210 208 205 200 199 198 197 195

ROBERT LITTLE ENG 3.3 400 2 8 584 223 216 213 205 205 200 188 184 180 179 176

FI 161 167 173 176 165 158 149 144 139 138 136

TOTAL 384 383 386 381 370 358 337 328 319 316 312

GRAND TOTAL 13.6 1,893 6 33 2,652 1,585 1,681 1,652 1,630 1,612 1,598 1,560 1,531 1,491 1,456 1,422

OTG in ERA over time 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893 1,893

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 308 212 242 263 281 295 333 362 402 437 471

Utilization Rate 84% 89% 87% 86% 85% 84% 82% 81% 79% 77% 75%

§ Self-Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review ERA summary for more details

ERA Schools

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 166: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Page 167: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments
Page 168: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 169: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

��!������� ��������11

SRA 100 – Northwest Burlington, South Burlington, Rural Burlington

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��������������� �!������!�������"��M. M. Robinson H.S. M 9 $��01 �����������0�������-�������*Robert Bateman H.S. < 9 $��01 �� ��������0�������-�������*Nelson H.S. M 0�������-�B $�������������*

#�$����"��Robert Bateman H.S*�< 7��� ������"��������!������� �����;�������������4!;5*M. M. Robinson H.S. M 9 � ����7��� ������"����$������

%�����"�&� ��� �����L ,�����'��������� � �$ ��*��L ,����������� ��2����#���������������;��� �"����#�'��&���� ���� $ �������&���"��3�#�����*

# � ���L )+B��� � 6�� ���3 ������� ��������E������3���$���2����#��:��;��� �"�����������:�9�����;*�������:�,*,*�

(�& ���:�����(�&����;�������# "# �#���*L ������=*0*�3 ������� ������� �E������ �-*L 2����#���=*0*�����������3 ���&���$$������&-���'�������������#��$��#��N7H*L .����#�!���� �������������������&������"��3 �"� �������#����&�������$��#��������� �-��$��#��.*!�

���"���*�4!����� �"�9����.����#�!���� ��5*L +#������������� ����$��#����8�.����#�!���� ���0���-�3 ����$$�����#��9����.����#�!���� ���

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0�����&�����8*L = "#���������"��4�E5��$��������������������'��=������> �� ���0�#����;������$����"����� �$����

(��� �"�,����3��*0*�L B��3�#� ���C����$�����������$������#����#����&�����%����' ����%������� �������� ������7�"� #�

"��������������=*0*�����(�&����;�������=*0*L ,�����#����E��$�"��������������������������� �� ��"�������$��������� � �����-�������(�&����

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Page 170: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� ��� ��� �� ��8

ALDERSHOT 7�B ��� �� ��� �� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� 8 �

.! � �� �� � ��� �� � �� � �

TOTAL 525 508 505 516 519 498 523 503 528 469

BURLINGTON CENTRAL 7�B �8� �� ��� �8� �� ��� ��� �� �� ���

.! � � � � �� �� �� �� ��TOTAL 815 804 761 722 687 670 715 696 687 608

LESTER B. PEARSON 7�B �� ��� �8 �8� �� ��� ��8 ��8 � � ��

.! � � �8 �� �� �� � �� � ��

TOTAL 853 850 811 809 796 740 721 717 656 536

M.M. ROBINSON 7�B �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��� ��� �8 � �

.! � � �� ��� � � � �� ��� �8� ��� �8�

TOTAL 1,280 1,268 1,302 1,297 1,227 1,256 1,173 1,083 1,004 919

NELSON 7�B �� �� ��� �:��� �:�� �:� � �:�� �:�� �:� �:���

.! ��� ��8 �� � � �� � � � � ��� ��8

TOTAL 1,004 1,009 1,122 1,199 1,321 1,387 1,436 1,466 1,467 1,229

ROBERT BATEMAN 7�B �:8�� �:�� �:��� �:�� �:8� �:8� �:�� �:� �:� �:� �

'��(&��#��) 7*,�- 7*++, 7*�07 7*�07 7*+,1 7*+,� 7*+/� 7*-+- 7*7.1 �: ��

(���������������������!$����<���&� ������������"�'������ ���$�� ���7����

�!$��� .0 �.0 )O .0 �.0 )O .0 �.0 )O .0 �.0 )O .0 �.0 )O

29>7(0=)+ �E E ��E 8E �E ��E �E �E � E �E �E ��E ��E E �E .0 ��.������0�#���;�(9!�B+)���7�+(29 �E 8E �8E �E E ��E ��E 8E � E 8E 8E ��E �E �E �E �.0 ��=>0;����<.������0�#���

970+7(�;��72(0)� E E �E �E �E �E ��E �8E E E �E �E ��E 8E �E ) ��)�#��,,�();!�0)� E E �E E �E �E �E �E �E E �E E �E �E E

�790)� E �E �8E 8E �E �8E ��E E E �E �E �E ��E ��E ��E

();7(+�;2+7,2� ��E E �E ��E 8�E �8E ��E �E ��E ��E ��E �E ��E �E �E

�����=���'� +/4 +4 �4 ,+4 �14 �/4 +�4 �4 �14 +.4 +4 �4 +14 ��4 �4

O�)�#�����-� �������4&������������� �-5��������$������#���;�����4��&� ���������#�� �5:��� '����0�#���:�)����$�(�" ��

'���+����'�����6��!$�3��������%�����!����"��������!���"�����'���+�63�����������$��!$����'�����63�$����������"���

��� �� ��� ��� ��� �� ��8

29>7(0=)+�797, �E �8E ��E 8E ��E E E

;�(9!�B+)���7�+(29�797, ��E �E ��E ��E E ��E ��E

�!�792�> �E �E ��E ��E E ��E ��E

()99!�B�,72>)H0 �8E ��E �E E ��E E E

0!(�7*�,2�,!99!2� ��E ��E ��E �E �8E ��E ��E

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Page 171: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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2��������8

��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� �� �� � �8

����������7���������4.+75 �: �� �:��� �:�8� 8:��� 8:�� 8: �8 8: �� 8: �� 8:��� 8:��� 8:� �

, � ��-�)+B������ �- �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8�

�����&�� ��

�����&�������� �- ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ���

+���������� �-�4)+B�K������&�������� �-5 �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8� �: 8�

0�=))9 7�B .!

29>7(0=)+ �<� �<�

;�(9!�B+)���7�+(29 �<� �<�

970+7(�;*��72(0)� �<� �<�

,*,*�();!�0)� �<� �<�

�790)� �<� �<�

();7(+�;2+7,2� �<�

��8�!�������������2����"��

4#�5�0�#����

)+B���� �����

���+��������

2��������8

��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� �� �� � �8

29>7(0=)+ 7�B �*����������� ��� � � ��� 8 � 8�� 8� 8 88� 8�� 88� 8 8�8 8�� ��

.! � �� � ��� �� � ��� �� ��� ��

TOTAL 469 459 426 426 437 422 437 427 405 406 393

;�(9!�B+)���7�+(29 7�B �*���������� �:�� � � �:��� ��� �88 �� ��� ��� ��8 � � � � ��� �� �8�

.! �� �� �8 �� �� �� �� � � � ���

608 590 582 541 546 564 554 569 567 540 538

970+7(�;*��72(0)� 7�B �*����������� �8� � � �:��� �� � 8� 8�8 8� 88� 88� 8�� 88� 88 �

.! �� �� � �� �� ��8 �� �� �� �� �TOTAL 536 482 438 433 437 433 436 413 428 427 378

§ ,*,*�();!�0)� 7�B �8*��������� �:8�� 8 � �:�8 � � ��� ��� ��� �� �� �� �� ��8 ��� �8�

.! �8� �� ��� �� �� �� ��� �� ��� ��� ���TOTAL 919 880 757 719 699 628 640 598 642 610 582

P �790)� 7�B �*����������� �:8�� � � �:8�� �:��� ��8 �� �� �� �� �� �� ��� �8 ��

.! ��8 ��� �8� ��� ��� ��� � �� �� � 8�

TOTAL 1,229 1,143 979 956 1,038 1,063 1,064 1,090 1,065 1,025 1,060

§ ();7(+�;2+7,2� 7�B �*����������� �:88 � � �:88 1,086 1,020 852 839 769 743 737 710 683 651 638

'��(&��#��) �8*��������� �:8� �� �:��� �: �� �:��� �:�8� 8:��� 8:�� 8: �8 8: �� 8: �� 8:��� 8:��� 8:� �

OTG in ERA over time �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8� �:8�

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 1,477 1,750 2,290 2,410 2,399 2,471 2,457 2,517 2,534 2,665 2,735

Utilization Rate 77% 72% 64% 62% 62% 61% 61% 60% 60% 58% 57%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�SRA�summary�for�more�details

0(2�0�#���

(#��D�9�����;*��������#�������������������1���� ��*�+#�����1�������������&��#� ���#�������&�������������� ���#��+���������� �-*�+#����1� �����#�3�� ���#�������&�������� �-*�)��-������ � ����������&�������&�������*

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 172: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 173: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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SRA 101 – Northeast Burlington

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"�����������������>�*�.���1�@*�=�-����=*0*L There�is�potential�for� SRA�101�to�be�included�in�a� PAR�(Program�and�Accommodation�Review�).

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Page 174: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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DR. FRANK J. HAYDEN S.S. 7�B � � � � � � � � � ���

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TOTAL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 592

'��(&��#��) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7�/

2�3���!���4�!$�"�������$������$�� �"�����������!������$���!$���

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Page 175: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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2��������8

��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� �� �� � �8

����������7���������4.+75 ��� � � �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��� �:� � �:�8� �:��8 �:��� �:���

, � ��-�)+B������ �- �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:��

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+���������� �-�4)+B�K������&�������� �-5 �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:���

0�=))9 7�B .!

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>(*�.(2�?�@*�=2�>7� 7�B �*8���������� �:�� � � �:��� ��� �� �:�� �:�� �: 8 �:8� �:�� �:�� �:�8 �:��� �:���

.! �� �8� �� � �� 88 8�� ��� �8� �8� ���

TOTAL 592 989 1,407 1,505 1,562 1,567 1,580 1,631 1,653 1,596 1,559

'��(&��#��) �*8���������� �:�� � � �:��� ��� � � �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��� �:� � �:�8� �:��8 �:��� �:���

OTG in ERA over time �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:��

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 704 211 -207 -305 -362 -367 -380 -431 -453 -396 -359

Utilization Rate 41% 82% 117% 125% 130% 131% 132% 136% 138% 133% 130%

0(2�0�#���

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0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 176: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 177: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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SRA102 – Northeast Oakville, South Oakville

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������������������Abbey Park H.S. M 0 C�4�5������&�����< ��*������&���������/� ����$������������8*Iroquois Ridge H.S. M .����4�5������&�����< ��*������&�����-�&����/� ����$�������������*Oakville Trafalgar H.S. M 7��'���4��5�������������1 ��< ��*������&�����/� ����$�������������*�T.A. Blakelock H.S. M S����4�5������&�����< ��*������&���������/� ���*White Oaks S.S. M 0�'�������4��5������&�����< ��*������&�����/� ����$������������8*

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Page 178: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

��!������� ��������1/%�����!����������

��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� ��� ��� �� ��8

ABBEY PARK 7�B �:��� �: �:8�8 �:8�� �: �:�� �:�� �:�� �:��� �:���

IROQUOIS RIDGE 7�B �:��� �:�� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:� �:��8 �:��� �:��

.! ��� ��� ��� ��8 �� ��� �8� �� ��� ���

TOTAL 1,147 1,189 1,237 1,309 1,324 1,296 1,318 1,313 1,258 1,267

OAKVILLE TRAFALGAR 7�B �:� �:�� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��� �:� �

.! �� �8 � � � � ��� � � � ��8 � � ��

TOTAL 1,300 1,328 1,291 1,284 1,289 1,286 1,262 1,322 1,292 1,289

T.A. BLAKELOCK 7�B ��� ��8 �� ��8 �� � �� ���

.! �� �8 �� � �� �� �� 8�� 8�� 8�

TOTAL �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��� �:� � �:��� �:�� �:� �:�� �:�88

WHITE OAKS S.S 7�B �:�8� �:8� �:8� �:8�� �:�8� �:�� �: 8� :��� �:��� �:���

.! ��� �� � ��� � ��8 �� �� �8 ��

TOTAL 1,240 1,327 1,382 1,506 1,628 1,791 2,046 2,250 2,019 1,990

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Page 179: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

Secondary Review Area 102Total Projected Enrolment & Capacity

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Projected Enrolment (FTE) 6,746 6,580 6,612 6,729 6,900 7,101 7,096 7,212 7,184 7,100 7,137

Ministry OTG Capacity 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348

Portables 38

Portable Capacity 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058 1,058

Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity) 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406 7,406

SCHOOL ENG FI

ABBEY PARK 9-12

IROQUOIS RIDGE 9-12 9-12

OAKVILLE TRAFALGAR 9-12 9-12

THOMAS A. BLAKELOCK 9-12 9-12

WHITE OAKS SECONDARY 9-12 9-12

Projected Enrolment Acreage

(ha) School OTG

Port Port Cap

Total Cap

Actual 2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

§ ABBEY PARK ENG 5.6 924 6 12 1,200 1067 1006 912 921 946 891 899 854 770 718 651

§ IROQUOIS RIDGE ENG 4.0 1,218 4 6 1,356 1,112 1,079 1,090 1,128 1,166 1,178 1,118 1,080 998 926 920

FI 155 174 206 210 202 206 214 219 231 232 237

TOTAL 1,267 1,253 1,297 1,339 1,368 1,384 1,331 1,298 1,229 1,158 1,157

§ OAKVILLE TRAFALGAR ENG 5.7 1,158 11 0 1,411 1,080 1,044 1,033 1,026 998 1,000 938 924 885 855 830

FI 209 210 199 220 220 240 244 263 290 302 327

TOTAL 1,289 1,254 1,232 1,246 1,218 1,240 1,182 1,187 1,175 1,157 1,156

§ THOMAS A. BLAKELOCK ENG 5.3 1,344 0 4 1,436 775 779 743 678 671 674 649 664 665 663 683

FI 358 378 383 381 387 420 447 513 555 567 596

TOTAL 1,133 1,157 1,126 1,059 1,058 1,094 1,096 1,177 1,220 1,230 1,280

§ WHITE OAKS SECONDARY ENG 4.1 1,704 17 24 2,256 1,714 1,543 1,577 1,581 1,619 1,642 1,602 1,566 1,517 1,443 1,404

FI 276 286 330 347 349 373 386 410 444 463 465

TOTAL 1,990 1,829 1,907 1,929 1,968 2,014 1,988 1,976 1,961 1,906 1,869

SRA103 North of Dundas ENG 0 71 118 193 282 391 493 592 687 777 856

FI 0 10 22 41 61 87 106 128 143 154 169

WHITE OAKS w/ N of Dundas TOTAL 1,990 1,910 2,046 2,163 2,310 2,493 2,587 2,696 2,790 2,837 2,894

GRAND TOTAL 24.7 6,348 38 46 7,659 6,746 6,580 6,612 6,729 6,900 7,101 7,096 7,212 7,184 7,100 7,137

OTG in ERA over time 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348 6,348

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -398 -232 -264 -381 -552 -753 -748 -864 -836 -752 -789

Utilization Rate 106% 104% 104% 106% 109% 112% 112% 114% 113% 112% 112%

§ Self‐Contained/Special Education program is hosted at this school, review SRA summary for more details

SRA Schools

NOTE: Oakville Trafalgar HS currently has a 11 room portapak on site. The pak is included both in the Portables and in the Total Capacity. It is not shown in the portable capacity because no additional portables can be added.

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBER

 OF STUDEN

TS

YEAR

PROJECTED ENROLMENT & UTILIZATION

Projected Enrolment (FTE) Ministry OTG Capacity Total Capacity (OTG & Portable Capacity)

NOTE:  SCHOOL ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS MAY INCLUDE STUDENTS OUTSIDE OF THE REVIEW AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS ALSO INCLUDE THE FULL DAY KINDERGARTEN PROGRAM AS IMPLEMENTED BY MINISTRY TIMELINES WHICH HAS BEEN NOTED UNDER THE ERA SCHOOLS INFORMATION.

2013 / 2014 LTAP - April 11, 2014 Revised - June 4, 2014

Halton District School Board 142

Page 180: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 183: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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�����&�� �

�����&�������� �- �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� ��

+���������� �-�4)+B�K������&�������� �-5 �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:�� �:��

0�=))9 7�B .!

B2(+=�H7;; �<�

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B2(+=�H7;; 7�B �*����������� �:� � � �:�� ��� � �:��� �:��� �:8 �:�� �:�� �:�� �:��8 �:��� �:��

.! � � 8� � ��8 ��� ��� �� � �� ��

TOTAL 619 862 1,108 1,204 1,335 1,422 1,457 1,466 1,422 1,402 1,342

'��(&��#��) �*����������� �:� � � �:�� ��� � �:�� �:�� �:88� �:� �:��� �:��� �:� �:�� �:8�

OTG in ERA over time �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:�

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 563 320 74 -22 -153 -240 -275 -284 -240 -220 -160

Utilization Rate 52% 73% 94% 102% 113% 120% 123% 124% 120% 119% 114%

.��� �$����� �������������-:���8�!������������

�2����"��4#�5�

0�#����)+B

���� ��������

+��������

2��������8

��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� �� �� � �8

B2(+=�H7;;�00 7�B �*����������� �:� � � �:�� ��� � �:��� �:��� �:8 �:�� �:�� �:�� �:��8 �:��� �:��

.! � � 8� � ��8 ��� ��� �� � �� ��

TOTAL 619 862 1,108 1,204 1,335 1,422 1,457 1,466 1,422 1,402 1,342

0(2���8�����#�)�1' ��� 7�B � �� �� ��8 8�� ��8 �� � � ��� ��

���H=!+7�)2?0�40(2��5 .! � �� �� �� � ��� � ��8 ��� ���

TOTAL 0 81 140 235 342 479 599 721 829 931 1,025

'��(&��#��) �*����������� �:� � � �:�� ��� ��8 �:� �:�8 �:��� �:��� :��� :� � :� :888 :8��

OTG in ERA over time �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:� �:�

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 563 239 -66 -256 -495 -718 -873 -1,005 -1,070 -1,151 -1,185

Utilization Rate 52% 80% 106% 122% 142% 161% 174% 185% 190% 197% 200%

�)+7D�+#��B�������.!����"����3 ��������0���*�����3 �#������� � �����"����������� �����#����� '��-���*

0(2�0�#���

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 184: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 185: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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SRA 104 – Central Milton

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��������������� �!������!�������"��Milton District H.S* < 0�������-�B $�������������*

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0��'�-5*L +#��;�-���0��'�-�(SRA�106):�, �����=� "#��40(2����5�����, �����7����� ���T ���"��(SRA�106) ����

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(�&�������*0*�����2����@�,��2��#����*0*L 9���#�����E��$�"����� ������������������������, �����> �� ���$����7����������*0*������*9*�

(�&�������*0*I��# ������� ������C�������$���2����@*�,��2��#����*0*L H# ���)�1�0*0*������������������������"���$��������$������ ������������-��#����$����7(2�����

3 �#��#���C���� ����$�7���������T �3��*0*������*9*�(�&�������*0*�+#����#���������������������#�'������������E��$�"������ "#���������H# ���)�1�0*0*

L 0�#����������������������������������1� ���8:��&����������'��������*L = "#���������"���$��������������������'��=������> �� ���0�#����;������$����"����� �$����7���������

T �3��*0*�488E5������*9*�(�&�������*0*�4�E5*L B��3�#� ���C����$�����������$������#����#����&�����%����' ����%������� �������� ������7�"� #�

"�����������������, �����> �� ���=*0*L Based�on�current�trends/�development�plans,�an�additional�1400�OTG�secondary�school,�a�fourth�high�

school�may�be�required�post�2023,�to�accommodate�students�in�Milton.

��8�%�����9+2��<�2�� ����:������������(�' ���<�,�-�8�:����

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Page 186: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� ��� ��� �� ��8

7��>(�(� 7�B ��� � �� ��� � � �� �� � �

.! � � �� �� �� �� �8 �� � �

TOTAL 633 769 790 838 887 885 900 973 0 0

,!9+)��>!0+(!�+ 7�B �8� �� �� �� �� �:��� �:�� �:��� ��� �

.! �� �8 �� ��� �� ��� � ��� � �

TOTAL 794 865 891 950 1,021 1,116 1,200 1,214 1,076 971

'��(&��#��) �*0/, �*-.0 �*-+� �*,++ �*�1+ /*11� /*�11 /*�+, �*1,- �,�

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TOTAL 971 969 957 1,062 1,155 1,218 1,265 1,319 1,397 1,397 1,422

0(2�����3 �#�;�-���0��'�- 7�B � � � �� �� ��� �� �� �8 � 8

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TOTAL 971 969 957 1,139 1,307 1,441 1,559 1,606 1,706 1,740 1,807

'��(&��#��) �*����������� ��� � � �:� ��� ��� ��� �:�8� �:8�� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �: ��

OTG in ERA over time ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� ���

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -5 -3 9 -173 -341 -475 -593 -640 -740 -774 -841

Utilization Rate 101% 100% 99% 118% 135% 149% 161% 166% 177% 180% 187%

P 0��$<����� ���%0��� ���7����� ������"���� �#���������# ��#���:���' �3�0(2������-�$������������ �

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YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

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Page 189: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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SRA 105 – Rural Milton West

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Page 190: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 191: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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TOTAL 1,386 1,482 1,607 1,706 1,806 1,979 2,114 2,161 2,233 2,241 2,169

0(2�����3 �#�;�-���0��'�- 7�B � � � � � � � ��� 8 8�� �

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TOTAL 1,386 1,482 1,607 1,706 1,806 1,979 2,208 2,346 2,506 2,600 2,520

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OTG in ERA over time �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8 �:�8

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -183 -279 -404 -503 -603 -776 -1,005 -1,143 -1,303 -1,397 -1,317

Utilization Rate 115% 123% 134% 142% 150% 165% 184% 195% 208% 216% 209%

§ Self�Contained/Special�Education�program�is�hosted�at�this�school,�review�SRA�summary�for�more�details

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1,500

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2,500

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NUMBE

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YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

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SRA 106 - Rural Milton East

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H*!*�>!�? ��E ��E ��E �8E �E E � E

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Page 195: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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, � ��-�)+B������ �- � � � � � � � � � � �

�����&�� ������&�������� �- �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� ��

+���������� �-�4)+B�K������&�������� �-5 �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� ��

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, �����0H�A��#� 7�B �:�� � � � � � �� �� ��� 88� ��� ��� ��� ��

.! � � � � 8 8� � �� � ��� ���

TOTAL 0 0 0 77 151 223 388 472 582 703 737

'��(&��#��) <���������� �:�� � � � � � � �� ��� 8 8 �� � ��8 �8�

OTG in ERA over time � � � � � � � � � �

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Utilization Rate 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

+=7(7�2(7��)�0�=))90�!��+=!0�(7T!7H�2(72:�0+�>7�+0�=2T7�;77���)��+7>�!��)+=7(�(7T!7H�2(720

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0(2�0�#���

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 196: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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Page 197: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

��!������� ��������1,

SRA107 – Halton Hills

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��������������� �!������!�������"��Georgetown District H.S. M 9 $��01 ������: 0�������-�B $��������������������0�������-�������*

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L +#��0�������-������ ��C����������&������������&-����<���3 �#���'�������� ���� �"� �� ��<*L ��3��������� ��� �� � ����������� ���3 �#�3������������ ��*�!�� ���1��3��3#����#�� ���3 ���&��

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���E���� ���������������3�-����� ������&���3�)+B�&-��� *L ,�����#�����E��$�"���������"� #��������������������� �� ��"��������$��������� � �����-�������&��#�

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Page 198: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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��� ��� ��� ��� �� ��� ��� ��� �� ��8

2�+)��>!0+(!�+ 7�B ��� � �8� ��� �� ��� � � �� ��8 �8

.! �8 8� 8� 8� 8� �� �� �� �� ��

TOTAL 549 567 562 544 543 548 545 519 522 504

B7)(B7+)H��>!0+(!�+ 7�B �:�� �:8� �:� �:8�� �:8� �:��� �:��8 �:�8 �:��� �:�8

.! � �� ��� ��� �� �8 ��8 �88 �8� �8�

TOTAL 1,342 1,327 1,398 1,461 1,470 1,609 1,756 1,765 1,791 1,760

'��(&��#��) �*+�� �*+�0 �*�-1 /*117 /*1�. /*�7, /*.1� /*/+0 /*.�. �*,-1

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2�+)��>!0+(!�+ �8E �E �E ��E �E �E �E �E �E �8E �E �E �E �E ��E .0 ��.������0�#���B7)(B7+)H��>!0+(!�+ ��E �E E �E �E �E �8E �E �E �8E 8E �E ��E �E �E �.0 ��=>0;����<.������0�#���

�����=���'� �/4 �4 ,4 �.4 �4 ,4 ��4 �4 ,4 �.4 /4 74 �14 04 -4 ) ��)�#��O�)�#�����-� �������4&������������� �-5��������$������#���;�����4��&� ���������#�� �5:��� '����0�#���:�)����$�(�" ��

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Page 199: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments

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, � ��-�)+B������ �- :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�� :8�������&�� �

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2�+)��>!0+(!�+ 7�B ��*�������� �8� � � �8 �8 ��� �� � ��� �8� ��� ��� �88 �8 ���

.! �� � � �� �� � �� �� �� � �

TOTAL 504 508 487 493 514 507 516 524 510 518 502

'��(&��#��) ��*�������� �8� � � �8 ��� �� � � ��8 ��� ��� ��� �� ��� �� ��

OTG in ERA over time �8� �8� �8� �8� �8� �8� �8� �8� �8� �8� �8�

Available Pupil Places (+/-) 132 128 150 143 123 129 120 112 126 118 134

Utilization Rate 79% 80% 76% 78% 81% 80% 81% 82% 80% 81% 79%

��8�!�������������2����"��

4#�5�0�#����

)+B���� �����

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§ B7)(B7+)H��>!0+(!�+ 7�B �*���������� �:� 8 � � �:� 8 �:�8 �:��� �:��� �:�� �:��8 �:��� �:�� �:��� �:�� �:�� �:���

.! �8� ��� ��� ��� �� �� �� ��� ��� ��� ��

TOTAL 1,760 1,677 1,701 1,694 1,685 1,678 1,670 1,648 1,613 1,618 1,571

'��(&��#��) �*���������� �:� 8 � � �:� 8 �:��� �:��� �:��� �:��� �:� � �:�� �:��� �:�� �:��8 �:�� �:���

OTG in ERA over time �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8 �:� 8

Available Pupil Places (+/-) -77 6 -18 -11 -2 5 13 35 70 65 112

Utilization Rate 105% 100% 101% 101% 100% 100% 99% 98% 96% 96% 93%

§ 0��$<����� ���%0��� ���7����� ������"���� �#���������# ��#���:���' �3�0(2������-�$������������ �

0(2�0�#���

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Actual2013

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

NUMBE

R�OF�STUDE

NTS

YEAR

PROJECTED�ENROLMENT�&�UTILIZATION

Projected�Enrolment�(FTE) Ministry�OTG�Capacity Total�Capacity�(OTG�&�Portable�Capacity)

NOTE:��SCHOOL�ENROLMENT�PROJECTIONS�MAY�INCLUDE�STUDENTS�OUTSIDE�OF�THE�REVIEW�AREA.

ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS�ALSO�INCLUDE�THE�FULL�DAY�KINDERGARTEN�PROGRAM�AS�IMPLEMENTED�BY�MINISTRY�TIMELINES�WHICH�HAS�BEEN�NOTED�UNDER�THE�ERA�SCHOOLS�INFORMATION.

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Page 200: Report Number:14060 REVISED - Halton District School Board€¦ · new Alton elementary school (St. Anne’s CES) during 2013/2014 school year and the impact on long term enrolments