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© OECD/IEA 2013
Global View on Renewable Heating and Cooling
4th European Conference on
Renewable Heating and Cooling,
22-23 April, 2013
Paolo Frankl Head of Renewable Energy Division, IEA, Paris
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
IEA publications on renewable heat
Renewables for Heating & Cooling (2007)
Technology roadmaps (2011-12) Bioenergy for Heat and Power
Geothermal Heat and Power
Solar Heating and Cooling
Energy Technology Perspectives 2012 Chapter on heating & cooling
Policies for renewable heat (2012)
Section within the Medium term Renewables Market report 2013
Renewable heating without (global) warming (2013, forthcoming)
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
63.30
84.04
33.53
74.91
84.12
8.71
World Total Final Energy Consumption (EJ)
Electricity
Transport
Non-Energy Use
Industry
Buildings
Other Sectors
Heat accounts for almost 50% of the world’s total final energy consumption
Source: IEA Statistics
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Hydro
Solar
Heating
Geothermal
Wind
Bioenergy
CSP
Solar PV
Grid
Electricity
District
Heating
From Renewable Source to Final Heat
Buildings and Industry
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Biomass is by far the most important renewable energy source for heat in the buildings sector
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
EJ
Solarthermal Geothermal
Biogas Liquid biofuels
Solid Biomass (OECD) Solid Biomass (non-OECD)
Share of renewables in total heat (OECD) Share of renewables in total heat (non-OECD)
Most of the non-
OECD solid
biomass is used in
form of
traditional
bioenergy
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Share of renewables in total heat demand by type in selected OECD countries in 2008
The share of renewable energy in total demand for heat varies widely in OECD countries
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Sweden
Iceland
New Zealand
Austria
Greece
France
Spain
United States
Germany
Italy
Japan
United Kingdom Biomass
Geothermal
Solar
Commercial heat Renewable heat
in commercial
heat
Source: IEA Statistics
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Renewable energy use (excl. solid biomass) for heat in buildings is growing
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
EJ
Solarthermal GeothermalBiogas Liquid biofuelsShare in total energy use for heat Source: IEA Statistics
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Bioenergy – an important source of heat, also in the long-term
Buildings Industry
Bioenergy share on total demand: 30% in 2009 18% in 2050
Bioenergy share on total demand: 8% in 2009 15% in 2050
Source: Technology Roadmap – Bioenergy for Heat and Power
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Bioenergy – a competitive source of heat in many circumstances
Source: Technology Roadmap – Bioenergy for Heat and Power
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Solar heating & cooling can play an important role in industry and buildings
Source: Technology Roadmap – Solar Heating & Cooling
Solar heating and cooling capacity could produce annually by 2050: - 16.5 EJ solar heat (16% of TFE low temp. heat) - 1.5 EJ solar cooling (17% of TFE cooling)
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Geothermal heat is set to grow in a low-carbon energy scenario
Note: Figure does not include ground-source heat pumps
Source: Technology Roadmap – Geothermal Heat and Power
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Centralised fuel production,power and storage
Renewable energy resources
EV
Co-generation
Smart energysystem control
Distributedenergy resources
Surplus heat
H vehicle2
A smart, sustainable energy system
© OECD/IEA 2012
A sustainable energy system is a smarter, more unified and integrated energy system
Source: Energy Technology Perspectives 2012
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Barriers to deployment renewable heat
Barriers heat (general) Barriers renewable heat
Fragmented market: millions of
owners/developers, district
heating operators and industries
Renewable heat production should
be close to heat sink (limited
transportability, no grid for surplus,
limited storage)
Gatekeepers between supply and
demand (installers, architects)
Heat demand can be variable over
time (space heating is seasonal)
Dynamics heat market: space
heating demand declining, power
for heat in new buildings?
Heat is a heterogeneous commodity:
differing temperatures in both
demand and renewable heat supply
“Split incentive” between building
owner & consumer/ tenant
Sector specific opportunities and
concerns
Barriers to heat are often sector specific and best tackled as part of sectoral approach to energy management, integrated with energy efficiency policies and measures
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Policies to accelerate deployment RES-heat
Carbon tax on fossil fuels used in heat production: Sweden
Source: Lund University
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Need for RD&D
Renewable cooling
Increase thermal COP of renewable heat driven cooling systems
Household-scale cooling systems
Heat and cold storage
Continue RD&D on promising materials for compact thermal energy storage
Enhance RD&D on materials for medium-temperature storage (100-300 C)
Integration of technologies and heat and electricity generation
Hybrid systems of solar thermal + heat pump; heat pump + biomass boiler etc.
Hybrid photovoltaic and solar thermal collectors
© OECD/IEA 2010 © IEA/OECD 2013
Conclusions
Heat dominates final energy use: expanding renewable heat is important to reduce emissions and enhance energy security
Shares of modern renewable heat are still small, with exception of a few countries but growing
Low carbon futures will require integrated energy approach , and RE heat will play an essential role
Potential for renewable cooling still largely unexploited
Deployment of renewable heat has sectorally specific barriers and a sector specific approach, integrated with energy efficiency policies and measures is needed.