regional economic overview · jan-dec 2009-4,700 employees jan-dec 2010 +5,900 mar11-mar12:...
TRANSCRIPT
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REGIONAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Brian Bonnenfant | Project Manager Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada
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Current Economic Review April 24th, 2013
Brian Bonnenfant Project Manager
Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada, Reno
784-1771 [email protected]
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Monthly Employment - Reno/Sparks MSA
180,000
185,000
190,000
195,000
200,000
205,000
210,000
215,000
220,000
225,000
230,000
Jan-
06Fe
b-06
Mar
-06
Apr
-06
May
-06
Jun-
06Ju
l-06
Aug
-06
Sep-
06O
ct-0
6N
ov-0
6D
ec-0
6Ja
n-07
Feb-
07M
ar-0
7A
pr-0
7M
ay-0
7Ju
n-07
Jul-0
7A
ug-0
7Se
p-07
Oct
-07
Nov
-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08Fe
b-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Aug
-08
Sep-
08O
ct-0
8N
ov-0
8D
ec-0
8Ja
n-09
Feb-
09M
ar-0
9A
pr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9A
ug-0
9Se
p-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10Fe
b-10
Mar
-10
Apr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Aug
-10
Sep-
10O
ct-1
0N
ov-1
0D
ec-1
0Ja
n-11
Feb-
11M
ar-1
1A
pr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
ug-1
1Se
p-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12Fe
b-12
Mar
-12
Apr
-12
May
-12
Jun-
12Ju
l-12
Aug
-12
Sep-
12O
ct-1
2N
ov-1
2D
ec-1
2Ja
n-13
Feb-
13M
ar-1
3
March 2013 Total = 189,100 (+1.2%)
Jan-Dec 2008-7,000
Employees
Jan-Dec 2007+7,100
Employees
Jan-Dec 2006+13,300
Employees
Jan-Dec 2009-4,700
Employees
Jan-Dec 2010+5,900
Employees
Mar11-Mar12: +900 Mar12-Mar13: +2,200
Feb-13 Unemployment Rate: 10.1%
Mar-12 Unemployment Rate: 11.8%
**Peak = 228,100 Emp
Mar-13 Unemployment Rate: 10.0%**Start of Great Recession
**End of Great Recession
(Not Seasonally-Adjusted)
Jan-Dec 2011+6,700
Employees
Jan-Dec 2012+8,900
Employees
-
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
Jan-
07Fe
b-07
Mar
-07
Apr
-07
May
-07
Jun-
07Ju
l-07
Aug
-07
Sep-
07O
ct-0
7N
ov-0
7D
ec-0
7Ja
n-08
Feb-
08M
ar-0
8A
pr-0
8M
ay-0
8Ju
n-08
Jul-0
8A
ug-0
8Se
p-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09Fe
b-09
Mar
-09
Apr
-09
May
-09
Jun-
09Ju
l-09
Aug
-09
Sep-
09O
ct-0
9N
ov-0
9D
ec-0
9Ja
n-10
Feb-
10M
ar-1
0A
pr-1
0M
ay-1
0Ju
n-10
Jul-1
0A
ug-1
0Se
p-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11Fe
b-11
Mar
-11
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11Ju
l-11
Aug
-11
Sep-
11O
ct-1
1N
ov-1
1D
ec-1
1Ja
n-12
Feb-
12M
ar-1
2A
pr-1
2M
ay-1
2Ju
n-12
Jul-1
2A
ug-1
2Se
p-12
Oct
-12
Nov
-12
Dec
-12
Jan-
13Fe
b-13
Mar
-13
Recession
Month Over Month Employment Change - Reno/Sparks MSA
2012 Avg = 190,492
2011 Avg = 189,075
2010 Avg = 190,067
2009 Avg = 194,883
2007 Avg = 223,917
2008 Avg = 214,858
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Local Government 1,600 10.5%Leisure & Hospitality 1,300 3.9%Construction 600 7.8%Financial Activites 200 2.3%Manufacturing 100 0.9%
TOTAL 3,800
Between March 2012 & March 2013 - Reno MSAEmployment Increases by Sector
(Erroneous Double-Count by DETR)
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Professional & Business Services -800 -3.3%State Government -400 -3.9%Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities -200 -0.5%Mining -100 -33.3%Education and Health Services -100 -0.5%
TOTAL -1,600
Between March 2012 & March 2013 - Reno MSAEmployment Decreases by Sector
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Percentage Change in Quarterly Taxable Sales
-25.0%
-15.0%
-5.0%
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%1Q
- 20
05
1Q -
2006
1Q -
2007
1Q -
2008
1Q -
2009
1Q -
2010
1Q -
2011
1Q -
2012
NEVADA CLARK
WASHOE BALANCE
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Percentage Change in Taxable Gaming Revenue
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
1Q -
2006
1Q -
2007
1Q -
2008
1Q -
2009
1Q -
2010
1Q -
2011
1Q -
2012
NEVADA
CLARK
WASHOE
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Annual Change in Cash-Occupied Hotel Rooms
*FY2013 represents Jul-12 through Mar-13
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
FY2013*FY2012FY2011FY2010FY2009FY2008
Downtown Reno Suburban Reno
Sparks Non-Gaming
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Age Range 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007-2011 % ch.Estimate; Total: 400,622 402,641 409,425 418,089 420,873 5.1%Estimate; 1 to 4 years 23,280 21,414 25,036 23,574 22,955 -1.4%Estimate; 5 to 17 years 69,445 70,572 70,962 71,438 71,266 2.6%Estimate; 18 and 19 years 11,196 11,203 10,468 12,297 11,304 1.0%Estimate; 20 to 24 years 26,936 27,861 28,902 31,309 33,393 24.0%Estimate; 25 to 29 years 28,334 28,995 32,162 30,492 30,191 6.6%Estimate; 30 to 34 years 26,818 25,520 26,239 27,973 26,405 -1.5%Estimate; 35 to 39 years 25,636 28,364 29,571 27,129 26,195 2.2%Estimate; 40 to 44 years 31,298 28,556 25,492 28,567 29,813 -4.7%Estimate; 45 to 49 years 32,093 30,644 30,631 30,049 30,551 -4.8%Estimate; 50 to 54 years 29,628 30,244 29,545 30,354 29,265 -1.2%Estimate; 55 to 59 years 26,457 27,538 26,500 25,378 27,377 3.5%Estimate; 60 to 64 years 22,748 22,708 23,607 28,129 28,383 24.8%Estimate; 65 to 69 years 14,557 15,517 16,589 17,737 17,789 22.2%Estimate; 70 to 74 years 10,961 12,488 11,061 12,746 14,367 31.1%Estimate; 75 years and over 21,235 21,017 22,660 20,917 21,619 1.8%Estimate; 65 years and over 46,753 49,022 50,310 51,400 53,775 15.0%Percent of all 65 years & over 11.7% 12.2% 12.3% 12.3% 12.8%
Population Change by Age RangeWashoe County, Nevada
Source: US Census Bureau
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Age Range 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007-2011 % ch.Estimate; Moved from different state: 16,859 15,956 13,837 16,972 15,980 -5.2%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 1 to 4 years 908 1,085 936 1,301 926 2.0%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 5 to 17 years 2,079 2,139 1,375 2,006 1,756 -15.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 18 and 19 years 1,305 604 592 518 776 -40.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 20 to 24 years 1,710 2,309 807 1,616 2,335 36.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 25 to 29 years 2,205 1,747 1,588 2,312 2,452 11.2%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 30 to 34 years 1,396 1,635 946 2,435 656 -53.0%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 35 to 39 years 908 894 1,370 888 1,595 75.7%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 40 to 44 years 1,501 973 867 1,083 898 -40.2%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 45 to 49 years 948 991 235 657 1,307 37.9%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 50 to 54 years 779 571 1,510 621 486 -37.6%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 55 to 59 years 908 678 677 1,666 549 -39.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 60 to 64 years 965 516 1,308 697 448 -53.6%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 65 to 69 years 220 494 560 418 694 215.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 70 to 74 years 340 195 465 404 371 9.1%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 75 years and over 687 1,125 601 350 731 6.4%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 65 years & over 1,247 1,814 1,626 1,172 1,796 44.0%Percent of all 65 years and over 2.7% 3.7% 3.2% 2.3% 3.3%
Washoe County, NevadaSource: US Census Bureau
In-Migration Trends by Age Range
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Median Sales Price of Short-Sales, Bank-Owned Resales, & Non-Distressed Sales
Washoe County (Single-Family Homes)
$90,000
$100,000
$110,000
$120,000
$130,000
$140,000
$150,000
$160,000
$170,000
$180,000
$190,000
$200,000
$210,000
$220,000
$230,000
$240,000
$250,000
$260,000
$270,000
Jan-
09Fe
b-09
Mar
-09
Apr-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
n-09
Jul-0
9Au
g-09
Sep-
09Oc
t-09
Nov-
09De
c-09
Jan-
10Fe
b-10
Mar
-10
Apr-1
0M
ay-1
0Ju
n-10
Jul-1
0Au
g-10
Sep-
10Oc
t-10
Nov-
10De
c-10
Jan-
11Fe
b-11
Mar
-11
Apr-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1Au
g-11
Sep-
11Oc
t-11
Nov-
11De
c-11
Jan-
12Fe
b-12
Mar
-12
Apr-1
2M
ay-1
2Ju
n-12
Jul-1
2Au
g-12
Sep-
12Oc
t-12
Nov-
12De
c-12
Jan-
13Fe
b-13
Mar
-13
Median Sale Price: Short Sale, MLS Median Sale Price: Bank Owned, MLS
Median Sale Price: Non-Distressed, MLS Median Sale Price: All Homes, MLS
March 2013
Short Sales: 33% of All Sales 41% are Cash SalesBank Owned: 8% of All Sales 28% are Cash Sales
Non-Distressed: 59% of All Sales 25% are Cash SalesAll Single-Family Homes: ($195,000) 30% are Cash Sales
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2012 % of Total 2011 % of Total 2010 % of Total$0 - $99,999 904 15.0% 1,024 17.6% 580 11.0% 37.2%$100,000 - $199,999 2,931 48.7% 2,985 51.4% 2,646 50.0% -2.5%$200,000 - $299,999 1,272 21.1% 1,067 18.4% 1,191 22.5% -6.0%$300,000 - $399,999 454 7.5% 341 5.9% 401 7.6% -0.4%$400,000 - $499,999 182 3.0% 150 2.6% 214 4.0% -25.1%$500,000 - $749,999 178 3.0% 131 2.3% 164 3.1% -4.5%$750,000 - $999,999 51 0.8% 52 0.9% 61 1.2% -26.4%$1M & Greater 44 0.7% 54 0.9% 38 0.7% 1.9%
Total SF Resales: 6,016 100.0% 5,804 100.0% 5,295 100.0%
2010-2012 % ch. in share
of total
Washoe CountySingle-Family Home Resales by Price Range
Through March 2013 Sales % of Total$0 - $99,999 108 8.6%$100,000 - $199,999 558 44.2%$200,000 - $299,999 348 27.6%$300,000 - $399,999 106 8.4%$400,000 - $499,999 52 4.1%$500,000 - $749,999 50 4.0%$750,000 - $999,999 13 1.0%$1M & Greater 28 2.2%
Total SF Resales: 1,263 100.0%
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Thank you.