regional economic overview · jan-dec 2009-4,700 employees jan-dec 2010 +5,900 mar11-mar12:...

20
REGIONAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Brian Bonnenfant | Project Manager Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada

Upload: others

Post on 18-Oct-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • REGIONAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

    Brian Bonnenfant | Project Manager Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada

  • Current Economic Review April 24th, 2013

    Brian Bonnenfant Project Manager

    Center for Regional Studies University of Nevada, Reno

    784-1771 [email protected]

  • Monthly Employment - Reno/Sparks MSA

    180,000

    185,000

    190,000

    195,000

    200,000

    205,000

    210,000

    215,000

    220,000

    225,000

    230,000

    Jan-

    06Fe

    b-06

    Mar

    -06

    Apr

    -06

    May

    -06

    Jun-

    06Ju

    l-06

    Aug

    -06

    Sep-

    06O

    ct-0

    6N

    ov-0

    6D

    ec-0

    6Ja

    n-07

    Feb-

    07M

    ar-0

    7A

    pr-0

    7M

    ay-0

    7Ju

    n-07

    Jul-0

    7A

    ug-0

    7Se

    p-07

    Oct

    -07

    Nov

    -07

    Dec

    -07

    Jan-

    08Fe

    b-08

    Mar

    -08

    Apr

    -08

    May

    -08

    Jun-

    08Ju

    l-08

    Aug

    -08

    Sep-

    08O

    ct-0

    8N

    ov-0

    8D

    ec-0

    8Ja

    n-09

    Feb-

    09M

    ar-0

    9A

    pr-0

    9M

    ay-0

    9Ju

    n-09

    Jul-0

    9A

    ug-0

    9Se

    p-09

    Oct

    -09

    Nov

    -09

    Dec

    -09

    Jan-

    10Fe

    b-10

    Mar

    -10

    Apr

    -10

    May

    -10

    Jun-

    10Ju

    l-10

    Aug

    -10

    Sep-

    10O

    ct-1

    0N

    ov-1

    0D

    ec-1

    0Ja

    n-11

    Feb-

    11M

    ar-1

    1A

    pr-1

    1M

    ay-1

    1Ju

    n-11

    Jul-1

    1A

    ug-1

    1Se

    p-11

    Oct

    -11

    Nov

    -11

    Dec

    -11

    Jan-

    12Fe

    b-12

    Mar

    -12

    Apr

    -12

    May

    -12

    Jun-

    12Ju

    l-12

    Aug

    -12

    Sep-

    12O

    ct-1

    2N

    ov-1

    2D

    ec-1

    2Ja

    n-13

    Feb-

    13M

    ar-1

    3

    March 2013 Total = 189,100 (+1.2%)

    Jan-Dec 2008-7,000

    Employees

    Jan-Dec 2007+7,100

    Employees

    Jan-Dec 2006+13,300

    Employees

    Jan-Dec 2009-4,700

    Employees

    Jan-Dec 2010+5,900

    Employees

    Mar11-Mar12: +900 Mar12-Mar13: +2,200

    Feb-13 Unemployment Rate: 10.1%

    Mar-12 Unemployment Rate: 11.8%

    **Peak = 228,100 Emp

    Mar-13 Unemployment Rate: 10.0%**Start of Great Recession

    **End of Great Recession

    (Not Seasonally-Adjusted)

    Jan-Dec 2011+6,700

    Employees

    Jan-Dec 2012+8,900

    Employees

  • -25,000

    -20,000

    -15,000

    -10,000

    -5,000

    0

    5,000

    Jan-

    07Fe

    b-07

    Mar

    -07

    Apr

    -07

    May

    -07

    Jun-

    07Ju

    l-07

    Aug

    -07

    Sep-

    07O

    ct-0

    7N

    ov-0

    7D

    ec-0

    7Ja

    n-08

    Feb-

    08M

    ar-0

    8A

    pr-0

    8M

    ay-0

    8Ju

    n-08

    Jul-0

    8A

    ug-0

    8Se

    p-08

    Oct

    -08

    Nov

    -08

    Dec

    -08

    Jan-

    09Fe

    b-09

    Mar

    -09

    Apr

    -09

    May

    -09

    Jun-

    09Ju

    l-09

    Aug

    -09

    Sep-

    09O

    ct-0

    9N

    ov-0

    9D

    ec-0

    9Ja

    n-10

    Feb-

    10M

    ar-1

    0A

    pr-1

    0M

    ay-1

    0Ju

    n-10

    Jul-1

    0A

    ug-1

    0Se

    p-10

    Oct

    -10

    Nov

    -10

    Dec

    -10

    Jan-

    11Fe

    b-11

    Mar

    -11

    Apr

    -11

    May

    -11

    Jun-

    11Ju

    l-11

    Aug

    -11

    Sep-

    11O

    ct-1

    1N

    ov-1

    1D

    ec-1

    1Ja

    n-12

    Feb-

    12M

    ar-1

    2A

    pr-1

    2M

    ay-1

    2Ju

    n-12

    Jul-1

    2A

    ug-1

    2Se

    p-12

    Oct

    -12

    Nov

    -12

    Dec

    -12

    Jan-

    13Fe

    b-13

    Mar

    -13

    Recession

    Month Over Month Employment Change - Reno/Sparks MSA

    2012 Avg = 190,492

    2011 Avg = 189,075

    2010 Avg = 190,067

    2009 Avg = 194,883

    2007 Avg = 223,917

    2008 Avg = 214,858

  • Local Government 1,600 10.5%Leisure & Hospitality 1,300 3.9%Construction 600 7.8%Financial Activites 200 2.3%Manufacturing 100 0.9%

    TOTAL 3,800

    Between March 2012 & March 2013 - Reno MSAEmployment Increases by Sector

    (Erroneous Double-Count by DETR)

  • Professional & Business Services -800 -3.3%State Government -400 -3.9%Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities -200 -0.5%Mining -100 -33.3%Education and Health Services -100 -0.5%

    TOTAL -1,600

    Between March 2012 & March 2013 - Reno MSAEmployment Decreases by Sector

  • Percentage Change in Quarterly Taxable Sales

    -25.0%

    -15.0%

    -5.0%

    5.0%

    15.0%

    25.0%1Q

    - 20

    05

    1Q -

    2006

    1Q -

    2007

    1Q -

    2008

    1Q -

    2009

    1Q -

    2010

    1Q -

    2011

    1Q -

    2012

    NEVADA CLARK

    WASHOE BALANCE

  • Percentage Change in Taxable Gaming Revenue

    -20.0%

    -15.0%

    -10.0%

    -5.0%

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    1Q -

    2006

    1Q -

    2007

    1Q -

    2008

    1Q -

    2009

    1Q -

    2010

    1Q -

    2011

    1Q -

    2012

    NEVADA

    CLARK

    WASHOE

  • Annual Change in Cash-Occupied Hotel Rooms

    *FY2013 represents Jul-12 through Mar-13

    -30.0%

    -20.0%

    -10.0%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0%

    40.0%

    FY2013*FY2012FY2011FY2010FY2009FY2008

    Downtown Reno Suburban Reno

    Sparks Non-Gaming

  • Age Range 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007-2011 % ch.Estimate; Total: 400,622 402,641 409,425 418,089 420,873 5.1%Estimate; 1 to 4 years 23,280 21,414 25,036 23,574 22,955 -1.4%Estimate; 5 to 17 years 69,445 70,572 70,962 71,438 71,266 2.6%Estimate; 18 and 19 years 11,196 11,203 10,468 12,297 11,304 1.0%Estimate; 20 to 24 years 26,936 27,861 28,902 31,309 33,393 24.0%Estimate; 25 to 29 years 28,334 28,995 32,162 30,492 30,191 6.6%Estimate; 30 to 34 years 26,818 25,520 26,239 27,973 26,405 -1.5%Estimate; 35 to 39 years 25,636 28,364 29,571 27,129 26,195 2.2%Estimate; 40 to 44 years 31,298 28,556 25,492 28,567 29,813 -4.7%Estimate; 45 to 49 years 32,093 30,644 30,631 30,049 30,551 -4.8%Estimate; 50 to 54 years 29,628 30,244 29,545 30,354 29,265 -1.2%Estimate; 55 to 59 years 26,457 27,538 26,500 25,378 27,377 3.5%Estimate; 60 to 64 years 22,748 22,708 23,607 28,129 28,383 24.8%Estimate; 65 to 69 years 14,557 15,517 16,589 17,737 17,789 22.2%Estimate; 70 to 74 years 10,961 12,488 11,061 12,746 14,367 31.1%Estimate; 75 years and over 21,235 21,017 22,660 20,917 21,619 1.8%Estimate; 65 years and over 46,753 49,022 50,310 51,400 53,775 15.0%Percent of all 65 years & over 11.7% 12.2% 12.3% 12.3% 12.8%

    Population Change by Age RangeWashoe County, Nevada

    Source: US Census Bureau

  • Age Range 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007-2011 % ch.Estimate; Moved from different state: 16,859 15,956 13,837 16,972 15,980 -5.2%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 1 to 4 years 908 1,085 936 1,301 926 2.0%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 5 to 17 years 2,079 2,139 1,375 2,006 1,756 -15.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 18 and 19 years 1,305 604 592 518 776 -40.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 20 to 24 years 1,710 2,309 807 1,616 2,335 36.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 25 to 29 years 2,205 1,747 1,588 2,312 2,452 11.2%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 30 to 34 years 1,396 1,635 946 2,435 656 -53.0%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 35 to 39 years 908 894 1,370 888 1,595 75.7%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 40 to 44 years 1,501 973 867 1,083 898 -40.2%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 45 to 49 years 948 991 235 657 1,307 37.9%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 50 to 54 years 779 571 1,510 621 486 -37.6%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 55 to 59 years 908 678 677 1,666 549 -39.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 60 to 64 years 965 516 1,308 697 448 -53.6%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 65 to 69 years 220 494 560 418 694 215.5%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 70 to 74 years 340 195 465 404 371 9.1%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 75 years and over 687 1,125 601 350 731 6.4%Estimate; Moved from different state: - 65 years & over 1,247 1,814 1,626 1,172 1,796 44.0%Percent of all 65 years and over 2.7% 3.7% 3.2% 2.3% 3.3%

    Washoe County, NevadaSource: US Census Bureau

    In-Migration Trends by Age Range

  • Median Sales Price of Short-Sales, Bank-Owned Resales, & Non-Distressed Sales

    Washoe County (Single-Family Homes)

    $90,000

    $100,000

    $110,000

    $120,000

    $130,000

    $140,000

    $150,000

    $160,000

    $170,000

    $180,000

    $190,000

    $200,000

    $210,000

    $220,000

    $230,000

    $240,000

    $250,000

    $260,000

    $270,000

    Jan-

    09Fe

    b-09

    Mar

    -09

    Apr-0

    9M

    ay-0

    9Ju

    n-09

    Jul-0

    9Au

    g-09

    Sep-

    09Oc

    t-09

    Nov-

    09De

    c-09

    Jan-

    10Fe

    b-10

    Mar

    -10

    Apr-1

    0M

    ay-1

    0Ju

    n-10

    Jul-1

    0Au

    g-10

    Sep-

    10Oc

    t-10

    Nov-

    10De

    c-10

    Jan-

    11Fe

    b-11

    Mar

    -11

    Apr-1

    1M

    ay-1

    1Ju

    n-11

    Jul-1

    1Au

    g-11

    Sep-

    11Oc

    t-11

    Nov-

    11De

    c-11

    Jan-

    12Fe

    b-12

    Mar

    -12

    Apr-1

    2M

    ay-1

    2Ju

    n-12

    Jul-1

    2Au

    g-12

    Sep-

    12Oc

    t-12

    Nov-

    12De

    c-12

    Jan-

    13Fe

    b-13

    Mar

    -13

    Median Sale Price: Short Sale, MLS Median Sale Price: Bank Owned, MLS

    Median Sale Price: Non-Distressed, MLS Median Sale Price: All Homes, MLS

    March 2013

    Short Sales: 33% of All Sales 41% are Cash SalesBank Owned: 8% of All Sales 28% are Cash Sales

    Non-Distressed: 59% of All Sales 25% are Cash SalesAll Single-Family Homes: ($195,000) 30% are Cash Sales

  • 2012 % of Total 2011 % of Total 2010 % of Total$0 - $99,999 904 15.0% 1,024 17.6% 580 11.0% 37.2%$100,000 - $199,999 2,931 48.7% 2,985 51.4% 2,646 50.0% -2.5%$200,000 - $299,999 1,272 21.1% 1,067 18.4% 1,191 22.5% -6.0%$300,000 - $399,999 454 7.5% 341 5.9% 401 7.6% -0.4%$400,000 - $499,999 182 3.0% 150 2.6% 214 4.0% -25.1%$500,000 - $749,999 178 3.0% 131 2.3% 164 3.1% -4.5%$750,000 - $999,999 51 0.8% 52 0.9% 61 1.2% -26.4%$1M & Greater 44 0.7% 54 0.9% 38 0.7% 1.9%

    Total SF Resales: 6,016 100.0% 5,804 100.0% 5,295 100.0%

    2010-2012 % ch. in share

    of total

    Washoe CountySingle-Family Home Resales by Price Range

    Through March 2013 Sales % of Total$0 - $99,999 108 8.6%$100,000 - $199,999 558 44.2%$200,000 - $299,999 348 27.6%$300,000 - $399,999 106 8.4%$400,000 - $499,999 52 4.1%$500,000 - $749,999 50 4.0%$750,000 - $999,999 13 1.0%$1M & Greater 28 2.2%

    Total SF Resales: 1,263 100.0%

  • Thank you.