redwood unconstrained bond presentation
DESCRIPTION
Why Redwood Unconstrained Bond FundTRANSCRIPT
May 9, 2014
An Unconstrained Approach to Fixed Income
Redwood Unconstrained Bond Fund
Sub-Advisor:
Reams Asset Management Company, LLC (A division of Scout Investments, Inc.)
This material is provided as an educational tool and should not be considered investment advice. Redwood Investments cannot be held responsible for any direct loss resulting from applying any of the information provided in this presentation or from any other source mentioned. The opinions expressed may change as conditions in the market vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources deemed by Redwood Investments to be reliable. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any investment forecasts made will come to pass.
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public.
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 2
Redwood Asset Management
WV
OH
Equity Division Headquartered in Kansas City, MO
Managed assets since 1982
30 investment professionals
Average of 15 years industry experience
19 CFA charter holders and 25 MBAs
Fixed Income Division Based in Columbus, IN
Managed assets since 1981
14 investment professionals
Average of 19 years industry experience
11 CFA charter holders and 8 MBAs
Scout Investments manages more than $31 billion* in equity and fixed income strategies for institutional clients and individual investors.
*As of December 31, 2013
Scout
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 3
30 Years of Declining Interest Rates
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
10-Year U.S. Treasury RateJanuary 1984 – December 2013
Inte
res
t R
ate
%
As of December 31, 2013. Source: Federal Reserve, 2013
Context
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 4
30 Years of Declining Interest Rates
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
10-Year U.S. Treasury RateJanuary 1984 – December 2013
Inte
res
t R
ate
%
As of December 31, 2013. Source: Federal Reserve, 2013
8%
Context
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 5
30 Years of Declining Interest Rates
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
10-Year U.S. Treasury RateJanuary 1984 – December 2013
Inte
res
t R
ate
%
As of December 31, 2013. Source: Federal Reserve, 2013
Context
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 6
“More money has been lost reaching for yield than at the point of a gun.”
–Raymond DeVoe, Jr.
Context
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 7
A Different Approach to Fixed Income
Unconstrained
Flexible
Nontraditional
Strategic Income
Go Anywhere
Best Ideas
Multi-sector
Total Return
Solutions
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 8
The New “Core” Allocation
Bank
Loan
Corpora
te B
ond
Emer
ging M
arke
ts B
ond
High Y
ield
Bond
Infla
tion-P
rote
cted
Bond
Inte
rmed
iate
Gove
rnm
ent
Inte
rmed
iate
-Ter
m B
ond
Long Gove
rnm
ent
Long-Ter
m B
ond
Multi
sect
or Bond
Nontraditi
onal B
ond
Prefe
rred S
tock
Short Gove
rnm
ent
Short-Ter
m B
ond
Ultras
hort Bond
World
Bond
$(60,000,000,000)
$(40,000,000,000)
$(20,000,000,000)
$-
$20,000,000,000
$40,000,000,000
$60,000,000,000
$80,000,000,000
Net Flows (Trailing Year), Morningstar Categories
Source: Morningstar as of December 31, 2013.
Solutions
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Unconstrained does not mean . . .
What does Unconstrained mean to Redwood?
Riskier Investing
Equity AllocationShort Sales
Stretching for Yield
Using LeverageUn-Controlled
Un-Principled
Un-Restrained
No limits on sector allocations
Freedom from a benchmark
Flexibility with duration
Ability to invest in best ideas
Stress test/scenario analysis
Forward-looking risk measures
Unconstrained means . . .
Solutions
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 10
7.19
0.11
10.98
5.50
1.9
0.030
2
4
6
8
10
12
ABS
Govt
HY Credit
IG Credit
MBS
Non-Dollar
0.38
0.67
0.50
0.73
0.08
-0.13-
0.20
-0.10
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
ABS
Govt
HY Credit
IG Credit
MBS
Non-Dollar
Reams Unconstrained Composite
Sources of Total Return, Last 12 Months, Percent
Sources of Total Return, 5 Years Annualized, Percent
Solutions
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 11
1 mo 3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 7 yr 10 yr 20 yr 30 yr0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Duration and Yield-Curve Decision
Goal - Determine whether the bond market is cheap (bullish) or expensive (bearish)
Emphasize real interest rates
Take advantage of yield curve opportunities
Disciplined Investment Process
Inte
rest
Rat
e (%
)
Inflation Avg. 2013
Yield Curveao 4.09.14
Source: http://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/current-inflation-rates/ and US Dept. of treasuryTreasuries
Process
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 12
Duration and Yield-Curve Decision
Goal - Determine whether the bond market is cheap (bullish) or expensive (bearish)
Emphasize real interest rates
Take advantage of yield curve opportunities
Disciplined Investment Process
10-Year Real Treasury Interest Rates Percent
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Bearish
Bullish
Neutral
Source: Bloomberg
Inte
rest
Rat
e (%
)
Example:
Process
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Disciplined Investment Process
-Asset Backed Securities
-High Yield Credit
-Treasuries
-Mortgage Backed Securities
-Non Dollar Denominated Bonds
-Investment Grade Credit
-Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities
-Emerging Market Debt
-Treasury Inflation Protected Securities
Sector Decision and Bond Selection
Process
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 14
Disciplined Investment Process
1990
1990
1991
1991
1992
1992
1993
1993
1994
1994
1995
1995
1996
1996
1997
1997
1998
1998
1999
1999
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2012
-50
50
150
250
350
450
550
650
IG OAS (L)Source: Bloomberg
Cor
pora
te S
prea
ds
Sector Decision and Bond Selection
Goal - Purchase securities with the opportunity to offer the highest risk-adjusted returns
Focus on sectors offering relative value
Select bonds that have the opportunity to perform well in dynamic interest rate and credit environments
Example:
Process
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 15
Our definition of risk:1. Permanent loss of principal
2. Inability to meet investment objectives
Risk Analysis and Management
Typical definition of risk:1. Tracking error
2. Variability around benchmark
AnalyticsExternal and Proprietary Tools
Securities & Sectors
Compliance
Risk-Controlled Unconstrained Portfolio
Process
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1. Loss of principal
2. Loss of purchasing power
1983
-01
1984
-12
1986
-11
1988
-10
1990
-09
1992
-08
1994
-07
1996
-06
1998
-05
2000
-04
2002
-03
2004
-02
2006
-01
2007
-12
2009
-11
2011
-10
2013
-09
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
U.S. 10-Year Treasury RateJanuary 1984 – December 2013
Inte
rest
Rat
e %
The “old” way of bond investing will have predictable results..
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 17
For Period Ending March 31, 2014
Composite
Reams Unconstrained Composite Characteristics
Total Market ValueAvg. Portfolio Duration (Years) Avg. Yield to Maturity/Worst (%) Avg. Maturity (Years)Avg. Quality
$5,389 M-2.90.61.3Aa2
Quality Structure (% of Portfolio) Composite Sector Structure (% of Portfolio) Composite
AAA 68.6 Treasury 45.4AA 2.3 Govt Related 0.6A 14.9 Mortgage-Backed 4.5BBB 9.1 Asset-Backed 3.3Below Investment Grade 5.1 Corporate 28.6
Total 100.0 Non US Dollar -2.1Cash & Equivalents 19.7
Total 100.0
Duration Distribution (Years) Composite Maturity Distribution (%) Composite
0 - 1 yr. 0.3 0 - 1 yr. 46.51 - 3 0.6 1 - 3 44.93 - 4 0.1 3 - 5 6.84 - 6 0.2 5 - 7 1.16 - 8 0.0 7 - 10 0.38+ -4.1 10 - 20 0.2
Total -2.9 20+ 0.2Total 100.0
Investment Professional Use Only
Benefit?
Downside!Quality of Security?
Loss of “riskless” investment?
0-1% on this side
2-4% on that side
Chasing Yield
Investment Professional Use Only
ABS
High Yield Credit
Gov’tMB
Non Dollar
Inv Grade Credit
CMBS
Emerging Mkt
Which bridge to take.. or not
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Number of years since 1981 that interest rates have changed at least 1.0%: 32 of 32
Number of years since 1981 that interest rates have changed at least 1.5%: 28 of 32
Proof
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 21
Reams Unconstrained Composite
For Periods Ending March 31, 2014Percent Gain or Loss
Last12
Months
Two Years (annualized)
Three Years (annualized)
Five Years (annualized)
Ten Years (annualized)
Since Inception* (annualized)
Unconstrained Fixed Income Composite
2.23 9.77 10.61 25.71 12.73 11.77
ML LIBOR 3-Month Constant Maturity Index
0.27 0.34 0.35 0.42 2.10 2.80
*Inception Date 8/1/1998
Proof
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Reams Unconstrained Composite
Source: Data derived from Barclays and Bloomberg
Unconstrained Market Capture (8/1/1998 – 3/31/2014)
131%
153%
112%
100%
72%
58%
34%27%
13%
129%
-37%-
50%
Barclays Aggregate
Barclays Universal
Barclays Corporate
S&P 500
DJ/CS Hedge Fund
Upside Capture
Downside Capture
Proof
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 23
0
1
2
10-Year Treasury, Percent
7
6
5
4
3
Note: For the purposes of this illustration, a rising interest rate environment (highlighted in gray) is a period of time during which the 10-Year Treasury rate rose at least 100 basis points.
Returns in Rising Rate Environments
Source: Bloomberg
Percent Gain or Loss*10/1/1998 - 11/1/2001 - 6/1/2003 - 7/1/2005 - 1/1/2009 - 9/1/2010 - 8/1/2012 -
1/31/2000 3/31/2002 5/31/2004 6/30/2006 12/31/2009 3/31/2011 12/31/2013
Unconstrained Composite 17.66 1.74 15.85 6.83 76.62 12.96 14.06
Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index (0.81) (1.91) (0.44) (0.81) 5.93 (0.77) (1.62)
Difference 18.47 3.65 16.29 7.64 70.69 13.73 15.68
* Returns are cumulative for each time period
Proof
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Reams Unconstrained Correlation Matrix
Source: Barclays and Bloomberg
Barcla
ys A
ggre
gate
Barcla
ys U
nive
rsal
Barcla
ys C
orpo
rate
S&P
500
Dow Jo
nes /C
redit
Suiss
e Hed
ge
Fund Rea
ms Unc
onst
rain
ed
Monthly data for the period 8/1998 through 3/2014
Barclays Aggregate 1.00 0.97 0.84 -0.090.01
0.09
Barclays Universal 1.00 0.90 0.070.17
0.24
Barclays Corporate 1.00 0.200.30
0.39
S&P 500 1.00 0.57 0.63
Dow Jones / Credit Suisse Hedge Fund 1.00 0.42
Reams Unconstrained 1.00
Proof
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 25
Manager thoughts:
“Active risk all the time is not active management.”
“Cash equals stored value.”
“We don’t gorge at the yield trough.”
“Fed has pushed investors into the deep end of the pool.”
“Principal change trumps yield.”
“Now is the time to build bond portfolios for total return rather than income.”
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 26
The Redwood Unconstrained Bond Fund
Experienced management team More than 30 years of investment experience A combined 99 years of investment experience Managed portfolios in falling and rising rate environments
Disciplined investment process Consistent investment process seeks opportunities across all sectors Flexibility and ability to react quickly to changing environments
Focus on risk management Defines risk as permanent loss of principal View volatility as a key driver of performance
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 27
Long - track record
Small - assets
Pure - unconstrained
Spread - hunters vs. yield chasers
Features
Sum
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Performance - rising rates, lowering rates, flat rates
Non Correlating - compliments portfolios
Traditional - with little to 0 em, leverage, stocks, non dollar
Benefits
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 29
Complement to core fixed income allocations
Core plus reallocation
Fixed income allocation
Appendix: Implementing Unconstrained
Unconstrained
Money Market
Equity
Core Plus
Core
Unconstrained
Money Market
Equity
Core
Unconstrained
Money Market
Equity
*Hypothetical Allocations
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 30
Key takeaways for you and your clients:
The traditional approach to fixed income has worked well for 30 years but . . .
− The fixed income strategies of yesteryear may not be the best approach today.
Today’s market environment requires a nontraditional approach
− Look for pockets of opportunity without benchmark constraints
Choose an investment manager with the right skill set
− Risk management, disciplined investment process and experience matters
Redwood Unconstrained Bond Fund
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 31
Redwood Unconstrained Bond Fund
Now is the time..
to review your client’s investment goals and determine if a different approach to fixed income
may be needed.
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 32
Redwood Unconstrained Bond Fund
Purchase Options
Corporate Class (Taxable Accounts)
Front-End RAM 125
Fee-Based RAM 126
Mutual Fund Trust (Non-Taxable Accounts)
Front-End RAM 127
Fee-Based RAM 128
Mutual Fund Trust USD
Front-End RAM 130
Fee-Based RAM 131
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 33
The information and opinions expressed herein are current as of this document date and Redwood Asset Management Inc. assumes no obligation to provide updates or advise on further developments. Any reference should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell nor should it be considered as an indication of the portfolio of any Redwood investment fund is or will be invested. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses may all be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Redwood, Redwood Asset Management, Needs Based Investing and the Redwood Asset Management Inc. tree logo are trademarks of Redwood Asset Management Inc.
Important Notes
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 34
Reams Unconstrained Product
Objective
To maximize risk-adjusted total return by systematically pursuing relative value opportunities throughout all sectors of the fixed income market.
Performance Benchmark
Merrill Lynch LIBOR 3-Month Constant Maturity Index
Guidelines
Average portfolio duration shall be within a range of -3 to 8 years. No restriction on individual holdings.
No limit on the ratings of individual securities.
No single credit industry shall exceed 25% of the portfolio at purchase.
Emerging market securities shall not exceed 30% of the portfolio at purchase. Non-U.S. dollar holdings shall not exceed 30% of the portfolio at purchase, including positions
hedged and unhedged.
The use of futures, forwards, options and swaps, including credit default swaps, is permitted. Such instruments shall not be used for speculative purposes. The product does not use borrowing to create leverage.
Sum
FOR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not for use with the general public. 35
0
20
40
60
80
100
2008
2009
20102011
Investment Grade
2012
2013
2014
High Yield
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
2008
20092010
2011
20122013
Cash & Equivalents
2014
Treasury & Agency
Historically, sector exposures have generally been within the following ranges:
Investment Grade Credit: 0 - 50% High Yield Credit: 0 - 75% Government/Agency: 0 - 50% Mortgage-Backed: 0 - 50%
Reams Unconstrained Product
Corporate Exposure, Percent of Portfolio
Liquidity Exposure, Percent of Portfolio
Asset-Backed: 0 - 25% Emerging Markets: 0 - 5% Non-Dollar: 0 - 10% Bank Loans: 0 - 15%
Sum