reducing emissions in california through carbon capture ......successful technology to dramatically...

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Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture and Sequestration S. Julio Friedmann Carbon Management Program APL Global Security Principle Directorate, LLNL [email protected] http://co2.llnl.gov/

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Page 1: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture and Sequestration

S. Julio Friedmann Carbon Management Program APL

Global Security Principle Directorate, LLNL [email protected]

http://co2.llnl.gov/

Page 2: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Conclusions

Current knowledge strongly supports carbon sequestration as a successful technology to dramatically reduce CO2 emissions.

Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at scale

Site characterization, monitoring, and hazard assessment & management are keys to safe and successful deployment

California’s specific mix of carbon sources and geology provide real, near term opportunities to dramatically reduce emissions with CCS

This work performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract DE-AC52-07NA27344

Page 3: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Geological carbon sequestration is the deepinjection of CO2 to avoid atmospheric release

2 km

CO2 can be stored in deep geological formations as a pore-filling fluid:

•Saline Formations: largest capacity (>2200 Gt)

•Depleted Oil & Gas potential for enhanced oil and natural gas recovery

Scientific American, 2005

Page 4: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

CO2 Capture & Sequestration (CCS) canprovide 15-50% of global GHG reductions

Pacala & Socolow, 2004

• ACTIONABLE • SCALEABLE • COST-EFFECTIVE

• A key portfolio component (w/ cons., effic., nuclear, renew.)

• Cost competitive to other carbon-free options (enables others, like hydrogen)

• Uses proven technology

• Applies to existing and new plants

• Room for cost reductions (50-80%)

Page 5: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

N2

O2

Coal COCO

Post combustion Power & HeatGas 22SepaSeparationration

Biomass

Air CO2

Coal Air/O

2 COGas 2SteamBiomass

Pre combustion GasGasiificationfication ReReffoormerrmer H2 N O

2 2

Gas, Oil+CO+CO SepSep

2 2 Power Heat & & CO

2Compression

Air & Dehydration

Coal CO

Oxyfuel Gas

Biomass

PowerPower & & HeatHeat2

O2

N2

Air Air Separation

High purity (>95%) CO2 streams are required for storage

Three technology pathways can capture and separate large volumes of CO2

N 2

O 2

Coal CO

Post combustion Gas Power & Heat 2 Separation

Biomass

Air CO 2

Coal Air/O

2 COGas 2Steam Biomass

Pre combustion Gasification Reformer H 2 N O

2 2

Gas, Oil +CO Sep

2 Power HeatPower & Heat

CO 2

Compression Air & Dehydration

Coal CO

Oxyfuel Gas

Biomass

Power & Heat 2

O 2

N 2

Air Air Separation

After IPCC SRCCS, 2005

Page 6: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

High purity (>95%) CO2 streams are required for storage

Capture devices for standard existing plants are relatively high in cost.

At present, all three approaches to carbon capture and separation

appear equally viable

Typical PC plant $40-60/t CO2

Typical gasified plant $30-45/t CO2

Oxyfired combustion $40-60/t CO2*

Low-cost opportunities $ 5-10/t CO2

Refineries, fertilizer & ethanol plants, polygeneration, cement plants, and gas processing facilities are cheapest. Pursuit of coal-to-liquids, H2 fuel production, and oil shales will make additional high concentration streams

Amine stripping, Sleipner

Wabash IGCC plant, Indiana

Clean Energy Systems, CA

* Not yet ready for prime time

Page 7: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

What empirical evidence is there that transport &geological storage of CO2 can be done safely?

• Nature has stored oil and natural gas in underground formations over geologic timeframes, i.e. millions of years

• Gas and pipeline companies are today storing natural gas in underground formations (>10,000 facility-years experience)

• Naturally occurring CO2 reservoirs have stored CO2-rich gas underground for millions of year, including large volumes in the US (WY, CO, TX, UT, NM, MS, WV)

• Almost 3,000 miles of CO2 pipelines are operate in N. America, carrying over 30 million tons of CO2 annually

• Well over 100 million tons of CO2 have already been injected into oil reservoirs for EOR as well as into deep saline aquifers (over 80 projects have been implemented worldwide)

• Three commercial sequestration projects have demonstrably sequestered CO2 at injection rates ~ 1 million t CO2/y for years across a wide range of geological settings

Page 8: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Geologic CO2 Sequestration Targets & Storage Mechanisms

Page 9: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Physical properties of supercritical CO2

Commercial CO2 sequestration will proceed only in those geological settings where CO2 will be in a supercritical state.

This means it will have a density like oil and viscosity less than oil but much more than methane.

Bielinski, 2006

NIST chemistry webbook, 2006

Page 10: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

• Impermeable cap rock• Either geometric or hydrodynamic stability

Residual phase trapping• Capillary forces immobilized fluids

• Sensitive to pore geometry (<25% pore vol.)

Solution/Mineral Trapping• Slow kinetics• High permanence

Gas adsorption• For organic minerals only (coals, oil shales)

Storage mechanisms are sufficiently wellunderstood to be confident of effectiveness

Physical trapping • Impermeable cap rock • Either geometric or hydrodynamic stability

Residual phase trapping • Capillary forces immobilized fluids

• Sensitive to pore geometry (<25% pore vol.)

Solution/Mineral Trapping 1.0• Slow kinetics NaAlCO3(OH)2MgCO3

• High permanence

Gas adsorption • For organic minerals only (coals, oil shales)

0.2

Page 11: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

The crust is well configured to traplarge CO2 volumes indefinitely

IPCC, 2005 Multiple storage mechanisms working at multiple length and time scales should trap free-phase CO2 plumes,

This means that over time risk decreases and permanence increases

Page 12: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

A successful GCS site requires ICE

Injectivity Capacity Effectiveness Injectivity

• Rate of volume injection • Must be sustainable ( years)

Capacity • Bulk (integrated) property • Total volume estimate • Sensitive to process

Effectiveness • Ability for a site to store CO2 • Long beyond the lifetime of the project • Most difficult to define or defend

Conventional technology is sufficient to Gasda et. al, 2005 determine ICE for a site

Page 13: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Site selection should require due diligence in characterization & validation

Injectivity Ideally, project site selection and certification would involve detailed characterization. In mostCapacity cases, this will require new geological andEffectiveness geophysical data sets.

For Depleted Oil & Gas Fields: • Injectivity & capacity well established • Objective measures of effectiveness exist

For Saline Aquifers: • ICE could be estimated; would probably require exploratory wells and 3D seismic • Include cores, followed by lab work

Variability in site geology, geography, and regulations demands flexibility in

site permits requirements

Page 14: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Assessments represent the lowest cost, highest impact step in CCS

For any large injection volume, local assessment is extremely low in cost and can be executed with conventional technology

Projected Costs of CCS Technology Elements 100

10

1

0.1

0.01

0.001

0.0001 Capture Storage MMV Assessment

Friedmann et al., in press

2

US

Dol

lars

/ ton

CO

2

On a national level, assessments should proceed through geological surveys or in partnerships with the oil and gas industry

Site assessments may be paid for by the site operator, the CO2 owner, or through bonds.

This step is vital, and should be supported fully.

Page 15: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Several large projects exist, with many pending

The projects, especially the three commercial sequestration projects, demonstrate the high chance of success for CCS

Sites of note Pending CO2-EOR

These studies are still not sufficient to provide answers to all key technical questions or to create a regulatory structure

Page 16: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Sleipner Vest project demonstrates 1st order viability of commercial storage

FIRST major attempt an large volume CO2 sequestration, offshore Norway. Active since 1996. Monoethanolamine (MEA) capture

Economic driver: Norwegian carbon tax on

Geol. Survey of Denmark & Greenland

industry ($50/ton C) Cost of storage: $15/ton C

Operator: Statoil Partners: Norsk-Hydro,

Petoro, Shell-Esso, Total-Elf-Fina

http://www.statoil.com

Target: 1 MM t CO2/yr. So far, 11 MM t

Miocene Aquifer: DW fan complex

30-40% porosity, 200 m thick

high perm. (~3000 mD) between 15-36 oC – w/i

critical range

Page 17: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Sleipner monitoring supports the interpretation that CO2 can be imaged and has not escaped

This survey has sufficient resolution to image 10,000 t CO2, if collected locally as a free-phase.

The CO2 created impedance contrasts that revealed thin shale baffles within the reservoir.

Chadwick et al., 2004

Page 18: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Weyburn

Bismarck

Beulah

Canada

USA

Weyburn: Transport from North Dakota gasification plant to EOR field

CO2 Delivery • 200 miles of pipe • Inlet pressure 2500 psi; Regina

delivery pressure 2200 psi ManitobaWeyburn

• 5,000 + metric tonnes per day • Deliver to Weyburn and now Estevan

SaskatchewanMidale Weyburn field

Montana

• Discovered: 1954 North Dakota

• >2.0 Gbbl OOIP • Additional recovery ~130 MM

barrels • >26 M tons CO2 stored

Bismarck• 4 year, $24M science project; expand to second phase Beulah

Courtesy PTRC

Page 19: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Time-lapse seismic surveys show changes in CO2 saturation near wells: no leakage

Marly Zone

2001-2000 2002-2000

Wilson & Monea 2004

Page 20: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

In Salah (Algeria) CO2 storage project

sbon S P A I N

Cordoba

Cartagena Skikda Algiers Tunis

Tangiers

Hassi Bir Hassi R’Mel Rekaiz

M O R O C C O REB Hassi Messaoud

Proposed ISG Pipeline

Krechba

Teg

L I B Y A Reg A L G E R I A Garet el Befinat Hassi Moumene In Salah Tiguentourine (BP)

Gour Mahmoud

In Salah GasMAURITANIA M A L I

Project N I G E R

2151093

In Salah Project, Kretchba field 1 M t/yr CO2 separated from produced gas being Rittiford et al., 2004 injected into aquifer below gas zones.

Page 21: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

A mA mA mA m iiii nnnn eeee C C C C OOOO 2222R eR eR eR e mmmm oooo vvvv aaaa llll

PPPP rrrr oooo cccc e se se se s ssss iiii n gn gn gn g F F F F aaaa cccc iiii llll iiii tttt iiii e se se se s

CCCC rrrr e te te te t aaaa cccc e oe oe oe o u su su su s S S S S aaaa n d sn d sn d sn d s tttt oooo nnnn e se se se s & & & &MMMM uuuu dddd ssss t ot ot ot o nnnn eeee ssss ~ ~ ~ ~ 9999 0000 0000 m m m m eeee t rt rt rt r eeee sssstttt hhhh iiii cccc kkkk ( ( ( ( RRRR e ge ge ge g iiii oooo n an an an a llll A A A A qqqq u iu iu iu i ffff eeee rrrr )))) 4 G4 G4 G4 G aaaa ssss 3 C3 C3 C3 C OOOO 2222

PPPP rrrr o do do do d uuuu cccc tttt iiii o no no no n InInInIn jjjj eeee cccc tttt iiii oooo nnnnW eW eW eW e llll llll ssss WWWW eeee l l sl l sl l sl l s

CCCC aaaa rrrr bbbb o n io n io n io n i ffff e re re re r o u so u so u so u s M M M M uuuu d sd sd sd s tttt oooo n e sn e sn e sn e s~ 9~ 9~ 9~ 9 5 0 m5 0 m5 0 m5 0 m eeee tttt rrrr eeee ssss t t t t hhhh iiii cccc kkkk

CCCC aaaa r br br br b oooo nnnn iiii ffff eeee rrrr oooo uuuu s Rs Rs Rs R eeee s es es es e r vr vr vr v oooo iiii r r r r ~ 2 0 m~ 2 0 m~ 2 0 m~ 2 0 m eeee tttt rrrr eeee ssss tttt hhhh iiii cccc kkkk

T hT h ee C O C O 22 S tS t oo rr a ga g ee S c S c hh ee mm eea ta t K K rr ee cc hh bb aa

GGGGG aaaaa sssss

WWWWW aaaaa ttttt eeeee rrrrr

1 M t/yr CO2 separated from produced gas is injectedinto deep saline aquifer below gas zones

A m i n e C O 2 R e m o v a l

P r o c e s s i n g F a c i l i t i e s

C r e t a c e o u s S a n d s t o n e s & M u d s t o n e s ~ 9 0 0 m e t r e s t h i c k ( R e g i o n a l A q u i f e r ) 4 G a s 3 C O 2

P r o d u c t i o n I n j e c t i o n W e l l s W e l l s

C a r b o n i f e r o u s M u d s t o n e s ~ 9 5 0 m e t r e s t h i c k

C a r b o n i f e r o u s R e s e r v o i r ~ 2 0 m e t r e s t h i c k

T h e C O 2 S t o r a g e S c h e m e a t K r e c h b aSource: Ian Wright, BP, Jan 2005

Page 22: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Deployment efforts have brought focus to CCS operations life-cycle and its key issues

Site screening and early

characterization Site Regulators and decisionselection makers will make decisions at key junctures, only some

Continued Project of which are wellcharacterization permittingpre-injection understood technically

and approval

Baseline monitoring and Injectioncharacterization begins

Operators have to Operational injection and Injectionmake choices that monitoring Projectendsaffect capital decommissioning

deployment and actions on the ground

Post- Siteinjection activity

monitoring ceases

Page 23: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Leakage risks remain a primary concern

1) High CO2 concentrations (>15,000 ppm) can harm environment & human health.

2) There are other potential risks to groundwater, environment

3) Concern about the effectiveness & potential impact of widespread CO2 injection

4) Economic risks flow from uncertainty in subsurface, liability, and regulations

Elements of risk can be prioritized • Understanding high-permeability

conduits (wells and faults) • Predicting high-impact effects

(asphyxiation, water poisoning) • Characterizing improbable, high-impact

events (potential catastrophic cases)

Page 24: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Wells represent the main hazard to GCS site integrity

We have some understanding of well failure modes We can properly design CO2

wells and plug failed wells

Gasda et al., 2005

Managing and maintaining well Reddick et al. 2006

integrity is important to avoiding We can identify andfailure and risk minimization

recomplete lost wells

Page 25: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Crystal Geyser, UT represents an analog forwell leakage, fault leakage, & soil leakage

Drilled in 1936 to 801-m depth initiated CO2 geysering.

CO2 flows from Aztec sandstone (high P&P saline aquifer)

Oct. 2004, LLNL collected flux data • Temperature data • Meteorological data

• Low wind (<2 m/s) • 5 eruptions over 48 hrs • Four eruptions and one pre-eruption event sampled

Page 26: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

1 km

The risks of leakage appear to be both small and manageable

1 km

Wells present a challenge to integrity and monitoring which could be resolved through technology application & regulation

Page 27: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Monitoring and verification (M&V) islikely to be required

MMV serves these key roles: • Understand key features, effects, & processes • Injection management • Delineate and identify leakage risk and leakage • Provide early warnings of failure • Verify storage for accounting and crediting

Currently, there are abundant viable tools and methods; however, only a handful of parameters are key

• Direct fluid sampling via monitoring wells (e.g., U-tube) • T, P, pH at all wells (e.g., Bragg fiber optic grating) • CO2 distribution in space: various proxy measures

(Time-lapse seismic clear best in most cases) • CO2 saturation (ERT, EMIT likely best) • Surface CO2 changes, direct or proxy

(atmospheric eddy towers best direct; LIDAR may surpass) (perfluorocarbon tracing or noble gas tracing best proxies)

• Stress changes (tri-axial tensiometers)

Page 28: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Many tools exist to monitor and verify CO2 plumes and have been tested

Parameter

Fluid composition T, P fieldwide

Subsurface pH monitoring CO2 distribution

CO2 saturation Surface detection

Stress/strain changes

Best tool

Direct sample

Thermocouples & pres. sensors pH sensors

Time-lapse seismic

Electrical methods (ERT) Soil gas, PFC tracing

(Tri-axial tensiometers)

Seismic survey trucks Other tools NETL 2007

(Advanced simulation) Fiberoptic Bragg grating

(microseismic, tilt, VSP, electrical methods) (advanced seismic) Ramirez et al. 2006

(Atmos. eddy towers, FTIRS, LIDAR, hyperspectral) Bragg grating, tilt, InSAR

Courtesy NETL

Page 29: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

The Western Region is at the center of national action and interest in carbon management

CA’s SB1368 prohibits long-term power purchase agreements with emissions greater than natural gas plants: other states considering

CA’s AB32 targets cannot be met with efficiency and renewable improvements alone

WGA’s carbon markets initiative

AB1925, New Mexico executive orders provides incentives for CCS deployment

Actions pending in WY, MT, CO on CCS regulatory and legal framework

Page 30: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Preliminary estimates suggest California has an abundance of sequestration resource

• Current WESTCARB estimates at 300 Gt capacity, mostly inCentral Valley.

• This is 10,000 times more than CA’s pointsource emissions

• These estimates are preliminary,conservative and likelyunderestimates.

• Similar resource in WY, UT, NM, CO, MTeach

Site characterization is needed to turn resource into reserves

Page 31: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

CCS opportunities in CA are large and could provide short- and long-term benefits

Unique mix of sources attractive for state AB32 compliance

Four high-impact targets for CCS deployment in state

• Refineries • Cement • Zero-emission gas • With biofuels

WESTCARB, EPRI

Page 32: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Refineries are a critical industry for the state with large emissions footprints

Both opportunities & problems Richmond Refinery

• Persistent large point sources for CO2 and pollution

• Key industry for, CA fuel emission requirements, new low-carbon standards

• Cannot expand due to criteria pollution restrictions

• Importing fuels will “offshore” emissions

Could capture & sequester pure CO2 streams New technology for high carbon processes

CCS could both dramatically reduce refinery emissions and increase production

Page 33: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

The cement industry represents ~3% of CA CO2 emissions and a large industry

The cement making process creates CO2

• Concern about offshoring cement manufacturers

• Importing cement = importing emissions too!

LLNL can help with special capabilities and experience

• Accelerated limestone weathering (AWL) technology

• Removes NOx, SOX with CO2 • ICAT proposal w/ Davenport

Cement

Page 34: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

To get to AB32 limits, natural gas emissions must be reduced during demand growth

NG plants source 25 M t CO2/y in CA Richmond Refinery

Likely to grow under SB1368

NGCC-CCS could create export industry in state & help balance renewable loads

Sequestration resource near many current plants and Clean Energy Systems, CAproposed new builds, especially within central valley

Currently not clear if post-combustion capture or oxyfiring is best for state needs

Page 35: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Biofuels + CCS create unusual opportunities for emissions reduction in CA

CCS could help conventional Richmond Refinery biomass plants in central valley

• Negative emission plant • Combine with EOR to help

economics • Reduce current agricultural

wastes

CCS could help emerging biofuels industries

• Reduce fuel carbon footprint (1/3:1/3:1/3)

• Help achieve low-carbon fuel standards

CCS could further improve emissions profile of biofuels in state

Page 36: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

CCS in California: potential benefits, special considerations, strong skills

Mix of large, stationary CO2 sources is unique

• Natural gas power plants: ~25 MM tons/y • Refineries, gas processing, cement can provide low-cost opportunities: ~17 MM tons/y • Coal-based electricity imported: CO2 to be regulated by the CPUC • Interest in biomass electric generation; possibility of “net negative” emissions

California has an excellent technical & physical infrastructure

• Agencies (CEC; WESTCARB; DOG) • National Labs (LLNL and LBNL) +EPRI • CO2 Capture Engineering (e.g., Fluor, Bechtel/Nexant, SPA Pacific) • Oil companies (e.g. Chevron, Occidental) • Strong universities (UC, Stanford) • Pipeline rights-of-way, O&M experience

Page 37: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

LLNL can support and enable CCS deployment for California

We have already made major contributions toCCS in the state – Executed capacity estimates and

develop methodologies – Worked with the CEC under AB1925 for

guidance document – Developed capacity and site

assessment methodologies – Partnered with key industrial actors to

develop technology & deployment (BP,Chevron)

We expect to make major contributions to CCSin the state – Develop low-cost carbon capture and

separation technology with industry – Perfect tools and methods to monitor

and verify CO2 underground – Identify key hazards to CCS deployment

and tools to assess and avoid risks – Respond to requests of regulatory

agencies (CARB, CalEPA, DOGGR)

Page 38: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Conclusions

Current knowledge strongly supports carbon sequestration as a successful technology to dramatically reduce CO2 emissions.

Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at scale

Site characterization, monitoring, and hazard assessment & management are keys to safe and successful deployment

California’s specific mix of carbon sources and geology provide real, near term opportunities to dramatically reduce emissions with CCS

This work performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract DE-AC52-07NA27344

Page 39: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Some basic considerations relevant to the nature and magnitude of CO2-related risks

• CO2 is not flammable or explosive • CO2 is not a dangerous gas except in very high

concentrations (> 15,000 ppm) – Not to be confused with carbon monoxide (CO) – We inhale and exhale CO2 with every breath – We drink carbonated (CO2 containing) beverages – We buy “frozen” CO2 for cooling (dry ice)

• We have successfully plugged and abandoned CO2 injection wells, even badly damaged and failed wells

• Where human, animal or plant mortality has been attributable to CO2 is due to volcanic releases in large quantities (e.g. Cameroon, Africa) or pooled in depressions or pits (Mammoth Mountain, California)

Page 40: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Little Grand Wash Fault soil surveys suggest fault leakage flux rates are extremely small

Allis et al. (2005) measured soil flux along the LGW fault zone.

Overall, concentrations were <0.1 kg/m2/d.

Integrated over the fault length and area, this is unlikely approach 1 ton/day.

At Crystal Geyser, it is highly likely that all fault-zone leakage

is at least two orders of magnitude less than the well.

This may be too small to detect with many surface monitoring

approaches Allis et al., 2005

Page 41: Reducing Emissions in California Through Carbon Capture ......successful technology to dramatically reduce CO 2 emissions. Current science and technology gaps appear resolvable at

Simulations of the largest hypothetical event suggest leakage appears to be manageable

Max. CO2 flow rate: Simulated hypothetical 7” inside diameter well Max. flow rate event

Great plains: no wind Depth Flow rate Flow rate (ft) (kg/s) (ton/day)

5036 225 1944 4614 217 1875 5102 226 1952 4882 224 1935 ~2x Sheep Mt. event Simulated hypothetical~50x Crystal Geyser Max. flow rate event

Great plains: average wind

The HSE consequences from catastrophic well failure do not appear to present an undue or

unmanageable risk.