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Conflicting Environmental Priorities

2

CO2

PM10NOX

Outline

Trends in European Air Quality

Real Driving Emissions: CO2

Real Driving Emissions:Air Quality pollutants

Method – Remote Sensing

Recent results Leeds Autumn/ Winter 2014

Zurich Summer 2014

Outlook

3

EUROPEAN AIR QUALITYNitrogen dioxide (NO2)

Carslaw, D., Beevers, S. Westmoreland, E. Williams, M. Tate, J. Murrells, T. Stedman, J. Li, Y., Grice, S., Kent, A., Tsagatakis, I. (2011).Trends in NOX and NO2 emissions and ambient measurements in the UK. Version 3, March 2011. http://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/reports/cat05/1108251149_110718_AQ0724_Final_report.pdf

UK AIR QUALITYNitrogen dioxide (NO2)

Carslaw, D., Beevers, S. Westmoreland, E. Williams, M. Tate, J. Murrells, T. Stedman, J. Li, Y., Grice, S., Kent, A., Tsagatakis, I. (2011).Trends in NOX and NO2 emissions and ambient measurements in the UK. Version 3, March 2011. http://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/reports/cat05/1108251149_110718_AQ0724_Final_report.pdf

Environmental Priorities

CO2

6

CO2

PM10

NOX

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0

76-9

4

100

110

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190

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210

Be

nef

itin

Kin

d(B

IK)

tax

[%o

flis

tp

rice

]

Type Approval CO2 (grams.km-1)

COMPANY CAR TAX £

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Typ

eA

pp

rova

lCO

2.Em

issi

on

s(g

ram

s.km

-1)

Vehicle Model Year

NEDC figures (SMMT New Car report)

Future Targets (ICCT & DfT)

AVERAGE CAR CO2 TARGETS

REAL DRIVING CO2 EMISSIONS vs. TYPE APPROVAL

Ligterink, N., Eijk,A. Update analysis of real-world fuel consumption of business passenger carsbased on Travelcard Nederland fuelpass data.TNO report 2014 R11063, July 2014

Assessing Vehicle EmissionsTHE LABORATORY

Fig. Chassis dynamometer and exhaust analysing equipment

Technical University of Graz (Austria):

Light-duty

Heavy-dutyEngine & Chassis dynos.

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

020

40

60

80

12

0

NEDC - Speed Profile

Time (seconds)

Spe

ed

(km

h1)

Fig. Speed profile used for type approval purposes (New EU Drive-Cycle)

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

01

02

03

04

05

06

0

ARTEMIS Urban - Speed Profile

Time (seconds)

Sp

ee

d(k

mh1)

Fig. Real-world driving: The Common ARTEMIS Drive Cycle (Andre, 2004).

ASSESSMENT OF VEHICLE EMISSIONSVehicle operation in the laboratory

10

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

0.0

00

.01

0.0

20

.03

0.0

40

.05

0.0

6

Year of registrationP

M1

0(g

ram

s.k

m

1)

Euro III Euro IV Euro V Euro VI

CO2

PM10

NOX

Environmental Priorities

PM10

11

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Year of registration

NO

X(g

ram

s.k

m

1)

Euro III Euro IV Euro V Euro VICO2

PM10

NOX

Environmental Priorities

NOX

MethodRemote Sensing Real Driving Emissions (RDE)

12

Sheffield, May 2013

MethodRemote Sensing Real Driving Emissions (RDE)

13

Leeds, December 2014

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

Camera(Number plate)

Vehicle Detector(Speed andAcceleration)

Source/Detector

Mirror Box

Source

Detector

Emissions Analyser(Common

Configurations)

MethodRemote Sensing Real Driving Emissions (RDE)

ESP RSD-4600 instrument (www.esp-global.com)

UVIR

MethodRemote Sensing Real Driving Emissions (RDE)

PROS: “Real-world” or “on road” or “RDE”

BIG sample population

Understand the emissionperformance of the vehicle fleet

Trends

Degradation/ ageing technologies

High-emitters

Detailed knowledge of the vehiclefleet composition

Fast turn-round (one month)

Survey emerging technologies

e.g. EuroVI compliant vehicles

CONS: “Snap-shot” or “single-point”

measurement

Vehicle operating condition unknown

Loading

Cold-start or Hot-running

Elevated exhausts – NULL

Practical limitations

Dry weather conditions

Suitable survey locations limited

15

MethodRemote Sensing Real Driving Emissions (RDE)

16

Zurich, July 2014And 2000, 2001, 2002…… 2013, 2014…

MethodZurich Remote Sensing Site

17

Zurich, July 201482m elevation gain1.2 kmAv. gradient 6.8 %

PM10 ResultsZurich, Summer 2014

18

Die

sel_

E0

Die

sel_

E1

Die

sel_

E2

Die

sel_

E3

Die

sel_

E4

Die

sel_

E5a

Die

sel_

E5b

Die

sel_

E6a

Die

sel_

E6b

Die

selH

ybrid_E

5

Petr

ol_

E0

Petr

ol_

E1

Petr

ol_

E2

Petr

ol_

E3

Petr

ol_

E4

Petr

ol_

E5a

Petr

ol_

E5b

Petr

ol_

E6b

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

4

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

5a

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

5b

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

6b

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4P

MIn

dex

vol.ra

tio

[13]

[33]

[164]

[1220]

[4250]

[3315]

[3165]

[27]

[228]

[19]

[113]

[629]

[1805]

[2584]

[9141]

[3730]

[4360]

[520]

[233]

[85]

[307]

[3]

NOX ResultsZurich, Summer 2014

19

Die

sel_

E0

Die

sel_

E1

Die

sel_

E2

Die

sel_

E3

Die

sel_

E4

Die

sel_

E5a

Die

sel_

E5b

Die

sel_

E6a

Die

sel_

E6b

Die

selH

ybrid_E

5

Petr

ol_

E0

Petr

ol_

E1

Petr

ol_

E2

Petr

ol_

E3

Petr

ol_

E4

Petr

ol_

E5a

Petr

ol_

E5b

Petr

ol_

E6b

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

4

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

5a

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

5b

Petr

olH

ybrid_E

6b

0

100

200

300

400

NO

X/

CO

2vo

l.ratio

*10000

[13]

[33]

[164]

[1220]

[4250]

[3315]

[3165]

[27]

[228]

[19]

[113]

[629]

[1805]

[2584]

[9141]

[3730]

[4360]

[520]

[233]

[85]

[307]

[3]

OutlookDiesel Euro VI passenger cars

More information PEMS, Remote Sensing,‘BIG’ data

Initial assessment – good improvement over EuroV RDE in excess of emission standard limits

Large variation between vehicles e.g. ICCT 2014 PEMS report

Worst performance expected in congested driving conditions

Demands continuous review Not simply an evaluation of the first generation on of EuroVI vehicles

Deterioration of technology unknown SCR dosage strategies and maintenance a concern

Need to match powertrains to applications i.e. City cars => Petrol-hybrids

Motorway driving => Diesel cars

20

Conflicting Environmental Priorities

21

CO2

PM10NOX