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RBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane Paul McPhee Group General Manager, Energy Division 11 October 2012

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Page 1: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

RBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane

Paul McPhee

Group General Manager,

Energy Division

11 October 2012

Page 2: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

2 13,000+ staff, 350 locations, in 55 countries, on six continents

Page 3: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

Commodity Price Cycles are inevitable. Corrections bring opportunities and create stronger industries.

ALS is better positioned than ever to respond

Superior client portfolios and broadening service streams underpin ALS’ long term growth

Page 4: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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Mineral and Metal Price IndicesCOAL_AUS

COPPER

GOLD

IRON_ORE_SPOT

Average Index price for Major Minerals

} 81.4% of Australia's current Mineral Exploration Expenditure

Sources: World Bank Commodity Price Indices & Australian Bureau of Statistics

Page 5: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

Source: World Bank Commodity Price Indices

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Mineral and Metal Price Indices

Average Index price for Major Minerals

Recent price falls are relatively modest in comparison

46% decline

GFC

22% decline

2012

93% post-GFC Rise

Still 33% above long term

average

Page 6: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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World Minerals Exploration Expenditure (MEGS) USDm

Source: Mineral Economics Group Services (MEGS)

Current (unrevised)

forecast

Price impact on exploration expenditure uncertain but should be subdued

Page 7: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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Australian Minerals Exploration Expenditure Australian Financial Years AUDm

Others

Uranium

Other Base Metals

Copper

Gold

Iron Ore

Coal

81% aimed at just 4 major commodities and 69% of total spend is targeting brownfield

deposits

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)

Page 8: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Minerals Exploration Expenditure

Australian Exploration Expenditure

Global Exploration Expenditure

Australia tends to be more resilient throughout the price cycle

Source: ABS & MEGS

Page 9: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

So too has ALS’ Australian financial performances

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Australian Minerals Exploration Expenditure Australian Financial Years AUDm

Others

Uranium

Other Base Metals

Copper

Gold

Iron Ore

Coal

ALS Australia Revenue

Source: ABS

Page 10: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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Australian Minerals Exploration Expenditure Australian Financial Years AUDm

Others

Uranium

Other Base Metals

Copper

Gold

Iron Ore

Coal

ALS Global Revenue

Source: ABS

Page 11: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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Australian Minerals Exploration Expenditure Australian Financial Years AUDm

Others

Uranium

Other Base Metals

Copper

Gold

Iron Ore

Coal

ALS Australia EBIT

Source: ABS

Page 12: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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Australian Minerals Exploration Expenditure Australian Financial Years AUDm

Others

Uranium

Other Base Metals

Copper

Gold

Iron Ore

Coal

ALS Global EBIT

Source: ABS

Page 13: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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World Minerals Exploration Expenditure (MEGS) ALS Limited Financial Years USDm

Global Exploration Expenditure

ALS Global Revenue

ALS has evolved beyond a mineral services company

Source: MEGS

Page 14: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

World Minerals Exploration Expenditure (MEGS) ALS Limited Financial Years USDm

Global Exploration Expenditure

ALS Global EBIT

The business has less volatile and more diversified earnings

Source: ABS

Page 15: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

Life Sciences

31%

Minerals49%

Energy7% Industrial

13%

Life Sciences

32%

Minerals66%

Energy0%

Industrial2%

Despite strong global mineral exploration expenditure, ALS’s spectacular growth has relied less and less on minerals

USDm

Life Sciences

40%Minerals54%

Energy5%

Industrial1%

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ALS Global Revenue ALS Global EBIT Global Exploration Expenditure

Page 16: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2005 2008 2012

Revenue by Region

Sth America

Nth America

Europe

Australasia

Asia

Africa-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%110%

2005 2008 2012

EBIT by Region

Similarly, ALS’ evolving geographic spread has made the Company less exposed to economic volatility and exchange rate movements

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World Minerals Exploration Expenditure (MEGS) ALS Limited Financial Years USDm

ALS Global Revenue ALS Global EBIT Global Exploration Expenditure

Page 17: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

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FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

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Non-Mineral EBITDA margin

21% 21% 24% 20% 24% 23% 25%

GROWTH OF NON-MINERALS DIVISIONS

Life Sciences Energy Industrial Minerals

Revenue EBITDA (incl ALS overheads)

The non-Minerals revenue of ALS is now larger than ALS’ entire revenue only

two years ago and the Minerals Division has been transformed from a

geochemical only business in 2009 to a geochemical, metallurgical and

inspection business in 2012. 17

Page 18: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

ALS Market Capital

Price Index All Minerals

Price Index Major Minerals

ALS Dividend Per Share

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

ALS has strong credentials in navigating through the tougher times and consistently delivering

shareholder value

Global Exploration Expenditure

ALS Global Revenue

Sources: World Bank Commodity Price Indices, MEGS, RBS Morgans

Page 19: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

-100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 700%

CoffeyServcorp

Transfield ServicesSGS

AusencoWorley Parsons

CloughEurofins

OricaMacMahon

Bureau VeritasIntertekCardno

MonadelphousCore Laboratories

Boart LongyearALS Limited

Total Shareholder Return (1st April 2009 to 31st March 2012)

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN

19 Source- Ernst & Young

Page 20: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity

• Price cycles happen and, yes, exploration expenditure is price sensitive

• Corrections are healthy for these industries and ALS is well positioned to continue

servicing the sector

• Current prices for major minerals remain way above long-term averages

ALS’ financial performances demonstrate

• ALS has limited exposure to the more price sensitive commodities

• ALS has lowered its dependency on minerals exploration expenditure and geochemistry

services and this strategy will continue to be pursued

• ALS has less exposure to any single region and has less currency risk

• Our Australian businesses provide high performance and portfolio balance

• ALS’ returns to shareholders have been consistently above peers and have not regressed

over the past 10 years

• ALS remains poised to pursue further growth opportunities and income diversity

Page 21: RBS Morgans Institutional Conference Brisbane - · PDF fileRBS Morgans Institutional Conference – Brisbane ... 3,000 3,500 4,000 2003 2004 2005 ... Sources: World Bank Commodity